Friday, May 17th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - George Ploubidis (Seminars and lectures)
Professor George Ploubidis
Online and In Person
Friday, May 17th 2024
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar will take place on Friday 17 May at 12:00 UK Time. Further details to follow.
Speaker: Professor George Ploubidis is Professor of Population Health and Statistics at the UCL Social Research Institute and Director of the 1958 National Child Development Study and the 1970 British Cohort Study at the Centre for Longitudinal Studies. He joined the Centre for Longitudinal Studies in 2014 as the Centre's Chief Statistician, while in 2016 he became CLS's inaugural Director of Research. Prior to joining UCL George held posts at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and the University of Cambridge.
Thursday, May 9th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Monika Mynarska (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Thursday, May 9th 2024
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Seminar will take place on Thursday 9 May at 13:00 UK Time. Professor Monika Mynarska, of Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University, will be delivering a presentation entitled, "Doubtful ambivalence, uncertain indifference: Indecision in reproductive decision-making".
Title:Doubtful ambivalence, uncertain indifference: Indecision in reproductive decision-making
Abstract:Deciding to become a parent entails considerable deliberation and uncertainty. In demographic research, this uncertainty is often reflected in childbearing intentions, where respondents express doubts about their plans for having children. This uncertainty plays a significant role, weakening the link between intentions and actions. While external determinants of uncertainty, like economic instability or social anomie have been extensively studied, internal psychological factors, such as ambivalence towards childbearing, have received less attention. My current research project focuses on exploring the interplay between ambivalence in attitudes towards childbearing and uncertain intentions. In my presentation, I will briefly discuss the theoretical distinctions between uncertainty, indifference, and ambivalence in reproductive decision-making. I will also share insights from the project, discussing the role of ambivalence and reflecting on psychological factors, important for childbearing motivations, which might lead to weak childbearing desires or uncertain intentions.
Registration: https://us06web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZAud-CgqzkuGdVuyjHFalx0zeNhoC2yxFq8
Speaker: Professor Monika Mynarska is a psychologist and a social demographer at the Institute of Psychology, Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University in Warsaw. She is also a researcher at the Institute of Statistics and Demography, Warsaw School of Economics. Monika's research interests include family and fertility, and she focuses on motivations behind parenthood, examining the psychological and social factors that influence people's decisions to have children or to remain childless. An important part of her work is her involvement in the Generations and Gender Programme.
Meeting Recording: We may record the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details: We require your name and email address to process event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce aggregate level statistics. If you require further information on the way your data is collected or used, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk.
Further information about the way we manage data can be found here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice
Friday, May 3rd 2024
High Level Experts Online Conference | Why Demography Matters. Population and Policy in the 21st Century (Conferences)
Online
Friday, May 3rd 2024
10:00 CEST
The High Level Experts Conference will take place on 3 May 2024. The conference, held as a partnership between the Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB) and Population Europe, will be hosted by the European Vice-President for Democracy and Demography, Dubravka Suica, the State Secretary of the German Ministry of the Interior and Community - Juliane Seifert, BiB Director - Katharina Spieß, and other eminent speakers.
The conference aims to discuss how population changes will affect policy frameworks in the coming decades and, conversely, how policy can influence demographic developments that lie ahead.
CPC-CG Members, Jakub Bijak and Hill Kulu will be participating in the below panel discussions:
10-11 CEST | Opening panel | The role of demography in evidence-informed policy making
Knowledge about population change is essential in every area of policy - but what kind of data and research is needed by different policy actors, and who can provide it? When it comes to challenges posed by recent and future population dynamics, e.g. by migration, health impacts of climate change and population shrinking, how can demography contribute by improving understanding of these processes and by providing reliable population projections for more evidence-informed policy making? What are beneficial examples of linking data sources, e.g. by combining information from registers, surveys, social media, satellite or other data?
C. Katharina Spieß | Director of the Federal Institute for Population Research, Wiesbaden | University Professor for "Population Economics", Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, Germany
Jakub Bijak | Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton | Principal Investigator of the European Union-funded projects 'Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy' (2020-2023) and 'Bayesian Agent-Based Population Studies' (2017-2021), Southampton, United Kingdom
Helga A. G. de Valk | Director of the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute | Professor of Migration and the Life Course at the University of Groningen | Deputy Chair of the Dutch State Committee on Demographic Development 2050, The Hague and Groningen
Wolfgang Lutz | Founding Director of the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austrian Academy of Sciences, University of Vienna) | Special Advisor of the European Commission Vice-President for Democracy and Demography | Vienna and Laxenburg
13-14 CEST | High Level Expert Panel | Population Diversity and Cohesion Policy: The Life-Course Perspective
How can we ensure that basic infrastructure can be adequately maintained, adapted and updated across member states, especially outside metropolitan, urban and suburban areas and in regions suffering from massive population shrinking, low net migration and rapid population ageing? How might supply and demand patterns for vital things, such as (green) energy supply, clean water, communication and digital infrastructure, public transport, public health facilities, affordable and acceptable housing, long-term care and other services, change in an era of increasing population diversity? And what can we gain from comparing experiences and approaches across Europe, considering the specificities of each region?
Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak | Vice-Rector for Science and Director of the Institute of Statistics and Demography at SGH Warsaw School of Economics | Member of the European Commission's High-Level Group on the Future of Social Protection and of the Welfare State in the EU, Warsaw, Poland
Róbert Iván Gál, Senior Research Fellow, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute | Head of Research Centre at the Corvinus Institute of Advanced Studies, Corvinus University, Budapest, Hungary
Hill Kulu | Professor of Human Geography and Demography at the University of St Andrews | Co-Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change & Connecting Generations | President of the European Association for Population Studies
Christine Schnor | Professor of Demography at the Centre for Demographic Research, Institute for the Analysis of Change in Contemporary and Historical Societies, Université Catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Belgium
To learn more and register to attend visit the conference website
Friday, April 26th 2024
War, Displacement, and Migration in Eastern Europe and Eurasia (Seminars and lectures)
Hartley Suite, Highfield Campus, University of Southampton
Friday, April 26th 2024
13:30 - 17:30
The Centre for East European and Eurasian Studies (CEES), at the University of Southampton, will be holding an event entitled, "War, Displacement, and Migration in Eastern Europe and Eurasia", on 26 April 2024. The event will be formed of a series of talks on the effects of contemporary conflicts in Ukraine, Nagorno-Karabakh and on the Tajik-Kyrgyz border on local populations.
CPC-CG Director, Professor Jane Falkingham CBE, will be opening the event, which is open to University of Southampton colleagues only.
The event will also feature presentations from Professor Jasmin Dum-Tragut of the University of Salzberg; Dr Anna Kvit of University College London; and Dr Alun Thomas of Staffordshire University.
Sign up to attend via Eventbrite
Thursday, April 25th 2024
CPC-CG/S3Ri Webinar - James Raymer (Seminars and lectures)
Online and In Person
Thursday, April 25th 2024
14:00 UK Time
This joint CPC-CG/S3Ri webinar will take place on 25 April 2024 at 14:00 UK Time. Professor James Raymer of the Australian National University will be presenting, "Modelling the Age and Sex Patterns of Net International Migration"
Title:Modelling the Age and Sex Patterns of Net International Migration
Abstract: In this study, we test and apply a methodology to infer the age and sex profiles of net migration. Age and sex profiles of net migration are required as inputs into demographic accounting models for population estimation and projection. However, most countries in the world do not directly measure migration and residual methods for inferring age and sex patterns have proven inadequate, due to errors in the measures of populations, births and deaths. Since net migration rarely exhibits regularities across age and sex, we develop a strategy to first estimate flows of immigration and emigration by age and sex. Differences from these flow estimates represent our estimates of net international migration by age and sex. Based on promising results from empirical tests that used data from Sweden and the Republic of Korea, the methodology is extended to estimate age-sex patterns of net international migration for countries lacking migration data.
Joining Link: https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3a71f0ed99e3ce45219eef73b9cbd1b0f3%40thread.tacv2/1712938062091?context=%7b%22Tid%22%3a%224a5378f9-29f4-4d3e-be89-669d03ada9d8%22%2c%22Oid%22%3a%221e0ef86f-db24-4a76-a746-b7cafc60a792%22%7d
Speaker: Professor James Raymer is Professor of Demography at the Australian National University. His research focuses on the study of demographic processes, and he is especially interested in how migration influences population change. He has engaged in many interdisciplinary and international research collaborations on topics ranging from statistical estimation of migration to population forecasting.
Meeting Recording: We may record the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details: We require your name and email address to process event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce aggregate level statistics. If you require further information on the way your data is collected or used, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk. Further information about the way we manage data can be found here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice .http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice/
Thursday, April 18th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Professor Tony Champion (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, April 18th 2024
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar will take place on Thursday 18 April at 12:00 UK Time. Professor Tony Champion, Emeritus Professor of Population Geography at Newcastle University will be presenting, "The spatial impacts of the HE-related migration of the UK's school leavers: evidence from two sources"
Title: The spatial impacts of the HE-related migration of the UK's school leavers: evidence from two sources
Abstract: The rise in higher-education participation rates and the tradition of 'going away to university' has resulted in HE-related migration becoming the single largest component of internal migration for the UK migration. It has inserted a new dimension into the life course of many school leavers, involving place-to-place flows that are considerably different from when the vast majority went straight into the labour market. This seminar reports on the findings of analysing this phenomenon using two separate datasets, neither of which is perfect but potentially allowing a degree of triangulation for checking the main features. The official mid-year population estimates allow comparison of the numbers of 16-18 with 19-21 year olds, revealing the local authorities which gain and lose most from 'going away to university' movement. Secondly, the Graduate Outcomes Survey (GOS) enables the tracking of UK school leavers to university and then onto the subregion where they are working 15 months after graduation, such that the spatial impacts can be gauged in terms of both the numbers involved and the quality of human capital as measured via students' secondary-education Tariff Score and their type of job post-graduation. Each GOS respondent can be classified on the basis of their migration trajectories between domicile and workplace, enabling a set of migration accounts to be produced for each subregion. These demonstrate how the different places fare as a result of the migration of students/graduates, with more sub-regions suffering the 'double whammy' of losing out in both quantitative and qualitative terms than gaining from this process, with challenging implications for central government's current 'levelling-up' agenda.
Registration: https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZMofu6sqDIiHdIGtTpdaASe3IxEaUwAIZSZ
Meeting Recording:We may record the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details:We require your name and email address to process event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce aggregate level statistics. If you require further information on the way your data is collected or used, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk. Further information about the way we manage data can be found here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice .http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice/
Speaker: Tony Champion is Emeritus Professor of Population Geography at Newcastle University. His research interests include migration and its impact on population distribution and composition, with particular reference to counter-urbanization in developed countries. He chaired the IBG Working Group on Migration in Britain, which led to the publication of Migration Processes and Patterns (1992) and the IUSSP Working Group on Urbanization, which led to New Forms of Urbanization: Beyond the Urban-Rural Dichotomy (2004). He was President of the British Society for Population Studies 2013-2015 and co-editor (with Jane Falkingham) of Population Change in the United Kingdom (2016). His more recent and current research topics include the 'escalator region' effect in England, the role of migration in shaping the socio-demographic profile of British cities, the relationship between migration and commuting in England, long-term trends in migration rates (including the effect of COVID-19) and the local impacts of the UK's university-related migration.
Wednesday, April 17th 2024 - Saturday, April 20th 2024
Population Association of America 2024 Annual Meeting (Conferences)
Columbia, Ohio
Wednesday, April 17th 2024
Saturday, April 20th 2024
The Population Association of America's annual meeting takes place in Columbus, Ohio from 17 - 20 April 2024.
CPC Members will be presenting:
Migration, Migrants, and Fertility and Reproductive Health | 18 April, 08:00 | Union B
Analyzing Different Fertility Levels Among Various UK Migrant Generations
J.Baek, H. Kulu, S. Christison, University of St Andrews; F. Fiori, University of Strathclyde
Flash: Contextual Influences on Fertility, Contraception, and Abortion | 18 April, 11:00 | Morrow
The Transition to First and Second Births in China: The Role of Compositional and Contextual Factors
H. Kulu, J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews
Environmental Influences on Mortality and Morbidity in Low- and Middle-Income Countries | 18 April, 11:00 | Franklin A
Climate Change and Sex Ratios at Birth
J. Abdel Ghany, University of Oxford; J. Wilde, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; A. Dimitrova, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; R. Muttarak, University of Bologna
Flash: Contextual Influences on Fertility, Contraception, and Abortion |18 April, 11:00 | Morrow
Social Capital Mediates Knowledge Gaps in Informing Sexual and Reproductive Health Behaviors Across Africa
T. Koebe, Saarland University; T. Aidoo, Saarland University; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; D. Leasure, University of Oxford; V. Rotondi, University of Oxford; I. Weber, Saarland University
Flash: Family Care Transitions and Trajectories | 18 April, 14:00 | Taft D
Who Moves Where? Changes in Parents' Health and Their Proximity to Adult Children in Europe
S.B. Afable, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Y. C. Vierboom, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; M. Mynarska, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Transitions to Adulthood | 18 April, 15:30 | Fayette Room
COVID-19, the Cost-of-Living Crisis, and Intergenerational Coresidence in the United Kingdom: New Insights From the UK Generations and Gender Survey
A. Berrington, B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Migration, Immigration, and Race/Ethnicity | 18 April, 15:30 | Regency Ballroom
The Housing Integration of Asylum Seekers and Refugees in Germany
C. Liu, H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Fertility of Emigrants via Online Retail Data: The Case of MammaPack
F. Rampazzo, J. Bell, R. Kashyap, M. Morellini, M. Mill, A. Stephen, University of Oxford
Neighborhoods, Environment, Spatial Demography, and Data and Methods | 19 April, 08:30 | Regency Ballroom
Homeownership Across Immigrant Groups and Generations in Sweden: Assimilation or Segmentation?
M. Abed Al Ahad, University of St Andrews; G. Andersson, Stockholm University; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Family Demography | 19 April, 10:30 | Regency Ballroom
The Interconnection of Homeownership, Marriage, and Childbirth in the Life Course of Young Adults by Immigrant Generations and Origins in Sweden
M. Abed Al Ahad, University of St Andrews; G. Andersson, Stockholm University; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Understanding Persistent Disparities in Smoking in Pregnancy in Finland and Sweden: A Counterfactual Decomposition Approach
R. Ganly, University of Oxford; M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science
Innovative Applications of Satellite and Spatial Data | 19 April, 11:00 | Franklin A
Assessing Satellite Imagery Performance for Population Estimation in Data-Scarce Settings: A Modeling Perspective
E. Darin, D. Leasure, R. Kashyap, University of Oxford
Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health | 19 April, 13:30 | Regency Ballroom
Fertility Trends in Contemporary Northern Ireland: How Does Fertility Behavior Vary by Education and Religion?
S. Christison, H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; B. Kuang, A. Berrington, University of Southampton
Spatial Demography of Environmental Risks | 19 April, 15:15 | Knox
Long-Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution Increases the Hospital Admission Burden in Scotland: A 16-Year Individual-Level Analysis
M. Abed Al Ahad, U. Demsar, F. Sullivan, H.Kulu, University of St Andrews
Digital and Computational Demography | 19 April, 15:15 | Franklin A
Mapping Subnational Gender Gaps in Internet and Mobile Adoption Using Social Media Data
C. Breen, University of Oxford, M. Fatehkia, Qatar Computing Research Institute; J. Yan, D. Leasure, University of Oxford; I. Weber, Saarland University; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford
Shocks, Disruption, and Fertility and Reproductive Health | 19 April, 15:15 | Union A
Romantic Partnerships and Childbearing During War: Virtual Interviews With Women in Two Ukrainian Cities Under Russia's Full-Scale Invasion
T. Gerber, A. Popovych, University of Wisconsin-Madison; B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Mate Selection | 19 April, 15:15 |Delaware B
Do Night Owls and Morning Larks Flock Together? Homophily and Convergence by Chronotype in 43,000 UK Couples
M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science; R. Taiji, University of Oxford; E. Akimova
Education, Employment, and Inequality | 19 April, 15:30 | Regency Ballroom
From Mobile Wallets to Stable Wages: Assessing the Employment Impact of Mobile Money in Developing Countries
V. Rotondi, University of Oxford, C. De Gasperin, Alumna, University of Milano Bicocca, S. Maione, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of South Switzerland; G. S. Ayele, University of Pavia and University of Milan; L. Stanca, University of Milano Bicocca; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford
Access to Technology and Secondary Educational Outcomes: Empirical Evidence From India
P. Poddar, R. Kashyap, V. Rotondi, University of Oxford
Flash: Gender Inequality | 19 April, 08:00 | Taft D
Gender Differences in Online Visibility of Early Career Researchers
X. Zhao, A. Akbaritabar, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; E. Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
Friday, April 5th 2024 - Saturday, April 6th 2024
Lisbon Migration Economics Workshop (Conferences)
ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics & Management
Friday, April 5th 2024
Saturday, April 6th 2024
The ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics & Management will be hosting the Lisbon Migration Economics Workshop. The conference aims to bring together junior and senior researchers with specialisation in the field of migration economics.
