Research Programme
Modelling population growth and enhancing the evidence base for policy
Research co-ordinated by Jane Falkingham and James Raymer (both based at Southampton).
The core activity of this theme is the development of methodology for the statistical modelling of population change over time. This will focus on three key areas;
- Population projections that allow the inclusion of various life course transitions that populations may experience (e.g., those between states of residences, employment, marriage or health). Projections will be disaggregated by subnational areas and / or other characteristics (e.g., age, sex, ethnicity or place of birth)
- The estimation of inadequate or missing data used in population projections.
- Calculating the uncertainty in population projections
A number of projects will then develop applications of the model to investigate areas of key policy relevance.
Researchers
Guy Abel, Jakub Bijak, Jane Falkingham, Jonathan Forster, James Raymer, Peter W.F. Smith, Arkadiusz Wisniowski
