Friday, September 27th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Dimitri Mortelmans (Seminars and lectures)
Online and In Person
Friday, September 27th 2024
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar will take place on Friday 27 September 2024 at 12pm UK Time.
About the Speaker: Professor Dimitri Mortelmans is a Professor in Sociology at the University of Antwerp, where he is also Head of the Centre for Population, Family and Health (CPFH). His research concentrates on family sociology and sociology of labour. He has published on divorce, new constituted families, gendered labour careers and work life balance.
Wednesday, July 24th 2024
RIBA Horizons 2034: Reflecting on the Horizon (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Wednesday, July 24th 2024
13:00
The climate emergency, economic forces, population change, and digitisation. How will these future themes intersect, and what might be their combined effect by 2034? How can the profession rise to create a safe, prosperous, and sustainable future for all, not just respond to the future others seek to hand down to us?
This 'Reflections' session will be chaired by Sunand Prasad, Past President of RIBA. He will prompt the expert editors of the four Horizons 2034 themes - The Environmental Challenge, Economics of the Built Environment, Population Growth and Technological Innovation - to discuss the collective shape of the near future.
What new digital tools and human skills will be necessary to respond fully to the climate crisis? How can architects respond to emerging economic models and develop new architectural services that are appropriate to the forthcoming social, technical and climatic demands? Serving society and the profession better. How will population change influence the design of individual buildings and cities, so that design professionals are better placed to meet shifting demographic demands and the need for greater diversity and inclusion?
What are the cross-theme takeaways for the profession? What emerging trends are most deserving of our attention? What actions should practitioners and future architects be taking now to prepare for 2034?
CPC-CG Director, Professor Jane Falkingham CBE will be participating in the panel discussion.
Programme
Introduction and welcome
Adrian Malleson, Head of Economic Research & Analysis, RIBA
Panel discussion: Hearing from the RIBA Horizons scan authors
Sunand Prasad, Principal, Perkins & Will and Past President of RIBA
Chair and panel discussion host
Alice Moncaster, Professor of Sustainable Construction at UWE and Visiting Academic Fellow at Cambridge
RIBA Horizons 2034:The Environmental Challenge
Astrid Haas, Adjunct Professor at the University of Toronto and Research Associate for the African Centre of Cities
RIBA Horizons 2034:The Economics of the Built Environment
Jane Falkingham, Professor of Demography & International Social Policy and Vice President (International & Global Engagement), the University of Southampton
RIBA Horizons 2034:Population Change
Phil Bernstein, Associate Dean & Professor Adjunct, Yale University
RIBA Horizons 2034:Technological Innovation
For further details and to sign up, click here
Wednesday, July 3rd 2024 - Friday, July 5th 2024
British Society of Gerontology Annual Conference 2024 (Conferences)
Newcastle University
Wednesday, July 3rd 2024
Friday, July 5th 2024
The British Society of Gerontology Annual Conference 2024 will take place at Newcastle University from 3 - 5 July. CPC-CG Member, Professor Judith Phillips will be a plenary speaker at the event.
Wednesday, June 12th 2024 - Saturday, June 15th 2024
European Population Conference 2024 (Conferences)
Edinburgh, Scotland
Wednesday, June 12th 2024
Saturday, June 15th 2024
The European Population Conference 2024 will take place in Edinburgh from 12 - 15 June 2024.
The following presentations will be given by, or be based on the research of, CPC-CG Members:
Session 114: Contextual Factors For Fertility | 13 June, 09:00 - 10:30
Climate change and sex ratios at birth
J. Abdel Ghany, University of Oxford; J. K. Wilde, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; A. Dimitrova, Vienna University of Economics and Business; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; R. Muttarak, Universita di Bologna
Session 406: Well-being, Living Arrangements and Satisfaction among Older People | 13 June, 09:00 - 10:30 | Chaired by Maria Evandrou
Session 501: Internal Migration and Urbanisation | 13 June, 09:00 - 10:30
A Place-Based Approach to Population Sustainability: Internal Migration in Rural Scotland
D. McCollum, University of St Andrews
Session 1102 Flash Session: Data Infrastructures for Population Research| 13 June, 09:00 - 10:30 | Chaired by Ridhi Kashyap
QuantMig Migration Estimates: A New, Harmonised Set of Probabilistic Migration Flow Estimates For Europe, 2009-19
G. Aristotelous, P. W. F. Smith, J. Bijak, University of Southampton
Session 1105: Machine Learning Approaches for Population Health | 13 June, 09:00 - 10:30 | Chaired by Melinda Mills
Session 114: Contextual Factors for Fertility | 13 June, 09:00 - 10:30
The Association between Press Coverage of the Economy and Fertility in the United Kingdom
P. Fabrizio, University of Florence; A. Berrington, University of Southampton; R Guetto, University of Florence; J. Hilton, University of Southampton
Session 116: Flash Session: Fertility Indicators | 13 June, 11:00 - 12:30
Economic Uncertainty and Intentions to Remain Childless - Worries about the Economy or Individual- Level Economic Uncertainty?
A. Berrington, B. Kuang, B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Session 404: Migration and Spatial Aspects of Ageing | 13 June, 11:00 - 12:30
Are Local Places in Britain Becoming More Age Segregated (and What Does Internal Migration Have To Do With It)?
N. Finney, E. Graham, J. Hale, University of St Andrews
Session 1103: Modelling Kinship and Fertility Processes | 13 June, 11:00 - 12:30
Counting kin in an age times stage structured network
J. Butterick, J. Ellison, J. Bijak, E. Dodd, University of Southampton; JJ. Forster, University of Warwick; P. W. F. Smith, J. Hilton, University of Southampton
Poster Session: Fertility, Family, Life Course | 13 June, 12:30 - 14:00
Developing Male Fertility Forecasts to Inform Kinship Forecasts
J. Ellison, J. Hilton, J. Bijak, E. Dodd. P.W.F. Smith, University of Southampton
First and Second Births in China: Individual and Contextual Determinants
K. Hu, H. Kulu, J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews
Projection of migrant family life-courses in the UK
A. Ibbetson, H. Kulu, J, Mikolai, University of St Andrews
Session 207: Time Trends in Family and Household Types | 13 June, 14:00 - 15:30 | Chaired by Ann Berrington
Session 703: Migrant Health | 13 June, 14:00 - 15:30
Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Pakistanis, Bangladeshis and Their Descendants in England and Wales
J. Harrison, F. Sullivan, K. Keenan, H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Session 806: Flash Session: Morbidity | 13 June, 14:00 - 15:30
Inequalities in Working and Health Expectancies at Older Ages in South Korea
A Lam, K. Keenan, H.Kulu, University of St Andres; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
Worsening trends in disease accumulation and health inequalities among middle-aged and older adults in Scotland: cross-cohort analysis using health-linked data from the Scottish Longitudinal Study
E. Ribe, University of Southampton; G. Cezard, University of St Andrews; A.D. Marshall, University of Edinburgh; K. Keenan, University of St Andrews
Session 502: Internal Migration and Urban Change | 13 June, 16:00 - 17:30 | Chaired by David McCollum
Session 505: Flash Session: Internal Migration: temporalities, socio-economic and health outcomes | 13 June, 16:00 - 17:30 | Chaired by Nissa Finney
Session 1107: Modelling Subnational and Spatial Variation | 13 June, 16:00 - 17:30
Mapping Subnational Gender Gaps in Internet and Mobile Adoption Using Social Media Data
C. Breen, University of Oxford; M. Fatehkia, Qatar Computing Research Institute; J. Yan, D.R. Leasure, University of Oxford; I. Weber, Saarland University; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford
Poster Session: Health, Mortality, Ageing | 13 June, 18:00 - 19:30
Understanding Inequalities in Smoking in Pregnancy: Disentangling Maternal Age and Social Disadvantage
R. Ganly, M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford
Trends in the Burden of Disability in the United States, 1996-2018: Analysis Using Multistate Models
S. Sharma, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; J. Hale, University of St Andrews
Session 503: Internal Migration of Immigrant Origin Populations | 14 June, 09:00 - 10:30
Cross-National Comparison of Refugee Mobility in Europe
J. Lacroix, University of Geneva; M. Abed al Ahad, S. Christison, C. Liu, H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Session 602: Migrant Conflict Chronicles: Displacement Dynamics and Decision Dilemmas | 14 June, 09:00 - 10:30 | Chaired by Jakub Bijak
Forced Displacement within and outside of Ukraine: How Do Key Characteristics Explain Distance Travelled?
B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton; NYU Abu Dhabi
Session 401: Ageing, Distance and Care | 14 June, 11:00 - 12:30
Changes in Parents' Health and Their Proximity to Adult Children in Europe
S. Afable, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; Y.C. Vierboom, M. Evans, M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Session 707: Spatial Segregation and Migrant Populations | 14 June, 11:00 - 12:30
The Housing Integration of Asylum Seekers and Refugees in Germany
C. Liu, H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Session 1109: Innovations in Demographic Modelling and Projections | 14 June, 11:00 - 12:30 | Chaired by Jakub Bijak
Poster Session: Migration, Economics, Policies, History | 14 June, 12:30 - 14:00
Pension Protection Among Minority Ethnic Groups in the UK: The Role of Investments and Subjective Indicators
A. Vlachantoni, Y. Yin, S. Akhtar, S. Mocnik, University of Southampton
Session 205: Childcare | 14 June, 16:00 - 17:30
Has a New Age of Post Pandemic Work Arrangements Allowed Parents to More Equally Share Childcare Chores?
B. Kuang, B. Perelli-Harris, A. Berrington, University of Southampton
Session 710: Marriage and Unions of Migrant Populations | 14 June, 16:00 - 17:30
Heterogeneity versus Assimilation in Family Formation across Generations and Origin of Descendants of Immigrants in Sweden: Which Comes First, Homeownership, Marriage, or Childbirth?
M. Abed al Ahad, University of St Andrews; G. Andersson, University of Stockholm, H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Understanding partnership, employment and housing patterns of immigrants and their descendants in England and Wales through ethnic concentration
P. Pandya, H. Kulu, J. Mikolai, C. Liu, University of St Andrews
Session 910: Mortality Trends and Risk Factors | 14 June, 16:00 - 17:30
Deviating Temporal Trends of Substance Abuse Mortality in High-Income Countries
A. Adarsh, University of St Andrews; E. Acosta, Cenre d'Estudis Demografics; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and London School of Economics; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Session 102: The Role of Social Networks and Diffusion in Fertility | 15 June, 09:00 - 10:30
Belonging to the Neighbourhood, Residential Mobility, and the Transition to Parenthood
B. Buh, Vienna Institute of Demography; E. Beaujouan, University of Vienna, A. Berrington, University of Southampton
Social Capital Mediates Knowledge Gaps in Informing Sexual and Reproductive Health Behaviours across Africa
T. Koebe, T. Aidoo, Saarland University; R. Kashyap, D.R. Leasure, University of Oxford; V. Rotondi, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Southern Switzerland; I. Weber, Saarland University
Session 109: Fertility and Work Environment | 15 June, 09:00 - 10:30 | Chaired by Francesca Fiori
Session 405: Flash Session: Loneliness, Pandemic and Care | 15 June, 09:00 - 10:30
Loneliness and social isolation in the COVID era
A. Ling, Emory University, J. Hale, University of St Andrews, S. Cunningham, Emory University
Changing Care Needs in Times of Changing Contexts: Insights from the Experience of Adult Children in the UK during the Pandemic
E. Pomeroy, University of St Andrews; F. Fiori, University of Strathclyde
Session 709: Migrant Populations and Fertility | 15 June, 09:00 - 10:30
Determinants of Fertility among Immigrants and Descendants in the UK
J. Baek, H. Kulu, S. Christison, University of St Andrews; F. Fiori, University of Strathclyde
Shaping the Life Course: The Interaction between Partnerships, Family Building and Employment among Migrants and Their Descendants in the UK
S. Christison, J. Mikolai, H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Wednesday, June 12th 2024
Population Change | RIBA Horizons 2034 Webinar Series (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Wednesday, June 12th 2024
Which global megatrends are set to shape society, the built environment and the profession in the decade to come?
As the urgency of the climate crisis and demographic pressures fully surface, alongside the far-reaching impact of artificial intelligence (AI), engaging with change has never been more pressing.
By providing a ten-year view, the RIBA Horizons 2034 leadership webinar programme imparts valuable insights into the near future.
CPC-CG Director, Professor Jane Falkingham, and CPC-CG Member, Nissa Finney, will be participating in the RIBA Population Change Webinar on 12 June, from 1 - 2pm. Further details are below.
Population Change (12 June 2024, 1 to 2pm)
Introduction and welcome
Helen Castle, Director of Publishing and Learning Content, RIBA
Overview of population growth and change
Prof. Jane Falkingham, Professor of Demography & International Social Policy and Vice President (International & Global Engagement) at the University of Southampton
Changing demographics
Prof. Nissa Finney, Professor of Human Geography, University of St Andrews
Panel discussion: Population change and urban planning
Patrick Devlin, Partner and Later Living Lead, Pollard Thomas Edwards
Stephanie Edwards, Co-founder of Urban Symbiotics
Peter Oborn, President, Commonwealth Association of Architects
For further details, and to sign up, click here.
Wednesday, June 12th 2024 - Friday, June 14th 2024
Ageing in a transforming workd, 27th Nordic Congress of Gerontology (Conferences)
Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Stockholm
Wednesday, June 12th 2024
Friday, June 14th 2024
The 27th Nordic Congress of Gerontology takes place in Stockholm from 12 - 14 June 2024. The conference explores how researchers from different scientific disciplines and practitioners can come together to bring new insights that facilitate better living conditions for older adults and contribute to the sustainable development of current and future generations.
CPC-CG Members, Catherine Pemble and Professor Judith Phillips will be participating in the event.
Catherine Pemble will present "Echoes of Possibility: The importance of future focused thinking for people living with dementia".
Professor Judith Phillips will be a panellist on the session, "Graduate education in Gerontology in Northern Europe - what now?". She will also be acting as a discussant on the session: "Change and stability of place and ageing: on the role of time, transition, and belonging".
Visit the conference website for further details.
Tuesday, June 11th 2024 - Friday, June 14th 2024
Mobile Tartu 2024 Conference (Conferences)
University of Tartu, Estonia
Tuesday, June 11th 2024
Friday, June 14th 2024
The Mobile Tartu Conference 2024 will taking place in Tartu, Estonia, on 11-14 June 2024. The conference focuses on mobile big data analytics for just and sustainable societies.
The special themes of the 2024 conference are: mobility justice and socio-spatial inequalities; mobile big data analytics to inform climate change adaptation and crises preparedness; methodological advances, including AI-aided solutions in human mobility research.
CPC-CG Member, Dr Urska Demsar, will be giving the PhD School Keynote Speech at the Conference, entitled "Integrated Science of Movement: bringing together human mobility and animal movement research".
Abstract: Movement is a fundamental property of life and movement analysis has been a focus of many different disciplines, who use very similar research objectives and data models to study this phenomenon. In spite of this, there is still little overlap in the awareness and sharing of movement concepts, methods and models between disciplines. A particularly big gap exists between analysis of animal and human movement. Animal movement is typically studied in ecology, while studies of human movement span various disciplines, from GIScience, geography, transportation, computer science, physics and others. In this talk we compare methods on both sides of the divide and argue for establishment of an Integrated Science of Movement, which provides a framework for movement research in any discipline.
Thursday, June 6th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Mia Zhong (Seminars and lectures)
Online and In Person
Thursday, June 6th 2024
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar will take place on 6 June 2024. Mia Zhong, a Postdoctoral Researcher at City, University of London, will be delivering a presentation entitled, "The 'Studentness' Penalty: Opening up the Black Box of Student Employment"
Title:The 'Studentness' Penalty: Opening up the Black Box of Student Employment
Abstract:Students comprise approximately four per cent of the UK labour force and as much as 20 per cent in some occupations and jobs. Yet students' work is typically seen as marginal, secondary both to their current learning and future working biographies. Recent recognition that students face polycrises (austerity, inflation, rising housing and tuition costs) has focused public and media attention on students engaging in 'earning while learning' (EwL) and intensified narratives that emphasise the negative impacts of work for young people's education. Meanwhile, however, students' actual working conditions, occupations and employment experiences have received limited attention and constitute something of a 'black box'. We begin to open that box by focusing on the working lives of full-time students (aged 16-29) over the last 18 years. Data reveal small increases in the proportion currently engaged in paid work, but considerable consistency in rates of student work, job characteristics and occupational distribution over time. Gender is identified as a key variable in shaping student employment rates, with women considerably more likely than men to work while studying, especially at younger ages. We find no evidence of a gender pay gap in EwL but this is largely because most student workers are concentrated in two 'integrated' occupations, which are poorly paid but gender equitable - signalling the presence of a 'studentness' penalty. Older students are more likely to work in gender-segregated occupations, with both male and female gender pay advantages for gender-dominant employment, suggesting a possible early incentive for occupational gender segregation. In conclusion, we challenge the notion that education and work constitute two separate (temporally-ordered) spheres. To address the under-theorisation of EwL, we argue that these experiences may play an important role in setting expectations about the nature of work and, therefore, require greater attention and integration into conceptualisations of the 'working-life-course'.
Registration:https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZYvceytpz0qEtawG5DvrGgGImO_mORQ8Ap_
Speaker:Mia Zhong is a postdoctoral researcher at City, University of London on the ESRS project: "L-earning: Rethinking young Women's Working lives". This project is a 3-year study exploring young women's early experiences of work - including work while studying - and how these experiences may contribute to gendered inequalities in later life. Mia is a Ph.D. candidate at the sociology and demography joint program at UC Berkeley. She is interested in family, work, gender, and social networks. Mia is also interested in studying young full-time mothers who establish their careers as social media influencers, and she has been a research member at the UC Berkeley Social Network Studies.
Meeting Recording: We may record the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details: We require your name and email address to process event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce aggregate level statistics. If you require further information on the way your data is collected or used, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk. Further information about the way we manage data can be found here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice
Tuesday, June 4th 2024
20 Years of Impact: Celebrating the European Social Survey | NatCen (Conferences)
City, University of London
Tuesday, June 4th 2024
14:00 - 17:00
In 2024, The European Social Survey (ESS) celebrates its 20th anniversary. The ESRC has funded the survey since its inception, and in this event, brings together a series of speakers to present some of the high-quality international survey research it has funded, to coincide with the ESS' anniversary.
CPC Member, Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris, will be delivering a presentation as part of this event.
Find out more here.
Thursday, May 30th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Francesco Rampazzo (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Thursday, May 30th 2024
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar will take place on Thursday 30 May 2024, at 13:00 UK Time. Francesco Rampazzo of the University of Oxford will be presenting, "Exploring global family change through over a million family pictures".
Title: Exploring global family change through over a million family pictures
Abstract: In an era of rapid social change, our research delves into the evolving perceptions and representations of family dynamics worldwide. Using a vast dataset of over 1.5 million family images from Getty Images spanning 2005 to 2023, we investigate global trends in family portrayal through mass media. Our first study reveals Europe and North America as key producers and consumers of family images, with a notable preference for depictions featuring children and mothers. This preference persists across diverse cultural contexts, reflecting broader societal norms. Intriguing variations in family composition portrayal over time and across societies underscore the complex interplay between culture, demographics, and media representations, shedding light on evolving societal norms surrounding family and gender roles in commercial imagery.
In our second study, we explore the representation of LGBTQ+ families in global visual imagery and its implications for cultural globalisation. Despite legal advancements for LGBTQ+ rights worldwide, visual representations of these families remain understudied. Analysing sales data from Getty Images, we investigate the evolution of LGBTQ+ family representation and patterns of image sales. Preliminary findings indicate a notable increase in LGBTQ+ family depictions, particularly in countries with supportive legislation. However, these images are primarily produced and sold by Western countries, highlighting the influential role of visual representations in shaping social norms and emphasising the need for nuanced understandings within LGBTQ+ rights and recognition amidst cultural globalisation processes.
Registration: https://us06web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZEqduyhrTsvGN0XnosNpp3mJFFJ5cEi-wID
Speaker: Dr Francesco Rampazzo is a Lecturer in Demography at the University of Oxford. He works as part of the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, and his research interests include digital and computational demography with applications in fertility, migration, transitions to adulthood, and survey research. In his research, he uses digital traces data produced by advertising platforms, such as the Facebook Advertising Platform, and other markets, and repurposes them to study demographic phenomena.
Meeting Recording: This webinar may be recorded and your participation in the meeting may be captured. Please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Meeting Recording: We may record the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details: We require your name and email address to process event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce aggregate level statistics. If you require further information on the way your data is collected or used, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk. Further information about the way we manage data can be found here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice
Tuesday, May 21st 2024
Society Watch 2024: Understanding the new generation of voters (Conferences)
Science Gallery, Great Maze Pond, London, SE1 9GU
Tuesday, May 21st 2024
09:30 - 12:00
Society Watch 2024 will take place on 21 May 2024, from 09:30 - 12:00. The event, held by the National Centre for Social Research (NATCEN), will provide a snapshot of what life is like for people in Britain today, focused around timely societal issues. This year's Society Watch report focuses on the complexities of societal issues and explores the nuances of generational attitudes.
CG Members, Professor Ann Berrington and Molly Broome will be speaking at the conference.
Friday, May 17th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - George Ploubidis (Seminars and lectures)
Professor George Ploubidis
Online and In Person
Friday, May 17th 2024
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar will take place on Friday 17 May at 12:00 UK Time. Professor George Ploubidis of University College London will be presenting, "Healthy and inclusive ageing in the 21st century: A cross generational life course perspective".
Title: Healthy and inclusive ageing in the 21st century: A cross generational life course perspective
Abstract: The twentieth century witnessed significant improvements in health in most countries, including substantial increases in survival to older ages. George will propose that evidence from across the life course of several generations is needed to address the challenges and capitalise on the opportunities associated with an ageing population. Drawing on evidence observed in the UK's series of population based birth cohorts - which track large numbers of individuals from birth and throughout their lives - he will offer insights on how to promote healthy and inclusive ageing in the 21st century.
Registration:https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZIvde-urj4pHtFxvTj6Ndy-u9BL6IJbb7pF
Speaker: George is Professor of Population Health and Statistics at the UCL Social Research Institute and Director of the 1958 National Child Development Study and the 1970 British Cohort Study at the UCL Centre for Longitudinal Studies. His research interests relate to socioeconomic and demographic determinants of health over the life course and the mechanisms that underlie generational differences in health, well-being and mortality. His methodological work in longitudinal surveys focusses on applications for handling missing data, causal inference and measurement error. Prior to joining UCL he held posts at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and the University of Cambridge.
Meeting Recording: We may record the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details: We require your name and email address to process event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce aggregate level statistics. If you require further information on the way your data is collected or used, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk. Further information about the way we manage data can be found here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice
Friday, May 17th 2024 - Sunday, May 19th 2024
EVH Annual Conference 2024 (Conferences)
DoubleTree by Hilton Dunblane Hydro
Friday, May 17th 2024
Sunday, May 19th 2024
CPC-CG Member, Professor Alison Bowes, is presenting research with Vicki McCall at the EVH Annual Conference on 17 - 19 May.
Professor Bowes' presentation, entitled "Designing homes for healthy cognitive ageing (DesHCA): practical tools to support change", covers research from the University of Stirling on older people's and professionals' perspectives on supportive home design as we experience cognitive change. The presentation will describe the key findings of the research and showcase two evidence-based, tried and tested key outputs, a serious game (Our House) and video walk-throughs of home design that demonstrates cognitively supportive features.
Find out more about the conference here.
Tuesday, May 14th 2024
The genetics of reproductive behaviour and relationship amongst 36 reproductive traits | BDI Genomics (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Melinda Mills
Hybrid at the University of Oxford
Tuesday, May 14th 2024
09:30 - 10:30
The next talk in the Big Data Institute (BDI)/CHG (gen)omics seminar will be given by Professor Melinda Mills at the University of Oxford. Melinda will be giving a presentation entitled "The genetics of reproductive behaviour and relationship amongst 36 reproductive traits".
Abstract: Substantial shifts in reproduction and reproductive behaviour have taken place in the last decades in many industrialized countries including earlier age at menarche, advanced age at childbearing, rising childlessness and a lower number of children. As reproduction shifts to later ages, genetic factors may become increasingly important. This talk describes the main findings of recent GWASs of reproductive behaviour (age at first birth, number of children), and their relationship to health and externalising traits. It then links these to a review of 36 reproductive traits of both men and women, examining reproductive behavior, reproductive lifespan and aging, infertility and hormonal concentration. Using the GWAS Catalog as a basis, from 116 relevant studies 2009-2023, we isolate 29 genes that harbour association signals for four or more reproductive traits.
Tuesday, May 14th 2024
SCVO - Bringing data to life (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Alasdair Rutherford
Online
Tuesday, May 14th 2024
13:00 - 14:30
Good data visualisation can help us tell powerful stories and get our information across to people in an interesting and clear way. But it can be difficult to do well, and there are a baffling array of potential data visualisation tools out there.
CPC-CG Member, Professor Alasdair Rutherford will be giving this seminar which will look at why and when to use data visualisation, explore some of the data visualisation tools that are available, including free options; showcase some popular tools and different ways organisations have used data visualisation; find out what tools (if any) people currently use.
This webinar will look at the when and why of data visualisation and showcase some popular data visualisation tools. It also aims to connect people in the voluntary sector who are interested in bringing their data and information to life, facilitating discussion and networking/skills sharing.
The webinar is being run in partnership with the Scottish Third Sector Research Forum.
Book your place here.
Thursday, May 9th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Monika Mynarska (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Thursday, May 9th 2024
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Seminar took place on Thursday 9 May at 13:00 UK Time. Professor Monika Mynarska, of Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University, delivered a presentation entitled, "Doubtful ambivalence, uncertain indifference: Indecision in reproductive decision-making".
Title:Doubtful ambivalence, uncertain indifference: Indecision in reproductive decision-making
Abstract:Deciding to become a parent entails considerable deliberation and uncertainty. In demographic research, this uncertainty is often reflected in childbearing intentions, where respondents express doubts about their plans for having children. This uncertainty plays a significant role, weakening the link between intentions and actions. While external determinants of uncertainty, like economic instability or social anomie have been extensively studied, internal psychological factors, such as ambivalence towards childbearing, have received less attention. My current research project focuses on exploring the interplay between ambivalence in attitudes towards childbearing and uncertain intentions. In my presentation, I will briefly discuss the theoretical distinctions between uncertainty, indifference, and ambivalence in reproductive decision-making. I will also share insights from the project, discussing the role of ambivalence and reflecting on psychological factors, important for childbearing motivations, which might lead to weak childbearing desires or uncertain intentions.
Speaker: Professor Monika Mynarska is a psychologist and a social demographer at the Institute of Psychology, Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University in Warsaw. She is also a researcher at the Institute of Statistics and Demography, Warsaw School of Economics. Monika's research interests include family and fertility, and she focuses on motivations behind parenthood, examining the psychological and social factors that influence people's decisions to have children or to remain childless. An important part of her work is her involvement in the Generations and Gender Programme.
To watch the seminar recording, click here
Tuesday, May 7th 2024
Joint PHRG/CPC-CG Webinar - Professor Ann Berrington (Seminars and lectures)
Online and In Person at the University of St Andrews
Tuesday, May 7th 2024
12:50 UK Time
This Joint PHRG/CPC-CG Webinar will take place on Tuesday 7 May at 12:50 UK Time. Professor Ann Berrington of the University of Southampton will be presenting "Parental social background and reasons for intergenerational co-residence among young adults: New insights from the UK GGS".
Title: Parental social background and reasons for intergenerational co-residence among young adults: New insights from the UK GGS
Abstract: Young adults' transitions to residential independence have increasingly been delayed over the past few decades. Covid-19 and the cost-of-living crisis are likely to have accelerated this delay and changed norms regarding the acceptability of intergenerational co-residence. A previous lack of data means that hitherto it has been unclear whether co-residence represents a choice or constraint, and how this differs by gender and social background. For some young people co-residence is a positive choice, for example if they are living rent-free so that they can save up to afford rent or a deposit. Others will be living with their parent(s) because they simply cannot afford to live away. Experiences of leaving and returning to the parental home differ according to the resources available, and hence it is important to consider experiences according to parental socio-background. Using data collected within the 2022/23 UK Generations and Gender Survey we find that reasons given for co-residence vary by age. In comparison with those aged 25 and above, those aged 18-24 are more likely to give the response that they are happy living with their parent(s)/not ready to move out, or to cite the convenience of living at home. Those aged 25 and above are more likely to report economic reasons for co-residence. We find that the importance of economic reasons is similar according to parental socio-economic background, with roughly half of the sample of young adults saying that they are living with a parent either because they cannot afford to leave home, or are saving up for housing costs. Those from more advantaged backgrounds were, however, more likely to give "convenience" as a rationale for living with a parent. We consider these findings in terms of inequalities in transitions to adulthood.
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Friday, May 3rd 2024
High Level Experts Online Conference | Why Demography Matters. Population and Policy in the 21st Century (Conferences)
Online
Friday, May 3rd 2024
10:00 CEST
The High Level Experts Conference will take place on 3 May 2024. The conference, held as a partnership between the Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB) and Population Europe, will be hosted by the European Vice-President for Democracy and Demography, Dubravka Suica, the State Secretary of the German Ministry of the Interior and Community - Juliane Seifert, BiB Director - Katharina Spieß, and other eminent speakers.
The conference aims to discuss how population changes will affect policy frameworks in the coming decades and, conversely, how policy can influence demographic developments that lie ahead.
CPC-CG Members, Jakub Bijak and Hill Kulu will be participating in the below panel discussions:
10-11 CEST | Opening panel | The role of demography in evidence-informed policy making
Knowledge about population change is essential in every area of policy - but what kind of data and research is needed by different policy actors, and who can provide it? When it comes to challenges posed by recent and future population dynamics, e.g. by migration, health impacts of climate change and population shrinking, how can demography contribute by improving understanding of these processes and by providing reliable population projections for more evidence-informed policy making? What are beneficial examples of linking data sources, e.g. by combining information from registers, surveys, social media, satellite or other data?
C. Katharina Spieß | Director of the Federal Institute for Population Research, Wiesbaden | University Professor for "Population Economics", Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, Germany
Jakub Bijak | Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton | Principal Investigator of the European Union-funded projects 'Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy' (2020-2023) and 'Bayesian Agent-Based Population Studies' (2017-2021), Southampton, United Kingdom
Helga A. G. de Valk | Director of the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute | Professor of Migration and the Life Course at the University of Groningen | Deputy Chair of the Dutch State Committee on Demographic Development 2050, The Hague and Groningen
Wolfgang Lutz | Founding Director of the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austrian Academy of Sciences, University of Vienna) | Special Advisor of the European Commission Vice-President for Democracy and Demography | Vienna and Laxenburg
13-14 CEST | High Level Expert Panel | Population Diversity and Cohesion Policy: The Life-Course Perspective
How can we ensure that basic infrastructure can be adequately maintained, adapted and updated across member states, especially outside metropolitan, urban and suburban areas and in regions suffering from massive population shrinking, low net migration and rapid population ageing? How might supply and demand patterns for vital things, such as (green) energy supply, clean water, communication and digital infrastructure, public transport, public health facilities, affordable and acceptable housing, long-term care and other services, change in an era of increasing population diversity? And what can we gain from comparing experiences and approaches across Europe, considering the specificities of each region?
Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak | Vice-Rector for Science and Director of the Institute of Statistics and Demography at SGH Warsaw School of Economics | Member of the European Commission's High-Level Group on the Future of Social Protection and of the Welfare State in the EU, Warsaw, Poland
Róbert Iván Gál, Senior Research Fellow, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute | Head of Research Centre at the Corvinus Institute of Advanced Studies, Corvinus University, Budapest, Hungary
Hill Kulu | Professor of Human Geography and Demography at the University of St Andrews | Co-Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change & Connecting Generations | President of the European Association for Population Studies
Christine Schnor | Professor of Demography at the Centre for Demographic Research, Institute for the Analysis of Change in Contemporary and Historical Societies, Université Catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Belgium
To learn more and register to attend visit the conference website
Thursday, May 2nd 2024
CPC-CG Seminar - Professor Simonetta Longhi (Seminars and lectures)
Online and In Person
Thursday, May 2nd 2024
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar will take place on Thursday 2 May 2024. Professor Simonetta Longhi from the University of Reading will be presenting, "Stung by pension reforms: The unequal impact of changes in state pension age on UK women and their partners".
Title: Stung by pension reforms: The unequal impact of changes in state pension age on UK women and their partners
Abstract: We investigate the heterogeneity of the effect of having to wait for longer than expected to reach State Pension Age (SPA) on different groups of women and their partners. We find a positive impact on employment and labour force participation, but also large negative impacts on personal, financial, mental wellbeing and life satisfaction. The effects are larger for women with low education and for those without a partner, suggesting that changes in the SPA exacerbate existing inequalities. Our results caution against considering changes in SPA in isolation from personal and family circumstances, given that these affect outcomes significantly.
Watch the session recording here.
Friday, April 26th 2024
War, Displacement, and Migration in Eastern Europe and Eurasia (Seminars and lectures)
Hartley Suite, Highfield Campus, University of Southampton
Friday, April 26th 2024
13:30 - 17:30
The Centre for East European and Eurasian Studies (CEES), at the University of Southampton, held an event entitled, "War, Displacement, and Migration in Eastern Europe and Eurasia", on 26 April 2024. The event formed of a series of talks on the effects of contemporary conflicts in Ukraine, Nagorno-Karabakh and on the Tajik-Kyrgyz border on local populations.
CPC-CG Director, Professor Jane Falkingham CBE, opened the event, which was open to University of Southampton colleagues only.
The event featured presentations from Professor Jasmin Dum-Tragut of the University of Salzberg; Dr Anna Kvit of University College London; and Dr Alun Thomas of Staffordshire University.
You can listen to the podcast of the event here
Friday, April 26th 2024 - Saturday, May 4th 2024
Building financial resilience for later life | Visual Arts Exhibition (Public engagement events)
The Winchester Gallery
Friday, April 26th 2024
Saturday, May 4th 2024
CPC Members, Professor Athina Vlachantoni, Yuanyuan Yin, Spela Mocnik and Saddaf Naaz Akhtar, have organised a visual arts exhibition at the Winchester Gallery, on "Building financial resilience for later life', as part of their ESRC project on Inclusive Ageing.
This is a visual arts exhibition dedicated to exploring the intersections between ethnicity, financial security, and pension protection. It is the first public exhibition as part of our 3-year academic project funded by the Economic and Social Research Council's Inclusive Ageing initiative, titled 'Promoting inclusivity in pension protection and other forms of saving among men and women from black and minority ethnic communities in the UK: a mixed methods study', and based in the Centre for Research on Ageing, Department of Gerontology and Winchester School of Art, in collaboration with the ESRC Centre for Population Change Connecting Generations in the University of Southampton. The exhibition delves into the profound impact that life experiences and accumulation of resources have on later life outcomes. Here, we confront a stark reality: while many older adults relish the rewards of their labour and care contributions in retirement, others face a higher risk of possessing low financial resources when they reach their later life. More specifically, research shows that women and members of certain minority ethnic groups can be particularly affected.
Through a fusion of visual mediums and thought-provoking narratives, we aim to unravel the complexities around this topic and ignite change in perceptions. Utilising an innovative approach of participant-captured photographs, we seek to amplify the multitude of experiences and voices from minority ethnic communities. By immersing ourselves in their real-life narratives and experiences, we not only deepen our understanding of ethnic differentials in pension provision and accumulation of financial resources, but also obtain a deeper understanding of nuanced ways of preparing for later life in different communities, and pave the way for greater inclusivity and equity in future pension policy planning. Join us on this visually stimulating journey as we improve our understanding, challenge the norms and strive for a future where every individual's retirement is secure and dignified.
Thursday, April 25th 2024
CPC-CG/S3Ri Webinar - James Raymer (Seminars and lectures)
Online and In Person
Thursday, April 25th 2024
14:00 UK Time
This joint CPC-CG/S3Ri webinar took place on 25 April 2024 at 14:00 UK Time. Professor James Raymer of the Australian National University will be presenting, "Modelling the Age and Sex Patterns of Net International Migration"
Title:Modelling the Age and Sex Patterns of Net International Migration
Abstract: In this study, we test and apply a methodology to infer the age and sex profiles of net migration. Age and sex profiles of net migration are required as inputs into demographic accounting models for population estimation and projection. However, most countries in the world do not directly measure migration and residual methods for inferring age and sex patterns have proven inadequate, due to errors in the measures of populations, births and deaths. Since net migration rarely exhibits regularities across age and sex, we develop a strategy to first estimate flows of immigration and emigration by age and sex. Differences from these flow estimates represent our estimates of net international migration by age and sex. Based on promising results from empirical tests that used data from Sweden and the Republic of Korea, the methodology is extended to estimate age-sex patterns of net international migration for countries lacking migration data.
Speaker: Professor James Raymer is Professor of Demography at the Australian National University. His research focuses on the study of demographic processes, and he is especially interested in how migration influences population change. He has engaged in many interdisciplinary and international research collaborations on topics ranging from statistical estimation of migration to population forecasting.
Watch the seminar recording here.
Tuesday, April 23rd 2024 - Thursday, April 25th 2024
Data Impact 2024: Poverty in Data (Workshops)
Online
Tuesday, April 23rd 2024
Thursday, April 25th 2024
The Data Impact 2024: Poverty in Data conference took place from 23 - 25 April 2024. CPC-CG Member, Professor Nissa Finney, delivered a presentation in the session, "Poverty in data: Perspectives on poverty".
During her presentation, Professor Finney gave an introduction to the recently launched Evidence for Equality National Survey which provides novel data on experience and inequalities for ethnic and religious minorities in Britain. She focused on the importance of inclusive data, and the challenges of producing them and achieving impact.
Find out more about the event, and watch the session recording here
Monday, April 22nd 2024
Do men care as much as women? Myths, truths and policy implications (Seminars and lectures)
Southampton
Monday, April 22nd 2024
CPC-CG Member, Professor Athina Vlachantoni, delivered a presentation to the Southampton Women's Institute entitled 'Do men care as much as women? Myths, truths and policy implications'.
Thursday, April 18th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Professor Tony Champion (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, April 18th 2024
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar will take place on Thursday 18 April at 12:00 UK Time. Professor Tony Champion, Emeritus Professor of Population Geography at Newcastle University will be presenting, "The spatial impacts of the HE-related migration of the UK's school leavers: evidence from two sources"
Title: The spatial impacts of the HE-related migration of the UK's school leavers: evidence from two sources
Abstract: The rise in higher-education participation rates and the tradition of 'going away to university' has resulted in HE-related migration becoming the single largest component of internal migration for the UK migration. It has inserted a new dimension into the life course of many school leavers, involving place-to-place flows that are considerably different from when the vast majority went straight into the labour market. This seminar reports on the findings of analysing this phenomenon using two separate datasets, neither of which is perfect but potentially allowing a degree of triangulation for checking the main features. The official mid-year population estimates allow comparison of the numbers of 16-18 with 19-21 year olds, revealing the local authorities which gain and lose most from 'going away to university' movement. Secondly, the Graduate Outcomes Survey (GOS) enables the tracking of UK school leavers to university and then onto the subregion where they are working 15 months after graduation, such that the spatial impacts can be gauged in terms of both the numbers involved and the quality of human capital as measured via students' secondary-education Tariff Score and their type of job post-graduation. Each GOS respondent can be classified on the basis of their migration trajectories between domicile and workplace, enabling a set of migration accounts to be produced for each subregion. These demonstrate how the different places fare as a result of the migration of students/graduates, with more sub-regions suffering the 'double whammy' of losing out in both quantitative and qualitative terms than gaining from this process, with challenging implications for central government's current 'levelling-up' agenda.
Speaker: Tony Champion is Emeritus Professor of Population Geography at Newcastle University. His research interests include migration and its impact on population distribution and composition, with particular reference to counter-urbanization in developed countries. He chaired the IBG Working Group on Migration in Britain, which led to the publication of Migration Processes and Patterns (1992) and the IUSSP Working Group on Urbanization, which led to New Forms of Urbanization: Beyond the Urban-Rural Dichotomy (2004). He was President of the British Society for Population Studies 2013-2015 and co-editor (with Jane Falkingham) of Population Change in the United Kingdom (2016). His more recent and current research topics include the 'escalator region' effect in England, the role of migration in shaping the socio-demographic profile of British cities, the relationship between migration and commuting in England, long-term trends in migration rates (including the effect of COVID-19) and the local impacts of the UK's university-related migration.
The webinar recording can be watched here.
Wednesday, April 17th 2024 - Saturday, April 20th 2024
Population Association of America 2024 Annual Meeting (Conferences)
Columbia, Ohio
Wednesday, April 17th 2024
Saturday, April 20th 2024
The Population Association of America's annual meeting takes place in Columbus, Ohio from 17 - 20 April 2024.
CPC Members will be presenting:
Migration, Migrants, and Fertility and Reproductive Health | 18 April, 08:00 | Union B
Analyzing Different Fertility Levels Among Various UK Migrant Generations
J.Baek, H. Kulu, S. Christison, University of St Andrews; F. Fiori, University of Strathclyde
Flash: Contextual Influences on Fertility, Contraception, and Abortion | 18 April, 11:00 | Morrow
The Transition to First and Second Births in China: The Role of Compositional and Contextual Factors
H. Kulu, J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews
Environmental Influences on Mortality and Morbidity in Low- and Middle-Income Countries | 18 April, 11:00 | Franklin A
Climate Change and Sex Ratios at Birth
J. Abdel Ghany, University of Oxford; J. Wilde, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; A. Dimitrova, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; R. Muttarak, University of Bologna
Flash: Contextual Influences on Fertility, Contraception, and Abortion |18 April, 11:00 | Morrow
Social Capital Mediates Knowledge Gaps in Informing Sexual and Reproductive Health Behaviors Across Africa
T. Koebe, Saarland University; T. Aidoo, Saarland University; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; D. Leasure, University of Oxford; V. Rotondi, University of Oxford; I. Weber, Saarland University
Flash: Family Care Transitions and Trajectories | 18 April, 14:00 | Taft D
Who Moves Where? Changes in Parents' Health and Their Proximity to Adult Children in Europe
S.B. Afable, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Y. C. Vierboom, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; M. Mynarska, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Transitions to Adulthood | 18 April, 15:30 | Fayette Room
COVID-19, the Cost-of-Living Crisis, and Intergenerational Coresidence in the United Kingdom: New Insights From the UK Generations and Gender Survey
A. Berrington, B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Migration, Immigration, and Race/Ethnicity | 18 April, 15:30 | Regency Ballroom
The Housing Integration of Asylum Seekers and Refugees in Germany
C. Liu, H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Fertility of Emigrants via Online Retail Data: The Case of MammaPack
F. Rampazzo, J. Bell, R. Kashyap, M. Morellini, M. Mill, A. Stephen, University of Oxford
Neighborhoods, Environment, Spatial Demography, and Data and Methods | 19 April, 08:30 | Regency Ballroom
Homeownership Across Immigrant Groups and Generations in Sweden: Assimilation or Segmentation?
M. Abed Al Ahad, University of St Andrews; G. Andersson, Stockholm University; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Family Demography | 19 April, 10:30 | Regency Ballroom
The Interconnection of Homeownership, Marriage, and Childbirth in the Life Course of Young Adults by Immigrant Generations and Origins in Sweden
M. Abed Al Ahad, University of St Andrews; G. Andersson, Stockholm University; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews
Understanding Persistent Disparities in Smoking in Pregnancy in Finland and Sweden: A Counterfactual Decomposition Approach
R. Ganly, University of Oxford; M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science
Innovative Applications of Satellite and Spatial Data | 19 April, 11:00 | Franklin A
Assessing Satellite Imagery Performance for Population Estimation in Data-Scarce Settings: A Modeling Perspective
E. Darin, D. Leasure, R. Kashyap, University of Oxford
Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health | 19 April, 13:30 | Regency Ballroom
Fertility Trends in Contemporary Northern Ireland: How Does Fertility Behavior Vary by Education and Religion?
S. Christison, H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; B. Kuang, A. Berrington, University of Southampton
Spatial Demography of Environmental Risks | 19 April, 15:15 | Knox
Long-Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution Increases the Hospital Admission Burden in Scotland: A 16-Year Individual-Level Analysis
M. Abed Al Ahad, U. Demsar, F. Sullivan, H.Kulu, University of St Andrews
Digital and Computational Demography | 19 April, 15:15 | Franklin A
Mapping Subnational Gender Gaps in Internet and Mobile Adoption Using Social Media Data
C. Breen, University of Oxford, M. Fatehkia, Qatar Computing Research Institute; J. Yan, D. Leasure, University of Oxford; I. Weber, Saarland University; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford
Shocks, Disruption, and Fertility and Reproductive Health | 19 April, 15:15 | Union A
Romantic Partnerships and Childbearing During War: Virtual Interviews With Women in Two Ukrainian Cities Under Russia's Full-Scale Invasion
T. Gerber, A. Popovych, University of Wisconsin-Madison; B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Mate Selection | 19 April, 15:15 |Delaware B
Do Night Owls and Morning Larks Flock Together? Homophily and Convergence by Chronotype in 43,000 UK Couples
M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science; R. Taiji, University of Oxford; E. Akimova
Education, Employment, and Inequality | 19 April, 15:30 | Regency Ballroom
From Mobile Wallets to Stable Wages: Assessing the Employment Impact of Mobile Money in Developing Countries
V. Rotondi, University of Oxford, C. De Gasperin, Alumna, University of Milano Bicocca, S. Maione, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of South Switzerland; G. S. Ayele, University of Pavia and University of Milan; L. Stanca, University of Milano Bicocca; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford
Access to Technology and Secondary Educational Outcomes: Empirical Evidence From India
P. Poddar, R. Kashyap, V. Rotondi, University of Oxford
Flash: Gender Inequality | 19 April, 08:00 | Taft D
Gender Differences in Online Visibility of Early Career Researchers
X. Zhao, A. Akbaritabar, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; E. Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
Wednesday, April 17th 2024
Ethnic differences in pension protection in the United Kingdom between 2009 - 2023: Insights from Understanding Society (Seminars and lectures)
Department for Work and Pensions
Wednesday, April 17th 2024
CPC-CG Member, Professor Athina Vlachantoni, delivered a presentation at the Department for Work and Pensions on Wednesday 17 April 2024. The presentation, entitled "Ethnic differences in pension protection in the United Kingdom between 2009-2023: Insights from Understanding Society", was delivered to the Department for Work and Pensions Analysis team.
Tuesday, April 16th 2024
Making an application to the ESRC: tips for improving your project (Seminars and lectures)
De Montford University
Tuesday, April 16th 2024
CPC-CG Member, Professor Athina Vlachantoni gave a talk on Tuesday 16 April, entitled, "Making an application to the ESRC: tips for improving your project".
The event took place at De Montford University.
Friday, April 5th 2024 - Saturday, April 6th 2024
Lisbon Migration Economics Workshop (Conferences)
ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics & Management
Friday, April 5th 2024
Saturday, April 6th 2024
The ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics & Management will be hosting the Lisbon Migration Economics Workshop. The conference aims to bring together junior and senior researchers with specialisation in the field of migration economics.
CPC-CG Member, Dr Valentina Di Iasio will be presenting, "Natives' Attitudes and Immigration Flows to Europe".
Wednesday, April 3rd 2024
Race, place and home | St Andrews School of Geography and Sustainable Development Lecture (Seminars and lectures)
University of St Andrews, School III, St Salvator's Quadrangle
Wednesday, April 3rd 2024
17:15
CPC-CG Member, Professor Nissa Finney, will be delivering an inaugural lecture at the University of St Andrews, entitled "Race, place and home". The lecture will take place on Wednesday 3 April 2024, in person at the University of St Andrews, in School III, St Salvator's Quadrangle.
Abstract: In the early 2000s it was claimed that Britain was 'sleepwalking to segregation'. Twenty years on an average neighbourhood in Britain is more ethnically mixed than a few decades ago but less age-mixed and less wealth-mixed. In other words, neighbourhoods are becoming more similar to one another in their ethnic make-up but more different from one another in their age and wealth profiles. This lecture will demonstrate how this has come to be, how housing markets and individual preferences intertwine to shape local populations and housing experiences.
The talk will then unpick this portrait of social and spatial dynamics in terms of inequalities: how the global and national processes of migration and ageing unravel locally and are threaded with economic disadvantage and racism that create injustice in the ability to find and make a home. The lecture will conclude on a hopeful note, with examples of how innovative Social Science is illuminating inequalities and how, even in contexts of great hardship, strong sense of belonging nationally and to local places pervades.
To learn more and sign up visit: https://events.st-andrews.ac.uk/events/inaugural-lecture-by-professor-nissa-finney/
Thursday, March 28th 2024 - Wednesday, February 28th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Professor Andrew Geddes (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Andrew Geddes
Online
Thursday, March 28th 2024
Wednesday, February 28th 2024
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 28 March 2024 at 13:00 UK Time. Professor Andrew Geddes of the European University Institute presented, "Migration governance for, of and against crisis"
Date: Thursday 28 March
Time: 13:00 - 14:00 UK Time
Speaker: Professor Andrew Geddes, European University Institute
Title: Migration governance for, of and against crisis
Abstract: It's well known that there are real and pressing global challenges that could lead to the breakdown of natural and social systems - sometimes referred to as a 'polycrisis' - but does migration belong within this crisis thinking? Clearly, crisis thinking has become normalised in European migration governance and is projected into neighbouring countries and regions through these mutations. Political actors mobilise for crisis and an intellectual agenda supports mutations that catastrophise migration. Links between migration and climate change often seen as emblematic of polycrisis but conceptual flaws amplify the systemic breakdowns against which these ideas ostensibly warn. Extracting migration from this crisis thinking can illustrate how migration can be part of a solution to the deep-seated problems in social and natural systems that various notions of crisis claim to address.
To watch the recording of the seminar, click here
Thursday, March 21st 2024
Joint CPC-CG/CRA Webinar - Klara Raiber (Seminars and lectures)
Klara Raiber
Online and In Person at the University of Southampton
Thursday, March 21st 2024
12:00 UK Time
This joint CPC-CG/CRA webinar took place on Thursday 21 March 2024 at 12:00 UK Time. Klara Raiber of Radboud University presented, "Future pathways of unpaid caregiving research: Conceptual and methodological challenges".
Title: Future pathways of unpaid caregiving research: Conceptual and methodological challenges
Speaker: Klara Raiber is a Ph.D. candidate in Sociology at Radboud University and the SCOOP program. She holds a master's degree in Sociology from the University of Mannheim in Germany. Her Ph.D. project is on long-term employment consequences of caregiving for family and friends with health issues from a life-course perspective.
Abstract: More and more research focuses on unpaid caregiving, which is here defined as care towards friends or family members with health issues. In my talk, I will highlight the existing literature on the topic of unpaid care and the consequences thereof, including my own work. Building on this, I will sketch missing links and where I see future pathways both theoretically and methodologically.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, March 21st 2024 - Monday, April 22nd 2024
International Conference: Gender and Social Inequality in Fertility (Conferences)
University of Oslo
Thursday, March 21st 2024
Monday, April 22nd 2024
CPC-CG Member, Professor Ann Berrington, delivered a presentation featuring the UK Generations and Gender Survey Research (GGS) at the Gender and Social Inequality Conference, at the University of Oslo, on the 21st March 2024.
Tuesday, March 12th 2024
The determinants of first-time homeownership across the generations of immigrants in Sweden | Stockholm Sessions on Migration (Seminars and lectures)
Mary Abed Al Ahad
Online and In Person
Tuesday, March 12th 2024
13:00 - 14:00
CPC Member, Mary Abed Al Ahad, will be presenting as part of the Stockholm University's Department of Sociology Seminars.
Title: The determinants of first-time homeownership across the generations of Immigrants in Sweden.
Date: Thursday 12 March 2024
Time: 13:00 - 14:00
Sign up to attend here: https://stockholmuniversity.zoom.us/j/68002114107
Thursday, March 7th 2024 - Saturday, March 9th 2024
IUSSP Workshop on Population and Conflict (Workshops)
University of Southampton
Thursday, March 7th 2024
Saturday, March 9th 2024
Workshop on Population and Conflict
University of Southampton, England, 7-9 March 2024
Call for Papers:
Deadline for submission: 24 November 2023
Conflict, ranging from peaceful protests and civil unrest to insurgencies, armed clashes, and full-blown wars, is haunting many regions across the world with often dramatic immediate and long-term societal consequences. Political science helps us to explain why such conflicts occur and who gets involved. It is the task of social demographers to assess their ramifications for people's lives. Building on recent scholarly efforts to illuminate the demographic impact of conflict, this workshop is motivated by several overarching research questions: What are the challenges and solutions to collecting data in a conflict situation? How does conflict lead to demographic changes? Do these relationships vary by the type of conflict event and demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the location where the conflict takes place? Considering recent conflicts across the globe, we hope to enter a conversation about the various ways in which conflict events can influence population dynamics and how to use novel data sources for studying these questions.
As part of the activities of the IUSSP Scientific Panel on Population Dynamics under Global Conflict and Climate Change, the workshop aims at establishing and strengthening interdisciplinary networks among scholars working in the field of conflict and demography. This in-person workshop will be held at the University of Southampton, 7-9 March 2024. We welcome applications for presentation from scholars at all stages of their careers in demography, economics, sociology, political science, geography and other relevant disciplines. Scholars who already work on various socio-economic consequences of conflict are particularly welcome to apply.
Research interests that fit the workshop's theme include:
Conflict and Population Dynamics
Conflict and Reproductive Behaviour
Conflict and Mortality, Health, and Wellbeing
Conflict and (im)mobility
Demographic Impact of Social Movements
Data collection during conflicts
Research in conflict situations
Forced Displacement in Ukraine
Submission:
Please submit your paper using the IUSSP Abstract Submission Form.
Please fill out the form and include:
• a short abstract (150-200 words),
• an extended abstract (2-4 pages) or the full paper.
Please make sure your abstract includes the title, full name(s), affiliation, and e-mail address of each author. Corresponding authors will be notified of papers accepted by 4 December 2023.
The conference may be held in a hybrid format. However, we encourage in-person participation. A very limited number of travel grants is available to participants from low- and middle-income countries. If you are from a low- and middle-income country and you wish to be considered for a travel grant, please let us know when you submit your paper.
Organisers:
Liliana Andriano, University of Southampton
Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Raya Muttarak, University of Bologna
Mathis Ebbinghaus, University of Leipzig
If you have any questions regarding the workshop, please contact L.Andriano@soton.ac.uk
Associated Downloads
/docs/Call_for_Papers_Workshop_on_Population_and_Conflict.pdf
Thursday, March 7th 2024
Economics of long-term care: Long term care as a market (Seminars and lectures)
Professor David Bell
Online
Thursday, March 7th 2024
CPC-CG Member, Professor David Bell gave a webinar on 'Economics of long-term care: Long term care as a market", which was hosted by the Global Observatory of Long Term Care on 7th March.
In the seminar, Professor Bell summarised their chapter, 'The Economics of Long-Term Care' in the recently published, Routledge Handbook of the Economics of Ageing', defining feature of the market for long-term care, compared to the market for healthcare.
Find out more about the event here
Wednesday, March 6th 2024
International Women's Day with Justine Greening 'Inspiring Inclusion' (Public engagement events)
Professor Jane Falkingham, Rt. Hon Justine Greening
Online
Wednesday, March 6th 2024
18:00 UK Time
University of Southampton alumna and former MP, Rt Hon Justine Greening joins us for an 'In Conversation' with CPC-CG Director, Professor Jane Falkingham.
The University of Southampton's annual International Women's Day event celebrates the social, economic, cultural, and political achievements of women from our University community.
A former MP, Justine has become a household name, tackling some of the biggest projects and challenges facing society. The focus of our special 'in conversation' online event will be 'Inspiring Inclusion' and will be hosted by our Vice President, Professor Jane Falkingham.
This event, held online, will start at 18:00, details of how to access the broadcast will be sent to all registered guests a few days before the event.
Sign up to attend here.
Thursday, February 29th 2024
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Family matters: How concerns for relatives bridge intergenerational political divides (Seminars and lectures)
University of Southampton
Thursday, February 29th 2024
12:00 UK Time
Please join the event using this link: https://app.sli.do/event/4S9moQAPgp3MbypABG88ct
Where do people form their opinions about government policies? The research discussed in this Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk will show that family connections play a crucial role, influencing how individuals view the economy and government spending programs that may impact their relatives.
Surveys have typically overlooked questions about the well-being of one's family members, focusing more on the household or individual. To address this gap, Dr Zack Grant with Professor Jane Green and Professor Geoffrey Evans at Nuffield College, University of Oxford, recently conducted a new survey called Intergenpol-GB, involving over 6,000 adults in Great Britain. Detailed questions were asked about close family members in different age groups, perceptions of financial well-being of family members (as well as individuals and households), expectations of supporting family members, and targeted questions about pro-young and pro-old policy preferences, alongside political variables and vote intentions.
The findings suggest that concerns for the well-being of family members can influence political views, potentially mitigating age-based political divides in Britain. For example, older adults with financially struggling young relatives may support increased investment in education and housing, while younger adults who are worried about caring for older relatives may favour policies related to pensions and adult social care. Overall, this research indicates that 'family matters' when it comes to shaping policy preferences and political outcomes.
About the Speaker
Dr Zack Grant is a postdoctoral research fellow at the Nuffield Politics Research Centre at the University of Oxford. He conducts research into why different people think the way that they do about inequality, the welfare state, immigration, and the environment in Britain and other advanced democracies. He does this through the analysis of quantitative survey data and experiments. Zack was the recipient of a British Academy Innovation Fellowship for work on intergenerational political divides during 2022-23, and will be presenting work from that project in this talk.
About the Panellists
Professor Jane Falkingham, Dr Dianna Smith and Dr Matt Ryan will be panellists at the event.
Professor Falkingham CBE, FAcSS, FRSA is Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change and PI of Connecting Generations. She is a Professor of Demography and International Social Policy and Vice President (International & Global Engagement) at the University of Southampton. Jane is carrying out research on the drivers and implications of population change with a specific focus on intergenerational exchange. She has published extensively on the economic and social consequences of population ageing, the well-being of older people and on the interplay between health and work for people in mid-life. Her work particularly concerns population ageing, social care and social security, including the design of pensions systems and their impact on resources in later life. She is interested in the redistributive effect of the welfare state, how it varies across individuals and between cohorts.
Dr Dianna Smith. Her research interests are in quantitative health geography, using Geographic Information System mapping to visualise data collected or collated to address key social and spatial inequalities. She works across the disciplines of geography and public health with links to local government and third sector / civil society.
Dr Matt Ryan is Associate Professor in Governance and Public Policy at the University of Southampton. He is Co-Director of the Centre for Democratic Futures, and is Policy Director at the Web Science Institute. Matt leads the Rebooting Democracy project which aims to understand which innovations in public participation restore and sustain democracy. His research aims to establish how people can have control over the decisions that affect their lives, and crosses several disciplinary boundaries with a focus on research methods.
Connecting Generations is a partnership between the ESRC Centre for Population Change, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, and the Resolution Foundation. It aims to understand intergenerational connectivity, producing novel science that informs policy debate.
Audience members will be able to submit questions to the panel before and during the event via Slido.
Sign up to attend the event here.
Thursday, February 29th 2024
Open for the childless skilled only? The social rights of third country nationals as workers and parents in the UK and the European Union (Seminars and lectures)
Hybrid; Kellogg College, Oxford & Zoom
Thursday, February 29th 2024
15:45 - 16:45
CPC Member, Dr Traute Meyer, will be giving this seminar as part of the COMPAS Seminar Series. The seminar will take place on Thursday 29 March 2024 at 3:45pm.
Abstract: Governments in the UK and EU accept skilled workers from outside their territories to boost economic growth and reverse the trend of their ageing societies. At the same time, populations are sceptical about sharing welfare state rights with newcomers. To square this circle, governments have restricted social rights for new immigrants in many European countries. However, while EU governments must observe Treaty legislation, the UK is no longer bound by such constraint. Little research exists on how much the rights of working migrants born outside the EU and their dependents diverge between countries and between immigrants and citizens and how the difference can lead to inequality between the two groups and nations.
This paper will take stock of the rights of such third-country nationals (TCNs) who come to work in the EU and the UK and their dependants during their first five years. Analysing EU- and national legislation will show that the UK is now an outlier in Europe. While most EU governments are moving towards granting TCNs the same or similar rights as EU migrants and citizens in the UK, after Brexit, many more are now excluded from essential benefits. The paper will assess what this difference means for the income of a TCN household with a skilled worker, a partner and children compared with a citizen-household in the UK, Germany and Ireland as EU countries with a similarly large intake of TCNs.
Dr Traute Meyer is a professor of social policy at the Department of Sociology, Social Policy and Criminology at the University of Southampton. She has researched the social rights of immigrants in Europe, including in the UK after Brexit.
Sign up to attend:
Thursday, February 29th 2024
Crafting a Vision to Transform our Future Homes (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, February 29th 2024
14:30
CPC-CG Members, Professor Alison Bowes and Dr Cate Pemble, will be giving a talk entitled, "Crafting a Vision to Transform our Future Homes" at the Housing LIN Summit 2024 on Thursday 29 February 2024, at 14:30pm.
The agenda:
14:30 - Welcome and Session Format
Sally Taylor-Ridgway, Communications and Membership Officer, Housing LIN - @HLINComms
14:35 - Chair's welcome and introduction
George MacGinnis, Director of UKRI's Healthy Ageing Challenge
14.40 - How councils could apply essential ingredients for planning for an ageing population.
Jon Rouse CBE, co-lead of the Older People's Housing Taskforce 'places' workstream, City Director at Stoke City Council and former CEO of Greater Manchester Combined Authorities
14.55 - ESRC-funded research, the DesHCA Project and scaling for ageing.