CPC-CG Member, Dr Valentina Di Iasio will be presenting, "Natives' Attitudes and Immigration Flows to Europe".
Wednesday, April 3rd 2024
Race, place and home | St Andrews School of Geography and Sustainable Development Lecture (Seminars and lectures)
University of St Andrews, School III, St Salvator's Quadrangle
Wednesday, April 3rd 2024
17:15
CPC-CG Member, Professor Nissa Finney, will be delivering an inaugural lecture at the University of St Andrews, entitled "Race, place and home". The lecture will take place on Wednesday 3 April 2024, in person at the University of St Andrews, in School III, St Salvator's Quadrangle.
Abstract: In the early 2000s it was claimed that Britain was 'sleepwalking to segregation'. Twenty years on an average neighbourhood in Britain is more ethnically mixed than a few decades ago but less age-mixed and less wealth-mixed. In other words, neighbourhoods are becoming more similar to one another in their ethnic make-up but more different from one another in their age and wealth profiles. This lecture will demonstrate how this has come to be, how housing markets and individual preferences intertwine to shape local populations and housing experiences.
The talk will then unpick this portrait of social and spatial dynamics in terms of inequalities: how the global and national processes of migration and ageing unravel locally and are threaded with economic disadvantage and racism that create injustice in the ability to find and make a home. The lecture will conclude on a hopeful note, with examples of how innovative Social Science is illuminating inequalities and how, even in contexts of great hardship, strong sense of belonging nationally and to local places pervades.
To learn more and sign up visit: https://events.st-andrews.ac.uk/events/inaugural-lecture-by-professor-nissa-finney/
Thursday, March 28th 2024 - Wednesday, February 28th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Professor Andrew Geddes (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Andrew Geddes
Online
Thursday, March 28th 2024
Wednesday, February 28th 2024
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 28 March 2024 at 13:00 UK Time. Professor Andrew Geddes of the European University Institute presented, "Migration governance for, of and against crisis"
Date: Thursday 28 March
Time: 13:00 - 14:00 UK Time
Speaker: Professor Andrew Geddes, European University Institute
Title: Migration governance for, of and against crisis
Abstract: It's well known that there are real and pressing global challenges that could lead to the breakdown of natural and social systems - sometimes referred to as a 'polycrisis' - but does migration belong within this crisis thinking? Clearly, crisis thinking has become normalised in European migration governance and is projected into neighbouring countries and regions through these mutations. Political actors mobilise for crisis and an intellectual agenda supports mutations that catastrophise migration. Links between migration and climate change often seen as emblematic of polycrisis but conceptual flaws amplify the systemic breakdowns against which these ideas ostensibly warn. Extracting migration from this crisis thinking can illustrate how migration can be part of a solution to the deep-seated problems in social and natural systems that various notions of crisis claim to address.
To watch the recording of the seminar, click here
Thursday, March 21st 2024
Joint CPC-CG/CRA Webinar - Klara Raiber (Seminars and lectures)
Klara Raiber
Online and In Person at the University of Southampton
Thursday, March 21st 2024
12:00 UK Time
This joint CPC-CG/CRA webinar took place on Thursday 21 March 2024 at 12:00 UK Time. Klara Raiber of Radboud University presented, "Future pathways of unpaid caregiving research: Conceptual and methodological challenges".
Title: Future pathways of unpaid caregiving research: Conceptual and methodological challenges
Speaker: Klara Raiber is a Ph.D. candidate in Sociology at Radboud University and the SCOOP program. She holds a master's degree in Sociology from the University of Mannheim in Germany. Her Ph.D. project is on long-term employment consequences of caregiving for family and friends with health issues from a life-course perspective.
Abstract: More and more research focuses on unpaid caregiving, which is here defined as care towards friends or family members with health issues. In my talk, I will highlight the existing literature on the topic of unpaid care and the consequences thereof, including my own work. Building on this, I will sketch missing links and where I see future pathways both theoretically and methodologically.
Watch the recording here.
Tuesday, March 12th 2024
The determinants of first-time homeownership across the generations of immigrants in Sweden | Stockholm Sessions on Migration (Seminars and lectures)
Mary Abed Al Ahad
Online and In Person
Tuesday, March 12th 2024
13:00 - 14:00
CPC Member, Mary Abed Al Ahad, will be presenting as part of the Stockholm University's Department of Sociology Seminars.
Title: The determinants of first-time homeownership across the generations of Immigrants in Sweden.
Date: Thursday 12 March 2024
Time: 13:00 - 14:00
Sign up to attend here: https://stockholmuniversity.zoom.us/j/68002114107
Thursday, March 7th 2024 - Saturday, March 9th 2024
IUSSP Workshop on Population and Conflict (Workshops)
University of Southampton
Thursday, March 7th 2024
Saturday, March 9th 2024
Workshop on Population and Conflict
University of Southampton, England, 7-9 March 2024
Call for Papers:
Deadline for submission: 24 November 2023
Conflict, ranging from peaceful protests and civil unrest to insurgencies, armed clashes, and full-blown wars, is haunting many regions across the world with often dramatic immediate and long-term societal consequences. Political science helps us to explain why such conflicts occur and who gets involved. It is the task of social demographers to assess their ramifications for people's lives. Building on recent scholarly efforts to illuminate the demographic impact of conflict, this workshop is motivated by several overarching research questions: What are the challenges and solutions to collecting data in a conflict situation? How does conflict lead to demographic changes? Do these relationships vary by the type of conflict event and demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the location where the conflict takes place? Considering recent conflicts across the globe, we hope to enter a conversation about the various ways in which conflict events can influence population dynamics and how to use novel data sources for studying these questions.
As part of the activities of the IUSSP Scientific Panel on Population Dynamics under Global Conflict and Climate Change, the workshop aims at establishing and strengthening interdisciplinary networks among scholars working in the field of conflict and demography. This in-person workshop will be held at the University of Southampton, 7-9 March 2024. We welcome applications for presentation from scholars at all stages of their careers in demography, economics, sociology, political science, geography and other relevant disciplines. Scholars who already work on various socio-economic consequences of conflict are particularly welcome to apply.
Research interests that fit the workshop's theme include:
Conflict and Population Dynamics
Conflict and Reproductive Behaviour
Conflict and Mortality, Health, and Wellbeing
Conflict and (im)mobility
Demographic Impact of Social Movements
Data collection during conflicts
Research in conflict situations
Forced Displacement in Ukraine
Submission:
Please submit your paper using the IUSSP Abstract Submission Form.
Please fill out the form and include:
• a short abstract (150-200 words),
• an extended abstract (2-4 pages) or the full paper.
Please make sure your abstract includes the title, full name(s), affiliation, and e-mail address of each author. Corresponding authors will be notified of papers accepted by 4 December 2023.
The conference may be held in a hybrid format. However, we encourage in-person participation. A very limited number of travel grants is available to participants from low- and middle-income countries. If you are from a low- and middle-income country and you wish to be considered for a travel grant, please let us know when you submit your paper.
Organisers:
Liliana Andriano, University of Southampton
Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Raya Muttarak, University of Bologna
Mathis Ebbinghaus, University of Leipzig
If you have any questions regarding the workshop, please contact L.Andriano@soton.ac.uk
Associated Downloads
/docs/Call_for_Papers_Workshop_on_Population_and_Conflict.pdf
Thursday, February 29th 2024
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Family matters: How concerns for relatives bridge intergenerational political divides (Seminars and lectures)
University of Southampton
Thursday, February 29th 2024
12:00 UK Time
Please join the event using this link: https://app.sli.do/event/4S9moQAPgp3MbypABG88ct
Where do people form their opinions about government policies? The research discussed in this Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk will show that family connections play a crucial role, influencing how individuals view the economy and government spending programs that may impact their relatives.
Surveys have typically overlooked questions about the well-being of one's family members, focusing more on the household or individual. To address this gap, Dr Zack Grant with Professor Jane Green and Professor Geoffrey Evans at Nuffield College, University of Oxford, recently conducted a new survey called Intergenpol-GB, involving over 6,000 adults in Great Britain. Detailed questions were asked about close family members in different age groups, perceptions of financial well-being of family members (as well as individuals and households), expectations of supporting family members, and targeted questions about pro-young and pro-old policy preferences, alongside political variables and vote intentions.
The findings suggest that concerns for the well-being of family members can influence political views, potentially mitigating age-based political divides in Britain. For example, older adults with financially struggling young relatives may support increased investment in education and housing, while younger adults who are worried about caring for older relatives may favour policies related to pensions and adult social care. Overall, this research indicates that 'family matters' when it comes to shaping policy preferences and political outcomes.
About the Speaker
Dr Zack Grant is a postdoctoral research fellow at the Nuffield Politics Research Centre at the University of Oxford. He conducts research into why different people think the way that they do about inequality, the welfare state, immigration, and the environment in Britain and other advanced democracies. He does this through the analysis of quantitative survey data and experiments. Zack was the recipient of a British Academy Innovation Fellowship for work on intergenerational political divides during 2022-23, and will be presenting work from that project in this talk.
About the Panellists
Professor Jane Falkingham, Dr Dianna Smith and Dr Matt Ryan will be panellists at the event.
Professor Falkingham CBE, FAcSS, FRSA is Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change and PI of Connecting Generations. She is a Professor of Demography and International Social Policy and Vice President (International & Global Engagement) at the University of Southampton. Jane is carrying out research on the drivers and implications of population change with a specific focus on intergenerational exchange. She has published extensively on the economic and social consequences of population ageing, the well-being of older people and on the interplay between health and work for people in mid-life. Her work particularly concerns population ageing, social care and social security, including the design of pensions systems and their impact on resources in later life. She is interested in the redistributive effect of the welfare state, how it varies across individuals and between cohorts.
Dr Dianna Smith. Her research interests are in quantitative health geography, using Geographic Information System mapping to visualise data collected or collated to address key social and spatial inequalities. She works across the disciplines of geography and public health with links to local government and third sector / civil society.
Dr Matt Ryan is Associate Professor in Governance and Public Policy at the University of Southampton. He is Co-Director of the Centre for Democratic Futures, and is Policy Director at the Web Science Institute. Matt leads the Rebooting Democracy project which aims to understand which innovations in public participation restore and sustain democracy. His research aims to establish how people can have control over the decisions that affect their lives, and crosses several disciplinary boundaries with a focus on research methods.
Connecting Generations is a partnership between the ESRC Centre for Population Change, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, and the Resolution Foundation. It aims to understand intergenerational connectivity, producing novel science that informs policy debate.
Audience members will be able to submit questions to the panel before and during the event via Slido.
Sign up to attend the event here.
Thursday, February 29th 2024
Open for the childless skilled only? The social rights of third country nationals as workers and parents in the UK and the European Union (Seminars and lectures)
Hybrid; Kellogg College, Oxford & Zoom
Thursday, February 29th 2024
15:45 - 16:45
CPC Member, Dr Traute Meyer, will be giving this seminar as part of the COMPAS Seminar Series. The seminar will take place on Thursday 29 March 2024 at 3:45pm.
Abstract: Governments in the UK and EU accept skilled workers from outside their territories to boost economic growth and reverse the trend of their ageing societies. At the same time, populations are sceptical about sharing welfare state rights with newcomers. To square this circle, governments have restricted social rights for new immigrants in many European countries. However, while EU governments must observe Treaty legislation, the UK is no longer bound by such constraint. Little research exists on how much the rights of working migrants born outside the EU and their dependents diverge between countries and between immigrants and citizens and how the difference can lead to inequality between the two groups and nations.
This paper will take stock of the rights of such third-country nationals (TCNs) who come to work in the EU and the UK and their dependants during their first five years. Analysing EU- and national legislation will show that the UK is now an outlier in Europe. While most EU governments are moving towards granting TCNs the same or similar rights as EU migrants and citizens in the UK, after Brexit, many more are now excluded from essential benefits. The paper will assess what this difference means for the income of a TCN household with a skilled worker, a partner and children compared with a citizen-household in the UK, Germany and Ireland as EU countries with a similarly large intake of TCNs.
Dr Traute Meyer is a professor of social policy at the Department of Sociology, Social Policy and Criminology at the University of Southampton. She has researched the social rights of immigrants in Europe, including in the UK after Brexit.
Sign up to attend:
Thursday, February 29th 2024
Crafting a Vision to Transform our Future Homes (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, February 29th 2024
14:30
CPC-CG Members, Professor Alison Bowes and Dr Cate Pemble, will be giving a talk entitled, "Crafting a Vision to Transform our Future Homes" at the Housing LIN Summit 2024 on Thursday 29 February 2024, at 14:30pm.
The agenda:
14:30 - Welcome and Session Format
Sally Taylor-Ridgway, Communications and Membership Officer, Housing LIN - @HLINComms
14:35 - Chair's welcome and introduction
George MacGinnis, Director of UKRI's Healthy Ageing Challenge
14.40 - How councils could apply essential ingredients for planning for an ageing population.
Jon Rouse CBE, co-lead of the Older People's Housing Taskforce 'places' workstream, City Director at Stoke City Council and former CEO of Greater Manchester Combined Authorities
14.55 - ESRC-funded research, the DesHCA Project and scaling for ageing.
Professor Alison Bowes, Professor, University of Stirling
15:10 - International research with the Royal College of Art on pioneering design to plan for later life
James Pickard, co-founder of urban design practice Pickard Catwright
15:25 - Insights into working within localities to assess older people's housing needs and aspirations
Ian Copeman, Business Director at Housing LIN
15:40 - Q&A
16:00 - Chair's summary and close
Friday, February 23rd 2024
Articulating and categorising ethnic identity: Reflections on politics of recognition and (mis)representation in 'big data' using the EVENS survey (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Nissa Finney
University of Glasgow, Main Building, Humanity Lecture Theatre (Room 255), University Avenue, Glasgow G12 8QQ
Friday, February 23rd 2024
11:30 - 13:00
In a world awash with data how do we untangle ethnic identifications and their meanings, and how well do 'big data' capture ethnic identities? In this talk, CPC-CG Member, Nissa Finney, considers how people articulate their ethnic identity, how this is - and isn't - captured by statistical categorisations used as standard in Britain, and the implications of this for how we conduct research and the creation of knowledge on experiences of minoritized people. The presentation draws on a new, exciting national social survey that was led by Nissa - the Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS) - published in 2023 by the Centre on the Dynamics of Ethnicity (CoDE). EVENS documents the experiences of over 14,000 people and provides unrivalled data on the lives of ethnic and religious minorities in Britain.
Using EVENS, Nissa draws out concepts that underpin articulations of ethnic identity and argues that new formulations of ethnic group categories are needed to reflect these, and to more fully represent the twenty percent of ethnic minorities whose identities are not well captured by current approaches. Focusing on two groups who are not routinely identified in official ethnicity data collection - Jewish and White Eastern European - Nissa discusses the power of recognition afforded (or not) through the creation (or not) of statistical categories, and the implications for whose experiences are silenced.
Sign up to attend here:
Wednesday, February 21st 2024 - Friday, February 23rd 2024
General Online Research Conference 2024 (Conferences)
Vogelsanger Str. 295, 50825 Köln, Germany
Wednesday, February 21st 2024
Friday, February 23rd 2024
09:00 - 20:00
This conference will take place from 21 - 23 February 2024.
CPC Members, Dr Olga Maslovskaya, Dr Grace Chang, and Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris will be presenting "Data quality in a long and complex online-only survey: The UK Generation and Gender Survey (GGS), on Thursday 22 February from 5:00 - 6:00pm.
Relevance & Research Question
Long surveys present high burden for respondents. For a long time the rule of thumb for length of self-completion surveys was not to exceed 15-20 minutes. More surveys are moving towards self-completion designs due to increasing survey costs and also due to high rates of device ownership and internet access in the UK and other countries. For some social surveys 20 minutes is not enough to continue collecting high quality data required. Some studies experimented with longer questionnaires and obtained reassuring results, for example, European Social Survey (ESS). However, more evidence is needed in this under-researched area. We collected the first wave of the UK Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) where only online mode of data collection was available to respondents. The median time spent on the questionnaire is around 40 minutes which is much higher than the advice given to survey practitioners in the past. It is important to assess different aspects of data quality of the long questionnaire. The main research question is: is long questionnaire associated with poorer data quality?
Methods & Data
We analyse the GGS collected in the UK. The GGS is a part of a global data collection infrastructure focused on population and family dynamics. The GGS collects demographic, economic, and social attitude data on young and mid-life adults (18-59) as they enter into adulthood, form partnerships, and raise children. We assess different data quality indicators: break-off rate, item nonresponse, different response style behaviours, consent to participation in the second wave of the survey among other indicators. We first conduct descriptive analysis and then use different logistic regression models to investigate data quality in the UK GGS.
Results
The results are reassuring and suggest that even though the GGS questionnaire is long and complex and interviewers are not there to guide the respondents through the process, the data quality is not poor.
Added Value
This study contributes to the under-researched area of long online questionnaires. This assessment suggests that, when carefully designed, long questionnaires do not represent risk to data quality and can be successfully implemented in self-completion surveys.
