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A Programme search for forecasting returned the following matches:
Population estimation and forecasting
A Project search for forecasting returned the following matches:
- Modelling and forecasting UK mortality Project contributors: Dodd E, Bijak J, Smith P, Forster J,
- Probabilistic population forecasting Project contributors: Bijak J, Hilton J, Smith P, Forster J, Dodd E, Wisniowski A,
- Evaluation of existing migration forecasting methods and models Project contributors: Bijak J, Findlay A, Smith P, Forster J, Disney G, Wisniowski A,
- Understanding Recent Fertility Trends in the UK and Improving Methodologies for Fertility Forecasting Project contributors: Kulu H, Berrington A, Bijak J, Dodd E, Falkingham J, Kuang B, Ellison J, Christison S,
A Seminar search for forecasting returned the following matches:
| Start Date | Time | Title | Location | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10-2013 | Accuracy and bias in coherent mortality forecasting for subpopulations based on sex and state: applications to European countries and Australian states | University of Southampton 58/1007 | ||
| 10-12-2015 | Grouped functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates | University of Southampton, Room 1003, Building 58 | ||
| 12-07-2018 | Joint S3RI/CPC Seminar - Dr Han Lin Shang, Model confidence sets and forecast combination: An application to mortality forecasting | Room 1023/Building 58 | ||
| 29-09-2020 | National EMN Conference 2020: Forecasting the Future of Global Migration | Vienna, Austria and Online | ||
| 06-11-2020 | Public webinar B: Forecasting migration | Webinar |
A Media search for forecasting returned the following matches:
CPC/CG Webinar - New perspectives in mortality forecasting | Dr Ugofilippo Basellini Youtube. 2023
This CPC-CG webinar took place on Thursday 30 March 2023, at 13:00 UK Time. Dr Ugofilippo Basellini, Research Scientist at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, gave a talk entitled "New perspectives in mortality forecasting".
Accurate forecasts of mortality are crucial for the provision of pensions and elderly care services. In this talk, I will present two novel developments in the field of mortality forecasting. The first part of the talk will focus on a recently proposed relational model to forecast adult age-at-death distributions. Leveraging functional data analysis methods, the “Segmented Transformation Age-at-death Distributions” is a parsimonious and efficient approach to model and forecast adult mortality. Mortality forecasts obtained with this approach are more accurate and optimistic than those derived from the benchmark Lee-Carter approach and its variants. The second part of the talk will concentrate on the challenge of forecasting cohort mortality data. Few methods exist to forecast cohort mortality, and the state-of-the-art approach - forecasting period mortality and extracting cohort patterns from the Lexis diagonals - has several limitations. I will show how to adapt the estimation of the Lee-Carter parameters to the structure of cohort mortality data, and then propose the “Linear Lee-Carter” model to derive more reasonable and accurate forecasts of cohort mortality.
Financial Reflections: Oil forecasting and the referendum debate Future of UK and Scotland website. 2014
Blog on www.futureukandscotland.ac.uk titled "Financial Reflections: Oil forecasting and the referendum debate" written by David Bell
Your site search for forecasting returned 50 matches:
... longer and the changing lifecourse Migration and mobility Integrated demographic estimation and forecasting Exchange between the generations Constitutional change Covid-19 Communication and education ...
... PROJECTS Understanding Recent Fertility Trends in the UK and Improving Methodologies for Fertility Forecasting Project contributors: Kulu H, Berrington A, Bijak J, Dodd E, Falkingham J, Kuang B, Vasireddy ...
PROJECTS Evaluation of existing migration forecasting methods and models Project contributors: Bijak J, Findlay A, Smith P, Forster J, Disney G, Wisniowski A, This Project is linked to the following Strand ...
... , Raymer J, This Project is linked to the following Strand/s: Integrated Demographic Estimation and Forecasting * Overview * Publications & Activities Overview The project was a follow-up to the work on ...
PROJECTS Forecasting Scottish migration after the 2014 referendum Project contributors: Bijak J, Findlay A, McCollum D, Wisniowski A, This Project is linked to the following Strand/s: Integrated Demographic ...
... to the following Strand/s: Exchange Between the Generations Integrated Demographic Estimation and Forecasting * Overview * Publications & Activities Overview This research programme brought together teams ...
... A, This Project is linked to the following Strand/s: Integrated Demographic Estimation and Forecasting * Overview * Publications & Activities Overview International migration is one of the most uncertain ...
... Forster J, This Project is linked to the following Strand/s: Integrated Demographic Estimation and Forecasting * Overview * Publications & Activities Overview This project was funded by the Greater London ...
PROJECTS Probabilistic population forecasting Project contributors: Bijak J, Hilton J, Smith P, Forster J, Dodd E, Wisniowski A, This Project is linked to the following Strand/s: Integrated Demographic ...
... Forster J, This Project is linked to the following Strand/s: Integrated Demographic Estimation and Forecasting * Overview * Publications & Activities Overview This project aims to identify, review and ...
... S, This Project is linked to the following Strand/s: Integrated Demographic Estimation and Forecasting Migration and Mobility * Overview * Publications & Activities Overview The project Integrated Modelling ...
PROJECTS Modelling and forecasting UK mortality Project contributors: Dodd E, Bijak J, Smith P, Forster J, This Project is linked to the following Strand/s: Integrated Demographic Estimation and Forecasting ...