Professor Alison Bowes, Professor, University of Stirling
15:10 - International research with the Royal College of Art on pioneering design to plan for later life
James Pickard, co-founder of urban design practice Pickard Catwright
15:25 - Insights into working within localities to assess older people's housing needs and aspirations
Ian Copeman, Business Director at Housing LIN
15:40 - Q&A
16:00 - Chair's summary and close
Friday, February 23rd 2024
Articulating and categorising ethnic identity: Reflections on politics of recognition and (mis)representation in 'big data' using the EVENS survey (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Nissa Finney
University of Glasgow, Main Building, Humanity Lecture Theatre (Room 255), University Avenue, Glasgow G12 8QQ
Friday, February 23rd 2024
11:30 - 13:00
In a world awash with data how do we untangle ethnic identifications and their meanings, and how well do 'big data' capture ethnic identities? In this talk, CPC-CG Member, Nissa Finney, considers how people articulate their ethnic identity, how this is - and isn't - captured by statistical categorisations used as standard in Britain, and the implications of this for how we conduct research and the creation of knowledge on experiences of minoritized people. The presentation draws on a new, exciting national social survey that was led by Nissa - the Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS) - published in 2023 by the Centre on the Dynamics of Ethnicity (CoDE). EVENS documents the experiences of over 14,000 people and provides unrivalled data on the lives of ethnic and religious minorities in Britain.
Using EVENS, Nissa draws out concepts that underpin articulations of ethnic identity and argues that new formulations of ethnic group categories are needed to reflect these, and to more fully represent the twenty percent of ethnic minorities whose identities are not well captured by current approaches. Focusing on two groups who are not routinely identified in official ethnicity data collection - Jewish and White Eastern European - Nissa discusses the power of recognition afforded (or not) through the creation (or not) of statistical categories, and the implications for whose experiences are silenced.
Sign up to attend here:
Thursday, February 22nd 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Xing Zhang & Anna Hammersmith (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Xing Zhang & Professor Anna Hammersmith
Zoom
Thursday, February 22nd 2024
15:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 22 February 2024 at 15:00 UK Time. Dr Xing Zhang and Professor Anna Hammersmith presented, "Adult children's marital timing and their financial support to ageing parents: Variation across gender, race and ethnicity."
Title: Adult children's marital timing and their financial support to ageing parents: Variation across gender, race and ethnicity.
Speaker: Anna Hammersmith is an Associate Professor of Sociology in the College of Liberal Arts and Sciences at Grand Valley State University. She earned her PhD in Sociology at Bowling Green State University in 2018. Her primary research interests focus on intergenerational relationships over the life course, health and well-being, late-life relationship formation and dissolution, and quantitative methodologies. Her research has appeared in The Journals of Gerontology, The Journal of Health and Social Behaviour, Demography, as well as The Gerontologist.
Xing Zhang is an Assistant Professor in the College of Health Solutions at Arizona State University. She completed her PhD in Policy Analysis and Management at Cornell University and a postdoc at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Her research focuses on how parent-child relationships shape young adults' transitions to adulthood and health, and variation across race, ethnicity, gender, and socioeconomic status. She has published in journals such as Journal of Marriage and Family, Social Science and Medicine, and Sociological Forum. Her research has been recognized by the National Council on Family Relations, the National Science Foundation, and the Spencer Foundation.
Abstract:Marriage is a key adult milestone, yet is also considered a greedy institution that monopolizes resources, reducing adult children's financial support to their aging parents. As young people today are more likely to marry later in life, this study asks whether marriage is still a greedy institution, considering the role of marital timing. Using the U.S. National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (1994-2018), we examine whether marriage timing (never, early, on time, and late) is associated with adult children's financial support to their parents, accounting for variation across gender, race, and ethnicity. We find that adult children who never married were the largest group who gave financial support. Results suggest that marriage is a greedy institution among men, women, and white adults, but less so among Black, Hispanic, and Asian adults, suggesting that expectations surrounding financial exchanges play a strong role in family support.
Watch the recording here
Wednesday, February 21st 2024 - Friday, February 23rd 2024
General Online Research Conference 2024 (Conferences)
Vogelsanger Str. 295, 50825 Köln, Germany
Wednesday, February 21st 2024
Friday, February 23rd 2024
09:00 - 20:00
This conference will take place from 21 - 23 February 2024.
CPC Members, Dr Olga Maslovskaya, Dr Grace Chang, and Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris will be presenting "Data quality in a long and complex online-only survey: The UK Generation and Gender Survey (GGS), on Thursday 22 February from 5:00 - 6:00pm.
Relevance & Research Question
Long surveys present high burden for respondents. For a long time the rule of thumb for length of self-completion surveys was not to exceed 15-20 minutes. More surveys are moving towards self-completion designs due to increasing survey costs and also due to high rates of device ownership and internet access in the UK and other countries. For some social surveys 20 minutes is not enough to continue collecting high quality data required. Some studies experimented with longer questionnaires and obtained reassuring results, for example, European Social Survey (ESS). However, more evidence is needed in this under-researched area. We collected the first wave of the UK Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) where only online mode of data collection was available to respondents. The median time spent on the questionnaire is around 40 minutes which is much higher than the advice given to survey practitioners in the past. It is important to assess different aspects of data quality of the long questionnaire. The main research question is: is long questionnaire associated with poorer data quality?
Methods & Data
We analyse the GGS collected in the UK. The GGS is a part of a global data collection infrastructure focused on population and family dynamics. The GGS collects demographic, economic, and social attitude data on young and mid-life adults (18-59) as they enter into adulthood, form partnerships, and raise children. We assess different data quality indicators: break-off rate, item nonresponse, different response style behaviours, consent to participation in the second wave of the survey among other indicators. We first conduct descriptive analysis and then use different logistic regression models to investigate data quality in the UK GGS.
Results
The results are reassuring and suggest that even though the GGS questionnaire is long and complex and interviewers are not there to guide the respondents through the process, the data quality is not poor.
Added Value
This study contributes to the under-researched area of long online questionnaires. This assessment suggests that, when carefully designed, long questionnaires do not represent risk to data quality and can be successfully implemented in self-completion surveys.
Tuesday, February 20th 2024
LabFam Seminar | Family and Employment Trajectories among Immigrants and Their Descendants in Europe (Seminars and lectures)
Hill Kulu
Zoom
Tuesday, February 20th 2024
13:00
CPC-CG Member, Professor Hill Kulu will be delivering this talk as part of the LabFam Seminar series. The event will take place online on 20th February 2024 at 13:00.
Abstract: Over the past decades, European countries have witnessed increasing immigration and ethnic heterogeneity of their populations. This presentation gives an overview of the results of the MigrantLife project. The focus is on family and employment trajectories among immigrants and their descendants in the UK, France, Germany and Sweden. Our research supports significant heterogeneity in family trajectories among immigrants and their descendants in Europe.
This heterogeneity is reduced among the descendants of immigrants, although some patterns observed for immigrants persist among the descendants' groups (e.g. preference for marriage), whereas others have almost vanished (e.g. large families). The results show that migrant background is strongly associated with partnership patterns, whereas the destination country context significantly influences childbearing behaviour. This suggests that while cultural-normative factors are important in shaping partnership behaviour of immigrants and their descendants, structural-economic factors may play a more important role in fertility decisions.
The study of employment trajectories shows that most immigrant men are in education or in full-time employment after arrival, whereas many women stay inactive, especially among family migrants.
Although the differences are reduced among the descendants of immigrants, employment levels are low for women of some minority groups. Importantly, the gender differences are larger for immigrants and their descendants than for the native population (with two native-born parents).
The results suggest the lack of opportunities for migrant and minority women with children, although cultural preferences may also explain low employment levels among some groups. We discuss the results in the light of competing theories of immigrant and ethnic minority integration: the classical theory of assimilation vs the segmented assimilation theory.
About the Speaker: Hill Kulu is Professor of Human Geography and Demography at the University of St Andrews. He was trained in Economic Geography at the University of Tartu (MSc in 1993). He received his PhD from the University of Helsinki in 1997. Over the years, Hill has worked at the University of Tartu (1997-2002), the University of Wisconsin-Madison (1999), the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (2003-2007) and the University of Liverpool (2008-2016).
Hill's substantive research interests lie in the field of migration, family and health studies; his methodological interests include the application of longitudinal models in demographic research. This research has advanced our understanding of how family changes and migration interact in people's lives and how residential context shapes childbearing, migration and health behaviour of individuals. He has published over eighty peer-reviewed articles in international journals and has edited six books or journal special issues.
Currently, he is leading two collaborative research projects.
The ERC funded MigrantLife project (2019-2025) investigates life trajectories of immigrants and their descendants in Europe and will project future trends. The FertilityTrends project (2019-2023) is funded by ESRC.
This project examines recent fertility trends in the UK and improves methodologies for fertility forecasting. Hill is President of the European Association for Population Studies, a Co-Director of the ESRC CPC-Connecting Generations Centre (2022-2027) and a Co-Editor of Population Studies. He is also a member of the Expert Advisory Group on Population and Migration at the Scottish Government.
Last but not least, Hill enjoys teaching population and methods courses at the University of St Andrews and supervising an international team of research fellows and PhD students
Thursday, February 15th 2024
Improving Accessibility, Harmonisation and Data Linkage in Europe (Conferences)
Zoom
Thursday, February 15th 2024
This event will take place on Friday 15 February. CG Member, Professor Melinda Mills will be contributing to the breakout session, "Challenges in Ethics, Re-identification and Data security". Register to attend here
14:00 - 14:50 - Main Panel
Siri Eldevik Håberg, Director of the Centre for Fertility and Health, a Centre of Excellence (SFF) founded by The Norwegian Research Council.
Tom Emery, Director of ODISSEI, the Dutch National Infrastructure for Social Science and Associate Professor in the Department of Public Administration and Sociology of Erasmus University Rotterdam.
Jani Erola, Professor of Sociology at the University of Turku and Director of the INVEST Research Flagship Center.
Roxane Silberman, Scientific Advisor at the Secure Data Access Center (CASD) and Elected Chair of the European Statistical Advisory Committee (ESAC), one of the governance bodies of the European Statistical System and Eurostat.
Daunia Pavone, Senior Data and Analysis Quality Advocate at the International Organization for Migration.
Moderator: Daniela Vono de Vilhena, Population Europe.
14:50 - 15:45 - Breakout Sessions
1- Creating comparable datasets
Markus Jäntti, Professor of Economics at the Swedish Institute for Social Research at Stockholm University.
Domantas Jasilionis, Researcher at the Max Planck Institute of Demographic Research and Member of the Human Mortality Database Executive Board.
Moderator: Daniela Vono de Vilhena, Population Europe.
2- Linking administrative and other types of data
Aki Koivula, Senior Researcher at the INVEST Research Flagship Centre, University of Turku.
Rodosthenis Rodosthenous, Research Coordinator at the Institute for Molecular Medicine in Finland and Head of the Sample and Data Logistics team at the FinnGen research project.
Moderator: Elina Kilpi-Jakonen, University of Turku.
3- Improving data accessibility
Jan Paul Heisig, Head of the Research Group Health and Social Inequality at WZB Berlin Social Science Center and Professor of Sociology at the Freie Universität Berlin.
Tina Hinz, Researcher at the division "Research Data Centre (FDZ)" at the German Federal Office for Migration and Refugees.
Moderator: Peter Weissenburger, Population Europe.
4- Challenges in ethics, re-identification and data security
Melinda Mills, Professor of Demography and Population Health at Oxford Population Health and Nuffield College, and Director of the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science and Demographic Science Unit at the University of Oxford. She is also Professor of Data Science and Public Health Policy at the University of Groningen and Department of Genetics, UMCG, the Netherlands.
Andrea Ganna, Associate Professor in Health Data Science at the Helsinki Institute of Life Science (HiLIFE) and Research Associate at Harvard Medical School and Massachusetts General Hospital.
Moderator: Andreas Edel, Population Europe.
15:45 - 16:00 - Conclusions and Final Remarks
Thursday, February 1st 2024
Launching the first UK GGS dataset - Wave 1 GGS-II | GGP-Connect Insight and Impact webinar series (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Thursday, February 1st 2024
13:00 CET
CPC Member, Dr Bernice Kuang, will be giving a GGP-Connect Insight and Impact Series Webinar on 1st February 2024, at 13:00 CET. Bernice will be talking about the launch of the first UK GGS dataset.
Abstract:Bernice will delve into the UK team's journey, sharing valuable insights on launching and promoting the UK GGS-II. Additionally, she will highlight the dataset's policy applications within the landscape of current UK policies.
Register to attend here.
Wednesday, January 31st 2024 - Thursday, February 1st 2024
Housing Professionals Conference: Engaging Communities Across Scotland (Conferences)
Apex Hotel Dundee
Wednesday, January 31st 2024
Thursday, February 1st 2024
10:00 - 16:30
The Housing Professionals Conference takes place on 31st January and 1st February 2024 at Apex Hotel Dundee, and aims to tackle issues and opportunities facing the sector such as Diversity and Inclusion, Dealing with damp and mould, Net Zero, and Challenges in Rural Areas.
CPC-CG Members, Alasdair Rutherford and Alison Bowes, from the University of Stirling, will be giving a keynote speech, entitled "Getting serious about the role of housing for healthy ageing".
Further details can be found here.
Thursday, January 25th 2024
CPC-CG Webinar - Gemma Catney (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Gemma Catney
Zoom
Thursday, January 25th 2024
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 25 January at 13:00 UK Time. Gemma Catney, Professor of Human Geography at Queen's University Belfast, presented, "Geographies of Ethnic Diversity and Inequalities (GEDI): Insights from Census 2021"
Date: Thursday 25 January 2024
Time: 13:00 - 14:00 UK Time
Speaker: Dr Gemma Catney, Queen's University Belfast
Title: Geographies of Ethnic Diversity and Inequalities (GEDI): Insights from Census 2021
Abstract: This seminar will explore the first findings from the Geographies of Ethnic Diversity and Inequalities (GEDI) project, a large ESRC funded project which is providing timely insights from the 2021 Census. The first part of the presentation will focus on the changing geographies of ethnic diversity and segregation in England and Wales, using Census data from 1991 to 2021. The presentation will show how the growth of ethnic diversity at the national level is mirrored across residential neighbourhoods, and that this growing neighbourhood ethnic diversity has been spatially diffusing across all regions of England and Wales. We evidence how increasing ethnic diversity is matched by decreasing residential segregation, for all ethnic groups. The presentation will also explore changes in mixed ethnicity households in England and Wales, and the relationships between mixing within households and neighbourhoods. The final part of the presentation focuses on ethnic inequalities. We introduce a novel ethnic group-specific neighbourhood deprivation index (the EGDI). Most measures of deprivation summarise the aggregate level of deprivation across all people in a given area, and no account is taken of differences between people with differing characteristics, such as age, sex or ethnic group. The EGDI was developed using a custom cross-tabulated 2021 Census dataset on employment, housing tenure, education and health by ethnic group for Lower Layer Super Output Areas. The EGDI reveals the complex geographies of ethnic inequality and demonstrates that while one ethnic group in a neighbourhood may have high relative levels of deprivation, another ethnic group in that same neighbourhood may experience very low relative levels. The EGDI explores ethnic inequalities within and between neighbourhoods and can be used to help shape locally and culturally sensitive policy development and resource allocation. More information about the GEDI project can be found here.
Speaker: Dr Gemma Catney, Queens University Belfast, is a Population and Social Geographer with research interests in ethnic residential segregation and diversity, ethnic inequalities, and internal migration. Her main research focuses include the changing residential geographies of ethnic and racial diversity, mixing and segregation; socio-spatial inequalities between ethnic groups; and the multiple scales of neighbourhood identity and belonging. She has published widely in leading international journals including Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, Urban Studies and Population, Space and Place.
Thursday, January 25th 2024
The launch of the UK Generations and Gender Survey: fieldwork, survey methods & early substantive findings | LSE Demography Seminar (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Grace Chang
Online and In Person
Thursday, January 25th 2024
12:00 UK Time
This London School of Economic and Political Science demography seminar will take place on Thursday 25 January at 12:00 UK Time.
CPC member, Dr Grace Chang, will deliver a presentation entitled: "The launch of the Generations and Gender Survey: fieldwork, survey methods & early substantive findings".
Abstract:We will launch the first wave of the UK Generations and Gender Survey, GGS, this January 2024. The survey is part of an international research infrastructure called the Generations and Gender Project, that examines life and family dynamics, across countries in Europe and other parts of the world. The UK GGS is a push-to-web, online only survey of UK adults aged 18 to 59, living in private households. To improve representativeness of the survey, we use a stratified random probability selection of addresses, with over 7,000 complete cases. The talk will cover how the fieldwork was conducted, the representativeness of the survey, data quality, and some early substantive findings about fertility intentions and childcare. The survey collects a wealth of information about key life events, family, and inter-generational relationships, with a special focus on full partnership, marriage, and fertility histories. It is specifically designed to capture information on the complexity & diversity of modern family life. These questions can be used to study topics ranging from fertility & intimate partnerships, to housing & leaving home, to health & commuting, to intergenerational transfers of support. Potential researchers interested in using this data may be interested in attending the talk.
Sign up to attend here.
Wednesday, January 24th 2024 - Thursday, January 25th 2024
The Festival of Genomics & Biodata (Conferences)
ExCEL, London
Wednesday, January 24th 2024
Thursday, January 25th 2024
The 9th annual Festival of Genomics and Biodata will take place at the ExCeL London on 24 - 25 January.
CPC-CG Member, Professor Melinda Mills, will be presenting "The Genetic Basis of Tolerance to Night Shifts" on the second day of the conference at 15:10 - 15:40pm on the Park Stage.
Tuesday, January 23rd 2024 - Thursday, January 25th 2024
Berlin Demography Days 2024: Overcoming crises: Shaping policy for an uncertain future (Conferences)
Professor Jane Falkingham CBE and Professor Hill Kulu
Online
Tuesday, January 23rd 2024
Thursday, January 25th 2024
CPC-CG Director, Professor Jane Falkingham CBE and CPC-CG Co-Director Professor Hill Kulu will be speaking at the Population Europe Berlin Demography Days taking place online from 23-25 January 2024.
The Berlin Demography Days is a forum for different perspectives on current challenges of societal change. It provides a place for stakeholders from science, politics, civil society, business, and the media to come together to discuss the future of our population that will radically change in the next decades.
The theme of this year's event is Overcoming Crises - Shaping Policy for an Uncertain Future. The discussions are aimed equally at an international audience, decision-makers who are confronted with the challenges of crisis prevention and crisis management, and researchers who contribute evidence.
The three-day event will be held online - with the exception of the first evening panel, which will take place as a hybrid event both online and in-person.
Participation is free of charge, however, it is necessary to pre-register. The event will be held in German and English, with simultaneous translation provided. Full information and registration details: https://population-europe.eu/events/berlin-demography-days-berliner-demografie-tage/berlin-demography-days-2024-overcoming
Programme
Each of the three days focuses on a different facet of the conference topic: Overcoming Crises. The afternoon sessions on each day will consist of one-hour panels ("Policy Dialogue"). Each day will conclude with an evening podium discussion ("Policy Horizon").
All times are Central European Time (CET).
Day 1, 23 January 2024, Understanding crisis management
Societal shocks require rapid and decisive action on one hand, and prudent risk assessment on the other. On the first day, this "paradox" of crisis management will be examined using past and present crises as examples. The experts will analyse and discuss the following questions: How can cooperation be improved between actors from politics, civil society, the private sector, academia and the media? How can demographic research support effective crisis management?
Afternoon panels
12:00-12:15: Welcome | Video Greetings from the Organizers
12:15-13:15: Our Successes, Our Failures: COVID-19 Management Put to the Test | Policy Dialogue
13:30-14:30: Will Artificial Intelligence Help Us Better Prepare for Crises? | Policy Dialogue
14:45-15:45: Who Can Cope, Who Can't? The Impact of Crises on Heterogeneous Societies | Policy Dialogue
16:00-17:00: Step Back to See the Whole Picture: Historical Perspectives on Crises | Policy Dialogue
Hybrid evening event
17:30: Registration (for participants attending in person)
18:00: Cultural Performance
18:10-18:25: Welcome
18:25-19:45: Escaping the Crisis Paradox Together | Policy Horizon
19:45-20:00: European Demographer Awards 2023 | Award Ceremony
20:00-21:00: Reception for all in-person participants
Day 2, 24 January 2024, Global crises - Local responses
Pandemics, violent conflicts, global climate change and demographic change all have far-reaching and worldwide impacts. How can such crises best be managed on a regional or local level? What can we learn from each other? When is cooperation across regions and at higher levels necessary, and how can it be made more efficient?
Given the diversity of decision-making levels and different conditions on the ground, there is no panacea or one-size-fits-all remedy for successful crisis management that can be transferred to other contexts. Rather, a variety of more or less successful and more or less coordinated strategies exists - from the local to the global level. How can we nevertheless learn from each other? To do this, we will focus on one of the following crises in each panel: COVID-19, the war in Ukraine, climate change, and aspects of demographic change. The focus will be on best practice examples of crisis responses at local and regional contexts. Are these responses tailored to individual populations? How transferable are they to other regions and contexts, and what role do political, socioeconomic and cultural factors play in shaping crisis responses?
Afternoon panels
13:00-13:15: Welcome
13:15-14:15: The Pandemic and Access to Information | Policy Dialogue
14:30-15:30: Adapting to Climate Change: Local Role Models | Policy Dialogue
15:45-16:45: We are Aging - Now and Later: Health Care in the Face of Demographic Change | Policy Dialogue
Evening event
17.30-18:30 War and Health | Policy Horizon
Day 3, 25 January 2024, How we can better prepare for crises
Getting ahead of the wave: How can we use population data and demographic research findings to strengthen crisis resilience of society, its institutions and individuals? How can specific groups of the population be made more resilient, especially those who are "vulnerable"? How can we better prepare welfare state institutions for crises? And how can we face future crises with a new narrative that motivates us to also see them as opportunities?
Afternoon panels
13:00-13:15 | Welcome
13:15-14:15: Building Back Better: After the "shock" and beyond | Policy Dialogue
14:30-15:30: Visionary Institutions for Crisis Prevention | Policy Dialogue
15:45-16:45: Fostering a Future with Intergenerational Solidarity | Policy Dialogue
Evening event
17:00 -18:00 A World Without Crises: is it Possible? | Policy Horizon
Watch Professor Jane Falkingham's presentation here.
Friday, January 19th 2024
Generations and Gender Survey UK Launch Event (Workshops)
The Story Studio, QEII Centre, Coram Campus, 41 Brunswick Square, London
Friday, January 19th 2024
10:30 - 16:00 UK Time
Join us to launch the UK's first Generations and Gender Survey. Come along to learn more about the survey, how the data can be used, and applications for policy.
The UK Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) collects comparative data on individual and family life histories, as well as personal opinions on social issues. The GGS is part of the Generations and Gender Programme (GGP), an international consortium of institutions that study fertility and family dynamics.
This event provides an opportunity to learn more about the GGS, find out what the data add to currently available data sets, and to network with other users. Expert speakers will share an overview of the GGP programme, describe the methodology and utility of the UK survey, showcase some early applications and research findings, and examples of cross-national comparisons.
Agenda
10:30 - 11:00: Arrival and coffee
11:00 - 12:00: Welcome session; Overview of the GGP and UK GGS (Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris, Professor Anne Gauthier)
View the slides here
12:00 - 13:00: Lunch
13:00 - 14:15: Methods session (Dr Olga Maslovskaya, Dr Grace Chang, Dr Arieke Rijken)
14:15 - 14:45: Coffee
14:45 - 16:00: Substantive session (Professor Ann Berrington, Dr Bernice Kuang, Professor Martin Kreidl)
Please contact cpc@soton.ac.uk for further details.
Sign up to attend here
Wednesday, December 6th 2023 - Thursday, December 7th 2023
Wittgenstein Centre Conference 2023 - Exploring population heterogeneities (Conferences)
Hybrid Conference
Wednesday, December 6th 2023
Thursday, December 7th 2023
CPC-CG members will be taking part in the following sessions at the Wittgenstein Centre Conference 2023:
6 December, Poster session 1:
Brian Buh, Éva Beaujouan, Ann Berrington
Local social capital, residential mobility, and the transition to parenthood in the United Kingdom
6 December, Poster session 2:
Mary Abed Al Ahad, Hill Kulu, Gunnar Andersson
Determinants and heterogeneity of first-time homeownership across the immigrants and their descendants in Sweden
7 December, Keynote talk 3:
Ridhi Kashyap, Nuffield College, University of Oxford
The digital revolution and demography: Perspectives from digital and computational demography
Full programme: https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/PDF/Conferences/2023_Population_Heterogeneities/WIC2023_agenda.pdf
Monday, December 4th 2023
Dutch Demography Day 2023 (Conferences)
Utrecht University
Monday, December 4th 2023
09:15 - 18:00
CPC-CG Member, Melinda Mills will be giving the key note address, "Real World Data and Demography". The most recent findings in population studies will be presented at the conference, including family and fertility, migrants and migration, health, mortality and longevity, population ageing, population growth and decline, and urbanisation.
See the full event programme here
Thursday, November 30th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Peter Brandon (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Peter Brandon
Online
Thursday, November 30th 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 30 November 2023. Peter Brandon, Chair and Professor of the Department of Sociology at the University of Albany presented, "Has legalized same-sex marriage improved the long-term economic security of American same-sex couples? The case of home ownership".
Title: Has legalized same-sex marriage improved the long-term economic security of American same-sex couples? The case of home ownership.
Abstract: In 2015, the Supreme Court of the United States legalized same-sex marriage. This landmark ruling was the result of the tireless work of gay rights activists over several decades. Today in the United States, married same-sex couples share the same rights as heterogamous married couples. And, recent polls suggest that the overwhelming majority of Americans, (over 70%), support same-sex couples having those rights and securing the benefits that an American legally recognized marriage provides. While controversy swirls around whether or not the Supreme Court's decision will remain settled law, a major question yet to be answered is whether the expansion of these rights and benefits to same-sex couples has improved their long-term economic security, such as building wealth. Put differently, newly acquired and broadened rights for American same-sex couples, like the right to marry, is progress, but has that led to increased and enduring economic well-being and security? This study addresses the question by examining changes in homeownership among married, same-sex couples since homeownership is usually a long-term financial commitment and a pathway to creating greater economic security. The study finds that homeownership among American married same-sex couples rose after the Supreme Court's decision; and that more of these couples obtain mortgages in both names rather than in only one; but the study also finds that which same-sex couples benefit from homeownership depends upon the self-reported sexual orientation of the couple.
Speaker: Professor Peter Brandon is Chair and Professor of the Department of Sociology at the University of Albany. He obtained his PhD in Public Policy Studies from the University of Chicago. His research interests include welfare and social policy, family change and diversity, and evaluation methods.
Watch the recording here
Thursday, November 23rd 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Alyson van Raalte (Seminars and lectures)
Alyson van Raalte
Online
Thursday, November 23rd 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 23 November 2023 at 13:00 UK Time. Dr Alyson van Raalte of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research gave a talk entitled, "Mortality inequalities in SES-groups and their families".
Abstract: In this presentation I will give an overview of how life expectancy and lifespan inequalities are trending by SES-group across Europe. I will tie this in with broader discourses on population heterogeneity. And I will show that the larger variation in age at death is somewhat paralleled by more unexpected deaths among family members in lower SES groups.
Speaker: Dr Alyson van Raalte is a Research Scientist at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. She received her PhD in public health from the University of Rotterdam in 2011, and prior to moving to Rostock, studied at the London School of Economics, and Queen's University in Canada. Her work examines age patterns of mortality and their determinates in developed country settings.
Watch the recording here
Thursday, November 23rd 2023
Election 24: Can we achieve sustainable growth? A roundtable event (Public engagement events)
TBC
Thursday, November 23rd 2023
18:00 UK Time
In collaboration with the Campaign for Social Sciences focusing upon the theme of 'sustainable growth' in advance of the General Election 2024, the Faculty of Social Sciences are organising a roundtable event in partnership with the Academy of Social Sciences. The event will be a "Question Time" format panel discussion with a public audience.
Drawing on the expertise of distinguished social scientists, the Election 24 project aims to identify positive and constructive policy suggestions on many key policy areas including the cost-of-living crisis; climate change and living standards; health and social care; immigration; and higher education, amongst others.
This event will be roundtable style with a mix of political representatives and public/academic figures, with our event focused on contributors/audiences in the South of England.
The event will be chaired by Professor Jane Falkingham CBE. (VP Engagement and International) and the panel will consist of the following guests:
• Councillor Satvir Kaur (Labour Councillor for Shirley and Leader of Southampton City Council)
• Professor Chris Armstrong (Professor of Political Theory)
• Professor Jagjit Chadha (Director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research)
• Professor Craig Hutton (Professor of Sustainability Science and Director of Sustainability & Resilience Institute)
• A Conservative representative TBC
The event will be taking place in Southampton City Centre with the venue being announced in due course and the roundtable will be followed by a drink's reception*. There are limited spaces available for roundtable and the drinks reception* so book soon to avoid disappointment. Guests must book individually to attend the roundtable and the drinks reception* and guests will not be admitted without a valid ticket, one ticket per person.
Tickets can be booked via Eventbrite.
Tuesday, November 21st 2023
Contemporary Jewish identities and experiences of racism: what can we learn from 'big data'? (Seminars and lectures)
Nissa Finney
Birkbeck, University of London, Clore Lecture Theatre, Clore Management Centre, Torrington Square, London, WC1E 7JL
Tuesday, November 21st 2023
6:30pm - 8:00pm
In a world awash with information how do we untangle what Jewish identity means today, how do data capture Jewishness, and what can 'big data' tell us about Jewish experiences of racial and religious discrimination?
In this lecture, Professor Finney considers how Jewish people articulate their Jewish identity and how well this sense of Jewishness is captured by statistical categorisations used as standard in Britain. She then compares discrimination experienced by Jewish people to other religious and ethnic groups, opening discussion about what might (or might not) be distinctive about contemporary Jewish experiences of racism.
The presentation draws on a new, exciting national social survey - the Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS) - published this year by the Centre on the Dynamics of Ethnicity (CoDE). EVENS documents the experiences of over 14,000 people and provides unrivalled data on the lives of ethnic and religious minorities in Britain.
Nissa Finney is a Professor of Human Geography at the University of St Andrews and member of the Centre on the Dynamics of Ethnicity and the Centre for Population Change. Her research focuses on race, place and inequalities, foregrounding concepts of home and racism. Nissa has a keen interest in research methods and since 2000 she has led the Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS). Her books include 'Racism and Ethnic Inequality in a time of Crisis: findings from the Evidence for Equality National Survey' (Policy Press, 2023; available as a free ebook) and 'Sleepwalking to segregation'? Challenging myths of race and migration' (Policy Press, 2009). Nissa is a permanent member of the Office for National Statistics Census Ethnic Group Assurance Panel.
Monday, November 13th 2023
Research forum: State of ageing research (Conferences)
Professor Judith Phillips OBE
Kia Oval, London, and online
Monday, November 13th 2023
11:00-12:30 GMT
Connecting Generations member, Professor Judith Phillips OBE, will be one of the panellists in this session discussing the journey that has led to the research landscape seen today.
Talks will cover key milestones in ageing and gerontological research, an analysis of REF data and its insights into quantity and quality, the role of ageing research within REF2021 impact case studies, a journey through the advancements achieved in biomedical ageing research, and the research components of the Healthy Ageing Challenge and its pivotal role within the broader research landscape.
Panellists
Professor Judith Phillips OBE, UKRI Healthy Ageing Challenge
Professor Alan Walker, University of Sheffield
Professor Carol Holland, Lancaster University
Cristina Rosemberg,Technopolis
Professor Janet Lord, University of Birmingham
This session forms part of the UKRI Healthy Ageing Challenge Healthy Ageing 2023 Conference.
Full details and registration: https://www.healthyageinguk.org/2023/agenda/?VID=381&EVID=6029
Monday, November 13th 2023
Perma-crisis people. The divergent economic prospects between generations (Public engagement events)
London and online
Monday, November 13th 2023
9:30-10:45 UK TIme
Perma-crisis people
The divergent economic prospects between generations
Register to attend in person or to receive an access link for online viewers.
Advanced economies across the globe have experienced a series of unprecedented economic shocks since the start of the century. But they have not affected all generations equally. The disproportionate impact on the financial wellbeing of younger people has sparked concerns about generational fairness on both sides of the Atlantic. Fifteen years on from the global financial crisis, its impact is still being felt by the young, and the not-so-young-anymore, across Europe and America.
How have the living standards of millennials, boomers and Gen Xers fared on either side of the Atlantic? Have British generations been permanently scarred, or are they bouncing back? How have different cohorts coped with soaring housing costs, inflated asset prices, and wages that have barely budged in 15 years? And how can today's working population expect to be supported in retirement, as the state struggles to reconfigure itself around an ageing population?
The Resolution Foundation is hosting an in-person and interactive webinar to debate and answer these questions. Following a presentation of the key highlights from its annual Intergenerational Audit, covering pay, jobs, incomes, housing, welfare and wealth, we will hear from leading experts on what these findings tell us.
The event will be open for people to physically attend, alongside being broadcast via YouTube and the Resolution Foundation website. Viewers will be able to submit questions to the panel before and during the event via Slido.
Register
Monday, November 13th 2023 - Tuesday, November 14th 2023
Healthy Ageing 2023 (Conferences)
The Kia Oval
Monday, November 13th 2023
Tuesday, November 14th 2023
9:00 UK Time
This year's Healthy Ageing conference organised by UKRI's Healthy Ageing Challenge, delivered by Innovate UK and ESRC, will again be held both in-person and online on 13 and 14 Nov. This year's headline theme is 'Adding Life to Years' within this context the conference will focus on the 4 areas where innovation is achieving the greatest impact: Care, Work, Staying Active and Housing. It will also bring to life other hot topics that regularly inspire discussion and shared learning including co-production, addressing inequalities, demonstrating impact, and how to support mental health and wellbeing.
CPC-CG Members, Professor Judith Phillips OBE and Professor Alison Bowes will be taking part in discussions during the conference.
Professor Judith Phillips will be part of "Research Forum: State of Ageing Research", and "Research Forum: Future of Ageing Research - panel discussion".
Professor Alison Bowes will be giving a talk during the "Housing Revolution: Scaling for Ageing", which will focus on the Designing Homes for Healthy Cognitive Ageing (DesHCA) project.
Watch recording: https://twitter.com/Ageing_SBDRP/status/1742832225421287851?s=20
Thursday, November 9th 2023 - Friday, November 10th 2023
The Truth About Ageing plus Q&A (Public engagement events)
Professor Alison Bowes
Forth Valley College
Thursday, November 9th 2023
Friday, November 10th 2023
13:00-16:00
Go along to a theatre play which invites you to explore and reimagine how we want society to view ageing and older age.
The Truth About Ageing explores how we can reframe ageing and older age from being seen as a problem to be dealt with to an opportunity to thrive. It is a follow-up to the Reimagining the Future in Older Age Project, exploring older age and the future. The play uses Forum Theatre, a type of theatre which enables an audience to intervene and change the action, reimagining how we want society to view ageing and older age.
Following the performance, there will be a Panel and Audience Q&A to discuss the issues raised by The Truth About Ageing. The panel will feature Connecting Generations Co-Director, Professor Alison Bowes, and Dr Melanie Lovatt from the University of Stirling, Dr Donald Macaskill, Chief Executive of Scottish Care, and Suzanne Dance, Actor and Facilitator with Active Inquiry. The panel is chaired by Dr Hannah Graham, University of Stirling.
Who's leading the event?
Dr Melanie Lovatt, University of Stirling.
The play was developed in collaboration with Active Inquiry and Scottish Care.
Active Inquiry is a theatre company based in Edinburgh. They create plays with and for communities enabling them to use theatre as a catalyst for dialogue and to uncover and challenge oppression.
Scottish Care is a membership organisation and the representative body for independent sector social care services in Scotland, covering private, charitable, and not-for-profit social care organisations.
There will be two shows of The Truth About Ageing :
Thursday 9 November 2023, 13.00-15.00
Friday 10 November 2023, 13.00-15.45 (Including Panel and Audience Q&A)
Booking: https://www.stir.ac.uk/events/23-24/esrc-festival-of-social-science/the-truth-about-ageing-plus-qa/
This event is part of the ESRC Festival of Social Science 2023 and was made possible thanks to funding from the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), which is part of UK Research and Innovation (UKRI).
Wednesday, November 8th 2023 - Saturday, November 11th 2023
16th European Public Health Conference (Conferences)
Dublin, Ireland
Wednesday, November 8th 2023
Saturday, November 11th 2023
The 16th European Public Health Conference will take place in Dublin from 8th November - 11th November 2023.
CPC-CG member, Mary Abed Al Ahad will present Air pollution, mortality, and hospital admissions in Scotland: A 16 years register-based study
And
Air pollution, self-reported health, and ethnicity in the UK: A spatial-temporal analysis
Monday, November 6th 2023
Local population change and policy challenges (Workshops)
The British Academy and online
Monday, November 6th 2023
14:00-17:00
Join us in London or online for this policy forum event to discuss the importance of local area demography for policy.
Submit event feedback
Experts will discuss local population change and the challenges it presents for effective policy, particularly in relation to geographical inequality in the UK, and the resulting levelling-up agenda. Speakers will share the latest knowledge on local population variation and the value of quality data, raising the question of how far individual policies should be tailored to places' particular circumstances, and provide an opportunity for discussion between cross-sector experts. The event will include an open policy forum for questions from attendees, ending with a networking reception.
Speakers
Professor Jane Falkingham, Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change and PI of Connecting Generations, VP International and Engagement, University of Southampton.
Professor Nicola Shelton, President of the British Society of Population Studies, Head of Health and Social Surveys Research Group, Epidemiology and Public Health, UCL.
Professor Tony Champion, Emeritus Professor of Population Geography Newcastle University.
This talk will highlight the complex dynamics of local population change, raising the question of how far individual policies should be tailored to places' particular circumstances. While the population nationally continues to grow, age and diversify, the local dimension presents a much more varied picture which poses a challenge for anticipating future trends and deciding how best to cater for them or possibly try and alter them. Overall change rates range widely, while any particular level of change can result from different combinations of rates of births, deaths and migration superimposed on profiles that differ in terms of gender, age, ethnicity and wealth among other features.
Rich Pereira, Deputy Director for Population Statistics and Head of the Centre for Ageing and Demography, Public Policy Analysis, Office for National Statistics.
The Office for National Statistics produces estimates of the population at the local level. The 'traditional' approach for this relies on a decennial population Census, adjusting annually to account for natural change and migration. This presentation will cover improvements that have been made in the population statistics system since the turn of the century to meet changes in policy information needs and to better reflect changing society. It will also cover the innovative research being carried out to make use of a wider selection of administrative data in population estimation, working with local policymakers, and how ONS is creating striking outputs that really help people understand and make proper use of the evidence provided.
Professor Grant Hill-Cawthorne, Managing Director of Research and Information and Librarian, House of Commons.
This presentation will introduce the different ways in which research evidence can impact policy within the UK Parliament and consider what we can all do to increase the degree to which policy is informed by evidence. It will also cover the multiple ways research evidence is used by the UK Parliament, for example, the Libraries use it to answer policy questions and analyse legislation, while the select committees use it as a foundation from which to launch inquiries. In addition, the Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology ensures that research evidence is translated into accessible summaries of a body of knowledge for use by parliamentarians.
Discussions
Trends in local population change
Inequality and vulnerable groups
Local data estimation to support policy
Policy challenges and opportunities
This event took place at The British Academy, London, and online via Slido: https://app.sli.do/event/gyseHdV79RNDhVWN6FH9Aa/live/questions
This event is organised in partnership between the British Society for Population Studies, the ESRC Centre for Population Change and ESRC Connecting Generations. It is part of the ESRC Festival of Social Science 2023 and was made possible thanks to funding from the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), which is part of UK Research and Innovation (UKRI). The event celebrates 50 years of the British Society for Population studies whose members have been scientifically studying human populations since 1973.
Monday, October 30th 2023
ACM Conference on Equity and Access in Algorithms, Mechanisms, and Optimization (Conferences)
Professor Ridhi Kashyap
Boston University, Boston, USA
Monday, October 30th 2023
10:30 EDT
Connecting Generations member, Professor Ridhi Kashyap, will give a keynote speech at the third ACM conference on Equity and Access in Algorithms, Mechanisms, and Optimization (EAAMO'23) on Monday 30 October 2023.
The conference aims to highlight work where techniques from algorithms, optimization, and mechanism design, along with insights from the social sciences and humanistic studies, can help improve equity and access to opportunity for historically disadvantaged and underserved communities. The conference will provide an international forum for presenting research papers, problem pitches, survey and position papers, new datasets, and software demonstrations towards the goal of bridging research and practice.
EAAMO '23 is organized by the Mechanism Design for Social Good (MD4SG) initiative, and builds on the MD4SG technical workshop series and tutorials at conferences including ACM EC, ACM COMPASS, ACM FAccT and WINE. The conference will feature keynote talks, panels, and contributed presentations across numerous fields. In line with the MD4SG core values of bridging research and practice, the conference will bring together researchers, policy-makers, and practitioners in various government and non-government organizations, community organizations, and industry to build multi-disciplinary pipelines.
Full details are available on the EAAMO'23 website.
Thursday, October 26th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Bruno Masquelier (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Bruno Masquelier
Zoom
Thursday, October 26th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar was held on Thursday 26 October at 13:00 UK Time. Professor Bruno Masquelier, from UCLouvain, presented, "Shifting age and sex patterns of premature mortality from ages 5 to 25: a systematic analysis of vital registration, surveys and censuses from 1990 to 2021".
Title: Shifting age and sex patterns of premature mortality from ages 5 to 25: a systematic analysis of vital registration, surveys, and censuses from 1990 to 2021
Abstract: The global health community is increasingly focusing on older children, adolescents, and youth, but measuring mortality risk in these age groups remains challenging. This presentation will analyse recent trends in mortality from ages 5 to 25 at the global, regional, and national levels. We will build on estimates from the UN IGME (United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation), derived from a comprehensive analysis of publicly available mortality data, including vital registration data, nationally representative surveys, and censuses. Age-specific patterns of mortality are undergoing significant shifts due to varying rates of improvement. Mortality declines have been much slower above age 5 than in younger children and neonates. In all regions except sub-Saharan Africa, the risk of dying between ages 15 and 25 now surpasses the risk of death in early childhood (ages 1 to 5). Additionally, the global sex ratio of mortality increased between 1990 and 2021, driven by faster declines in female mortality. Disparities in mortality risk, well-documented in young children, are extending to older children, adolescents and youth aged 5-24 within countries. Greater attention is needed to address these disparities and reduce equity gaps.
Speaker: Bruno Masquelier is a Professor of Demography at UCLouvain. He holds a PhD in Demography from Louvain University, and an MSc in Sociology. He is a member of the Technical Advisory Group on the UN Inter-Agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (IGME) and leads the work of this group on mortality in children aged 5-19.
Watch the recording here.
Monday, October 23rd 2023
Family inequalities, life-course events and children's outcomes (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Francesca Fiori
University of Strathclyde
Monday, October 23rd 2023
16:00-17:00
During this seminar, CPC-CG member Dr Francesca Fiori will introduce some of her recent research, whose focus is on the early life-course experiences of children from different social backgrounds, and their development and wellbeing.
Register to attend in-person: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/family-inequalities-life-course-events-and-childrens-outcomes-tickets-727495848667
The first study focuses on the experience of living with a lone-mother, and asks whether maternal employment is associated with higher levels of socio-emotional wellbeing. And if so, for whom, and which are the mechanisms that may explain such effect.
The second study focuses on residential mobility during childhood, and asks whether the experience of moving home has detrimental effects on children's outcomes, and whether this depends on the frequency, timing and quality of a move.
Both studies rely on longitudinal quantitative data from the Growing Up in Scotland birth cohort study, which follows the lives of (two cohorts) of children born in Scotland in the 2000s. Francesca critically applies advanced quantitative methods to unpack causality and selection effects, and to investigate the existence of heterogenous effects of life-course events on different sub-populations of children.
Francesca Fiori is a senior lecturer in Social Policy at the University of Strathclyde. She is a social demographer with an interest in gender and social inequalities, and the way these interact with demographic processes.
Thursday, October 12th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Brian Buh (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Brian Buh
Online and In Person
Thursday, October 12th 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 12 October at 12:00 UK Time. Dr Brian Buh, Research Assistant at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, gave a talk entitled, "Belonging to the neighbourhood, and the transition to parenthood".
Title: Belonging to the neighbourhood, and the transition to parenthood
Abstract: A sense of belonging is commonly described as experiencing comfort, security, connection, and 'at-homeness' that come from social interactions within a defined social or geographical space. Feeling like one belongs in their physical surroundings encourages emotional stability and investment, allowing for a person to 'settle down'. Additionally, belonging is a discursive resource that enables socio-spatial inclusion. This makes belonging an important prerequisite to social capital formation. Higher levels of social capital are associated with the transition to parenthood. This project explores the relationship between self-reported sense of belonging to the neighbourhood and the transition to parenthood. We employ the United Kingdom Household Longitudinal Survey (2009-2022) and utilise pooled-logit regression. In our preliminary results, we observe, that a stronger sense of belonging to the neighbourhood is associated with a higher likelihood of becoming a parent. This positive association is larger for individuals who had recently moved within five kilometres. Couples, where only the women or both have a low sense of belonging, have a negative association with first birth. However, we do not find evidence that couples where only the men have a low sense of belonging have a negative relationship with the transition to parenthood. These findings suggest that beyond direct financial or in-kind resources provided by social networks, emotional stability and 'at-homeness' are prerequisites to the transition to parenthood.
Speaker: Dr Brian Buh joined the Vienna Institute of Demography in September 2020. His research interests include fertility and competing/complementary life course domains, micro-level behavioural decision making, uncertainty and the labour market.
Watch the seminar recording here.
Tuesday, October 3rd 2023
Introduction to the Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS) (Workshops)
Online
Tuesday, October 3rd 2023
10:00 - 11:30
This workshop will take place on Tuesday 3 October from 10:00 - 11:30am. CPC-CG Member, Professor Nissa Finney will be presenting at the event.
The EVENS dataset provides unique insights into the experiences and attitudes of ethnic minorities in GB. Developed by the Centre on the Dynamics of Ethnicity (CoDE) in response to the disproportionate impacts of COVID-19, the largest and most comprehensive survey of the lives of ethnic and religious minorities in Britain for more than 25 years, EVENS explores how and why experiences of the COVID-19 pandemic varied according to ethnicity. EVENS used pioneering, robust survey methods to collect data in 2021 from 14,200 participants of whom 9,700 identify as from an ethnic or religious minority.
EVENS data covers: racism and discrimination, education, employment, housing and community, health, ethnic and religious identity, and social and political participation.
Thursday, September 28th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Joy Cruz ,Tom Emery and Stuart Gietel-Basten (Seminars and lectures)
Stuart Gietel-Basten
Online
Thursday, September 28th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 28 September at 13:00 UK Time. Professor Stuart Gietel-Basten of Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Dr Joy Cruz of University of Philippines, and Dr Tom Emery of Erasmus University Rotterdam presented, "The Generations and Gender Survey in Hong Kong: methodological innovations and some extremely preliminary findings".
Title: The Generations and Gender Survey in Hong Kong: methodological innovations and some extremely preliminary findings.
Abstract: The Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) is the pre-eminent international comparative, longitudinal survey of family aspirations and inter-generational and gender relations between people, expressed in care arrangements and the organization of paid and unpaid work. The survey, however, is predominantly performed in Europe. In order to explore commonalities (and differences) in such roles and experiences, the Hong Kong GGS was instigated in 2019. A pilot version of the survey was developed and executed in 2021 and the first full wave has just been completed. In this seminar, we will outline some of the methodological challenges and innovations of this survey, including details of an experiment designed to ensure the highest possible response rate. We will then present some extremely preliminary findings emanating from the first wave.
Speaker:Professor Stuart Gietel-Basten is a Professor of Social Science and Public Policy at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. His research covers the links between population and policy, with a regional focus on Asia. In particular, he is interested in the emergence of low fertility across the region, and the consequences of this in terms of population ageing and growth.
Wednesday, September 20th 2023 - Friday, September 22nd 2023
General Online Research Conference 2023 (Conferences)
University of Kassel, Germany
Wednesday, September 20th 2023
Friday, September 22nd 2023
The General Online Research Conference is annually organized by the German Society for Online Research in cooperation with a partner. The GOR 23 conference will take place in Kassel in cooperation with the University of Kassel from Wednesday, 20 September, to Friday, 22 September 2023.
CPC-CG Member, Dr Grace Chang, will be a giving a presentation, entitled "Fielding a long online survey: Evidence from the first Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) in the UK", based on research undertaken as part of the Generations and Gender Survey by Brienna Perelli-Harris, Olga Maslovskaya and Grace Chang.
Thursday, September 14th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - James Raymer (Seminars and lectures)
Professor James Raymer
In Person
Thursday, September 14th 2023
15:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 14 September 2023. James Raymer, Professor of Demography at the Australian National University presented, "Indirect estimation of migration in the Asia-Pacific region".
Title:Indirect estimation of migration in the Asia-Pacific region
Speaker: Professor James Raymer is Professor of Demography at the Australian National University. His research focuses on the study of demographic processes, and he is especially interested in how migration influences population change. He has engaged in many interdisciplinary and international research collaborations on topics ranging from statistical estimation of migration to population forecasting.
Abstract:Flows of international migration are needed in the Asia-Pacific region to understand the patterns and corresponding effects on demographic, social and economic change across sending and receiving countries. A major challenge to this understanding is that nearly all of the countries in this region do not gather or produce statistics on flows of international migration. The only information that are widely available represent immigrant population stocks measured at specific points in time - but these represent poor proxies for annual movements. In the presentation, I will present the methodology we developed for indirectly estimating annual flows of international migration by age and sex amongst 53 populations in the Asia-Pacific region and four macro world regions from 2000 to 2019. The estimates suggest 27 to 31 million persons from the Asia-Pacific region have changed their countries of usual residence during each year in the study. Southern Asia is estimated to have had the largest inflows and outflows, whilst intra-regional migration and return migration were highest in Eastern, Southern, and South-Eastern Asia. India, China, and Indonesia were estimated to have had the largest emigration flows and net migration losses. As a first attempt to estimate international migration flows in the Asia-Pacific region, this paper provides a basis for understanding the dynamics and complexity of the large-scale migration occurring in the region.
Wednesday, September 13th 2023 - Friday, September 15th 2023
7th Generations & Gender Programme (GGP) User Conference (Conferences)
Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Wednesday, September 13th 2023
Friday, September 15th 2023
The 7th Generations and Gender Programme Conference will be held at Warsaw School of Economics, Poland, between 13 September - 15 September.
CPC-CG Members, Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris and Dr Bernice Kuang, will be presenting at the conference.
Brienna will present: Representativeness of the push-to-web Generations and Gender Survey in the United Kingdom.
Bernice will present: Are worries about the future and Brexit voting behaviours related to fertility intentions?
See the full programme - https://www.ggp-i.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/GGP7UserConf_FullProgram-v1.pdf
Monday, September 11th 2023 - Wednesday, September 13th 2023
British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) annual conference 2023 (Conferences)
Keele University
Monday, September 11th 2023
Wednesday, September 13th 2023
The Annual British Society for Population Studies conference will be taking place from 11th September - 13th September at Keele University.
CPC researchers have been contributing to BSPS by volunteering as strand organisers, submitting papers to present, and chairing sessions.
Attendees of BSPS 2023 can hear more about our members' research in the sessions below, and you can follow our live tweets on twitter, @CPCpopulation @ConnectingGens or by following the event #BSPS2023. Full programme and registration details are available from the BSPS website.
Monday 11 September
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Socioeconomic inequalities in later life
Title: Did the socio-economic gradient in depression in later-life improve or worsen during the COVID 19 pandemic? New evidence from England using path analysis
Authors: Qin, Evandrou, Falkingham, Vlachantoni
Session: Ethnicity, internal migration & fertility
Title: Residential mobility and housing changes among immigrants and their descendants in the UK
Authors: Mikolai, Kulu
Session: Ethnicity, internal migration & fertility
Title: Modelling determinants of fertility among UK-born ethnic minorities using event history analysis
Authors: Baek, Kulu, Fiori
Session: Covid-19
Title: Excess mortality by cause of death during the COVID-19 pandemic in England and Wales
Authors: Kashyap, Tilstra, Jonas Schoeley, Aburto, Angus, Beam Dowd
16:45 - 18:15
Session: Fertility & uncertainty 1
Title: Are worries about the future and Brexit voting behaviours related to Historical demography: Transitions & kinship 1. The First Demographic Transition in Britain - one Informal care, social participation & volunteering Digital footprint data for population science 2 1. High-resolution forecasting of European Family background, (dis)advantage, income & wealth Recent life expectancy trends 1. Exploring the sex difference in life Childhood migration Chair: Dr. Aude Bernard fertility intentions? New Evidence from the UK Gender and Generations Survey
Authors: Berrington, Kuang, Perelli-Harris
Session: Fertility & uncertainty 1
Title: Fertility trends and changing housing contexts in Scotland: A longitudinal analysis
Authors: Christison, Kulu, Berrington
Session: Informal care, social participation & volunteering
Title: COVID-19 & informal care: A quantitative analysis of the provision of informal care by adult children in the UK before and during the pandemic
Authors: Pomeroy, Fiori
Session: Family background, (dis)advantage, income & wealth
Title: Family complexity trajectories in the UK from birth to age 10
Authors: Stastna, Mikolai, Finney, Keenan
Tuesday 12th September
09:00 - 10:30
Session: Data science: Innovations in demographic data
Title: Data2ThePeople: A crowdsourcing project to ethically repurpose multiple types of personal data
Authors: Mills, Akimova, Zhoa
Session: Internal migration as a driver of change
Title: Is the internal migrant premium for social mobility consistent over time and place? Analysis for England, 1971-2011 using the Census Longitudinal Study
Authors: Ribe, Finney, McCollum, Kulu
Session: Climate change & population dynamics
Title: Climate change and sex ratios at birth
Authors: Abdel Ghany, Wilde, Dimitrova, Muttarak, Kashyap.
11:00 - 12:00
Session: Plenary 2 - Dr Louisa Blackwell (ONS), Professor Ridhi Kashyap (University of Oxford) and Dr Bernice Kuang (University of Southampton) - who will have a conversation about new and future developments in British population studies
Authors: Dr Louisa Blackwell (ONS), Professor Ridhi Kashyap (University of Oxford) and Dr Bernice Kuang
13:00 - 14:30
Session: Fertility & uncertainty 2
Title: Local social networks and fertility in the United Kingdom
Authors: Buh, Beaujouan, Berrington
Session: Relationships & loneliness in later life
Title: The relationship between parental health and adult children's residential proximity: findings from SHARE
Authors: Afable, Vierboom, Mikolai, Myrskyla, Kulu
Session: Understanding local geographies of ethnicity in the UK
Title: Geographies of Ethnic Diversity and Inequalities (GEDI): Insights from Census 2021
Authors: Catney, Lloyd, Ellis, Wright, Finney, Jivraj, Manley, Wood
Session: Understanding local geographies of ethnicity in the UK
Title: Local belonging of ethnic minorities in England and Wales: exploring local contexts, experiences of racism and ethnic attachment
Authors: Harrison, Finney
Session: Understanding local geographies of ethnicity in the UK
Title: Understanding family, employment and housing patterns of immigrants and their descendants in England and Wales through a spatial context
Authors: Pandya, Kulu, Mikolai, Liu, Delaporte
14:45 - 16:16
Session: Health in later life
Title: Birth cohort differences in multimorbidity progression in South Korea
Authors: Lam, Keenan, Myrskylä, Kulu
Session: Session B: Spatial modelling in international, micro context
Title: Geographical variation in females' first and second birth in China
Authors: Hu, Kulu, Mikolai
Session: Health & mortality inequalities
Title: The unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess deaths: an analysis by deprivation quintile and cause of death in England -
Authors: Angus, Tilstra, Schöley, Kashyap, Dowd
17:30 - 19:00
Session: Data science: Estimation and forecasting (to 7.15pm)
Title: Developing Bayesian projections of subnational fertility for the UK
Authors: Ellison, Hilton, Bijak, Dodd, Forster, Smith
Session: Residential mobility, housing of immigrants & their descendants in Europe
Title: The determinants of first-time homeownership across the generations of Immigrants in Sweden
Authors: Al Ahad, Andersson, Kulu
Session: Residential mobility, housing of immigrants & their descendants in Europe
Title: Residential mobility and housing tenure of immigrants in Germany by legal status
Authors: Liu, Kulu
Wednesday 13th September
11:30 - 13:00
Session: Ethnicity measurement, estimation & forecasting
Title: Projection of migrant family life-courses in Britain
Authors: Kulu, Ibbetson, Mikolai
Session: Ethnicity measurement, estimation & forecasting
Title: Articulating and categorising ethnic identity: reflections on invisible identities in standard ethnic group categories using the EVENS Survey
Authors: Borkowska, Finney, Nazroo
Session: Environmental context & health
Title: Long-term exposure to air pollution and hospital admissions in Scotland: A 16-years register-based study (2002-2017)
Authors: Ahad, Demar, Sullivan, Kulu
Thursday, September 7th 2023 - Saturday, September 9th 2023
21st ESPAnet Annual Conference 2023 (Conferences)
Warsaw, Poland
Thursday, September 7th 2023
Saturday, September 9th 2023
The 21st ESPAnet Annual Conference 2023 will take place at the University of Warsaw, hosted by the Faculty of Political Science and International Studies at the University of Warsaw and co-organised by LabFam - the Interdisciplinary Centre for Labour Market and Family Dynamics at the Faculty of Economics, University of Warsaw.
CPC member Paul Bridgen will present:
Welfare institutions, cross-cutting coalitions and the opportunities for socio-ecological transition in liberal welfare state regimes
For more information, see the conference website.
Monday, September 4th 2023 - Thursday, September 7th 2023
Royal Statistical Society Conference (Conferences)
Harrogate, Yorkshire
Monday, September 4th 2023
Thursday, September 7th 2023
The Royal Statistical Society International Conference will be taking place on the 4-7 September 2023, in Harrogate, Yorkshire.
CPC-CG Member, Dr Joanne Ellison, will be giving a talk entitled, "Projecting UK Subnational Fertility using Bayesian Generalised Additive Models".
Abstract:Subnational fertility projections (SNFPs) are an important driver of subnational population projections (SNPPs), which are vital for national and local governments and businesses to distribute funding and anticipate future demand for resources, products or services. In the UK, SNPPs are published separately by the constituent countries, each with differing assumptions and variants. In this paper we develop a Bayesian SNFP model for the UK that borrows strength across the local authorities (LAs) within the four countries and appropriately quantifies uncertainty.
At the UK level, preliminary work has focused on clustering local schedules of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) to identify groups of LAs with similar fertility patterns across age and year. It appears that around four clusters are required, corresponding to early and later ages of childbearing at varying intensities. The subsequent work on projections has concentrated on Scotland due to the long time series of ASFRs that is available. We apply Generalized Additive Models to estimate smooth effects of age and year which vary with cluster, and also investigate the addition of LA-specific random intercepts and age slopes. We find that in terms of predictive accuracy, our proposed model outperforms a simple extrapolation method as well as naive freezing of the local ASFRs, which are important baselines in the fertility projections literature.
We will implement this approach within a Bayesian context to obtain well-calibrated measures of uncertainty and to build in expert opinion regarding future national ASFRs. We will compare our SNFPs with existing methods from the literature and official projections for the constituent countries to further assess predictive performance. By unifying the projections for the four UK countries within a probabilistic framework, our proposed SNFP methodology has the potential to improve projection reliability and therefore aid local and national government planners in their decision-making.
CPC-CG Member, Professor Peter Smith, will also be delivering a talk at this conference, entitled "A Hierarchical Bayesian Model for Estimating European Migration Flows".
Abstract:In many countries, migration patterns are the key determinant of population change. Accurate estimates of place-to-place population migration flows are essential for making population policy estimates or projections. However, there are many difficulties inherent to estimating migration flows: for example, countries may under-report migration, use different migration definitions, or have different data-collection systems.
We report on work undertaken as part of the Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy (QuantMig) project, funded by the European Union's Horizon 2020 programme. This work has extended the methodology developed in the Integrated Modelling of European Migration (IMEM) project to provide harmonised migration estimates for the flows within the 32-country EU+ system, and flows into and out of Europe, by origin, destination, age and sex, from 2009 to 2019 with a statistical assessment of their uncertainty. Furthermore, the flows have been disaggregated into migrants born in a country in or outside the EU, to enhance their utility to research and policy-making, given the different demographic and migration behaviour of these two groups and the associated channels of migration.
The estimation utilises a hierarchical Bayesian approach based on the IMEM model. We use migration flow data collated by Eurostat, and incorporate covariate information and information on the effects of undercount, measurement and accuracy of data collection systems. We specify a migration model to relate the true unknown flows to the covariates and a measurement model to relate the observed flows to the true unknown flows, correcting for the inconsistencies and inaccuracies in the observed migration flows.
Wednesday, July 19th 2023
BiB Population Research Series - "Family and Employment Trajectories among Immigrants and Their Descendants in Europe" (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Hill Kulu
Online and In Person
Wednesday, July 19th 2023
11:00 - 12:15
This BIB lecture will take place on Wednesday 19 July at 11:00. CPC-CG member, Professor Hill Kulu, will present his paper "Family and Employment Trajectories among Immigrants and Their Descendants in Europe".
Abstract: European countries have witnessed increasing immigration streams and ethnic heterogeneity of their populations. Facilitating immigrant integration and social cohesion has become a major societal issue. This presentation gives an overview of the 'MigrantLife' project, which focuses on family and employment trajectories among immigrants and their descendants in the UK, France, Germany and Sweden. The results suggest that while cultural-normative factors are important in shaping partnership behaviour of immigrants and their descendants, structural-economic factors may play a more important role in fertility decisions. The analysis of employment trajectories reveals that most immigrant men are in education or full-time employment after arrival, whereas many women stay inactive. We discuss the findings in the light of competing theories of immigrant and ethnic minority integration: the classical theory of assimilation vs the segmented assimilation theory.