Tuesday, February 20th 2024
LabFam Seminar | Family and Employment Trajectories among Immigrants and Their Descendants in Europe (Seminars and lectures)
Hill Kulu
Zoom
Tuesday, February 20th 2024
13:00
CPC-CG Member, Professor Hill Kulu will be delivering this talk as part of the LabFam Seminar series. The event will take place online on 20th February 2024 at 13:00.
Abstract: Over the past decades, European countries have witnessed increasing immigration and ethnic heterogeneity of their populations. This presentation gives an overview of the results of the MigrantLife project. The focus is on family and employment trajectories among immigrants and their descendants in the UK, France, Germany and Sweden. Our research supports significant heterogeneity in family trajectories among immigrants and their descendants in Europe.
This heterogeneity is reduced among the descendants of immigrants, although some patterns observed for immigrants persist among the descendants' groups (e.g. preference for marriage), whereas others have almost vanished (e.g. large families). The results show that migrant background is strongly associated with partnership patterns, whereas the destination country context significantly influences childbearing behaviour. This suggests that while cultural-normative factors are important in shaping partnership behaviour of immigrants and their descendants, structural-economic factors may play a more important role in fertility decisions.
The study of employment trajectories shows that most immigrant men are in education or in full-time employment after arrival, whereas many women stay inactive, especially among family migrants.
Although the differences are reduced among the descendants of immigrants, employment levels are low for women of some minority groups. Importantly, the gender differences are larger for immigrants and their descendants than for the native population (with two native-born parents).
The results suggest the lack of opportunities for migrant and minority women with children, although cultural preferences may also explain low employment levels among some groups. We discuss the results in the light of competing theories of immigrant and ethnic minority integration: the classical theory of assimilation vs the segmented assimilation theory.
About the Speaker: Hill Kulu is Professor of Human Geography and Demography at the University of St Andrews. He was trained in Economic Geography at the University of Tartu (MSc in 1993). He received his PhD from the University of Helsinki in 1997. Over the years, Hill has worked at the University of Tartu (1997-2002), the University of Wisconsin-Madison (1999), the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (2003-2007) and the University of Liverpool (2008-2016).
Hill's substantive research interests lie in the field of migration, family and health studies; his methodological interests include the application of longitudinal models in demographic research. This research has advanced our understanding of how family changes and migration interact in people's lives and how residential context shapes childbearing, migration and health behaviour of individuals. He has published over eighty peer-reviewed articles in international journals and has edited six books or journal special issues.
Currently, he is leading two collaborative research projects.
The ERC funded MigrantLife project (2019-2025) investigates life trajectories of immigrants and their descendants in Europe and will project future trends. The FertilityTrends project (2019-2023) is funded by ESRC.
This project examines recent fertility trends in the UK and improves methodologies for fertility forecasting. Hill is President of the European Association for Population Studies, a Co-Director of the ESRC CPC-Connecting Generations Centre (2022-2027) and a Co-Editor of Population Studies. He is also a member of the Expert Advisory Group on Population and Migration at the Scottish Government.
Last but not least, Hill enjoys teaching population and methods courses at the University of St Andrews and supervising an international team of research fellows and PhD students
Thursday, February 1st 2024
Launching the first UK GGS dataset - Wave 1 GGS-II | GGP-Connect Insight and Impact webinar series (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Thursday, February 1st 2024
13:00 CET
CPC Member, Dr Bernice Kuang, will be giving a GGP-Connect Insight and Impact Series Webinar on 1st February 2024, at 13:00 CET. Bernice will be talking about the launch of the first UK GGS dataset.
Abstract:Bernice will delve into the UK team's journey, sharing valuable insights on launching and promoting the UK GGS-II. Additionally, she will highlight the dataset's policy applications within the landscape of current UK policies.
Register to attend here.
Wednesday, January 31st 2024 - Thursday, February 1st 2024
Housing Professionals Conference: Engaging Communities Across Scotland (Conferences)
Apex Hotel Dundee
Wednesday, January 31st 2024
Thursday, February 1st 2024
10:00 - 16:30
The Housing Professionals Conference takes place on 31st January and 1st February 2024 at Apex Hotel Dundee, and aims to tackle issues and opportunities facing the sector such as Diversity and Inclusion, Dealing with damp and mould, Net Zero, and Challenges in Rural Areas.
CPC-CG Members, Alasdair Rutherford and Alison Bowes, from the University of Stirling, will be giving a keynote speech, entitled "Getting serious about the role of housing for healthy ageing".
Further details can be found here.
Thursday, January 25th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Gemma Catney (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Gemma Catney
Zoom
Thursday, January 25th 2024
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 25 January at 13:00 UK Time. Gemma Catney, Professor of Human Geography at Queen's University Belfast, presented, "Geographies of Ethnic Diversity and Inequalities (GEDI): Insights from Census 2021"
Date: Thursday 25 January 2024
Time: 13:00 - 14:00 UK Time
Speaker: Dr Gemma Catney, Queen's University Belfast
Title: Geographies of Ethnic Diversity and Inequalities (GEDI): Insights from Census 2021
Abstract: This seminar will explore the first findings from the Geographies of Ethnic Diversity and Inequalities (GEDI) project, a large ESRC funded project which is providing timely insights from the 2021 Census. The first part of the presentation will focus on the changing geographies of ethnic diversity and segregation in England and Wales, using Census data from 1991 to 2021. The presentation will show how the growth of ethnic diversity at the national level is mirrored across residential neighbourhoods, and that this growing neighbourhood ethnic diversity has been spatially diffusing across all regions of England and Wales. We evidence how increasing ethnic diversity is matched by decreasing residential segregation, for all ethnic groups. The presentation will also explore changes in mixed ethnicity households in England and Wales, and the relationships between mixing within households and neighbourhoods. The final part of the presentation focuses on ethnic inequalities. We introduce a novel ethnic group-specific neighbourhood deprivation index (the EGDI). Most measures of deprivation summarise the aggregate level of deprivation across all people in a given area, and no account is taken of differences between people with differing characteristics, such as age, sex or ethnic group. The EGDI was developed using a custom cross-tabulated 2021 Census dataset on employment, housing tenure, education and health by ethnic group for Lower Layer Super Output Areas. The EGDI reveals the complex geographies of ethnic inequality and demonstrates that while one ethnic group in a neighbourhood may have high relative levels of deprivation, another ethnic group in that same neighbourhood may experience very low relative levels. The EGDI explores ethnic inequalities within and between neighbourhoods and can be used to help shape locally and culturally sensitive policy development and resource allocation. More information about the GEDI project can be found here.
Speaker: Dr Gemma Catney, Queens University Belfast, is a Population and Social Geographer with research interests in ethnic residential segregation and diversity, ethnic inequalities, and internal migration. Her main research focuses include the changing residential geographies of ethnic and racial diversity, mixing and segregation; socio-spatial inequalities between ethnic groups; and the multiple scales of neighbourhood identity and belonging. She has published widely in leading international journals including Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, Urban Studies and Population, Space and Place.
Thursday, January 25th 2024
The launch of the UK Generations and Gender Survey: fieldwork, survey methods & early substantive findings | LSE Demography Seminar (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Grace Chang
Online and In Person
Thursday, January 25th 2024
12:00 UK Time
This London School of Economic and Political Science demography seminar will take place on Thursday 25 January at 12:00 UK Time.
CPC member, Dr Grace Chang, will deliver a presentation entitled: "The launch of the Generations and Gender Survey: fieldwork, survey methods & early substantive findings".
Abstract:We will launch the first wave of the UK Generations and Gender Survey, GGS, this January 2024. The survey is part of an international research infrastructure called the Generations and Gender Project, that examines life and family dynamics, across countries in Europe and other parts of the world. The UK GGS is a push-to-web, online only survey of UK adults aged 18 to 59, living in private households. To improve representativeness of the survey, we use a stratified random probability selection of addresses, with over 7,000 complete cases. The talk will cover how the fieldwork was conducted, the representativeness of the survey, data quality, and some early substantive findings about fertility intentions and childcare. The survey collects a wealth of information about key life events, family, and inter-generational relationships, with a special focus on full partnership, marriage, and fertility histories. It is specifically designed to capture information on the complexity & diversity of modern family life. These questions can be used to study topics ranging from fertility & intimate partnerships, to housing & leaving home, to health & commuting, to intergenerational transfers of support. Potential researchers interested in using this data may be interested in attending the talk.
Sign up to attend here.
Wednesday, January 24th 2024 - Thursday, January 25th 2024
The Festival of Genomics & Biodata (Conferences)
ExCEL, London
Wednesday, January 24th 2024
Thursday, January 25th 2024
The 9th annual Festival of Genomics and Biodata will take place at the ExCeL London on 24 - 25 January.
CPC-CG Member, Professor Melinda Mills, will be presenting "The Genetic Basis of Tolerance to Night Shifts" on the second day of the conference at 15:10 - 15:40pm on the Park Stage.
Tuesday, January 23rd 2024 - Thursday, January 25th 2024
Berlin Demography Days 2024: Overcoming crises: Shaping policy for an uncertain future (Conferences)
Professor Jane Falkingham CBE and Professor Hill Kulu
Online
Tuesday, January 23rd 2024
Thursday, January 25th 2024
CPC-CG Director, Professor Jane Falkingham CBE and CPC-CG Co-Director Professor Hill Kulu will be speaking at the Population Europe Berlin Demography Days taking place online from 23-25 January 2024.
The Berlin Demography Days is a forum for different perspectives on current challenges of societal change. It provides a place for stakeholders from science, politics, civil society, business, and the media to come together to discuss the future of our population that will radically change in the next decades.
The theme of this year's event is Overcoming Crises - Shaping Policy for an Uncertain Future. The discussions are aimed equally at an international audience, decision-makers who are confronted with the challenges of crisis prevention and crisis management, and researchers who contribute evidence.
The three-day event will be held online - with the exception of the first evening panel, which will take place as a hybrid event both online and in-person.
Participation is free of charge, however, it is necessary to pre-register. The event will be held in German and English, with simultaneous translation provided. Full information and registration details: https://population-europe.eu/events/berlin-demography-days-berliner-demografie-tage/berlin-demography-days-2024-overcoming
Programme
Each of the three days focuses on a different facet of the conference topic: Overcoming Crises. The afternoon sessions on each day will consist of one-hour panels ("Policy Dialogue"). Each day will conclude with an evening podium discussion ("Policy Horizon").
All times are Central European Time (CET).
Day 1, 23 January 2024, Understanding crisis management
Societal shocks require rapid and decisive action on one hand, and prudent risk assessment on the other. On the first day, this "paradox" of crisis management will be examined using past and present crises as examples. The experts will analyse and discuss the following questions: How can cooperation be improved between actors from politics, civil society, the private sector, academia and the media? How can demographic research support effective crisis management?
Afternoon panels
12:00-12:15: Welcome | Video Greetings from the Organizers
12:15-13:15: Our Successes, Our Failures: COVID-19 Management Put to the Test | Policy Dialogue
13:30-14:30: Will Artificial Intelligence Help Us Better Prepare for Crises? | Policy Dialogue
14:45-15:45: Who Can Cope, Who Can't? The Impact of Crises on Heterogeneous Societies | Policy Dialogue
16:00-17:00: Step Back to See the Whole Picture: Historical Perspectives on Crises | Policy Dialogue
Hybrid evening event
17:30: Registration (for participants attending in person)
18:00: Cultural Performance
18:10-18:25: Welcome
18:25-19:45: Escaping the Crisis Paradox Together | Policy Horizon
19:45-20:00: European Demographer Awards 2023 | Award Ceremony
20:00-21:00: Reception for all in-person participants
Day 2, 24 January 2024, Global crises - Local responses
Pandemics, violent conflicts, global climate change and demographic change all have far-reaching and worldwide impacts. How can such crises best be managed on a regional or local level? What can we learn from each other? When is cooperation across regions and at higher levels necessary, and how can it be made more efficient?
Given the diversity of decision-making levels and different conditions on the ground, there is no panacea or one-size-fits-all remedy for successful crisis management that can be transferred to other contexts. Rather, a variety of more or less successful and more or less coordinated strategies exists - from the local to the global level. How can we nevertheless learn from each other? To do this, we will focus on one of the following crises in each panel: COVID-19, the war in Ukraine, climate change, and aspects of demographic change. The focus will be on best practice examples of crisis responses at local and regional contexts. Are these responses tailored to individual populations? How transferable are they to other regions and contexts, and what role do political, socioeconomic and cultural factors play in shaping crisis responses?
Afternoon panels
13:00-13:15: Welcome
13:15-14:15: The Pandemic and Access to Information | Policy Dialogue
14:30-15:30: Adapting to Climate Change: Local Role Models | Policy Dialogue
15:45-16:45: We are Aging - Now and Later: Health Care in the Face of Demographic Change | Policy Dialogue
Evening event
17.30-18:30 War and Health | Policy Horizon
Day 3, 25 January 2024, How we can better prepare for crises
Getting ahead of the wave: How can we use population data and demographic research findings to strengthen crisis resilience of society, its institutions and individuals? How can specific groups of the population be made more resilient, especially those who are "vulnerable"? How can we better prepare welfare state institutions for crises? And how can we face future crises with a new narrative that motivates us to also see them as opportunities?
Afternoon panels
13:00-13:15 | Welcome
13:15-14:15: Building Back Better: After the "shock" and beyond | Policy Dialogue
14:30-15:30: Visionary Institutions for Crisis Prevention | Policy Dialogue
15:45-16:45: Fostering a Future with Intergenerational Solidarity | Policy Dialogue
Evening event
17:00 -18:00 A World Without Crises: is it Possible? | Policy Horizon
Watch Professor Jane Falkingham's presentation here.
Wednesday, December 6th 2023 - Thursday, December 7th 2023
Wittgenstein Centre Conference 2023 - Exploring population heterogeneities (Conferences)
Hybrid Conference
Wednesday, December 6th 2023
Thursday, December 7th 2023
CPC-CG members will be taking part in the following sessions at the Wittgenstein Centre Conference 2023:
6 December, Poster session 1:
Brian Buh, Éva Beaujouan, Ann Berrington
Local social capital, residential mobility, and the transition to parenthood in the United Kingdom
6 December, Poster session 2:
Mary Abed Al Ahad, Hill Kulu, Gunnar Andersson
Determinants and heterogeneity of first-time homeownership across the immigrants and their descendants in Sweden
7 December, Keynote talk 3:
Ridhi Kashyap, Nuffield College, University of Oxford
The digital revolution and demography: Perspectives from digital and computational demography
Full programme: https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/PDF/Conferences/2023_Population_Heterogeneities/WIC2023_agenda.pdf
Monday, December 4th 2023
Dutch Demography Day 2023 (Conferences)
Utrecht University
Monday, December 4th 2023
09:15 - 18:00
CPC-CG Member, Melinda Mills will be giving the key note address, "Real World Data and Demography". The most recent findings in population studies will be presented at the conference, including family and fertility, migrants and migration, health, mortality and longevity, population ageing, population growth and decline, and urbanisation.
See the full event programme here
Thursday, November 30th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Peter Brandon (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Peter Brandon
Online
Thursday, November 30th 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 30 November 2023. Peter Brandon, Chair and Professor of the Department of Sociology at the University of Albany presented, "Has legalized same-sex marriage improved the long-term economic security of American same-sex couples? The case of home ownership".
Title: Has legalized same-sex marriage improved the long-term economic security of American same-sex couples? The case of home ownership.
Abstract: In 2015, the Supreme Court of the United States legalized same-sex marriage. This landmark ruling was the result of the tireless work of gay rights activists over several decades. Today in the United States, married same-sex couples share the same rights as heterogamous married couples. And, recent polls suggest that the overwhelming majority of Americans, (over 70%), support same-sex couples having those rights and securing the benefits that an American legally recognized marriage provides. While controversy swirls around whether or not the Supreme Court's decision will remain settled law, a major question yet to be answered is whether the expansion of these rights and benefits to same-sex couples has improved their long-term economic security, such as building wealth. Put differently, newly acquired and broadened rights for American same-sex couples, like the right to marry, is progress, but has that led to increased and enduring economic well-being and security? This study addresses the question by examining changes in homeownership among married, same-sex couples since homeownership is usually a long-term financial commitment and a pathway to creating greater economic security. The study finds that homeownership among American married same-sex couples rose after the Supreme Court's decision; and that more of these couples obtain mortgages in both names rather than in only one; but the study also finds that which same-sex couples benefit from homeownership depends upon the self-reported sexual orientation of the couple.
Speaker: Professor Peter Brandon is Chair and Professor of the Department of Sociology at the University of Albany. He obtained his PhD in Public Policy Studies from the University of Chicago. His research interests include welfare and social policy, family change and diversity, and evaluation methods.
Watch the recording here
Thursday, November 23rd 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Alyson van Raalte (Seminars and lectures)
Alyson van Raalte
Online
Thursday, November 23rd 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 23 November 2023 at 13:00 UK Time. Dr Alyson van Raalte of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research gave a talk entitled, "Mortality inequalities in SES-groups and their families".
Abstract: In this presentation I will give an overview of how life expectancy and lifespan inequalities are trending by SES-group across Europe. I will tie this in with broader discourses on population heterogeneity. And I will show that the larger variation in age at death is somewhat paralleled by more unexpected deaths among family members in lower SES groups.
