Modelling population growth and enhancing the evidence base for policy

The core activity of this theme is the development of methodology for the statistical modelling of population change over time within the project 'Developing a Dynamic Population Model for the UK’ co-ordinated by Peter W Smith.

Related activities:

Integrated Modelling of European Migration (IMEM) - This project is funded by NORFACE (New Opportunities for Research Funding Agency Co-operation in Europe) and aimed to develop a Bayesian model that brings together empirical data and expert judgements on the limitations of the various data sources, including inconsistencies in availability, definitions and quality, to estimate a consistent set of migration flows between countries in Europe with measures of uncertainty. The results of the project, including links to the IMEM database, can be found here.

Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute (S3RI) - S3RI, is a centre for research on core statistical methodology for generic problems and substantive applications, particularly in the social sciences, engineering, health and medicine. S3RI also undertakes and co-ordinates collaborative and cross-disciplinary research, across the University, nationally and internationally, including projects with government bodies and industry. S3RI involves more than 50 academic's many of whom are also involved in CPC research. S3RI works closely with CPC's modelling team.

The Care Life Cycle - This research programme is funded by EPSRC (Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council) and deals with the factors affecting the supply and demand of health and social care. The project aims to develop a suite of modelling tools which incorporate both the factors affecting supply and demand of health and social care, as well as expert opinions of stakeholders. The Care Life Cycle modelling tools will be used to inform the development of social policy for the benefit of society.