Joining Instructions: Online participation is possible:
https://destatis.webex.com/meet/bibprs
Join via phone
+49-619-6781-9736
Access code: 2734 685 1551
Monday, July 17th 2023 - Friday, July 21st 2023
ESRA Conference 2023 (Conferences)
University of Milan-Bicocca
Monday, July 17th 2023
Friday, July 21st 2023
ESRA hosts its main conference every two years to bring together applied survey researchers, methodologists and statisticians from Europe and beyond. The conference showcases the latest survey research and offers a number of professional development opportunities, including short courses and awards. It is traditionally hosted in university buildings to keep registration fees to a minimum. ESRA aims to be as inclusive as possible, promoting in particular the participation of doctoral students and early career researchers.
The ESRA 2023 Conference will take place from 17 July to 21 July at the University of Milan-Bicocca in Milan, Italy. The conference theme is 'Survey research in times of crisis: Challenges, opportunities, and new directions'.
CPC Members Grace Chang, Olga Maslovskaya and Brienna Perelli-Harris will present the paper 'Representativeness of push-to-web Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) in the UK' on 19 July.
Abstract: Using the first ever Generations and Gender (GGS) survey conducted in the UK, this study examines the representativeness of the survey in relation to the UK population, based on the UK Census 2022. The UK GGS is a push-to-web survey that uses a stratified random probability selection of addresses in the UK through postcodes. One of the challenges in the UK for online data collection is the absence of an individual-level sampling frame. We examine whether the UK GGS is representative of the 18 - 59 young adult population in the UK by gender, ethnicity, deprivation and fertility, among other demographic characteristics. Preliminary results for stage 1 of data collection has been conducted recently, but final results will be available by May 2023 when all data are collected for GGS in the UK. UK specific weights will be calculated and will also be used for this analysis. This study seeks to discuss the strengths and challenges with using a push-to-web survey design in the UK, which will provide useful insights for other countries which do not have population registers and desire to move to push-to-web data collection.
Visit the conference website.
Tuesday, July 11th 2023 - Thursday, July 13th 2023
Understanding Society Scientific Conference 2023 (Conferences)
University of Essex
Tuesday, July 11th 2023
Thursday, July 13th 2023
08:00 - 15:30
The Understanding Society Conference takes place every two years and is an opportunity for researchers to share the latest work on household panel studies. The Understanding Society Scientific Conference features research from a wide range of disciplines, but centred around the exploration of longitudinal panel data.
CPC-CG Member, Dr Valentina Di Iasio, will be giving a presentation on day three of the conference, in parallel session 1, entitled "Intergenerational transmission of norms and socio-economic outcomes later in life'.
Monday, July 3rd 2023 - Thursday, July 6th 2023
SCE 29th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance (Conferences)
Université Côte d'Azur - Nice, France
Monday, July 3rd 2023
Thursday, July 6th 2023
08:00 - 18:00
The Society for Computational Economics will be holding it's 29th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
CPC Member, Dr Emily Barker, who works on the Quantmig: Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy project, will be presenting, "The future of East-to-West Migration Through Automation".
Monday, July 3rd 2023 - Thursday, July 6th 2023
20th IMISCOE Annual Conference (Conferences)
Centre for Migration Research, University of Warsaw
Monday, July 3rd 2023
Thursday, July 6th 2023
08:00 - 20:30
The 20th IMISCOE Annual Conference, "Migration and Inequalities. In search of answers and solutions" will be taking place at the Centre for Migration Research, University of Warsaw from 3rd - 6th July 2023.
CPC-CG Member, Professor Jackline Wahba, will be taking part in a panel discussion, "Semi-plenary: Inequalities and migration - in search of the answers" on 4th July.
Thursday, June 29th 2023 - Friday, June 30th 2023
Second MigrantLife Symposium (Conferences)
University of St Andrews
Thursday, June 29th 2023
Friday, June 30th 2023
European countries have witnessed increasing immigration streams and ethnic diversity over the past decades. Recent social science research reports considerable heterogeneity in family forms, employment, and housing patterns among individuals with a migrant family background as well as across migrant generations. Some researchers underline the importance of preferences and human capital, whereas others emphasise the role of structural inequalities. It is equally unclear whether the observed differences are short-term outcomes in a long-term process of cultural and economic integration or rather reflections of different pathways and outcomes for immigrants and their descendants.
This international symposium brings together migration researchers to discuss innovative research on migrants and their descendants. We invite contributions in the following research areas of migration studies: fertility and family; employment and education; housing and residential mobility; and health and mortality. Research using longitudinal data and life course analysis will be given priority. Future projections and methodological contributions are very welcome. The symposium is part of the ERC funded MigrantLife project (please see https://migrantlife.wp.st-andrews.ac.uk/).
Associated Downloads
Tuesday, June 27th 2023
Towards a resilient future of Europe (Workshops)
Professor Jakub Bijak
Online
Tuesday, June 27th 2023
11:00-12:30 CEST
Within its key funding programme for research and innovation, Horizon Europe, the European Commission is supporting the project Towards a Resilient Future of Europe (FutuRes). The project is taking a close look at the meaning and implications of resilience for ageing populations, with a particular emphasis on life course, social networks and intergenerational links, with implications for policy. This high-level policy expert workshop will be organised around the following key questions:
► What role does resilience play in individuals' life-course, considering the two-way interactions between uncontrollable events and the choices made by individuals?
► What are the impacts of ageing populations on productivity and employment (by gender, sector, occupational group and skills), as well as on investment, economic security, social welfare systems, access to (digital) public services and public finance sustainability over the medium and long terms?
► What is the role of fertility and childbearing decisions in a resilient life-course? How does this connect with family and friendship networks, welfare provision and wellbeing later in life?
► How can migration act as a mitigating factor to ameliorate demographic changes? How can we predict the age structure of the migrant populations, thereby better forecasting the current and future impacts on dependency ratios across European states?
Eminent experts and decision-makers from research, politics, business and civil society will discuss these questions. Amongst others, these experts will include:
► Arnstein Aassve | Professor in Demography at Bocconi University, Milan | Coordinator of the FutuRes Project
► Jakub Bijak | Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton. QuantMig and CPC-CG
► Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak | Director of the Institute of Statistics and Demography at WSE, Warsaw
► Marlène de Saussure | Scientific Consultant at the Institute for Innovation and Technology, Berlin
► Alexia Fürnkranz-Prskawetz | Executive Director of the Vienna Institute of Demography
► Elizabeth Gosme | Director of COFACE Families Europe, Brussels
► Philip Haywood | Policy Analyst and Senior Health Economist at the OECD, Paris
► Anna Kwiatkiewicz | Senior Advisor at Business Europe, Brussels
► Marina Manke | Chief of the Global Migration Data Analysis Centre at the IOM, Berlin
►Christian Wehrmann | Senior Consultant at VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH, Berlin
The workshop will be followed by a public panel debate Work Better to Work Longer? Quality of Working Life as Key to a More Resilient Labour Market (13:00-14:00 CEST) with Beatrice Covassi (Member of the European Parliament), Massimiliano Mascherini (Head of the Social Policies unit at EuroFound), Arnstein Aassve (Bocconi University), Jutta Allmendinger (President of the WZB Berlin Social Science Center) and Ulrich Becker (Director of the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, Munich).
You can register for both events at: https://survey.demogr.mpg.de/index.php/964646?lang=en
Thursday, June 22nd 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Alice Goisis (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Alice Goisis
Online
Thursday, June 22nd 2023
14:00-15:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 22 June 2023 at 14:00 UK Time. Alice Goisis, Associate Professor of Demography, and the Deputy Research Director in the Centre for Longitudinal Studies in the UCL Department for Social Science, presented "Medically Assisted Reproduction and adult outcomes across the life course".
Title:Medically Assisted Reproduction and adult outcomes across the life course
Abstract:Medically Assisted Reproduction (MAR) is one of the most important achievements of medical science in the last generation. In advanced societies, the number of MAR treatments increases every year, and, over the last four decades, more than 10 million MAR conceived children were born, and many more families received fertility treatment. Due to concerns around the well-being of children born after MAR, a lot of attention has been given to analyse their health and development, whilst the evidence on adults' well-being and outcomes during and after the MAR process remains limited. This talk will showcase multiple studies aimed at investigating and understanding the life course consequences of MAR for adults by focusing on two broad themes: mental health and partnership stability. The results, on average, show that failure to conceive via MAR is associated with an increased risk of depression, loneliness and of partnership instability in the short and longer term. In contrast, the mental health and partnership trajectories of adults who conceive via MAR are remarkably similar to those of adults who conceive naturally. The results underscore the importance of including men in studies on reproduction and of integrating multiple perspectives and data sources.
Speaker: Dr Alice Goisis is an Associate Professor of Demography, and the Deputy Research Director in the Centre for Longitudinal Studies in the UCL Department for Social Science. Her research interests include social demography and epidemiology, and her research has examined the association between advanced maternal age and child-wellbeing, with a particular focus on whether, and how, it varies across different groups of the population and time periods.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, June 15th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Nitzan Peri-Rotem (Seminars and lectures)
Nitzan Peri-Rotem
In Person and on Zoom
Thursday, June 15th 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 15th June 2023. Nitzan Peri-Rotem, Senior Lecturer in Sociology at the University of Exeter, gave a talk entitled "Revising the Proximate Determinants of Fertility: The Role of Assisted Reproductive Technologies".
Title:Revisiting the Proximate Determinants of Fertility: The Role of Assisted Reproductive Technologies
Abstract:In 1956, Kingsley Davis and Judith Blake published their pioneering study, which presented an analytical framework for the comparative sociology of fertility. This framework introduced a set of intermediate fertility variables, which later became known as the proximate determinants of fertility. These include behavioural and biological factors (sexual exposure, contraceptive use, induced abortion, sterility, etc.), through which socioeconomic, cultural and environmental variables can affect fertility. Since it was first published, the framework has been revised several times along with developments in demographic research, and to adjust for changes in sexual and reproductive practices, with the most recent update published by John Bongaarts in 2015. However, the proximate determinants model has yet to incorporate the usage of assisted reproductive technologies (ART), which account for nearly 8% of all children born in some countries. This study offers both theoretical and empirical applications for the inclusion of ART within the proximate determinants of fertility. Given the global trends in the supply and demand for fertility treatment, accounting for assisted reproductive technologies in the proximate determinants framework will contribute to a better understanding of fertility change and its causes across different populations.
Speaker: Dr Nitzan Peri-Rotem is a Senior Lecturer in Sociology at the University of Exeter. She specialises in family and fertility trends in post-industrial societies, and is interested in social and cultural influences on reproductive behaviour and the link between social inequalities and family formation patterns.
Watch the recording of the seminar here.
Monday, June 5th 2023
Centre of Migration Research UW Seminars: New Advances in Theory and Research on Migration: "Scanning Migration Horizons" (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Monday, June 5th 2023
15:00
CPC-CG Member, Professor Jakub Bijak, will be delivering a seminar as part of the Centre for Migration Research at the University of Warsaw's seminar series.
In the talk "Scanning migration horizons” we will explore some of the main sources of migration uncertainty across a range of time horizons. We will look at the implications of uncertainty not only for understanding migratory processes, but also for preparing adequate and realistic policy responses and for robust migration governance. From nowcasts and early warnings, through forecasts, to long-range migration scenarios, we will discuss some of the recent methodological developments for studying current and future migration. The discussion will focus on the limits of knowledge, and on what new tools and data sources can illuminate. We will conclude by offering health warnings for the use of forward-looking tools for analysing migration, especially important given the high degree of politicisation of the topic.
Register here: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/scanning-migration-horizons-tickets-640421928227
Friday, May 26th 2023 - Saturday, May 27th 2023
4th International Conference on Gerontology and Geriatrics Medicine (SilverAge 2023) (Conferences)
Professor Athina Vlachantoni
Galleface Hotel - Colombo, Online
Friday, May 26th 2023
Saturday, May 27th 2023
The SilverAge 2023 4th International Conference on Gerontology and Geriatrics Medicine took place on the 26th & 27th May 2023, in Colombo, Sri Lanka. The conference was held in collaboration with the International Institute of Ageing, and United Nations - Malta.
Areas of discussion included the impact of Covid-19 on older persons, geriatric medicine, dementia and ageing, ageing and mental wellbeing, nursing for wellness in older adults, ageing & disability, ageing & gerontology, elder abuse, law and rights, nutrition aspects of ageing and elderly friendly environment.
CPC-CG Member, Professor Athina Vlachantoni, was a keynote speaker at the event, delivering a talk entitled, "Intergenerational Support and Ageing: A New Kind of Sandwich Generation".
Thursday, May 25th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Jennifer Dowd (Seminars and lectures)
Jennifer Dowd
Zoom
Thursday, May 25th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 25 May, 13:00-14:00 (UK time). Jennifer Dowd, Professor of Demography and Population Health at the University of Oxford, presented: "Demographic Insights into COVID-19: A Tale of Two Countries".
Title:Demographic Insights into COVID-19: A Tale of Two Countries
Abstract:Demography has been key to understanding COVID-19 data since the early days of the pandemic. This talk will take stock of demographic insights across the pandemic, with a focus on the impact of COVID-19 on mortality in the US and UK and on the future of population health.
Speaker: Jennifer Dowd is Professor of Demography and Population Health at the University of Oxford. She is also Deputy Director of the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science. Her research seeks to understand how social and biological processes interact over the life course and how social factors "get under the skin" to impact health; she is currently researching social and demographic factors related to Covid-19. Professor Dowd received her PhD from Princeton University in 2004 in Demography and Economics from the Office of Population Research.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, May 25th 2023
Tipping points webinar series: Education and Digitalisation (Seminars and lectures)
Ridhi Kashyap
Online
Thursday, May 25th 2023
15:30 - 17:00 CEST
The Tipping Points webinar series aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. This webinar will focus on education and digitalisation.
The series is a joint activity of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) global research project of Future Earth, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance, and the Safe Landing Climates Light House Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP). IIASA co-hosts the scientific secretariat of Working Group 1 of the Earth Commission and is one of the organizers of these events.
CPC-CG Member, Ridhi Kashyap, will be delivering a presentation entitled "Digital technologies as accelerators of information diffusion".
Click here to register: https://futureearth.confetti.events/education-and-digitalisation/signup
Associated Downloads
Tuesday, May 23rd 2023
Families' resilience and well-being of children and youth (Workshops)
Centre for Research on Social Inequalities, Paris
Tuesday, May 23rd 2023
CPC-CG Member, Dr Julia Mikolai, is part of the EAPS Working Group on Child and Adolescent Development, and will be taking part in a workshop entitled "Families' resilience and well-being of children and youth".
This workshop provides an opportunity for research discussions and exchange between scholars across sociology, population studies and cognate fields to present their work on families' resilience to societal challenges such as growing labour market instability, economic inequality and digital transformations, with a specific focus on ensuring well-being among children and youth. The workshop intends to be a first exchange for future scientific collaborations such as special issues and international research projects.
Thursday, May 18th 2023
Women's Superiority and Relationship Dissolution: A 29-Country Study (Seminars and lectures)
Allison Dunatchik
Zoom
Thursday, May 18th 2023
16:00 - 17:00 BST/ 17:00 - 18:00 CEST/ 11:00 - 12:00 EDT
Thursday 18 May 2023, 16:00 17:00 BST/ 17:00 18:00 CEST/ 11:00 12:00 EDT
Womens Superiority and Relationship Dissolution: A 29-Country Study
Speaker: Allison Dunatchik
Registration: Register on Eventbrite by 12pm (BST) on the day of the event and we will send you the Zoom link shortly before the event starts.
Abstract:The rising share of different-sex couples in which women have higher socioeconomic status than their partners signals progress toward gender equality, but it has also been linked to union instability. There is extensive research documenting a positive association between womens superiority and union dissolution, but several recent studies find that this association has been weakening. Existing studies have focused more on describing this association, but have paid relatively less attention to testing specific explanations. In this study, we use harmonized panel survey data for 29 high-income countries to examine three distinct mechanisms that can drive the association between womens economic superiority and separation risk: gender culture, the anticipation of divorce, and work-family conflict. Our analyses show that the association between womens economic superiority and union dissolution is positive and statistically significant. Contrary to expectations, we do not find evidence that this association is driven by gender culture, and we only find partial evidence about the anticipation of divorce and work-family conflict mechanisms.
Speaker bio: Allison Dunatchik is a dual PhD candidate in Sociology and Demography at the University of Pennsylvania. Her research interests center on gender, work and family, with a particular focus on how social policies affect gender inequalities inside and outside of the household. Allisons current research explores how gender inequality is produced and reproduced within different-sex couples in the context of changing gender norms and changing family demography across high-income countries. She is also currently working on a project analyzing how the gender division of household labor changes over time following major life course events, such as the transition to parenthood. Prior to attending the University of Pennsylvania, Allison was a policy evaluation analyst at the National Centre for Social Research in London. Allison holds an MPA in Social Policy from the London School of Economics and a BA in Political Science from American University.
Associated Downloads
Wednesday, May 17th 2023
Department for Work and Pensions' Demographic Workshop (Workshops)
Professor Athina Vlachantoni
London
Wednesday, May 17th 2023
Professor Athina Vlachantoni delivered a talk at the Department for Work and Pensions' Demographics Workshop, entitled "Key trends in the UK population and the wider global context".
Thursday, May 11th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Dianna Smith (Seminars and lectures)
Dianna Smith
Zoom
Thursday, May 11th 2023
12:00 - 13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar took place on Thursday 11th May at 12:00 UK Time. Dr Dianna Smith, Associate Professor at the University of Southampton gave a talk entitled, "Modelling health to support interventions: Outputs from Wessex DIET".
Title:Modelling health to support interventions: Outputs from Wessex DIET
Abstract:Interventions to support the reduction of health inequalities in populations are a central focus of public health research. Though there are often data about health outcomes - diet, obesity, poor mental health - at an aggregate population level, there is less available in local areas. This lack of local-level data can create challenges in identifying areas where there are wider health inequalities, enabling resources to be appropriately targeted spatially. Further, the lack of baseline data on health can be problematic when monitoring the impact of interventions. In the Wessex DIET project, we are developing a toolkit to support local authorities and third sector organisations in collecting data on the impact of food aid interventions. As part of the work, we developed small-area estimates of adult weight, diet quality, food insecurity and wellbeing for neighbourhoods (Lower Super Output Areas) in England. In the seminar the methods used and challenges with data and modelling will be discussed as part of the ongoing project.
Speaker:Dr Dianna Smith is an Associate Professor at the University of Southampton. Her research interests are in quantitative health geography, using GIS to visualise data collected or collated to address key social and spatial inequalities. She works across the disciplines of geography and public health with links to local government.
You can watch the recording here
Thursday, May 11th 2023
ELSA 20th Anniversary Conference (Conferences)
The Royal Society, London, 6-9 Carlton Terrace, St James's, London, SW1Y 5AG
Thursday, May 11th 2023
09:00 UK Time
This conference celebrates the 20th Anniversary of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, with 10 waves of data collection, and two special waves collected during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.
The conference programme focuses on central issues studied in ELSA, with presentations followed by panel discussions addressing scientific and policy implications. Among the topics will be:
Inequalities in later life.
Cross-national comparisons of ageing trajectories.
Cognitive decline and dementia.
ELSA and the COVID-19 pandemic.
Work and Retirement.
A poster presentation will also be taking place.
CPC-CG Members, Professor Athina Vlachantoni, Dr Min Qin, Professor Jane Falkingham and Professor Maria Evandrou will be presenting two posters at the conference on 'The changing use of intergenerational digital communications amongst older people in England during the pandemic' and 'Did the socio-economic gradient in depression in later-life deteriorate or weaken during the Covid-19 pandemic?'
Friday, May 5th 2023
Care preferences of the older population in China (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Athina Vlachantoni
School of Public Affairs, Xiamen University, China
Friday, May 5th 2023
Professor Athina Vlachantoni gave a social policy seminar on the Qin et al (2020) paper, "Care preferences of the older population in China" to the School of Public Affairs at Xiamen University, China.
Thursday, April 27th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Kieron Barclay (Seminars and lectures)
Kieron Barclay
Zoom
Thursday, April 27th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG webinar took place on 27 April 2023. Kieron Barclay of the University of Stockholm gave a talk entitled "Birth spacing and the health of mothers and fathers: an analysis of physical and mental health using individual- and sibling-fixed effects".
Abstract: There is a large literature examining the relationship between birth spacing and subsequent health outcomes for parents, and particularly for mothers. However, research on this topic draws almost exclusively on observational research designs, and almost all studies have been limited to adjusting for observable factors that may confound the relationship between birth spacing and health outcomes. In this study we use Norwegian register data to examine the relationship between birth spacing and the number of general practitioner consultations for physical and mental health concerns for both mothers and fathers in both the period immediately after childbirth (1-5 and 6-11 months after the birth), as well as the long-term (10-11 years after the birth). To examine short-term health outcomes, we use individual-level fixed effects - examining only different births to the same parent - to hold constant factors that may influence the birth spacing behavior of mothers and fathers as well as their health. We apply sibling fixed effects in our analysis of long-term outcomes, holding constant the family background of the mothers and fathers that we study. The results from our analyses that do not apply individual or sibling fixed effects yield results consistent with much of the previous literature, where both shorter and longer birth intervals are associated with worse health outcomes than birth intervals approximately 2-3 years long. Estimates from individual fixed effects models suggest that particularly short intervals negatively affect maternal mental health in the short-term, with more ambiguous evidence that particularly short- or long-intervals may influence parental health outcomes in the short- and long-term, though some of these patterns may be consistent with selection processes.
Speaker: Kieron Barclay is a Pro Futura Scientia XIV Fellow at the Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study; as well as an Associate Professor in Sociology at Stockholm University. He is also a Research Fellow at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. His research is in the field of social demography, and he primarily focuses on how family conditions are related to health and mortality, with a particular focus on the interrelationship between health and fertility.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, April 27th 2023
EAPS Early Career Seminar - The Role of Professional Associations in Population Studies and Demography for PhD Students (Seminars and lectures)
Hill Kulu
Zoom
Thursday, April 27th 2023
14:00 pm
CPC-CG Member, Professor Hill Kulu, will be taking part in a panel event, hosted by the European Association for Population Studies, entitled "EAPS on the role of professional associations in population studies and demography for PhD students.
The event takes place on Thursday 27th April 2023 from 2pm - 3:30pm, and forms part of the EAPS Early Career Seminar Series.
Wednesday, April 26th 2023 - Thursday, April 27th 2023
Future Migration to Europe: Migration projections from international to local levels (Conferences)
Online and In Person (Green Room, U Residence, Bld General Jacques 271, 1050 Ixelles, Belgium)
Wednesday, April 26th 2023
Thursday, April 27th 2023
09:00 - 17:30
CPC-CG Members, Professor Jakub Bijak and Dr Valentina Di Iasio, will be speaking at the Future Migration to Europe Conference in Brussels on 26 & 27 April 2023.
The academic day gathers migration scholars and experts for in-depth discussions on academic challenges and opportunities for forecasting migration. During this day, participants will hear the main takeaways from three Horizon 2020-funded projects - HumMingBird, FUME & QuantMig. Participants will also exchange knowledge on a variety of aspects related to the migration studies - from analysing the migration drivers, and emerging destinations, collecting traditional and new data, quantifying and modelling future migrations, to foreseeing future migration flows.
9:15 - 9:30 | Welcome by Horizon 2020 projects: HumMingBird, FUME & QuantMig
Speakers:
Tuba Bircan, Vrije University Brussels, HumMingBird
Carsten Kessler, Bochum University of Applied Sciences, FUME
Jakub Bijak, Southampton University, QuantMig (online)
10:45 - 11:45 | Why do people decide to migrate? Aspirations, drivers and intersectionality
This session will explore the push factors that influence an individual's decision to move from their country of origin. We will discuss the role of aspirations and drivers such as economic opportunities, social networks, family ties, political unrest and climate change, as well as the intersectionality of factors such as gender, age, and level of education that can shape migration decisions. Drawing on the latest research and insights from Horizon 2020 projects and external experts in the field, this session will provide a nuanced and in-depth understanding of the complexities of migration decision-making.
Moderator/discussant: Prof. Jasper Dag Tjaden, University of Postdam
Speakers from the projects:
Damini Purkayastha (online), VUB, Dr. Stefan Mertens, KU Leuven, Dr. Tom Devriendt, Caritas International, HumMingBird
Stefano degli Uberti, CNR, FUME
Valentina Di Iasio, The University of Southampton, QuantMig (online)
Q&A discussion
13:45 – 14:45 | Traditional and New Data: Questioning and improving the concept of evidence
This session will critically examine the concept of evidence in migration studies, exploring the strengths and limitations of traditional and new data sources. We will discuss the challenges of collecting, analyzing, and interpreting data on migration, as well as the potential biases and limitations of different data sources. Drawing on experiences from the Horizon 2020 projects, we will explore innovative approaches to data collection and analysis, including big data, social media, mobile data, and other emerging alternative data sources. Ultimately, this session will challenge participants to question their assumptions about what constitutes evidence in migration studies and to consider new and innovative ways of generating insights into this complex and important phenomenon.
Moderator/discussant: Dr. Damien Jusselme, Global Migration Data Analysis Centre, IOM
Moderated discussion among projects:
Prof. Albert Ali Salah, The University of Utrecht, HumMingBird
Dr. Dilek Yildiz, IIASA & Arkadiusz Wisniowski, The University of Manchester, FUME
Prof. Jakub Bijak, The University of Southampton, QuantMig (online)
14:45 – 15:45 | Quantifying and modelling future migration
This session will explore the challenges and opportunities of quantifying and modelling future migration patterns. We will discuss the various methods and models used to forecast migration among Horizon 2020 projects. We will also examine the strengths and limitations of these methods, including issues related to data quality, model complexity, and uncertainty. The following discussion will provide a deeper understanding of the complex and dynamic nature of migration and the challenges of predicting future trends.
Moderator/discussant: Dr. Stefano Iacus, IQQS Harvard University
Speakers from the projects:
Haodong Qi, Malmö University, HumMingBird
Jacob Schewe, PIK, FUME (online)
Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton, QuantMig (online)
Q&A discussion
Wednesday, April 12th 2023 - Saturday, April 15th 2023
Population Association of America 2023 Annual Meeting (Conferences)
New Orleans, Louisiana
Wednesday, April 12th 2023
Saturday, April 15th 2023
The Population Association of America annual meeting will take place 12-15 April in New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.
CPC will be presenting:
Population Health Consequences of Violence I Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
The Impact of Blast Explosions on the Mental Health of Ukrainian Internally Displaced People and Refugees
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 14-4
K. Brackstone, University of Southampton; B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton; M. Head, University of Southampton.
Forced Migration Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine Through Social Media Advertising Data
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 15-3
D. Leasure, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; F. Rampazzo, University of Oxford; C. Dooley; B. Elbers, University of Oxford; M. Bondarenko, University of Southampton; M. Verhagen; A. Frey; J. Yan, University of Oxford; E. Akimova; M. Fatehkia, Qatar Computing Research Institute; R. Trigwell, United Nations Migration Agency (IOM); A. Tatem, University of Southampton; I. Weber, Saarland University; M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford.
Health, Health Behaviors, and Health Care Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Gene ´ Environment Analysis Supports Protective Effects of Eveningness Chronotype on Night Shift Workers
M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford; R. Taiji, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford; E. Akimova; X. Ding, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford.
Mortality Trends in the United States and Other High-Income Countries Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 11:00 AM - 12:15 PM
Deviating Temporal Trends of Substance Abuse Mortality in High-Income Countries
11:00 AM - 11:00 AM
Program Number: 67-3
A. Adarsh, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; E. Acosta, Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Methodological Innovations to Study Fertility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 11:00 AM - 12:15 PM
Can Incorporating Parity Information Improve the Reliability of Fertility Projections?
11:00 AM - 11:00 AM
Program Number: 61-1
J. Ellison, University of Southampton; J. Bijak, University of Southampton; E. Dodd, University of Southampton.
Mortality and Morbidity Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
Excess Mortality by Cause of Death During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Population-Level Analysis for England and Wales
R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; A. Tilstra, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science; J. Schöley, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; J. M. Aburto, University of Southern Denmark; C. Angus, University of Sheffield; J. Dowd, University of Oxford.
Mortality and Morbidity Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
The Sex Gap in Lifespan Uncertainty
H. Gaddy; J. M. Aburto, University of Southern Denmark; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford
Mortality and Morbidity Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
The Relationship of Major Diseases With Childlessness: A Sibling-Matched, Case-Control, and Population-Register Study in Finland and Sweden
A. Liu, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; E. Akimova; X. Ding, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford; S. Jukarainen, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; P. Vartiainen, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; T. Kiiskinen, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; S. Kuitunen, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; A. S. Havulinna, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki; M. Gissler, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, THL; S. Lombardi, Institute for Economic Research, VATT; T. Fall, Molecular Epidemiology, Department of Medical Sciences, and Science for Life Laboratory, Uppsala University; M. Mills, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford; A. Ganna, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, University of Helsinki.
Migration, Immigration, Geographic Mobility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Gendered Patterns of Global Scholarly Migration: Evidence on Mobile Researchers From Bibliometric Data
X. Zhao, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; A. Akbaritabar, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; E. Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.
Migration, Immigration, Geographic Mobility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Forced Displacement in Ukraine: A Comparison of Refugees and Internally Displaced Persons
B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton; O. Torrisi, The London School of Economics; M. Head, University of Southampton; K. Brackstone, University of Southampton.
Migration, Immigration, Geographic Mobility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Work–Life Expectancies Among the Descendants of Immigrants in the United Kingdom: A Multistate Life Table Approach
H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; A. Hoehn, Glasgow University; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews.
Migration, Immigration, Geographic Mobility Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Childbearing and Employment Changes of the Female Descendants of Immigrants in the United Kingdom and France
J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; I. Delaporte; C. Liu, University of St. Andrews.
Mental Health in Old Age Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 3:30 PM - 4:45 PM
Loneliness and Cognitive Health: A Counterfactual Analysis Using the Parametric G-Formula
3:30 PM - 3:30 PM
Program Number: 93-4
S. Sharma, University of St Andrews; J. M. Hale, University of St Andrews; A. Lorenti, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Neighborhoods, Environment, and Spatial Demography Thursday, April 13, 2023 | 5:00 PM - 6:30 PM
Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollution and Mortality Hazard in Scotland: A 16-Year Cohort Study, 2002–2017
M. Abed Al Ahad; U. Demšar, University of St Andrews; F. Sullivan, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Friday, April 14, 2023
Risk Factors and Inequalities in COVID-19 Mortality Friday, April 14, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Excess Mortality in India in 2020
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 115-3
A. Gupta, University of Oxford; V. Paikra; M. Banaji, Middlesex University; P. Gupta; P. Hathi, UC Berkeley; R. Kashyap, Oxford University; K. Sharma; N. Sudharsanan, Heidelberg Institute of Global Health; S. Vyas, University of Texas at Austin.
Flash: Families, Health, and Well-being Friday, April 14, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
The Puzzle of Parenthood and Well-being: Exploring the Role of the Brain
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 119-5
V. Rotondi, University of Oxford; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; M. Sironi, University College London; N. Barban, University of Essex; C. Reverberi, University of Milano Bicocca; M. Allegra, University of Parma.
Union Dissolution and Instability Friday, April 14, 2023 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Session Type
Oral
Room
Strand 12 A
Discussant 1
Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Chair 1
Gunnar Andersson, Stockholm University
Final Session Number
120
Union Dissolution and Instability 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Post-Separation Residential Mobility Among Immigrant–Native Mixed Couples: A Matter of Relative Bargaining Positions Within Households?
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Program Number: 120-3
J. Lacroix; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
COVID-19; Data and Methods Friday, April 14, 2023 | 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
The Demographic Profile of Weibo Users
O. Hexel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; W. Qian, University of Michigan; E. Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; I. Weber, Qatar Computing Research Institute.
Education, Employment, and Inequality Friday, April 14, 2023 | 1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
The Divergence of Labor Force Participation on Motherhood Among Migrant Descendants and Natives in Germany
C. Liu, University of St. Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St. Andrews.
Intergenerational Patterns of Immigrant Integration Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:15 PM
Heterogeneity or Disadvantage in Partnership, Childbearing, and Employment Trajectories of the Descendants of Immigrants in the United Kingdom? A Multichannel Sequence Analysis of Longitudinal Data
3:00 PM - 3:00 PM
Program Number: 204-2
J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
The Complex Links Between Migratio-n Background and Fertility Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:15 PM
Union Formation and Fertility Among Immigrants From Pakistan and Their Descendants in the United Kingdom: A Multichannel Sequence Analysis
3:00 PM - 3:00 PM
Program Number: 203-5
J. Harrison; K. Keenan, University of St Andrews; F. Sullivan, University of St Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Understanding the Realization of Jointly Held Residential Mobility and Fertility Intentions: How Has the Sequencing of Intention Fulfillment Changed Over Time?
S. Christison; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; F. Fiori, University of St Andrews; K. Keenan.
Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
The Changing Educational Gradient of Fertility in the United Kingdom: A Comparison of England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland
B. Kuang; S. Christison; J. Ellison, University of Southampton; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; A. Berrington, University of Southampton.
Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health Friday, April 14, 2023 | 3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Fertility Trends by Birth Order in Britain: The Comparison Between England and Wales, and Scotland
H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; B. Kuang; S. Christison; J. Ellison, University of Southampton; A. Berrington, University of Southampton.
Saturday 15 April 2023
Family Complexity and Diversity Saturday, April 15, 2023 | 9:00 AM - 10:15 AM
Through Children’s Eyes: Family Complexity Trajectories in the United Kingdom
9:00 AM - 9:00 AM
Program Number: 217-2
M. Stastna; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews; N. Finney, University of St Andrews; K. Keenan, University of St Andrews.
Wednesday, April 5th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Raya Muttarak (Seminars and lectures)
Raya Muttarak
Zoom
Wednesday, April 5th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG webinar was held on Wednesday 5 April 2023 at 13:00 UK Time. The webinar was hosted by Raya Muttarak, Professor of Demography at the University of Bologna who gave a talk entitled, "Population Dynamics Under Global Climate Change".
Title: Population Dynamics Under Global Climate Change
Abstract: Australian bushfire in 2020 and severe floods in Western Europe and exceptional heatwaves in North America in summer 2021, to name a few, are examples of extreme events that are documented to be attributable to anthropogenic climate change. Indeed, it is evident that the impacts of human-induced climate change on our lives, livelihoods and wellbeing are already being felt. This raises a question whether, in which direction and to what extent climate change also influences demographic processes, through affecting fertility, mortality and migration, the three key demographic outcomes driving population change. Although it is highly plausible that climate change also affects population trends, to date existing global population projections have not taken into account the climate feedback on demographic processes.
This talk aims to present current evidence on the impact of climatic factors on fertility, mortality and migration and explore whether population projections need to account for the climate feedback on demographic processes. In particular, I would like to exploit this talk as a platform to start dialogues between colleagues of different disciplinary background and hope this can lead to future collaborations across institutes.
For background reading: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00324728.2021.1988684
Speaker: Raya has been affiliated with the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital since 2011. Raya holds an MSc and DPhil in Sociology from the University of Oxford; her areas of expertise include Climate Change Perception & Sustainable Lifestyle and Consumption, and Education and Sustainable Development.
The recording of the seminar can be found here
Monday, April 3rd 2023 - Wednesday, April 5th 2023
RES and SES Annual Conference 2023 (Seminars and lectures)
University of Glasgow
Monday, April 3rd 2023
Wednesday, April 5th 2023
CPC Member, Dr Emily Barker will be attending the upcoming RES and SES Annual Conference 2023.
She will be presenting Could we have seen it coming? Towards an early warning system for asylum applications in the EU
Synopsis:Forecasting asylum crises is challenging, though researchers have tried to use early warning systems (EWS) since the surge in asylum migration to Europe in 2015/16. The situation repeated after the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. We present a model that shows that the warning signs of a crisis could occur using publicly available data sources. We propose and test an EWS that would be effective for policy makers, and that would give sufficient warning that authorities can be prepared.
Thursday, March 30th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Ugofilippo Basellini (Seminars and lectures)
Ugofilippo Basellini
Zoom
Thursday, March 30th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG webinar took place on Thursday 30 March 2023, at 13:00 UK Time. Dr Ugofilippo Basellini, Research Scientist at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, gave a talk entitled "New perspectives in mortality forecasting".
Title: New perspectives in mortality forecasting
Abstract: Accurate forecasts of mortality are crucial for the provision of pensions and elderly care services. In this talk, I will present two novel developments in the field of mortality forecasting. The first part of the talk will focus on a recently proposed relational model to forecast adult age-at-death distributions. Leveraging functional data analysis methods, the Segmented Transformation Age-at-death Distributions is a parsimonious and efficient approach to model and forecast adult mortality. Mortality forecasts obtained with this approach are more accurate and optimistic than those derived from the benchmark Lee-Carter approach and its variants. The second part of the talk will concentrate on the challenge of forecasting cohort mortality data. Few methods exist to forecast cohort mortality, and the state-of-the-art approach - forecasting period mortality and extracting cohort patterns from the Lexis diagonals - has several limitations. I will show how to adapt the estimation of the Lee-Carter parameters to the structure of cohort mortality data, and then propose the Linear Lee-Carter model to derive more reasonable and accurate forecasts of cohort mortality.
Speaker: Ugofilippo Basellini is a Research Scientist and the Deputy Head of the Laboratory of Population Dynamics and Sustainable Well-Being at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR). His main research interests are related to statistical demography, with a particular focus on mortality modelling and forecasting, lifespan inequality and formal demographic methods for the study of mortality.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, March 30th 2023
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Making your voice heard? How different generations participate in politics (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Maria Grasso
Free online and in person
Thursday, March 30th 2023
16:00-17:00
The political context in which people grow up can play a hugely influential role in how that age cohort participate in democracy. From the dominance of different political parties and prevalence of strikes and protests, to the distribution of information and ideas through social media, the society people are raised in affects the ways in which they interact with politicians and political ideas. Maintaining an informed and engaged electorate in the decades to come requires grappling with these historical shifts and their implications for democratic governance.
Does the historical context of when a generation comes of age affect their political engagement? Are older generations, for example, who came of age in a period when elections were fundamental to the existence of democratic government, more likely to engage with political parties? What about younger generations coming of age in the historical moments that followed? And what can this tell us about how democratic governance and political participation could change in the future?
As part of the Connecting Generations series of Thought Leader Talks, the Resolution Foundation is hosting an event with Professor Maria Grasso to discuss how age, period and cohort analysis can help us examine generational differences in political activities. Following a presentation by Maria, we will hear from leading experts on what this means for the future of politics and democracy.
Maria Grasso joined SPIR and Queen Mary University of London as Professor of Political Science and Political Sociology in 2020. Previously, she was Professor of Politics and Quantitative Methods at the Department of Politics of the University of Sheffield.
Marias research focuses on political sociology, social change, social and political inequalities, political generations, social movements, youth politics, gender gaps, and the shift from traditional means of political participation relating to parties, electoral politics and left-right conflict, to more diffuse and irregular forms of involvement such as demonstrations, consumer boycotts and issue campaigns.
Her key research interests revolve around understanding the link between economic, social and political inequalities by looking at the political participation and political attitudes of different groups in terms of generation/age, gender, class, relative deprivation, etc. and their intersections as well as the ways in which crises impact on different groups of citizens with respect to their economic conditions and perceptions, social capital, and their political (re)actions.
Her academic work deals primarily with quantitative research and statistical analysis of cross-national surveys on political attitudes and behaviour.
Sign up to attend here
Monday, March 27th 2023 - Thursday, March 30th 2023
Spring School on Changing Families and Social Inequality Over Life Course (Conferences)
Collegio Carlo Alberto
Monday, March 27th 2023
Thursday, March 30th 2023
The topic for the 2023 edition of the ECSR Spring School is “Changing families and social inequality over the life course”. The School is promoted by the European Consortium of Sociological Research (ECSR), Collegio Carlo Alberto and by the Universities of Milan and Turin in the frame of the NASP, Network for the Advancement in Social and Political Studies. It provides high-quality training on current research on family and social inequality, including family formation and fertility dynamics, the social consequences of family arrangements for children's life chances, and the effects of family events on occupational outcomes. A limited number of doctoral students and young researchers will participate in a four-day, full-immersion course, including lectures on the key topics in the field - both conceptual and methodological -, workshops and the opportunity to present their work and have it discussed by leading scholars in the field.
CPC Member, Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris will be delivering a lecture at the event. Further details to follow.
Thursday, March 23rd 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Francesco Lissoni (Seminars and lectures)
Francesco Lissoni
Zoom
Thursday, March 23rd 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG seminar took place on Thursday 23 March 2023 at 12pm UK Time. Professor Francesco Lissoni, Professor of Economics at the Bordeaux School of Economics, gave a talk entitled "Free Movement of Inventors: Open-Border Policy and Innovation in Switzerland" (with Gabrielle Cristelli, Stanford University).
Title: Free Movement of Inventors: Open-Border Policy and Innovation in Switzerland
Abstract: We study the innovation effects of the Agreement on the Free Movement of Persons, signed by Switzerland and the EU in 1999. We exploit a quasi-experimental setting created by Switzerland's implementation policy, which initially eased off entry restrictions only for commuters from neighbouring countries. We find that this induced a large inflow of cross-border inventors (CBIs) in regions next to the border and increased the latter's patenting, relative to other Swiss regions. In the same regions, incumbent inventors directly collaborating with CBIs increased their productivity. Native inventors were not displaced nor did patenting in areas neighbouring Switzerland decrease.
Speaker: Professor Francesco Lissoni is a Professor of Economics at the Bordeaux School of Economics (University of Bordeaux). His main research interests relate to knowledge creation and diffusions. His past research addressed innovation adoption, the geography of knowledge flows, and the role of intellectual property in academic science.
Watch the recording here.
Tuesday, March 14th 2023
STACEES seminar: Internationalisation, sustainability and the contested environmental impacts of International Student Mobility (Seminars and lectures)
Dr David McCollum
St Andrews University Arts Lecture & Teams
Tuesday, March 14th 2023
11:00 - 12:00 UK Time
The St Andrews Network for Climate, Energy, Environment and Sustainability (STACEES) event series 'Net Zero and the Direction of Travel in Scottish HE' will take place throughout the spring.
The first talk in the series, a hybrid delivery seminar, will be delivered by CPC member, Dr David McCollum, and take place on Tuesday 14 March 2023 between 11 - 12pm. Dr McCollum's talk is entitled "Internationalisation, Sustainability and the Contested Environmental Impacts of International Student Mobility".
Net Zero and the Direction of Travel in Scottish HE
How can Scotlands higher education institutions lead the way in supporting the UK governments Net Zero ambitions? Where are we right now and where do the future challenges lie? How can the transition towards more sustainable travel be inclusive, fair and support Scotlands research and teaching ambitions?
STACEES, University of St Andrews warmly invites all staff, students and community members to a series of events focussing on these questions.
This four-part event series explores three key strands of travel through hybrid delivery talks delivered by a range of invited speakers, plus a chaired open discussion.
Title:Internationalization, Sustainability and the Contested Environmental Impacts of International Student Mobility
Date: Tuesday 14 March
Time11:00 - 12:00 UK Time
Abstract:This seminar focuses on the environmental sustainability of the ongoing growth in international student mobility (ISM). The Higher Education (HE) system in the UK and elsewhere is increasingly predicated upon the hosting of international students. Whilst this drive towards internationalisation undoubtably has multiple significant benefits, little attention thus far has been paid to its environmental impact. This is of significance because the carbon generated by ISM could conceivably be very considerable. The drive for internationalisation within HE thus potentially sits at odds with strategies to promote sustainability within the sector and beyond. This seminar seeks to stimulate conversation around the compatibility of these agendas within HE. A survey of students is used to generate a carbon audit of ISM in the UK. In-depth interviews with students and representatives of International Offices offer insights into how the environment features in the decisions that young people and HE institutions make with regards to education related mobility. The results point to the carbon emissions attributable to ISM being quite considerable, and largely due to the air travel involved in moving between home and university. Students take environmental considerations into account when undertaking education related mobility, but these aspirations are often secondary to logistical issues concerning the financial cost and time associated with greener travel options. At the institutional scale, university sustainability agendas have yet to be reconciled with the financial imperative to recruit evermore international students. This research thus flags up a thus far neglected contradiction within HE whereby the sustainability agenda that it so rightly espouses is potentially undermined by aspects of the drive towards internationalisation.
Speaker:Dr David McCollum is a Senior Lecturer in migration studies in the School of Geography and Sustainable Development, with research expertise in international student mobility.
Registration: https://events.st-andrews.ac.uk/events/stacees-event-series-net-zero-and-the-direction-of-travel-in-he/
Associated Downloads
Thursday, February 16th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Ernest Miguelez (Seminars and lectures)
Ernest Miguelez
Zoom
Thursday, February 16th 2023
12:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Webinar was held on Thursday 16 February 2023 at 12pm UK Time. Dr Ernest Miguelez, Research Fellow at the University of Bordeaux, gave a talk entitled "Global Mobile Inventors".
Title: Global Mobile Inventors
Abstract: This paper documents the crucial role played by global mobile inventors (GMIs) in the diffusion of knowledge across borders. We rely on data produced by the USPTO, which links all the patents recorded since the 1970s to unique firm and inventor identifiers, and provides information on the geographic location of inventors at the time of each patent filing. Over the past 50 years, we show that GMIs have gone from being a negligible phenomenon to concerning 30% of global patents. We find that GMIs with experience in a given technology abroad are instrumental in the early stages of development of that technology in their country of destination. Finally, we provide evidence that the higher their level of centrality in the destination country's network, the fastest the diffusion of technology-specific knowledge in the local population of inventors. These results testify of the importance of encouraging talent flows across borders to facilitate knowledge transfers.
Speaker: Dr Ernest Miguelez is a Research Fellow at the French National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), attached to the Bordeaux School of Economics. His research interests cover economic geography, innovation economics, migration, intellectual property, and more recently, the diffusion/adoption of green technologies and products.
Watch the recording here.
Wednesday, February 15th 2023
European Day of Demography (Public engagement events)
Professor Jane Falkingham, Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris and Professor Melinda Mills
Online
Wednesday, February 15th 2023
12:00 UK Time
European Day of Demography
Organized by Population Europe and the Federal Institute for Population Research in collaboration with the European Commission, the European Association for Population Studies, the Associazione Italiana per gli Studi di Popolazione, the British Society for Population Studies, the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Demographie and the Nederlandse Vereniging voor Demografie with the kind support of Förderfonds Wissenschaft in Berlin.
12:00 - 13:00 | Panel I | "Data is the new oil". What we can learn from new data sources about demography
Anne Gauthier, Director of the Generations and Gender Programme (GGP), senior researcher at the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) and Professor of Comparative Family Studies at the University of Groningen
Melinda Mills, Director of the Leverhulme Center for Demographic Science, Oxford University
Andy Tatem, Director of WorldPop and Professor at the University of Southampton
Emilio Zagheni, Executive Director of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
13:15 - 14:15 | Panel II | Challenged populations: The demographics of Eastern Europe under threat
Pavel Grigoriev, Head of Research Group Mortality, Federal Institute for Population Research
Tomáš Kučera, Professor at the Charles University in Prague
Nataliia Levchuk, Senior Researcher at the Ptoukha Institute for Demography and Social Studies
Brienna Perelli-Harris, Professor of Demography at the University of Southampton
14:30 - 15:30 | Panel III | Demography and International Fairness
Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak, Vice Rector for Science and head of the Institute of Statistics and Demography at the Warsaw School of Economics
Albert Esteve, Director of the Centre for Demographic Studies at the Autonomous University of Barcelona
Jane C. Falkingham, Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change, PI of the ESRC Connecting Generations and Professor of Demography and International Social Policy, University of Southampton.
Wolfgang Lutz, Founding Director of the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna)
17:30 - 19:00 | Evening Event and Public Debate | We are all ageing, but some age better than others. How can we deal with population disparities
Annette Baudisch, Director of the Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics at the University of Southern Denmark
Axel Börsch-Supan, Director of the Munich Institute for the Economics of Ageing and Managing Director of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe
Juliane Seifert, State Secretary, German Federal Ministry of the Interior and Community (tbc)
C. Katharina Spieß, Director of the Federal Institute for Population Research and Professor of Population Economics at Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz
Dubravka Šuica, the European Commission Vice-President for Democracy and Demography
Register to attend here
Wednesday, February 8th 2023 - Friday, February 10th 2023
14th Conference of Young Demographers (Conferences) (Conferences)
Charles University, Prague
Wednesday, February 8th 2023
Friday, February 10th 2023
The annual international Conference of Young Demographers is held at the Faculty of Science, Charles University traditionally in the first half of February. They welcome submissions from all fields of demography, as well as all related areas of population studies. They aim to create a relaxed and welcoming environment where especially early career researchers can share their work in progress and thoughts with their peers.
CPC PhD student, Peter Dorey, will be presenting: Unemployment and Fertility in Great Britain: A Fixed Effects Spatial Durbin Error Panel Approach.
Thursday, February 2nd 2023
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Kinship, family and generations: Insights from formal demography (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Hal Caswell
Online
Thursday, February 2nd 2023
12:00 UK Time
Watch the recording: https://youtu.be/baLl43gjDfI
In this talk, Professor Caswell described a new theory for understanding, and making predictions about kinship networks derived from matrix equations. Given the importance of relatives and family, a formal theory of kinship has been slow to arise. Professor Caswell discussed how his theory is flexible enough to accommodate the age and size structure of populations, time-varying demographic rates, one or two sexes, the experience of bereavement due to the death of kin, and the burden of diseases or other conditions.
If we think (and we do) of the kinship network as a collection of populations, then the formal theory also leads directly to the analysis of lineages sequences of generations, linked in lineages. It naturally provides a framework for calculating the growth or decline of lineages, the overlap of generations within lineages, and a new solution to the most venerable problem in stochastic demography: the probability of extinction or persistence of a lineage.
The panel discussion discussed the multidimensions of kinship, uncompleted pieces of the theoretical puzzle, their possible value, and how they might be completed.
Professor Hal Caswell is a Professor of Mathematical Demography and Ecology at the University of Amsterdam.
Professor Caswell is known for his contributions to both population biology and human demography. He develops new theory for understanding, with application to real world problems, especially to evolutionary questions and environmental questions related to climate change.
Professor Caswells research focuses on describing populations, using mathematical modelling based on matrices for plants, animals, and humans. His work concerns the effect of individual variability on the population a whole, for example how random outcomes of individual lives affect population indices such as longevity, and vice versa. His work also incorporates environmental unpredictability, such as floods, droughts, and climate change on population dynamics.
Professor Caswell applies matrix population models to the understanding of kinship, noting that family dynamics are important for the life histories of humans and of some kinds of animals: primates, whales, some birds, and social insects in particular. His matrix population models provide an important analytical tool to explore the patterns of kinship and family structures implied by particular sets of demographic processes.
Professor Caswell has received international awards in ecology and human demography, including the Mindel Sheps Award for mathematical demography from the PAA. He has received two advanced grants from the European Research Council, most recently in 2018, for a project entitled The formal demography of kinship and families, which is developing a complete formal demographic structure for studying kinship at the individual, cohort, and population levels. Professor Caswell is member of the ESRC Connecting Generations Advisory Board.
Professor Jakub Bijak and Dr Joanne Ellison were panellists at the event, chaired by Dr Jason Hilton.
Professor Bijak is Professor of Statistical Demography within the Faculty of Social Sciences at the University of Southampton. He has background in economics and 20 years work experience in academia and international civil service. His research focuses on demographic uncertainty, population and migration models and forecasts, as well as the demography of armed conflict. Professor Bijak received the Allianz European Demographer Award in 2015 for outstanding research on the causes and consequences of demographic change in Europe. He is Director of the EU funded Quantmig: Quantifying Migration Scenarios for better Policy project, and co-Investigator of CPC and Connecting Generations.
Dr Joanne Ellison is a statistician at the University of Southampton, where she works as a Research Fellow on the ESRC Connecting Generations Project. Joanne's research interests include stochastic modelling, fertility projections, demographic forecasting, and Bayesian demography. She previously developed improved fertility forecasting methodologies within the project, 'Understanding Recent Fertility Trends in the UK and Improving Methodologies for Fertility Forecasting'; and is currently working on 'Modelling kinship and quantifying the connections between generations'.
Dr Hilton is a lecturer in Social Statistics at the University of Southampton, where he leads the Connecting Generations strand of research on Modelling kinship and quantifying the connections between generations. Dr Hilton works in the areas of population forecasting, applied Bayesian statistics and simulation. He has been involved in consultancy work for the Greater London Authority, the European Asylum Support Office, and the Office of National Statistics, amongst others.
Connecting Generations is a partnership between ESRC Centre for Population Change, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science and the Resolution Foundation. It aims to understand intergenerational connectivity, producing novel science that informs policy debate.
Watch the recording here
Monday, January 30th 2023
Social Inequalities in the risk of miscarriage in the United Kingdom (Seminars and lectures)
Heini Vaisanen and Katherine Keenan
Online and The Pauling Centre, 58A Banbury Road, Oxford
Monday, January 30th 2023
4pm UK Time
One in four women experience a miscarriage. Loss of pregnancy may affect fertility intentions and lead to adverse mental and physical health. Yet, we know little about how social inequalities affect the risk of miscarriage and the few existing studies show mixed results. A social gradient in the risk of miscarriage may have multiple explanations including differing levels of stress, health behaviours, and age at pregnancy. We use the British Cohort Study (1970) to investigate whether individual-level social inequalities are associated with the likelihood of miscarriage over the reproductive life course. We apply random-intercept logistic regression to examine the likelihood of reported miscarriages according to markers of socioeconomic status, such as occupational social class, income, and education. Our preliminary results suggest more disadvantaged women have a higher risk of miscarriage at younger ages, but the direction of the association reverses towards the end of the reproductive life span. The results are affected by the sub-population studied (all women vs. only pregnancy spells). Methodological work tackling underreporting of miscarriage for more reliable estimates is currently underway.
CPC-CG Members, Dr Heini Vaisanen and Dr Katherine Keenan will be presenting at this event.
Thursday, January 26th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Zachary Van Winkle (Seminars and lectures)
Zachary Van Winkle
Zoom
Thursday, January 26th 2023
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Seminar was held on Thursday 26 January at 1pm UK time. Zachary Van Winkle, Assistant Professor of Sociology at Sciences Po, gave a talk entitled "The cost of widowhood: A matching study of process and event".
Title: The cost of widowhood: A matching study of process and event
Abstract: Widowhood is a common life transition entailing far-reaching consequences. The consequences of widowhood will be examined in a novel way by assessing the consequences of bereavement for meaningful comparison groups allowing the evaluation of the impact of bereavement before and after the event. The analysis of the cost of widowhood for mental health and economic wellbeing focuses on two scenarios: unexpected and expected widowhood. The first scenario models a two-period process in which effects of widowhood occur only after the event. The second models a three-period process in which effects of widowhood also occur before spousal loss. US Health and Retirement Study data and a combination of random-coefficient modelling, propensity score matching, and regressions are used to estimate the consequences of widowhood from ten years before to six years after spousal loss. Results on mental health show a slow but full recovery for unexpected widowhood, but larger and lasting declines for expected widowhood. Findings on economic wellbeing show sizable losses for expected widowhood due to the economic cost of the pre-widowhood period. In sum, the impact of widowhood is smaller for unexpected compared to expected events. This approach advances knowledge about spousal loss, but also research on life events more generally.
Speaker: Zachary Van Winkle is Assistant Professor of Sociology at Sciences Po's Centre for Research on Social Inequalities. He is also an Associate member of Nuffield College at the University of Oxford. His research focuses on the interplay between family demography and social inequality from a comparative life course perspective.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, January 19th 2023
CPC-CG Webinar - Zachary Parolin (Seminars and lectures)
Zach Parolin
Zoom
Thursday, January 19th 2023
12:00 - 13:00 GMT
This CPC-CG Seminar was held on Thursday 19th January at 12pm UK time. Zach Parolin, Assistant Professor at Bocconi University, gave a talk entitled, "The Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty in High Income Countries."
Title:The Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty in High Income Countries
Abstract:This study investigates differences in the intergenerational persistence of poverty in the United States, United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, and Switzerland. Using comparative sources of panel data, we seek to explain cross-national variation in the relationship between exposure to childhood poverty and poverty in young adulthood. To do so, we introduce an accounting framework that decomposes rates of young adult poverty into two components: (1) differential exposure levels to childhood poverty and (2) the relationship of those exposure levels to young adult poverty. We then interrogate these components in four steps. First, we document cross-national differences in the extent, persistence, depth, and age of exposure to childhood poverty. Second, we assess whether cross-national differences in these features of childhood poverty can be attributed to demographic differences or institutional differences. Third, we measure cross-national differences in how exposure to childhood poverty influences poverty in adulthood. Fourth, we clarify differences in the mechanisms through which childhood poverty affects young adult poverty.
Speaker: Zachary Parolin is an Assistant Professor of Social Policy at Bocconi University, Milan. He is also a Senior Research Fellow at Columbia University's Centre on Poverty and Social Policy. His research focuses on the measurement, causes and consequences of poverty and social inequality across the United States and European Union.
Watch the recording here.
Wednesday, January 11th 2023
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Wealth booms and debt burdens: how Britain's recent economic history and outlook affects different generations (Seminars and lectures)
Professor James Sefton
Free online and in person
Wednesday, January 11th 2023
09:30-10:45
Event Date: Wednesday 11 January 2023
Event Time: 09:30 - 10:45 UK time
Event Location: Free online and in person
Watch the recording: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6aM7qDVz_8g&t=2368s
The financial crisis is largely considered to have increased inequalities between generations, with rising public debt leading to higher taxes for future generations, while the gains from rising asset prices have been accrued by older generations. Private intergenerational wealth transfers have grown - notably through the 'Bank of Mum and Dad' - but the scale and direction of public sector transfers are less clear cut. How policymakers confront the UK's economic challenges - from tax rises and spending cuts, to priorities for public services and a new strategy for growth - will have varying implications for different generations.
How has the fallout from the financial crisis affected the financial resilience of different generations in the UK? To what extent are younger generations today worse off than previous generations were at the same age, and how might this change in coming decades? And what can policymakers do to minimise the gaps both between and within generations which have already arisen, and ensure that future policies share the financial burden fairly?
Join Professor Sefton in the third Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk as he discusses new research on private and public intergenerational transfers since the financial crisis. He will be joined by Professor Jackline Wahba OBE (ESRC Connecting Generations, University of Southampton) and the session will be chaired by the Rt. Hon. Lord David Willetts (President of the Resolution Foundation).
James Sefton is currently a Professor of Economics at Imperial College Business School.
James is the Principal Investigator on the ESRC-funded project Changes in the Distribution of Resources across Generations in both the UK and the US, Academic Director of both Investment and Wealth Management (IWM) and Finance and Accounting (F&A) MScs and Co-director of the Financial Technology MSc.
His economic research agenda focuses on questions about intergenerational equity, pension policy design and long run trends in the housing market. As a quantitative finance researcher, he is interested in the design of both quantitative investment strategies and retirement investment products.
Professor Jackline Wahba OBE will be a panellist at this event. She is a Professor of Economics within the Faculty of Social Sciences at the University of Southampton. She has an interest in Labour Economics, Development Economics and Applied Micro-econometrics. Jackie is a research fellow of the Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Germany, CReAM (Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration) in London, and the Economic Research Forum in Cairo. She has also acted as an academic consultant in international migration and labour markets for several international organisations including the World Bank, OECD and IOM, and is a previous member of the UK Government's Migration Advisory Committee (MAC). She jointly leads the migration strand for the CPC, and is a researcher of Connecting Generations working on the project 'Migration connecting generations'.
Watch the recording here
Thursday, December 15th 2022
FemQuant 5-year anniversary event: 'Looking back, looking forward' (Workshops)
Zoom
Thursday, December 15th 2022
16:00 - 17:30 UK time
This autumn, we are marking five years of FemQuant. It started with a workshop in London, UK in September 2017 and grew into a network of researchers and a series of conferences and seminars. The goal of the network is to explore the ways in which researchers are using feminist theory and motivations in current quantitative, empirical research across the social sciences.
To mark the occasion, we would like to invite you to attend our panel discussion 'Looking back, looking forward' in relation to what it means to take a feminist approach to quantitative research in the social sciences.
The event is free to attend, but a registration is required. Practicalities are as follows:
• When: Thursday 15 December, 4:00-5:30 pm GMT
• Where: Online (Zoom)
• Register on Eventbrite to be sent the Zoom link shortly before the start of the event.
The discussion will 'look back' at exciting innovations and promising developments made in quantitative feminist research, as well as the challenges faced along the way, and 'look forward' on exploring new directions and opportunities for feminist quantitative research.
The discussion will be chaired by FemQuant organising collective member Sara Rose Taylor. The panel includes social scientists who use feminist approaches in their quantitative research: Aliya Saperstein, Heini Väisänen, Jaclyn S. Wong, Marion Lieutaud, Rachel Cohen and Wendy Sigle.
Please see our website for more information: https://femquant.wordpress.com/events/
Thursday, December 15th 2022
CPC-CG Webinar - Maria Rita Testa (Seminars and lectures)
Maria Rita Testa
Zoom
Thursday, December 15th 2022
13:00 UK Time
This CPC-CG Seminar was held on Thursday 15th December at 13:00 pm UK time. Maria Rita Testa, Professor of Demography at Luiss University, Rome, will be giving a talk entitled, "The low fertility trap: a search for empirical evidence in the case of Italy"
Title: The low fertility trap: a search for empirical evidence in the case of Italy
Abstract: In Italy very low fertility coupled with very high life expectancy will have a tremendous impact on the labour market, pension system, and health care provision in the coming decades. Knowing future population trend is key for the Italian society to prepare for the changes. The uncertainty on the future trends of births and deaths has increased after COVID-19 and has made demographic projections more challenging. The aim of this research is to single out the future prospects of Italy's population by comparing projections stemming from different organizations and their sensitiveness to the underlying assumptions on fertility, mortality and migration. A particular emphasis will be given to the assessment of a feasibility of the low fertility trap hypothesis. While all organizations agree that the Italian population will continue to decline in the future, the speed and extent of this decline vary significantly across projections. The trap assumption seems not very realistic in the short and medium term.