Speaker: Dr Alyson van Raalte is a Research Scientist at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. She received her PhD in public health from the University of Rotterdam in 2011, and prior to moving to Rostock, studied at the London School of Economics, and Queen's University in Canada. Her work examines age patterns of mortality and their determinates in developed country settings.
Watch the recording here
Tuesday, November 21st 2023
Contemporary Jewish identities and experiences of racism: what can we learn from 'big data'? (Seminars and lectures)
Nissa Finney
Birkbeck, University of London, Clore Lecture Theatre, Clore Management Centre, Torrington Square, London, WC1E 7JL
Tuesday, November 21st 2023
6:30pm - 8:00pm
In a world awash with information how do we untangle what Jewish identity means today, how do data capture Jewishness, and what can 'big data' tell us about Jewish experiences of racial and religious discrimination?
In this lecture, Professor Finney considers how Jewish people articulate their Jewish identity and how well this sense of Jewishness is captured by statistical categorisations used as standard in Britain. She then compares discrimination experienced by Jewish people to other religious and ethnic groups, opening discussion about what might (or might not) be distinctive about contemporary Jewish experiences of racism.
The presentation draws on a new, exciting national social survey - the Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS) - published this year by the Centre on the Dynamics of Ethnicity (CoDE). EVENS documents the experiences of over 14,000 people and provides unrivalled data on the lives of ethnic and religious minorities in Britain.
Nissa Finney is a Professor of Human Geography at the University of St Andrews and member of the Centre on the Dynamics of Ethnicity and the Centre for Population Change. Her research focuses on race, place and inequalities, foregrounding concepts of home and racism. Nissa has a keen interest in research methods and since 2000 she has led the Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS). Her books include 'Racism and Ethnic Inequality in a time of Crisis: findings from the Evidence for Equality National Survey' (Policy Press, 2023; available as a free ebook) and 'Sleepwalking to segregation'? Challenging myths of race and migration' (Policy Press, 2009). Nissa is a permanent member of the Office for National Statistics Census Ethnic Group Assurance Panel.
Monday, November 13th 2023
Research forum: State of ageing research (Conferences)
Professor Judith Phillips OBE
Kia Oval, London, and online
Monday, November 13th 2023
11:00-12:30 GMT
Connecting Generations member, Professor Judith Phillips OBE, will be one of the panellists in this session discussing the journey that has led to the research landscape seen today.
Talks will cover key milestones in ageing and gerontological research, an analysis of REF data and its insights into quantity and quality, the role of ageing research within REF2021 impact case studies, a journey through the advancements achieved in biomedical ageing research, and the research components of the Healthy Ageing Challenge and its pivotal role within the broader research landscape.
Panellists
Professor Judith Phillips OBE, UKRI Healthy Ageing Challenge
Professor Alan Walker, University of Sheffield
Professor Carol Holland, Lancaster University
Cristina Rosemberg,Technopolis
Professor Janet Lord, University of Birmingham
This session forms part of the UKRI Healthy Ageing Challenge Healthy Ageing 2023 Conference.
Full details and registration: https://www.healthyageinguk.org/2023/agenda/?VID=381&EVID=6029
Monday, November 13th 2023
Perma-crisis people. The divergent economic prospects between generations (Public engagement events)
London and online
Monday, November 13th 2023
9:30-10:45 UK TIme
Perma-crisis people
The divergent economic prospects between generations
Register to attend in person or to receive an access link for online viewers.
Advanced economies across the globe have experienced a series of unprecedented economic shocks since the start of the century. But they have not affected all generations equally. The disproportionate impact on the financial wellbeing of younger people has sparked concerns about generational fairness on both sides of the Atlantic. Fifteen years on from the global financial crisis, its impact is still being felt by the young, and the not-so-young-anymore, across Europe and America.
How have the living standards of millennials, boomers and Gen Xers fared on either side of the Atlantic? Have British generations been permanently scarred, or are they bouncing back? How have different cohorts coped with soaring housing costs, inflated asset prices, and wages that have barely budged in 15 years? And how can today's working population expect to be supported in retirement, as the state struggles to reconfigure itself around an ageing population?
The Resolution Foundation is hosting an in-person and interactive webinar to debate and answer these questions. Following a presentation of the key highlights from its annual Intergenerational Audit, covering pay, jobs, incomes, housing, welfare and wealth, we will hear from leading experts on what these findings tell us.
The event will be open for people to physically attend, alongside being broadcast via YouTube and the Resolution Foundation website. Viewers will be able to submit questions to the panel before and during the event via Slido.
Register
Thursday, November 9th 2023 - Friday, November 10th 2023
The Truth About Ageing plus Q&A (Public engagement events)
Professor Alison Bowes
Forth Valley College
Thursday, November 9th 2023
Friday, November 10th 2023
13:00-16:00
Go along to a theatre play which invites you to explore and reimagine how we want society to view ageing and older age.
The Truth About Ageing explores how we can reframe ageing and older age from being seen as a problem to be dealt with to an opportunity to thrive. It is a follow-up to the Reimagining the Future in Older Age Project, exploring older age and the future. The play uses Forum Theatre, a type of theatre which enables an audience to intervene and change the action, reimagining how we want society to view ageing and older age.
Following the performance, there will be a Panel and Audience Q&A to discuss the issues raised by The Truth About Ageing. The panel will feature Connecting Generations Co-Director, Professor Alison Bowes, and Dr Melanie Lovatt from the University of Stirling, Dr Donald Macaskill, Chief Executive of Scottish Care, and Suzanne Dance, Actor and Facilitator with Active Inquiry. The panel is chaired by Dr Hannah Graham, University of Stirling.
Who's leading the event?
Dr Melanie Lovatt, University of Stirling.
The play was developed in collaboration with Active Inquiry and Scottish Care.
Active Inquiry is a theatre company based in Edinburgh. They create plays with and for communities enabling them to use theatre as a catalyst for dialogue and to uncover and challenge oppression.
Scottish Care is a membership organisation and the representative body for independent sector social care services in Scotland, covering private, charitable, and not-for-profit social care organisations.
There will be two shows of The Truth About Ageing :
Thursday 9 November 2023, 13.00-15.00
Friday 10 November 2023, 13.00-15.45 (Including Panel and Audience Q&A)
Booking: https://www.stir.ac.uk/events/23-24/esrc-festival-of-social-science/the-truth-about-ageing-plus-qa/
This event is part of the ESRC Festival of Social Science 2023 and was made possible thanks to funding from the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), which is part of UK Research and Innovation (UKRI).
Wednesday, November 8th 2023 - Saturday, November 11th 2023
16th European Public Health Conference (Conferences)
Dublin, Ireland
Wednesday, November 8th 2023
Saturday, November 11th 2023
The 16th European Public Health Conference will take place in Dublin from 8th November - 11th November 2023.
CPC-CG member, Mary Abed Al Ahad will present Air pollution, mortality, and hospital admissions in Scotland: A 16 years register-based study
And
Air pollution, self-reported health, and ethnicity in the UK: A spatial-temporal analysis
Monday, November 6th 2023
Local population change and policy challenges (Workshops)
The British Academy and online
Monday, November 6th 2023
14:00-17:00
Join us in London or online for this policy forum event to discuss the importance of local area demography for policy.
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Experts will discuss local population change and the challenges it presents for effective policy, particularly in relation to geographical inequality in the UK, and the resulting levelling-up agenda. Speakers will share the latest knowledge on local population variation and the value of quality data, raising the question of how far individual policies should be tailored to places' particular circumstances, and provide an opportunity for discussion between cross-sector experts. The event will include an open policy forum for questions from attendees, ending with a networking reception.
Speakers
Professor Jane Falkingham, Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change and PI of Connecting Generations, VP International and Engagement, University of Southampton.
Professor Nicola Shelton, President of the British Society of Population Studies, Head of Health and Social Surveys Research Group, Epidemiology and Public Health, UCL.
Professor Tony Champion, Emeritus Professor of Population Geography Newcastle University.
This talk will highlight the complex dynamics of local population change, raising the question of how far individual policies should be tailored to places' particular circumstances. While the population nationally continues to grow, age and diversify, the local dimension presents a much more varied picture which poses a challenge for anticipating future trends and deciding how best to cater for them or possibly try and alter them. Overall change rates range widely, while any particular level of change can result from different combinations of rates of births, deaths and migration superimposed on profiles that differ in terms of gender, age, ethnicity and wealth among other features.
Rich Pereira, Deputy Director for Population Statistics and Head of the Centre for Ageing and Demography, Public Policy Analysis, Office for National Statistics.
The Office for National Statistics produces estimates of the population at the local level. The 'traditional' approach for this relies on a decennial population Census, adjusting annually to account for natural change and migration. This presentation will cover improvements that have been made in the population statistics system since the turn of the century to meet changes in policy information needs and to better reflect changing society. It will also cover the innovative research being carried out to make use of a wider selection of administrative data in population estimation, working with local policymakers, and how ONS is creating striking outputs that really help people understand and make proper use of the evidence provided.
Professor Grant Hill-Cawthorne, Managing Director of Research and Information and Librarian, House of Commons.
This presentation will introduce the different ways in which research evidence can impact policy within the UK Parliament and consider what we can all do to increase the degree to which policy is informed by evidence. It will also cover the multiple ways research evidence is used by the UK Parliament, for example, the Libraries use it to answer policy questions and analyse legislation, while the select committees use it as a foundation from which to launch inquiries. In addition, the Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology ensures that research evidence is translated into accessible summaries of a body of knowledge for use by parliamentarians.
Discussions
Trends in local population change
Inequality and vulnerable groups
Local data estimation to support policy
Policy challenges and opportunities
This event took place at The British Academy, London, and online via Slido: https://app.sli.do/event/gyseHdV79RNDhVWN6FH9Aa/live/questions
This event is organised in partnership between the British Society for Population Studies, the ESRC Centre for Population Change and ESRC Connecting Generations. It is part of the ESRC Festival of Social Science 2023 and was made possible thanks to funding from the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), which is part of UK Research and Innovation (UKRI). The event celebrates 50 years of the British Society for Population studies whose members have been scientifically studying human populations since 1973.
Monday, October 30th 2023
ACM Conference on Equity and Access in Algorithms, Mechanisms, and Optimization (Conferences)
Professor Ridhi Kashyap
Boston University, Boston, USA
Monday, October 30th 2023
10:30 EDT
Connecting Generations member, Professor Ridhi Kashyap, will give a keynote speech at the third ACM conference on Equity and Access in Algorithms, Mechanisms, and Optimization (EAAMO'23) on Monday 30 October 2023.
The conference aims to highlight work where techniques from algorithms, optimization, and mechanism design, along with insights from the social sciences and humanistic studies, can help improve equity and access to opportunity for historically disadvantaged and underserved communities. The conference will provide an international forum for presenting research papers, problem pitches, survey and position papers, new datasets, and software demonstrations towards the goal of bridging research and practice.
EAAMO '23 is organized by the Mechanism Design for Social Good (MD4SG) initiative, and builds on the MD4SG technical workshop series and tutorials at conferences including ACM EC, ACM COMPASS, ACM FAccT and WINE. The conference will feature keynote talks, panels, and contributed presentations across numerous fields. In line with the MD4SG core values of bridging research and practice, the conference will bring together researchers, policy-makers, and practitioners in various government and non-government organizations, community organizations, and industry to build multi-disciplinary pipelines.
Full details are available on the EAAMO'23 website.
Thursday, October 26th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Bruno Masquelier (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Bruno Masquelier
Zoom
Thursday, October 26th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar was held on Thursday 26 October at 13:00 UK Time. Professor Bruno Masquelier, from UCLouvain, presented, "Shifting age and sex patterns of premature mortality from ages 5 to 25: a systematic analysis of vital registration, surveys and censuses from 1990 to 2021".
Title: Shifting age and sex patterns of premature mortality from ages 5 to 25: a systematic analysis of vital registration, surveys, and censuses from 1990 to 2021
Abstract: The global health community is increasingly focusing on older children, adolescents, and youth, but measuring mortality risk in these age groups remains challenging. This presentation will analyse recent trends in mortality from ages 5 to 25 at the global, regional, and national levels. We will build on estimates from the UN IGME (United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation), derived from a comprehensive analysis of publicly available mortality data, including vital registration data, nationally representative surveys, and censuses. Age-specific patterns of mortality are undergoing significant shifts due to varying rates of improvement. Mortality declines have been much slower above age 5 than in younger children and neonates. In all regions except sub-Saharan Africa, the risk of dying between ages 15 and 25 now surpasses the risk of death in early childhood (ages 1 to 5). Additionally, the global sex ratio of mortality increased between 1990 and 2021, driven by faster declines in female mortality. Disparities in mortality risk, well-documented in young children, are extending to older children, adolescents and youth aged 5-24 within countries. Greater attention is needed to address these disparities and reduce equity gaps.
Speaker: Bruno Masquelier is a Professor of Demography at UCLouvain. He holds a PhD in Demography from Louvain University, and an MSc in Sociology. He is a member of the Technical Advisory Group on the UN Inter-Agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (IGME) and leads the work of this group on mortality in children aged 5-19.
Watch the recording here.
Monday, October 23rd 2023
Family inequalities, life-course events and children's outcomes (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Francesca Fiori
University of Strathclyde
Monday, October 23rd 2023
16:00-17:00
During this seminar, CPC-CG member Dr Francesca Fiori will introduce some of her recent research, whose focus is on the early life-course experiences of children from different social backgrounds, and their development and wellbeing.
Register to attend in-person: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/family-inequalities-life-course-events-and-childrens-outcomes-tickets-727495848667
The first study focuses on the experience of living with a lone-mother, and asks whether maternal employment is associated with higher levels of socio-emotional wellbeing. And if so, for whom, and which are the mechanisms that may explain such effect.
The second study focuses on residential mobility during childhood, and asks whether the experience of moving home has detrimental effects on children's outcomes, and whether this depends on the frequency, timing and quality of a move.
Both studies rely on longitudinal quantitative data from the Growing Up in Scotland birth cohort study, which follows the lives of (two cohorts) of children born in Scotland in the 2000s. Francesca critically applies advanced quantitative methods to unpack causality and selection effects, and to investigate the existence of heterogenous effects of life-course events on different sub-populations of children.
Francesca Fiori is a senior lecturer in Social Policy at the University of Strathclyde. She is a social demographer with an interest in gender and social inequalities, and the way these interact with demographic processes.
Thursday, October 12th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Brian Buh (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Brian Buh
Online and In Person
Thursday, October 12th 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 12 October at 12:00 UK Time. Dr Brian Buh, Research Assistant at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, gave a talk entitled, "Belonging to the neighbourhood, and the transition to parenthood".
Title: Belonging to the neighbourhood, and the transition to parenthood
Abstract: A sense of belonging is commonly described as experiencing comfort, security, connection, and 'at-homeness' that come from social interactions within a defined social or geographical space. Feeling like one belongs in their physical surroundings encourages emotional stability and investment, allowing for a person to 'settle down'. Additionally, belonging is a discursive resource that enables socio-spatial inclusion. This makes belonging an important prerequisite to social capital formation. Higher levels of social capital are associated with the transition to parenthood. This project explores the relationship between self-reported sense of belonging to the neighbourhood and the transition to parenthood. We employ the United Kingdom Household Longitudinal Survey (2009-2022) and utilise pooled-logit regression. In our preliminary results, we observe, that a stronger sense of belonging to the neighbourhood is associated with a higher likelihood of becoming a parent. This positive association is larger for individuals who had recently moved within five kilometres. Couples, where only the women or both have a low sense of belonging, have a negative association with first birth. However, we do not find evidence that couples where only the men have a low sense of belonging have a negative relationship with the transition to parenthood. These findings suggest that beyond direct financial or in-kind resources provided by social networks, emotional stability and 'at-homeness' are prerequisites to the transition to parenthood.
Speaker: Dr Brian Buh joined the Vienna Institute of Demography in September 2020. His research interests include fertility and competing/complementary life course domains, micro-level behavioural decision making, uncertainty and the labour market.
Watch the seminar recording here.
Thursday, September 28th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Joy Cruz ,Tom Emery and Stuart Gietel-Basten (Seminars and lectures)
Stuart Gietel-Basten
Online
Thursday, September 28th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 28 September at 13:00 UK Time. Professor Stuart Gietel-Basten of Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Dr Joy Cruz of University of Philippines, and Dr Tom Emery of Erasmus University Rotterdam presented, "The Generations and Gender Survey in Hong Kong: methodological innovations and some extremely preliminary findings".
Title: The Generations and Gender Survey in Hong Kong: methodological innovations and some extremely preliminary findings.
Abstract: The Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) is the pre-eminent international comparative, longitudinal survey of family aspirations and inter-generational and gender relations between people, expressed in care arrangements and the organization of paid and unpaid work. The survey, however, is predominantly performed in Europe. In order to explore commonalities (and differences) in such roles and experiences, the Hong Kong GGS was instigated in 2019. A pilot version of the survey was developed and executed in 2021 and the first full wave has just been completed. In this seminar, we will outline some of the methodological challenges and innovations of this survey, including details of an experiment designed to ensure the highest possible response rate. We will then present some extremely preliminary findings emanating from the first wave.
