Research Programme


Understanding the drivers and consequence of population changes in the UK in the context of a changing Europe

Jane Falkingham, Paul Bridgen, Maria Evandrou, Derek McGhee, Teresa McGowan, Traute Meyer, Athina Vlachantoni, Andreas Edel, Josh Moran, Chris Moreh, Frank Feng

This research was funded by the ESRC's UK in a Changing Europe initiative.

 

Project summary

This project aims to investigate EU migrants in the UK and how the outcome of the referendum might influence their circumstances and behaviours. The project aims to contribute directly to the debate on the UK’s changing relationship with the European Union and the role of population changes in this context.

The project comprises of four work packages;

1) Mapping the characteristics of the EU population in the UK – We are mapping the demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the EU born population in the UK, with a focus on bi-national partnerships where one partner is of EU- nationality. Analysis will include distinction between the ‘old’ EU-15 and the 'new' EU which includes the recent additions of countries to the European community such as Eastern European, Baltic and Balkan countries.

2) Investigating migrants’ attitudes to a changing EU – A bespoke online survey is being designed to collect information from EU migrants in the UK.  Data will be gathered on their concerns about the UK’s possible exit from the EU and its implications for their rights and obligations within the UK. Among other questions, migrants' thoughts on their intenton to return to their home country will be collected, as well as their attitudes towards the British naturalisation process and the possible consequences of obtaining dual nationality.

3) Migrants’ entitlements in the context of changing social policies -  This research assesses the impact of changing social rights for EU migrants in the UK on their ability to enter and remain in the British labour market. It explores the degree to which social policies for migrants have constituted a social investment enhancing the British economy, how recent changes have affected this potential and what the impact of the UK’s possible exit from the EU might be.

4) Influencing the debate - In the run up to the referendum this work package is aimed at effectively informing the public discourse with evidence based knowledge. Through a suite of knowledge exchange activities we aim to create platforms for debate on issues such as the dynamics of population exchange within Europe, the changing composition of EU labour markets, the impact of increasing numbers of multi-national and multi-ethnic families on cross-national legal regulations of welfare rights, and the effect of return migration on insurance and pension entitlements within the different social systems of Europe.

 

Project activities

Date Activity Description
12-14 July 2017 Presentation at the Council for European Studies 2017 conference, in Glasgow. The paper "EU migrants and the micropolitics of Brexit: opinion- and decision-making in uncertain times", authored by Chris Moreh, Derek McGhee, and Athina Vlachantoni will be presented at this event.
10-12 April 2017 Presentation at the Political Studies Association conference 2017, in Glasgow. The paper "EU migrants and the micropolitics of Brexit: opinion- and decision-making in uncertain times", authored by Chris Moreh, Derek McGhee, and Athina Vlachantoni was presented during this event.
6 April 2017 Presentation at the BSA Conference 2017 held in Manchester. The paper "Transnational Citizenship in Times of Brexit: Polish Migrants’ Perceptions and Strategies in the Context of the Reconfiguration of Substantial Citizenship Rights in the United Kingdom" authored by Derek McGhee and Chris Moreh will be presented at this event.
4 April 2017 Presentation at the BSA Conference 2017 held in Manchester. The paper "Undeliberate determinacy? Estimating the ‘effect’ of Brexit on the migration strategies of Poles in the UK" authored by Chris Moreh, Derek McGhee and Athina Vlachantoni was presented at this event.
18 February 2017 CPC involvement in the Radical Statistics Conference 2017 held in Edinburgh.  Jane falkingham is giving the keynote speech on "Migration, EU Migrants and Brexit." CPC Scotland members have been involved in the organisation of the event, including Nissa Finney, Alan Marshall, David McCollum, Helen Packwood, Glenna Nightingale, Annemarie Ernsten and Albert Sabater.
5-7 September 2016 Presentation at the UACES 46th Annual Conference held at Queen Mary University London. Chris Moreh presenting the paper "EU migrants and the Brexit referendum: attitudes, fears and practices" co-authored by Derek McGhee and Athina Vlachantoni.
10 May 2016 Public panel debate "Implications of Brexit for EU Migrants" chaired by Mark Mardell, held at the Abbey Centre in Westminster. Free public panel debate to discuss the wider issues around the recent research on EU migrants living in the UK, their attitudes to the forthcoming referendum and the resulting social policy implications. Panel members included Jane falkingham, Derek McGhee, Traute Meyer and Athina Vlachantoni.
10 May 2016 Policy workshop "Implications of Brexit for EU Migrants" held at the Abbey Centre in Westminster. The project team organised this workshop for invited attendees which included presentations by Jane Falkingham, Maria Evandrou, Derek McGhee, Paul Bridgen and Traute Meyer.
2 March 2016 Meeting of the UK in a changing Europe Advisory Group held at Kings College, London. Update presented to the Advisory Board on project progress.

 

Publications

Falkingham, J. and the CPC ‘UK in a Changing Europe’ project team. (2016) The Demographic Impact of the EU Referendum. EU Migrants in the UK. Population & Policy Compact, Policy Brief 12, Population Europe.

Falkingham, J., Evandrou, M., Feng, Z. and Vlachantoni, A. (2016) Who are EU migrants in England and Wales? CPC Briefing Paper 33, ESRC Centre for Population Change, UK.

Bridgen, P., Meyer, T. and Moran, J. (2016) Expense turns to investment: How the welfare state supports EU migrants’ economic achievements. CPC Briefing Paper 34, ESRC Centre for Population Change, UK.

McGhee, D., Moreh, C., Vlachantoni, A. (2017) An ‘undeliberate determinacy’? The changing migration strategies of Polish migrants in the UK in times of Brexit. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, (Online First View).

Moreh, C., McGhee, D. and Vlachantoni, A. (2016) Should I stay or should I go? Strategies of EU citizens living in the UK in the context of the EU referendum. CPC Briefing Paper 35, ESRC Centre for Population Change, UK.

 

Media activities

How likely is a UK population of 80m - and would it really be a problem? The Conversation, 13 June 2016 

The implications of Brexit for older EU migrants in England and Wales. Ageing Issues website, 2 June 2016

You can also browse population-related articles from CPC members on our Scoop.it! page.