Speaker: Maria is a Professor of Demography, and Director of the Bachelor Programme in Political Science at Luiss University, Rome. Her research interests include reproductive decision making, family, fertility, environmental change, social sustainability, and life course analysis.
Watch the recording here.
Tuesday, December 13th 2022
Generations & Gender Programme Webinar: GGS-II wave 1 in the UK: Field work preparation and preliminary results from user testing and an incentive experiment (Seminars and lectures)
Brienna Perelli-Harris and Olga Maslovskaya
Zoom
Tuesday, December 13th 2022
12:00 UK Time
The webinar is held on the 13th of December at 12:00 UK Time. In this webinar, CP member, Brienna Perelli-Harris and Olga Maslovskaya from the UK national team will talk about 'GGS-II wave 1 in the UK: Field work preparation and preliminary results from user testing and an incentive experiment'.
GGS-II Wave 1 is currently in the field in the UK and the first part of the data collection has been completed successfully. As part of the presentation the speakers will share experiences with user testing on date formats and summary tables as well as the results from an experiment with different types of incentives.
Registration:
https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_0oIUlafoQ9SGIegzvXZZlQ
Thursday, November 17th 2022
CPC-CG Webinar - Susan Harkness (Seminars and lectures)
Susan Harkness
Zoom
Thursday, November 17th 2022
12:00 - 13:00 UK time
Speaker: This CPC-CG webinar was hosted by Susan Harkness, Professor at the School for Policy Studies at the University of Bristol. Susan holds a PhD in Economics from University College London, and is currently the lead Principal Investigator on a cross-country comparative research project, which examines differences in how inequalities evolve over the life course with colleagues in Denmark, the Netherlands, Finland and Germany. Susan's webinar will be entitled "Earnings penalties to motherhood, and poverty and income equality among couples with children: how do the US and the UK differ?
Title: Earnings penalties to motherhood and poverty and income inequality among couples with children: how do the US and the UK differ?
Abstract:Becoming a first-time parent triggers large changes in patterns of household employment, earnings, and income. These effects may vary widely across the income distribution with the institutional context of different countries having an important influence on how the cost of children differs by income. In this comparative study, we use harmonised panel data for the United States and the United Kingdom from 2009 to 2019, and unconditional quantile treatment effect (QTE) with fixed effects to show how the transition to parenthood influences family income across the income distribution in two countries. Our expectation is that. because children have a larger effect on female labour supply and earnings in the UK, childbirth will have a larger and more dis-equalizing effect on income. The relative generosity of the British welfare system in supporting low-earning families with children moderates, but does not eliminate, this effect. Our findings highlight the importance of employment penalties to motherhood for driving inequalities in the incomes of families with children, and the importance of the institutional context in affecting change.
Watch the recording here.
Tuesday, November 15th 2022
📆 Reaching 8 billion humans on the planet | How far have we come, and where are we headed? (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Tuesday, November 15th 2022
12:00 UK Time
As the global population reaches eight billion, we bring together population experts to explore the following questions: what major demographic changes have occurred in the last decades and what can we predict for the near future? From historical decreases in mortality rates to low fertility and more diverse societies, are countries moving in the same direction? To what extent have government interventions affected demographic behaviours? How low can fertility decline? Because of the age structure of the world population, growth is in part inevitable, raising crucial questions about future global trends, among them: How can population growth be decoupled from potential negative impacts to sustainable development? How might intergenerational support systems look in the future so that generations can work together? Can societies become truly child- and family-friendly?
Speakers
• Jane Falkingham, Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change, PI of the ESRC Connecting Generations and Professor of Demography and International Social Policy, University of Southampton
• Bruno Masquelier, Professor at the Centre for Demographic Research, Louvain University
• Tomáš Sobotka, Head of the VID research group on Fertility and Family, Vienna Institute of Demography (OeAW), Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna), Vienna
• Frank Swiaczny, Senior Researcher at the German Federal Institute for Population Research and Executive Director of the German Society for Demography
• Helga de Valk, Director of the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) and Professor of Migration and the Life Course at the University of Groningen
Registration:https://population-europe.eu/events/how-far-have-we-come-and-where-are-we-headed-reaching-8-billion-humans-planet
Thursday, November 3rd 2022
CPC-CG/CRA Webinar - Klara Raiber (Seminars and lectures)
Klara Raiber
Zoom
Thursday, November 3rd 2022
12:00 - 13:00 UK time
Speaker: This CPC-CG/CRA webinar was hosted by Klara Raiber of Radboud University. Klara holds a masters degree in Sociology from the University of Mannheim, She is currently undertaking a PhD, focusing on the long-term employment consequences of informal caregiving from a life-course perspective; and is at the University of Southampton until mid-November 2022 as a postgraduate research visitor at the Department of Gerontology and the Centre for Population Change. Her talk is entitled "The Impact of Unpaid Care on Job Satisfaction."
Title: The Impact of Unpaid Care on Job Satisfaction
Abstract: Taking up unpaid care, that is providing care for sick or disabled individuals in one's social network, can affect employment. In this talk, I will provide a brief overview of my research on the employment consequences of unpaid caregiving and focus on one specific outcome, that is job satisfaction. The research on unpaid caregiving and job satisfaction has been developed during my stay as a Visiting Fellow in the Department of Gerontology and ESRC CPC-CG, at the University of Southampton. To have a fuller picture of the employment consequences of unpaid care - including potential positive effects, as suggested by enrichment theory - it is important to examine 'subjective' outcomes such as job satisfaction. Applying fixed-effects panel models using the UK Household Panel 'Understanding Society' (2009-2020; N=171,450 observations from 32,156 respondents), we focus on changes in job satisfaction and their relationship to changes in caregiving, differentiated by intensity and duration.
Watch the recording here.
Thursday, October 27th 2022
CPC-CG Webinar - Clara H. Mulder (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, October 27th 2022
13:00-14:00 UK time
Speaker: This CPC-CG webinar was be hosted by Clara H. Mulder, Professor of Demography and Space at the University of Groningen. Clara's areas of expertise include internal migration, residential mobility, households and family relations. Following the completion of her PhD at the University of Amsterdam, Clara joined the University of Groningen in 2011 undertaking various roles alongside her professorship. Clara's talk is entitled "Internal migration and ties to non-resident family".
Title: Internal migration and ties to non-resident family
Abstract:Scholars employing the life-course perspective have emphasized the importance of the linked lives of family members for individuals life courses, including their internal and international migration trajectories. The FamilyTies project (www.rug.nl/FamilyTies) investigates the roles of non-resident family members in migration, both as anchors (keeping individuals and households from migrating and thus inducing staying) and as beacons (attracting migration). It also addresses motivations for migration and staying as well as individual labour-market outcomes associated with migration and staying related to family ties. In this talk, I summarize some insights from the research carried out in the FamilyTies project. I also discuss some of the data challenges associated with research on the role of non-resident family and peers in migration, with a specific focus on data for the UK.
Watch the recording here
Thursday, October 27th 2022
Spending with dementia - Making the high street dementia-friendly (Public engagement events)
Iris Murdoch Building, University of Stirling
Thursday, October 27th 2022
11:00 - 16:00 UK time
Spending with dementia Making the high street dementia-friendly
Join the International Longevity Centre and Stirling University to learn how to make the high street work better for people with dementia.
An Alzheimers Society survey found that almost 80% of people with dementia list shopping as one of their favourite activities. In 2019, households with someone living with dementia were expected to spend £16.7 billion.
But from inaccessible public transport to a lack of public toilets and confusing payment systems, too many people with dementia are locked out of spending on the products and services they want.
Join us at Stirling University for the launch of our findings of a major research project, supported by the abrdn Financial Fairness Trust, which unpicks how we can support people with dementia on the high street.
Draft Agenda
11.00am 12.00pm How can retailers keep us healthy across our lives? Professor Leigh Sparks, Stirling University and Ailsa Forbes, ILC
12.00pm 1.30pm Tour of the Iris Murdoch Centre and networking
1.30pm 3.30pm Dementia and spending research launch and panel debate Professor David Bell, Professor Judith Philips, Lesley Palmer, Stirling University
3.30pm 4.00pm Networking
To register: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/spending-with-dementia-making-the-high-street-dementia-friendly-tickets-411218494587
Associated Downloads
Thursday, October 20th 2022
CPC-CG Webinar - Ewa Batyra (Seminars and lectures)
Ewa Batyra
Zoom
Thursday, October 20th 2022
12:00 -13:00 UK time
Speaker: This CPC-CG webinar was hosted by Ewa Batyra of the Centre for Demographic Studies in Barcelona. Ewa's research lies in the areas of demography, health, social policy and international development. Ewa obtained a PhD in Demography from the London School of Economics and Political Science, and completed a postdoctoral fellowship at the University of Pennsylvania. Ewa's talk is entitled "Unequal Transitions to Adulthood in Low- and Middle-Income Countries."
Title: Unequal Transitions to Adulthood in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
Abstract:Research on the timing of events during transition to adulthood, such as first union formation, sexual initiation, and first birth, in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) focused predominately on measures of central tendency, notably median or mean ages. In this work, we adopt a different perspective on this topic by examining variation and disparities in the timing of these events within African, Asian and Latin American countries. Our results show that within-country disparities in the timing of first union and birth grew in West Africa and Latin America, and women who experience these events relatively early increasingly lag behind women who experience them relatively late. This research highlights that documenting trends in measures of central tendency is insufficient to capture the complexity of ongoing changes because they mask growing disparities in the timing of family formation across many LMICs.
Friday, October 7th 2022
Free Virtual Training Workshop - Parity-specific Fertility Projections (Workshops)
Zoom
Friday, October 7th 2022
14:00 - 17:00 UK time
The ESRC-funded FertilityTrends project is organising two free, half-day, virtual training workshops this Autumn on methods for Fertility Analysis and Projection. Participants can attend either or both of the workshops, which will be held on Zoom.
The workshops contain theoretical and practical components, with computer demos performed in R (code will be made available). The workshops are aimed at national and local government statisticians, social and demographic researchers, and others who are interested in understanding how to analyse fertility trends and make projections for the future. Situations where this is important include planning maternity services and anticipating demand for school places.
This second workshop introduces a method to produce fertility projections by birth order with associated uncertainty, including practical R computer demos using population-level data. Parity-specific projections account for a crucial mechanism of fertility dynamics and thus could increase reliability.
Instructors: Dr Joanne Ellison, Prof Jakub Bijak, Prof Erengul Dodd (University of Southampton, UK)
Associated Downloads
Friday, September 30th 2022
Free Virtual Training Workshop - Fertility Analysis by Birth Order (Workshops)
Zoom
Friday, September 30th 2022
14:00 - 17:00 UK time
The ESRC-funded FertilityTrends project is organising two free, half-day, virtual training workshops this Autumn on methods for Fertility Analysis and Projection. Participants can attend either or both of the workshops, which will be held on Zoom.
The workshops contain theoretical and practical components, with computer demos performed in R (code will be made available). The workshops are aimed at national and local government statisticians, social and demographic researchers, and others who are interested in understanding how to analyse fertility trends and make projections for the future. Situations where this is important include planning maternity services and anticipating demand for school places.
This first workshop introduces parity-specific fertility measures and methods to calculate fertility rates by birth order, including practical R computer demos using individual-level data. Such methods are useful because they enable the detection of underlying changes in fertility patterns with greater precision.
Instructors: Dr Bernice Kuang (University of Southampton, UK), Prof Ann Berrington (University of Southampton, UK), Dr Sarah Christison (University of St Andrews, UK), Prof Hill Kulu (University of St Andrews, UK).
Associated Downloads
Thursday, September 29th 2022
CPC-CG Webinar - Martin Kreidl (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, September 29th 2022
13:00-14:00 UK time
This CPC-CG webinar was held on Thursday 29 September at 13:00 UK time. Martin Kreidl, Professor of Sociology at Masaryk University gave a talk entitled, "Adult childrens union type and contact with mothers: Does the observed association reflect a causal effect?".
Title: Adult childrens union type and contact with mothers: Does the observed association reflect a causal effect?
Abstract:Increasingly fragile intragenerational bonds increase the demand for intergenerational contact and support (Bengtson 2001). Moreover, increasing longevity has also resulted in more years of shared lives across generations and thus has heightened the potential for such intergenerational transfers. Yet, this potential may not be fully realized as some family transitions (both among parents and among children) and non-traditional family forms (such as unmarried cohabitation) seem to reduce the frequency and quality of intergenerational exchange (Hogerbrugge, Dykstra, 2009; Schenk, Dykstra 2012). Recent research based on child-parent dyads drawn from the population in a particular year (Yahirun, Hamplová 2014) indicates that adult children living in cohabitations interact with their mothers less often than children living in marriage. This finding is based both on within- and between-family comparisons. Some scholars use a causal argument to explain this association: it should be the lower institutionalization and social recognition of unmarried cohabitations that produce this effect.
We find this interpretation to be dubious as both union type and frequency of contact may depend on unmeasured variables (such as familialistic norms and perceived obligation to keep contact with kin). Thus, the cross-sectional association may be spurious.
Research question: We explore if adult childrens union status indeed correlates with the frequency of contact with their mothers.
Watch the recording here
Monday, September 26th 2022 - Tuesday, September 27th 2022
YouthLife Workshop on Mixed Methods in Life Course Research (Workshops)
Dolphin Hotel, Southampton
Monday, September 26th 2022
Tuesday, September 27th 2022
YouthLife Workshop on Mixed Methods in Life Course Research
Dolphin Hotel, Southampton
September 26th-27th, 2022
On September 26th-27th 2022, the University of Southampton in cooperation with the Institute of International and Social Studies (IISS), will organise an advanced workshop on mixed methods in longitudinal life course studies for researchers and ESRs from partner institutions of YouthLife project. The training event is organised as part of the methodology school of IISS within the framework of the YouthLife project and carried out by Prof Rosalind Edwards, Prof Ann Berrington, Dr Susie Weller, Prof Anthony J. Onwuegbuzie, Prof Felicity Bishop, Dr James Hall, Dr Pose Lindsay, Prof Athina Vlachantoni, Dr Lisa Ballard, Prof Laura Camfield and Seb Stannard.
The two-day workshop aims building knowledge about the philosophical foundations of mixed methods and to practice the criteria for assessing them using case studies deploying different mixed approaches. Participants will be enabled to apply this to their own mixed methods life course research, presenting and discussing their work in small groups facilitated by the workshop leaders. The workshop will also provide networking opportunities for developing joint research and writing projects with workshop participants and invited guest speakers amongst life course and mixed methods youth researchers throughout the UK and internationally.
Associated Downloads
Wednesday, September 21st 2022 - Thursday, September 22nd 2022
Summer School: The Economics of Crime over Time and Space Theory, Practice and Applications (Workshops)
Zoom
Wednesday, September 21st 2022
Thursday, September 22nd 2022
Summer School: The Economics of Crime over Time and Space
Theory, Practice and Applications
21/22 September 2022
The Summer School on the Economics of Crime over Time and Space will cover the theory, practice and application of spatial econometric models applied to crime outcomes. There will be a focus on spatial networks models, and how theory can be applied to the analysis of large scale crime data.
Applications from PhD students and postdoctoral researchers working in the economics of crime and related areas are encouraged. Part of the Summer School Programme will be dedicated to participants’ presentations of their work – these will take the form of lightning presentations, and presenters will receive feedback from peers and Faculty.
The summer school will feature two keynote presentations, from Dr Pedro Souza (Queen Mary University of London) and Prof. Yves Zenou (Monash University and University of Southampton).
Lectures will be delivered by Prof. Corrado Giulietti (University of Southampton), Dr Brendon McConnell (University of Southampton) and Dr Arpita Ghosh (University of Exeter).
The summer school will take place on Zoom on 21 and 22 September 2022.
In order to apply, interested applicants should send an email to ects--summerschool@googlegroups.com , indicating in the subject “Application for Summer School: The Economics of Crime over Time and Space”. Please include a short description of your current research and indicate whether you would like to give a lightning presentation of your work.
The deadline for application is Friday 9 September 2022. For logistical reasons, the number of participants is limited to a maximum of 30 (spaces are available on a first-come-first served basis).
Applicants will be informed about the outcome of their application by Tuesday 13 September. The Summer School is an event organized as part of the grant “A Unified Approach to Measuring the Costs of Violent Crime Risk” funded by the ESRC. The event is virtual and there are no fees.
Organisers: Corrado Giulietti (University of Southampton), Brendon McConnell (University of Southampton)
Associated Downloads
Wednesday, September 14th 2022 - Friday, September 16th 2022
20th Annual ESPAnet conference (Conferences)
Vienna
Wednesday, September 14th 2022
Friday, September 16th 2022
20th Annual ESPAnet conference
Social Policy Change between Path Dependency and Innovation
The pandemic, the crisis in many geopolitically diverse areas and the resulting migration flows, environmental and economic changes extend the range of social challenges to be faced by welfare states. We can observe several paths of change and adaptations that differ across countries, territories and policy fields.
How do welfare states navigate these troubled times? How do they embrace change and pursue a balance between path dependency and innovation?
The 20th ESPAnet Anniversary Conference will offer you a place to engage, discuss and present your research findings with international social policy academics in the wonderful Viennese frame. Vienna is a highly international city and provides an excellent venue for the ESPAnet Conference, with its multiple historical and cultural attractions, as well as a consolidated tradition of engagement in the provision of social policies.
In addition to paper presentations sessions, the Programme will include a poster session, book and project presentations. Finally, considering the times we are living in, we are also exploring the possibility of organising some additional sessions online, 2 days before the on-site Conference, to offer opportunities of participation and exchange also to those who may encounter difficulties in travelling.
Paul Bridgen and Traute Meyer will be presenting:
The retrenchment that didn't happen? Pension replacement rates for retired citizens in Europe in the years since major institutional reforms
Monday, September 12th 2022 - Thursday, September 15th 2022
RSS Conference 2022 (Conferences)
Aberdeen
Monday, September 12th 2022
Thursday, September 15th 2022
RSS International Conference 2022
12-15 September 2022, Aberdeen
The RSS International Conference regularly attracts more than 600 attendees from over 40 countries providing one of the best opportunities for anyone interested in statistics and data science to come together to share knowledge and network.
We are delighted to be moving to Aberdeen for the first time in 2022 in a state-of-the-art brand new venue, P&J Live.
As usual, the conference programme will feature top keynote speakers, invited topic sessions, professional development workshops, contributed and rapid-fire talks, and poster presentations, as well as many opportunities for networking.
Dr Joanne Ellison will present:
Projecting UK Fertility by Parity using Bayesian Generalized Additive Models
Tuesday, September 6th 2022 - Friday, September 9th 2022
Society for Social Medicine and Population Health (SSM) 66th Annual Scientific Meeting (Conferences)
University of Exeter
Tuesday, September 6th 2022
Friday, September 9th 2022
Society for Social Medicine and Population Health (SSM)
66th Annual Scientific Meeting
University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Tuesday 6 September - Friday 9 September 2022
Mary Abed Al Ahad et al will present:
The effect of air pollution on individuals’ mental well-being in the United Kingdom: a spatial-temporal longitudinal study.
Monday, September 5th 2022 - Wednesday, September 7th 2022
British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) annual conference 2022 (Conferences)
University of Winchester
Monday, September 5th 2022
Wednesday, September 7th 2022
The British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) holds an annual conference each September and this year it will return to an in-person event hosted at the University of Winchester from 5-7 September 2022.
CPC researchers have been contributing to BSPS by volunteering as strand organisers, submitting papers to present, and chairing sessions.
Attendees of BSPS 2022 can hear more about our members' research in the sessions below, and you can follow our live tweets on twitter, @CPCpopulation @ConnectingGens or by following the event #BSPS2022. Full programme and registration details are available from the BSPS website.
Monday 5 September 2022
13:30-15:00
Session: Health: Environmental exposures, behaviours & health
Title: The long‐term effect of air pollution on mortality by ethnicity in Scotland: A 16‐years follow‐up cohort study (2002‐2017)
Authors: Abed Al Ahad, Demšar, Sullivan, Kulu
Session: Migration: Economic outcomes
Title: Patterns of immigrant labour market engagement by parity
Authors: Liu, Kulu
Session: Families & households:Gender & parenthood
Title: Understanding trends and patterns in life satisfaction during the Pandemic: Gender, work, and family care
Authors: Berrington, Chao
Session: The impact of informal care & support across the life course
Title: The impact of changing social support on older persons' onset of loneliness during the Covid‐19 pandemic in the UK
Authors: Vlachantoni, Evandrou, Falkingham, Qin
Session: The impact of informal care & support across the life course
Title: The impact of grandchild care provision on grandparents' depressive symptoms across Europe using multi‐level analysis: Do the grandchild caring patterns and the country's economy matter?
Authors: Yang, Evandrou, Vlachantoni
16:45-18:15
Session: Ethnic inequalities during the pandemic: early results from the EVENS survey
Title: Introducing the Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS) for understanding experiences of ethnic minorities during the coronavirus pandemic
Authors: Finney et al.
Session: Ethnic inequalities during the pandemic: early results from the EVENS survey
Title: Complex articulations of ethnic identity
Authors: Borkowska, Finney, Nazroo
Session: Ethnic inequalities during the pandemic: early results from the EVENS survey
Title: Local belonging, housing and ethnicity: descriptive results from EVENS
Authors: Harrison, Finney, Haycox, Hill
Tuesday 6 September 2022
13:15-14:45
Session: Migration: Family formation & dissolution
Title: Childbearing and employment of immigrants and their descendants in three European countries: A multistate approach
Authors: Mikolai, Kulu, Delaporte, Liu
Session: Migration: Family formation & dissolution
Title: Post‐separation mobility outcomes among immigrant‐native mixed couples. A matter of relative bargaining positions within households?
Authors: Lacroix, Mikolai,Kulu
14:45-16:15
Session: Families & households: Partnerships
Title: Partnership, fertility, and employment trajectories of the descendants of immigrants in the UK: An application of multichannel sequence analysis
Authors: Mikolai, Kulu
Session: Fertility & reproductive health: Health, wellbeing & fertility
Title: Multi‐partner fertility and obesity risk at midlife: Explorative findings from the 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS70)
Authors: Stannard, Berrington, Alwan
Session: Ethnicity, ageing & health
Title: Work life expectancies among immigrants in three European countries: A multistate life‐table approach
Authors: Kulu, Hoehn, Mikolai, Delaporte, Liu, Andersson
Session: Ethnicity, ageing & health
Title: Loneliness and social isolation of ethnic‐minority‐immigrant older adults: A scoping review
Authors: Ma, Finney, Hale
17:30-19:00
Session: Low fertility: Subgroup analyses
Title: Educational differences in childbearing by parity: A cross‐national comparison of England & Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland
Authors: Kuang, Christison, Kulu, Berrington
Wednesday 7 September 2022
09:00-11:00
Session: Ethnic segregation, diversity &neighbourhoods
Title: The re‐making of diverse places: narratives of housing and inclusion
Authors: Haycox, Finney et al.
Session: Families & work
Title: The impact of family formation on the labour market trajectories of immigrant populations in France: A multiprocess analysis
Authors: Delaporte, Kulu
Session: Low fertility: Age & parity perspectives
Title: Fertility trends by birth order in Britain: The comparison between England and Wales, and Scotland
Authors: Kulu, Kuang, Christison, Ellison, Berrington
Session: Migration: Mobility
Title: Understanding the realization of jointly held residential mobility and fertility intentions: How has the sequencing of intention fulfilment changed over time?
Authors: Christison, Kulu, Fiori, Keenan
11:30-13:00
Session: Families & households: Children & young people
Title: Family complexity and young children's mental health in the UK: The role of socioeconomic status
Authors: Kyclova, Mikolai, Finney, Keenan
Session: Data Science: Innovations in modelling and forecasting
Title: Improving methods for fertility forecasting through the Incorporation of parity Information
Authors: Ellison, Berrington, Bijak, Dodd
Tuesday, July 19th 2022
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk - The problem of the 'Covid Generation' (Seminars and lectures)
Jennie Bristow
University of Southampton
Tuesday, July 19th 2022
12:00-13:00
Event Date: Tuesday 19 July 2022
Event Time: 12:00-13:00 UK time
Event Location: University of Southampton
Watch the recording: https://youtu.be/pAUFwzIuJUI
The Covid-19 pandemic has brought to the fore many features of the problem of generations that have exercised the sociological imagination for a century.
These include the potential for tensions and collaboration, the difficulties expressed by modern societies in educating and socialising young people, and the potential emergence of a distinct form of generational consciousness.
Yet predictions of dire outcomes for a global 'Covid generation', or the presentation of the pandemic response as something that was done to protect the old at the expense of the young, are simplistic and divisive.
Dr Jennie Bristow, author of Stop Mugging Grandma: The 'generation wars' and why Boomer blaming won't solve anything (2019) and co-author of The Corona Generation: Coming of age in a crisis (2020) discusses the unsettling questions raised by the transformation of the pandemic into a generational problem. Dr Bristow is Senior Lecturer in Sociology at Canterbury Christ Church University, an Associate of the Centre for Parenting Culture Studies, and a writer and commentator on generational tensions and interaction. She is co-convenor of the interdisciplinary Generations Network, which seeks to engage academics and others working with the concept of generation in discussion about the meaning of this concept and how it can better be used in policy-making and media debates.
The session will be chaired by Professor Jane Falkingham OBE, Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change and PI ESRC Connecting Generations.
There will a panel discussion and the opportunity to ask questions in our live audience Q&A.
Panellists are:
Professor Ann Berrington, Joint Head of Demography and Social Statistics in the Faculty of Social Sciences at the University of Southampton. She jointly co-ordinates the fertility strand of CPC and has also worked on some projects within the life course strand. She is a researcher on Connecting Generations and is working on the projects: Reproductive strategies, families and intergenerational exchange and Transitions to adulthood and the buffering effect of intergenerational support.
Dr Júlia Mikola, Senior Research Fellow in the Population and Health Research Group at the University of St Andrews. She is currently working on the MigrantLifeProject (PI: Prof Hill Kulu), which studies how employment, housing, and family trajectories evolve and interact in the lives of immigrants and their descendants across Europe. Julia completed her PhD in social statistics and demography at the University of Southampton in 2015. Her research investigated the intersection between partnership experiences and the transition to motherhood in several European countries and the United States using multi-state event history models. She is linked to the fertility and family strand of CPC. She is a researcher of Connecting Generations and is working on the projects, Reproductive strategies, families and intergenerational exchange and Transitions to adulthood and the buffering effect of intergenerational support.
Watch the recording here
Find out more about the Connecting Generations project: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/research_programme/connecting_generations
Tuesday, July 12th 2022
Only children: insights from across generations and countries (Seminars and lectures)
Online Microsoft Teams
Tuesday, July 12th 2022
14:00-16:30 BST
Only children: insights from across generations and countries
12 July 2022
14:00 - 16:30
With many couples starting families later and a gradual shift in family size ideals, only child families are becoming or are expected to become more common, but many stereotypes remain around only children. Join us to learn more about whether only children are different or similar from children who grow up with siblings in terms of development, health, and family dynamics and about the underlying explanations behind any differences we found.
CPC member Katherine Keenan will be giving a keynote speech.
Register here
Wednesday, July 6th 2022 - Friday, July 8th 2022
3rd International Conference on Migration and Mobilities (Seminars and lectures)
University of St Andrews, Scotland
Wednesday, July 6th 2022
Friday, July 8th 2022
3rd International Conference on Migration and Mobilities
This three-day conference brings together scholars from a range of disciplinary perspectives to discuss the latest research in migration and mobilities. Submissions on any aspect of migration and mobilities research are welcome.
The conference is orientated around four themes that reflect contemporary conceptual and policy concerns:
Internal migration and urban change. Keynote speaker: Professor Darren Smith (University of Loughborough)
Forced migration and bordering. Keynote speaker: Professor Nick Gill (University of Exeter)
Visualising mobilities. Keynote speaker: Professor Alex Singleton (University of Liverpool)
European migration in turbulent politic. Keynote speaker: Dr Kate Botterill (University of Glasgow)
iMigMob 2022 is organised by the School of Geography and Sustainable Development at the University of St Andrews in association with the RGS-IBG Population Geography Research Group and the Centre for Population Change Connecting Generations.
For further details visit the event website
Wednesday, July 6th 2022
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Boomers, snowflakes and avocado on toast: Are generational stereotypes harming our futures? (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Bobby Duffy
Free online and in person
Wednesday, July 6th 2022
09:30 - 10:45 BST
Boomers, snowflakes and avocado on toast: Are generational stereotypes harming our futures?
Event Date: Wednesday 6 July 2022
Event Time: 09:30 - 10:45 UK time
Event Location: Free online
Watch the recording:
https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/events/boomers-snowflakes-and-avocado-on-toast/
Are Baby Boomers stealing their children's futures? Are Millennials really entitled 'snowflakes'? Are Generation X the saddest generation? Will Generation Z fix the climate crisis? Are any of these labels and assigned characteristics helpful? Or are they damaging our ability to bring generations together to solve the most divisive issues raging today: from culture wars to climate change, and mental health to housing?
In his latest book 'Generations - Does when you're born shape who you are?' published in September 2021, Professor Bobby Duffy challenges myths and stereotypes around generational trends, seeking a greater understanding around generational challenges.
Join Professor Duffy in the second Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk as he takes us through whether when we're born determines our attitudes to money, sex, religion, politics and much else, and how many of our preconceptions are just that: tired stereotypes.
The session was chaired by the Rt. Hon. Lord David Willetts, President of the Advisory Council and Intergenerational Centre Resolution Foundation.
Bobby Duffy is Professor of Public Policy and Director of the Policy Institute at King's College London. Formerly Global Director of Ipsos Social Research Institute, he has also been seconded to the Prime Minister's Strategy Unit and to the Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion (CASE) at the London School of Economics.
He sits on several advisory boards including Chairing both the Campaign for Social Science and the CLOSER Advisory Board, is a member of the Executive of the Academy of Social Sciences, a trustee of British Future and the Centre for Transforming Access and Student Outcomes in Higher Education (TASO) and a Senior Fellow of the Munk School of Global Affairs & Public Policy, University of Toronto.
Associated Downloads
Wednesday, July 6th 2022 - Friday, July 8th 2022
BSG Annual Conference 2022 (Conferences)
UWE, Bristol
Wednesday, July 6th 2022
Friday, July 8th 2022
British Society of Gerontology Annual Conference 2022 hosted online by UWE, Bristol.
Find out more on the conference website here
Wednesday, June 29th 2022 - Friday, July 1st 2022
19th IMISCOE Annual Conference Opening Plenary: The Temporal Turn in Migration Studies (Conferences)
Oslo, Norway and online
Wednesday, June 29th 2022
Friday, July 1st 2022
19th IMISCOE Annual Conference
Migration and Time: Temporalities of Mobility, Governance, and Resistance
June 29 - July 1, 2022, Oslo, Norway
Migration is intertwined with time in myriad ways and at multiple scales. In individual lives, migration propels change over time and entails engagement with personal pasts and futures. Time and temporalities are structuring migration experiences, when refugees are granted temporary protection, labour migrants are offered temporary employment and rights of residency, and undocumented migrants are living with uncertainties for the future. The governance of migration is also the governance of migrants’ relations to and experiences of time. Governance of migration happens in time – sometimes in the form of rapid changes in times of “crisis”, but perhaps also through postponement when the urgency has passed.
Attention to time and temporalities illuminates processes of othering and patterns of inequalities, as well as forms of resistance and adaptations to policies and institutions. The rapid changes in laws, regulations, policies and practices of migration also have repercussions on the topics, theoretical approaches, and methodologies of migration scholars. These and other perspectives on time and migration have flourished as part of the emerging ‘temporal turn’ in migration studies. The theme ‘migration and time’ brings out disciplinary, methodological and theoretical diversity of migration research with a shared focus.
Professor Jakub Bijak will be a distinguished speaker at this event. See the event website for further details.
Wednesday, June 29th 2022 - Saturday, July 2nd 2022
European Population Conference 2022 (Conferences)
Groningen, The Netherlands
Wednesday, June 29th 2022
Saturday, July 2nd 2022
The next European Population Conference will take place in Groningen, The Netherlands, from 29 June - 2 July 2022.
EPC 2022 will be a hybrid EPC conference with both online and onsite sessions.
Find out more on the conference page
Thursday 30 June 2022
11:00-12:30
Session: Fertility in uncertain times
Title: Uncertainty across the “contact line”: Armed conflict, Covid-19, and perceptions of fertility decline in Eastern Ukraine
Authors: Perelli-Harris, Hilevych, Gerber
16:00-17:30
Session: Advancements in mortality analysis
Title: Mortality under-registration by ethnic groups in Colombia
Authors: Loja, Padmadas, Hilton
17:45-19:15
Session: P1. Postercafe
Title: Employment changes among immigrants and their descendants in four European countries
Authors: Kulu, Mikolai, Delaporte, Liu, Höhn, Andersson
Session: P1. Postercafe
Title: Women's economic empowerment and children's school outcomes: The case of Malawi
Authors: Williams, Vaisanen, Padmadas
Session: P1. Postercafe
Title: Pandemic babies? The fertility response to the first Covid-19 wave across European regions
Authors: Nitsche et al. (including Berrington)
Session: P1. Postercafe
Title: Cumulative reproductive life histories and grip strength in Indonesia: 1993-2014
Authors: Leone, Vaisanen, Witoelar
Friday 1 July 2022
09:00-10:30
Session: Climate change, air Pollution and health
Title: The effect of air pollution on general health and mental well-being in the UK by ethnicity: A spatial-temporal multilevel analysis
Authors: Abed al Ahad, Demšar, Sullivan, Kulu
Session: Modelling migration, mobility and positioning
Title: Estimating bilateral migration flows to match known net migration totals
Authors: Abel, Smith
Session: Migrant populations
Title: Family formation and the employment outcomes of immigrants in France: A multilevel multistate approach
Authors: Delaporte, Kulu
Session: Migrant populations
Title: Work-migration-life balance: Patterns of immigrant labor market engagement by parity
Authors: Liu, Kulu
14:00-15:30
Session: Health and quality of life of older people
Title: Assessing the burden of joint cognitive and physical health impairment in the US, 1998-2016
Authors: Sharma, Hale, Myrskylä, Kulu
Session: Union formation
Title: Parental socioeconomic class and young Britons' family expectations: Do family structure and educational aspirations, during adolescence, mediate this relationship?
Authors: Palumbo, Berrington, Eibich
Saturday 2 July 2022
09:00-10:30
Session: Divorce and children
Title: Family complexity and young children's health outcomes in the UK: A longitudinal study
Authors: Kyclova, Mikolai, Finney, Keenan
Session: Flash Session: Inequalities in life expectancy, disability and health
Title: Intersecting gender, racial, and socioeconomic inequalities in multimorbid life expectancy in South Africa: A multistate modelling approach
Authors: Lam, Keenan, Myrskla, Kulu
Session: Flash Session: Inequalities in life expectancy, disability and health
Title: Inequalities in time spent in multimorbidity in Costa Rica and Mexico: A multistate modelling approach
Authors: Lam, Cezard, Keenan
11:00-12:30
Session: Improvements in forecasting methods
Title: Improving methods for fertility forecasting through the incorporation of parity information
Authors: Ellison, Berrington, Bijak, Dodd
Session: Fertility among immigrant populations
Title: Partnership, fertility, and employment trajectories of immigrants in the UK: A three-channel sequence analysis
Authors: Mikolai, Kulu
Tuesday, June 21st 2022
Growing Up in Scotland conference 2022 (Conferences)
Zoom
Tuesday, June 21st 2022
09:30-13:00 BST
Growing Up in Scotland conference 2022
Growing Up in Scotland (GUS) is a longitudinal study entering its 17th year. Commissioned by the Scottish Government, the Scottish Centre for Social Research (ScotCen) conduct this study, tracking the lives of thousands of children in Scotland, from early years through to young adulthood.
Time: 09:30-13:00
Date: 21 June 2022
Location: Zoom
This year’s conference will include an update on the study, presentation of findings from the latest Scottish Government report on Life at Age 14, and presentations from research projects which have recently used the study data, sharing important perspectives on the issues that young people and their families in Scotland face today. Life at Age 14 explores the experience of school, educational aspirations, mental health and life satisfaction amongst other topics.
ScotCen is pleased to announce that the keynote address will be given by Clare Haughey MSP, Minister for Children and Young People, and the proceedings will be chaired by Bruce Adamson, Children and Young People’s Commissioner for Scotland.
Additional speakers will include:
Sarah Newton, Principal Social Researcher, Scottish Government
Paul Bradshaw, Director, Scottish Centre for Social Research
Dr Paul McCrorie, Research Fellow, University of Glasgow
Professor Susan McVie, Chair of Quantitative Criminology, University of Edinburgh
Dr Valeria Skafida, Senior Lecturer in Social Policy, University of Edinburgh
Dr Francesca Fiori, Associate Lecturer in Geography, University of St Andrews
This event is free and will be held online via Zoom. All are welcome to attend, particularly those working in research and policy, in education, with young people and their families.
Register for the event here
Thursday, June 16th 2022 - Friday, June 17th 2022
3rd EBRD and King's College London Workshop on the Economics and Politics of Migration (Workshops)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, London
Thursday, June 16th 2022
Friday, June 17th 2022
3rd EBRD and King’s College London Workshop on the Economics and Politics of Migration
Venue: European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, London
Date: 16-17 June 2022
Organisers: Cevat Giray Aksoy, Tugba Bozcaga, Konstantinos Matakos,
Seyhun Orcan Sakalli, and Pierre-Louis Vézina
CPC member Professor Jackline Wahba is a discussant in session 4,
Immigrants' Legalization and Firms: Evidence from the 2007 EU enlargement
Vittoria Dicandia* (Boston University), Silvia Vannutelli (Northwestern)
Training Teachers for Diversity Awareness: Impact on School Outcomes of Refugee Children
Semih Tumen* (TED University), Michael Vlassopoulos (Southampton) Jackline Wahba (Southampton)
For more information, please see the event website
Wednesday, June 15th 2022
QSS Seminar Series: Social inequalities in the risk of miscarriage in the United Kingdom - Heini Vaisanen (Seminars and lectures)
Heini Väisänen
Zoom and hybrid
Wednesday, June 15th 2022
13:00-14:00 BST
CPC member Heini Vaisanen will present "Social inequalities in the risk of miscarriage in the United Kingdom", as part of the QSS Seminar Series.
One in four women experience a miscarriage. Loss of pregnancy may affect fertility intentions and lead to adverse mental and physical health. Yet, we know little about how social inequalities affect the risk of miscarriage and the few existing studies show mixed results.
A social gradient in the risk of miscarriage may have multiple explanations including increased stress, and poorer health behaviours. Heini will refer to the 1970 British Cohort Study to investigate whether individual-level social inequalities are longitudinally associated with the likelihood of miscarriage. We apply random-intercept logistic regression to examine the likelihood of reported miscarriages according to markers of socioeconomic status, such as occupational social class, income or education.
Preliminary results suggest a U-shaped relationship between occupation and the risk of miscarriage. Women in a less advantaged social classes might have a higher risk of miscarriage e.g. due to stress from precarious economic conditions or risky health behaviours. More advantaged social class might also be associated with stress in high-pressure occupations. A better understanding of this common reproductive event can help policy makers improve reproductive and population health.
The event is hybrid and will take place 12pm in Room G03, 55-59 Gordon Square, and online using Zoom.
Register here
Wednesday, June 15th 2022
Attracting Skills and Talent to the EU: What should we focus on? (Seminars and lectures)
Online Zoom
Wednesday, June 15th 2022
12:00-13:00 BST (13:00-14:00 CET)
Attracting Skills and Talent to the EU: What should we focus on?
Insights on the European Commission’s Communication to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions on ‘Attracting Skills and Talent to the EU’.
When: Wednesday, 15 June 2022 12:00-13:00 BST/ 13:00-14:00 CET
Where: Online, Zoom
Modern societies are facing a shrinking in their working population, already visible in skill shortages in major occupations of specific sectors. In Europe, relying on intra-EU mobility is no longer sufficient to address current and future labour market needs. Hence, there is a need to attract a working force from non-European countries.
On 27 April 2022, the European Commission published a Communication to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions on ‘Attracting Skills and Talent to the EU’. The Communication discusses potential operational and legislative initiatives to attract skills and talent to the EU.
In this meeting, experts will share insights on these proposed initiatives and discuss policy options based on research evidence. The audience is expected to actively participate in the discussions and provide feedback on concrete elements of the Communication.
Speakers
• Silke Anger, Chair of Economics, in particular Economics of Education at the University of Bamberg and Head of the Department Education, Training, and Employment Over the Life Course at the German Institute for Employment Research
• Lucie Cerna, Associate Research Fellow at the Centre for Liberal Arts and Social Sciences, Nanyang Technological University Singapore
• Mathias Czaika, Head of Department and Professor in Migration and Globalisation, Danube University Krems, Austria
• David De Groot, Policy Analyst at the European Parliamentary Research Service (EPRS)
• María Miyar Busto, Associate Professor, Department of Sociology II (Social Structure) UNED, Madrid
• Jackline Wahba, Professor of Economics at the Department of Economics at the University of Southampton (UK), and Director of Research in Economics
Find out more on the event website
Wednesday, June 15th 2022
Migrants and the Scottish Economy: Impacts of the new UK immigration system and options for the future (Seminars and lectures)
COSLA Conference Centre, Edinburgh
Wednesday, June 15th 2022
10:00 - 13:30 BST
Migration and the Scottish Economy: Impacts and Options
Wednesday 15 June
10:00 - 13:30 BST
This Migration Policy Scotland event brings together expertise on migration and on the Scottish economy and business to assess the impacts of UK’s new immigration system in Scotland. How have businesses and the economy been impacted by the UK's new immigration system? How have they responded? What are the benefits and challenges of the new system and how could any negative impacts be mitigated? Bringing together representatives from business and with experts on labour markets and migration policy the event:
• highlights sectors likely to have been most impacted by the end of free movement
• identifies how some businesses and sectors are adapting to the new system
• explores potential solutions and options for the future
Confirmed speakers:
Prof David Bell, University of Stirling and University of Edinburgh
Scott Walker, CEO, National Farmers Union Scotland
Marc Crothall, CE, Scottish Tourism Alliance
Sarah Kyambi, Director, Migration Policy Scotland
Prof Sergi Pardos-Prado, University of Glasgow, member of the Migration Advisory Committee
Donald Macaskill, CEO, Scottish Care
Shan Saba, Brightwork Recruitment Agency
Elaine Cameron, CE, Refugee Survival Trust
Find out more here
Tuesday, June 14th 2022
Catching a Break: Regression Discontinuity Designs in the Social Sciences (Workshops)
Queen Margaret University
Tuesday, June 14th 2022
11:00-13:00 BST
Catching a Break: Regression Discontinuity Designs in the Social Sciences
14 June 11:00 am - 1:00 pm
Led by Professor Alasdair Rutherford (University of Stirling)
In this session we will introduce the methods of Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD), and provide the opportunity to apply them in a practical lab using Stata.
Regression discontinuity design is a quasi-experimental pre-test and post-test method, that seeks to elicit causal effects. By examining observations that are lying closely on either side of the threshold it is possible to estimate ‘treatment effects’ in environments where experimentation using randomisation would not be feasible. RDD techniques are widely understood in areas such as econometrics, but have been used less frequently in other areas of social science.
The course will:
o Introduce the concept of discontinuity designs
o Outline the statistical theories that underpin regression discontinuity designs
o Highlight how RDD can be used to test ideas and theories
o Showcase some examples of research questions and data that are suited to RDD
o Demonstrate how Stata can be used for RDD analyses
Participants will:
o Understand the fundamental concepts associated with RDD
o Be able to interpret the result of RDD analysis
o Better understand which research questions and data that are suited to RDD
o Be able to apply RDD analyses in Stata
Who’s it for?
Participants should ideally be familiar with Stata, although students familiar with using syntax in statistical software such as SPSS, R, Python or similar should be fine. Students should have a good knowledge of applied statistical analysis, especially regression models.
Find out more on the course website
Thursday, June 9th 2022 - Saturday, June 11th 2022
22nd Nordic Demographic Symposium (Conferences)
Oslo, Norway
Thursday, June 9th 2022
Saturday, June 11th 2022
22nd Nordic Demographic Symposium Oslo - 9-11 June 2022
The 22nd Nordic Demographic Symposium will be held in Oslo 9-11 June 2022.
For more information see the conference page
Presentations by CPC speakers:
Session P1:1 Pandemic fertility Chair: Arnstein Aassve. Thursday June 9, 10:30-11:45, Store salen
Pandemic Babies? The Fertility Response to the First Covid-19 Wave Across European Regions. Nitsche, Natalie (MPIDR), A. Jasilioniene, J. Nisen, P. Li, M. Kniffka, G. Andersson, C. Bagavos, A. Berrington, I. Čipin, S. Clemente, L. Dommermuth, P. Fallesen, D. Gauldauskaite, M. Lerch, C. McDonnell, A. Muller, K. Neels, O. Pötzsch, D. Ramiro, B. Riederer, S. te Riele, L. Toulemon, D. Vignoli, K. Zeman, T. nidarič, M. Myrskylä
Session P1 :3 Population projections 1 Chair: Astri Syse. Thursday June 9, 10:30-11:45, Møterom 1
Improving Methods for Fertility Forecasting through the Incorporation of Parity Information. Ellison, Joanne (University of Southampton), A. Berrington, J. Bijak, E. Dodd
Session P2:1 Education and fertility Chair: Trude Lappegård. Thursday June 9, 13:15-14:45, Store salen
Changing Educational Patterns of Childlessness in the United Kingdom: A Comparison of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. Kuang, Bernice (University of Southampton), S. Christison, J. Ellison, H. Kulu, A. Berrington
Session P3:3 Immigrant fertility Chair: TBA. Thursday June 9, 15:30-17:00, Møterom 1
Timing and Levels of Fertility Among First- and Second-Generation Immigrants in Sweden: A Register-Based Longitudinal Study. Höhn, Andreas (University of St. Andrews), G. Andersson, H. Kulu
Session P4:3 Paid and unpaid work, and the family Chair: TBA. Friday June 10, 10:45-12:15, Møterom 1
Family formation and the employment outcomes of immigrants in France: A multilevel multistate approach. Delaporte, Isaure (University of St Andrews, UK), H. Kulu
Session P5:1 Understanding fertility trends Chair: Lars Dommermuth. Friday June 10, 14:30-15:45, Store salen
Socioeconomic attainment among only children in Sweden and Norway. Keenan, Katherine (University of St Andrews), K. Barclay, Ø. Kravdal, A. Goisis:
Session P5:3 Family structure, fertility, and health Chair: Marti n Kolk. Friday June 10, 14:30-15:45, Møterom 1
Family complexity and young children's mental health in the UK. Kyclova, Michaela (University of St Andrews), J. Mikolai, N. Finney, K. Keenan
Session P6:1 Housing, economic uncertainty and fertility Chair: TBD.
Saturday June 11, 09:15-10:45, Store salen
Fertility Behaviour and the Residential Context: a longitudinal analysis of fertility trends in Scotland. Christison, Sarah (University of St. Andrews), B. Kuang, J. Ellison, H. Kulu, A. Berrington
Thursday, June 9th 2022
CPC-CG Webinar - Peter Davis (Seminars and lectures)
Peter Davis, University of Auckland
Zoom
Thursday, June 9th 2022
12:00-13:00 BST
This CPC-CG webinar was held on Thursday 9 June at 12:00 BST. Peter Davis, Emeritus Professor in Population Health and Social Science at the University of Auckland, gave a talk entitled, "Covid in Aotearoa New Zealand: Winning the war - but losing the peace?".
Title: Covid in Aotearoa New Zealand: Winning the war - but losing the peace?
Abstract:In the first 18 months of the pandemic Aotearoa New Zealand, a country of 5 million, registered just 50 deaths from Covid and recorded an improvement in life expectancy. This was the result of adopting an elimination strategy, a communitarian approach that maximised health and welfare, but that also served the economy well. Yet, following the entry of Omicron and the opening up of the country in 2022 the death toll has increased to 1,000, the public mood has changed, and the government lags in the polls. This presentation documents the early ingredients of success, the mid-term exposure of societal vulnerabilities, and the current state of uncertainty. While the Labour government may have largely won the war on Covid, it is in danger of losing the chance of reaping the peace dividend of addressing a full policy agenda of social, environmental and economic change.
Biography:
Peter Davis is Emeritus Professor in Population Health and Social Science at the University of Auckland, where he is also an Honorary Professor in the Department of Statistics. Following an undergraduate degree at the University of Southampton and Masters in Sociology and in Statistics at the London School of Economics, Peter spent over 20 years as a health sociologist in the Auckland Medical School, before being appointed Professor of Public Health at the Christchurch School of Medicine, and then Professor of the Sociology of Health and Wellbeing in the Faculty of Arts at the University of Auckland where he established the COMPASS Research Centre (https://www.auckland.ac.nz/en/arts/our-research/research-institutes-centres-groups/compass.html). He has also been an elected member on the Auckland District Health Board, has a blog at https://peterdavisnz.com/, and chairs The Helen Clark Foundation, a non-partisan public policy think tank (https://helenclark.foundation/).
Watch the recording here
Friday, May 27th 2022
CPC-CG Webinar - Helga de Valk (Seminars and lectures)
Helga De Valk
Zoom
Friday, May 27th 2022
13:00 - 14:00 BST
This CPC-CG webinar will be held on Friday 27 May at 13:00 BST. Helga de Valk, Director of the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) and Professor of Migration and the life course at the University of Groningen will be giving a talk entitled, "Does childhood mobility matter?"
Title: Does childhood mobility matter?
Abstract:It is often assumed that moving in childhood has negative effects on the child and parents are therefore reported to be reluctant to relocate. In the ERC funded MyMove project we study whether and how childhood mobility does influence the individual life taking into account both the frequency, timing, distance and reason for the move. In studies from different countries we focus on short and more longer-term consequences including children from diverse origins. We do so by describing who is actually mobile in childhood and who is potentially vulnerable within this group.
Registration:
https://us06web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZAvf-6hrTstHtEmIc5MuaXLnSOlsdfXjamY
Meeting Recording:
We may record the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details:
We require your name and email to process the event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce get aggregate level statistics to justify our seminars to our funders. If you have any issues with the way your data is collected, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk. Further information about the way we manage data can be found on our website here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice/
Thursday, May 19th 2022
Joint CPC-CG/S3RI Webinar - Cath Mercer (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, May 19th 2022
14:00-15:00 BST
This CPC-CG/S3RI webinar was held on Thursday 19 May at 14:00 BST. Cath Mercer from University College London gave a talk entitled: The COVID-19 pandemic: opportunities & challenges for Britain's National Surveys of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles ('Natsal').
Title: The COVID-19 pandemic: opportunities & challenges for Britain's National Surveys of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles ('Natsal').
Abstract:The National Surveys of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles (Natsal) are large probability-sample bio-behavioural surveys, representative of the British population. The three decennial Natsals to date have interviewed >45,000 men and women, spanning those born through much of the 20th Century. Natsal's repeat cross-sectional design enables a contemporary picture to be presented while also capturing generational changes and broad societal shifts through the measurement of both period and birth cohort effects. Natsal provides evidence of the context, influences and consequences of sexual lifestyles, and is vital for informing national and international sexual health interventions, strategies, and guidelines.
Preparations for a fourth Natsal were being finalised in March 2020 just as the UK entered its first national lockdown in response to COVID-19. This talk will reflect on the opportunities and challenges for Natsal brought about by the global pandemic, including the design and rapid delivery of 'Natsal-COVID', a web-panel survey, and the methodological adaptations required to re-start Natsal-4 at a time of continued uncertainty regarding COVID-19, and will conclude with a discussion of the possible implications for the future of Natsal as well as other social surveys post-pandemic.
Watch the seminar here
Monday, May 16th 2022 - Wednesday, May 18th 2022
Berlin Demography Days (Workshops)
Online
Monday, May 16th 2022
Wednesday, May 18th 2022
Berlin Demography Days
A three-day event that offers a platform for intense dialogue among scientific experts, policy makers, business leaders and representatives of international organisations and civil society. Our goal is to create a productive working atmosphere, enabling participants to discuss potential solutions of future challenges driven by population change and based on scientific evidence, the expertise of decision-makers, and practitioner experience.
List of distinguished guests, speakers and panellists
José Manuel Aburto, PhD, European Demographer Award Winner 2021 / Newton International Fellow, Department of Sociology and Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science & Nuffield College, Fellow, University of Oxford / Assistant Professor (on leave), Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark, Odense
Alanna Armitage, Eastern Europe and Central Asia Regional Director, United Nations Population Fund, Istanbul
Anna Braam, Chair and Speaker, Foundation for the Rights of Future Generations, University of Oldenburg
Carlo Giovanni Camarda, PhD, European Demographer Award Winner 2021 / Research Scientist and Head of the research unit UR 05: Mortalité, Santé, Épidémiologie, Institut National dÉtudes Démographiques, Aubervilliers
Samuel Clark, PhD, Professor, Department of Sociology, The Ohio State University, Columbus
Helga A. G. de Valk, Director, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague & Professor of Migration and the Lifecourse, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, Population Research Center, University of Groningen / President of the European Association of Population Studies
Volker Deville, PhD, University of Bayreuth, International Management / President, F/L Think Tank eG
Andreas Eckert, Chair of the Board, Förderfonds Wissenschaft in Berlin
Andreas Edel, Executive Secretary, Population Europe / Research Scientist, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Berlin
Jani Erola, Professor of Sociology, Department of Social Research, University of Turku, Finland / Director, INVEST Research Flagship Center
Albert Esteve Palós, Director, Centre for Demographic Studies (CED), and Adjunct Professor, Autonomous University of Barcelona
Alex Chika Ezeh, Dornsife Professor of Global Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia / Former (Founding) Director of African Population and Health Research Center (APHRC) and the Consortium for Advanced Research Training in Africa (CARTA), Nairobi
Jane C. Falkingham OBE, Director, ESRC Centre for Population Change and Professor of Demography and International Social Policy, University of Southampton / Honorary President of the European Association for Population Studies
Alice Goisis, PhD, European Demographer Award Winner 2020 / Associate Professor in Demography, Centre for Longitudinal Studies, University College London
Klaus Hurrelmann, Senior Professor of Public Health and Education, Hertie School, Berlin
Ridhi Kashyap, Professorial Fellow and Associate Professor of Social Demography, Co-Leader of the Programme Digital & Computational Science, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford University
Sunita Kishor, Director, Demographic and Health Surveys Program, Rockville, Maryland
Heike Klüver, Professor of Comparative Political Behaviour, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin / Spokesperson of the Research Training Group "The Dynamics of Demography, Democratic Processes and Public Policy"
James Sebastian Kuriath, PhD, Director and Senior Professor, International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai
Stefan Liebig, Director of the Socio-Economic Panel and member of the Executive Board, DIW Berlin (the German Institute for Economic Research) / Professor of Sociology, Freie Universität Berlin
Ulrich Lilie, President, Diakonie Deutschland, Berlin
Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria / Scientific Director, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences / Professor of Demography, University of Vienna
Ian Ross Macmillan, PhD, Professor of Sociology, University of Limerick
Franz Müntefering, Former Federal Minister / Chair, German National Association of Senior Citizens' Organisations, Bonn
Rainer Münz, Visiting Professor, Central European University, School of Public Policy, Budapest and Vienna
Elisabeth Niejahr, Member of the Executive Team of the non-profit Hertie Foundation, Berlin
Iñaki Permanyer, European Demographer Award Winner 2020 / ICREA Research Professor, Centre for Demographic Studies (CED) Barcelona
Jonathan Portes, Professor of Economics and Public Policy, Kings College London
Georges Reniers, PhD, Professor of Demography, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Population Studies Group
Dubravka uica, European Commission Vice-President for Democracy and Demography, Brussels
Clemens Tesch-Römer, Director, German Centre of Gerontology, Berlin / Professor, Department of Educational Science and Psychology, Freie Universität Berlin
Nico van Nimwegen, Honorary Fellow, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute / Executive Director, European Association for Population Studies, The Hague
Pieter Vanhuysse, PhD, Professor of the Department of Political Science and Public Management and the Danish Centre for Welfare Studies / Board Member, Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics at SDU Social Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense
Daniela Vintila, Postdoctoral Researcher, ERC-funded project Migration, Transnationalism and Social Protection in (post-) crisis Europe (MiTSoPro), Centre for Ethnic and Migration Studies (CEDEM), Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Liège, Belgium
Emilio Zagheni, PhD, Director, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock / Professor of Sociology, University of Washington, Seattle
Stefan Zierke, Parliamentary State Secretary to the Federal Minister for Family Affairs, Senior Citizens, Women and Youth / Member of the German Bundestag, Berlin
Eliya Zulu, Executive Director and founder of the African Institute for Development Policy (AFIDEP), Nairobi
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Wednesday, May 11th 2022
Ukraine's depopulation crisis: fertility uncertainty, displacement and war (Seminars and lectures)
Brienna Perelli-Harris
Clay Room, Nuffield College
Wednesday, May 11th 2022
16:00-17:30 BST
Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris will be giving a seminar talk entitled: Ukraine's depopulation crisis: fertility uncertainty, displacement and war.
Ukraine has been experiencing one of the most severe population declines of any country in the world for decades. Although relatively high death rates and emigration have fuelled the population decline, the main driver has been persistent low fertility. Ukraine achieved the world’s lowest fertility rate of 1.1 in 2001 and while fertility recuperated to 1.5 by 2011, it plunged again to 1.23 in 2019. Throughout this period, economic, and political unrest has wracked the country, with civil war breaking out in 2014, resulting in around 1.5 million internally displaced persons (IDPs). The situation has led to uncertainty in individuals’ lives, inevitably influencing childbearing decisions and plans.
The Sociology Seminar Series for Hilary Term is convened by Ginevra Floridi, Ramina Sotoudeh and Benjamin Elbers. For more information about this or any of the seminars in the series, please contact sociology.secretary@nuffield.ox.ac.uk.
See the event page here
Thursday, April 28th 2022
CPC-CG Webinar - Sophie Cranston (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, April 28th 2022
13:00 - 14:00 BST
This CPC-CG webinar will be held on Thursday 28 April at 13:00 BST. Sophie Cranston, Senior Lecturer in Human Geography at Loughborough University will be giving a talk entitled, Producing Invisible Migrants: British International Students.
Title: Producing Invisible Migrants: British International Students
Abstract:Reflexive migration studies question: how are mobile people discursively and institutionally turned into migrants? In this paper, I explore different logics through which some mobile people are rendered invisible within discussions of migration. In the United Kingdom, British return migrants are construed as statistically invisible due to the lack of reliable data collected about them. Using a case study of international student mobility, this paper explores how British mobile young people are produced as invisible within this population through three logics. The first logic is statistical, produced through HESA data on international students. Second, through an analysis of policy documents, the paper will explore institutional logics of the category of international student through fee status. Third, drawing upon a semi-structured interviews with British mobile young people, the paper will explore the experiential in how this group position themselves as international or home students. By exploring these logics, the paper will look at how British mobile young people are various positioned outside and inside of the internationalisation and diversity strategies of higher education institutions in the United Kingdom.
Registration: https://us06web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZAudOyhrDIvG9Vhj6j8Y1kObzCJ0booXGdF
Meeting Recording:
We may record the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details:
We require your name and email to process the event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce get aggregate level statistics to justify our seminars to our funders. If you have any issues with the way your data is collected, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk. Further information about the way we manage data can be found on our website here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice/
Monday, April 25th 2022
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Bridging the gap in a post-Brexit/post-Covid society (Seminars and lectures)
Free online
Monday, April 25th 2022
14:00 - 15:00 UK time
Connecting Generations Thought Leader Talk: Bridging the gap in a post-Brexit/post-Covid society
Event Date: Monday 25 April 2022
Event Time: 14:00 - 15:00 UK time
Event Location: Free online
Register: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/thought-leader-talk-bridging-the-gap-in-a-post-brexit-post-covid-society-tickets-311021542807
Join Jane Falkingham OBE, Professor of International Social Policy and Demography, at the launch of the new ESRC-funded Connecting Generations project. Hear about the novel science she and her colleagues will be undertaking to understand intergenerational connectivity.
Issues of generational connection have been thrown into sharper focus by Brexit and the Covid-19 pandemic. Changes in economic, social and family life are also taking place within the wider context of environmental degradation and climate change. The benefits for present generations may stand in conflict with the inheritances of future generations. This has complex and wide-reaching implications for generational fairness and intergenerational justice and solidarity.
Different generations provide financial, emotional and practical support to each other during different stages of their lives. These support exchanges interact with and impact upon major life course events. Such events include: completing education; leaving home; living with (or separating from) a partner; having children; becoming a homeowner; entering and leaving work; continuing to live independently in the community; or moving into residential care. Health, personal finances, social networks and personal resilience are all affected by these life events, and experiences will vary by gender, migrant status, ethnicity, education, social-economic status and geographical context.
Professor Falkingham will give a talk on how Connecting Generations plans to tackle these issues, delving into how new collaborations and interdisciplinary working will give us a unique understanding of how different generations live together, or apart, now and in the future. She will be joined in a panel discussion by Connecting Generations Co-Directors. Live audience Q&A will be available.
This lecture is part of a series being convened by the new Connecting Generations project, speakers include;
Bobby Duffy, Professor of Public Policy and Director of the Policy Institute at Kings College London. Bobby has worked across most public policy areas in his career of 30 years in policy research and evaluation, including being seconded to the Prime Minister's Strategy Unit. His talk will draw on his book 'Generations - Does when you're born shape who you are?'