Speaker:Professor Stuart Gietel-Basten is a Professor of Social Science and Public Policy at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. His research covers the links between population and policy, with a regional focus on Asia. In particular, he is interested in the emergence of low fertility across the region, and the consequences of this in terms of population ageing and growth.
Wednesday, September 20th 2023 - Friday, September 22nd 2023
General Online Research Conference 2023 (Conferences)
University of Kassel, Germany
Wednesday, September 20th 2023
Friday, September 22nd 2023
The General Online Research Conference is annually organized by the German Society for Online Research in cooperation with a partner. The GOR 23 conference will take place in Kassel in cooperation with the University of Kassel from Wednesday, 20 September, to Friday, 22 September 2023.
CPC-CG Member, Dr Grace Chang, will be a giving a presentation, entitled "Fielding a long online survey: Evidence from the first Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) in the UK", based on research undertaken as part of the Generations and Gender Survey by Brienna Perelli-Harris, Olga Maslovskaya and Grace Chang.
Thursday, September 14th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - James Raymer (Seminars and lectures)
Professor James Raymer
In Person
Thursday, September 14th 2023
15:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 14 September 2023. James Raymer, Professor of Demography at the Australian National University presented, "Indirect estimation of migration in the Asia-Pacific region".
Title:Indirect estimation of migration in the Asia-Pacific region
Speaker: Professor James Raymer is Professor of Demography at the Australian National University. His research focuses on the study of demographic processes, and he is especially interested in how migration influences population change. He has engaged in many interdisciplinary and international research collaborations on topics ranging from statistical estimation of migration to population forecasting.
Abstract:Flows of international migration are needed in the Asia-Pacific region to understand the patterns and corresponding effects on demographic, social and economic change across sending and receiving countries. A major challenge to this understanding is that nearly all of the countries in this region do not gather or produce statistics on flows of international migration. The only information that are widely available represent immigrant population stocks measured at specific points in time - but these represent poor proxies for annual movements. In the presentation, I will present the methodology we developed for indirectly estimating annual flows of international migration by age and sex amongst 53 populations in the Asia-Pacific region and four macro world regions from 2000 to 2019. The estimates suggest 27 to 31 million persons from the Asia-Pacific region have changed their countries of usual residence during each year in the study. Southern Asia is estimated to have had the largest inflows and outflows, whilst intra-regional migration and return migration were highest in Eastern, Southern, and South-Eastern Asia. India, China, and Indonesia were estimated to have had the largest emigration flows and net migration losses. As a first attempt to estimate international migration flows in the Asia-Pacific region, this paper provides a basis for understanding the dynamics and complexity of the large-scale migration occurring in the region.
Wednesday, September 13th 2023 - Friday, September 15th 2023
7th Generations & Gender Programme (GGP) User Conference (Conferences)
Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Wednesday, September 13th 2023
Friday, September 15th 2023
The 7th Generations and Gender Programme Conference will be held at Warsaw School of Economics, Poland, between 13 September - 15 September.
CPC-CG Members, Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris and Dr Bernice Kuang, will be presenting at the conference.
Brienna will present: Representativeness of the push-to-web Generations and Gender Survey in the United Kingdom.
Bernice will present: Are worries about the future and Brexit voting behaviours related to fertility intentions?
See the full programme - https://www.ggp-i.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/GGP7UserConf_FullProgram-v1.pdf
Monday, September 11th 2023 - Wednesday, September 13th 2023
British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) annual conference 2023 (Conferences)
Keele University
Monday, September 11th 2023
Wednesday, September 13th 2023
The Annual British Society for Population Studies conference will be taking place from 11th September - 13th September at Keele University.
CPC researchers have been contributing to BSPS by volunteering as strand organisers, submitting papers to present, and chairing sessions.
Attendees of BSPS 2023 can hear more about our members' research in the sessions below, and you can follow our live tweets on twitter, @CPCpopulation @ConnectingGens or by following the event #BSPS2023. Full programme and registration details are available from the BSPS website.
Monday 11 September
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Socioeconomic inequalities in later life
Title: Did the socio-economic gradient in depression in later-life improve or worsen during the COVID 19 pandemic? New evidence from England using path analysis
Authors: Qin, Evandrou, Falkingham, Vlachantoni
Session: Ethnicity, internal migration & fertility
Title: Residential mobility and housing changes among immigrants and their descendants in the UK
Authors: Mikolai, Kulu
Session: Ethnicity, internal migration & fertility
Title: Modelling determinants of fertility among UK-born ethnic minorities using event history analysis
Authors: Baek, Kulu, Fiori
Session: Covid-19
Title: Excess mortality by cause of death during the COVID-19 pandemic in England and Wales
Authors: Kashyap, Tilstra, Jonas Schoeley, Aburto, Angus, Beam Dowd
16:45 - 18:15
Session: Fertility & uncertainty 1
Title: Are worries about the future and Brexit voting behaviours related to Historical demography: Transitions & kinship 1. The First Demographic Transition in Britain - one Informal care, social participation & volunteering Digital footprint data for population science 2 1. High-resolution forecasting of European Family background, (dis)advantage, income & wealth Recent life expectancy trends 1. Exploring the sex difference in life Childhood migration Chair: Dr. Aude Bernard fertility intentions? New Evidence from the UK Gender and Generations Survey
Authors: Berrington, Kuang, Perelli-Harris
Session: Fertility & uncertainty 1
Title: Fertility trends and changing housing contexts in Scotland: A longitudinal analysis
Authors: Christison, Kulu, Berrington
Session: Informal care, social participation & volunteering
Title: COVID-19 & informal care: A quantitative analysis of the provision of informal care by adult children in the UK before and during the pandemic
Authors: Pomeroy, Fiori
Session: Family background, (dis)advantage, income & wealth
Title: Family complexity trajectories in the UK from birth to age 10
Authors: Stastna, Mikolai, Finney, Keenan
Tuesday 12th September
09:00 - 10:30
Session: Data science: Innovations in demographic data
Title: Data2ThePeople: A crowdsourcing project to ethically repurpose multiple types of personal data
Authors: Mills, Akimova, Zhoa
Session: Internal migration as a driver of change
Title: Is the internal migrant premium for social mobility consistent over time and place? Analysis for England, 1971-2011 using the Census Longitudinal Study
Authors: Ribe, Finney, McCollum, Kulu
Session: Climate change & population dynamics
Title: Climate change and sex ratios at birth
Authors: Abdel Ghany, Wilde, Dimitrova, Muttarak, Kashyap.
11:00 - 12:00
Session: Plenary 2 - Dr Louisa Blackwell (ONS), Professor Ridhi Kashyap (University of Oxford) and Dr Bernice Kuang (University of Southampton) - who will have a conversation about new and future developments in British population studies
Authors: Dr Louisa Blackwell (ONS), Professor Ridhi Kashyap (University of Oxford) and Dr Bernice Kuang
13:00 - 14:30
Session: Fertility & uncertainty 2
Title: Local social networks and fertility in the United Kingdom
Authors: Buh, Beaujouan, Berrington
Session: Relationships & loneliness in later life
Title: The relationship between parental health and adult children's residential proximity: findings from SHARE
Authors: Afable, Vierboom, Mikolai, Myrskyla, Kulu
Session: Understanding local geographies of ethnicity in the UK
Title: Geographies of Ethnic Diversity and Inequalities (GEDI): Insights from Census 2021
Authors: Catney, Lloyd, Ellis, Wright, Finney, Jivraj, Manley, Wood
Session: Understanding local geographies of ethnicity in the UK
Title: Local belonging of ethnic minorities in England and Wales: exploring local contexts, experiences of racism and ethnic attachment
Authors: Harrison, Finney
Session: Understanding local geographies of ethnicity in the UK
Title: Understanding family, employment and housing patterns of immigrants and their descendants in England and Wales through a spatial context
Authors: Pandya, Kulu, Mikolai, Liu, Delaporte
14:45 - 16:16
Session: Health in later life
Title: Birth cohort differences in multimorbidity progression in South Korea
Authors: Lam, Keenan, Myrskylä, Kulu
Session: Session B: Spatial modelling in international, micro context
Title: Geographical variation in females' first and second birth in China
Authors: Hu, Kulu, Mikolai
Session: Health & mortality inequalities
Title: The unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess deaths: an analysis by deprivation quintile and cause of death in England -
Authors: Angus, Tilstra, Schöley, Kashyap, Dowd
17:30 - 19:00
Session: Data science: Estimation and forecasting (to 7.15pm)
Title: Developing Bayesian projections of subnational fertility for the UK
Authors: Ellison, Hilton, Bijak, Dodd, Forster, Smith
Session: Residential mobility, housing of immigrants & their descendants in Europe
Title: The determinants of first-time homeownership across the generations of Immigrants in Sweden
Authors: Al Ahad, Andersson, Kulu
Session: Residential mobility, housing of immigrants & their descendants in Europe
Title: Residential mobility and housing tenure of immigrants in Germany by legal status
Authors: Liu, Kulu
Wednesday 13th September
11:30 - 13:00
Session: Ethnicity measurement, estimation & forecasting
Title: Projection of migrant family life-courses in Britain
Authors: Kulu, Ibbetson, Mikolai
Session: Ethnicity measurement, estimation & forecasting
Title: Articulating and categorising ethnic identity: reflections on invisible identities in standard ethnic group categories using the EVENS Survey
Authors: Borkowska, Finney, Nazroo
Session: Environmental context & health
Title: Long-term exposure to air pollution and hospital admissions in Scotland: A 16-years register-based study (2002-2017)
Authors: Ahad, Demšar, Sullivan, Kulu
Thursday, September 7th 2023 - Saturday, September 9th 2023
21st ESPAnet Annual Conference 2023 (Conferences)
Warsaw, Poland
Thursday, September 7th 2023
Saturday, September 9th 2023
The 21st ESPAnet Annual Conference 2023 will take place at the University of Warsaw, hosted by the Faculty of Political Science and International Studies at the University of Warsaw and co-organised by LabFam - the Interdisciplinary Centre for Labour Market and Family Dynamics at the Faculty of Economics, University of Warsaw.
CPC member Paul Bridgen will present:
Welfare institutions, cross-cutting coalitions and the opportunities for socio-ecological transition in liberal welfare state regimes
For more information, see the conference website.
Monday, September 4th 2023 - Thursday, September 7th 2023
Royal Statistical Society Conference (Conferences)
Harrogate, Yorkshire
Monday, September 4th 2023
Thursday, September 7th 2023
The Royal Statistical Society International Conference will be taking place on the 4-7 September 2023, in Harrogate, Yorkshire.
CPC-CG Member, Dr Joanne Ellison, will be giving a talk entitled, "Projecting UK Subnational Fertility using Bayesian Generalised Additive Models".
Abstract:Subnational fertility projections (SNFPs) are an important driver of subnational population projections (SNPPs), which are vital for national and local governments and businesses to distribute funding and anticipate future demand for resources, products or services. In the UK, SNPPs are published separately by the constituent countries, each with differing assumptions and variants. In this paper we develop a Bayesian SNFP model for the UK that borrows strength across the local authorities (LAs) within the four countries and appropriately quantifies uncertainty.
At the UK level, preliminary work has focused on clustering local schedules of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) to identify groups of LAs with similar fertility patterns across age and year. It appears that around four clusters are required, corresponding to early and later ages of childbearing at varying intensities. The subsequent work on projections has concentrated on Scotland due to the long time series of ASFRs that is available. We apply Generalized Additive Models to estimate smooth effects of age and year which vary with cluster, and also investigate the addition of LA-specific random intercepts and age slopes. We find that in terms of predictive accuracy, our proposed model outperforms a simple extrapolation method as well as naive freezing of the local ASFRs, which are important baselines in the fertility projections literature.
We will implement this approach within a Bayesian context to obtain well-calibrated measures of uncertainty and to build in expert opinion regarding future national ASFRs. We will compare our SNFPs with existing methods from the literature and official projections for the constituent countries to further assess predictive performance. By unifying the projections for the four UK countries within a probabilistic framework, our proposed SNFP methodology has the potential to improve projection reliability and therefore aid local and national government planners in their decision-making.
CPC-CG Member, Professor Peter Smith, will also be delivering a talk at this conference, entitled "A Hierarchical Bayesian Model for Estimating European Migration Flows".
Abstract:In many countries, migration patterns are the key determinant of population change. Accurate estimates of place-to-place population migration flows are essential for making population policy estimates or projections. However, there are many difficulties inherent to estimating migration flows: for example, countries may under-report migration, use different migration definitions, or have different data-collection systems.
We report on work undertaken as part of the Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy (QuantMig) project, funded by the European Union's Horizon 2020 programme. This work has extended the methodology developed in the Integrated Modelling of European Migration (IMEM) project to provide harmonised migration estimates for the flows within the 32-country EU+ system, and flows into and out of Europe, by origin, destination, age and sex, from 2009 to 2019 with a statistical assessment of their uncertainty. Furthermore, the flows have been disaggregated into migrants born in a country in or outside the EU, to enhance their utility to research and policy-making, given the different demographic and migration behaviour of these two groups and the associated channels of migration.
The estimation utilises a hierarchical Bayesian approach based on the IMEM model. We use migration flow data collated by Eurostat, and incorporate covariate information and information on the effects of undercount, measurement and accuracy of data collection systems. We specify a migration model to relate the true unknown flows to the covariates and a measurement model to relate the observed flows to the true unknown flows, correcting for the inconsistencies and inaccuracies in the observed migration flows.
Wednesday, July 19th 2023
BiB Population Research Series - "Family and Employment Trajectories among Immigrants and Their Descendants in Europe" (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Hill Kulu
Online and In Person
Wednesday, July 19th 2023
11:00 - 12:15
This BIB lecture will take place on Wednesday 19 July at 11:00. CPC-CG member, Professor Hill Kulu, will present his paper "Family and Employment Trajectories among Immigrants and Their Descendants in Europe".
Abstract: European countries have witnessed increasing immigration streams and ethnic heterogeneity of their populations. Facilitating immigrant integration and social cohesion has become a major societal issue. This presentation gives an overview of the 'MigrantLife' project, which focuses on family and employment trajectories among immigrants and their descendants in the UK, France, Germany and Sweden. The results suggest that while cultural-normative factors are important in shaping partnership behaviour of immigrants and their descendants, structural-economic factors may play a more important role in fertility decisions. The analysis of employment trajectories reveals that most immigrant men are in education or full-time employment after arrival, whereas many women stay inactive. We discuss the findings in the light of competing theories of immigrant and ethnic minority integration: the classical theory of assimilation vs the segmented assimilation theory.
Joining Instructions: Online participation is possible:
https://destatis.webex.com/meet/bibprs
Join via phone
+49-619-6781-9736
Access code: 2734 685 1551
Monday, July 17th 2023 - Friday, July 21st 2023
ESRA Conference 2023 (Conferences)
University of Milan-Bicocca
Monday, July 17th 2023
Friday, July 21st 2023
ESRA hosts its main conference every two years to bring together applied survey researchers, methodologists and statisticians from Europe and beyond. The conference showcases the latest survey research and offers a number of professional development opportunities, including short courses and awards. It is traditionally hosted in university buildings to keep registration fees to a minimum. ESRA aims to be as inclusive as possible, promoting in particular the participation of doctoral students and early career researchers.
The ESRA 2023 Conference will take place from 17 July to 21 July at the University of Milan-Bicocca in Milan, Italy. The conference theme is 'Survey research in times of crisis: Challenges, opportunities, and new directions'.
CPC Members Grace Chang, Olga Maslovskaya and Brienna Perelli-Harris will present the paper 'Representativeness of push-to-web Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) in the UK' on 19 July.
Abstract: Using the first ever Generations and Gender (GGS) survey conducted in the UK, this study examines the representativeness of the survey in relation to the UK population, based on the UK Census 2022. The UK GGS is a push-to-web survey that uses a stratified random probability selection of addresses in the UK through postcodes. One of the challenges in the UK for online data collection is the absence of an individual-level sampling frame. We examine whether the UK GGS is representative of the 18 - 59 young adult population in the UK by gender, ethnicity, deprivation and fertility, among other demographic characteristics. Preliminary results for stage 1 of data collection has been conducted recently, but final results will be available by May 2023 when all data are collected for GGS in the UK. UK specific weights will be calculated and will also be used for this analysis. This study seeks to discuss the strengths and challenges with using a push-to-web survey design in the UK, which will provide useful insights for other countries which do not have population registers and desire to move to push-to-web data collection.
Visit the conference website.
Tuesday, July 11th 2023 - Thursday, July 13th 2023
Understanding Society Scientific Conference 2023 (Conferences)
University of Essex
Tuesday, July 11th 2023
Thursday, July 13th 2023
08:00 - 15:30
The Understanding Society Conference takes place every two years and is an opportunity for researchers to share the latest work on household panel studies. The Understanding Society Scientific Conference features research from a wide range of disciplines, but centred around the exploration of longitudinal panel data.
CPC-CG Member, Dr Valentina Di Iasio, will be giving a presentation on day three of the conference, in parallel session 1, entitled "Intergenerational transmission of norms and socio-economic outcomes later in life'.
