Overview
Using Office for National Statistics weekly mortality data, this study estimates cumulative infection rates from Covid-19 in Great Britain by local authority districts (LADs) and council areas (CAs).
The study uses a model-based approach to calculate cumulative infection rates from data on observed and expected Covid-19 deaths. The project investigates why infection rates vary across geographical units, finding infection rates depend on the population density and level of deprivation present in the area.
The results suggest that people from lower socioeconomic groups in urban areas were most affected by the spread of coronavirus from March to June 2020.
Publications & Activities
Infection rates from Covid-19 in Great Britain by geographical units: A model-based estimation from mortality data
Health and Place (2021). 67
Authors: Kulu H, Dorey P,
Infection Rates from Covid-19 in Great Britain by Geographical Units: A Model-based Estimation from Mortality Data
SocArXiv (2020).
Authors: Kulu H, Dorey P,
Covid-19 in remote and rural communities
University of Southampton, CPC (2020). Series Number: 51.
Authors: Kulu H, Dorey P,
Media
More than 5% of Britons have had SARS-CoV-2: study. Health Unlocked. 2020
References research by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey on Covid-19 infection rates
More than 5% of Britons have had SARS-CoV-2: study Medical Xpress. 2020
Articles refers to research by Professor Hill Kulu on Covid-19 infection rates: Kulu, H, Dorey P., (2020)Infection Rates from Covid-19 in Great Britain by Geographical Units: A Model-based Estimation from Mortality Data
City infection rate 'above average'
Articles refers to research by Professor Hill Kulu on Covid-19 infection rates, Kulu, H, Dorey P., (2020)Infection Rates from Covid-19 in Great Britain by Geographical Units: A Model-based Estimation from Mortality Data
More than 5% of Britons have had Covid-19 About Manchester. 2020
Article refers to research by Professor Hill Kulu on Covid-19 infection rates
One in 20 of British population infected, say varsity scientists
Article refers to research by Professor Hill Kulu on Covid-19 infection rates
Scotland's true rate of coronavirus infection 'may be as high as 259,000'
Article refers to research by Professor Hill Kulu on Covid-19 infection rates
Levels of Coronavirus infection higher in cities
Article refers to research by Professor Hill Kulu on Covid-19 infection rates
One in 20 of British population infected by Covid-19 The Courier. 2020
Research by Professor Hill and Kulu claim 5-6% of the UK population have been infected with Covid-19
Chaos as FM claims new testers might not be needed at all;coronavirus crisis
Article in the Scottish Daily Mail quotes Professor Hill Kulu about his research suggesting that 5-6% of the UK population have been infected with Covid-19.
London is Covid capital
Research by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey suggests that 5-6% of the UK population may have been infected with Covid-19
LISTEN: More than 5% of Britain's population has had coronavirus, says St Andrews University study Kingdom FM. 2020
News article and audio clip of Professor Hill Kulu speaking about his recent research into Covid-19 infection rates, linking to his paper: Kulu, H, Dorey P., (2020)Infection Rates from Covid-19 in Great Britain by Geographical Units: A Model-based Estimation from Mortality Data
More than 5% of Britons have had Covid-19 University of St Andrews News. 2020
Article on St Andrews website relates to research by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey: Kulu, H, Dorey P., (2020)Infection Rates from Covid-19 in Great Britain by Geographical Units: A Model-based Estimation from Mortality Data
More than 5% of Britons have had Covid-19 according to research Deadline. 2020
Research by Professor Hill and Kulu claim 5-6% of the UK population have been infected with Covid-19
Second Covid-19 wave could prove 'devastating' to elderly in rural locations, experts warn The Telegraph. 2020
The Telegraph quotes research by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey on the vulnerability of elderly in rural areas to a second wave of Covid-19
Remote and rural communities could be hit hardest by Covid-19: Study India Blooms. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
"Kulu, H, Dorey P., (2020) The Contribution of Age Structure to the Number of Deaths from Covid-19 in the UK by Geographical Units
medRxiv "
Minister promises any divergence from UK would not be done on 'preconceived prejudice or political positioning' The Courier. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Coronavirus: Scotland may suffer more than England The Times. 2020
News article in The Times quotes research by Prof Hill Kulu about how Scotland and Wales in the long term may have higher fatality rates from Covid-19.
Coronavirus death rates could be 80% higher in rural communities Somerset County Gazette. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Coronavirus death rates 'could be 80% higher in rural communities' Hinterland - Rural Services Network. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Covid-19 death rates could be 80 per cent higher in rural communities South West Farmer. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Rural deaths higher
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Death rates in rural areas 'could be up to 80pc higher'
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Fears over high rural death rate
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Fears for Highlands
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Warning of dire death rates in rural communities The Herald Scotland. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Warning of dire death rates in rural communities Herald Scotland. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Study claims remote communities could be devastated if hit by outbreak of virus
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Essential workers can book their own tests; health secretary's pledge on coronavirus testing
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities: "Kulu, H, Dorey P., (2020) The Contribution of Age Structure to the Number of Deaths from Covid-19 in the UK by Geographical Units
medRxiv "
Coronavirus: Warning rural Scotland could suffer 'devastating' higher death rate The Herald. 2020
News article in The Herald quotes research by Prof Hill Kulu about the fatality rates in rural Scotland, and other remote areas of the UK with ageing populations.
Heavy coronavirus death toll predicted in Gaelic and rural communities infected The Courier. 2020
Research from Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey on the impact of Coronavirus on rural towns.
We must clamp down on people travelling to rural areas, says Jamie Stone John O'Groat Journal and Caithness Courier. 2020
Coronavirus death rates 'could be 80% higher in rural communities' The Evening Standard. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Covid-19 death rates could be 80% higher in rural communities, say scientists The Express and Star. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Coronavirus: the latest across Dorset and the UK Bournemouth Echo. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Death rates from COVID-19 could be between 50% and 80% higher in rural communities because more elderly people live there, study warns The Mail Online. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities
Covid-19 death rates could be 80% higher in rural communities, say scientists; The University of St Andrews has investigated the contribution of population age structure to coronavirus fatalities in the UK by geography. Belfast Telegraph Online. 2020
"Kulu, H, Dorey P., (2020) The Contribution of Age Structure to the Number of Deaths from Covid-19 in the UK by Geographical Units
medRxiv "
Coronavirus: Elderly care-home residents could account for up to half of Covid-19 deaths in Europe, WHO chief warns Inews. 2020
Article references study by Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey about death rates in rural communities: "Kulu, H, Dorey P., (2020) The Contribution of Age Structure to the Number of Deaths from Covid-19 in the UK by Geographical Units
medRxiv "
Coronavirus outbreak could be 'devastating' for Gaelic-speaking communities The National. 2020
News article on The National relating to research by Professor Hill Kuku, "Kulu, H, Dorey P., (2020) The Contribution of Age Structure to the Number of Deaths from Covid-19 in the UK by Geographical Units
medRxiv "
Remote and rural communities could be hit hardest by Covid-19 St Andrews University. 2020
Professor Hill Kulu and Peter Dorey's research the impact of Coronavirus on older populations living in rural communities.
Coronavirus: The towns most economically at risk from coronavirus pandemic Sky News. 2020
Article from Sky News about the impact of Coronavirus on the local economies of small coastal and ex-industrial towns uses data from a report co-authored by PhD student John Houghton