Jennie Bristow, Senior Lecturer in Sociology at Canterbury Christ Church University. Jennie is a writer and commentator on generational tensions and interaction . Her talk will discuss ideas from her recent books 'The Corona Generation: Coming of age in a crisis' and 'Stop Mugging Grandma: The 'generation wars' and why Boomer blaming won't solve anything'
Maria Grasso, Professor of Political Science and Political Sociology at Queen Mary University of London. Maria's research interests revolve around understanding the link between economic, social and political inequalities and the ways in which crises impact on different groups. Her talk will build on her book 'Generations, Political Participation and Social Change in Western Europe'.
James Sefton, Professor of Economics at Imperial College Business School. James' research agenda focuses on questions about intergenerational equity, pension policy design and long run trends in the housing market. His talk will discuss concepts from his recent works 'Full generational accounts: what do we give to the next generation?' and 'Generational Wealth Accounts: did public and private inter-generational transfers offset each other over the financial crisis?'
Full registration details to follow.
Wednesday, April 6th 2022 - Saturday, April 9th 2022
Population Association of America 2022 Annual Meeting (Conferences)
Atlanta, Georgia
Wednesday, April 6th 2022
Saturday, April 9th 2022
The Population Association of America annual meeting will take place 6 - 9 April 2022 in Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
CPC will be presenting:
Thursday, April 7, 2022 | 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Cross-National Comparisons of Aging and the Life Course
Inequalities in Time Spent in Multimorbidity in Costa Rica and Mexico: A Multistate Modeling Approach
8:00 AM - 8:00 AM
A. Lam, University of St Andrews & Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; G. Cezard, University of Cambridge ; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; K. Keenan, University of St Andrews; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.
Thursday, April 7, 2022 | 9:45 AM - 11:00 AM
Nonstandard Work Arrangements and Their Consequences
Nonstandard Work Schedules in the United Kingdom: What Are the Implications for Parental Mental Health and Relationship Happiness?
A. Zilanawala, University of Southampton
Thursday, April 7, 2022 | 10:00 AM - 11:30 AM
Family Demography, Population Development and Environment
Cognitive Impairment and Partnership Status by Gender, Race/Ethnicity, and Education in the United States, 19982016
H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; J. M. Hale, University of St Andrews; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; S. Sharma, University of St Andrews.
Thursday, April 7, 2022 | 2:30 PM - 4:00 PM
Fertility, Family Planning, Sexual Behavior and Reproductive Health
The Impact of Family Formation on the Employment Outcomes of Immigrants in France: A Multistate Approach
H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; I. Delaporte, University of St Andrews.
Thursday, April 7, 2022 | 3:45 PM - 5:00 PM
Contexts of Parental Time Investments in Children
Estimating the Causal Effect of SNAP on Parental Time Investments
A. Zilanawala, University of Southampton; A. Sevilla-Sanz, Queen Mary University of London; A. Schenck-Fontaine, Maternal and Child Health Bureau.
Friday, April 8, 2022
Migration, Migrants, and Fertility
Uncertainty Across the Contact Line: Armed Conflict, COVID-19, and Perceptions of Fertility Decline in Eastern Ukraine
11:30 AM - 11:30 AM
B. Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton; T. Gerber, University of WisconsinMadison; Y. Hylevich, University of Groningen.
Family Trajectories Among Immigrants and Their Descendants in Three European Countries
11:30 AM - 11:30 AM
C. Liu, University of St. Andrews; G. Andersson, Stockholm University; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; I. Delaporte, University of St Andrews; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews.
Friday, April 8, 2022 | 2:30 PM - 4:00 PM
Mortality and Morbidity, COVID-19, Data and Methods
Intersecting Racial and Socioeconomic Inequalities in Multimorbid Life Expectancy in South Africa: A Multistate Modeling Approach
A. Lam, University of St Andrews & Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; K. Keenan; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.
Friday, April 8, 2022 | 10:00 AM - 11:30 AM
Children and Youth, Intergenerational Ties, Education, Work and Economic Inequality
Partnership, Fertility, and Employment Trajectories of Immigrants in the United Kingdom: A Three-Channel Sequence Analysis
H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; J. Mikolai, University of St Andrews.
Friday, April 8, 2022 | 10:00 AM - 11:30 AM
Children and Youth, Intergenerational Ties, Education, Work and Economic Inequality
Womens Economic Empowerment and Childrens School Outcomes: The Case of Malawi
E. Williams, University of Southampton; H. Vaisanen, University of Southampton; S. Padmadas, University of Southampton.
Work-Migration-Life Balance: Patterns of Immigrant Labor Market Engagement by Parity
C. Liu, University of St. Andrews; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
11:30 AM 12:45 PM
Racial/Ethnic Inequalities in Health and Mortality
Assessing the Burden of Joint Cognitive and Physical Health Impairment in the U.S., 19982016
H. Kulu, University of St Andrews; J. M. Hale, University of St Andrews;
M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; S. Sharma, University of St Andrews.
Saturday, April 9, 2022 | 11:00 AM - 12:15 PM
Fertility and COVID-19 in the United States, Europe, and Latin America
Pandemic Babies? The Fertility Response to the First COVID-19 Wave Across European Regions
A. Jasilioniene, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; A. Berrington, University of Southampton; A. Muller, Institut national d'études démographiques; B. Riederer, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU), Vienna Institute of Demography/ Austrian Academy of Sciences; C. Bagavos, Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences; D. Vignoli, University of Florence; D. Ramiro-Fariñas, Centro de Ciencias Humanas y Sociales (CSIC); D. Galdauskaite, Vilnius University; G. Andersson, Stockholm University; I. Cipin, University of Zagreb; J. Nisen, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; K. Neels, Antwerp University; K. Zeman, Austrian Academy of Sciences; L. Dommermuth, Statistics Norway; L. Szabó, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute; L. Toulemon, Institut National dÉtudes Démographiques (INED); M. Lerch; M. Kniffka; M. Cadhla, Trinity College Dublin; M. Myrskyla, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; N. Nitsche, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; P. Li, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; P. Fallesen, Rockwool Foundation; P. Olga, Destatis--Statistisches Bundesamt; S. te Riele, Statistics Netherlands; S. Clemente, University of Lisbon; T. Znidarič, Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia.
Find out more
Wednesday, April 6th 2022
Understanding Society Conference - People & Places (Conferences)
Online conference
Wednesday, April 6th 2022
The People & Places mini-conference is a four day, online conference curated by the Understanding Society team. Each day of the conference focuses on a particular theme. The mini-conference is free to attend, but advance registration is required. You can attend on just one day, or come for the whole conference.
Professor Nissa Finney and Dr David McCollum will be keynote speakers.
Find out more on the conference webpage here
Tuesday, April 5th 2022
Tuesday Dialogue with Prof. Jakub Bijak, Limit to Infinite Error: Dealing with Migration Uncertainty (Seminars and lectures)
Jakub Bijak
Online
Tuesday, April 5th 2022
12:00-13:00 BST, (13:00-14:00 CET)
Tuesday Dialogue with Prof. Jakub Bijak
Topic: Limit to Infinite Error: Dealing with Migration Uncertainty
Migration is very complex, uncertain, volatile and can have a very high impact, as we are sadly, yet again, reminded during the war in Ukraine. At the same time, there are things we know about migration that can help us plan and prepare to deal with the inevitable uncertainty of migration processes. In this talk, we will explore the limits of what can be said about current and future migration, and how we can deal with this imperfect knowledge.
Register here
Tuesday, April 5th 2022
Advanced Quantitative Research in Education Seminar (Seminars and lectures)
Francesca Fiori
Online
Tuesday, April 5th 2022
1:00 PM - 2:00 PM BST
This seminar is organised by the Advanced Quantitative Research in Education Hub - Moray House School of Education and Sport.
In this seminar, Dr Francesca Fiori presents her work on the effect of residential mobility on cognitive and non-cognitive outcomes in early and middle childhood. Using data from the Growing Up in Scotland, she applies linear regression models and inverse probability weighting to control for selection into residential mobility by family background.
You can register here
Thursday, March 31st 2022
CPC Webinar - Valeria Bordone (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, March 31st 2022
12:00 BST
This CPC webinar was held on Thursday 31 March 2022 at 12:00 BST. Valeria Bordone from the University of Vienna gave a talk entitled, Close kin relationships in times of COVID-19: grandparental childcare, precautionary behaviours and vaccination acceptance of older individuals.
Title: Close kin relationships in times of COVID-19: grandparental childcare, precautionary behaviours and vaccination acceptance of older individuals
Abstract: The family plays a central role in shaping healthy behaviours of its members through social control and support mechanisms. This presentation will show results from two studies. First, we investigate whether changes in grandchild care provision during the pandemic impacted grandparents' mental health. We do so using pre-pandemic data from wave 9 and the second Covid-19 sub-study of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA). Second, we investigate if and to what extent family intergenerational relationships matter for older people in taking on precautionary behaviours and vaccination during the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe. Drawing on data from the two waves of SHARE Corona Survey and SHARE wave 8, we carry out a set of logistic models to understand the determinants of wearing a mask, keeping physical distance, reducing family visits, and vaccine acceptance. These studies show that interruptions of face-to-face interactions increase the likelihood of poorer mental health among older people, but the existence of a kin network benefits precautionary behaviours and vaccine acceptance. Thus, policymakers should acknowledge potential adverse consequences of restrictions taken on to contain the pandemic and possibly differently address kinless individuals when promoting public policy measures to fight the spread of the virus or to encourage vaccination.
Watch the recording here
Monday, March 28th 2022 - Tuesday, March 29th 2022
Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management's Annual Meeting (Conferences)
Austin, Texas
Monday, March 28th 2022
Tuesday, March 29th 2022
Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management's Annual Meeting
Austin, Texas, USA, 27-29 March 2022
Dr Afshin Zilanawala will present:
Making It Work: Fathers' Nonstandard Work Schedules and Parenting Activities
Abstract
Over the last decade, family scholarship has developed a rich body of research on the contemporary role of fathers as caregivers providing emotional support, time, and day-to-day caring and upbringing of their children as well as income providers (Cano et al., 2019; Schoppe‐Sullivan & Fagan, 2020). Of the many factors that may impinge on or support fathers' parenting is employment in jobs that require working nonstandard schedules (i.e. regularly working in the evenings, weekends, or nights). An emerging body of literature has interrogated the implications of fathers' nonstandard schedules for their parenting. The evidence is mixed owing to the range of child ages investigated and country context. Additionally, it remains unclear whether nonstandard working hours are related to different types of parenting activities.
We examined associations between types of nonstandard work schedules among fathers, couple-level work schedules, and fathers' parenting activities in infancy and middle childhood in the United Kingdom. We used the Millennium Cohort Study, a nationally representative birth cohort from the UK, and two measures of fathers' parenting: basic care (9-month and 7-year interviews) and play and recreation (7-years). Regression models predicted parenting from fathers' nonstandard work schedules at 9-months (n=10,866) and 7-years (n=6,400).
Fathers who regularly worked night schedules engaged in more basic care in both infancy and middle childhood, compared to fathers who regularly worked standard schedules. Evening schedules were related to lower levels of basic care among infants but higher levels of play and recreation among 7-year-olds. Fathers' work schedules in combination with mothers' work schedules had larger effect sizes (11-35% of standard deviation) across both ages, suggesting the importance of considering both parents' work schedules in the context of parenting time.
The findings of this study have potential implications for policy and practice. Although families with children in the UK have access to a more supportive environment from the perspective of services for children, family-friendly policies, and work culture relative to the US, policies and programs can be further enhanced to address the challenges and opportunities of working nonstandard schedules. For example, reserving an individual portion ('quota') of leave for the father, providing a high replacement rate for earnings while the father is on leave, and permitting flexibility in when and how the leave may be taken (Fagan & Norman, 2013). Such improvements can alleviate the challenges of nonstandard work schedules while also supporting fathers as they make important contributions in their children's lives.
See more on the conference website
Thursday, March 24th 2022
Joint CPC and SSD Webinar - Allan Hill (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, March 24th 2022
12:00-13:00 GMT
This CPC webinar was held on Thursday 24 March at 12:00 GMT. Allan Hill, Professor of Population and International Health at the University of Southampton gave a talk entitled, "Immigrants, citizens and nationals: how shifting definitions affect the demography of the Gulf States".
Title:'Immigrants, citizens and nationals: how shifting definitions affect the demography of the Gulf States'.
Abstract:The demography of the Gulf States is dominated by their history of immigration. In most states, immigrants vastly outnumber nationals. The national and the non-national populations are shaped by very different demographic processes (fertility, mortality and migration) which are often confused when combined into the aggregate figures for each country.
All the Gulf States manage the influx of migrants through strict visa systems whose rules change over time. Naturalisation is uncommon and strictly controlled since there are major advantages of being a citizen including rights to own property and businesses as well as access to generous housing, health and welfare benefits.
The case of Kuwait is presented in detail since there is a series of censuses dating back to 1957 as well as good vital registration data and a population civil status register in which Kuwaitis are distinguished from non-Kuwaitis. An additional challenge for Kuwait is the presence of undocumented potential citizens, bidūn jinsiya, as well as illegal immigrants, ghair qanuni. There have been different approaches to the treatment of the bidūn jinsiya population, including major re-classification of their status. These changes greatly affect the demography of the Kuwaiti citizen population. Major population movements have also affected the composition of the non-Kuwaiti population. After the 1967 war, there was a large new influx of Palestinians to Kuwait, leading to later restrictions after 1970. Following the end of the 1990-91 Iraqi occupation of Kuwait, many non-Kuwaitis left Kuwait but most numerous were the Palestinian immigrants wary of their future since the Palestinian Liberation Organisation had sided with Iraq. Each of these and other political events resulted in major changes to the composition and demography of the immigrant population in Kuwait.
Despite the attempts to distinguish citizen and immigrants, forward projections of older census data for Kuwait reveal that the distinction between Kuwaitis and non-Kuwaitis has been subject to change with evidence of informal naturalisation through time. This complicates the calculation of birth and deaths rates for each population and raises larger questions about the meaning of 'citizenship' and 'nationality' as well as the prospects for pluralistic states in which citizens are in a majority as in many Gulf states.
See the recording here
Thursday, March 24th 2022 - Friday, March 25th 2022
YouthLife workshop: Quantitative data analysis and networking (Workshops)
ZOOM
Thursday, March 24th 2022
Friday, March 25th 2022
08:00 GMT start time both days
From 24 to 25 March 2022 an interdisciplinary workshop on 'Quantitative data analysis and networking' is organised by the University of Bamberg in cooperation with the Institute of International and Social Studies at Tallinn University via ZOOM.
At this two-day international workshop, the YouthLife project will bring together quantitative researchers (both early stage and senior researchers) from various disciplines (e.g., sociology, demography) from YouthLife Partner institutions (Tallinn University, University of Bamberg, University of Southampton and Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute) and from other institutions prominent in life course research of youth transitions.
The workshop is planned for paper presentations and discussion, but it also aims to broaden the research networks and facilitate further research collaborations among scholars from the four partners and beyond.
Each presenter will give a talk on his/her work (in progress) in the field of quantitative data analysis, which will be followed by a discussion. The contributions cover a broad range of topics such as youth transitions, education, work, family, life satisfaction at different stages of life cycle and the impact of Covid-19 to it, gender, and life course research in general.
Please register your participation by 22 March 2022 and you will be sent the ZOOM link a day before the event: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfcyQl8_rCQbQhBPJN4Zp2y-6DxOeJ1iMzpyhr2fHCnsGD3ew/viewform
Programme
Thursday, 24 March 2022
Economic precarity and the outcome of cohabiting partnerships in the UK using the BHPS and Understanding Society - Lydia Palumbo (University of Southampton)
Older people´s well-being shaped by socioeconomic circumstances - Uku Rudissaar (Tallinn University)
Employers' hiring preferences across different recruitment contexts in the German apprenticeship system - Paula Protsch (University of Cologne & Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training)
The Relation between Internal Mobility in Childhood and Adolescence and Life Satisfaction in Early Adulthood - Juul Henkens (Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute)
Geographical mobility and childrens non-completion of upper secondary education in Finland and Germany: Do parental resources matter? - Patricia McMullin (University of Turku)
Social origins, tracking and occupational attainment in Italy - Moris Triventi (University of Trento)
Friday, 25 March 2022
In work poverty of youth in Europe - Kadri Täht (Tallinn University) & Marge Unt (Tallinn University)
Motherhood penalty in Estonia - Marge Unt (Tallinn University)
Understanding Trends of Loneliness During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Netherlands. The Moderating Role of Gender, Age, and Living Arrangement - Lluís Mangot-Sala (Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute)
Understanding Changes in Life Satisfaction during the Pandemic: Gender, Work, and Family Care - Shih-Yi Chao (University of Taiwan) & Ann Berrington (University of Southampton)
The two-day workshop is organised in the framework of the YouthLife project which has received funding from the European Union´s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 952083.
Associated Downloads
Monday, March 14th 2022 - Tuesday, March 15th 2022
Migrant family, employment, and housing in the life course (Seminars and lectures)
University of St Andrews (Online)
Monday, March 14th 2022
Tuesday, March 15th 2022
MIGRANT FAMILY, EMPLOYMENT, AND HOUSING IN THE LIFE COURSE
CALL FOR PAPERS
University of St Andrews, 14th and 15th March 2022
Online
European countries have witnessed increasing immigration streams and ethnic diversity over the past decades. Recent social science research reports considerable heterogeneity in family forms, employment and housing patterns among individuals with migration family background as well as
across migrant generations. Some researchers underline the importance of preferences and human capital, whereas others emphasise the role of structural inequalities. It is equally unclear whether the observed differences are short-term outcomes in a long-term process of cultural and economic
integration or rather reflections of different pathways and outcomes for immigrants and their descendants.
This international symposium brings together migration researchers to discuss innovative research on migrants and their descendants. We invite contributions in the following research areas of migration studies: fertility and family; employment and education; housing and place of residence. Research using longitudinal data and life course analysis will be given priority. Future projections and methodological contributions are welcome. The symposium is part of the ERC funded MigrantLife project (please see https://migrantlife.wp.st-andrews.ac.uk/).
To submit a paper for the symposium, please send an abstract (max 250 words) to Susan Watson at scw23@st-andrews.ac.uk by 14th February 2022. Slots for presentations are limited and authors will be informed by the 21st February as to whether their paper has been accepted.
The organising committee:
Dr Chia Liu
Dr Isaure Delaporte
Dr Andreas Höhn
Dr Júlia Mikolai
Ms Susan Watson
Prof Hill Kulu
Thursday, February 24th 2022
CPC Webinar - Anna Matysiak (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Thursday, February 24th 2022
13:00-14:00 GMT
This CPC webinar was held on Thursday 24 February at 13:00 GMT Anna Matysiak Associate Professor at the Faculty of Economic Sciences of the University of Warsaw, gave a talk entitled, Home-based work and fertility based on UK Understanding Society data.
Title: Home-based work and fertility based on UK Understanding Society data.
Abstract:
We examine timely yet severely under-researched interplay between home-based work (HBW) and childbearing. Namely, we study whether and under which conditions women are more likely to have a child when they work from home. Our study is situated in a liberal labour market setting the UK. With the use of UKHLS 2009-2019 longitudinal data, we test circumstances in which HBW positively or negatively relates to fertility. We use random-effect logistic regression and consider a set of potential moderators of the studied relationship, including socioeconomic status, commuting time, work hours, and other job-related factors. Our preliminary results prove the complex association between HBW and childbearing: regular use of HBW is positively related to fertility, but only among women who do not work long, feel confident about their jobs or who otherwise would have to commute long. If these conditions are not satisfied, the relationship turns negative.
Watch the recording here
Thursday, February 17th 2022
CPC Webinar - Peter Boden (Seminars and lectures)
Peter Boden, Edge Analytics
Zoom
Thursday, February 17th 2022
12:00-13:00 GMT
This CPC webinar was held on Thursday 17 February at 12:00 GMT. Dr Peter Boden, Principal Consultant at Edge Analytics, gave a talk entitled "Demographic Change - the practical application of population forecasts to the planning process".
Title: Demographic Change - the practical application of population forecasts to the planning process
Abstract: Population and household statistics play a critical role in planning the future delivery of a wide range of products and services. This is especially the case in regulated industries, where guidelines mandate the use of robust demographic data and methods in the generation of medium- and long-term business plans. However, the demographic outlook has never been more uncertain, with the UKs exit from the EU, the COVID-19 pandemic, falling fertility and dampened life expectancy predictions. This webinar uses Case Study evidence to illustrate how population and household forecasts, in combination with regulatory guidelines, inform the planning processes of the housing, education and water industry sectors.
Watch the recording here
Tuesday, February 1st 2022 - Friday, February 4th 2022
13th Conference of Young Demographers (Conferences)
Charles University, Prague
Tuesday, February 1st 2022
Friday, February 4th 2022
13th Conference of Young Demographers
The annual international Conference of Young Demographers is held at the Faculty of Science, Charles University traditionally in the first half of February. They welcome submissions from all fields of demography, as well as all related areas of population studies. They aim to create a relaxed and welcoming environment where especially early career researchers can share their work in progress and thoughts with their peers.
CPC's Mary Abed Al Ahad will present: The Impact of Air Pollution on General Health and Mental Well-Being by Ethnicity and Nativity in the UK.
Monday, January 31st 2022
Professor Sir Ian Diamond: How a national statistics institute responds to a pandemic (Public engagement events)
Professor Sir Ian Diamond
Online (University of Southampton)
Monday, January 31st 2022
18:00 GMT
In collaboration with the University of Southampton and Southampton Statistical Research Institute (S3Ri), CPC is delighted to announce that Professor Sir Ian Diamond, UK National Statistician, will give a free public lecture on How a National Statistics Institute responds to a pandemic.
When the pandemic began there was a sudden and urgent need for data on which to base policy decisions affecting the whole population, and at the same time a need to move away from face to face data collection. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) responded by changing its business processes extremely quickly and by setting up the COVID infection survey. ONS and the Government Statistical Service have become central to understanding the progress of the infection and its impacts on the economy and society. In this lecture Professor Sir Ian Diamond tells the story of how statistics have been developed and used to help manage the pandemic in the UK; and will discuss what this means for the future of UK Official Statistics.
The lecture will be hosted by Professor Mark E. Smith CBE, Vice Chancellor of the University of Southampton. The Q&A will be chaired by Professor Jane Falkingham OBE, Director of the ESRC funded Centre for Population Change.
Register here
This lecture is part of a series being convened by the University of Southampton, including the Annual Wade Lecture: In conversation with Professor Jonathan Van-Tam, Deputy Chief Medical Officer for the UK Government. This event will be held on Monday 24 January 2022, at 18:00 GMT. Find out more and register here
Monday, January 31st 2022
YouthLife/CILCS Open Seminar: Using Data of the Generations and Gender Programme to Examine Cross-National Differences in the Transition to Parenthood (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Monday, January 31st 2022
15:00 - 16:30 CET time (14:00 -15:30 GMT)
YouthLife/CILCS Open Seminar: Using Data of the Generations and Gender Programme to Examine Cross-National Differences in the Transition to Parenthood
January 31st, 2022, at 15:00 16:30 CET time, (14:00 -15:30 GMT)
In the next open seminar of the TLU Centre of Excellence in Interdisciplinary Life-course Studies, Anne Gauthier and Judith Koops from the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute will introduce the Generations and Gender Programme and describe how the data released by this social sciences infrastructure can be used to study the transition to adulthood.
Anne Gauthier will start with providing an introduction to the Generations and Gender Programme (GGP) and an overview of the dataset and contextual data it releases. GGP provides users with open-access data sources of cross-nationally comparative surveys and contextual data. GGP provides scientists and policy makers with high quality data about families and life course trajectories of individuals to enable researchers to contribute insights and answers to current societal and public policy challenges.
Judith Koops will show practical examples of how cross-sectional data of the Generations and Gender Survey and the Harmonized Histories can be used to explore cross-national differences in the transition to parenthood. Attention will be paid to cross-national differences in the influence of the socio-economic status of the childhood family on transition to parenthood, with a particular focus on partner status at first birth.
LINK to the registration form:
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfSLtuHuMRET8_pXnczgtoN4A5OcCh7Aq1kE9zxowzkP2B2hg/viewform?usp=sf_link
Prof. dr. Anne H. Gauthier is Director of the Generations and Gender Programme, located at the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI). Her academic passion lies in cross-national comparative research with a particular focus on family policies and fertility, transition to adulthood, and parenting and child well-being. She has been working on promoting comparative longitudinal study while also seeking ways to provide the research community with the best data to study the complexity of todays family dynamics and life-course trajectories.
Dr. Judith C. Koops works as a researcher for the Generations and Gender Programme. Her research focuses on understanding inequality in partnership status at first birth in Europe and North-America. Within the GGP team she Coordinates the data preparation and is the task leader of the Social Sciences & Humanities Open Cloud SSHOC project.
The series of open seminars is organized by the TLU Center of Excellence in Interdisciplinary Life Studies (CILCS), funded by the European Union Regional Development Fund (ASTRA project "TLU TEE Tallinn University as a promoter of intelligent lifestyle"). In 2022, the seminars are co-organised by the consortium of YouthLife Project which has received funding from the European Union´s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 952083.
Thursday, January 27th 2022
CPC webinar - Giammarco Alderotti (Seminars and lectures)
Giammarco Alderotti
Zoom
Thursday, January 27th 2022
13:00-14:00 GMT
Dear all
This CPC webinar was held on Thursday 27 January at 13:00-14:00 (UK time). Giammarco Alderotti from The University of Florence gave a talk entitled, "Employment (uncertainty) and fertility trends in Italy: a tale of the last decades".
Date: Thursday 27 January
Time: 13:00-14:00 GMT
Speaker: Giammarco Alderotti
Title: "Employment (uncertainty) and fertility trends in Italy: a tale of the last decades"
Abstract: Labour market instability has been shown to come with consequences for fertility decisions. Especially in the southern European context insecure employment situations hamper the transition to parenthood. Most research so far has focused on first childbirth, ignoring potential recuperation effects and thus the more encompassing view on cohort fertility. We exploited recent data to extend on this point and analyse the consequences of employment instability on (quasi-)completed fertility for men and women in Italy. An additional focus is made on the changing relationship between female employment and fertility over the last decades, also taking into consideration the strong regional heterogeneity that characterises the country.
Watch the recording here
Tuesday, January 25th 2022
RSA Scotland: MOVE - A perspective on an issue of our time (Public engagement events)
Zoom
Tuesday, January 25th 2022
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM (GMT)
RSA Scotland: MOVE - A perspective on an issue of our time
25 January 2022
Dr Parag Khanna, author of "Move", provides a fascinating insight into the impact of migration on the future of human civilization.
As climate change tips toward full-blown crisis, economies collapse, governments destabilize and technology disrupts, were entering a new age of mass migrations- one that will scatter both the dispossessed and the well-off. Which areas will people abandon and where will they resettle? Which countries will accept or reject them? As todays world population, which includes four billion restless youth, votes with their feet, what map of human geography will emerge?
Here global strategy advisor Parag Khanna provides an illuminating and authoritative vision of the next phase of human civilization- one that is both mobile and sustainable. As the book explores, in the years ahead people will move to where the resources are and technologies will flow to the people who need them, returning us to our nomadic roots while building more secure habitats. Move is a fascinating look at the deep trends that are shaping the most likely scenarios for the future. Most importantly, it guides each of us as we determine our optimal location on humanitys ever-changing map.
Move was published in October 2021. Dr Khannas previous book Connectography was published in 2017. Both are available via a variety of sources.
The panel respondents for this event will be;
Professor David Bell CBE FRSE FAcSS, University of Stirling
Dr Sarah Kyambi, Migration Policy Scotland
Professor Oscar Guardiola-Rivera FRSA, Professor of International Law and Globalization, Birkbeck, University of London
Register here
See the RSA event website for further information
Monday, January 17th 2022
Relationship quality: Partnership transitions, economic uncertainty, and changes during Covid-19 (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris
Hertie School in Berlin (Online)
Monday, January 17th 2022
12:30pm-1:30pm (CET)
Relationship quality: Partnership transitions, economic uncertainty, and changes during Covid-19
Monday, 17.01.2022 12:30 pm - 1:30 pm (CET)
A presentation by Brienna Perelli-Harris (University of Southampton). This event is part of the Social Policy Research Colloquium and hosted in cooperation with DYNAMICS.
For registration email: Dudziak@hertie-school.org
Monday, January 10th 2022
YouthLife Open Seminar: Life Course Research Using the British Cohort Studies: Intergenerational Transmission of Partnership Dissolution (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Monday, January 10th 2022
15:00-16:30 CET time (16:00-17:30 in Estonia, 14:00-15:30 GMT)
YouthLife Open Seminar: Life Course Research Using the British Cohort Studies: Intergenerational Transmission of Partnership Dissolution
Webinar via ZOOM
January 10th, 2022, 15:00-16:30 CET time (16:00-17:30 in Estonia, 14:00-15:30 in UK)
In the next open seminar of the TLU Centre of Excellence in Interdisciplinary Life-course Studies, Ann Berrington and Seb Stannard from University of Southampton will introduce the British Cohort Studies (the 1958 NCDS cohort; 1970 BCS70; and Millennium Cohort Study) and describe how they provide a rich opportunity for life course research. Ann Berrington will start by reviewing some of the unique insights that birth cohort studies can provide. In the early sweeps parents provide information on the cohort member. From around age 10 onwards the cohort member also completes questionnaires. The rich prospective nature of the data means that: researchers can identify intergenerational transmission of behaviour; can examine the link between attitudes and intentions early in the life course and later behaviour; and examine the mediators through which parental background factors are associated with outcomes in adulthood.
Seb Stannard will then provide an exemplar where he has used the BCS70 to explore the intergenerational transmission of partnership dissolution paying particular attention to the early life mediators underpinning the intergenerational process. Early life mediators include family socioeconomic status, maternal mental wellbeing, child behaviour, child locus of control, child cognition, highest educational qualification and age at first partnership. Utilising longitudinal data provides the opportunity to explore the temporal sequencing of characteristics and experiences valuable for interpretation associations. The fact that the BCS70 started at birth provides the opportunity for Sebs work to adjust for parental controls, to analyse both parental and offspring reports of their partnership instability and to test a variety of early life mediating variables, unexplored within previous UK studies and unavailable in most alternative datasets.
Registration:
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSf4vZrpJOyqOAeLO6jrfn3FTCrR_aSGTd3XtE-TIzUixZ4EVA/viewform?usp=sf_link
Ann Berrington is Professor and Joint Head of Department of Demography and Social Statistics at the University of Southampton and leads the Fertility and Family strand of the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) Centre for Population Change. Her research interests concern transitions to adulthood, partnership and family formation and dissolution, and how these are associated with socio-economic inequalities across the life course. She is currently a Co-I on an ESRC-funded project on Understanding and Projecting Fertility Trends in the UK, and Co-I on the ESRC funded UK Generations and Gender Survey.
Seb Stannard is a third year PhD Student in Demography and Social Statistics at the University of Southampton. He is an expert on the 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS70) and his research interests concern utilising the BCS70 to explore the pathways through which events in childhood may impact both health and demographic outcomes at midlife, paying particularly attention to early life mediating pathways. For example, one of his papers focused on the association between birth order on mental wellbeing at midlife.
The series of open seminars is organized by the TLU Center of Excellence in Interdisciplinary Life Studies (IET), funded by the European Union Regional Development Fund (ASTRA project "TLU TEE Tallinn University as a promoter of intelligent lifestyle"). In 2021, the seminars are co-organised by the consortium of YouthLife Project which has received funding from the European Union´s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 952083.
Thursday, December 16th 2021
CPC Webinar - Reflections on the Language of Explanation in Demography: clarity or confusion? (Seminars and lectures)
Emeritus Professor Elspeth Graham, from The University of St Andrews
Zoom
Thursday, December 16th 2021
13:00-14:00 GMT
Emeritus Professor Elspeth Graham, from The University of St Andrews, presented "Reflections on the Language of Explanation in Demography: clarity or confusion?".
Title:Reflections on the Language of Explanation in Demography: clarity or confusion?
Abstract:Measurement and modelling are staples of demographic analysis where precision is valued. Demographers frequently query the accuracy of their data and note the limitations of their analyses. In contrast, relatively little time has been devoted to considering the conceptual underpinnings of the language in which research is framed and findings are interpreted. Demography, then, tends to be long on description and short on explanation.
In this paper, I select examples from fertility research to reflect on the language of explanation in quantitative demography. I consider how familiar terms such as drivers, determinants, mechanisms and causes have been used in the published literature and argue that demography would benefit from more attention to conceptual precision. I conclude that greater clarity in the use of such terms is needed if demography is to advance an explanatory agenda.
Watch the seminar recording here
Wednesday, December 15th 2021 - Friday, December 17th 2021
Winter Simulation Conference 2021 (Conferences)
Phoenix, Arizona and Virtual
Wednesday, December 15th 2021
Friday, December 17th 2021
Winter Simulation Conference 2021
Simulation for a Smart World: From Smart Devices to Smart Cities
Join practitioners and researchers to discuss advances in all aspects of modeling and simulation, under this year’s theme, “Simulation for a Smart World: From Smart Devices to Smart Cities”. Recognizing some travel restrictions will be in place for the remainder of the year, we are creating a dynamic agenda that engages conference participants in both formats. In-person events such as keynotes and paper tracks will be recorded and available on the conference’s online platform. Similarly, online events such as the PhD colloquium, poster sessions, and paper tracks will take place on the conference platform, creating a shared environment for the community to interact. Exhibits will be live, networking events will be hybrid – so much to do in either format!
The focus of WSC 2021 is on the design and innovation of smart cities through the use of simulation. Smart devices and sensors offer us an amazing opportunity to create our urban future where cities are safe, environmentally secure, green, and efficient and power, water, transportation work seamlessly towards this goal. This vision relies on significant advancement from simulation both in theory and practice as modelling, experimentation and data analysis needs to come together to tackle various challenges. We invite papers that highlight innovations in both simulation theory and applications, with a specific interest in the use of simulation in smart cities design, implementation, development and vision.
Professor Jakub Bijak will be presenting at this conference. Please see the event website for more details.
Monday, December 13th 2021 - Tuesday, December 14th 2021
Pandemic Babies? The Covid-19 Pandemic and Its Impact on Fertility and Family Dynamics (Conferences)
Harnack House in Berlin, Germany.
Monday, December 13th 2021
Tuesday, December 14th 2021
Pandemic Babies? The Covid-19 Pandemic and Its Impact on Fertility and Family Dynamics
Date of Event: December 13, and 14, 2021
Submissions Deadline: August 8, 2021
The Covid-19 pandemic is affecting childbearing and family processes around the globe. First studies have documented changes in couples fertility plans and work division within the household, or predict fertility declines in high-income countries based on now-casting methods. Yet, the pandemics impact on fertility, partnering, and family dynamics is rapidly evolving and remains the subject of much speculation.
This conference aims at bringing together scholars who examine fertility and family change in times of the Covid-19 pandemic. We invite submissions that document fertility and family trends, investigate their causes and correlates, place them into established or novel theoretical contexts, or use new data sources or methods to illuminate or predict such trends. We are particularly interested in research which connects potential fertility and family change to the multitude of other societal and epidemiological developments occurring at this time.
For further info and updates please see demogr.mpg.de/go/pandemic-babies
Associated Downloads
Tuesday, December 7th 2021 - Friday, December 10th 2021
43rd Meeting of the Brazilian Econometric Society (Conferences)
Online
Tuesday, December 7th 2021
Friday, December 10th 2021
43rd Meeting of the Brazilian Econometric Society
7-10 December 2021
Online meeting
CPC's Dr Hector Calvo-Pardo is a member of the organising Finance Committee.
Monday, December 6th 2021
YouthLife Open Seminar: Studying the links between life transitions, SES and health behaviours using LIFELINES data (Seminars and lectures)
Zoom
Monday, December 6th 2021
15:00 - 16:30 CET time
YouthLife Open Seminar: Studying the links between life transitions, SES and health behaviours using LIFELINES data
Webinar via ZOOM
December 6th, 2021, at 15:00 16:30 CET time
This event is part of the YouthLife project that CPC member Professor Ann Berrington is collaborating on. The project is led by Professor Ros Edwards and is part of a European Union Twinning initiative to support the development of research methods expertise at the University of Tallinn, Estonia.
In the next open seminar of the TLU Centre of Excellence in Interdisciplinary Life-course Studies, Prof Aart C. Liefbroer and Lluís Mangot-Sala from the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) will present their work on studying the links between life transitions, socio-economic status and health behaviours using LIFELINES data. First, Aart Liefbroer will introduce the LIFELINES cohort study, that is conducted at the University of Groningen and allows for a wealth of information on changes in health and it determinants and consequences. Apart from the regular flow of data collection over a period already extending more than 10 years, a special series of panel waves have been conducted since the COVID pandemic, making this data sources extremely interesting to study developments in health in general, and during the pandemic in particular. Next, Lluís Mangot-Sala will present some of his ongoing work. In particular, he is going to present results from two different studies that aim at answering different questions within the life-course perspective. First, he will discuss how to disentangle the reciprocal association between unemployment and alcohol consumption using panel data. He will show how the combination of structural equation modelling with fixed effects models can give insights into this reciprocal association. In addition, he will present results on changes in alcohol consumption during the COVID pandemic and the extent to which household types buffered the impact of the COVID lockdown on alcohol consumption of the observed population.
Link to the registration form:
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLScTFUC7mrT5gtzbknHDdvyHqDUaOmQPsa22fNMau87a_QPgoA/viewform?usp=sf_link
Professor Aart C. Liefbroer is Leader of the Research Theme on Families and Generations at the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) and a Professor of Life Course Demography at the University Medical Centre Groningen (UMCG) of the University of Groningen, and Professor by special appointment of Demography of Young Adults and Intergenerational Transmission at the Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam. He is interested in determinants and consequences of young adults demographic decisions. He also acts as the Dutch National Coordinator of the European Social Survey (ESS) and the Generations and Gender Survey (GGS).
Lluís Mangot-Sala is a PhD candidate at the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) and the University Medical Centre Groningen (UMCG). He has obtained an MSc in both public health and sociology. His research focusses on the links between life course events and health, with a special interest in the relationship between alcohol consumption and life-course events. For example, his latest paper examined how the association between unemployment trajectories and alcohol consumption (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.alcr.2021.100434).
The series of open seminars is organized by the TLU Center of Excellence in Interdisciplinary Life Studies (IET), funded by the European Union Regional Development Fund (ASTRA project "TLU TEE Tallinn University as a promoter of intelligent lifestyle"). In 2021, the seminars are co-organised by the consortium of YouthLife Project which has received funding from the European Union´s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 952083.
Sunday, December 5th 2021 - Friday, December 10th 2021
International Population Conference 2021 (IPC 2021) (Conferences)
Hyderabad, India
Sunday, December 5th 2021
Friday, December 10th 2021
The IUSSP International Population Conference is the world's largest international scientific conference on population issues.
Given the COVID-19 pandemic, IPC2021 will now be a hybrid conference with a small number of in-person sessions in India, while most sessions will be virtual.
CPC Director Professor Jane Falkingham is the theme convenor for "Older Adults and Intergenerational Relations" while many other CPC members will be presenting their work.
For more details, please visit the Conference website http://ipc2021hyderabad.iussp.org/ or send an email to ipc2021@iussp.org.
Thursday, December 2nd 2021
CPC Webinar - Mothers' Nonstandard Work Schedules, Economic Hardship, and Children's Development (Seminars and lectures)
Afshin Zilanawala
Zoom
Thursday, December 2nd 2021
12:00 -13:00 GMT
This CPC webinar was held on Thursday 2 December at 12:00 GMT. Afshin Zilanawala, Lecturer in Demography at the University of Southampton, gave a talk entitled, "Mothers Nonstandard Work Schedules, Economic Hardship, and Childrens Development."
Title:Mothers Nonstandard Work Schedules, Economic Hardship, and Childrens Development.
Abstract:In the last half century, global economies have faced remarkable transformations to their labor markets. In particular, the growth of the service sector, reduced costs of labor due to technological changes and globalized labor markets, and access to global consumer markets have increased the demand for services during nonstandard hours and, by extension, evening, night and weekend work schedules. Such work schedules are especially common among parents of young children, raising concerns about the potential impacts on childrens early development. In this study, we investigate maternal nonstandard work schedules in early childhood and their associations with childrens development at age 5 using the Millennium Cohort Study. We also explore the economic circumstances of families with mothers who work nonstandard schedules by considering a comprehensive definition of economic hardship; we explicitly measure economic hardship by including income poverty, material hardship, and subjective financial stress. We ask if each of these distinct dimensions of economic hardship moderate associations between nonstandard work schedules and child outcomes. Our findings suggest nonstandard work schedules have delayed effects on childrens verbal ability and are concurrently associated with child behavior.
Additionally, the relationship between work schedules and child behavior may be contingent on experiencing financial stress. The results highlight a potentially challenging work-family interface in the context of working nonstandard schedules and experiencing economic hardship.
Watch the seminar recording here
Tuesday, November 30th 2021
Financial Vulnerability of Scottish Charities during the COVID-19 pandemic (Public engagement events)
Online
Tuesday, November 30th 2021
13:30 - 14:30 GMT
Financial Vulnerability of Scottish Charities during the COVID-19 pandemic
By Professor Alasdair Rutherford
Tue, 30 November 2021
13:30 – 14:30 GMT
Scottish focussed research by the University of Stirling to examine the financial vulnerability of charities during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Find out more here
Monday, November 29th 2021
Harnessing data innovation for migration policy in Europe and Africa (Seminars and lectures)
Robert Bosch Foundation in Berlin
Monday, November 29th 2021
The Expert-Level Event 'Harnessing Data Innovation for Migration Policy in Europe and Africa: State of the Art and Future Directions' will take place on 29 November 2021, at the Robert Bosch Foundation in Berlin in a hybrid format (online and in-person).
CPC's Professor Jakub Bijak will be in conversation with Teddy Wilkin from the European Asylum Support Office during the Focus Session: Opportunities and challenges of forecasting methodologies in migration-related
policymaking.
Find out more on the event website
Thursday, November 25th 2021
CPC Webinar - Women's family life courses after union dissolution: A comparative analysis (Seminars and lectures)
Sergi Vidal
Zoom
Thursday, November 25th 2021
13:00-14:00 GMT
This CPC webinar was held on Thursday 25 November at 13:00 GMT. Sergi Vidal from the Centre for Demographic Studies at the Autonomous University of Barcelona, gave a talk entitled, "Women's family life courses after union dissolution: A comparative analysis".
Title: Women's family life courses after union dissolution: A comparative analysis
Abstract: Virtually all post-industrial societies have witnessed increased union dissolution rates since the second half of the XXth century. While family dynamics after union dissolution are gathering scholarly attention, little is still known on how individuals bargain post-separation family life courses across contexts that offer different opportunities for family behaviour. We address the following research questions: How do family life courses evolve after the dissolution of the first stable union? How do these processes vary across socio-historical contexts? We deploy sequence analysis on combined relationship and fertility trajectories over 120 months after the dissolution of the first union. Context variation is assessed by comparing family pathways across separation periods (1970-2000) and countries (France, the Netherlands, Poland, Russia, Spain, Sweden and the UK) using data from the Harmonized Histories comparative datasets. Preliminary findings show an emerging diversity and complexity in post-separation family trajectories. In most countries, pathways featuring the formation of new families and more complex trajectories became commonplace among recent periods. We also find divergent trends overtime in countries that were forerunners in the diffusion of union dissolution. Results suggest that socio-historical contexts importantly shaped union dissolution and subsequent family behaviour.
Watch the seminar recording here
Friday, November 12th 2021 - Tuesday, November 16th 2021
Sankey Plots: Visualizing Complex Pathway and Systems Flow Data (Workshops)
Mary Abed Al Ahad
Online via Microsoft Teams
Friday, November 12th 2021
Tuesday, November 16th 2021
Sankey Plots: Visualizing Complex Pathway and Systems Flow Data
November 12 @ 3:00 pm - November 16 @ 4:30 pm
A Sankey diagram is a visualization used to depict a flow from one set of values to another. This half day workshop divided into 2 sessions will take place on Friday 12 November and Tuesday 16 November 2021 from 3:00pm to 4:30pm and it will consist of 1-hour theory session on the applications and structure of Sankey plots, 1-hour practical hands-on session on RStudio, half an hour group-work exercise, and half an hour of discussion/questions from the workshop participants.
By the end of the workshop, participants will be able to:
Understand the usage of Sankey plots in different research domains (e.g. public health, social sciences, demography, and business)
Prepare the data format needed to construct a Sankey plot using R studio and excel software
Construct a Sankey plot using R studio software
Interpret the constructed Sankey plot
Apply what was learnt in the workshop on their real-life research projects
The event will be capped at a maximum of 30 students to allow interactive teaching. The workshop will be delivered online through Microsoft Teams. Workshop participants should have installed R and RStudio software on their computers and should have access to Excel. R and RStudio are freely downloadable, and instructions will be provided by the workshop tutor prior to the workshop date. It is preferable for participants to have a beginner working level in RStudio software; though this is not mandatory as the tutor will provide all the guidance and codes needed to work with the software.
CPC's Mary Abed Al Ahad is the event organiser. For further information see the event website here
Wednesday, November 10th 2021 - Sunday, November 14th 2021
GSA 2021 Annual Scientific Meeting (Conferences)
(Virtual) Phoenix, Arizona, USA
Wednesday, November 10th 2021
Sunday, November 14th 2021
Professor Athina Vlachantoni will be presenting:
Presentation Title: Dynamics of unmet need for social care in England
Session Name: Family Caregiving II (SRPP Poster)
Presentation Date: Thursday November 11, 2021
Presentation Time: 1:30 PM to 3:30 PM
Find out more at: https://www.gsa2021.org/
Associated Downloads
Friday, October 29th 2021 - Saturday, October 30th 2021
7th International Workshop on the Socio-Economics of Ageing (Conferences)
Professor David Bell
Lisbon School of Economics & Management
Friday, October 29th 2021
Saturday, October 30th 2021
7th Workshop on the Socio-Economics of Ageing
29-30 October 2021
Lisbon School of Economics & Management
“Economics of long-term and informal care”
Professor David Bell gave the keynote speech, '“The Economics of Dementia”.
Thursday, October 28th 2021
CPC Webinar - Life expectancy changes during the pandemic in low mortality countries (Seminars and lectures)
José Manuel Aburto
Zoom
Thursday, October 28th 2021
13.00 - 14.00 BST
This CPC webinar was held on Thursday 28 October at 13.00 BST. José Manuel Aburto, Newton International Fellow from the University of Oxford gave a talk entitled, Life expectancy changes during the pandemic in low mortality countries.
Title: Life expectancy changes during the pandemic in low mortality countries.
Abstract: Variations in the age patterns and magnitudes of excess deaths, as well as differences in population sizes and age structures make cross-national comparisons of the cumulative mortality impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic challenging. Life expectancy is a widely-used indicator that provides a clear and cross-nationally comparable picture of the population-level impacts of the pandemic on mortality. We leverage ongoing efforts on gathering all-cause mortality data to produce life tables by sex for 29 countries, including most European countries, Chile, and the USA for 2015-2020. Life expectancy at birth and at age 60 for 2020 were contextualised against recent trends between 2015-19. Using decomposition techniques, we examined which specific age groups contributed to reductions in life expectancy in 2020 and to what extent reductions were attributable to official COVID-19 deaths.
Watch the seminar recording here
Thursday, October 28th 2021
Uncertainty across the “Contact Line”: armed conflict, COVID-19, and perceptions of fertility decline in Eastern Ukraine (Seminars and lectures)
Brienna Perelli-Harris
Virtual
Thursday, October 28th 2021
12:00
Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris will give a talk entitled, "Uncertainty across the “Contact Line”: armed conflict, COVID-19, and perceptions of fertility decline in Eastern Ukraine" as part of Seminar Series of the Population and Society Unity (UPS) of the Department of Statistics, Computer Science, Applications of the University of Florence.
For more details see the website here
Wednesday, October 27th 2021
Migration and Mobility Research in the Digital Era (MIMODE 2021) (Conferences)
Lyon, France and Virtual
Wednesday, October 27th 2021
Migration and Mobility Research in the Digital Era (MIMODE 2021)
Date of Event: October 27, 2021
The recent availability of massive amounts of digital data have profoundly revolutionized research on migration and mobility, enabling scientists to quantitatively study individual and collective mobility patterns at different granularities as generated by human activities in their daily life. Harnessing such digital data offers many new opportunities to study migration and mobility and fill in the gaps left by traditional data. At the same time, such innovative data sources also come with several limitations, biases, and challenges, which have led to diverging research methodologies and frameworks, requiring even greater effort in their operationalization and communication to stakeholders and policy makers.
The aim of this satellite session is to bring together researchers from different fields and practitioners from around the world to facilitate a conversation on the use of innovative digital data sources, new methodologies, empirical findings, and critical challenges of studying migration and mobility in the digital era.
Jakub Bijak, Jason Hilton, Martin Hinsch, Sarah Nurse, Toby Prike and Oliver Reinhardt will be resenting their paper:
Bayesian model-based migration studies: Connecting data and theory
Monday, October 25th 2021
Science in Policymaking - Understanding the Use of Science in Migration Policy (Workshops)
Zoom
Monday, October 25th 2021
Science in Policymaking: Understanding the Use of Science in Migration Policy
Oct 25 2021
The objective of this meeting is to discuss how policymakers and actors involved in policymaking in the area of international migration make sense and use science in their daily routines. We want to shed light on science information and communication habits by different actors involved in policymaking and are interested in institutional strategies for improving evidence-informed policymaking.
Professor Jakub Bijak will be a panelist at this event.
Please see the event website for more information.
Wednesday, October 13th 2021 - Friday, October 15th 2021
19th Conference of the European Divorce Research Network (Conferences)
Online
Wednesday, October 13th 2021
Friday, October 15th 2021
European Network for the Sociological and Demographic Study of Divorce 19th Annual Meeting (online) October 13-15, 2021
CPC researchers will be presenting their work as follows;
Friday 15 October
For better or worse: economic strain and relationship quality during the covid-19 pandemic
Brienna Perelli-Harris, Shih-Yi Chao and Ann Berrington
Family complexity and young children's health outcomes in the UK: a longitudinal study
Michaela Kyclova, Julia Mikolai, Nissa Finney and Katherine Keenan
Find out more at:
https://www.divorceconference2021.eu/
Thursday, October 7th 2021
CPC Webinar - Adjusting Non-representative Survey Data using External Data: Analysis of demographic events from survey data (Seminars and lectures)
John Ermisch
Zoom
Thursday, October 7th 2021
14:00-15:00 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 7 October at 14:00 BST. John Ermisch, Professor at the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science and Nuffield College at the University of Oxford, will be giving a talk entitled, "Adjusting Non-representative Survey Data using External Data: Analysis of demographic events from survey data."
Title: Adjusting Non-representative Survey Data using External Data: Analysis of demographic events from survey data
Abstract:Empirical analysis of variation in demographic events within the population is facilitated by using longitudinal survey data because of the richness of covariate measures in such data, but there is wave-on-wave dropout (and re-joiners). The main issue is not the extent of attrition in the survey, but whether this attrition is ‘ignorable’ for the consistent estimation of the impacts of covariates on the event, on event probabilities and on statistics based on these probabilities. This may be a particular problem when attrition is related to the event, such as residential mobility of leaving the parental home. The paper introduces an adjustment procedure based on Bayes Theorem that uses information external to the survey sample to convert estimates of event probabilities and marginal effects of covariates on them that are conditional on retention in the longitudinal data (‘panel retention’ for short) to unconditional estimates of these quantities. It does not require the estimation of specific sample selection models. It applies the proposed adjustment method to two problems: (1) estimating the variation in marriage rates within the population in relation to prior fertility; and (2) estimating the age pattern of leaving home and the impacts of covariates on it. In each case, the survey data is the large UK household panel survey called Understanding Society. The two sources of external data are marriage registration statistics and the Labour Force Survey.
Registration: https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZUrcO2urTguHdHaLgY33tGTG-ls_yFK1AIb
Meeting Recording:
We may record the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details:
We require your name and email to process the event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce get aggregate level statistics to justify our seminars to our funders. If you have any issues with the way your data is collected, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk. Further information about the way we manage data can be found on our website here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice/
Monday, October 4th 2021 - Friday, October 8th 2021
6th GGP User Conference (Conferences)
Virtual
Monday, October 4th 2021
Friday, October 8th 2021
The 6th GGP User Conference brings together researchers working with data from the Gender and Generations Survey, the GGP Contextual Database, or the Harmonized Histories, and invites them to present and discuss their most recent methodological approaches and empirical findings.
In session 3 'Union Formation and Dissolution: Life Course and Comparative Perspectives' on Wednesday 6 October 2021, 13h00-14h00, Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris will be presenting the paper 'Relationship quality and Family Formation in Europe. How country context shapes (un)happy couples' transitions to marriage and first birth' which she co-authored with Niels Blom and Kenneth Aarskaug Wiik.
Thursday, September 30th 2021
CPC Webinar - Menarche: a global health indicator? (Seminars and lectures)
Tiziana Leone, London School of Economics
Zoom
Thursday, September 30th 2021
13.00 BST
This CPC webinar was held on Thursday 30 September at 13.00 BST. Tiziana Leone, Associate Professor in Health and International Development at the London School of Economics and Political Science, gave a talk entitled, "Menarche: a global health indicator?"
Title: Menarche: a global health indicator?
Abstract: Menarche (first menstrual bleeding) serves as a critical marker of puberty, and the associated physiological and social changes which collectively symbolise sexual maturation, adulthood and fertility. Recent evidence shows that age at menarche in Low and Middle Income Countries is undergoing a transition similar to that of European countries in the nineteenth century and is generally linked to an improvement in nutrition and health of young women. Age at menarche is influenced by a unique set of genetic, socioeconomic, and environmental factors. It is such a fundamental determinant of womens physiological development that it has been suggested as a key global health indicator. However, so far, we lack evidence on the socio-economic outlook of menarche and whether we can identify structural aspects associated with the evolution of the indicator such as demographic and socio- economic development.
Using micro and aggregated data for 27 countries produced from pseudo-cohort information from all available World Fertility Surveys (n=16) and Demographic and Health Surveys (n=28), we analyse the relationship between mean age at menarche and micro factors such as individual wealth, education, and macro ones such as mean age at marriage, total fertility rate, GDP and life expectancy, among others.
The individual factors vary according to time and place and we cannot generalise the findings. However, at macro level, results show a significant negative correlation development related factors (e.g.: Life expectancy, Literacy), positive with maternal mortality, teenage pregnancy and age at marriage. Less clear is the link with nutritional status such as child obesity. This analysis is key in the wider context of studying transition to puberty. The onset is often neglected and its shifting to earlier ages needs to be monitored.
Watch the recording
Wednesday, September 29th 2021
Survey Methods Day 3: Understanding Society Event History Data (Workshops)
Online
Wednesday, September 29th 2021
Survey Methods Day 3: Understanding Society Event History Data
Wed 29 Sep 2021 02:00 pm - Wed 29 Sep 2021 05:00 pm
Understanding Society provides rich data for researchers who want to study the lifecourse. To support research in this area, Understanding Society provides specialist datasets with event history information. This training afternoon will give an overview of the partnership and fertility history file and the employment history file. The session will cover how the files can be used, the research they can generate and the advantages of using event history calendars to collect this type of data.
Programme
14.00 - 14.05: Introduction from Dr Alita Nandi, Understanding Society Associate Director for Outreach
14.05 - 14.50: The UKHLS Harmonized Histories: Partnership and Fertility histories in comparative perspective, Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris, Centre for Population Change, Southampton University
14.50 - 15.00: Break
15.00 - 15.10: BHPS and UKHLS harmonised partnership history file, Dr Alita Nandi
15.10 - 15.25: Understanding Society children - the PEACH dataset, Dr Edith Aguirre, Understanding Society Senior Research Officer
15.25 - 15.40: The UKHLS family matrix, Nicole James, Understanding Society Survey Data Officer
15.40 - 15.50: Questions
15.50 - 16.00: Break
16.00 - 16.30: Producing working-life histories in the UKHLS and BHPS, Liam Wright, Centre for Longitudinal Studies, UCL
16.30 - 17.00: Parallel memories in autobiographical knowledge: comparing calendars and conventional surveys, Dr Tarek Al Baghal, Understanding Society Associate Director Content Development
Monday, September 27th 2021
Older people in a rapidly transforming digital world (Public engagement events)
Zoom
Monday, September 27th 2021
10.30am UK BST
UK-India Interdisciplinary panel discussion: Older people in a rapidly transforming digital world
Monday 27 September 2021, 10:30-12:00 via Zoom
How do we address inequality in older people's access to digital resources, and how can we empower older people with digital literacy?
What research evidence do we have to understand and quantify the impact of digital connectivity on older people's health and wellbeing?
How can we ensure safer digital platforms and reduce older people's vulnerability to increasing online cyber crimes? How can we design the digital technology interface more user friendly for older people?
Opening address by Professor Jane Falkingham.
Professor Maria Evandrou will be speaking on the distinguished panel.
Appraisal by Professor Athina Vlachantoni.
RSVP, please register at: https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_4CW3J7JrQJqakCrj6o0egA
Thursday, September 23rd 2021
CPC Webinar - Understanding low subjective well-being among IDPs in Ukraine: current deprivation, loss of status, and trauma (Seminars and lectures)
Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
Zoom
Thursday, September 23rd 2021
12:00-13:00 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 23 September at 12:00 BST. Brienna Perelli-Harris, Professor of Demography at the University of Southampton will be giving a talk entitled,"Understanding low subjective well-being among IDPs in Ukraine: current deprivation, loss of status, and trauma".
Title: Understanding low subjective well-being among IDPs in Ukraine: current deprivation, loss of status, and trauma
Abstract: Although Internally Displaced Persons outnumber refugees globally, few studies have examined their well-being and assimilation into the local population. Here we investigate Ukraine, which hosts the largest IDP population in Europe. In 2014, war erupted in eastern Ukraine, resulting in around 1.7 million people forced to resettle throughout Ukraine. Despite being ethnically and culturally similar to the local population, IDPs encountered severe economic, housing, and social challenges, as well as residual trauma from violence. In this study we examine to what extent the subjective well-being (SWB) of IDPs differs from locals who were not displaced. We explore whether the IDP/local SWB gap is due to economic hardship, inadequate housing, and/or weak social support. Using a unique survey conducted in 2018 and OLS regression methods, we find a sizable gap in SWB between IDPs and locals. The gap shrinks after accounting for economic and housing status, and support from local networks. Measures of loss in housing and social networks additionally account for the gap. However, none of the factors can account for the difference between locals and IDPs who reported only leaving due to violence, pointing to the enduring impact of trauma on SWB.
Watch the recording here
Thursday, September 16th 2021
Research Handbook on the Sociology of the Family Book Launch Event (Public engagement events)
Zoom
Thursday, September 16th 2021
1:00
Exploring how family life has radically changed in recent decades, this comprehensive Research Handbook tracks the latest developments and trends in scholarly work on the family. With a particular focus on the European context, it addresses current debates and offers insights into key topics including: the division of housework, family forms and living arrangements, intergenerational relationships, partner choice, divorce and fertility behaviour.
CPC's Professor Ann Berrington contributed to 'Chapter 15: Fertility desires, intentions, and behaviour' .
Tuesday, September 14th 2021 - Wednesday, September 15th 2021
BSPS 2021 (Conferences)
Virtual
Tuesday, September 14th 2021
Wednesday, September 15th 2021
The British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) holds an annual conference each September and, like last year, it will be hosted online on 14 and 15 September 2021.
Attendees of BSPS 2021 can hear more about CPC research in the sessions below, and you can follow our live tweets on twitter, @CPCpopulation or by following the event #BSPS2021.
Monday 13 September 2021
14:00-15:00
Session: Training sessions/workshops aimed at early‐career researchers
Title: Panel discussion on 'How to get a postdoc'
Panel
Professor Jane Falkingham, University of Southampton, CPC
Dr Alice Goisis, UCL
Dr Abigail Page, LSHTM
Dr Francesca Fiori, University of St Andrews, CPC
Convenors: Júlia Mikolai (University of St Andrews, CPC) & Alyce Raybould (UCL)
Tuesday 14 September 2021
09:15-10:15
Session: Health & mortality: Child & adolescent health
Title: BMI over the life course among only children & siblings
Authors: Chanfreau, Goisis, Barclay, Keenan
Session: Families & households: Relationships
Title: Parental socioeconomic status & young Britons' family expectations: Do family structure & educational aspirations, during adolescence, mediate this relationship?
Authors: Palumbo et al.
Session: Ethnicity: Education, employment, place & ethnic inequalities
Title: Documenting the lives of ethnic and religious minorities in the pandemic: Reflections from the Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS)
Authors: Finney, Nazroo, Shlomo et al.