Monday, July 3rd 2023 - Thursday, July 6th 2023
SCE 29th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance (Conferences)
Université Côte d'Azur - Nice, France
Monday, July 3rd 2023
Thursday, July 6th 2023
08:00 - 18:00
The Society for Computational Economics will be holding it's 29th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
CPC Member, Dr Emily Barker, who works on the Quantmig: Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy project, will be presenting, "The future of East-to-West Migration Through Automation".
Monday, July 3rd 2023 - Thursday, July 6th 2023
20th IMISCOE Annual Conference (Conferences)
Centre for Migration Research, University of Warsaw
Monday, July 3rd 2023
Thursday, July 6th 2023
08:00 - 20:30
The 20th IMISCOE Annual Conference, "Migration and Inequalities. In search of answers and solutions" will be taking place at the Centre for Migration Research, University of Warsaw from 3rd - 6th July 2023.
CPC-CG Member, Professor Jackline Wahba, will be taking part in a panel discussion, "Semi-plenary: Inequalities and migration - in search of the answers" on 4th July.
Thursday, June 29th 2023 - Friday, June 30th 2023
Second MigrantLife Symposium (Conferences)
University of St Andrews
Thursday, June 29th 2023
Friday, June 30th 2023
European countries have witnessed increasing immigration streams and ethnic diversity over the past decades. Recent social science research reports considerable heterogeneity in family forms, employment, and housing patterns among individuals with a migrant family background as well as across migrant generations. Some researchers underline the importance of preferences and human capital, whereas others emphasise the role of structural inequalities. It is equally unclear whether the observed differences are short-term outcomes in a long-term process of cultural and economic integration or rather reflections of different pathways and outcomes for immigrants and their descendants.
This international symposium brings together migration researchers to discuss innovative research on migrants and their descendants. We invite contributions in the following research areas of migration studies: fertility and family; employment and education; housing and residential mobility; and health and mortality. Research using longitudinal data and life course analysis will be given priority. Future projections and methodological contributions are very welcome. The symposium is part of the ERC funded MigrantLife project (please see https://migrantlife.wp.st-andrews.ac.uk/).
Associated Downloads
Tuesday, June 27th 2023
Towards a resilient future of Europe (Workshops)
Professor Jakub Bijak
Online
Tuesday, June 27th 2023
11:00-12:30 CEST
Within its key funding programme for research and innovation, Horizon Europe, the European Commission is supporting the project “Towards a Resilient Future of Europe” (FutuRes). The project is taking a close look at the meaning and implications of “resilience” for ageing populations, with a particular emphasis on life course, social networks and intergenerational links, with implications for policy. This high-level policy expert workshop will be organised around the following key questions:
► What role does resilience play in individuals' life-course, considering the two-way interactions between uncontrollable events and the choices made by individuals?
► What are the impacts of ageing populations on productivity and employment (by gender, sector, occupational group and skills), as well as on investment, economic security, social welfare systems, access to (digital) public services and public finance sustainability over the medium and long terms?
► What is the role of fertility and childbearing decisions in a “resilient life-course”? How does this connect with family and friendship networks, welfare provision and wellbeing later in life?
► How can migration act as a mitigating factor to ameliorate demographic changes? How can we predict the age structure of the migrant populations, thereby better forecasting the current and future impacts on dependency ratios across European states?
Eminent experts and decision-makers from research, politics, business and civil society will discuss these questions. Amongst others, these experts will include:
► Arnstein Aassve | Professor in Demography at Bocconi University, Milan | Coordinator of the FutuRes Project
► Jakub Bijak | Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton. QuantMig and CPC-CG
► Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak | Director of the Institute of Statistics and Demography at WSE, Warsaw
► Marlène de Saussure | Scientific Consultant at the Institute for Innovation and Technology, Berlin
► Alexia Fürnkranz-Prskawetz | Executive Director of the Vienna Institute of Demography
► Elizabeth Gosme | Director of COFACE Families Europe, Brussels
► Philip Haywood | Policy Analyst and Senior Health Economist at the OECD, Paris
► Anna Kwiatkiewicz | Senior Advisor at Business Europe, Brussels
► Marina Manke | Chief of the Global Migration Data Analysis Centre at the IOM, Berlin
►Christian Wehrmann | Senior Consultant at VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH, Berlin
The workshop will be followed by a public panel debate “Work Better to Work Longer? Quality of Working Life as Key to a More Resilient Labour Market” (13:00-14:00 CEST) with Beatrice Covassi (Member of the European Parliament), Massimiliano Mascherini (Head of the Social Policies unit at EuroFound), Arnstein Aassve (Bocconi University), Jutta Allmendinger (President of the WZB Berlin Social Science Center) and Ulrich Becker (Director of the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, Munich).
You can register for both events at: https://survey.demogr.mpg.de/index.php/964646?lang=en
Thursday, June 22nd 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Alice Goisis (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Alice Goisis
Online
Thursday, June 22nd 2023
14:00-15:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 22 June 2023 at 14:00 UK Time. Alice Goisis, Associate Professor of Demography, and the Deputy Research Director in the Centre for Longitudinal Studies in the UCL Department for Social Science, presented "Medically Assisted Reproduction and adult outcomes across the life course".
Title:Medically Assisted Reproduction and adult outcomes across the life course
Abstract:Medically Assisted Reproduction (MAR) is one of the most important achievements of medical science in the last generation. In advanced societies, the number of MAR treatments increases every year, and, over the last four decades, more than 10 million MAR conceived children were born, and many more families received fertility treatment. Due to concerns around the well-being of children born after MAR, a lot of attention has been given to analyse their health and development, whilst the evidence on adults' well-being and outcomes during and after the MAR process remains limited. This talk will showcase multiple studies aimed at investigating and understanding the life course consequences of MAR for adults by focusing on two broad themes: mental health and partnership stability. The results, on average, show that failure to conceive via MAR is associated with an increased risk of depression, loneliness and of partnership instability in the short and longer term. In contrast, the mental health and partnership trajectories of adults who conceive via MAR are remarkably similar to those of adults who conceive naturally. The results underscore the importance of including men in studies on reproduction and of integrating multiple perspectives and data sources.
Speaker: Dr Alice Goisis is an Associate Professor of Demography, and the Deputy Research Director in the Centre for Longitudinal Studies in the UCL Department for Social Science. Her research interests include social demography and epidemiology, and her research has examined the association between advanced maternal age and child-wellbeing, with a particular focus on whether, and how, it varies across different groups of the population and time periods.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, June 15th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Nitzan Peri-Rotem (Seminars and lectures)
Nitzan Peri-Rotem
In Person and on Zoom
Thursday, June 15th 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 15th June 2023. Nitzan Peri-Rotem, Senior Lecturer in Sociology at the University of Exeter, gave a talk entitled "Revising the Proximate Determinants of Fertility: The Role of Assisted Reproductive Technologies".
Title:Revisiting the Proximate Determinants of Fertility: The Role of Assisted Reproductive Technologies
Abstract:In 1956, Kingsley Davis and Judith Blake published their pioneering study, which presented “an analytical framework for the comparative sociology of fertility”. This framework introduced a set of intermediate fertility variables, which later became known as the proximate determinants of fertility. These include behavioural and biological factors (sexual exposure, contraceptive use, induced abortion, sterility, etc.), through which socioeconomic, cultural and environmental variables can affect fertility. Since it was first published, the framework has been revised several times along with developments in demographic research, and to adjust for changes in sexual and reproductive practices, with the most recent update published by John Bongaarts in 2015. However, the proximate determinants model has yet to incorporate the usage of assisted reproductive technologies (ART), which account for nearly 8% of all children born in some countries. This study offers both theoretical and empirical applications for the inclusion of ART within the proximate determinants of fertility. Given the global trends in the supply and demand for fertility treatment, accounting for assisted reproductive technologies in the proximate determinants framework will contribute to a better understanding of fertility change and its causes across different populations.
Speaker: Dr Nitzan Peri-Rotem is a Senior Lecturer in Sociology at the University of Exeter. She specialises in family and fertility trends in post-industrial societies, and is interested in social and cultural influences on reproductive behaviour and the link between social inequalities and family formation patterns.
Watch the recording of the seminar here.
Monday, June 5th 2023
Centre of Migration Research UW Seminars: New Advances in Theory and Research on Migration: "Scanning Migration Horizons" (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Monday, June 5th 2023
15:00
CPC-CG Member, Professor Jakub Bijak, will be delivering a seminar as part of the Centre for Migration Research at the University of Warsaw's seminar series.
In the talk "Scanning migration horizons” we will explore some of the main sources of migration uncertainty across a range of time horizons. We will look at the implications of uncertainty not only for understanding migratory processes, but also for preparing adequate and realistic policy responses and for robust migration governance. From nowcasts and early warnings, through forecasts, to long-range migration scenarios, we will discuss some of the recent methodological developments for studying current and future migration. The discussion will focus on the limits of knowledge, and on what new tools and data sources can illuminate. We will conclude by offering health warnings for the use of forward-looking tools for analysing migration, especially important given the high degree of politicisation of the topic.
Register here: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/scanning-migration-horizons-tickets-640421928227
Friday, May 26th 2023 - Saturday, May 27th 2023
4th International Conference on Gerontology and Geriatrics Medicine (SilverAge 2023) (Conferences)
Professor Athina Vlachantoni
Galleface Hotel - Colombo, Online
Friday, May 26th 2023
Saturday, May 27th 2023
The SilverAge 2023 4th International Conference on Gerontology and Geriatrics Medicine took place on the 26th & 27th May 2023, in Colombo, Sri Lanka. The conference was held in collaboration with the International Institute of Ageing, and United Nations - Malta.
Areas of discussion included the impact of Covid-19 on older persons, geriatric medicine, dementia and ageing, ageing and mental wellbeing, nursing for wellness in older adults, ageing & disability, ageing & gerontology, elder abuse, law and rights, nutrition aspects of ageing and elderly friendly environment.
CPC-CG Member, Professor Athina Vlachantoni, was a keynote speaker at the event, delivering a talk entitled, "Intergenerational Support and Ageing: A New Kind of Sandwich Generation".
Thursday, May 25th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Jennifer Dowd (Seminars and lectures)
Jennifer Dowd
Zoom
Thursday, May 25th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 25 May, 13:00-14:00 (UK time). Jennifer Dowd, Professor of Demography and Population Health at the University of Oxford, presented: "Demographic Insights into COVID-19: A Tale of Two Countries".
Title:Demographic Insights into COVID-19: A Tale of Two Countries
Abstract:Demography has been key to understanding COVID-19 data since the early days of the pandemic. This talk will take stock of demographic insights across the pandemic, with a focus on the impact of COVID-19 on mortality in the US and UK and on the future of population health.
Speaker: Jennifer Dowd is Professor of Demography and Population Health at the University of Oxford. She is also Deputy Director of the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science. Her research seeks to understand how social and biological processes interact over the life course and how social factors "get under the skin" to impact health; she is currently researching social and demographic factors related to Covid-19. Professor Dowd received her PhD from Princeton University in 2004 in Demography and Economics from the Office of Population Research.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, May 25th 2023
Tipping points webinar series: Education and Digitalisation (Seminars and lectures)
Ridhi Kashyap
Online
Thursday, May 25th 2023
15:30 - 17:00 CEST
The Tipping Points webinar series aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. This webinar will focus on education and digitalisation.
The series is a joint activity of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) global research project of Future Earth, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance, and the Safe Landing Climates Light House Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP). IIASA co-hosts the scientific secretariat of Working Group 1 of the Earth Commission and is one of the organizers of these events.
CPC-CG Member, Ridhi Kashyap, will be delivering a presentation entitled "Digital technologies as accelerators of information diffusion".
Click here to register: https://futureearth.confetti.events/education-and-digitalisation/signup
Associated Downloads
Tuesday, May 23rd 2023
Families' resilience and well-being of children and youth (Workshops)
Centre for Research on Social Inequalities, Paris
Tuesday, May 23rd 2023
CPC-CG Member, Dr Julia Mikolai, is part of the EAPS Working Group on Child and Adolescent Development, and will be taking part in a workshop entitled "Families' resilience and well-being of children and youth".
This workshop provides an opportunity for research discussions and exchange between scholars across sociology, population studies and cognate fields to present their work on families' resilience to societal challenges such as growing labour market instability, economic inequality and digital transformations, with a specific focus on ensuring well-being among children and youth. The workshop intends to be a first exchange for future scientific collaborations such as special issues and international research projects.
Thursday, May 18th 2023
Women's Superiority and Relationship Dissolution: A 29-Country Study (Seminars and lectures)
Allison Dunatchik
Zoom
Thursday, May 18th 2023
16:00 - 17:00 BST/ 17:00 - 18:00 CEST/ 11:00 - 12:00 EDT
Thursday 18 May 2023, 16:00 – 17:00 BST/ 17:00 – 18:00 CEST/ 11:00 – 12:00 EDT
Women’s Superiority and Relationship Dissolution: A 29-Country Study
Speaker: Allison Dunatchik
Registration: Register on Eventbrite by 12pm (BST) on the day of the event and we will send you the Zoom link shortly before the event starts.
Abstract:The rising share of different-sex couples in which women have higher socioeconomic status than their partners signals progress toward gender equality, but it has also been linked to union instability. There is extensive research documenting a positive association between women’s superiority and union dissolution, but several recent studies find that this association has been weakening. Existing studies have focused more on describing this association, but have paid relatively less attention to testing specific explanations. In this study, we use harmonized panel survey data for 29 high-income countries to examine three distinct mechanisms that can drive the association between women’s economic superiority and separation risk: gender culture, the anticipation of divorce, and work-family conflict. Our analyses show that the association between women’s economic superiority and union dissolution is positive and statistically significant. Contrary to expectations, we do not find evidence that this association is driven by gender culture, and we only find partial evidence about the anticipation of divorce and work-family conflict mechanisms.
Speaker bio: Allison Dunatchik is a dual PhD candidate in Sociology and Demography at the University of Pennsylvania. Her research interests center on gender, work and family, with a particular focus on how social policies affect gender inequalities inside and outside of the household. Allison’s current research explores how gender inequality is produced and reproduced within different-sex couples in the context of changing gender norms and changing family demography across high-income countries. She is also currently working on a project analyzing how the gender division of household labor changes over time following major life course events, such as the transition to parenthood. Prior to attending the University of Pennsylvania, Allison was a policy evaluation analyst at the National Centre for Social Research in London. Allison holds an MPA in Social Policy from the London School of Economics and a BA in Political Science from American University.
Associated Downloads
Wednesday, May 17th 2023
Department for Work and Pensions' Demographic Workshop (Workshops)
Professor Athina Vlachantoni
London
Wednesday, May 17th 2023
Professor Athina Vlachantoni delivered a talk at the Department for Work and Pensions' Demographics Workshop, entitled "Key trends in the UK population and the wider global context".
Thursday, May 11th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Dianna Smith (Seminars and lectures)
Dianna Smith
Zoom
Thursday, May 11th 2023
12:00 - 13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 11th May at 12:00 UK Time. Dr Dianna Smith, Associate Professor at the University of Southampton gave a talk entitled, "Modelling health to support interventions: Outputs from Wessex DIET".
Title:Modelling health to support interventions: Outputs from Wessex DIET
Abstract:Interventions to support the reduction of health inequalities in populations are a central focus of public health research. Though there are often data about health outcomes - diet, obesity, poor mental health - at an aggregate population level, there is less available in local areas. This lack of local-level data can create challenges in identifying areas where there are wider health inequalities, enabling resources to be appropriately targeted spatially. Further, the lack of baseline data on health can be problematic when monitoring the impact of interventions. In the Wessex DIET project, we are developing a toolkit to support local authorities and third sector organisations in collecting data on the impact of food aid interventions. As part of the work, we developed small-area estimates of adult weight, diet quality, food insecurity and wellbeing for neighbourhoods (Lower Super Output Areas) in England. In the seminar the methods used and challenges with data and modelling will be discussed as part of the ongoing project.
Speaker:Dr Dianna Smith is an Associate Professor at the University of Southampton. Her research interests are in quantitative health geography, using GIS to visualise data collected or collated to address key social and spatial inequalities. She works across the disciplines of geography and public health with links to local government.
You can watch the recording here
Thursday, May 11th 2023
ELSA 20th Anniversary Conference (Conferences)
The Royal Society, London, 6-9 Carlton Terrace, St James's, London, SW1Y 5AG
Thursday, May 11th 2023
09:00 UK Time
This conference celebrates the 20th Anniversary of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, with 10 waves of data collection, and two special waves collected during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.
The conference programme focuses on central issues studied in ELSA, with presentations followed by panel discussions addressing scientific and policy implications. Among the topics will be:
Inequalities in later life.
Cross-national comparisons of ageing trajectories.
Cognitive decline and dementia.
ELSA and the COVID-19 pandemic.
Work and Retirement.
A poster presentation will also be taking place.
CPC-CG Members, Professor Athina Vlachantoni, Dr Min Qin, Professor Jane Falkingham and Professor Maria Evandrou will be presenting two posters at the conference on 'The changing use of intergenerational digital communications amongst older people in England during the pandemic' and 'Did the socio-economic gradient in depression in later-life deteriorate or weaken during the Covid-19 pandemic?'