Session: Ageing: Social participation, work & retirement
Chair: Maria Evandrou
Session: Covid‐19: Impacts on families, fertility & vaccine hesitancy
Title: Changing living arrangements, family dynamics and stress during lockdown: evidence from four birth cohorts in the UK
Authors: Evandrou, Falkingham, Qin, Vlachantoni
12:00-13:00
Session: Migration: Union & family formation among immigrants & their descendants
Chair: Julia Mikolai
Title: Family trajectories among immigrants and their descendants in four European countries
Authors: Kulu, Mikolai, Delaporte, Liu, Campbell, Andersson
Session: Ageing: Understanding wellbeing & social care preferences across the life course
Chair: Athina Vlachantoni
Title: Attitudes and preferences towards future old‐age support amongst tomorrow's elders in China
Authors: Qin, Falkingham, Evandrou, Vlachantoni
14:00-15:00
Session: Reproductive health & infertility
Chair: Heini Väisänen
Title: Cross-national differences in the use of contraception and abortion services between England, Wales and Scotland
Authors: Kuang, Berrington
15:15-15:45
Session: Early career plenary
Title: When a pregnancy does not end in a live birth: quantifying the untold stories of sexual and reproductive health
Speaker: Väisänen
16:00-17:00
Session: Migration: Family & employment of migrants & their descendants
Title: The impact of childbearing & partnership changes on the employment outcomes of immigrants & their descendants in France: A multistate approach
Authors: Delaporte, Kulu
Session: Migration: Family & employment of migrants & their descendants
Title: Employment and family trajectories of immigrants in the UK: An application of multi-channel sequence analysis
Authors: Mikolai, Kulu
Session: Migration: Family & employment of migrants & their descendants
Title: Work and family pathways of immigrant women in Germany
Authors: Liu, Kulu
Session: Determinants of fertility
Title: Moving home or having a baby: what comes first? Understanding the realisation of jointly held childbearing and mobility intentions in UK
Authors: Christison, Kulu, Fiori, Keenan
Wednesday 15 September 2021
09:00-10:00
Session: Migration: Internal migration, space & place
Title: Examining new spatial and social mobilities to understand the shaping of geographical inequalities across the UK
Authors: So, Finney, McCollum, Kulu
Session: Fertility: Low fertility trends & projections
Title: Recent trends in UK fertility and scenarios for impact of Covid-19
Authors: Berrington, Ellison, Kuang, Vasireddy, Kulu
Session: Fertility: Low fertility trends & projections
Title: Two decades of fertility fluctuation in Great Britain
Authors: Kulu, Kuang, Berrington
Session: Families & households: Work & family
Title: For better or worse: Economic strain and relationship quality during the Covid-19 pandemic
Authors: Perelli-Harris, Chao, Berrington
Session: Ageing: Effects of chronic conditions, comorbidities & multi-morbidity on elderly persons
Title: Understanding sociodemographic inequalities in rapidly developing multi-morbidity trajectories in Scotland: An application of sequence analysis
Authors: Cezard, Sullivan, Keenan
10:30-11:30
Session: Health & mortality: Place and health
Title: The effect of air pollution on health in the UK by ethnic groups: A multi-level analysis
Authors: Abed Al Ahad, Sullivan, Demšar, Kulu
Session: Fertility: Spatial variation in fertility
Title: A Spatial Durbin Panel approach to understanding fertility in the UK 2013-2019
Authors: Dorey, Kulu
Session: Fertility: Spatial variation in fertility
Title: Individual and aggregate conditions of first births in Finland, 2012-2018
Authors: Campisi, Kulu, Mikolai, Klüsener, Myrskylä
12:00-13:00
Session: Data science: Bayesian methods in demography
Title: Extending the Integrated Model of European Migration
Authors: Aristotelous, Smith, Bijak
Session: Data science: Bayesian methods in demography
Title: Combining data sources to develop a Bayesian fertility projection model for England and Wales
Authors: Ellison, Berrington, Dodd, Forster
15:15-16:15
Session: Migration: Health & wellbeing of immigrants
Title: Is a healthy immigrant a wealthy immigrant? Reproductive health among migrant women in Finland 2000-17
Authors: Väisänen, Remes, Martikainen
Session: Migration: Health & wellbeing of immigrants
Title: Transnational healthcare as process: Multiplicity and directionality in the engagements with healthcare among Polish migrants in the UK
Authors: Troccoli, Moreh, McGhee, Vlachantoni
Session: Ageing: The effect of caregiving across the life course
Chair: Athina Vlachantoni
Title: Grandchild caring and late-life depression: A comparative longitudinal study in China and Europe
Authors: Yang
Session: Ageing: The effect of caregiving across the life course
Chair: Athina Vlachantoni
Title: The association between caregiving duration and later loneliness in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing
Authors: Davison
16:30-17:30
Session: Families & households: Family transitions & child outcomes
Title: Residential mobility and child outcomes: investigating the role of family social background
Authors: Fiori
Session: Families & households: Family transitions & child outcomes
Title: Is parental separation by age ten associated with offspring hypertension at midlife, and what are the potential mediating pathways in childhood? Findings from the 1970 British Birth Cohort Study (BCS70)
Authors: Stannard, Berrington, Alwan
Session: Families & households: Family transitions & child outcomes
Title: Family complexity and young children's health outcomes in the UK: A longitudinal study
Authors: Kyclova, Mikolai, Finney, Keenan
Strand Organisers
CPC members have also been involved in organising the following strands:
Ageing and the life course - Athina Vlachantoni
Data science: Innovative data, methods and models - Jason Hilton
Ethnicity / Ethnicity and Covid-19 - Nissa Finney
Family complexity and child outcomes - Júlia Mikolai and Katherine Keenan
Internal and international migration - Júlia Mikolai and Matthew Wallace
Employment, occupation, and labour market integration of immigrants and their descendants across industrialised countries - Júlia Mikolai and Hill Kulu
Tuesday, September 14th 2021 - Thursday, September 16th 2021
Data for Policy 2021 (Conferences)
Virtual
Tuesday, September 14th 2021
Thursday, September 16th 2021
The Data for Policy conference series is the premier global forum for multiple disciplinary and cross-sector discussions around the theories, applications and implications of data science innovation in governance and the public sector.
Professor Jakub Bijak, Professor Peter Smith and Dr Georgios Aristotelous will be presenting at the 6th International Conference, Data for Policy 2021, Lessons for policy-data interactions after Covid-19.
Find out more at: https://dataforpolicy.org/data-for-policy-2021/
Monday, September 13th 2021 - Tuesday, September 14th 2021
The NCF CEO's Conference 2021 (Conferences)
Tower Bridge, London
Monday, September 13th 2021
Tuesday, September 14th 2021
The National Care Forum CEO's Conference brings together a range of speakers and workshop leaders to discuss the future. Professor Jane Falkingham will be giving a presentation on Changing Demographics at 15.45 on 13/09/2021. Find out more on the conference website here.
Wednesday, September 8th 2021
ICWBN workshop: COVID-19 crisis and children's economic well-being, education and mental health in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland (Workshops)
Virtual
Wednesday, September 8th 2021
Dr Julia Mikolai is co-organising the Interdisciplinary Child Well-Being Network (ICWBN) online workshop and will be presenting her work on 'The COVID-19 crisis and children's mental health in the UK'.
For further details see:
https://icwbn.wp.st-andrews.ac.uk/icwbn-workshop/
Wednesday, September 8th 2021 - Thursday, September 9th 2021
Conversations on Ageing (Workshops)
Athina Vlachantoni
Zoom
Wednesday, September 8th 2021
Thursday, September 9th 2021
09.30-12.30 BST
Conversations on Ageing 8-9 September 2021
The event aims to bring together researchers, policymakers, third sector organisations such as charities, and other organisations and services from UK and India to discuss aspects of healthy ageing.
Professor Athina Vlachantoni will be presenting her research: Falkingham, J., Qin, M., Vlachantoni, A., & Evandrou, M. (2017). Children's migration and lifestyle-related chronic disease among older parents 'left behind' in India. SSM - Population Health, 3, 352-357.
Event details:
09:30-12:30 BST via Zoom
Day 1 (8 September)
Speakers and discussion (09:30-11:00)
Workshop session 1 (11:20-12:30 BST)
- Discussion on the concept of ageing and positive ageing
- What does successful ageing look like for India?
- Discussion on research priorities relating to healthy ageing in India.
Day 2 (9 September)
Speakers and discussion (09:30-11:00)
Workshop session 2 (11:20-12:30)
- Discussion on creative ways to promote healthy ageing.
- Lessons from the pandemic in the context of healthy ageing.
Contact and register:
Dr Lekha Subaiya, Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bengalaru
lekha@isec.ac.in
Dr Divya Sivaramakrishnan, University of Edinburgh
divya.sivaramakrishnan@ed.ac.uk
Monday, September 6th 2021 - Tuesday, July 6th 2021
Beyond the binary variable: Feminist quantitative analyses of gendered inequalities (Conferences)
Virtual
Monday, September 6th 2021
Tuesday, July 6th 2021
CPC researcher Heini Väisänen is a co-organiser of this Femquant conference. Find out more on the Femquant website, and below:
This one-day virtual conference (via Zoom) takes place on the 6th September 2021.
Researchers will discuss and debate the possibilities of a feminist quantitative social science, and to learn from each others successes and difficulties in integrating feminist theory with quantitative methods. By bringing together researchers committed to feminist research using quantitative methods to discuss and explore combinations of feminist theory/methods and quantitative methods we seek to bridge existing disciplinary, epistemological, and methodological divides. And we hope to advance a vision of feminist quantitative methods and research as not only interdisciplinary but furthermore committed to ethical, collaborate, participatory, transformative, intersectional, accountable, accessible, and open (Leung et al, 2019) production of knowledge.
Conference speakers include:
-Anna Lindqvist (Lund University, Department of Psychology) will give a talk based on her recently published article titled What is gender, anyway: a review of the options for operationalising gender (2020)
-Catherine D'Ignazio (MIT, Department of Urban Studies and Planning) & Lauren Klein (Emory University, Departments of English and Quantitative Methods) will give a panel discussion on their recently co-authored book, Data Feminism (2020)
This conference is organised by the coordinators of FemQuant. Please get in touch if you have any inquiries about the conference;
-Youngcho Lee, PhD candidate, Department of Sociology, University of Cambridge, yl670@cam.ac.uk;
-Rose Cook, Senior Research Fellow, Policy Institute at King's, rose.cook@kcl.ac.uk;
-Jenny Chanfreau, Research Fellow in Demography, UCL Social Research Institute, j.chanfreau@ucl.ac.uk;
-Heini Väisänen, Researcher, INED/ Lecturer in Social Statistics and Demography, University of Southampton, heini.vaisanen@ined.fr;
-Sara Rose Taylor, Principal Researcher, Framework Convention Alliance for Tobacco Control, staylor@balsillieschool.ca
*This conference is supported by the Centre for Research in the Arts, Social Sciences, and Humanities (CRASSH) at the University of Cambridge
Friday, September 3rd 2021 - Friday, September 24th 2021
Medical Sociology Group 2021 (Conferences)
Virtual
Friday, September 3rd 2021
Friday, September 24th 2021
BSA Medical Sociology 2021, 3 - 24 September 2021.
Dr Giuseppe Troccoli will be presenting on Friday 10 September 2021, 13.30-14.15 in the Diagnosis, Screening and Treatment/Theory stream.
For more details see the conference website at:
https://www.britsoc.co.uk/events/key-bsa-events/bsa-medical-sociology-2021-medsoc-month/
Monday, August 23rd 2021
Healthcare and the State: The uneasy reception of public healthcare measures and discourses (Workshops)
Virtual
Monday, August 23rd 2021
14:00 - 17:00 (CET)
The MAYS Method Workshops Series 'Healthcare and the State' is co-organised by CPC Researcher Dr. Giuseppe Troccoli and takes place on the 23rd of August 2021 at 14:00 to 17:00 CET.
The workshop explores the contribution of medical anthropology to our understanding of the relationship between the state and those who contest, comply and respond to its services and discourses.
More information can be found here.
Friday, July 23rd 2021
CPC/CRA webinar - The impact of grandparenting on late-life depression in England, Europe and China (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Yazhen Yang
Zoom
Friday, July 23rd 2021
12:00-13:00 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Friday 23 July at 12:00 BST. Dr Yazhen Yang, University of Southampton will be giving a talk entitled, "The impact of grandparenting on late-life depression in England, Europe and China".
Title: The impact of grandparenting on late-life depression in England, Europe and China.
Abstract: Approximately one billion people in the world's population are grandparents, which makes it crucial to examine the impact of grandparenting on grandparents' health. In this study, we examine the cross-national differences in the effect of grandparenting on older persons' depression in England, Europe and China. We look to understand the role of providing childcare, grandparents' gender and the national economy. Country fixed effects models and multi-level linear regression analyses with REML estimation were performed covering 15 countries from the ELSA, the SHARE and the CHARLS 2011, 2013 and 2015. The findings show that becoming a grandparent can lessen the effect of depressive symptoms on grandparents in lower income countries. Conversely, in higher income countries, it can worsen depressive symptoms for grandparents. The effect of providing care for grandchildren on grandparents' depression varied by their gender, country and according to the intensity of care provided. The findings suggest that family and other policies involving older people need to take into account the impact of grandparenting on grandparents' health, and higher income countries in particular should investigate policy instruments that might buffer the negative impact of transitioning to grandparenthood.
Watch the seminar recording.
Friday, July 16th 2021
CPC Webinar - Modelling the socio-economic determinants of fertility: a mediation analysis using the parametric g-formula (Seminars and lectures)
Maarten Bijlsma
Zoom
Friday, July 16th 2021
12:00-13:00 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Friday 16 July at 12:00 BST. Maarten Bijlsma, University of Groningen / MPIDR, will be giving a talk entitled "Modelling the socio-economic determinants of fertility: a mediation analysis using the parametric g-formula"
Title: Modelling the socio-economic determinants of fertility: a mediation analysis using the parametric g-formula
Abstract: Theories predict that the timing of childbearing and number of children born are determined by multiple socio-economic factors. Despite this, many methods cannot investigate the interrelationships between these determinants, including the direct and indirect influence that they have on fertility over the life course. Here we use the parametric g-formula to examine the interdependent influences of time-varying socio-economic processes-education, employment status and partnership status-on fertility. To demonstrate this approach, we study a cohort of women who were born in the UK in 1970. Our results show that socio-economic processes play an important role in determining fertility, not only directly but also indirectly. We show that increasing attendance in higher education has a largely direct effect on early childbearing up to age 25 years, resulting in a substantial increase in childlessness. However, childbearing at later ages is dominated by an indirect effect of education on fertility, via partnership status and employment status, that is twice as large as the direct effect. We also use the g-formula to ex-amine bias due to unobserved heterogeneity, and we demonstrate that our results appear to be robust. We conclude that the method provides a valuable tool for mediation analysis in studies of interdependent life course processes.
Watch the seminar recording
Friday, July 16th 2021
The demography of COVID-19 and older people in low and middle-income countries. (Seminars and lectures)
Virtual
Friday, July 16th 2021
14:00-16:00 BST
The Global Platform for the Rapid Generation and Transfer of Knowledge on COVID-19 and older adults in low and middle-income countries.
In partnership with The British Society of Population Studies.
Monthly webinar: The demography of COVID-19 and older people in low and middle-income countries.
Friday 16 July 2-4pm (UK time).
Demographers have a key role to play in terms of charting the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, especially with reference to different population age groups. They also have a key role in holding to account agencies responsible for publishing appropriate data to inform decision-making and policy. In LMICs, demographers confront particular challenges of limited data coverage and the need to produce meaningful analysis as quickly as possible.
This webinar will explore the state of available data and related analysis for specific low and middle-income countries that have been especially affected by the pandemic.
CPC's Professor Athina Vlachantoni is discussant.
Register here.
Wednesday, July 7th 2021
BSG Annual Conference 2021 (Conferences)
Virtual
Wednesday, July 7th 2021
CPC and Centre for Research on Ageing (CRA) members will be presenting their research at the 50th anniversary annual conference of the British Society of Gerontology (BSG) between 7-9 July 2021. The theme of this year's conference is 'Ageing past, present and future: Innovation and change', and it will be hosted virtually by Lancaster University.
The BSG is a forum for the advancement of gerontological research and knowledge across the UK, and their annual conferences attract attendees from around the world. The conferences are aimed at those new to research on ageing, PhD students, and long-established members who are interested in older people, ageing populations, or intergenerational issues. Providing a diverse and engaging network of academics, students, researchers, policymakers, and practitioners, the goal is to advance gerontological research, education, theory, and practice to ensure improved quality of life for all.
Presentations by CPC and CRA members at the conference include:
Tuesday 6 July
The differences between determinants of loneliness for caregivers and non-caregivers
Emerging Researchers in Ageing - Pre-Conference Event
Lisa Davison
Thursday 8 July
A qualitative exploration of the social network maintenance and management processes of older adults during the COVID-19 national lockdown
09:30-10:30, Session 1E
Ella Moonan-Howard
Co-designing and producing research with people with lived experience
11:00-12:00, Session 2K
Elaine Douglas, Judith Phillips, Alison Bowes
How are the lonely caregivers? The combined effect of caregiving and loneliness on wellbeing
16:30-17:30, Session 3K
Lisa Davison, Rosalind Willis, Gloria Chepngeno Langat
Older and 'staying at home' during lockdown: informal care receipt during the COVID-19 pandemic amongst people aged 70 and over in the UK
16:30-17:30, Session 3L
Maria Evandrou, Jane Falkingham, Min Qin, Athina Vlachantoni
Friday 9 July
The impact of COVID-19 fear: Evidence to inform social, health and economic recovery - a healthy ageing in scotland (HAGIS) study
09:30-10:30, Session 4L
Elaine Douglas, David Bell et al.
Social participation and health outcomes among caregivers and non caregivers in Great Britain
14:00-15:00, Session 6H
Athina Vlachantoni, Zhixin Feng, Ning Wang, Maria Evandrou
Generating startups that improve the health and wellbeing of older adults: discussing the role for the academic community
14:00-15:00, Session 6M
Ella Moonan-Howard and Rachel Carey
The full conference programme is available on the BSG conference website where you can also find details about plenary speakers and registrations. For live conference updates on Twitter, follow #BSG2021, @_BSGconference and @britgerontology.
Wednesday, July 7th 2021 - Friday, July 9th 2021
Social Policy Association Annual Conference 2021 (Conferences)
Virtual
Wednesday, July 7th 2021
Friday, July 9th 2021
This conference invites participants to reflect on local, national and international responses to global challenges such as the Covid-19 pandemic.
CPC researchers Maria Evandrou, Jane Falkingham, Min Qin and Athina Vlachantoni will be presenting their work 'Changing living arrangements, family dynamics and stress during lockdown: evidence from four birth cohorts in the UK'
For more information please see the conference website.
Wednesday, July 7th 2021 - Friday, July 9th 2021
18th annual IMISCOE Conference July 7-9 Luxembourg 2021 (Conferences)
Virtual
Wednesday, July 7th 2021
Friday, July 9th 2021
CPC members will be presenting the following papers at 18th annual IMISCOE Conference July 7-9 Luxembourg 2021
Title: Migration decision-making and its four key dimensions
Authors: Mathias Czaika (Department for Migration and Globalisation, Danube University Krems, Austria) Jakub Bijak (University of Southampton, UK) Toby Prike (University of Southampton, UK)
Abstract: Migration decisions are taken in the context of personal needs and desires on the one hand, and uncertainty regarding outcomes of alternative options on the other. Information about the future and its opportunities is incomplete, and whether migration turns out as a personal success or failure depends mostly on circumstances that are ex ante unknown and ex post not fully under the control of the migration decision-maker. This article elaborates on four dimensions we consider critical in approaching the complex process of migration decision-making: first, the formation of migration aspirations, second, the cognitive rules for searching and evaluating information about migratory options, third, the timing and planning horizons for preparing and realising migratory decisions, and fourth, the locus of control and degree of agency in taking migration decisions. Based on a review of the current state of evidence, we identify avenues for future empirical research addressing knowledge gaps along these four dimensions of migration decision-making.
Title: A "Brexodus"? European migrants in the United Kingdom in the light of Facebook advertising data
Authors: Francesco Rampazzo (University of Oxford) Jakub Bijak (University of Southampton) Agnese Vitali (University of Trento) Ingmar Weber (Qatar Computing Research Institute)
Abstract: In June 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union. Since 2016 the UK Office for National Statistics has been reporting a positive but declining net migration of EU nationals. Given the uncertainty surrounding Brexit, this paper attempts to ascertain if a "Brexodus" is really happening by using weekly estimates of European migrants in the UK obtained from the Facebook Advertising Platform. The anonymised count data are disaggregated by age, education, and country of nationality; the period of analysis is from March 2019 to March 2020. We use a simple Bayesian trend model with indicator variables for age, education, and country, to analyse the changes in the numbers of migrants. The Facebook data suggest a decreasing number of EU migrants in the United Kingdom. The results show that the largest migrant age groups, 20-29 and 30-39 years old, are decreasing the fastest over time in comparison to 15-19 years old. In addition, the largest educated group, Tertiary educated, is decreasing faster than Secondary educated Facebook migrant users. The Facebook data are not representative of the entire EU migrant population, however they can be used to infer trends of change in a timely manner.
Title: Evidence for Equality: experiences of racism and discrimination among ethnic and religious minorities in Britain during the coronavirus pandemic
Authors: Nissa Finney (Centre on Dynamics of Ethnicity and University of St Andrews) James Nazroo Natalie Shlomo Dharmi Kapadia Dan Ellingworth Harry Taylor Neema Begun (University of Manchester) Laia Becares ((University of Sussex)
Abstract: Stark evidence now exists that ethnic minorities have been disproportionately affected by the Coronavirus pandemic, with higher rates of death among Black and Asian people in Britain. Commentators have pointed to structural inequalities as underlying causes, including deprivation, occupational segregation and racism (e.g. Nazroo and Becares, 2020). However, a severe lack of data has hindered investigation of the experiences and causes of ethnic inequalities during the pandemic. This presentation will report on the new Evidence for Equality National Survey (EVENS) which will provide unrivalled data for 16,000 ethnic and religious minorities across Britain. Data collection will run from February to April 2021 in a project lead by the ESRC Centre on Dynamics of Ethnicity (CoDE). The presentation will give methodological reflection on the innovative non-probability survey design; and early results of survey analysis. Patterns of discrimination in institutional contexts including education, employment, policing and public spaces will be presented, enabling conclusions to be drawn about whether experiences of discrimination and unfair treatment have increased from the beginning of the pandemic and in relation to the Black Lives Matter movements and lockdown restrictions.
Tuesday, July 6th 2021
Emerging Researchers in Ageing (ERA): Pre-Conference event (Conferences)
Virtual
Tuesday, July 6th 2021
At this pre-conference event CPC associate Lisa Davidson will be discussing the differences between determinants of loneliness for caregivers and non-caregivers.
Find out more on the British Society of Gerontology website
Tuesday, July 6th 2021
The 4th Peking University Summer Camp on Population Aging (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Athina Vlachantoni
Virtual
Tuesday, July 6th 2021
8:30-10:00am
Professor Athina Vlachantoni will present, "Attitudes and Preferences towards future old age support amongst tomorrow's elders in China" at The 4th Peking University Summer Camp on Population Aging Conference.
The 4th Summer Camp of "Beijing, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan" is divided into four main sections: lectures by renowned overseas professors, lectures by experts from both sides of the Taiwan Strait and four places, doctoral forum on health for the aged, and online display of products for the aged. Invited top experts in the field of population aging will teach students cutting-edge knowledge and answer questions. Exchanges will be promoted by collecting the research results of outstanding young scholars and jointly exploring solutions to the problem of population aging; experts related to aging products will also be invited to display cutting-edge products and latest technologies in the fields of assistive devices and well-being technology, intelligent elderly care, and products and applications suitable for aging, so as to further broaden the career of young scholars.
Thursday, June 24th 2021
CPC Webinar - Ongoing research on COVID-19 mortality and excess mortality in Sweden (Seminars and lectures)
Sven Drefahl, Stockholm University
Zoom
Thursday, June 24th 2021
13:00-14:00 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 24 June 2021, 13:00 -14:00 BST. Sven Drefahl, from Stockholm University, will present: "Ongoing research on COVID-19 mortality and excess mortality in Sweden".
Title: Ongoing research on COVID-19 mortality and excess mortality in Sweden
Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden reduced life expectancy to levels previously observed during 2018 for women and 2017 for men. This presentation will give an overview of ongoing research on COVID-19 mortality and excess mortality in Sweden between March 1st 2020 and February 28, 2021. The focus will be on excess mortality and mortality due to COVID-19 deaths as well as how inequalities in mortality and excess mortality have evolved throughout the pandemic in Sweden.
This seminar was not recorded.
Friday, June 18th 2021
CPC Webinar - Does retirement affect voluntary work provision? Evidence from England, Ireland, and the U.S. (Seminars and lectures)
Peter Eibich, MPIDR
Virtual
Friday, June 18th 2021
12:00-13:00 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Friday 18 June at 12:00 BST. Peter Eibich, MPIDR, will be giving a talk entitled "Does retirement affect voluntary work provision? Evidence from England, Ireland, and the U.S."
Title: Does retirement affect voluntary work provision? Evidence from England, Ireland, and the U.S.
Abstract: Voluntary work is an important contribution for many non-profit organizations, such as charities, political and religious organizations. Older individuals make up a sizable share of the volunteer workforce, and volunteering is often regarded as an example of active ageing. In this study, we examine whether retirement has a causal effect on the frequency of voluntary work provision in three English-speaking countries England, Ireland and the U.S. We draw on data from the ELSA, TILDA and HRS studies and analyse these datasets using a harmonized empirical approach. We use eligibility ages for old age pensions in an instrumental variables estimation to address potential confounding. We find that retirement increases the frequency of voluntary work provision in all three countries, especially among men. This suggests that labour market policies aimed at increasing labour force participation at older ages might have unintended consequences for the size of the volunteer workforce.
Watch the seminar recording
Thursday, June 17th 2021
Estimating International Migration Flows: Past, Present & Future (Seminars and lectures)
15:30 (BST)
Thursday, June 17th 2021
13:00 (BST)
This event is organised by Population Europe, the network of Europe's leading demographic research centres.
CPC's Professor Jakub Bijak will give a presentation entitled: How to improve migration estimates and projections? From Mimosa to IMEM and QuantMig.
To find out more please see the event webpage.
Monday, June 14th 2021 - Friday, June 25th 2021
SICSS-Oxford 2021 (Conferences)
Virtual
Monday, June 14th 2021
Friday, June 25th 2021
The 2021 Oxford partner site of the Summer Institutes in Computational Social Science (SICSS) is now accepting applications.
The purpose of SICSS is to bring together graduate students, postdoctoral researchers, and early career researchers interested in computational social science for two weeks of intensive study and collaborative research that challenges disciplinary boundaries. The Summer Institutes are for both social scientists with an interest in computational research (broadly conceived) and data scientists (broadly conceived) with an interest in the social sciences.
SICSS-Oxford will be held online from June 14-25, 2021 and will be organised by Chris Barrie (University of Edinburgh), Charles Rahal, Francesco Rampazzo and Tobias Rüttenauer. It is generously supported by Nuffield College (in conjunction with the Department of Sociology and the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science).
The Summer Institutes will involve live and pre-recorded videos, group problem sets, and participant-led research projects. There will also be research talks from speakers who conduct computational social science research in a variety of settings, such as academia, industry, and government. Topics covered include text as data, website scraping, digital field experiments, non-probability sampling, mass collaboration, reproducible data carpentry and ethics. There will be ample opportunities for participants to discuss their ideas and research with the organisers and other participants and undertake group work. As we are committed to open and reproducible research, all materials created by faculty and students for SICSS are available via an open-source resource so that people who are unable to attend one of the institutes are able to learn online. Application are due by 11:59pm GMT on March 15th, 2021.
More information about SICSS-Oxford and the application procedure can be found on the SICSS-Oxford website: https://sicss.io/2021/oxford/.
Friday, June 11th 2021
Beyond COVID-19: Population Challenges Ahead (Public engagement events)
Zoom
Friday, June 11th 2021
13:00-14:30 (CET)
This event is organised by Population Europe, the network of Europe's leading demographic research centres.
Professor Jane Falkingham will be participating in this panel discussion event on "Beyond Covid-19: Population Challenges Ahead" with State Secretary Dr Rolf Schmachtenberg and Professor Dr Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak.
For more information see:
https://population-europe.eu/events/beyond-covid-19-population-challenges-ahead-0
Thursday, May 27th 2021
CPC Webinar - Immigrant health trajectories over time and across generations: the role of family background, material conditions, and adversities over the life course (Seminars and lectures)
Silvia Loi, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
Zoom
Thursday, May 27th 2021
13:30-14:30 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 27 May at 13:30 BST. Silvia Loi, MPIDR, will be giving a talk: Immigrant health trajectories over time and across generations: the role of family background, material conditions, and adversities over the life course.
Title: Immigrant health trajectories over time and across generations: the role of family background, material conditions, and adversities over the life course
Abstract: As immigration flows are increasing in Europe, monitoring health conditions of immigrants becomes of growing importance. Compared to natives, immigrants benefit from a health advantage that vanishes as they age, and across generations. During this seminar we will discuss the immigrant-native health gap and explore some of its main determinants. We will give evidence of: the vanishing health advantage of immigrants over time; the health gap across generations of immigrant children, with a focus on the role of immigrant generation, exogamous family setting, and family material and social resources; the vanishing immigrant health advantage over age, and how intersections of migration status, and adverse life events affect the individual health trajectory.
This seminar was not recorded.
Friday, May 21st 2021
Workshop: Dealing with frustration and conflict in Academia (Workshops)
Stuart Gietel-Basten, Jane Falkingham, Rishita Nandagiri, Wiraporn Pothisiri, Tomáš Sobotka & Georgia Verropoulou
Online
Friday, May 21st 2021
10:00-11:30 CET
Chaired by Stuart Gietel-Basten
Panel: Jane Falkingham, Rishita Nandagiri, Wiraporn Pothisiri, Tomáš Sobotka & Georgia Verropoulou
Have you ever found yourself swearing at your computer screen after receiving a terrible or disrespectful peer review, wondering how can you possibly respond to this? What about screaming internally after receiving a rude comment about your work at a conference or on twitter, and contemplating how far you should go to defend yourself? Or what do you do when you see yet another paper published with the same problematic assumptions going unchallenged?
This workshop focuses on these moments of frustration and conflict in academia, and the advantages and disadvantages of different ways of handling these situations. The workshop will begin with a panel discussion where panellists of different viewpoints, experiences and levels of seniority will discuss how they might approach different hypothetical scenarios involving rudeness or conflict.
Following the panel, participants will then be divided into break out rooms to discuss the pros and cons of the different approaches highlighted by the panel, and share their own thoughts on how they might approach the different situations. The scenarios will be sent to participants in advance of the workshop.
Due to the limited number of participants in this workshop, please register early.
Thursday, May 20th 2021
Panel Discussion: How to get published (Seminars and lectures)
Trude Lappegård, Jakub Bijak, Juho Härkönen
Online
Thursday, May 20th 2021
11:30 - 12:30 (CET time)
How does the publication process work? What makes a paper stand out to editors? These kind of questions will get answered during the panel discussion on how to get published. Three editors from the European Journal of Population, Demographic Research and Advances in Life Course Research will introduce their journals, share their experiences and discuss do's and don'ts.
You are invited to include any questions you have to the panel members in the registration form. Or you can ask them during the Q&A at the end of session.
Panel members:
Trude Lappegård - University of Oslo; Editor-in-Chief of the European Journal of Population
Jakub Bijak - Department of Social Statistics and Demography, University of Southampton; Editor of Demographic Research
Juho Härkönen - European University Institute and Stockholm University; Editor of Advances in Life Course Research
Register on the EAPS website here.
Tuesday, May 11th 2021
How can we project migration? Global challenges at the turn of 2020 (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Tuesday, May 11th 2021
16:00 GMT (10:00 GMT-5)
In this online seminar, scholars will discuss the challenges for projecting future global international migration in the face of COVID-19, demographic changes, and data limitations. This is the third public event from the project “La intersección de la política exterior con la política migratoria en el México de hoy”
With Guy Abel, Jakub Bijak, Helena Crus Castanheira, Victor M. Garcia Guerrero, Frank Lackzko, Adrian Raftery and Claudia Masferrer.
Find out more and register online here.
Wednesday, May 5th 2021 - Saturday, May 8th 2021
PAA 2021 Annual Meeting (Conferences)
Virtual
Wednesday, May 5th 2021
Saturday, May 8th 2021
The Population Association of America's annual meeting is the premier conference of demographers and social and health scientists from the United States and abroad.
CPC members will be attended and presenting at PAA 2021:
5 May 10:45-12:00
Session 32 - New Trends in International Migration
A "Brexodus"? European Migrants in the United Kingdom in the Light of the Facebook Advertising Data
Francesco Rampazzo*, University of Oxford; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Agnese Vitali, University of Trento; Ingmar Weber, Qatar
Computing Research Institute, Emilio Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
5 May 9:30-11:00
Poster Session 3 - Children, Youth, and Intergenerational Ties; and Education, work, and Economic Inequality
For better or for worse? Economic strain, work-family balance, and Relationship Quality During the COVID-19 pandemic
Brienna Perelli-Harris*, University of Southampton; Shih-Yi Chao, University of Southampton; Ann Berrington, University of Southampton
5 May 1:00 - 2:15
Session 130 Family Structure and Child Well-being
Sleep Hours and Quality Before and After Baby: Inequalities by Gender and Partnership
Shih-Yi Chao*, University of Southampton; Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton; Ann Berrington, University of Southampton; Niels Blom
5 May 3:15-4:45
Poster Session 5 - Family Demography; and Historical Demography
The Role of Religion and Forerunners During the Fertility Decline in England and Wales, 1851-1911
Stephanie Thiehoff*; Andrew Hinde, University of Southampton; Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton; Agnese Vitali, University of Trento
7 May 9:15-10:30
Session 185 - Cohabitation and Nonmarital Relationships
Relationship Quality and Family Formation in Europe: How Country Context Shapes (Un)happy Couples' Transitions to Marriage and First Birth
Niels Blom*; Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton; Kenneth Wiik, Statistics Norway, research department
7 May 9:15-10:30
Session 185 - Cohabitation and Nonmarital Relationships
Do Couples Face an Economic Bar to Marriage? Understanding the Contribution of Men's and Women's Economic Precariousness on First Cohabitation Outcomes in the United Kingdom, 1991-2018
Lydia Palumbo*, Max Planck Institute
7 May 1:30-3:00
Poster Session 7 - Gender and Sexuality; and Health and Health Behaviour
Is Healthy Immigrant a Wealthy Immigrant? Migrant Women's Reproductive Health in Finland, 2007-2017
Heini Vaisanen*, University of Southampton; Hanna Remes, University of Helsinki; Pekka Martikainen, University of Helsinki
8 May 9:15-10:30
Session 250 - International Comparisons and the COVID-19 Pandemic
Behaviors and Attitudes in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic: Insights From a Cross-National Facebook Survey
Daniela Perrotta*; Andre Grow, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Francesco Rampazzo, Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton; Jorge Cimentada, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Emanuele Del Fava, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Sofia Gil-Clavel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Emilio Zagheni,Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
8 May 9:15-10:30
Session 256 - Outcomes of Pregnancy Intentions
The Effect of Birth Intention Status on Maternal and Child Outcomes in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Fixed-Effects Analysis
Heini Vaisanen*, University of Southampton; Ewa Batyra, University of Pennsylvania
All times are U.S. Central Time (GMT -6)
Find more information on the conference website.
Thursday, April 29th 2021
CPC Webinar - Age, gender and socio-economic differentials in co-morbidity at time of death in England & Wales (Seminars and lectures)
Emily Grundy, University of Essex
Zoom
Thursday, April 29th 2021
13:00-14:00 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 29 April at 13:00. Emily Grundy, Professor of Population Science, University of Essex, will be giving a talk entitled "Age, gender and socio-economic differentials in co-morbidity at time of death in England & Wales".
The seminar was not recorded.
Monday, April 26th 2021 - Wednesday, April 28th 2021
Scottish Economic Society Annual Conference 2021 (Conferences)
Virtual
Monday, April 26th 2021
Wednesday, April 28th 2021
Session “Economics ‘Applied’: Celebrating Professor David Bell’s Impact and Contribution to Economic Policy” takes place at 16:00 on 26th April with David Bell, David Branchflower, Nicola McEwen, Arie Kapteyn and chaired by Mirko Moro. Registration to the conference is open to members: https://ses2021.org/
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Professor David Bell retired last September after a career serving the Scottish and UK economic policy scene. David's work span areas such as labour, health economics and political economy and he is an example on how our work can have a positive impact on society and national discourse. David is well known for his commitment to policy and he has served on many committees. Recently he has engaged with projects, debates and initiatives linked to constitutional changes in the UK and the impact of an ageing society. He has been working hard to set up HAGIS, a longitudinal study of ageing in Scotland that builds on well established initiatives such as HRS, ELSA, but goes beyond by linking survey data to administrative data at the onset.
Saturday, April 17th 2021
Local Population Studies Society (Conferences)
University of Southampton & Virtual
Saturday, April 17th 2021
CPC researchers Stephanie Thiehoff and Andrew Hinde are the conference organisers for the "Local Population Studies Society Conference 2021". The conference will be held on 17 April 2021, organised in conjunction with the University of Southampton. At present, this conference will be in a virtual format, though we hope to offer a face-to-face option at the Centre for Nineteenth-Century Research at the University of Southampton should the disease environment allow this.
The conference is intended to showcase the work being done on local population history by postgraduate and postdoctoral researchers in universities in the United Kingdom and elsewhere in Europe. 'Local population studies' is broadly defined, and includes the following topics, and the interrelationship between them:
- Fertility and mortality patterns
- Migration
- Health
- Household and family structure
- Labour force participation
- Economic, social and cultural characteristics
Papers are invited from researchers in both social sciences and the humanities using both quantitative and qualitative methods.
Please submit offers of papers to the Conference organisers: Stephanie Thiehoff (S.Thiehoff@soton.ac.uk) and Andrew Hinde (PRAHinde@aol.com). Offers should include the following: title, name(s) of author(s) and an abstract of 150-200 words.
Associated Downloads
Friday, April 16th 2021
CPC Webinar - A Bayesian cohort component projection model to estimate adult populations at the subnational level (Seminars and lectures)
Monica Alexander, Statistics and Sociology, University of Toronto
Zoom
Friday, April 16th 2021
14:00-15:00 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Friday 16 April at 14:00. Monica Alexander, Statistics and Sociology, University of Toronto will be giving a talk entitled "A Bayesian cohort component projection model to estimate adult populations at the subnational level."
Title: A Bayesian cohort component projection model to estimate adult populations at the subnational level
Abstract: Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy formulation and monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates of the number of women of reproductive age are important to understand the population at risk to maternal mortality and unmet need for contraception. However, in many countries, data on population counts are limited and are of poor quality, and so levels and trends subnationally are unclear. We present a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate adult populations at the subnational level. The model builds on a cohort component projection framework, incorporates census data and estimates from the United Nation's World Population Prospects, and uses characteristic mortality schedules to obtain estimates of population counts and the components of population change. The data required as inputs to the model are minimal and available across a wide range of countries, including most low-income countries. The model is applied to estimate and project populations by county in Kenya for 1979-2020.
Watch the seminar recording
Tuesday, April 13th 2021 - Thursday, April 15th 2021
BSA 70th Anniversary Virtual Conference: Remaking the Future (Conferences)
Virtual
Tuesday, April 13th 2021
Thursday, April 15th 2021
The theme of the BSA 70th Anniversary Conference, 13-15 April 2021 is Remaking the Future. Little did we know how relevant the choice of words would turn out to be. The BSA is having to remake its own future in the context of the pandemic and one major consequence is that our 2021 Annual Conference will now be a virtual event but this will not be just another Zoom-style meeting!
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Giuseppe Troccoli will be attending and presenting on work with
Derek Mcghee, Chris Moreh, Athina Vlachantoni, Time and experience in the transnational healthcare practices of Poles in the United Kingdom.
More info: https://britsoc.co.uk/events/key-bsa-events/bsa-annual-conference-2021-remaking-the-future/
Thursday, April 1st 2021
Seminar Series of the Population and Society Unity: "The intersection of partnership and fertility histories of immigrants and their descendants in the United Kingdom: A multistate approach" (Seminars and lectures)
Julia Mikolai
Virtual
Thursday, April 1st 2021
Julia Mikolai will give an invited talk on 1 April titled "The intersection of partnership and fertility histories of immigrants and their descendants in the United Kingdom: A multistate approach" at the Seminar Series of the Population and Society Unity (UPS) of the Department of Statistics, Computer Science, Applications of the University of Florence.
Monday, March 29th 2021
Writing for publication: A masterclass with Professor Athina Vlachantoni (Workshops)
Professor Athina Vlachantoni
Virtual
Monday, March 29th 2021
12:00-13:00 BST
Event by British Society of Gerontology's Emerging Researchers in Ageing
Register for this free event on on Eventbrite.
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Join Professor Athina Vlachantoni, Deputy Editor of Ageing & Society, for a masterclass on how to publish your ageing-related research.
Writing for publication is an essential skill for academics. Besides allowing you to share your research within the wider academic community, being published in academic journals helps establish you as an expert in the field.
Athina Vlachantoni is Professor of Gerontology and Social Policy at the University of Southampton. She is a member of the British Society of Gerontology, and Deputy Editor of Ageing & Society. In this presentation, she will discuss how to prepare your research for publication, as well as:
How to target the appropriate journal for your research.
How the journal review process works.
How to respond to revision and resubmission suggestions.
Take the first step towards publishing your work. Join us for an interesting and informative masterclass.
Thursday, March 25th 2021
CPC Webinar - Lifecourse of Place: how environments throughout life can support healthy ageing (Seminars and lectures)
Jamie Pearce, University of Edinburgh
Zoom
Thursday, March 25th 2021
13:00-14:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 25 March at 13:00 GMT. Jamie Pearce, University of Edinburgh will be giving a talk entitled "Lifecourse of Place: how environments throughout life can support healthy ageing"
Title: Lifecourse of Place: how environments throughout life can support healthy ageing
Abstract: Providing new insights into the how the places we live and grow older can be best designed to support healthy ageing has emerged as an important research and policy priority. Previous work has identified barriers to health and effective functioning for older people, and considered how environments experienced in older age might support people to age well. However, we know little about the aspects of environments experienced throughout life that might support the maintenance of healthy functioning in later life. This study examines how place-based circumstances from childhood through onwards can enhance healthy ageing. More particularly it draws on the "life course of place" to help examine how places evolve over time and what matter at different points in the lifecourse in predicting later life health outcomes. The seminar will describe the development of a dataset that captured the lifetime environmental circumstances (including green space, air pollution and area-level deprivation) of a cohort of older people (participants of the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936) alongside detailed individual-level information, including high quality indicators of healthy ageing. Early results from the study consider the impact of full lifetime exposures to these geographical indicators on indicators of healthy ageing collected through brain imaging, cognitive testing and biomarkers of biological ageing (telomere length and epigenetic clock). In particular, We will examine whether there are (a) critical periods (childhood, early adulthood, adulthood and later adulthood) in which area-level characteristics are particularly important in explaining the later life outcomes, and/or (b) whether the environmental factors accumulate over the lifecourse to affect healthy ageing.
Watch the seminar recording
Monday, March 22nd 2021 - Friday, March 26th 2021
Understanding Society: Changing Families Mini Conference (Conferences)
Online
Monday, March 22nd 2021
Friday, March 26th 2021
A week-long, mini-conference exploring families in the UK. Curated by CPC member and Understanding Society Topic Champion for Families, Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris, the week will focus on research on families and partnerships.
Sessions take place daily every afternoon from Monday 22 March 2021.
Monday 22 March - Non-Resident Families
3.00 - 3.15: Conference welcome, Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris (University of Southampton)
3.15 - 3.30: Were relationships between children and their non-resident parents affected during the early stages of the Covid-19 pandemic? Caroline Bryson (LSE)
3.30 - 3.45: The mental load in separated families. Dr Renee Luthra (University of Essex)
3.45 - 4.00: The social class position of complex modern families in Understanding Society. Dr Chris Playford (University of Exeter)
4.00 - 4.15: Break
4.15 - 4.30: Poverty, family relationships and children's subjective wellbeing. Larissa Pople (University of Essex)
4.30 - 4.45: Discussant, Dr Tina Haux
4.45 - 5.15: Questions for presenters and discussion
Tuesday 23 March - Same-Sex Families
3.00 - 3.50: Keynote speaker Dr Diederik Boertien (Centre d'Estidos Demogràfics, Barcelona).
4.00 - 4.15: The long-term effect of family support on sleep problems for sexual minorities: evidence from a UK longitudinal study. Andrew Nielson (Brock University)
4.15 - 4.30: Early labour market outcomes of children in same-sex families: evidence from population data. Silvia Palmaccio (KU Leuven)
4.30 - 4.45: Discussant
4.45 - 5.15: Questions for presenters and discussion.
Wednesday 24 March - Housework and Gender
3.00 - 3.50: Keynote speaker Associate Professor Man Yee Kan (University of Oxford)
Gender division of labour: Paid work, domestic work, and total work in East Asian and Western Societies, 1980s - 2010s, and the declining significance of marriage and parental status in Great Britain, 1992 - 2017.
3.50 - 4.00: Break
4.00 - 4.15: Work less, help out more? The persistence of gender inequality in housework and childcare during UK Covid-19. Anna Zamberlan (University of Trento)
4.15 - 4.30: Unpaid care work and psychological distress during the first UK lockdown: evidence from Understanding Society. Professor Anne McMunn (UCL)
4.30 - 4.45: Wage growth predicted by couple division of paid and unpaid work across the UK wage distribution. Dr Niels Blom (University of Bath)
4.45 - 5.15: Questions for presenters and discussion
Thursday 25 March - Providing Care
2:15 - 3.00 Understanding Society family developments consultation. Professor Michaela Benzeval (Director, Understanding Society)
3.00 - 3.15: Should I care or should I work? The impact of working longer on informal care. Dr Ludovico Carrino (King's College London)
3.15 - 3.30: Tracking the mental health of home-carers during the first lockdown: evidence from a nationally representative UK survey. Kelly Reeve (University of Essex)
3.30 - 3.45: Spousal care and marital quality in later life: a longitudinal analysis. Dr Ursula Henz (LSE)
3.45 - 4.00: Discussant
4.00 - 4.30: Questions for presenters and discussion.
Friday 26 March - Insecure Work and Family Relationships
3.00 - 3.15: Furlough and relationship quality. Dr Shih-Yi Chao (University of Southampton)
3.15 - 3.30: Families of austerity: welfare cuts and family stress in Great Britain. Dr Gabriele Mari (Erasmus University of Rotterdam)
3.30 - 3.45: Does family life modify the effect of job security on mental health: a longitudinal analysis. Sukhdeep Kaur (Brock University)
3.45 - 4.00: Break
4.00 - 4.15: Parental socioeconomic status and young Briton's family expectations: are family structure and educational aspirations mediators of this relationship? Lydia Palumbo (University of Southampton)
4.15 - 4.30: Job instability and perceptions of employment uncertainty's effect on fertility outcomes. Brian Buh (Vienna Institute of Demography/ Austrian Academy of Sciences)
4.30 - 4.45: The future of families after Covid-19? Professor Brienna Perelli-Harris (University of Southampton)
4.45 - 5.30: Discussion
Register on the Understanding Society conference website.
Monday, March 22nd 2021 - Wednesday, March 24th 2021
Berlin Demography Days (Workshops)
Prof. Jane Falkingham
Virtual
Monday, March 22nd 2021
Wednesday, March 24th 2021
CPC Director Jane Falkingham will be presenting at Berlin Demography Days, a three-day event that offers a platform for intense dialogue among scientific experts, policy makers, business leaders and representatives of international organisations and civil society.
Tuesday, 23 March 2021
On the second day, internationally renowned researchers will discuss the connection between demography, democracy and the welfare state in Europe. The lectures will deal with, among others, the question of equal access to the welfare state, aspects of generational justice, issues of social inequality and the effects of demographic changes on the composition of the electorate.
9:00 to 9:30: Opening Session (Dr Andreas Edel, Drs Nico van Nimwegen & Alanna Armitage)
9:30 to 10:00: Demography & Democracy: A Research Agenda (Prof. Dr Heike Klüver)
10:00 to 10:30: Demography & Brexit (Prof. Jane C. Falkingham OBE)
11:00 to 11:30: Migration and Access to Welfare in the EU: The Interplay Between Residence and Nationality (Dr Daniela Vintila)
11:30 to 12:00: No One Left Behind? Equality Goals of Welfare States & the Current State of Affairs in Finland (Prof. Dr Jani Erola)
13:00 to 13:30: Europe as a Continent of Pro-Elderly Welfare States within Child-Oriented Societies (Prof. Pieter Vanhuyss)
13:30 to 14:00: Why Bad Jobs are Bad for Democracy: Precarious Work & Political Participation in Europe (Prof. Ian Ross Macmillan)
Find the full programme and registration details at the Population Europe website.
Associated Downloads
Friday, March 19th 2021
CPC Webinar - Paleodemography of Black Sea Scythians: An exploration by using Bayesian methods (Seminars and lectures)
Sylwia Łukasik, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań & Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton
Zoom
Friday, March 19th 2021
12:00-13:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Friday 19 March at 12:00 GMT. Sylwia Łukasik, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań and Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton, will be giving a talk entitled "Paleodemography of Black Sea Scythians: An exploration by using Bayesian methods".
Title: Paleodemography of Black Sea Scythians: An exploration by using Bayesian methods
Video
Read the full paper by Sylwia Łukasik, Jakub Bijak, Marta Krenz‐Niedbała, Vitaly Sinika: https://doi.org/10.1002/ajpa.24211
Abstract: In this talk we present an application of Bayesian methods for assessing age at death in ancient societies, by using an example of a Black Sea Scythians population from 5th to 2nd century BCE, whose remains were excavated in Glinoe, Moldova. We offer brief background information about Scythians, before reviewing methods for assessing age at death based on the skeletal material, with focus on Bayesian methods used in that area of contemporary paleodemography. We illustrate the discussion with the results of the analysis for the Glinoe Scythian population, based on the multinomial-Dirichlet model proposed by Caussinus and Courgeau (2010) but with a range of prior reference populations, including a hypothetical, subjective one. The results indicate high uncertainty of age estimation, and high sensitivity to the assumptions and modelling choices, but still enable identifying some important features of the age at death distribution, such as elevated mortality risk in young adulthood, characteristic for this population of ancient warriors.
Friday, March 5th 2021 - Sunday, March 14th 2021
CPC at SOTSEF 2021 (Public engagement events)
Virtual
Friday, March 5th 2021
Sunday, March 14th 2021
Southampton Science and Engineering Festival (SOTSEF) is the University of Southampton's annual award-winning science festival that allows everyone to explore and discover what the world of STEAM (Science, Technology, Engineering, Arts, Maths and Medicine) has to offer.
The ESRC Centre for Population Change will be showcasing the following activities at the festival:
CPC Population Pyramids: Minecraft edition
We invite you to explore our Minecraft world to learn about Population Pyramids! Log onto our Minecraft Java server to explore the world we have created.
Population Pyramids are graphs used to illustrate the population structure of a particular place at a particular time. Players are able to explore different types of population pyramid, learning how to read what the pyramid says about the population now and what may have happened to the population in the past.
CPC Q&A: What is computer modelling and why do we use it?
What is modelling and why is it helpful? Computer models are used to simulate, predict estimate things that have or may happen. You may have learnt about them at school or heard of them on the news for example, models can tell us how effective wearing fabric masks can be during the Covid-19 pandemic.
In this series of videos CPC modelling experts explain how models simulate the behaviour of people in different environments and how understanding this can help inform society.
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Study Population Geography at University of Southampton
If you have enjoyed learning about human populations change and the causes and consequences of these changes, then a BSc in Population Geography might be for you!
Covering topics on migration, population growth, global health, inequality, and globalisation, these skills will allow you to pursue careers such as population analyst, regional planner or social researcher.
Visit the University of Southampton Population Geography course page for more details.
Thursday, February 25th 2021
CPC Webinar - A new look at the geography of housing careers in Great Britain (Seminars and lectures)
Rory Coulter, UCL, Department of Geography
Zoom
Thursday, February 25th 2021
13:00-14:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 25 February at 13:00 GMT. Rory Coulter, UCL, Department of Geography will be giving a talk entitled 'A new look at the geography of housing careers in Great Britain'.
Title: A new look at the geography of housing careers in Great Britain
Abstract: Housing inequality has been a major focus of UK public policy debates during the last decade. Much of the attention has centred on intergenerational disparities and in particular the tendency for recent cohorts of young adults to delay entry into homeownership. However, surprisingly little is known about the geography of housing careers and the ways these may have changed over time.
This presentation introduces ongoing project research examining spatial variation in housing careers across Great Britain. The talk has two dimensions. First, preliminary results from cross-sectional and longitudinal survey analysis will be presented. Second, the talk will report on the process of assembling, validating and analysing a new resource for geographical analysis of migration and housing careers. This is being created by repurposing a range of non-traditional data resources including (a) Electoral and Consumer Register data, (b) commercial data on private lettings from Zoopla and (c) administrative property transactions records compiled by the Land Registry/Registers of Scotland.
Watch the seminar recording
Tuesday, February 23rd 2021
Exploratory Meeting (Workshops)
Virtual
Tuesday, February 23rd 2021
13:00-14:00 GMT / 14:00-15:00 CET
On Tuesday, 23 February 2021, Population Europe will host a meeting between the Vice President of the European Commission for Democracy and Demography Dubravka Šuica, and leading demographers at the EU.
The purpose of this first of what is planned to be a regular series of meetings of the European Commission’s Vice-President for Democracy and Demography with European demography experts is: a) to fuel the European Commission’s reflection on initiatives in the field of demography on the basis of substantiated expertise and evidence; b) to identify, with the experts’ help, the most burning areas where initiatives on a European level would be necessary and of added value c) to feed ideas and themes into the Commission’s newly established internal demography networks which are conceived to support the work of the Vice-President.
Participants include:
- Gunnar Andersson
- Francesco Billari
- Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak
- Ivan Čipin
- Helga de Valk
- Jane C. Falkingham
- Juho Härkönen
- Wolfgang Lutz
- Melinda Mills
- Rainer Münz
- Zsolt Spéder
- Dubravka Šuica
- Magda Tomasini
- Emilio Zagheni
Friday, February 12th 2021
CPC Webinar - Carrying out rapid qualitative research during a pandemic: Emerging lessons from COVID-19 (Seminars and lectures)
Cecilia Vindrola, University College London
Zoom
Friday, February 12th 2021
14:00-15:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Friday 12 February at 14:00 GMT. Cecilia Vindrola, University College London will be giving a talk title entitled "Carrying out rapid qualitative research during a pandemic: Emerging lessons from COVID-19".
Title: Carrying out rapid qualitative research during a pandemic: Emerging lessons from COVID-19
Abstract:Social scientists have a robust history of contributing to better understandings of and responses to disease outbreaks. The implementation of qualitative research in the context of infectious epidemics, however, continues to lag behind in the delivery, credibility and timeliness of findings when compared to other research designs. The purpose of this seminar is to reflect on our experience of carrying out a study aimed at exploring healthcare delivery in the UK in the context of COVID-19. I will discuss the importance of qualitative data to inform evidence-based public health responses and provide a way forward to research teams who wish to implement similar rapid qualitative studies. I will reflect on the challenges of setting up research teams, obtaining ethical approval, collecting and analysing data in real-time and sharing actionable findings.
Bio
Cecilia Vindrola-Padros is a medical anthropologist interested in applied health research and the development of rapid approaches to research. She works across five interdisciplinary teams, applying anthropological theories and methods to study and improve healthcare delivery in the UK and abroad. She has written extensively on the use of rapid qualitative research and currently Co-Directs the Rapid Research Evaluation and Appraisal Lab (RREAL) with Dr Ginger Johnson. Cecilia works as a Senior Research Fellow in the Department of Targeted Intervention, UCL and as a Social Scientist at the NIAA Health Services Research Centre (HSRC), Royal College of Anaesthetists (RCoA). She is the past director of the Qualitative Health Research Network (QHRN) and a Fellow of the Society for Applied Anthropology (SfAA).
Watch the seminar recording
Thursday, February 4th 2021
CPC Webinar - Studying health and migration using social media: tools for survey participant recruitment complement digital trace data (Seminars and lectures)
Emilio Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research/University of Washington
Zoom
Thursday, February 4th 2021
12:00-13:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 04 February at 12:00 GMT. Emilio Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and University of Washington, will be giving a talk entitled "Studying health and migration using social media: tools for survey participant recruitment complement digital trace data".
Title: Studying health and migration using social media: tools for survey participant recruitment complement digital trace data
Abstract: Passively-collected information about social media users as well as posts and related content have been increasingly used for demographic research related to health and migration. These digital traces, often made available via advertisement platforms, offer new insights into socio-demographic processes, but also have a number of imperfections and limitations. The same advertisement platforms can be used as a tool to rapidly recruit survey participants across countries and to reach hard-to-reach populations. This talk discusses recent work done at MPIDR to complement the two approaches. It concentrates on two main components: (i) assessing cultural assimilation of Mexican immigrants in the US via Facebook data, as well as via a Facebook migration survey that is about to be fielded; (ii) the Covid-19 Health Behavior Survey: an online opt-in survey based on targeted Facebook advertising campaigns across eight countries (Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, United Kingdom, and the United States), that was conducted daily from March 13-August 12, resulting in 144,034 completed questionnaires. This survey collected information on people's health, attitudes, behaviors, and social contacts. The talk discusses methodological approaches to correct for biases and to combine digital trace data with survey estimates, as well as provides initial substantive results from these initiatives.
Watch the seminar recording
Tuesday, February 2nd 2021 - Thursday, February 4th 2021
PAA 2021 Applied Demography Conference (Conferences)
Virtual
Tuesday, February 2nd 2021
Thursday, February 4th 2021
CPC members will be presenting at the PAA virtual conference 02-04 February 2021.
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PAA is excited about providing applied demographers with a unique opportunity to participate in a conference built to showcase their work, strengthen their personal network, and to bring the applied demography community together. Join us virtually February 2-4, 2021, for this first-ever event! #PAA-Event
The entire conference will be virtual, and schedule times will be Eastern Standard (EST).
Starts: Feb 2, 2021 9:00 AM (ET)
Ends: Feb 4, 2021 5:00 PM (ET)
Thursday, January 28th 2021
CPC Webinar - Understanding Society COVID-19 Study (Seminars and lectures)
Michaela Benzeval, University of Essex
Zoom
Thursday, January 28th 2021
13:00-14:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 28 January at 13:00 GMT. Michaela Benzeval, University of Essex, will be giving a talk entitled "Understanding Society COVID-19 Study"
Title: Understanding Society COVID-19 Study
Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic and associated lockdown is the biggest shock to society since World War 2. Understanding Society: the UK Household Longitudinal Study, therefore mobilised itself very quickly to start collecting monthly data on how families across the UK have been affected by it. This presentation will describe the Understanding Society COVID-19 Study - its design, content, response rates and representativeness, breadth of use and impact. It will then present some findings from the Study on the mental health consequences of the pandemic for the population as a whole as well as specific vulnerable groups such as those shielding and carers.
The seminar was not recorded.
Monday, January 25th 2021
Beyond COVID-19: Population Challenges Ahead (Public engagement events)
Dr Michael Meister, Prof. Dr Pearl Dykstra, Prof. Dr Jakub Bijak, Prof. Dr Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak, Dr Birte Fähnrich, Sonja Kastilan, Prof. Dr Wolfgang Lutz, Prof. Dr Melinda Mills, Prof. Dr Lothar H. Wieler
Zoom
Monday, January 25th 2021
10:30-12:00, Berlin time
Prof. Dr Jakub Bijak, will be participating in this Population Europe discussion event on "Beyond Covid-19: Population Challenges Ahead".
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Beyond COVID-19: Population Challenges Ahead
Discussion Event with
Dr Michael Meister (Parliamentary State Secretary to the Federal Minister of Education and Research / Member of the German Bundestag, Berlin) and
Prof. Dr Pearl Dykstra (Professor of Empirical Sociology at Erasmus University Rotterdam / Member of the Group of Chief Scientific Advisors to the Cabinet of European Commissioners, 2015-2020)
Monday, 25 January 2021, 10:30-12:00, Berlin time
Online via Zoom (see below), translation service in English will be offered.
Topic: Throughout the current COVID-19 pandemic, researchers have been widely requested to contribute scientific evidence about various aspects of the pandemic, including their long-term social consequences. However, in many cases, advice had to be given tentatively and with an understanding of uncertainty due to not only a lack of sufficient data but also to the nature of science itself. What are the lessons learnt from previous months? How has the role of research in the policy arena changed during the pandemic? How can we increase trust in the public role of scientists even if we have to deal with uncertainties? How can we ensure that the expertise of researchers is readily available for evidence-based decision-making in future crises?
Participants:
Prof. Dr Jakub Bijak, Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton, Principal Investigator of the EU-funded project “QuantMig: Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy”
Prof. Dr Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak, Professor in the Institute of Statistics and Demography at Warsaw School of Economics, Deputy Minister of Labour and Social Policy of Poland (2008-2009)
Dr Birte Fähnrich, Coordinator of the Interdisciplinary Research Group "Implications of Digitization for the Quality of Science Communication", Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Sciences and Humanities
Sonja Kastilan, Head of Science Section, Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung
Prof. Dr Wolfgang Lutz, Founding Director, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital / Professor of Demography, Department of Demography, University of Vienna
Prof. Dr Melinda Mills, Director of the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford / Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, UK Government Office of Science
Prof. Dr Lothar H. Wieler (tbc), President of the Robert Koch Institute, Berlin / Member of the German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina
Please register here.
You will receive the respective Zoom link when we get closer to the meeting.
Friday, January 22nd 2021
Femquant & CPC Athena Swan Webinar - Reconsidered Disadvantage in the United States: An Intersectional Analysis (Seminars and lectures)
Dominique Green, University of St Andrews
Zoom
Friday, January 22nd 2021
12:00-13:00 GMT
This CPC Athena Swan webinar will be held jointly with Femquant (https://femquant.squarespace.com/) on Friday 22 January at 12:00 GMT. Dominique Green, University of St Andrews will be giving a talk entitled "Reconsidered Disadvantage in the United States: An Intersectional Analysis".
Title: Reconsidered Disadvantage in the United States: An Intersectional Analysis
Abstract: Poverty and disadvantage in the United States is commonly defined in terms of low income. This definition and its subsequent measurement neglects the multidimensional nature of the phenomena. Most research acknowledges that this reductionist measure is insufficient but there have been few attempts at quantifying US poverty and disadvantage multidimensionally. In this seminar, I will draw on the European social exclusion literature and apply the Bristol Social Exclusion Matrix to indicators from the US Census Bureau produced American Community Survey Public Use Microdata Sample - with a sample size of 3 million addresses - in order to uncover factors of disadvantage in the United States. Additionally, I will discuss the relationship between these dimensions and sociodemographic characteristics primarily via the use of intersectionality as an analytic tool. This research explores how the intersection between race and gender better informs understandings of the experience of disadvantage at the individual level than an exploration of gender alone, particularly for Black women. Overall, using a conceptualisation of disadvantage not previously applied to the US, the research quantitatively shows that income is just one piece of a complex social issue and that women, minorities, and those at the intersection of those characteristics face disadvantage across dimensions.
Registration: https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZIlceqoqjkqHdfxvgsYrfH_1CHzmHIKycaS
Meeting Recording:
We may be recording the seminar and your participation in the meeting may be captured. If you do not wish to feature in the recording, please ensure your microphone and camera are turned off for the duration of the talk. The Q&A session will not be recorded.
Your Details:
We require your name and email to process the event registration. We use this information to collate the number of attendees at our seminars and produce get aggregate level statistics to justify our seminars to our funders. If you have any issues with the way your data is collected, please email us at cpc@soton.ac.uk. Further information about the way we manage data can be found on our website here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/privacy_notice/
Saturday, January 16th 2021 - Saturday, February 6th 2021
Meeting of the Scottish Parliament Citizens' Panel on COVID-19 (Workshops)
Virtual
Saturday, January 16th 2021
Saturday, February 6th 2021
David Bell was a member of the Citizen's panel advising the Scottish Government.
Thursday, January 14th 2021
CPC Webinar - Developing linkage ready data on Looked After Children for a new data linkage infrastructure in Scotland (Seminars and lectures)
Cecilia (Celia) Macintyre, Scottish Government
Zoom
Thursday, January 14th 2021
13:00-14:00 GMT
Cecilia (Celia) Macintyre from the Scottish Government will be presenting on her work with the Scottish Centre for Administrative data research.
Title: Developing linkage ready data on Looked After Children for a new data linkage infrastructure in Scotland
Abstract: ADR Scotland is a partnership between Scottish Government and Scottish Centre for Administrative Research (SCADR). The partnership is working to enhance the data linkage infrastructure in Scotland to allow the long-term holding of de-identified datasets within a secure location for research and data linkage purposes.
The data acquisition team have produced the longitudinal Looked After Children dataset, which can track an individual's sequence of placements through the care system. This innovative work links eleven years of data, giving an understanding of the possible pathways enabling linkage to other outcomes to better understand this population.
The presentation will outline the work to change of the infrastructure, and the approach to producing a linkage ready dataset, and the accompanying documentation produced to help users and ensure transparency of the process. An important aspect of this is work with partners - local authority, academic and other public bodies - to improve the quality of the data used in this project.
Watch the seminar recording
Thursday, December 17th 2020
CPC Webinar - Understanding the lives of immigrants and their descendants: From selection to adaptation (Seminars and lectures)
Ben Wilson, Stockholm University and London School of Economics
Zoom
Thursday, December 17th 2020
13:00-14:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 17 December at 13:00 GMT.
Title: Understanding the lives of immigrants and their descendants: From selection to adaptation
Abstract: In this seminar, I will discuss some of the most important problems that social scientists face when studying immigrants and their descendants. I will focus on: (a) the challenges of testing theories and hypotheses, (b) the problems of generalisation, and (c) future directions for empirical research. Throughout the seminar, I will provide an overview of some recent socio-demographic research on immigrants and their descendants, with a focus on several of my own studies as examples from the literature. I will show how immigrants are selectively different from those who remain in their origin countries, how their socio-economic lives adapt after arrival, and how their demographic behaviours change across generations. Reflecting on what we know, I will then propose some directions for future research that I hope will help us to gain a deeper understanding of the lives of immigrants and their descendants. My aim is that this will facilitate a constructive discussion and debate, both during the seminar and afterwards.
The seminar was not recorded.
Monday, December 14th 2020 - Friday, December 18th 2020
Winter Simulation Conference 2020 (Conferences)
Prof Jakub Bijak
Virtual
Monday, December 14th 2020
Friday, December 18th 2020
Winter Simulation conference is going virtual for 2020. Find out more: http://meetings2.informs.org/wordpress/wsc2020/
Prof Jakub Bijak will be presenting on work with Philip A. Higham, Jason Hilton, Martin Hinsch, Sarah Nurse, and Toby Prike; Oliver Reinhardt; Peter WF Smith; and Adelinde M. Uhrmacher in session 'Simulation for Global Challenges' on Thursday 17 December.
Thursday 12:00pm-1:30pm
Technical Session · Simulation for Global Challenges
Simulation for Global Challenges
Chair: Stewart Robinson (Loughborough University)
Modelling Migration: Decisions, Processes and Outcomes
Jakub Bijak, Philip A. Higham, Jason Hilton, Martin Hinsch, Sarah Nurse, and Toby Prike (University of Southampton); Oliver Reinhardt (University of Rostock); Peter WF Smith (University of Southampton); and Adelinde M. Uhrmacher (University of Rostock)
Abstract
Human migration is uncertain and complex, and some of its distinct features, such as migration routes, can emerge and change very rapidly. Agency of various actors is one key reason for why migration eludes attempts at its theoretical description, explanation and prediction. To address the complexity challenges through simulation models, which would coherently link micro-level decisions with macro-level processes, a coherent model design and construction process is needed. Here, we present such a process alongside its five building blocks: an agent-based simulation of migration route formation, resembling the recent asylum migration to Europe; an evaluation framework for migration data; psychological experiments eliciting decisions under uncertainty; the choice of a programming language and modelling formalisms; and statistical analysis with Bayesian meta-modelling based on Gaussian Process assumptions and experimental design principles. This process allows to identify knowledge advancements that can be achieved through modelling, and to elucidate the remaining knowledge gaps.
Friday, December 11th 2020
CPC Webinar - The spatial diffusion of nonmarital childbearing in Belgium (1968-2017) (Seminars and lectures)
Yoann Doignon, UCLouvain, Centre for Demographic Research
Zoom
Friday, December 11th 2020
12:00-13:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Friday 11 December. Yoann Doignon, Centre for Demographic Research, Université, will be giving a talk entitled 'The spatial diffusion of nonmarital childbearing in Belgium (1968-2017)'
Title:The spatial diffusion of nonmarital childbearing in Belgium (1968-2017)
Abstract: This presentation focuses on the spatial dynamics of nonmarital births in Belgium. The objective of the analysis is to determine the extent to which the spread of nonmarital births follows a process of spatial diffusion. For this purpose, both a detailed geographical level (municipalities) and a long study period (50 years: 1968-2017) are used, which is the originality of this study. Mapping is used to draw up the evolution of the spatial pattern of nonmarital births in Belgium. In a further step, we use spatial panel models to measure if a spatial diffusion effect persists, taking into account the characteristics (demographic, socio-economic and cultural) of territories.
The seminar was not recorded.
Friday, December 11th 2020
QuantMig Webinar: Translating Migration Theory Into Empirical Propositions (Seminars and lectures)
Jørgen Carling, Mathias Czaika, Marta Bivand Erdal, Jakub Bijak
Online
Friday, December 11th 2020
14:00 - 15:00 CET
Sign up for the webinar here: https://bit.ly/38YQWGJ
With:
- Jørgen Carling, Research Professor of Migration and Transnationalism studies at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO),
- Mathias Czaika, Head of Department and Professor in Migration and Globalisation, Danube University Krems, Austria
- Marta Bivand Erdal, Research Director and Research Professor in Migration Studies at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO).
- Moderated by Jakub Bijak, joint Head of Department of Social Statistics and Demography Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton
Topic: Migration studies is often described as both a fragmented and largely under-theorised research field. However, through the triangulation of various theoretical accounts and concepts, propositions that address diverse and multifaceted migration patterns and regularities can be developed. This exercise has been done in the framework of the H2020 QuantMig project. This webinar introduces the logic behind moving from a theoretical approach to empirical propositions that have a strong evidence base. It will consist of a presentation that will first consider the very idea of migration theory, and second will outline the ten propositions that can be empirically approached from different angles and turned into hypotheses. Following the presentation, participants will have the opportunity to ask questions and offer their reflections on how these propositions can be applied to understanding migration.
Thursday, December 3rd 2020
CPC Webinar - Utilizing population register data to understand socioeconomic determinants of COVID-19 mortality: The case of Sweden (Seminars and lectures)
Gunnar Andersson,Stockholm University
Zoom
Thursday, December 3rd 2020
13:00-14:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 03 December at 13:00 GMT.Gunnar Andersson, Professor in Demography and Head of the Stockholm University Demography Unit (SUDA) will be giving a talk entitled "Utilizing population register data to understand socioeconomic determinants of COVID-19 mortality: The case of Sweden".
Title: Utilizing population register data to understand socioeconomic determinants of COVID-19 mortality: The case of Sweden
Abstract: As the COVID-19 pandemic enters its second wave, global deaths continue to rise. This holds for countries across Europe, including Sweden which was particularly hard hit in the first wave of the pandemic. Owing to the high quality and coverage of Swedish population register and administrative data, Sweden offers unique possibilities for more in-depth research on the role of different socio-demographic factors in COVID-19 mortality. In our project, we use data on all recorded COVID-19 deaths in Sweden up to May 7 2020 linked to high-quality and accurate individual-level background data from different registers. Using individual-level survival analysis we demonstrate that being male, having less disposable income, a lower education level, not being married, and being an immigrant from a low- or middle-income country all independently predict a higher risk of death from COVID-19. We also observe differences in mortality between people with different household arrangements and work-place characteristics. The main finding is that COVID-19 exerts a disproportionally heavy burden on the more disadvantaged members of society.
Watch the seminar recording
Thursday, December 3rd 2020 - Friday, December 4th 2020
HumMingBird Expert workshop 'Mind the gap: critical perspectives on migration theories and data' (Seminars and lectures)
Online
Thursday, December 3rd 2020
Friday, December 4th 2020
09:00 - 17:00 CET
Jakub Bijak will be presenting at this expert meeting on 03 December 2020:
11:25-11:40 CET Jakub Bijak - Towards quantitative scenarios of European Migration: From uncertainty to knowledge
Find out more and watch the live stream on the HumMingBird project website.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, November 26th 2020
CPC Webinar - Britain's first demographic transition: an integrated geography (Seminars and lectures)
Alice Reid, University of Cambridge
Zoom
Thursday, November 26th 2020
13:00-14:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 26 November at 13:00 GMT. Alice Reid, University of Cambridge will be giving a talk entitled "Britain's first demographic transition: an integrated geography"
Title: Britain's first demographic transition: an integrated geography
Abstract: This talk will introduce our new ESRC-funded project which aims to re-examine the population history of Great Britain not as the story of as two, or three, separate countries, but as a spectrum of experiences over time and space, providing exciting new perspectives on, and understanding of, the demographic history of these islands. The project is still at an early stage, but builds on a previous project on fertility in Victorian England and Wales, and the talk will provide some results and conclusions from that study including a reappraisal of the decline in fertility during the first demographic transition. The new project incorporates Scottish data as well as considering a wider range of demographic processes, and the presentation will examine the challenges and opportunities of working with historical Scottish micro-data and melding that with the data and results from England and Wales.
Watch the seminar recording
Tuesday, November 24th 2020
Pandemic Response & Data Driven Decision Making: with Professor Andy Tatem (Public engagement events)
Professor Adny Tatem, WorldPop. Professor Jane Falkingham, Dean of the Faculty of Social Sciences, and Francesca Barnes, University Council.
Webinar
Tuesday, November 24th 2020
18:00-19:00
In conversation with Professor Andy Tatem, a virtual discussion followed by a live Q&A.
Register: [https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/pandemic-response-data-driven-decision-making-with-professor-andy-tatem-tickets-128265971975]|https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/pandemic-response-data-driven-decision-making-with-professor-andy-tatem-tickets-128265971975
The University of Southampton is delighted to invite you to join Professor Andy Tatem on Tuesday 24 November, for an insightful discussion about the impact that data has in the fight against COVID-19.
Co-hosted by Professor Jane Falkingham, Dean of the Faculty of Social Sciences and Director of the Centre for Population Change, and Francesca Barnes, University Council, this virtual event will explore how we can harness data to influence our decisions and planning.
This event will explore what the analyses tell us about the early spread of COVID-19 within and beyond China and how data can help us design better strategies to control COVID-19.
Andy is Professor of spatial demography and epidemiology at the University of Southampton and is the Director of WorldPop and Flowminder, leading a group of more than 50 researchers and data scientists. Andys research has led to pioneering approaches to the use and integration of satellite, survey, cell phone and census data to map the distributions of vulnerable populations for disease, disaster and development applications. Andy runs international collaborations with national governments, UN agencies and data providers, and leads multiple research and operational projects funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, World Bank, Clinton Health Access Initiative and others.
This virtual discussion will be followed by a live Q&A, where you are invited to ask your questions to the panel. If you would like to submit your questions in advance, please email them to events@soton.ac.uk.
Friday, November 13th 2020
Webinar: Yves Zenou (Seminars and lectures)
Yves Zenou, Monash University
Zoom
Friday, November 13th 2020
13:00 UTC+11 (Melbourne) / 02:00 GMT
Yves Zenou will be presenting on 'Mixing in Early Childhood', a new paper with Vincent Boucher, Semih Tumen, Michael Vlassopoulos and Jackline Wahba, on Friday 13 Nov at 1pm Melbourne time via Zoom at https://auckland.zoom.us/j/95956547447?pwd=WFJOdkJQSHkrdE9uNkUrMWV4V2Vadz09
Slide available as a file download.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, November 12th 2020
ESRC Celebrating Impact Finalist Ceremony (Public engagement events)
Zoom
Thursday, November 12th 2020
14:00-15:45 GMT
Professor Jane Falkingham OBE and CPC colleagues have been shortlisted for this year’s Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) Celebrating Impact Prize for Outstanding Public Policy Impact.
Join the ESRC Celebrating Impact Prize finalist ceremony, where you can watch a short film on our outstanding policy impact and find out who the winners are, on 12 November at 14:00-15:45.
Monday, November 9th 2020
Demography and the Coronavirus Pandemic. What have we learned so far? (Other)
Julia Miklai
Online
Monday, November 9th 2020
Julia Mikolia was participated in the Population Europe High-Level Expert Meeting: Demography and the Coronavirus Pandemic. What have we learned so far?
Saturday, November 7th 2020 - Sunday, November 22nd 2020
CPC Population Pyramids: Minecraft Edition (Public engagement events)
Virtual
Saturday, November 7th 2020
Sunday, November 22nd 2020
We invite you to explore our Minecraft world to learn about Population Pyramids as part of the University of Southampton's Human Worlds Digital Festival and the ESRC Festival of Social Sciences.
Population Pyramids are graphs used to illustrate the population structure of a particular place at a particular time. You will see some examples of different populations in this popular format. Using your Minecraft character to explore the area, you will learn to read the graphs.
Download the file below to find out how to connect to the game (you will need a copy of Minecraft Java). The server will be open from 07-22 November 2020.
To get started, use Java/PC Minecraft v1.16.4 to connect to multiplayer server "CPCpopulation.mc.gg"
Associated Downloads
Friday, November 6th 2020
Public webinar B: Forecasting migration (Public engagement events)
Prof Jakub Bijak, Prof Laura Hammond, Prof Richard Black, Jon Simmons,
Webinar
Friday, November 6th 2020
11:00-12:30 GMT
oin leading experts at UK Parliament to find out more about migration. What are the economic and social aspects? What do the models say? Public and closed webinars will be taking place throughout November 2020.
Register on Eventbrite
Migration is multidimensional, complex and uncertain. In the UK, the topic of migration is one of the most debated issues facing both policymakers and the British public. Many members of the UK Parliament are deeply interested in migration and its implications, not only for the economy, but also for society and local communities. However, people have different opinions on migration, which is similarly reflected among policymakers. As the Government plans its new immigration policy, it is extremely important to bring evidence and impartial independent research to the UK Parliament to help inform good policy debate and contribute to well-informed policies in advance of upcoming legislation scrutiny.
In November, a series of online public events and closed briefings will bring together UK parliamentarians and policy officials with responsibility for migration, representatives from UK universities and the third sector.
The first two webinars are open to the public and anyone can register.
The final three webinars are closed briefings and will only be open to Parliamentarians and Parliamentary staff. While anyone can register their interest for the closed briefings and ensure they receive a summary of the event after its completion, only those registered with a @parliament.uk email address will be invited to attend on the day.
6 November 2020, 11:00 to 12:30
Public webinar B: Forecasting migration
Prof Jakub Bijak, Joint Head of Department of Social Statistics and Demography, University of Southampton
Prof Laura Hammond, Head of the London International Development Centres Migration Leadership Team, School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS)
Prof Richard Black, Pro-Vice-Chancellor, Head of the College of Social Sciences, University of Birmingham
Jon Simmons, Deputy Director for Analysis on Migration and Border Policy, Home Office
CPC Staff will also be speaking in Public webinar A: Economy, society and migration on 3 November 11:00-12:30.
Wednesday, November 4th 2020 - Thursday, November 5th 2020
HKIAPS: Mobilizing Regional Collaboration in Policy Research (Conferences)
Keynote: Danny Quah, Jane Falkingham & Cai Fang
Zoom
Wednesday, November 4th 2020
Thursday, November 5th 2020
The Hong Kong Institute of Asia-Pacific Studies 30th Anniversary Conference, "Mobilizing Regional Collaboration in Policy Research" will be held online on zoom in November 2020.
CPC Director Professor Jane Falkingham will be presenting Keynote Session 2 "Demographic Change in the Asia-Pacific Region and it's Implications for Policy" on Wednesday 4th November 2020 at 15:00 HKT (7:00 GMT).
Full Programme and Register: https://cloud.itsc.cuhk.edu.hk/webform/view.php?id=11025035
Tuesday, November 3rd 2020
ABM & CPC Webinar - An agent-based modelling approach to account for social interactions in demography (Seminars and lectures)
Prof. Alexia Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, Vienna Institute of Demography
Webinar
Tuesday, November 3rd 2020
13:00-14:00 GMT
This event is also part of the "Short course on Agent-based modelling for social research".
This ABM & CPC webinar will be held on Tuesday 03 November at 13:00 GMT. Alexia Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, executive director of the Vienna Institute of Demography at the Austrian Academy of Sciences, will be giving a talk entitled An agent-based modelling approach to account for social interactions in demography.
Title: An agent-based modelling approach to account for social interactions in demography
Abstract:
Demographic behaviour cannot be explained and understood in isolation from the social network one is linked to (e.g. Åberg 2003; Montgomery and Casterline 1996). These networks may consist of family members, friends and other peer groups which will have an impact through social learning and social influence on each other. However, the formalisation of such network effects to explain individual demographic behaviour lags behind the empirical evidence or is often simplified in terms of macro-level diffusion mechanisms that do not allow understanding the mechanisms of social network effects from the bottom up. Agent-based models allow to integrate such network effects into models of individual demographic decision processes and to build up the macro-level demographic patterns (e.g. aggregate fertility rates, marriage rates, etc.) from the bottom up.
Watch the seminar recording
Tuesday, November 3rd 2020
Public webinar A: Economy, society and migration (Public engagement events)
Jean-Christophe Dumont, Prof Jane Falkingham, Prof Brian Bell, Becca Briggs
Webinar
Tuesday, November 3rd 2020
11:00-12:30 GMT
Join leading experts at UK Parliament to find out more about migration. What are the economic and social aspects? What do the models say? Public and closed webinars will be taking place throughout November 2020.
Register on Eventbrite
Migration is multidimensional, complex and uncertain. In the UK, the topic of migration is one of the most debated issues facing both policymakers and the British public. Many members of the UK Parliament are deeply interested in migration and its implications, not only for the economy, but also for society and local communities. However, people have different opinions on migration, which is similarly reflected among policymakers. As the Government plans its new immigration policy, it is extremely important to bring evidence and impartial independent research to the UK Parliament to help inform good policy debate and contribute to well-informed policies in advance of upcoming legislation scrutiny.
In November, a series of online public events and closed briefings will bring together UK parliamentarians and policy officials with responsibility for migration, representatives from UK universities and the third sector.
The first two webinars are open to the public and anyone can register.
The final three webinars are closed briefings and will only be open to Parliamentarians and Parliamentary staff. While anyone can register their interest for the closed briefings and ensure they receive a summary of the event after its completion, only those registered with a @parliament.uk email address will be invited to attend on the day.
3 November 2020, 11:00 to 12:30
Public webinar A: Economy, society and migration
Jean-Christophe Dumont, Head of Migration Division, OECD
Prof Jane Falkingham, Director of ESRC Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton
Prof Brian Bell, Kings College London, Chair of the Migration Advisory Committee
Becca Briggs, Migration Statistics Division, Office for National Statistics
CPC Staff will also be speaking in Public webinar B: Forecasting migration on 6 November 11:00-12:30.
Tuesday, November 3rd 2020 - Wednesday, November 25th 2020
Short course on Agent-based modelling for social research (Workshops)
Online
Tuesday, November 3rd 2020
Wednesday, November 25th 2020
Please note revised dates for this course: 03 - 25 November
The ERC Bayesian Agent-based Population Studies project team, based at the University of Southampton and the University of Rostock, in collaboration with the ESRC Centre for Population Change and the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, are delighted to announce a call for applications for a short training course "Agent-based modelling for social research".
The main aims of the course are to familiarise the participants with the most recent advances in building, analysing and documenting agent-based models of social processes. The course is aimed at PhD level students and early career researchers with prior experience with coding and interest in computational modelling in social science.
Applications have now closed. For specific queries, please email abm2020@soton.ac.uk.
Preliminary programme (the main live sessions will take place at 13:00-15:00 GMT)
• Day 1 (Tue, 3 November) - Live sessions, with a welcome and an open keynote lecture
• Day 2 (Wed, 4 November) - Live sessions, with pre-recorded background videos and reading
• Day 9 (Wed, 11 November) - Live sessions, with pre-recorded background videos and reading
• Day 16 (Wed, 18 November) - Live sessions, with pre-recorded background videos and reading
• Day 23 (Wed, 25 November) - Live sessions, with stock-taking, summary and farewell
Thursday, October 29th 2020
CPC Webinar - The link between previous life trajectories and a later life outcome: A feature selection approach (Seminars and lectures)
Matthias Studer, University of Geneva,
Zoom
Thursday, October 29th 2020
12:00-13:00 GMT
This CPC webinar will be held on Thursday 29 October at 12:00 GMT. Matthias Studer, University of Geneva, will be giving a talk entitled, "The link between previous life trajectories and a later life outcome: A feature selection approach".
Title: The link between previous life trajectories and a later life outcome: A feature selection approach
Abstract: Several studies have investigated the link between a previous trajectory and a given outcome later on in life. Trajectories are complex objects. Identifying which aspects of the trajectories are relevant is of primary interest in terms both of prediction and testing specific theories.
In this work, we propose an innovative approach based on data mining feature selection algorithms. The approach works in two steps. We start by automatically extracting several properties of the sequences. Using a life course approach, we focus here on features related to three key aspects of the life course: sequencing, timing and duration. Then, in a second step, we use feature selection algorithms to identify the most relevant properties associated with the outcome. We discuss the use of two features selection approaches, namely random forest (Boruta) and a LASSO (Stability Selection). We also discuss the inclusion of control variable such as socio-demographic characteristics of the respondent in this selection process. The proposed approach is illustrated through a study of the effects of family and work trajectories between age 20 and 40 on women's earning in mid-life.
The seminar was not recorded.
Tuesday, October 27th 2020
Is healthy immigrant a wealthy immigrant? Migrant women's reproductive health in Finland in 2000-17 (Seminars and lectures)
Heini Vaisanen
University of Southampton Family Research Theme Lunch Meeting
Tuesday, October 27th 2020
Vaisanen, Heini, Remes, Hanna and Martikainen, Pekka: Is healthy immigrant a wealthy immigrant? Migrant women's reproductive health in Finland in 2000-17. Family Lunch Seminar 27 Oct 2020
Monday, October 26th 2020
Managing Global Management Challenges (Seminars and lectures)
Prof. Jane Falkingham, Prof. Sabu Padmadas, Dr. Rob Angell, Prof. Paurav Shukla
Webinar
Monday, October 26th 2020
3:30-5:30pm UTC+5:30
CPC Director Prof. Jane Falkingham and CPC associate Prof. Sabu Padmadas were invited to the Ahmedabad Management Association's Open Forum Lectures webinar on "Managing Global Management Challenges" as distinguished panel members.
Friday, October 23rd 2020
CPC Webinar - Estimating Total Fertility from the Shape of the Age Pyramid: Bayesian models and applications (Seminars and lectures)
Carl Schmertmann, Florida State University
Zoom
Friday, October 23rd 2020
14:00-15:00 BST
This CPC webinar will be held on Friday 23 October at 14:00 BST. Carl Schmertmann, Professor of Economics at Florida State University and former Editor of Demographic Research, will be giving a talk entitled, "Estimating Total Fertility from the Shape of the Age Pyramid: Bayesian models and applications".
Title: Estimating Total Fertility from the Shape of the Age Pyramid: Bayesian models and applications
Abstract:When vital event registration is missing or inadequate, it is possible to approximate a population's total fertility (TFR) from its age-sex distribution. For example, if child mortality is low then TFR is often close to seven times the child/woman ratio (CWR), the number of 0-4 year olds per 15-49-year-old woman. We analyse the formal relationship between CWR and TFR to identify sources of uncertainty in indirect estimates. We construct a Bayesian model for the statistical distribution of TFR conditional on the population's age-sex structure, in which unknown demographic quantities in the standard approximation are parameters with prior distributions. We apply the model to produce first-ever estimates of TFR for several hundred indigenous populations in Brazil.
Watch the seminar recording
Thursday, October 22nd 2020
SUDA Demographic Colloquium: Nicholas Campisi, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Seminars and lectures)
Nicholas Campisi, CPC, UoS & MPIDR
Zoom-ID 677 6680 2564
Thursday, October 22nd 2020
14:00-15:30 BST
A spatial perspective on Nordic fertility trends: the role of economic and social uncertainty in fertility decline
Open to the public - all welcome
Online via Zoom (and in B800): Zoom-ID 677 6680 2564
Wednesday, October 14th 2020 - Friday, October 16th 2020
18th Annual Meeting of the European Network for the Sociological and Demographic Study of Divorce (Conferences)
Niels Blom and Brienna Perelli-Harris
Cologne/Optional
Wednesday, October 14th 2020
Friday, October 16th 2020
Niels Blom and Brienna Perelli-Harris will be presenting Is there a "bar" for relationship quality? Examining the association between relationship happiness, economic conditions, and family transitions in the UK
Brienna Perelli-Harris is a keynote speaker: Comparing separation and divorce across countries: Perks and Pitfalls
https://divcon2020.uni-koeln.de/sites/divcon2020/user_upload/Divorce_Conference_2020_Prel_Program.pdf
Tuesday, September 29th 2020
National EMN Conference 2020: Forecasting the Future of Global Migration (Conferences)
Vienna, Austria and Online
Tuesday, September 29th 2020
09:00-17:00
Jakub Bijak will be presenting Forecasting International Migration: Dealing with Uncertainty Across a Range of Time Horizons at the National EMN Conference 2020: Forecasting the Future of Global Migration.
The objective of the conference is to provide a critical reflection and a differentiated understanding of future migration scenarios and proactive migration policies. It will provide an overview of existing models, studies and tools to predict and anticipate migration developments, including their underlying assumptions and key results. Finally, the event will discuss how migration predictions can best inform policies and how policy makers can make use of predictive methodologies.
The speakers include international migration researchers, national and European policy makers with experience in developing and applying migration forecasts and scenarios, as well as representatives from policy think tanks.
You can join the conference in Vienna or participate online. Your participation is free of charge. If you are interested, please send an email with your contact details to emnaustria@iom.int. More info and full programme: https://www.emn.at/en/national-emn-conference-2020-forecasting-the-future-of-global-migration/
Associated Downloads
Wednesday, September 16th 2020
Finance & Constitution Committee in the Scottish Parliament (Public engagement events)
David Bell
Virtual
Wednesday, September 16th 2020
09:30-12:30 BST
Professor David Bell contributed to the Scottish Parliment Financial and Constitution Committee.
Associated Downloads
Tuesday, September 15th 2020 - Wednesday, September 16th 2020
CPC at BSPS Virtual Conference 2020 (Conferences)
Online
Tuesday, September 15th 2020
Wednesday, September 16th 2020
The BSPS 2020 Conference will be a virtual Conference, to take place on Tuesday & Wednesday 15 & 16 September. BSPS membership will be required to participate via access codes. There will be no other registration charges. Conference website.
CPC Member & Associate contributions
Strand Organisers
Ageing in Place - Dr. Yazhen Yang, Dr. Maja Palmer
Data science: Innovative data, methods and models - Dr. Jason Hilton
Fertility & reproductive health - Dr. Heini Vaisanen
Internal & international migration - Dr. Júlia Mikolai, Dr. Michael J. Thomas
Immigrant integration across industrialised countries - Professor Hill Kulu, Dr. Júlia Mikolai
Papers
Tuesday 15 September 2020
Social disparities in residential mobility and children's outcomes in early and middle childhood ([Fiori|www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/the_team/19/Francesca_Fiori#associate
])
Assessment of cognitive health during various marital phases: Evidence based on the Health and Retirement Study, 1998-2014 (Sharma, Hale, Myrskylä, Kulu)
Understanding fertility trends in the constituent countries of the UK: What role do births to foreign-born mothers play (Berrington, Kuang)
Accumulative reproductive life histories and grip strength in Indonesia: 1993-2014 (Leone, Vaisanen, Witoelar)
Reflecting on the past: Forerunners and spatial diffusion of the fertility decline in England and Wales, 1851-1911 (Thiehoff , Hinde, [Perelli-Harris|www.cpc.ac.uk/about_us/the_team/39/Brienna_Perelli_Harris#staff
], Vitali)
Do couples face an economic bar to marriage? - Understanding the contribution of men's and women's economic precariousness on first cohabitation outcomes in the UK, 19912018 (Palumbo, Berrington, Eibich)
Is there a bar for relationship quality? Examining the association between relationship happiness, economic conditions, and family transitions in the UK (Blom, Perelli-Harris)
Birth strike? How are environmental concerns associated with young adults' fertility intentions? (Berrington)
Early Career Plenary: Dr Julia Mikolai
The trend in mean height of Guatemalan women born between 1945 and 1995: a century behind (Arriaza, Hambidge, Krebs, Garcés, Channon)
Sex and socioeconomic disparities in the development of multimorbidity in Scotland: the benefits of applying a sequence based, longitudinal approach (Cezard, Sullivan, Bowles, Keenan)
Marital vs. non-marital births in England and Wales: Changing patterns over space and time (1951-2011) (Thiehoff, Perelli-Harris, Hinde, Vitali)
Wednesday 16 September 2020
The family dynamics of immigrants and their descendants in France: Evidence using Multichannel Sequence Analysis (Delaporte, Kulu)
Timing of childbirth of a changing composition of immigrants in Germany (Liu, Kulu)
The intersection of partnership and fertility histories among immigrants and their descendants in the United Kingdom: A multistate approach (Mikolai, Kulu)
Fertility behaviour of post-1990 immigrants and immigrant descendants in Sweden (Campbell, Andersson, Kulu)
How do we ensure informal carers discontinue care carefully? (Palmer)
Does informal caregiving predict loneliness? A comparison of loneliness measures (Davison, Willis, Langat)
Social inequalities in the risk of miscarriage among British women (Vaisanen, Keenan)
Early career panel: Reviewing journal articles (Jakub Bijak & Heini Väisänen)
Associated Downloads
Saturday, September 12th 2020
Lessons from COVID-19 and impacts on dementia design (Seminars and lectures)
Alison Dawson
Alzheimer's Disease International World Alzheimer Report 2020 Launch seminar
Saturday, September 12th 2020
Alison Dawson was invited to present 'Lessons from COVID-19 and impacts on dementia design' at the Alzheimer's Disease International World Alzheimer Report 2020 Launch seminar, 21 September 2020. Recording available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QUY1tia3YvY.
Wednesday, September 9th 2020
The tale of the three landscapes: Connecting the layers through modelling (Seminars and lectures)
Jakub Bijak
Isaac Newton Institute, Cambridge / videolink
Wednesday, September 9th 2020
15:30-16:00
Jakub Bijak presented seminar "The tale of the three landscapes: Connecting the layers through modelling" for the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Cambridge, as part of the event “Integrating quantitative social, ecological and mathematical sciences into landscape decision-making”.
Presented via videolink. You can watch a recording of the presentation here: https://www.newton.ac.uk/seminar/20200909153016001
Wednesday, September 9th 2020
The tale of the three landscapes: Connecting the layers through modelling (Seminars and lectures)
Jakub Bijak
Isaac Newton Institute, Cambridge / videolink
Wednesday, September 9th 2020
15:30-16:00
Jakub Bijak presented seminar "The tale of the three landscapes: Connecting the layers through modelling" for the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Cambridge, as part of the event “Integrating quantitative social, ecological and mathematical sciences into landscape decision-making”.
Presented via videolink. You can watch a recording of the presentation here: https://www.newton.ac.uk/seminar/20200909153016001
Monday, September 7th 2020 - Thursday, September 10th 2020
Royal Statistical Society Conference (Conferences)
Online
Monday, September 7th 2020
Thursday, September 10th 2020
The annual international conference of the Royal Statistical Society takes place every September for anyone interested in statistics and data science. This year's conference takes place virtually between 7-10 September 2020.
Session "Bayesian Demography" on Monday 7th at 14:35 has been organised by Peter W.F. Smith , Jakub Bijak, Erengul Dodd, Jon Forster, Jason Hilton on behalf Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton. Details below:
Capturing basis risk in insurance books: a Bayesian model for portfolio and population mortality'
Katrien Antoinio (KU Leuven)
Forecasting fertility with Bayesian parametric mixture models
Jason Hilton (University of Southampton)
Bayesian analysis of agent-based models for migration
Jakub Bijak (University of Southampton)
Bayesian demographic accounts
John Bryant (Independent Consultant at Bayesian Demography)
Population estimation and forecasting is a vital function of official statistical bodies, with implications for many areas of public policy. Population models are typically composed of separate models of mortality, fertility and migration. In order to make decisions on the basis of the estimates and forecasts arising from such models, quantification of the corresponding uncertainty is essential. Bayesian methods are well suited for this task. This session will feature presentation of contemporary Bayesian approaches to forecasting all three components of population change.
More information and register: https://rss.org.uk/training-events/rss-2020-conference/
Tuesday, July 28th 2020 - Wednesday, July 29th 2020
POSTPONED: Workshop: Relationship quality and family transitions (Workshops)
Royal Statistical Society, London
Tuesday, July 28th 2020
Wednesday, July 29th 2020
Wednesday, July 8th 2020 - Friday, July 10th 2020
POSTPONED: 3rd International Conference on Migration and Mobilities (Conferences)
University of St Andrews
Wednesday, July 8th 2020
Friday, July 10th 2020
David McCollum and Nissa Finney are the lead local conference organisers of the 3rd International Conference on Migration and Mobilities, which is being hosted by the University of St Andrews 8th-10th July 2020. This three-day conference builds on the successes of the first two iMigMob conferences (in Loughborough in 2016 and Plymouth in 2018) in bringing together scholars from a range of disciplinary perspectives to discuss the latest research in migration and mobilities.
This conference is orientated around the four themes, which have been chosen to reflect key contemporary conceptual and policy concerns:
- Internal migration and urban change, keynote speaker: Prof Darren Smith, University of Loughborough
Concerns about inequalities and the unaffordability and insecurity of housing are rising up the political, policy and academic agendas. This theme encompasses scholarship in population geography and beyond on pressing concerns such as residential segregation, gentrification and shifting patterns and processes of internal migration. We welcome papers on these and other topics that are relevant to other issues of urban change, residential mobilities and internal migration.
- Forced migration and bordering, keynote speaker: Prof Nick Gill, University of Exeter
According to the UN High Commissioner for Refugees, we are now witnessing the highest levels of displacement on record. An unprecedented 71 million people around the world are forcibly displaced from their homes, with 26 million classed as refugees (over half of whom are under the age of 18). Understanding the involuntary movement of populations, and the responses of states to them through bordering practices, is thus a key contemporary issue of concern for migration scholars as well as governments and NGOs. We welcome papers which engage with issues of forced migration and the practices of bordering that are deployed in response to them.
- Visualising mobilities, keynote speaker: Prof Alex Singleton, University of Liverpool
The advent of the big data epoch and advances in computing power present significant opportunities for researchers to better understand and visually represent the everyday mobilities of people across space. However researchers are still grappling with ongoing challenges surrounding the accessibility and representativeness of these data and with how to analyse such overwhelming quantities of information. This theme encompasses these issues and we particularly welcome papers which showcase advances in our ability to visualise population mobilities.
- European migration in turbulent politic, Keynote speaker: Dr Kate Botterill, University of Glasgow
Contentions around migration arguably sit at the heart of the key geopolitical fractures of our times. In this theme we seek to explore how understandings of migration might need to be rethought in light of ongoing political turbulence in the European context. As such we welcome papers that engage with topics such as Brexit, the European refugee crisis, the rise of anti-immigrant sentiment across Europe and the politics of anti-immigration controls.
Official website: http://www.imigmob2020.org/38418
Early Bird Close:14th March 2020
Registration Close:9th June 2020
Friday, July 3rd 2020
CPC Webinar - Domestic labour and the "fertility gap": obstacle to childbearing or measurement fallacy? (Seminars and lectures)
Alyce Raybould, LSHTM
Webinar
Friday, July 3rd 2020
12:00-13:00
This Centre for Population Change webinar will be held on Friday 03 July at 12:00 BST. Alyce Raybould, from LSHTM, will be giving a talk entitled 'Domestic labour and the "fertility gap": obstacle to childbearing or measurement fallacy?'
Title: Domestic labour and the "fertility gap": obstacle to childbearing or measurement fallacy?
Abstract:
In almost all high-income settings, the existence of a fertility gap between stated ideal and actual family size suggests there are impediments to women achieving their childbearing goals. Previous studies have suggested that female domestic burden could be a potential impediment to childbearing: when women are expected to perform both paid and unpaid labour responsibilities without additional support, continued childbearing is made untenable. This presentation explores whether division of domestic labour could help explain the fertility gap, or whether the gap is instead driven by issues of measurement.
I first explore whether domestic division of labour influences childbearing intentions and behaviour through a systematic review of 95 analyses. Despite some variation in findings, I find evidence supporting this theory. However, the review also highlights that studies focusing on the fertility gap at the individual level (typically exploring whether an intention or an ideal for children is realised) have been methodologically weak, confusing different psychological concepts and ignoring that fertility intentions can change over time. To address these shortcomings, I use data from the USA to explore whether women with less domestic burden are more likely to realise an intention for a second child. I then examine whether intentions for a second child become sacrificed after first birth, a time when domestic labour increases and becomes more gendered, using longitudinal data from the UK and USA. I find a steep drop in expected family size among one child individuals after first birth. My future work aims to further disentangle the apparent fertility gap by exploring the correspondence between intentions for a child prior to birth, contraceptive behaviour and wantedness of a child in the USA. In doing so, I hope to tease apart whether the fertility gap is truly the result of impediments to childbearing, or is driven by a lack of coherency between stated intentions to act and subsequent behaviour.
Watch the seminar recording
Thursday, July 2nd 2020
A Crisis In Adult Social Care? Learning From Across The UK (Seminars and lectures)
David Bell
Webinar
Thursday, July 2nd 2020
10:00-11:00 BST
David Bell spoke at the HSR UK Conference Plenary 'A Crisis In Adult Social Care? Learning From Across The UK' on Thursday 2 July at 11:00.
https://hsruk.org/conference-2020/plenaries/crisis-adult-social-care-learning-across-uk
For perhaps two decades people have been declaring that there is a crisis in social care - and over the last decade it has become more acute as access to care and funding for care have reduced at the same time as the need and demand for care have increased. Governments have produced a long list of reports, reviews and proposals but little action has followed. Social care arrangements in the four countries of the UK have diverged, most notably with integrated health and care delivery in Northern Ireland and free personal care in Scotland. The current pandemic has been a tragedy particularly in social care and has thrown the issues of resourcing into painfully sharp relief. In this plenary our three presenters will explore the longstanding challenges of social care as well as the current crisis, and ask what we can learn from research and comparative analysis across the UK.
Wednesday, June 24th 2020 - Friday, June 26th 2020
Beyond EPC 2020 - The webinar series (Conferences)
Webinars
Wednesday, June 24th 2020
Friday, June 26th 2020
The Centre for Population Change was due to be exhibiting at EPC2020, with many members attending to present their research in Padova, Italy. However, the conference has been cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Instead, the European Association for Population Studies (EAPS) has announced a series of EPC 2020 webinars. They aim to showcase materials from the cancelled European Population Conference. The series will connect the population research community at a time when large conferences cannot be organised.
Taking place 24-26 June, the Beyond EPC 2020 webinars are free of charge. To participate you will have to register for each event at http://epc2020.eaps.nl/days. Please note that all times advertised are Amsterdam time (GMT + 2).
CPC Director and outgoing President of EAPS, Professor Jane Falkingham OBE, will be opening the first EAPS webinar on Wednesday 24 June. The session will look back and forward with the outgoing and incoming EAPS Presidents, the Padova Organizing Committee, and two EAPS 2018 Laureates who will present their work.
Among the other sessions, CPC members and associates are chairing discussions and presenting their research:
Dr Julia Mikolai, Chair
Session 2: Economic and emotional well-being across the life course
25 June, 10:00-11:00
Professor Jakub Bijak, Chair
Session 4: Innovations in demographic data and methods
25 June, 16:00-17:00
Professor Ann Berrington, Presenter
'Birth strike? How are environmental concerns associated with young adults fertility intentions?'
Session 6: Fertility at times of crisis: from economic recession to climate change
26 June, 12:00-13:00
Francesco Rampazzo, Discussant
Session 8: EAPS PhD Network: Speed chit chats
26 June, 16:00-17:00
For a full list of sessions, papers and participants, please see the webinar schedule on the European Population Conference website: http://epc2020.eaps.nl/days. You can register online by clicking 'Register here' at the top of the relevant session page. You will then receive joining instructions by email. All enquiries should be directed to EAPS at epc2020@nidi.nl
Monday, June 22nd 2020 - Wednesday, June 24th 2020
SICSS Festival (Conferences)
Francesco Rampazzo
Https://youtu.be/BueR-DPy484
Monday, June 22nd 2020
Wednesday, June 24th 2020
Francesco Rampazzo was a discussant on a panel on teaching computational social science as part of the SICSS Festival, 24 June. Watch the video online: https://youtu.be/BueR-DPy484
Thursday, June 18th 2020
CPC Webinar - Accelerated School-to-Work transition in Britain: Still true? (Seminars and lectures)
Alina Pelikh, UCL
Webinar
Thursday, June 18th 2020
13:00-14:00
This Centre for Population Change webinar will be held on Thursday 18 June at 13:00 BST. Alina Pelikh, from UCL, will be giving a talk entitled, 'Accelerated School-to-Work transition in Britain: Still true?'.
Title: Accelerated School-to-Work transition in Britain: Still true?
Abstract: This paper investigates whether the British pattern of the transition to adulthood with an early transition from school to work still exists. We apply sequence analysis to combined life histories from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) and the Understanding Society study (UKHLS) to gain a holistic picture of how education and employment trajectories of young adults born between 1974 and 1990 in England and Wales differ by birth cohort, gender, and socio-economic background. Next, we investigate how various trajectories lead to inequalities in labour market outcomes in later life. Around half of young people in the sample follow the rapid school-to-work trajectories with around one third of young adults obtaining a higher education degree by age 26. The distinctive British early transition from school to work is still prevalent, although trajectories have become more complex and precarious, in particular among young people from lower socio-economic backgrounds. Yet, the decrease in the direct school-to-work trajectories among the youngest cohort was replaced by the prolonged stay in education and increase in part-time employment. The proportion of university graduates from lower socio-economic backgrounds has increased among the youngest cohort yet remains disproportionally low. Consequently, the chances of being in professional and managerial occupations remain significantly lower among highly educated young people from disadvantaged backgrounds.
Watch the seminar recording
Thursday, June 18th 2020
Scottish Affairs Committee Meeting (Public engagement events)
David Bell
Https://parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/a9db3cd7-ad46-4d90-95fc-2c4221687c80
Thursday, June 18th 2020
David Bell spoke to MPs at the Scottish Affairs Committee meeting, 18 June. Watch the session recording online: https://parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/a9db3cd7-ad46-4d90-95fc-2c4221687c80
Thursday, June 11th 2020 - Friday, June 12th 2020
Special Event: Bayesian Analysis in Demography (Workshops)
Jakub Bijak
Https://www.populationsciences.berkeley.edu/weekly-news-june-9-2020
Thursday, June 11th 2020
Friday, June 12th 2020
Jakub Bijak gave a talk 'Bayesian estimation of uncertain migration flows: Principles and examples' for online event on Bayesian Analysis in Demography organised by Berkeley Population Sciences.
Thursday, June 4th 2020
Demography and Migration: Current and Future Trends (Seminars and lectures)
Jakub Bijak
NATO Defence College, Rome, via videolink
Thursday, June 4th 2020
Jakub Bijak presented a guest lecture on “Demography and Migration: Current and Future Trends”, for the Senior Course 136, NATO Defence College, Rome, via videolink.
Wednesday, June 3rd 2020
Care home design: impact and limitations during COVID-19 (Seminars and lectures)
Alison Dawson
Alzheimer's Disease International Seminar on Dementia and COVID-19
Wednesday, June 3rd 2020
Alison Dawson, was invited to present 'Care home design: impact and limitations during COVID-19' to 'The hidden casualties of COVID-19: revealing the emergency in care homes and the lessons learnt in day care', 3rd Alzheimer's Disease International Seminar on Dementia and COVID-19, 3 June 2020. Recording available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8Y2nA0oefs&feature=youtu.be
Thursday, May 28th 2020
CPC Webinar - Can the digital revolution promote gender equality? (Seminars and lectures)
Ridhi Kashyap, University of Oxford
Webinar
Thursday, May 28th 2020
13:00-14:00
This Centre for Population Change webinar will be held on Thursday 28 May at 13:00 BST. Dr Ridhi Kashyap, from the University of Oxford, will present "Can the digital revolution promote gender equality?". See the abstract below.
Title: Can the digital revolution promote gender equality?
Abstract: The rapid proliferation of the internet and mobile phones has been one of the most significant social phenomena of the new millennium. In this talk, I will discuss the implications of this digital revolution for the realisation of the sustainable development goals (SDGs), in particular SDG 5 on gender equality. First, drawing on the survey data linked with geo-spatial satellite data in Sub-Saharan Africa, I will present findings that show how the ownership of mobile phones has empowered women to access information and resources important for health and well-being and bolstered their ability to make independent decisions. This highlights the need to monitor and close digital gender gaps to promote sustainable development. Monitoring this progress however is often challenging due to the limited availability of gender-disaggregated data on internet and mobile access, particularly in low-income countries. In this data-sparse context, I will describe how data generated from social media marketing APIs can be repurposed to track global digital gender gaps.
The seminar was not recorded.
Thursday, May 14th 2020
CPC Webinar - Time Pressure and Mothers' Health and Well-Being During the Preschool Years (Seminars and lectures)
Belinda Hewitt
Microsoft Teams Webinar
Thursday, May 14th 2020
10:00-11:00 BST
This Centre for Population Change webinar will be held on Thursday 14 May at 10:00 BST. Belinda Hewitt, from the University of Melbourne, will be giving a talk entitled, 'Time Pressure and Mothers' Health and Well-Being During the Preschool Years'.
Title: Time Pressure and Mothers' Health and Well-Being During the Preschool Years (Co-authored with Lyndall Strazdins (Australian National University, Australia), Mara Yerkes (Utrecht University, the Netherlands) and Amanda Cooklin (LaTrobe University, Australia))
Abstract: Time pressure is a common experience in dual-earner families, and particularly for working mothers of young children. Work and family obligations exact large allotments of time from mothers, and the time pressure they experience significantly impacts on their health and wellbeing. To date research on time pressure and health has primarily been cross-sectional and conceptualises the relationship as unidirectional and therefore offers limited insights into the reciprocal (i.e. does time pressure influence health and vice versa?) and dynamic processes of time pressure and health over time (i.e. does it improve or get worse?).
This paper uses data from a 5-wave panel study (2012 - 2015) of mothers when their children were aged 6 months - 4 years old and examines the complex relationship between time pressure and mother's health and wellbeing during these intensive pre-school child rearing years. Importantly, we were able to investigate which time demands on mothers - employment, housework or childcare - are most significant for increasing time pressure in the context of health. For partnered mothers we also take into account her report of partner's time contributions to work, childcare and housework hours when predicting mother's perceptions of time pressure.
Watch the seminar recording
Thursday, May 7th 2020
POSTPONED: Distinguished Lecture: Sir Ian Diamond (Public engagement events)
Sir Ian Diamond
University of Southampton
Thursday, May 7th 2020
Postponed due to COVID-19
Thursday, April 30th 2020
CANCELLED: CPC Seminar - The transition to adulthood in times of social change (Seminars and lectures)
Ingrid Schoon
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G/8)
Thursday, April 30th 2020
13:00-14:00
This seminar has been cancelled due to covid-19.
Thursday, April 30th 2020
Webinar: Skills for Understanding Ageing in a Globalised World (Seminars and lectures)
Jane Falkingham & Athina Vlachantoni
Www.skillparkkerala.in/webinars
Thursday, April 30th 2020
11:30 BST
Prof. Jane Falkingham and Prof. Athina Vlachantoni will be presenting the ASAP Free Webinar "Skills for Understanding Ageing in a Globalised World" at 4pm India Standard Time (11:30 AM British Summer Time).
www.skillparkkerala.in/webinars
Thursday, April 30th 2020
CPC Webinar - Roselinde van der Wiel and Giammarco Alderotti (Seminars and lectures)
Roselinde van der Wiel and Giammarco Alderotti
Webinar
Thursday, April 30th 2020
13:00-14:00
The next CPC Seminar will be on Thursday April 30th 2020, 1-2pm (UK time).
The seminar will be shared between two speakers: Roselinde van der Wiel from the University of Groningen, Netherlands, and Dr Giammarco Alderotti from the University of Florence, Italy. Please, see the title and abstract of their presentation below. Each presentation will last about 20 minutes followed by 10 minutes for questions.
13.00-13.30: Roselinde van der Wiel, University of Groningen
Title: Migration for co-residence in Denmark: the role of family ties and family complexity.
Abstract: When two romantic partners decide to live together, an important decision they have to make is where to live: who moves in with whom, or where will the new destination for both of them be? This decision has an especially pronounced effect when starting co-residence requires one or both partners to make a long-distance move (i.e. migration), resulting in a disruption of local ties. This paper addresses the issue of who, in opposite-sex couples, bridges the longest distance to initiate co-residence: he or she. We do so by looking at the woman's share in the total distance moved by both partners in the year of entry into co-residence. Our aim is to explore the influence of local ties to family members and elements of family complexity, as well as any gender asymmetries on who moves furthest. We use Danish population register data and adopting a multilevel cross-classified statistical framework that takes both partners' location of origin into account. The study population constitutes all opposite-sex couples aged 18-70 who entered co-residence between 2009 and 2018 and who were long-distance prior to co-residence. Our preliminary findings show that it is more common for women to migrate towards their male partner than the other way around. Women also move longer distances, on average. Having resident children and living close to family are strong predictors of who moves to whom. Living with parents drives individuals, men especially, to move towards their partner. Individuals who were still living with a different partner at the start of the year bridged a relatively large share of the total distance. Further, the effect of having lived with a partner before depends on whether one stayed or moved out at separation.
13.30-14.00: Giammarco Alderotti from the University of Florence
Title: Better Health, Higher Fertility? Exploring the relationship between migrants' health and fertility intentions in Italy.
Abstract: Research on the determinants of migrants' fertility has always focused on socio-economic factors (education, employment, integration), producing incomplete and sometimes contradictory evidence. Alongside, the health status of migrants is at the top of many researchers' agenda, since it is a good proxy of the integration process, and because of its implications on national healthcare systems. Despite health status and fertility are among the most important aspects of migrants' lives in the destination country, the extent to which the first influence the second has hardly ever been considered. In this work, we posit that individual health status may in fact play a role in shaping fertility (intentions) among migrant subpopulations, with different implications by gender, and test our assumption on Italian data.
Watch the seminar recording
Monday, April 6th 2020
POSTPONED: CPC Seminar - The effect of retirement on voluntary work provision in England, Ireland and the US. (Seminars and lectures)
Peter Eibich
TBC
Monday, April 6th 2020
15:00-16:00
This event has been postponed due to travel restrictions in Europe.
This Centre for Population Change seminar will be held on Monday 02 February in building 502, room 5053, 15:00-16:00. Peter Eibich, from the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, will be giving a talk entitled, 'The effect of retirement on voluntary work provision in England, Ireland and the US.'.
Refreshments will be available in the seminar room until 16:45.
Title: The effect of retirement on voluntary work provision in England, Ireland and the US.
Abstract: Voluntary work is an important contribution for many non-profit organizations, such as charities, political and religious organizations. Older individuals make up a sizable share of the volunteer workforce, and volunteering is often regarded as an example of active ageing. In this study, we examine whether retirement has a causal effect on the frequency of voluntary work provision in three English-speaking countries - England, Ireland and the U.S. We draw on data from the ELSA, TILDA and HRS studies and analyse these datasets using a harmonized empirical approach. We use eligibility ages for old age pensions in an instrumental variables estimation to address potential confounding. We find that retirement increases the frequency of voluntary work provision in all three countries, especially among men. This suggests that labour market policies aimed at increasing labour force participation at older ages might have unintended consequences for the size of the volunteer workforce.
Thursday, March 26th 2020
CPC Webinar - Partnering Behavior and Economic Inequality in the UK from a Comparative Perspective (Seminars and lectures)
Diederik Boertien
Zoom
Thursday, March 26th 2020
13:00-14:00
Our next speaker Dr Diederik Boertien will present Partnering Behavior and Economic Inequality in the UK from a Comparative Perspective at 1pm on Thursday March 26th.
Abstract: Dr Diederik Boertien, from the Centre for Demographic Studies (Centre d'Estudis Demográfics), Barcelona will present:
Title: Partnering Behavior and Economic Inequality in the UK from a Comparative Perspective.
Who partners with whom has become an important question in studies of economic inequality between households. If rich individuals partner with other rich individuals, inequality between households will be higher as compared to a situation where rich persons partner with poor persons. It is therefore not surprising that changes in assortative mating are considered to have increased inequality over time. Despite this widespread belief, empirical evidence supporting this claim is surprisingly mixed.
In this talk, empirical results will be presented on how partner selection based on education, income and social background has changed over time. Subsequently, the impact of these trends on economic inequality will be quantified. The focus will be on the UK, but results will be compared with results for other OECD countries. The results indicate that changes in assortative mating have had little impact on economic inequality between households in most countries. There are some recent and partial exceptions to this general finding, including a modest impact of assortative mating on income inequality in the UK that emerged after the mid-1990s.
Watch the seminar recording
Thursday, March 26th 2020
POSTPONED: Unpacking migration: regional diversity and impact on public services (Workshops)
Jane Falkingham, Jakub Bijak, Jackie Wahba
Attlee Suite, Portcullis House, Houses of Parliament, London, SW1A 2LW
Thursday, March 26th 2020
10:45 - 15:15
This event has been postponed due to the cancellation of mass gatherings in UK parliament.
Join leading experts at UK Parliament to find out more about migration. What are the economic and social aspects? What do the models say?
Migration is multidimensional, complex and uncertain. In the UK, the topic of migration is one of the most debated issues facing both policymakers and the British public. Many members of the UK Parliament are deeply interested in migration and its implications, not only for the economy, but also for society and local communities. However, people have different opinions on migration, which is similarly reflected among policymakers. As the Government plans its new immigration policy, it is extremely important to bring evidence and impartial independent research to the UK Parliament to help inform good policy debate and contribute to well-informed policies in advance of upcoming legislation scrutiny.
This public conference will bring together UK parliamentarians and policy officials with responsibility for migration, representatives from UK universities and the third sector.
Two public seminars will bring leading experts to discuss the economic and social aspects of migration, and explore migration models.
This is a joint event between CPC, the Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology (POST) and Public Policy|Southampton.
Refreshments and lunch will be provided, and the event will conclude with a drinks reception and exhibition, to allow networking and further discussion.
A series of closed briefings for parliamentarians and staff will take place from 15:45 to 17:15.
Further info and registration at: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/unpacking-migration-regional-diversity-and-impact-on-public-services-tickets-94422118097?aff=ebdssbdestsearch
Thursday, March 19th 2020
POSTPONED: CPC Seminar - The mismeasurement of same-sex couples in longitudinal studies (Seminars and lectures)
Peter Brandon
University of Southampton, Building 54, Room 10031 (10C)
Thursday, March 19th 2020
Saturday, March 14th 2020 - Friday, February 14th 2020
POSTPONED: Science and Engineering Day 2020 (Public engagement events)
University of Southampton
Saturday, March 14th 2020
Friday, February 14th 2020
This event has been postponed.
Friday, March 13th 2020
Why COVID-19 has potential to become a global pandemic? (Seminars and lectures)
Sabu Padmadas
University of Southampton, Building 100, Room 4013
Friday, March 13th 2020
13:00-14:00
A talk by Professor Sabu Padmadas, Associate Dean (International) and Professor of Demography and Global Health.
This talk provides a synthesis of historical evidence and reasons underlying the emergence and re-emergence of infectious diseases in the twenty-first century and examines the population risks and aetiology of the recent COVID-19 outbreak which has now surpassed over 100 countries across the world regions. Then it addresses the critical challenges that governments and public health institutions face in overcoming the complexity and uncertainty associated with COVID-19, with a reflection on mitigation strategies to prevent the virus from becoming a global pandemic.
Register on eventbrite: https://covid-19-fss.eventbrite.co.uk/ or watch the live stream online: https://southampton.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=ce3c2b76-fcd6-4c90-8caa-ab7b00f95f4a
Monday, March 9th 2020
Fertility and Reproduction Seminars: Nicholas Campisi (Seminars and lectures)
Nicholas Campisi
University of Oxford, Seminar Room, 64 Banbury Road
Monday, March 9th 2020
Nicholas Campisi from St Andrews University and the Max Plank Institute for Demographic Research will be presenting on "A Spatial Approach to European Fertility Trends" as part of the Fertility and Reproduction Seminars: 2020. The seminar theme is Low Fertility Variation at Sub-National Levels: Historical, Demographic, and Anthropological Perspectives.
More info: https://www.frsg.org/seminars
Wednesday, March 4th 2020
T&SCon: The potential of technology to promote social connectedness for adults living in Scotland (Other)
Alison Dawson
Edinburgh
Wednesday, March 4th 2020
Alison Dawson presented on research with McCabe, L., Douglas, E., Wilson, M. and Bowes, A. during the 'T&SCon: The potential of technology to promote social connectedness for adults living in Scotland', presentation at Digital Health & Care Institute Healthy Ageing Innovation Cluster meeting, Edinburgh, 4 March 2020.
Monday, March 2nd 2020 - Thursday, January 2nd 2020
POSTPONED: CPC/Worldpop Seminar - From global tracking to country monitoring and learning for women's, children and adolescents' health (Seminars and lectures)
Ties Boerma
University of Southampton
Monday, March 2nd 2020
Thursday, January 2nd 2020
14:30
This event has been postponed.
Abstract: The Countdown to 2030, a global collaboration of academic institutions, UN agencies and civil society organizations, aims to strengthen monitoring and measurement of reproductive, maternal, newborn, adolescent and child health and nutrition (RMNCAH) at global, regional and country levels.
What is the state of inequalities in RMCNAH five years into the SDGs? Results of a Countdown BMJ Collection of papers on leaving no woman, no child, no adolescent behind launched in January 2020. How can we strengthen the monitoring and learning component in countries? Through its key partners and regional networks, the Countdown to 2030 is working with public health and research institutions in 15+ countries with GFF investment cases to inform country, regional and global assessments of progress and performance.
Ties Boerma is Director of the Department of Health Statistics and Informatics at the World Health Organization in Geneva. He obtained his degree in medicine from the University of Groningen, Netherlands, and his PhD in Medical Demography from the University of Amsterdam. He has 30 years of experience working in public health and research programmes in developing countries, including 10 years in Africa. In the US, Dr. Boerma worked for Demographic and Health Surveys as Health Coordinator and as Director of the USAID-funded MEASURE Evaluation project, while holding an appointment as Associate Professor in the Department of Epidemiology at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. In Africa, he worked for UNICEF in primary health care and monitoring and evaluation in eastern and southern Africa, and as technical lead of a National Institute for Medical Research/Royal Tropical Institute Amsterdam research and intervention project on HIV/AIDS in Mwanza, Tanzania. Dr. Boerma has published extensively on monitoring and evaluation, health information, HIV/AIDS, and maternal and child health in epidemiological, demographic, and public health journals.
Monday, March 2nd 2020
Fertility and Reproduction Seminar: Stephanie Thiehoff (Seminars and lectures)
Stephanie Thiehoff
University of Oxford, Seminar Room, 64 Banbury Road
Monday, March 2nd 2020
11:00-12:30
Stephanie Thiehoff from the University of Southampton will be presenting on "Reflecting on the Past: Long-term Spatial Persistence of Fertility Behaviour from the First to the Second Demographic Transition in England and Wales" as part of the Fertility and Reproduction Seminars: 2020. The seminar theme is Low Fertility Variation at Sub-National Levels: Historical, Demographic, and Anthropological Perspectives.