Thursday, April 27th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Kieron Barclay (Seminars and lectures)
Kieron Barclay
Zoom
Thursday, April 27th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG webinar took place on 27 April 2023. Kieron Barclay of the University of Stockholm gave a talk entitled "Birth spacing and the health of mothers and fathers: an analysis of physical and mental health using individual- and sibling-fixed effects".
Abstract: There is a large literature examining the relationship between birth spacing and subsequent health outcomes for parents, and particularly for mothers. However, research on this topic draws almost exclusively on observational research designs, and almost all studies have been limited to adjusting for observable factors that may confound the relationship between birth spacing and health outcomes. In this study we use Norwegian register data to examine the relationship between birth spacing and the number of general practitioner consultations for physical and mental health concerns for both mothers and fathers in both the period immediately after childbirth (1-5 and 6-11 months after the birth), as well as the long-term (10-11 years after the birth). To examine short-term health outcomes, we use individual-level fixed effects - examining only different births to the same parent - to hold constant factors that may influence the birth spacing behavior of mothers and fathers as well as their health. We apply sibling fixed effects in our analysis of long-term outcomes, holding constant the family background of the mothers and fathers that we study. The results from our analyses that do not apply individual or sibling fixed effects yield results consistent with much of the previous literature, where both shorter and longer birth intervals are associated with worse health outcomes than birth intervals approximately 2-3 years long. Estimates from individual fixed effects models suggest that particularly short intervals negatively affect maternal mental health in the short-term, with more ambiguous evidence that particularly short- or long-intervals may influence parental health outcomes in the short- and long-term, though some of these patterns may be consistent with selection processes.
Speaker: Kieron Barclay is a Pro Futura Scientia XIV Fellow at the Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study; as well as an Associate Professor in Sociology at Stockholm University. He is also a Research Fellow at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. His research is in the field of social demography, and he primarily focuses on how family conditions are related to health and mortality, with a particular focus on the interrelationship between health and fertility.
Watch the recording here.
Wednesday, April 26th 2023 - Thursday, April 27th 2023
Future Migration to Europe: Migration projections from international to local levels (Conferences)
Online and In Person (Green Room, U Residence, Bld General Jacques 271, 1050 Ixelles, Belgium)
Wednesday, April 26th 2023
Thursday, April 27th 2023
09:00 - 17:30
CPC-CG Members, Professor Jakub Bijak and Dr Valentina Di Iasio, will be speaking at the Future Migration to Europe Conference in Brussels on 26 & 27 April 2023.
The academic day gathers migration scholars and experts for in-depth discussions on academic challenges and opportunities for forecasting migration. During this day, participants will hear the main takeaways from three Horizon 2020-funded projects - HumMingBird, FUME & QuantMig. Participants will also exchange knowledge on a variety of aspects related to the migration studies - from analysing the migration drivers, and emerging destinations, collecting traditional and new data, quantifying and modelling future migrations, to foreseeing future migration flows.
9:15 - 9:30 | Welcome by Horizon 2020 projects: HumMingBird, FUME & QuantMig
Speakers:
Tuba Bircan, Vrije University Brussels, HumMingBird
Carsten Kessler, Bochum University of Applied Sciences, FUME
Jakub Bijak, Southampton University, QuantMig (online)
10:45 - 11:45 | Why do people decide to migrate? Aspirations, drivers and intersectionality
This session will explore the push factors that influence an individual's decision to move from their country of origin. We will discuss the role of aspirations and drivers such as economic opportunities, social networks, family ties, political unrest and climate change, as well as the intersectionality of factors such as gender, age, and level of education that can shape migration decisions. Drawing on the latest research and insights from Horizon 2020 projects and external experts in the field, this session will provide a nuanced and in-depth understanding of the complexities of migration decision-making.
Moderator/discussant: Prof. Jasper Dag Tjaden, University of Postdam
Speakers from the projects:
Damini Purkayastha (online), VUB, Dr. Stefan Mertens, KU Leuven, Dr. Tom Devriendt, Caritas International, HumMingBird
Stefano degli Uberti, CNR, FUME
Valentina Di Iasio, The University of Southampton, QuantMig (online)
Q&A discussion
13:45 – 14:45 | Traditional and New Data: Questioning and improving the concept of evidence
This session will critically examine the concept of evidence in migration studies, exploring the strengths and limitations of traditional and new data sources. We will discuss the challenges of collecting, analyzing, and interpreting data on migration, as well as the potential biases and limitations of different data sources. Drawing on experiences from the Horizon 2020 projects, we will explore innovative approaches to data collection and analysis, including big data, social media, mobile data, and other emerging alternative data sources. Ultimately, this session will challenge participants to question their assumptions about what constitutes evidence in migration studies and to consider new and innovative ways of generating insights into this complex and important phenomenon.
Moderator/discussant: Dr. Damien Jusselme, Global Migration Data Analysis Centre, IOM
Moderated discussion among projects:
Prof. Albert Ali Salah, The University of Utrecht, HumMingBird
Dr. Dilek Yildiz, IIASA & Arkadiusz Wisniowski, The University of Manchester, FUME
Prof. Jakub Bijak, The University of Southampton, QuantMig (online)
14:45 – 15:45 | Quantifying and modelling future migration
This session will explore the challenges and opportunities of quantifying and modelling future migration patterns. We will discuss the various methods and models used to forecast migration among Horizon 2020 projects. We will also examine the strengths and limitations of these methods, including issues related to data quality, model complexity, and uncertainty. The following discussion will provide a deeper understanding of the complex and dynamic nature of migration and the challenges of predicting future trends.
Moderator/discussant: Dr. Stefano Iacus, IQQS Harvard University
Speakers from the projects:
Haodong Qi, Malmö University, HumMingBird
Jacob Schewe, PIK, FUME (online)
Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton, QuantMig (online)
Q&A discussion
Wednesday, April 12th 2023 - Saturday, April 15th 2023
Population Association of America 2023 Annual Meeting (Conferences)
New Orleans, Louisiana
Wednesday, April 12th 2023
Saturday, April 15th 2023
The Population Association of America annual meeting will take place 12-15 April in New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.
CPC will be presenting:
Population Health Consequences of Violence I Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
The Impact of Blast Explosions on the Mental Health of Ukrainian Internally Displaced People and Refugees
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 14-4
K. Brackstone, University of Southampton; B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton; M. Head, University of Southampton.
Forced Migration Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine Through Social Media Advertising Data
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 15-3
D. Leasure, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; F. Rampazzo, University of Oxford; C. Dooley; B. Elbers, University of Oxford; M. Bondarenko, University of Southampton; M. Verhagen; A. Frey; J. Yan, University of Oxford; E. Akimova; M. Fatehkia, Qatar Computing Research Institute; R. Trigwell, United Nations Migration Agency (IOM); A. Tatem, University of Southampton; I. Weber, Saarland University; M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford.
Health, Health Behaviors, and Health Care Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Gene ´ Environment Analysis Supports Protective Effects of Eveningness Chronotype on Night Shift Workers
M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford; R. Taiji, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford; E. Akimova; X. Ding, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford.
Mortality Trends in the United States and Other High-Income Countries Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 11:00 AM - 12:15 PM
Deviating Temporal Trends of Substance Abuse Mortality in High-Income Countries
11:00 AM - 11:00 AM
Program Number: 67-3
A. Adarsh, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; E. Acosta, Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Methodological Innovations to Study Fertility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 11:00 AM - 12:15 PM
Can Incorporating Parity Information Improve the Reliability of Fertility Projections?
11:00 AM - 11:00 AM
Program Number: 61-1
J. Ellison, University of Southampton; J. Bijak, University of Southampton; E. Dodd, University of Southampton.
Mortality and Morbidity Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
Excess Mortality by Cause of Death During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Population-Level Analysis for England and Wales
R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; A. Tilstra, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science; J. Schöley, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; J. M. Aburto, University of Southern Denmark; C. Angus, University of Sheffield; J. Dowd, University of Oxford.
Mortality and Morbidity Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
The Sex Gap in Lifespan Uncertainty
H. Gaddy; J. M. Aburto, University of Southern Denmark; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford
Mortality and Morbidity Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
The Relationship of Major Diseases With Childlessness: A Sibling-Matched, Case-Control, and Population-Register Study in Finland and Sweden
A. Liu, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; E. Akimova; X. Ding, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford; S. Jukarainen, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; P. Vartiainen, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; T. Kiiskinen, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; S. Kuitunen, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; A. S. Havulinna, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; M. Gissler, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, THL; S. Lombardi, Institute for Economic Research, VATT; T. Fall, Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Medical Sciences, and Science for Life Laboratory, Uppsala University; M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford; A. Ganna, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki.
Migration, Immigration, Geographic Mobility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Gendered Patterns of Global Scholarly Migration: Evidence on Mobile Researchers From Bibliometric Data
X. Zhao, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; A. Akbaritabar, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; E. Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.
Migration, Immigration, Geographic Mobility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Forced Displacement in Ukraine: A Comparison of Refugees and Internally Displaced Persons
B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton; O. Torrisi, The London School of Economics; M. Head, University of Southampton; K. Brackstone, University of Southampton.
Migration, Immigration, Geographic Mobility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Work–Life Expectancies Among the Descendants of Immigrants in the United Kingdom: A Multistate Life Table Approach
H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; A. Hoehn, Glasgow University; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews.
Migration, Immigration, Geographic Mobility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Childbearing and Employment Changes of the Female Descendants of Immigrants in the United Kingdom and France
J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; I. Delaporte; C. Liu, University of St. Andrews.
Mental Health in Old Age Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:30 PM - 4:45 PM
Loneliness and Cognitive Health: A Counterfactual Analysis Using the Parametric G-Formula
3:30 PM - 3:30 PM
Program Number: 93-4
S. Sharma, University of St Andrews; J. M. Hale, University of St Andrews; A. Lorenti, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Neighborhoods, Environment, and Spatial Demography Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 5:00 PM - 6:30 PM
Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollution and Mortality Hazard in Scotland: A 16-Year Cohort Study, 2002–2017
M. Abed Al Ahad; U. Demšar, University of St Andrews; F. Sullivan, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Friday, April 14, 2023
Risk Factors and Inequalities in COVID-19 Mortality Friday, April 14, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Excess Mortality in India in 2020
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 115-3
A. Gupta, University of Oxford; V. Paikra; M. Banaji, Middlesex University; P. Gupta; P. Hathi, UC Berkeley; R. Kashyap, Oxford University; K. Sharma; N. Sudharsanan, Heidelberg Institute of Global Health; S. Vyas, University of Texas at Austin.
Flash: Families, Health, and Well-being Friday, April 14, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
The Puzzle of Parenthood and Well-being: Exploring the Role of the Brain
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 119-5
V. Rotondi, University of Oxford; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; M. Sironi, University College London; N. Barban, University of Essex; C. Reverberi, University of Milano Bicocca; M. Allegra, University of Parma.
Union Dissolution and Instability Friday, April 14, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Session Type
Oral
Room
Strand 12 A
Discussant 1
Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Chair 1
Gunnar Andersson, Stockholm University
Final Session Number
120
Union Dissolution and Instability 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Post-Separation Residential Mobility Among Immigrant–Native Mixed Couples: A Matter of Relative Bargaining Positions Within Households?
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 120-3
J. Lacroix; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
COVID-19; Data and Methods Friday, April 14, 2023 | 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
The Demographic Profile of Weibo Users
O. Hexel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; W. Qian, University of Michigan; E. Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; I. Weber, Qatar Computing Research Institute.
Education, Employment, and Inequality Friday, April 14, 2023 | 1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
The Divergence of Labor Force Participation on Motherhood Among Migrant Descendants and Natives in Germany
C. Liu, University of St. Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St. Andrews.
Intergenerational Patterns of Immigrant Integration Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:15 PM
Heterogeneity or Disadvantage in Partnership, Childbearing, and Employment Trajectories of the Descendants of Immigrants in the United Kingdom? A Multichannel Sequence Analysis of Longitudinal Data
3:00 PM - 3:00 PM
Program Number: 204-2
J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
The Complex Links Between Migratio-n Background and Fertility Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:15 PM
Union Formation and Fertility Among Immigrants From Pakistan and Their Descendants in the United Kingdom: A Multichannel Sequence Analysis
3:00 PM - 3:00 PM
Program Number: 203-5
J. Harrison; K. Keenan, University of St Andrews; F. Sullivan, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Understanding the Realization of Jointly Held Residential Mobility and Fertility Intentions: How Has the Sequencing of Intention Fulfillment Changed Over Time?
S. Christison; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; F. Fiori, University of St Andrews; K. Keenan.
Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
The Changing Educational Gradient of Fertility in the United Kingdom: A Comparison of England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland
B. Kuang; S. Christison; J. Ellison, University of Southampton; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; A. Berrington, University of Southampton.
Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Fertility Trends by Birth Order in Britain: The Comparison Between England and Wales, and Scotland
H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; B. Kuang; S. Christison; J. Ellison, University of Southampton; A. Berrington, University of Southampton.
Saturday 15 April 2023
Family Complexity and Diversity Saturday, April 15, 2023 | 9:00 AM - 10:15 AM
Through Children’s Eyes: Family Complexity Trajectories in the United Kingdom
9:00 AM - 9:00 AM
Program Number: 217-2
M. Stastna; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; N. Finney, University of St Andrews; K. Keenan, University of St Andrews.
Wednesday, April 5th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Raya Muttarak (Seminars and lectures)
Raya Muttarak
Zoom
Wednesday, April 5th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG webinar was held on Wednesday 5 April 2023 at 13:00 UK Time. The webinar was hosted by Raya Muttarak, Professor of Demography at the University of Bologna who gave a talk entitled, "Population Dynamics Under Global Climate Change".
Title: Population Dynamics Under Global Climate Change
Abstract: Australian bushfire in 2020 and severe floods in Western Europe and exceptional heatwaves in North America in summer 2021, to name a few, are examples of extreme events that are documented to be attributable to anthropogenic climate change. Indeed, it is evident that the impacts of human-induced climate change on our lives, livelihoods and wellbeing are already being felt. This raises a question whether, in which direction and to what extent climate change also influences demographic processes, through affecting fertility, mortality and migration, the three key demographic outcomes driving population change. Although it is highly plausible that climate change also affects population trends, to date existing global population projections have not taken into account the climate feedback on demographic processes.
This talk aims to present current evidence on the impact of climatic factors on fertility, mortality and migration and explore whether population projections need to account for the climate feedback on demographic processes. In particular, I would like to exploit this talk as a platform to start dialogues between colleagues of different disciplinary background and hope this can lead to future collaborations across institutes.
For background reading: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00324728.2021.1988684
Speaker: Raya has been affiliated with the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital since 2011. Raya holds an MSc and DPhil in Sociology from the University of Oxford; her areas of expertise include Climate Change Perception & Sustainable Lifestyle and Consumption, and Education and Sustainable Development.
The recording of the seminar can be found here
Thursday, March 30th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Ugofilippo Basellini (Seminars and lectures)
Ugofilippo Basellini
Zoom
Thursday, March 30th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG webinar took place on Thursday 30 March 2023, at 13:00 UK Time. Dr Ugofilippo Basellini, Research Scientist at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, gave a talk entitled "New perspectives in mortality forecasting".
Title: New perspectives in mortality forecasting
Abstract: Accurate forecasts of mortality are crucial for the provision of pensions and elderly care services. In this talk, I will present two novel developments in the field of mortality forecasting. The first part of the talk will focus on a recently proposed relational model to forecast adult age-at-death distributions. Leveraging functional data analysis methods, the “Segmented Transformation Age-at-death Distributions” is a parsimonious and efficient approach to model and forecast adult mortality. Mortality forecasts obtained with this approach are more accurate and optimistic than those derived from the benchmark Lee-Carter approach and its variants. The second part of the talk will concentrate on the challenge of forecasting cohort mortality data. Few methods exist to forecast cohort mortality, and the state-of-the-art approach - forecasting period mortality and extracting cohort patterns from the Lexis diagonals - has several limitations. I will show how to adapt the estimation of the Lee-Carter parameters to the structure of cohort mortality data, and then propose the “Linear Lee-Carter” model to derive more reasonable and accurate forecasts of cohort mortality.
Speaker: Ugofilippo Basellini is a Research Scientist and the Deputy Head of the Laboratory of Population Dynamics and Sustainable Well-Being at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR). His main research interests are related to statistical demography, with a particular focus on mortality modelling and forecasting, lifespan inequality and formal demographic methods for the study of mortality.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, March 30th 2023
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Making your voice heard? How different generations participate in politics (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Maria Grasso
Free online and in person
Thursday, March 30th 2023
16:00-17:00
The political context in which people grow up can play a hugely influential role in how that age cohort participate in democracy. From the dominance of different political parties and prevalence of strikes and protests, to the distribution of information and ideas through social media, the society people are raised in affects the ways in which they interact with politicians and political ideas. Maintaining an informed and engaged electorate in the decades to come requires grappling with these historical shifts and their implications for democratic governance.
Does the historical context of when a generation comes of age affect their political engagement? Are older generations, for example, who came of age in a period when elections were fundamental to the existence of democratic government, more likely to engage with political parties? What about younger generations coming of age in the historical moments that followed? And what can this tell us about how democratic governance and political participation could change in the future?
As part of the Connecting Generations series of Thought Leader Talks, the Resolution Foundation is hosting an event with Professor Maria Grasso to discuss how age, period and cohort analysis can help us examine generational differences in political activities. Following a presentation by Maria, we will hear from leading experts on what this means for the future of politics and democracy.
Maria Grasso joined SPIR and Queen Mary University of London as Professor of Political Science and Political Sociology in 2020. Previously, she was Professor of Politics and Quantitative Methods at the Department of Politics of the University of Sheffield.
Maria’s research focuses on political sociology, social change, social and political inequalities, political generations, social movements, youth politics, gender gaps, and the shift from traditional means of political participation relating to parties, electoral politics and left-right conflict, to more diffuse and irregular forms of involvement such as demonstrations, consumer boycotts and issue campaigns.
Her key research interests revolve around understanding the link between economic, social and political inequalities by looking at the political participation and political attitudes of different groups in terms of generation/age, gender, class, relative deprivation, etc. and their intersections as well as the ways in which crises impact on different groups of citizens with respect to their economic conditions and perceptions, social capital, and their political (re)actions.
Her academic work deals primarily with quantitative research and statistical analysis of cross-national surveys on political attitudes and behaviour.
Sign up to attend here
Thursday, March 23rd 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Francesco Lissoni (Seminars and lectures)
Francesco Lissoni
Zoom
Thursday, March 23rd 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG seminar took place on Thursday 23 March 2023 at 12pm UK Time. Professor Francesco Lissoni, Professor of Economics at the Bordeaux School of Economics, gave a talk entitled "Free Movement of Inventors: Open-Border Policy and Innovation in Switzerland" (with Gabrielle Cristelli, Stanford University).
Title: Free Movement of Inventors: Open-Border Policy and Innovation in Switzerland
Abstract: We study the innovation effects of the Agreement on the Free Movement of Persons, signed by Switzerland and the EU in 1999. We exploit a quasi-experimental setting created by Switzerland's implementation policy, which initially eased off entry restrictions only for commuters from neighbouring countries. We find that this induced a large inflow of “cross-border inventors” (CBIs) in regions next to the border and increased the latter's patenting, relative to other Swiss regions. In the same regions, incumbent inventors directly collaborating with CBIs increased their productivity. Native inventors were not displaced nor did patenting in areas neighbouring Switzerland decrease.
Speaker: Professor Francesco Lissoni is a Professor of Economics at the Bordeaux School of Economics (University of Bordeaux). His main research interests relate to knowledge creation and diffusions. His past research addressed innovation adoption, the geography of knowledge flows, and the role of intellectual property in academic science.
Watch the recording here.
Tuesday, March 14th 2023
STACEES seminar: Internationalisation, sustainability and the contested environmental impacts of International Student Mobility (Seminars and lectures)
Dr David McCollum
St Andrews University Arts Lecture & Teams
Tuesday, March 14th 2023
11:00 - 12:00 UK Time
The St Andrews Network for Climate, Energy, Environment and Sustainability (STACEES) event series 'Net Zero and the Direction of Travel in Scottish HE' will take place throughout the spring.
The first talk in the series, a hybrid delivery seminar, will be delivered by CPC member, Dr David McCollum, and take place on Tuesday 14 March 2023 between 11 - 12pm. Dr McCollum's talk is entitled "Internationalisation, Sustainability and the Contested Environmental Impacts of International Student Mobility".
Net Zero and the Direction of Travel in Scottish HE
How can Scotland’s higher education institutions lead the way in supporting the UK government’s Net Zero ambitions? Where are we right now and where do the future challenges lie? How can the transition towards more sustainable travel be inclusive, fair and support Scotland’s research and teaching ambitions?
STACEES, University of St Andrews warmly invites all staff, students and community members to a series of events focussing on these questions.
This four-part event series explores three key strands of travel through hybrid delivery talks delivered by a range of invited speakers, plus a chaired open discussion.
Title:Internationalization, Sustainability and the Contested Environmental Impacts of International Student Mobility
Date: Tuesday 14 March
Time11:00 - 12:00 UK Time
Abstract:This seminar focuses on the environmental sustainability of the ongoing growth in international student mobility (ISM). The Higher Education (HE) system in the UK and elsewhere is increasingly predicated upon the hosting of international students. Whilst this drive towards internationalisation undoubtably has multiple significant benefits, little attention thus far has been paid to its environmental impact. This is of significance because the carbon generated by ISM could conceivably be very considerable. The drive for internationalisation within HE thus potentially sits at odds with strategies to promote sustainability within the sector and beyond. This seminar seeks to stimulate conversation around the compatibility of these agendas within HE. A survey of students is used to generate a carbon audit of ISM in the UK. In-depth interviews with students and representatives of International Offices offer insights into how the environment features in the decisions that young people and HE institutions make with regards to education related mobility. The results point to the carbon emissions attributable to ISM being quite considerable, and largely due to the air travel involved in moving between home and university. Students take environmental considerations into account when undertaking education related mobility, but these aspirations are often secondary to logistical issues concerning the financial cost and time associated with greener travel options. At the institutional scale, university sustainability agendas have yet to be reconciled with the financial imperative to recruit evermore international students. This research thus flags up a thus far neglected contradiction within HE whereby the sustainability agenda that it so rightly espouses is potentially undermined by aspects of the drive towards internationalisation.
Speaker:Dr David McCollum is a Senior Lecturer in migration studies in the School of Geography and Sustainable Development, with research expertise in international student mobility.
Registration: https://events.st-andrews.ac.uk/events/stacees-event-series-net-zero-and-the-direction-of-travel-in-he/
Associated Downloads
Thursday, February 16th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Ernest Miguelez (Seminars and lectures)
Ernest Miguelez
Zoom
Thursday, February 16th 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar was held on Thursday 16 February 2023 at 12pm UK Time. Dr Ernest Miguelez, Research Fellow at the University of Bordeaux, gave a talk entitled "Global Mobile Inventors".
Title: Global Mobile Inventors
Abstract: This paper documents the crucial role played by global mobile inventors (GMIs) in the diffusion of knowledge across borders. We rely on data produced by the USPTO, which links all the patents recorded since the 1970s to unique firm and inventor identifiers, and provides information on the geographic location of inventors at the time of each patent filing. Over the past 50 years, we show that GMIs have gone from being a negligible phenomenon to concerning 30% of global patents. We find that GMIs with experience in a given technology abroad are instrumental in the early stages of development of that technology in their country of destination. Finally, we provide evidence that the higher their level of centrality in the destination country's network, the fastest the diffusion of technology-specific knowledge in the local population of inventors. These results testify of the importance of encouraging talent flows across borders to facilitate knowledge transfers.
Speaker: Dr Ernest Miguelez is a Research Fellow at the French National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), attached to the Bordeaux School of Economics. His research interests cover economic geography, innovation economics, migration, intellectual property, and more recently, the diffusion/adoption of green technologies and products.
Watch the recording here.
Wednesday, February 8th 2023 - Friday, February 10th 2023
14th Conference of Young Demographers (Conferences) (Conferences)
Charles University, Prague
Wednesday, February 8th 2023
Friday, February 10th 2023
The annual international Conference of Young Demographers is held at the Faculty of Science, Charles University traditionally in the first half of February. They welcome submissions from all fields of demography, as well as all related areas of population studies. They aim to create a relaxed and welcoming environment where especially early career researchers can share their work in progress and thoughts with their peers.
CPC PhD student, Peter Dorey, will be presenting: Unemployment and Fertility in Great Britain: A Fixed Effects Spatial Durbin Error Panel Approach.
Thursday, February 2nd 2023
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Kinship, family and generations: Insights from formal demography (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Hal Caswell
Online
Thursday, February 2nd 2023
12:00 UK Time
Watch the recording: https://youtu.be/baLl43gjDfI
In this talk, Professor Caswell described a new theory for understanding, and making predictions about kinship networks derived from matrix equations. Given the importance of relatives and family, a formal theory of kinship has been slow to arise. Professor Caswell discussed how his theory is flexible enough to accommodate the age and size structure of populations, time-varying demographic rates, one or two sexes, the experience of bereavement due to the death of kin, and the burden of diseases or other conditions.
If we think (and we do) of the kinship network as a collection of populations, then the formal theory also leads directly to the analysis of lineages – sequences of generations, linked in lineages. It naturally provides a framework for calculating the growth or decline of lineages, the overlap of generations within lineages, and a new solution to the most venerable problem in stochastic demography: the probability of extinction or persistence of a lineage.
The panel discussion discussed the multidimensions of kinship, uncompleted pieces of the theoretical puzzle, their possible value, and how they might be completed.
Professor Hal Caswell is a Professor of Mathematical Demography and Ecology at the University of Amsterdam.
Professor Caswell is known for his contributions to both population biology and human demography. He develops new theory for understanding, with application to real world problems, especially to evolutionary questions and environmental questions related to climate change.
Professor Caswell’s research focuses on describing populations, using mathematical modelling based on matrices for plants, animals, and humans. His work concerns the effect of individual variability on the population a whole, for example how random outcomes of individual lives affect population indices such as longevity, and vice versa. His work also incorporates environmental unpredictability, such as floods, droughts, and climate change on population dynamics.
Professor Caswell applies matrix population models to the understanding of kinship, noting that family dynamics are important for the life histories of humans and of some kinds of animals: primates, whales, some birds, and social insects in particular. His matrix population models provide an important analytical tool to explore the patterns of kinship and family structures implied by particular sets of demographic processes.
Professor Caswell has received international awards in ecology and human demography, including the Mindel Sheps Award for mathematical demography from the PAA. He has received two advanced grants from the European Research Council, most recently in 2018, for a project entitled ‘The formal demography of kinship and families’, which is developing a complete formal demographic structure for studying kinship at the individual, cohort, and population levels. Professor Caswell is member of the ESRC Connecting Generations Advisory Board.
Professor Jakub Bijak and Dr Joanne Ellison were panellists at the event, chaired by Dr Jason Hilton.
Professor Bijak is Professor of Statistical Demography within the Faculty of Social Sciences at the University of Southampton. He has background in economics and 20 years work experience in academia and international civil service. His research focuses on demographic uncertainty, population and migration models and forecasts, as well as the demography of armed conflict. Professor Bijak received the Allianz European Demographer Award in 2015 for outstanding research on the causes and consequences of demographic change in Europe. He is Director of the EU funded Quantmig: Quantifying Migration Scenarios for better Policy project, and co-Investigator of CPC and Connecting Generations.
Dr Joanne Ellison is a statistician at the University of Southampton, where she works as a Research Fellow on the ESRC Connecting Generations Project. Joanne's research interests include stochastic modelling, fertility projections, demographic forecasting, and Bayesian demography. She previously developed improved fertility forecasting methodologies within the project, 'Understanding Recent Fertility Trends in the UK and Improving Methodologies for Fertility Forecasting'; and is currently working on 'Modelling kinship and quantifying the connections between generations'.
Dr Hilton is a lecturer in Social Statistics at the University of Southampton, where he leads the Connecting Generations strand of research on Modelling kinship and quantifying the connections between generations. Dr Hilton works in the areas of population forecasting, applied Bayesian statistics and simulation. He has been involved in consultancy work for the Greater London Authority, the European Asylum Support Office, and the Office of National Statistics, amongst others.
Connecting Generations is a partnership between ESRC Centre for Population Change, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science and the Resolution Foundation. It aims to understand intergenerational connectivity, producing novel science that informs policy debate.
Watch the recording here
Thursday, January 26th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Zachary Van Winkle (Seminars and lectures)
Zachary Van Winkle
Zoom
Thursday, January 26th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Seminar was held on Thursday 26 January at 1pm UK time. Zachary Van Winkle, Assistant Professor of Sociology at Sciences Po, gave a talk entitled "The cost of widowhood: A matching study of process and event".
Title: The cost of widowhood: A matching study of process and event
Abstract: Widowhood is a common life transition entailing far-reaching consequences. The consequences of widowhood will be examined in a novel way by assessing the consequences of bereavement for meaningful comparison groups allowing the evaluation of the impact of bereavement before and after the event. The analysis of the cost of widowhood for mental health and economic wellbeing focuses on two scenarios: unexpected and expected widowhood. The first scenario models a two-period process in which effects of widowhood occur only after the event. The second models a three-period process in which effects of widowhood also occur before spousal loss. US Health and Retirement Study data and a combination of random-coefficient modelling, propensity score matching, and regressions are used to estimate the consequences of widowhood from ten years before to six years after spousal loss. Results on mental health show a slow but full recovery for unexpected widowhood, but larger and lasting declines for expected widowhood. Findings on economic wellbeing show sizable losses for expected widowhood due to the economic cost of the pre-widowhood period. In sum, the impact of widowhood is smaller for unexpected compared to expected events. This approach advances knowledge about spousal loss, but also research on life events more generally.
Speaker: Zachary Van Winkle is Assistant Professor of Sociology at Sciences Po's Centre for Research on Social Inequalities. He is also an Associate member of Nuffield College at the University of Oxford. His research focuses on the interplay between family demography and social inequality from a comparative life course perspective.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, January 19th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Zachary Parolin (Seminars and lectures)
Zach Parolin
Zoom
Thursday, January 19th 2023
12:00 - 13:00 GMT
This CPC-CG Seminar was held on Thursday 19th January at 12pm UK time. Zach Parolin, Assistant Professor at Bocconi University, gave a talk entitled, "The Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty in High Income Countries."
Title:The Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty in High Income Countries
Abstract:This study investigates differences in the intergenerational persistence of poverty in the United States, United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, and Switzerland. Using comparative sources of panel data, we seek to explain cross-national variation in the relationship between exposure to childhood poverty and poverty in young adulthood. To do so, we introduce an accounting framework that decomposes rates of young adult poverty into two components: (1) differential exposure levels to childhood poverty and (2) the relationship of those exposure levels to young adult poverty. We then interrogate these components in four steps. First, we document cross-national differences in the extent, persistence, depth, and age of exposure to childhood poverty. Second, we assess whether cross-national differences in these features of childhood poverty can be attributed to demographic differences or institutional differences. Third, we measure cross-national differences in how exposure to childhood poverty influences poverty in adulthood. Fourth, we clarify differences in the mechanisms through which childhood poverty affects young adult poverty.
Speaker: Zachary Parolin is an Assistant Professor of Social Policy at Bocconi University, Milan. He is also a Senior Research Fellow at Columbia University's Centre on Poverty and Social Policy. His research focuses on the measurement, causes and consequences of poverty and social inequality across the United States and European Union.
Watch the recording here.
Wednesday, January 11th 2023
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Wealth booms and debt burdens: how Britain's recent economic history and outlook affects different generations (Seminars and lectures)
Professor James Sefton
Free online and in person
Wednesday, January 11th 2023
09:30-10:45
Event Date: Wednesday 11 January 2023
Event Time: 09:30 - 10:45 UK time
Event Location: Free online and in person
Watch the recording: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6aM7qDVz_8g&t=2368s
The financial crisis is largely considered to have increased inequalities between generations, with rising public debt leading to higher taxes for future generations, while the gains from rising asset prices have been accrued by older generations. Private intergenerational wealth transfers have grown - notably through the 'Bank of Mum and Dad' - but the scale and direction of public sector transfers are less clear cut. How policymakers confront the UK's economic challenges - from tax rises and spending cuts, to priorities for public services and a new strategy for growth - will have varying implications for different generations.
How has the fallout from the financial crisis affected the financial resilience of different generations in the UK? To what extent are younger generations today worse off than previous generations were at the same age, and how might this change in coming decades? And what can policymakers do to minimise the gaps both between and within generations which have already arisen, and ensure that future policies share the financial burden fairly?
Join Professor Sefton in the third Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk as he discusses new research on private and public intergenerational transfers since the financial crisis. He will be joined by Professor Jackline Wahba OBE (ESRC Connecting Generations, University of Southampton) and the session will be chaired by the Rt. Hon. Lord David Willetts (President of the Resolution Foundation).
James Sefton is currently a Professor of Economics at Imperial College Business School.
James is the Principal Investigator on the ESRC-funded project ‘Changes in the Distribution of Resources across Generations in both the UK and the US’, Academic Director of both Investment and Wealth Management (IWM) and Finance and Accounting (F&A) MScs and Co-director of the Financial Technology MSc.
His economic research agenda focuses on questions about intergenerational equity, pension policy design and long run trends in the housing market. As a quantitative finance researcher, he is interested in the design of both quantitative investment strategies and retirement investment products.
Professor Jackline Wahba OBE will be a panellist at this event. She is a Professor of Economics within the Faculty of Social Sciences at the University of Southampton. She has an interest in Labour Economics, Development Economics and Applied Micro-econometrics. Jackie is a research fellow of the Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Germany, CReAM (Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration) in London, and the Economic Research Forum in Cairo. She has also acted as an academic consultant in international migration and labour markets for several international organisations including the World Bank, OECD and IOM, and is a previous member of the UK Government's Migration Advisory Committee (MAC). She jointly leads the migration strand for the CPC, and is a researcher of Connecting Generations working on the project 'Migration connecting generations'.
Watch the recording here