More info: https://www.frsg.org/seminars
Friday, February 28th 2020
CPC Seminar - Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy (Seminars and lectures)
Jakub Bijak, Peter Smith, Jackie Wahba
University of Southampton, Building 2, Room 5053
Friday, February 28th 2020
12:00-13:00
RSVP to attend this seminar on Eventbrite: http://ow.ly/HZE450y5Aek
Jakub Bijak, Peter Smith and Jackie Wahba cordially invite you to an informal inauguration of QuantMig: Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy. QuantMig is a three-year research project funded by the European Commission under the Horizon 2020 programme, and executed by a consortium of seven top European research institutions, led by the University of Southampton. The project aims to transform the methodology of setting and analysing migration scenarios in order to more efficiently address the key contemporary challenges of complexity and uncertainty of migration flows, and to enable more timely and robust policy responses. Starting in February 2020, the project will involve many stakeholder-facing activities besides the core conceptual and analytical work.
Tuesday, February 25th 2020
PHRG/CPC Seminar - Age at parental separation and children's school outcomes in Sweden: A sibling difference analysis (Seminars and lectures)
Juho Härkönen
University of St Andrews, United College, Room 32
Tuesday, February 25th 2020
12:00-13:00
A joint PHRG/CPC seminar given by Prof Juho Härkönen on “Age at parental separation and children's school outcomes in Sweden: A sibling difference analysis”. It will take place at the University of St Andrews, free to attend, on February 25th 2020, 12-1pm, in United College, room 32. Lunch will be provided afterwards in room 36.
If you would like to attend, please let Dr Julia Mikolai (Julia.mikolai@st-andrews.ac.uk) or I, Genevieve Cezard (gc79@st-andrews.ac.uk), know.
Juho Härkönen, European University Institute, Florence
--
Age at parental separation and children's school outcomes in Sweden: A sibling difference analysis
(together with Siddartha Aradhya, Stockholm University)
Parental separation is associated with a host of adverse outcomes, one of which is lower educational performance and attainment. Evidence has accumulated suggesting that part of this association is causal, and recent research has focused on understanding heterogeneity in these effects. The age at which parents separate is one source of such heterogeneity, and previous research has offered inconsistent evidence on whether the effects of parental separation are more or less severe when parents separate when the child is young. In this study, we use a sibling design with population register data from Sweden to analyze the effects of the age of parental separation on children’s GPAs at age 15. Non-twin siblings from the same family experience parental separation at different ages, which can be used to identify the effects of variation in age at exposure to parental separation on school outcomes. Our main result is a negative age gradient in the effects of parental separation: the effects of parental separation are the strongest around the ages at which grades are set, and gradually weaken the younger the child was when her parents separated. This result supports the conflict model of parental separation. Additional analyses show that a) children whose parents separated just after the grades were set (placebo test) perform better than those whose parents separated just before the grades were set, but worse than those whose parents separated when the child was young (supporting a “divorce process” perspective), b) regular regression analyses produce the opposite age pattern in the effects (suggesting strong negative selection of parents who separate sooner rather than later), c) sibling fixed effects results are sensitive to error in measuring parental separation, and d) the effects of age at parental separation are heterogeneous. Taken together, our results suggest that in many cases, the children of parents who separate later rather than sooner show worse educational performance.
Saturday, February 22nd 2020
Taxation and Government Spending in Scotland (Workshops)
David Bell
Golden Jubilee hotel and conference centre in Clydebank, Scotland
Saturday, February 22nd 2020
David Bell presented to the Citizens' Assembly of Scotland- https://www.citizensassembly.scot/.
Weekend 4
21 February - 23 February
Taxation and Government spending in Scotland
Professor David Bell CBE, University of Stirling)
Slides: https://www.citizensassembly.scot/sites/default/files/inline-files/DNFB%20Citizens%20Assembly.pdf
Thursday, February 20th 2020
CPC Seminar - Understanding fertility trends in the constituent countries of the UK: Existing knowledge and unanswered questions (Seminars and lectures)
Ann Berrington
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G/8)
Thursday, February 20th 2020
Ann Berrington (with input from Kerry Miller), Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton.
Abstract:
The aim of this presentation is threefold: 1) To introduce FERTILYtrends - a new ESRC-funded project that will examine the dramatic fluctuations in fertility since the late 1990s, investigate their causes, and develop improved methodologies for fertility forecasting. The project team, based at the Universities of St Andrews and Southampton are working with stakeholder input from the National Records of Scotland, the Northern Ireland Statistical Agency and the Office for National Statistics. 2) Using data from vital registration the talk outlines what is currently known (and not known) about widening country differences in the timing and quantum of fertility. 3) We evaluate one explanation for these cross-national differences - the role of differential international migration in the constituent countries. However, there remain many unanswered questions and the FERTILITYtrends team are keen to reach out to those who may be able to provide further insight.
Tuesday, February 11th 2020 - Wednesday, February 12th 2020
ESRC CASS Workshop on Healthy Ageing - Postponed (Workshops)
University of Southampton
Tuesday, February 11th 2020
Wednesday, February 12th 2020
Please note that this event has been postponed. If you have any queries, please email cpc@soton.ac.uk
Monday, February 10th 2020
Fertility and Reproduction Seminars: Brienna Perelli-Harris and Natalia Permyakova (Seminars and lectures)
Brienna Perelli-Harris and Natalia Permyakova
University of Oxford, Seminar Room, 64 Banbury Road
Monday, February 10th 2020
Brienna Perelli-Harris and Natalia Permyakova, University of Southampton will be presenting a seminar on "Fertility Recuperation in a Very Low Fertility Society: Political and Economic Attitudes, Technology, and Second Births in Ukraine" as part of the Fertility and Reproduction Seminars: 2020. The seminar theme is Low Fertility Variation at Sub-National Levels: Historical, Demographic, and Anthropological Perspectives.
More info: https://www.frsg.org/seminars
Tuesday, February 4th 2020
CPC Seminar - The effects of increasing enrolment in education and variation in economic context on aggregate trends in order-specific fertility in Belgium, 1960-2000: implications for hazard-based microsimulation models of fertility trends (Seminars and lectures)
University of St Andrews, George Cumming Room, Irvine building
Tuesday, February 4th 2020
12:00-13:00
Joint PHRG/CPC seminar:
Karel Neels, University of Antwerp, Belgium
(co-authored with Jonas Wood)
The effects of increasing enrolment in education and variation in economic context on aggregate trends in order-specific fertility in Belgium, 1960-2000: implications for hazard-based microsimulation models of fertility trends
Delayed childbearing and low fertility have been prominent features of fertility trends in Europe and other developed countries since the 1970s. More recently, the same has been true of Southeast Asia and Latin America. A compilation of published evidence concluded that the main factors to which the underlying trend to later childbearing are attributed are effective contraception, increases in women's education and labour market participation, value changes, gender equity, partnership changes, housing conditions, economic uncertainty and the absence of supportive family policies. Few studies have attempted to quantify the contribution of any of these factors to aggregate change in both tempo and quantum of fertility. Based on the maternity histories of women aged 14 and older in the 2001 census, discrete-time hazard models are developed which illustrate how increasing enrolment in education and articulated economic cycles have induced aggregate change in the mean age at parenthood (MAC1) and the synthetic parity progression ratio to first births (SPPR1) in Belgium between 1960 and 2000, as well as period variation in the progression to second and higher-order births. The results encourage reflection on the potential and limitations of hazard-based microsimulation models to project short-term and long-term aggregate fertility trends, and on the expansion of such models to include additional exogenous factors.
Thursday, January 30th 2020
CPC Seminar - Partnership and Fertility Patterns among Immigrants and Their Descendants in Europe (Seminars and lectures)
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G/8)
Thursday, January 30th 2020
13:00-14:00
Hill Kulu is Professor of Human Geography and Demography at the University of St Andrews and Co-Director for the ESRC Centre for Population Change. His substantive research interests lie in the field of family, fertility, migration and health studies; his methodological interests include the development and application of longitudinal models in social science research. Kulu's research has advanced our understanding of how family changes and residential choices interact in people's lives and how residential context shapes childbearing, migration and health behaviour of individuals. He jointly co-ordinates the migration and mobility strand of CPC, as well as working within the fertility and family strand.
Tuesday, January 21st 2020
Workshop: Modelling migration and decisions (Workshops)
Lakeside Centre, Wide Lane, Eastleigh,
Tuesday, January 21st 2020
Invited participants only, to share findings from the Bayesian Agent-based Population Studies project.
The aim of the workshop is to discuss, in an informal setting, some promising avenues of modelling migration and migrant decisions, with focus on four areas: migration data, decisions, model construction and analysis.
Monday, January 20th 2020 - Tuesday, January 21st 2020
IUSSP Scientific Panel on New and Emerging Family Forms around the World (Conferences)
Manila, Philippines
Monday, January 20th 2020
Tuesday, January 21st 2020
CPC member Brienna Perelli-Harris is the chair of the day, and one of the seminar organisers for the second international seminar on New and Emerging Family Forms around the World.
This panel brings together researchers from around the world to discuss theories and explanations for changes in family behaviours.
More information: https://www.iussp.org/en/2nd-iussp-seminar-new-and-emerging-family-forms-around-world
Thursday, December 19th 2019
CPC Seminar - Population Projections for Scotland (Seminars and lectures)
Daniel Burns
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G9)
Thursday, December 19th 2019
13:00-14:00
The December CPC Scotland Seminar will be on Thursday 19 December 2019 at Ladywell House. Ladywell Road, Edinburgh EH12 7TF (1-2pm. Room 1/G/9). Please let Esther Roughsedge (Esther.Roughsedge@nrscotland.gov.uk) know if you would like to attend and need to be signed in at Ladywell House. Also, please bring your own lunch as this won't be provided.
Daniel Burns from the National Records of Scotland will present:
Title: Population Projections for Scotland
Abstract: New 2018-based population projections for Scotland were published by National Records of Scotland on 21 October 2019, and provide a look at what future populations of Scotland could look like, based on past trends. This seminar will walk through the assumptions behind the projections, the results and what their implications could be for the future.
Friday, December 13th 2019
CPC Seminar - The trajectory and transition of cognitive function amongst older adults in China (Seminars and lectures)
Prof Xiaoting Liu
54/7035
Friday, December 13th 2019
13:00-14:00
This Centre for Population Change seminar will be held on 13 December in building 54, room 7035, 13:00-14:00. Professor Xiaoting Liu is going to give a talk entitled, 'The trajectory and transition of cognitive function amongst older adults in China'.
This seminar is co-organised with the Centre for Research on Ageing at the University of Southampton: https://www.southampton.ac.uk/ageingcentre/index.page
Abstract: This research investigates the trajectory of cognitive function amongst older people in China over the period of time 2002 to 2014 using the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS) data. The research investigates the existence of the Flynn effect (ie James Flynn, also referred to as the 'secular rise in IQ scores') with respect to cognitive function of older people. That is, that the cognitive function test scores of older people from younger generations are higher than those older people from older generations. In addition, this research estimates the transition of cognitive function for older people using the method of continuous time homogeneous Markov process. The results provide useful evidence for estimates of the demand for long-term care for older people with dementia in China.
Dr Xiaoting Liu is an Associate Professor, in the School of Public Affairs, at Zhejiang University, China. Dr Liu has published within the fields of health insurance, health care reform in China, long-term care, informal care and intergenerational transfers in later life and is a Visiting Fellow in the Centre for Research on Ageing and also collaborates with staff in the ESRC Centre for Population Change.
Sunday, December 8th 2019 - Wednesday, December 11th 2019
Winter Simulation Conference 2019 (Conferences)
Gaylord National Resort & Conference Center National Harbor, Maryland
Sunday, December 8th 2019
Wednesday, December 11th 2019
The theme of Winter Simulation Conference 2019 is "Simulation for Risk Management"
WSC 2019 will focus on the use of simulation to address a wide range of individual and societal risks.
CPC members Jakub Bijak and Martin Hinsch have published a conference paper on "Developing Agent-based migration models in pairs". Find the paper here: https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/432966/1/Paper_WinterSim_2019.pdf
Friday, December 6th 2019
CPC Seminar - The problem of Chinese low fertility and low fertility trap (Seminars and lectures)
Guangzhou Wang
University of Southampton, Building 100, Room 7011
Friday, December 6th 2019
14:00-15:00
What is the real Chinese total fertility rate? This has been one of the biggest research questions in China for many years. Guangzhou Wang will be discussing the history and consequences of misunderstanding census and survey data.
In 2013, Chinese family planning policy adjusted to a conditional two-child policy and from 2015, Chinese couples could have two-child unconditionally.
Looking at related research from before and after the 2013 policy adjustment, Guangzhou analyses the influence of family planning policy and the effect on TFR.
According to the ideal number of birth, fertility intention and the fertility rate of parity progression, he will also analyse the low fertility trap problem with a background of urbanization and education improvement in China.
Monday, December 2nd 2019 - Tuesday, November 5th 2019
European Doctoral School of Demography (Seminars and lectures)
Barcelona
Monday, December 2nd 2019
Tuesday, November 5th 2019
Brienna Perelli-Harris will be presenting during theory course “Fertility, family and the life course (consequences)”
Thursday, November 28th 2019
CPC Seminar - Spatial Variation in Fertility across Europe (Seminars and lectures)
Nicholas Campisi
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G9)
Thursday, November 28th 2019
12:00-13:00
This Centre for Population Change seminar will be held on 28 November at Ladywell House. Ladywell Road, Edinburgh EH12 7TF (12-1pm. Room 1/G/9). Please let Esther Roughsedge (Esther.Roughsedge@nrscotland.gov.uk) know if you would like to attend and need to be signed in at Ladywell House. Also, please bring your own lunch as this won't be provided.
Nicholas Campisi from the University of St Andrews will present:
Title: Spatial Variation in Fertility across Europe
Abstract: Two groups of countries have emerged in Europe over the last 20 years. The first group includes countries with very low fertility and the second includes countries with (relatively) high fertility just below the replacement level. Patterns of change are well studied using single-country studies but continental patterns creating these groups is not well understood. This project first examines how local patterns of fertility across 21 European countries contribute to continental trends in 2010, the height of bifurcation. We provide a single framework to examine fertility variation between local areas that accounts for the role of economic, spatial, and social contexts and show that continental patterns of urbanization, economic growth, and sociocultural freedoms are related to fertility variation across space. The project then focuses on recent fertility decline in high-fertility countries. Recent research suggests that converging fertility rates between socioeconomic groups contribute to national-level declines in the Nordic countries. This research examines fertility in Nordic municipalities since 2010 to understand if a convergence across geographies is also contributing to fertility decline and employs spatial modeling to understand what factors are related to spatial trends. We find that variation between geographies is not converging as expected and is diverging in some cases. Results from spatial modeling show that fertility variation is related to economic factors, the structure of the marriage market, and differences in family values between municipalities. Patterns of ‘relative importance’ are also related to fertility change within municipalities over time, as some factors are more related to fertility in urban places than rural and vice versa. We ultimately contribute a spatial perspective to fertility patterns often studied at the national level but neglected in relevant research and find strong evidence for subnational spatial variation that is related to recent trends in fertility.
Monday, November 25th 2019 - Wednesday, November 27th 2019
Eurostat-UNECE Work session on demographic projections (Workshops)
Belgrade
Monday, November 25th 2019
Wednesday, November 27th 2019
CPC researcher Jason Hilton is presenting working paper 10: "Comparing fertility forecasting methods: how do parametric mixture models perform?". Research with Erengul Dodd, Jonathan J. Forster, Peter W.F Smith and Jakub Bijak.
Summary
Recent comprehensive work by Bohk-Ewald et al. (2018) has found that few fertility forecasting
methods perform better than the naive 'freeze rates' method, whereby the last observed fertility rate
for each age is taken as the forecast for all future time-points. However, that paper is primarily
concerned with the ability of methods to forecasting completed cohort fertility; while this is an
important objective, many important applications of fertility forecasts rely on accuracy at the level
of age-specific fertility rates. Forecasts of the number of births for future years require the timing of
each cohort's fertility and not just their ultimate level. In practice, models that perform well in
forecasting completed cohort fertility may also be accurate at the lower level of aggregation.
However, empirical tests are needed to confirm this.
A number of best-performing models of fertility identified by Bohk-Ewald and colleagues are
assessed by using the root mean-squared error and empirical coverage calculated over a range of
countries, using data from the Human Fertility Database. A model developed by the authors that
employs parametric mixture models to forecast fertility is also assessed. A range of different
choices for the forms of the mixture components are compared, and it is found that this family of
models is competitive with the best-performing competitor fertility forecasting models. This result
contrasts with the results of Bohk-Ewald et al., who suggest that parametric models do not perform
well in forecasting contexts. This contradictory finding can be attributed to the fact that our model
allows dependency between adjacent cohorts through time series priors on the model parameters.
Monday, November 18th 2019
Social Informatics 2019 (Conferences)
Doha, Qatar
Monday, November 18th 2019
Francesco Rampazzo presented on work with Agnese Vitali, Emilio Zagheni and Ingmar Webber on using Facebook and LFS data to model migrant stocks in the UK
Friday, November 15th 2019 - Monday, November 18th 2019
Society for Judgment and Decision Making The 2019 40th Annual Conference (Conferences)
Montreal Convention Center, Montreal, Quebec
Friday, November 15th 2019
Monday, November 18th 2019
Toby Prike will be presenting CPC research during the Sunday morning poster session.
Poster: "Generalizing Financial Decision Making to Other Domains"
Prike, Toby (University of Southampton); Bijak, Jakub (University of Southampton); Higham, Philip A. (University of Southampton)
Tuesday, November 12th 2019
Transforming the future of ageing (Workshops)
Brussels
Tuesday, November 12th 2019
CPC Director Jane Falkingham will be taking part in a meeting held by the European Commission on the topic of 'Transforming the future of ageing'.
With this meeting, the Group aims to gain critical insights into emerging areas for possible recommendations on social conditions enabling healthy ageing, and the sustainability and fairness of late-life care.
Friday, November 8th 2019
ESRC Festival of Social Science: The generation game - is it fair? (Public engagement events)
University of Southampton
Friday, November 8th 2019
Our society is changing at an extraordinary rate. As housing prices and life expectancies rise, we face new challenges and opportunities to influence and shape future communities. This event aims to talk to young people about fairness and provision in society, and ask them about their expectations for the future.
We ask students to take on the roles of councillors, planners, policy-makers or pensions analysts, to solve a ‘problem’. With limited budgets and diverse priorities, who will they help and why? What services are available, and how can funds be raised? CPC researchers will be on hand to shed light on how they might use latest research findings to make decisions. Through discussion, young people and researchers can explore myths and assumptions to address core conflicts within our society.
The event allows young people to understand complex economic and social issues affecting them today, and in the future, and the gain perspective from the point of our leaders and policy makers. In the spirit in generational exchange, it also allows our researchers to discuss important findings with the young people it will affect, and to hear their views.
Thursday, November 7th 2019
Ending Pensioner Poverty (Public engagement events)
London
Thursday, November 7th 2019
As part of the Festival of Social Sciences, Nele Van Der Wielen presented CPC-CRA-APHRC research on "The Kenyan Older Persons Cash Transfer Programme" as part of a panel debate on Pensioner Poverty.
Monday, November 4th 2019
Expert Meeting: Freedom of Choice - The Foundation of Family Policies in Europe? (Workshops)
German Embassy, 34 Belgrave Square, SW1X 8QB, London
Monday, November 4th 2019
The aim of this event is to discuss the foundation and the future directions of family and reproductive health policies based on empirical evidence provided by eminent scholars, and experiences of decision-makers and experts from policy and civil society organisations. We will focus on the situation in Germany and Great Britain without losing sight of developments in other European countries.
CPC member Brienna Perelli-Harris is presenting a keynote talk on "Partnership formation and economic precarity: Implications for policy in the UK"
Thursday, October 17th 2019 - Saturday, October 19th 2019
Divorce Conference 2019 (Conferences)
Florence, Italy
Thursday, October 17th 2019
Saturday, October 19th 2019
The following CPC members will be speaking at Divorce Conference in October 2019.
Friday October 18th
10.50 Session 4 Economic consequences of divorce (chair: Stefani Scherer)
Hill Kulu, Júlia Mikolai and Sergi Vidal
Getting Back on the Housing Ladder? Separation and Homeownership in Britain and Germany
13.50 Session 5 Determinants of divorce (chair: Michael Wagner)
Sebastian Stannard, Ann Berrington and Nisreen A. Alwan
Understanding the Inter-Generational Transmission of Complex Family Trajectories
Saturday, October 19th
Session 1
Júlia Mikolai and Hill Kulu
Union dissolution and divorce among ethnic minorities in Britain
Programme: https://2019divorceconference.files.wordpress.com/2019/07/preliminary-program-divorce-conference-2019-2.pdf
Friday, October 4th 2019
CPC Seminar - SociaLab: A Census-based simulation tool for policy inquiry (Seminars and lectures)
Peter Davies
54/8031
Friday, October 4th 2019
15:00-16:00
SociaLab: A census-based simulation tool for public policy inquiry
Professor Peter Davis
It is usually neither practical nor ethical to conduct large-scale experiments in public policy with standard methodologies. One alternative for the prior testing of policy options is to use simulation, a prime contemporary example being climate change projections.
A tool – SociaLab – was developed for the counterfactual modelling of public policy drawing on longitudinal data from the New Zealand census and using microsimulation techniques. The seminar will outline the background, construction and counterfactual modelling results from the tool.
SociaLab potentially provides an open-source tool for deliberative inquiry in policy development. It has now been fully written up in Simulating Societal Change, co-authored with Roy Lay-Yee, and published by Springer in the series Computational Social Sciences.
Peter Davis is Honorary Professor in the Department of Statistics and Emeritus Professor in Population Health and Social Science at the University of Auckland. Earlier in his career, he was the founding director of the Centre of Methods and Policy Application in the Social Sciences (COMPASS) in the Faculty of Arts and before that a health and applied sociologist in the Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences. He has an undergraduate degree from Southampton, Masters degrees in Sociology and in Statistics from the London School of Economics, and a PhD from Auckland.
Thursday, October 3rd 2019
Thames Estuary Growth Day (Other)
Jane Falkingham
CentrEd at ExCeL, Royal Victoria Dock, 1 Western Gateway, London E16 1XL
Thursday, October 3rd 2019
CPC Director Professor Jane Falkingham will be presenting and participating in a panel debate "Who are we building homes for?", at the annual Thames Estuary Growth Day.
The government has announced a multimillion pound package of commitments to drive forward growth for the Thames Estuary. Ambitious plans are in place to create 1.3 million new jobs, build a million new homes, and generate an extra £190 billion for the local economy. The Thames Estuary Growth Day will offer a day of presentations and discussions to explore how these plans can deliver growth and what opportunities for
development will be unlocked.
Now in its third year, previous events have been attended by more than 250 delegates, including members and senior officers from 23 local authorities in east London, Kent and Essex and senior personnel from the private sector.
This event is the only one of its kind, bringing all the key stakeholders in the future of the Thames Estuary together during one day, to draw national attention to this debate.
Saturday, September 21st 2019
CEPR European Conference on Household Finance 2019 (Conferences)
Hector Calvo Pardo,
Rhodes
Saturday, September 21st 2019
09:45
Hector Calvo Pardo will be presenting 'Subjective Return Expectations, Inattention and Stock Market Participation' at 09:45-10:30 on Saturday 21 September 2019 as part of the CEPR European Conference on Household Finance 2019. For more information please find the programme online here: https://cepr.org/5728/programme
Thursday, September 19th 2019
CPC Seminar - Career Ecosystem (Seminars and lectures)
Yehuda Baruch
University of Southampton, Building 58 Room 1023
Thursday, September 19th 2019
15:00-16:00
The next Centre for Population Change seminar will be held on 19 September in building 58, room 1023, 15:00-16:00. Yehuda Baruch from the University of Southampton, is going to give a talk entitled, Career Ecosystem.
Abstract: The presentation offers a novel theoretical lens an ecosystem theory of careers whereby new forms of institutional work arrangements emerge in response to changes in the environment. Careers and career management have changed significantly in the past generation, and labour markets have become more dynamic, with an overriding demand for flexibility due to the needs and requirements of both organizations and individuals. This meant that the psychological contract, which is the bedrock of work relations, has changed too. The new normal is characterized by posts carrying varied obligations and expectations that come in varying work configurations.
The ecosystem theory is applied to careers and labour markets. Labour markets, global labour market included, are presented as an ecosystem (Baruch, 2015; Baruch et al., 2016; Baruch & Rousseau, 2019) where a number of players act and interact with each other. The main thrust of this idea is that of perpetuum mobileanything and everything are in continuous flux.
The Actors in the system are individuals, institutions and nations. Individuals act, interact and communicate. There is interconnectedness across the actors within different levels of analysis, adding to the complexity. Interactions take place, most notably the exchange of labour for wages, as well as the host of pertinent regulations and laws, such as employment and migration laws at the national level; and policies and strategies at the firm level. In the context of interdependency, different actors bring their needs, expectations, and offer their contributions. Robust ecosystem leads to overall effectiveness whereas fragile ecosystem might diminish.
Thursday, September 12th 2019 - Saturday, September 14th 2019
ECSR European Consortium for Sociological Research (Conferences)
University of Lausanne, Switzerland
Thursday, September 12th 2019
Saturday, September 14th 2019
Monday, September 9th 2019 - Wednesday, September 11th 2019
CPC Poster Session at BSPS (Conferences)
Cardiff
Monday, September 9th 2019
Wednesday, September 11th 2019
CPC will be celebrating our 10th year of research with colleagues and supporters in the BSPS community. In addition to the CPC member representation at the conference, we are sponsoring the first evening poster session. Please join us for some cake, a drink, and to hear all about our research over the last 10 years.
The British Society for Population Studies conference is an important part of the CPC calendar year, providing a forum for us to share our work and get feedback from the UK’s top population.
Find out more about the event: http://www.lse.ac.uk/social-policy/research/Research-clusters/british-society-for-population-studies/annual-conference
Monday, September 9th 2019 - Wednesday, September 11th 2019
British Society for Population Studies Conference 2019 (Conferences)
Various
Cardiff
Monday, September 9th 2019
Wednesday, September 11th 2019
Monday 09 September 2019
13:30-15:00
Session: Data Quality
Title: Data quality in mixed mode mixed-device general population UK social survey: Evidence from the Understanding Society Wave 8
Authors: Maslovskaya, Durrant & Smith
Session: Ageing: Informal & formal care
Title: Pathways into informal care provision
Authors: Fuglsang-Palmer, Vlachantoni, Evandrou
16:45-18:15
Session: Telling the story in statistics 1
Title: Maximising partnerships to communicate demographic research
Authors: McGowan, Dey, Falkingham
Session: Families & Households: Divorce & Partnership transitions
Title: Union dissolution and divorce among ethnic minorities in Britain
Authors: Mikolai, Kulu
Session: Families & Households: Divorce & Partnership transitions
Title: Getting Back on the Housing Ladder? Separation and Homeownership in Britain and Germany
Authors: Kulu, Mikolai, Vidal
Session: Families & Households: Divorce & Partnership transitions
Title: Relationship quality indicators and living apart together union transitions
Authors: Ciritel, Berrington, Perrelli-Harris
Session: Families & Households: Divorce & Partnership transitions
Title: How does information spread affect migration routes? Insights from simulation modelling
Authors: Hinsch, Bijak
Tuesday 10 September 2019
11:00-12:30
Session: Fertility & reproductive health: Geographical & environmental influences on fertility & reproductive health
Title: Subnational variations in European fertility: the Nordic countries
Authors: Campisi
Session: Families & households: Intergenerational effects
Title: Understanding the intergenerational transmission of complex family trajectories
Authors: Stannard, Berrington, Alwan
Session: Innovative statistical models for estimation & forecasting
Title: Comparing fertility forecasting methods
Authors: Hilton, Dodd, Forster, Smith, Bijak
16:45-18:15
Session: Innovative data & methods
Title: Probalistic methods for combining traditional & social media bilateral migration data
Authors: Yildiz, Wisniowski, Abel
Session: Innovative data & methods
Title: Using digital traces to measure European migrant population in the UK by combining the Labour Force Survey and Facebook advertising data
Authors: Rampazzo, Bijak, Vitali, Weber, Zagheni
Session: Feminist approaches: Gender, work & production
Title: Women's economic empowerment in sub-Saharan Africa: A cross-national analysis using DHS data
Authors: Williams, Väisänen, Padmadas
Wednesday 11 September
09:00-11:00
Session: Ageing: Ageing, health & poverty
Title: Understanding the impact and targeting efficiency of Kenya's Older Persons Cash Transfer Programme
Authors: van der Wielen, Chepngeno-Langat, Evandrou, Falkingham
Session: Fertility: Abortion
Title: The different decisions after conceiving as a teenager: how the proportions of teenage pregnancies leading to abortion vary through England in 1998-2016
Authors: Heap, Berrington, Ingham
Session: Fertility: Abortion
Title: Understanding misoprostol use and health literacy among women obtaining medication abortions in Lagos
Authors: Väisänen, Moore, Owolabi, Stillman, Fatusi, Akinyemi
Session: Health: Public health
Title: Determinants of inequalities in low birth weight in Sri Lanka: The evidence from the first post-war Demographic and Health Survey-2016
Authors: Abeywickrama, Padmadas, Hinde
11:30-15:00
Session: Health & mortality: The life course & health
Title: Health that shapes health: The menopause and changes in health behaviours
Authors: La Valle, Channon, Väisänen
Session: Families & households: Multigenerational households, kin & friendship networks
Title: Intergenerational support and its impact on the health status of older people in China
Authors: Yang, Evandrou, Vlachantoni
Tuesday, August 20th 2019 - Friday, August 23rd 2019
ESA Conference 2019 (Conferences)
Albert Sabater; Helen Kowlewska
Manchester
Tuesday, August 20th 2019
Friday, August 23rd 2019
Albert Sabater and Helen Kolewska will be presenting at ESA Conference 2019 in Manchester.
Wednesday 21 August 2019
11:00-12:30; UP.4.211
Helen Kowalewska: Bringing Women on Board? Women-Friendly' Welfare States and Gender Balance in Top Jobs
Welfare states enable women's employment through the family policies they provide and the jobs they create. Hence, researchers, the press, and politicians hail Scandinavian societies as a gender equality 'paradise' and a role model for the UK due to their generous public sectors. Yet, Mandel and Semyonov (2006) identify a welfare state 'paradox': 'women-friendly' social policies also make it harder for women to progress to managerial roles. However, missing from existing research is a consideration of how welfare states shape womens access to the very top board and executive positions specifically. This distinction matters because women in top management are best placed to effect organisational changes (e.g. occupational childcare, sexual harassment training) that can help lower-earning women to reconcile employment and care and secure their financial wellbeing as well as their body rights (Kowalewska, submitted).
To contribute to filling this gap, this paper analyses the relationship between women-friendly state interventions and gender balance in top-management positions across 17 OECD countries via a Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA). The latest data reveal that womens access to board positions is accelerating in the Nordics but stalling in liberal economies like the UK; hence, other factors (e.g. gender boardroom legislation) potentially offset the negative effects of women-friendly policies on womens occupational advancement. QCA can illuminate if this is the case, as it treats cases as wholes, focusing on how conditions combine with each other in producing an outcome. Data will come from the International Social Survey Programme, the OECD, the World Bank, and Deloitte. In turn, the analysis can illuminate whether women-friendly state interventions always come at the price of womens access to the most powerful jobs.
Wednesday 21 August 2019
16:00-17:30; BS.4.06A
Albert Sabater: Ageing, Housing Affordability and Spatial Age Segregation: Evidence from the UK
In most post-industrial ageing societies, the patterns of spatial age differentiation that exist are comparatively recent phenomena. In the UK, the current policy focus on ageing in place highlights one possible mechanism expected to increase spatial age segregation. However, the potential consequences of the so-called affordability crisis the fact that both owner-occupied and private rental housing have become increasingly unaffordable have so far been neglected. Building on previous work, this paper examines trends in spatial age segregation and provides evidence of the impact of housing unaffordability on the patterns of intergenerational space within the UK context. Combining harmonised data from 2001 and 2011 Censuses as well as rich housing market data (property sales and rentals) and income estimates for small areas, we first investigate whether, and to what degree, communities along the urban-rural continuum are becoming residentially segregated by age. Second, we study whether residential age segregation between older (aged 65 and over) and younger (aged 25-44) adults is connected to housing (dis)advantage. The results confirm an increasing trend in the age differentiation of urban and rural communities over time, and indicate that areas with higher unaffordability levels are becoming more residentially age segregated. This pattern of reduced spatial interaction between older and younger adults highlights that there is an important socioeconomic dimension to spatial age segregation. Our findings reveal that housing unaffordability is partly responsible for the lower spatial interaction between older and younger adults. Thus, we argue in this paper that a fundamental shift is needed among the group of actors who are involved in place-making and place-shaping of different communities to avoid the emergence of generationed spaces in contemporary ageing societies.
Tuesday, July 2nd 2019 - Thursday, July 4th 2019
Understanding Society Conference (Conferences)
Various
University of Essex
Tuesday, July 2nd 2019
Thursday, July 4th 2019
CPC involvement at Understanding Society Conference 2019:
July 2nd
Session 1 Employment and Family
Precarity and relationship quality in the UK: long-term economic uncertainty, employment shocks and perceptions of future financial outlook
13:30-14:00 Brienna Perelli-Harris
July 3rd
Plenary: family dynamics among immigrants and their descendents in Europe
11:00-12:00 Hill Kulu keynote speaker
Session 4 Partnership and employment
The relationship between economic precariousness and union formation of young British adults
14:00-14:30 Lydia Palumbo
July 4th
Session 7 Event History Analyses
The transition to parenthood among Britain's 'generation rent': examining the changing role of housing tenure
14:15-15:15 Ann Berrington
Monday, July 1st 2019
CPC Seminar - Population Aging and Sustainable Economic Growth in China (Seminars and lectures)
Prof Yang Chenggang
06/1083
Monday, July 1st 2019
15:00-16:00
This seminar is organised by the Centre for Population Change, the Centre for Ageing and the China Research Centre.
Prof Yang Chenggang from the Population Research Institute at Southwestern University of Finance & Economics in Chengdu, will be presenting on Population Aging and Sustainable Economic Growth in China.
Refreshments will be served in 58/2041 following the seminar.
Abstract: China's past rapid economic growth has been praised by the whole world. It has also attracted attention whether China can continue to maintain rapid economic growth in the future, and whether it can cross the middle income trap. There are various disputes and even worries about this issue in China. Some of the reasons for anxiety are derived from China's population problems, such as the decreasing of the demographic dividend and the growing aging population.
The impact of population aging: The exploration mainly focuses on two major problems: (1) From the perspective of production, is the elderly population still productive? can it contribute to China's future economic growth? (2) From consumption and from the perspective of support, can the Chinese economy bear the burden of increasing old-age support?
The final conclusion: Although China's economy is severely challenged by the ageing of population, we can still maintain a positive and optimistic attitude towards the future development of China. Based on the family culture and intergenerational support within the Chinese society, it can produce the shadow dividend of the elderly population and it can help to maintain the higher market participation rate of young female working population and thus supports the development of the Chinese economy. At the same time, the level of development and labor productivity that the Chinese economy has achieved has enabled the Chinese economy to withstand the burden of old-age support brought about by the aging of the population. Therefore, we can believe China will keep sustainable economic growth and will successfully cross the middle income trap.
Thursday, June 20th 2019
CPC Seminar - Preferences to life expectancy - new findings from international surveys (Seminars and lectures)
Vegard Skirbekk
University of Southampton, Building 54 / 1039
Thursday, June 20th 2019
15:00-16:00
The Centre for Population Change seminar will be held on 20 June 2019 in Building 54, Room 1039, 15:00-16:00. Vegard Skirbekk from Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health (NY) is going to give the project 'Preferences to life expectancy - new findings from international surveys'.
After the talk, refreshments will be served in room 2041 on level 2 in Building 58.
Abstract: One of the most important changes that have taken place in the history of humanity has been the radical extensions taking place to life expectancy. Yet, in spite of mortality decreases being concentrated at higher and higher ages, there have been few studies on how long people want to live. Why do some people want to live a very long time, while others would rather die relatively young? We provide evidence from unique surveys on preferences to life expectancy based on surveys from a set of different countries. We use data from Germany, the US, Norway, Poland, Russia, Austria and Thailand. We present findings on preferences to the length of life across these countries. We show how these differ by individual risk factors, gender and education. We find that the extent to which the preference to die young or to live somewhat longer or much longer than average life expectancy is related to a person's positive and negative expectations of what their life will be like in old age. Having fewer positive expectations for their own old age distinguishes people who prefer to die relatively young, while having fewer negative expectations distinguishes people who want to live beyond current levels of life expectancy. The results provide evidence that pessimistic expectations of life in old age can undermine the desire to live up to and beyond current average life expectancy.
Thursday, June 20th 2019
CPC Seminar - Comparing migrant mortality versus origin: results consistent with selection hypothesis (Seminars and lectures)
Matthew Wallace
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G/8)
Thursday, June 20th 2019
13:00-14:00
Abstract: A migrant mortality advantage occurs when international migrants live longer than non-migrants. This phenomenon is well documented, but often only conceptualized and estimated relative to destination populations. Here, we re-conceptualize and re-estimate the advantage relative to origin populations, providing new insight into its patterns and causes. Specifically, we calculate and compare the all-cause mortality and tertiary level educational attainment levels of the thirty-five largest migrant groups in England and Wales to their origin country populations. We use age-sex-origin-specific macro-level data from the Office for National Statistics, Human Mortality Database, United Nations World Population Prospects, and Wittgenstein Center Data Explorer. We find that nearly all migrant groups experience an age-adjusted (20+) mortality advantage-versus-origin and -destination, with variation in the size of the former linked to origin country development level. When we examine specific ages, we find the advantage-versus-origin to be most pronounced at peak migration ages and to diminish thereafter. For tertiary-level educational attainment, migrants were near systematically advantaged over age. Our findings are consistent with selection hypothesis as a pervasive explanation of the migrant mortality advantage. Moreover, we demonstrate the value of estimating the advantage-versus-origin and its potential role as a valuable complement to comparisons between migrants and the destination population.
Thursday, June 20th 2019 - Saturday, June 22nd 2019
26th International Conference of Europeanists (Conferences)
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
Thursday, June 20th 2019
Saturday, June 22nd 2019
Professor Derek McGhee and Dr Chris Moreh will be presenting their paper: The 'Brexit' effect on the life satisfaction of Poles in the UK
Thursday, May 30th 2019
CPC Seminar - Outcomes of only children across the life course: analysis using Swedish registry data (Seminars and lectures)
Katy Keenan
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G/8)
Thursday, May 30th 2019
13:00-14:00
Abstract:
Increasing postponement and fertility decline in Europe mean that the proportion of children who grow up as only children is increasing, and will likely continue to increase in the coming decades. Recent analysis of Swedish data has found that only children have one of the highest mortality rates of all sibling groups, but the mechanism remains unclear. In this study we attempt to unravel this apparent health disparity using Swedish administrative data which measures health and social outcomes at various stages throughout the life course. We investigate educational and health outcomes in adolescence and early adulthood, and mortality patterns, and attempt to adjust for various confounding factors and selection mechanisms that might account for the relative poorer health of only children. Results are discussed within the context of changing fertility patterns in Europe.
Friday, May 24th 2019
CPC Seminar - Subnational variation and determinants of European fertility (Seminars and lectures)
Nicholas Campisi
University of Southampton, Building 54, Room 8033 (8B)
Friday, May 24th 2019
15:00-16:00
The Centre for Population Change seminar will be held on 24 May 2019 in Building 54, Room 8033 (8B), 15:00-16:00. Nicholas Campisi from the University of St Andrews is going to give a talk entitled, 'Subnational variation and determinants of European fertility'.
After the talk, refreshments will be served in room 2041 on level 2 in Building 58.
Abstract: Since 2000, European fertility has split into two distinct groups - countries with high fertility just below replacement level total fertility, and countries with very low fertility. Countries with high fertility include those in the 'Nordic Welfare Regime' that are seen as leaders in fertility trends and forerunners of increased fertility due to their high levels of social democracy. However, since 2010, the Nordic countries have also experienced decreases in fertility that are expected to reduce fertility to levels similar to the low fertility group. Prior research also demonstrates both the persistence and importance of differences between urban fertility and rural fertility; in which urban places with high population density and relatively low fertility lead rural places with low population density and higher fertility in fertility transitions. However, the role of urban places in recent fertility declines is still unclear, especially in light of recent changes to fertility-determinant relationships. The aim of this PhD project is to understand what relationships contribute to modern European fertility patterns and what decreases will mean for future patterns and the goal of replacement level fertility.
This project begins by first analyzing fertility in small geographic units across 21 European countries to assess the relationships between fertility and economic, sociocultural, and spatial determinants. It then continues by focusing on four countries with decreasing fertility - Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. Results demonstrate persistent patterns of local fertility, despite national-level convergence. Significant relationships between fertility and economic, sociocultural, and spatial factors are demonstrated across Europe, providing direction in light of changing fertility-determinant relationships. Preliminary Nordic analysis demonstrates distinct patterns by country and geography, with two distinct patterns: one of convergence and one of lag.
Thursday, May 16th 2019
CPC Seminar - Fertility under fundamental uncertainty (Seminars and lectures)
Daniele Vignoli
University of Southampton, Building 54 Room 7033 (7C)
Thursday, May 16th 2019
15:00-16:00
The Centre for Population Change seminar will be held on 16 May 2019 in Building 54, Room 7033 (room 7C), 15:00-16:00. Daniele Vignoli from the University of Florence is going to give a talk entitled, 'Fertility under fundamental uncertainty'.
After the talk, refreshments will be served in room 2041 on level 2 in Building 58.
Abstract:The increasing speed, dynamics, and volatility of outcomes of globalization makes it increasingly difficult for individuals to predict their future and choose between alternatives and strategies. This generates an unprecedented level of fundamental economic uncertainty, which, we argue, represents the game-changer in contemporary societies and family life courses. So far, the forces of uncertainty have been operationalized through objective indicators of individuals' labor market situation and through their subjective perception. This presentation reviews main macro- and micro-level evidence on the relation between economic uncertainty and fertility. Beside empirical tradition, we argue that fundamental uncertainty needs to be conceptualized and operationalized taking into account that people use works of imagination, producing their own narrative of the future - namely, imagined futures embedded in social elements and their interactions. These personal narratives of the future are anchored in existing cultural and institutional frames, as well as public images produced by press and social media. The narratives of the future become potent driving forces of reproductive decisions in spite of uncertainty, irrespective of structural constraints and their subjective perception. The talk ends by offering prospects of research on the topic.
More information can be found Daniele's project website: https://danielevignoli.com/
Thursday, April 25th 2019
CPC Seminar - How can the recent stalling of life expectancy gains in Scotland be best explained? (Seminars and lectures)
Julie Ramsay & Maria Kaye-Bardgett
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G/8)
Thursday, April 25th 2019
13:00-14:00
Abstract:
Annual gains in life expectancy in Scotland have been slower in recent years than in previous decades. Similar trends have been observed in England, Wales, Northern Ireland and the USA. This analysis explores the contribution of specific causes of death to mortality by age and cause in the two periods 2000-02 to 2012-14 and 2012-14 to 2015-17.
Life expectancy at birth was calculated from death and population counts available from National Records of Scotland disaggregated by five year age categories and by ICD-10 underlying cause of death. Arriaga’s method of life expectancy decomposition was used to produce estimates of the contribution of different age groups and underlying causes of death to life expectancy at birth for each period.
This presentation will explain the results obtained so far, and discuss the plans to extend the analysis to look at the impact of deprivation on life expectancy trends.
Wednesday, April 24th 2019
AgeUK Dissemination Event: Carers in Mid-Life (Other)
Athina Vlachantoni
AgeUK London Headquarters
Wednesday, April 24th 2019
10:00-13:00
This is a dissemination event for the research project 'Extending our understanding of informal care provision in mid-life in the UK by linking qualitative and quantitative data in the National Child Development Study', relating to Briefing Papers 46 & 47.
Briefing Paper 46: Informal caring in mid-life and its economic consequences
Briefing Paper 47: Social participation and health outcomes among carers in Great Britain
Wednesday, April 24th 2019 - Friday, April 26th 2019
British Sociological Association Annual Conference (Conferences)
Various
Glasgow Caledonian University
Wednesday, April 24th 2019
Friday, April 26th 2019
CPC involvement at the 2019 BSA Annual Conference 'Challenging Social Hierarchies and Inequalities':
Agnese Vitali and Helen Kowalewska
Thursday 25 April 11:00 – 12:30 Work, Employment &Economic Life B
Work/Family Arrangements across the OECD: The Emergence of the Female-Breadwinner Model
Albert Sabater, Nissa Finney and Elspeth Graham,
Wednesday 24 April 15:30-17:00, Paper Session 3 – Cities, Mobilities, Place and Space
(Inter)generational Geographies and Housing (Dis)advantages Between Older and Younger Adults in Urban Areas
Full list of abstracts
Wednesday, April 10th 2019 - Saturday, April 13th 2019
PAA Annual Meeting (Conferences)
Various
Austin, TX, USA
Wednesday, April 10th 2019
Saturday, April 13th 2019
CPC members will be heading to Austin, Texas, for the Population Association of America (PAA) 2019 Annual Meeting between 10-13 April. The meeting brings together demographers, social and health scientists from the United States and abroad. Since PAA's first conference in 1930, much important research has been presented and discussed on topics ranging from migration to sexual reproductive health to race and gender issues.
Read more: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/news/latest_news/?action=story&id=644
Thursday, April 4th 2019 - Friday, April 5th 2019
5th Workshop on the Economics of Migration (Workshops)
Michel Beine, University of Luxembourg | Frédéric Docquier, Université Catholique de Louvain | Christina Gathmann, Heidelberg University
Esch-Belval, Luxembourg
Thursday, April 4th 2019
Friday, April 5th 2019
The 5th Workshop on the Economics of Migration is organized by the Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER) and the Centre for Population Change (CPC) in order to give PhD students and early-stage researchers (post-docs and junior professors with less than 5 years of experience) an opportunity to share their work in a constructive environment,
as well as to exchange the results of recent research in different fields of migration economics.
Submissions of full original papers are invited by December 31, 2018.
Submissions and inquiries should be addressed by email to: econmigr@gmail.com.
Decisions about acceptance for presentation in the conference will be communicated by January 20, 2019.
Participation in the workshop is free and meals will be provided, although participants are expected to seek their own funding for travels and accommodation. Participants will receive updates on the workshop and a full programme as soon as possible.
Additional information is available at: http://sites.google.com/site/econmigr
The organizers: Joël Machado, Michele Tuccio and Jackline Wahba
Associated Downloads
Thursday, April 4th 2019
CPC Seminar - Immigration and its effect on the local area (Seminars and lectures)
Corrado Giulietti
University of Southampton, Building 54 Room 7033 (7C)
Thursday, April 4th 2019
15:00-16:00
Abstract: We explore the impact of local-level immigration on the location choices of UK-born residents. Our study aims at investigating three questions: a) does an increase in the inflow rate of immigrants causally lead to a displacement of UK-born residents? b) Does displacement increase segregation within a local authority? c) What are the prevalent mechanisms behind displacement, e.g. economic channels (such as labour market and house prices) or non-economic ones (such as attitudes towards immigrants)? To empirically analyse these questions, we match data from Understanding Society The UK Household Longitudinal Study with statistics on immigrant inflows in the neighbourhood (middle layer super output area) from the National Insurance number allocations of the Department for Work and Pensions (NINo). The core analysis hinges on panel data fixed effects models.
Thursday, March 28th 2019
CPC Seminar - Studying neighbourhood effects on pregnancy using administrative health records and quasi-experimental methods (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Tom Clemens
Room 1/G/8 Ladywell Road, Edinburgh EH12 7TF
Thursday, March 28th 2019
13:00-14:00
Abstract: We know that health outcomes vary spatially and that characteristics of neighbourhoods, such as the level of socio-economic derivation, are strongly associated with health. Whether these effects are due to differences in terms of population composition or whether there exist independent “contextual” effects of neighbourhoods has long been debated by Geographers. The policy implications of this debate remain important; do we focus policy on the area itself or the people in the area? Part of this debate concerns the empirical challenge of isolating one explanation from the other. Much of the available empirical evidence comes from cross-sectional observational studies. These studies compare different people between different areas where it is difficult to control for confounding resulting from underlying differences between populations. Administrative health data (i.e. data collected as part of routine healthcare) provides some opportunities to tackle this problem given the full population coverage and the repeated longitudinal collection of records over time. In this seminar, I will introduce some recent work where we have used administrative records to improve our understanding of both context and composition effects in the relationship between neighbourhood characteristics and pregnancy outcomes.
Friday, March 22nd 2019
SSD Seminar: European migration to the United Kingdom in the light of Facebook data (Seminars and lectures)
Francesco Rampazzo
University of Southampton, Building 28 Room 1019
Friday, March 22nd 2019
12:00
University of Southampton Social Sciences and Demography Departmental Seminar. CPC Student Francesco Rampazzo will give a presentation entitled 'European migration to the United Kingdom in the light of Facebook data'.
Thursday, March 21st 2019
CPC Seminar - Online Footprints of Family Change: a Study Based on Twitter (Seminars and lectures)
Nicolo Cavalli
University of Southampton, Building 54 Room 7033
Thursday, March 21st 2019
15:00-16:00
Authors: Nicolò Cavalli, Francesco C. Billari, Eric Qian, Ingmar Weber
Abstract:In this study, we build a large dataset ( > 5M observations) using a popular micro blogging platform, Twitter. By analysing self-reported biographical information of Twitter users located in the United States, we construct simple State-level indicators for the prevalence of traditional" versus modern" family roles. We show that our measures correlate spatially to real-world behavioural indices linked to the ideas of Second Demographic Transition and Gender Revolution. We also analyse specific cultural correlates to self-reported identities, aiming at capturing the heterogeneity of ideas about family that contributes to shaping socio-demographic change. Our approach provides an innovative way to map the cultural footprints that underlie family change, updating to the "Internet era" the Goffmanian research project concerned with the presentation of self in everyday life.
Thursday, March 21st 2019
Empty Planet: The Shock of Global Population Decline (Seminars and lectures)
Various
Central London
Thursday, March 21st 2019
18:30
CPC Director Professor Jane Falkingham will be speaking at this event hosted by Ipsos Mori in London. Further information can be found online here: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/empty-planet-shock-global-population-decline
Description: Ipsos MORI invites you to our upcoming event, Empty Planet, on the evening of 21st March.
While depopulation may provide many benefits, such as higher wages for workers, improving the environment and more autonomy for women, there are also disadvantages, such as worker shortages and ageing populations. This event will touch upon a wealth of research to illustrate the dramatic consequences of population decline, both good and bad, and you will hear from some of the prominent thinkers in the field.
Speakers:
Darrell Bricker, Chief Executive of Ipsos Public Affairs & author of Empty Planet: The Shock of Global Population Decline.
Eric Kaufmann, Professor of Politics at Birkbeck, University of London & author of Whiteshift: Populism, Immigration and the Future of White Majorities.
Professor Jane Falkingham, Demographer, Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change, and Dean of the Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Southampton
Robin Maynard, Director, Population Matters
Kelly Beaver, Managing Director, Ipsos MORI Social Research Institute (chair)
Saturday, March 16th 2019
Science and Engineering Day (Public engagement events)
University of Southampton
Saturday, March 16th 2019
10:30-16:30
The Southampton Science & Engineering Festival (SOTSEF) and Science & Engineering Day is back for 2019 with more exciting hands-on activities, shows, demonstrations, talks and tours!
Find the Centre for Population Change stand 'A Life Journey - How to get to 100 and enjoy it' in Building 67 between 10:30 and 16:30.
Find out more about the SOTSEF festival at http://www.sotsef.co.uk/science_&_engineering_day/
Wednesday, March 13th 2019
Informative Social Interactions - CREST Microeconomics Seminar (Seminars and lectures)
Hector Calvo-Pardo
CREST, Palaiseau cedex, France, room 3001
Wednesday, March 13th 2019
12:15-13:30
We design,
eld and exploit survey data from a representative sample of the French population to examine whether informative social
interactions enter householdsstockholding decisions. Respondents report perceptions about their circle of peers with whom they interact about financial
matters, their social circle and the population. We provide evidence for the presence of an information channel through which social interactions infuence
perceptions and expectations about stock returns, and financial behavior. We also find evidence of mindless imitation of peers in the outer social circle, but
this does not permeate as many layers of financial behavior as informative social interactions do.
Thursday, February 28th 2019
CPC Seminar - Exploring inequalities in end of life care with linked administrative data from Scotland (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Anna Schneider
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, February 28th 2019
13:00-14:00
This talk presents findings from two papers of the 'Care at the end of life' study, the first study to link Scottish Census data with healthcare data and death records. The data linkage allows looking at trends in end of life care over time as well as to compare care use and provision for diverse population groups. The focus of the talk lies on inequalities in palliative care need and informal care availability, comparing people living in the most deprived areas of Scotland to those in the least deprived areas. Based on data from 110,283 cases, the analysis highlights that need for formal care and other types of support vary significantly between neighbourhoods, which is both a result of differences in informal care availability in patients' households as well as of differing illness trajectories.
Thursday, February 14th 2019 - Sunday, February 17th 2019
AAAS Annual Meeting (Public engagement events)
Washington, DC
Thursday, February 14th 2019
Sunday, February 17th 2019
CPC Interactive exhibition 'How to get to 100 and enjoy it!' will be showcased on the UKRI stand of the American Association for the Advancement of Science Annual Meeting in February 2019. The meeting theme is 'Science Transcending Boundaries' with a focus on climate change, ageing and security. Find out more at https://meetings.aaas.org/
The exhibition builds a bridge between experts with specialised knowledge and the broader public, not only by providing information but also by encouraging interactive participation of the audience. In doing so the exhibition brings the importance of holistic thinking about ageing to the forefront.
http://www.cpc.ac.uk/projects/21/How_to_get_to_100_and_enjoy_it_Interactive_exhibition_and_educational_resources#overview
Thursday, February 14th 2019
CPC Seminar - Globally Mapping Human Settlements in the Absence of Satellite Imagery (Seminars and lectures)
Jeremiah Nieves
University of Southampton, Building 54 Room 7033 (7C)
Thursday, February 14th 2019
15:00-16:00
Recently, urban feature datasets across time, derived from satellite imagery and global in extent, have become more available. Yet, the availability of these data exists for only a few time points leaving gaps in the growth of the built-settlement footprint through time, even as demand for these data sets grow. Here I have developed a semi-automated modelling framework that is applicable across the globe and capable of producing annual maps of settlement growth. This model leverages the latent temporal information from relative changes in population of subnational areas to estimate the magnitude of settlement changes and combines random forests with environmental covariates to predict the location-specific (100m x100m grid square) probability of non-settlement-to-settlement transitions. We then employ dasymetric mapping methods to spatially allocate these predicted changes in settlement extent. Further, the framework leverages the observed and interpolated settlement extents with the relationships to covariates to predict short-term future built-settlement extents. An initial validation of this framework, using annual ESA CCI “urban” landcover and predicting annually at 100m resolution, across four countries (Panama, Switzerland, Uganda, and Vietnam) between 2000 and 2015, with observations every five years, showed overall accuracies between 85-99% for 2/3 of predicted years (n=49), with consistent performance across countries.
Thursday, January 17th 2019
CPC Seminar - Effects of the Perceived Sustainability of Public Pension Systems on Social Policy Preferences: Evidence from a Survey Experiment in Germany, Spain and the United States (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Jonas Radl
University of Southampton, Building 54 Room 10037
Thursday, January 17th 2019
15:00-16:00
A growing literature shows that popular attitudes towards public policy reforms are sensitive to issue knowledge. It is also widely believed that well-informed people tend to prefer different policy reforms than ill-informed people. We apply these general insights of public opinion research to the analysis of attitudes towards welfare reform in the wake of demographic ageing. Our study draws on new experimental evidence regarding three advanced democracies with ageing populations - Germany, Spain and United States. Based on newly conducted online surveys of the general population and an experimental approach, we examine how 'hard knowledge' is related to the support for concrete public policy reforms. Specifically, the paper analyzes how information on the financial sustainability of pension systems affects support for various avenues of welfare state reform. The first objective of the project is to ascertain how the random exposure to the treatment - which varies in content across the study countries - shapes attitudes toward social spending, and, in that case, what kinds of outcomes are most strongly affected. By exploiting variation in respondents' prior pension knowledge, our second objective is to find out to what extent measured impacts are driven by priming or information effects, respectively. Finally, we also set out to discover what individual characteristics (age, gender, education) moderate the information effect on policy preferences. The project has important implications for the dynamics of public discourse on welfare reform.
Wednesday, December 12th 2018 - Thursday, December 13th 2018
Female-Breadwinner Families Workshop (Workshops)
Royal Astronomical Society, London
Wednesday, December 12th 2018
Thursday, December 13th 2018
Despite the increase of female-breadwinner families in developed countries (families in which women are the sole or main income provider), little is known about who these couples are, how and why they emerge, and what trends in female breadwinning mean for women, men and children.
Funded by the UK Economic and Social Research Council under the Future Research Leaders scheme, grant number ES/N00082X/1.
Find out more about the project here: http://www.cpc.ac.uk/projects/57/Female_Breadwinner_Families_in_Europe#overview
Thursday, December 6th 2018
CPC Seminar - Grandparent Care: A Key Factor in Mothers' Labour Force Participation in the UK (Seminars and lectures)
Shireen Kanji
University of Southampton, Building 58 Room 1007 (L/R C)
Thursday, December 6th 2018
15:00-16:00
The relationships between paid work and informal care are critical to understanding how
paid work is made possible. An extensive source of childcare in the UK is the intergenerational care grandparents provide. Using data from the UK's Millennium Cohort Study, a nationally representative sample of children born in 2000, biprobit and instrumental variables (IV) analysis of mothers' participation (given the social construction of caring responsibility) identifies a significant causal effect of grandparents' childcare in that it:
(i) raises the labour force participation of mothers with a child of school entry age on
average by 12 percentage points (the average marginal effect);
(ii) raises the participation of the group of mothers who use grandparent childcare by 33
percentage points compared to the situation if they did not have access to this care (the
average treatment effect on the treated).
Thus grandparent-provided childcare has a substantial impact on the labour market in the
UK, an impact that may not be sustainable with forthcoming changes to the state pension age.
Grandparents' childcare increases the labour force participation of lone and partnered mothers at all levels of educational qualifications but by different degrees. Grandparents' childcare enables mothers to enter paid work rather than extending their hours of paid work. New evidence is presented on the effect of grandparent care on mothers' persistence in work.
Shireen Kanji is Reader in Work and Organisation at Birmingham Business School, University of Birmingham. Her work focuses on the connections between paid and unpaid work, production and reproduction. Her research is situated in the intersection of gender, work and social inequality. Current research includes the exploration of the actual and preferred working hours of older men and women in Europe.
Tuesday, December 4th 2018
University of Southampton and CPC Public Lecture Series - Mapping population movement (Seminars and lectures)
Royal Geographical Society, London
Tuesday, December 4th 2018
Monday, December 3rd 2018
CPC Seminar - Brexit and EU Student Migration: Evidence from a Natural Experiment (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Corrado Giulietti
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G/8)
Monday, December 3rd 2018
13:00-14:00
Professor Corrado Giulietti, University of Southampton will present:
Title: Brexit and EU Student Migration: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
Authors: Jane Falkingham, Corrado Giulietti, Jackline Wahba, Chuhong Wang
This paper represents the first attempt to study the causal impact of “Brexit”, namely the UK's departure from the European Union (EU), on the post-graduation mobility decisions of EU students in the UK. We exploit the British government's formal withdrawal notification under Article 50 as a natural experiment and employ a difference-in-differences design. Using data from a new survey of graduating international students, we find that EU graduating students are significantly more likely than non-EU graduating students to plan on leaving the UK upon graduation immediately after the announcement. Interestingly, results are especially driven by students from the new EU countries and students from the EU14 countries who are uncertain of their migration plans. We further show that the deterrent effects are heterogeneous and depend on age and subject among others. These findings carry important implications for the post-Brexit UK in transition and for European countries with emerging calls for their own referendums.
Friday, November 23rd 2018
CPC Seminar - Why do older people fall in love? Partnership transitions and family relations in later life (Seminars and lectures)
Anna Rotkirch
University of Southampton, Building 67, Room 1001
Friday, November 23rd 2018
12:00-13:00
Rates of divorce, remarriage, cohabitation and dating are rising among the elderly as the second demographic transition is now reshaping old age. This poses interesting new questions about the functions, benefits and costs of post-reproductive pair bonds, both to the individual and to family relations. Yet there is a lack of both empirical data and theoretical understanding about "gray" couple relations. Why do older people fall in love, or out of love? Why do so many women aged 50+ and with a new partner prefer not to marry? How does remarriage affect women's and men's relations to grandchildren?
My talk presents the rationale and first results of a new research on partnership dynamics in old age in Europe, using data from the UN marital database and the longitudinal study Generational Transmissions in Finland.
Anna Rotkirch is Research Professor and Director of Research at Population Research Institute, Väestöliitto, Finland.
http://bit.ly/loveage_project
Tuesday, November 20th 2018
University of Southampton and CPC Public Lecture Series - Uncertainty and complexity of migration (Seminars and lectures)
British Academy, London
Tuesday, November 20th 2018
The second event in our new Public Lecture Series, which focuses on population and migration issues, takes place on Tuesday 20 November and will examine the uncertainty and complexity of migration.
Human migration is very complex. In our increasingly interconnected world, people around the globe choose to move for many different reasons. Some do so in order to escape poverty, war or persecution; others seek new opportunities through jobs, study, family reunion, or try to improve their quality of life.
Tuesday, November 20th 2018 - Wednesday, November 21st 2018
Workshop: Uncertainty and Complexity of Migration (Workshops)
British Academy, London
Tuesday, November 20th 2018
Wednesday, November 21st 2018
Migration is multidimensional, complex and uncertain. These features, alongside with the underpinning agency of actors involved in migration, have been recently gaining prominence in academic literature. These developments parallel the exploration of computer simulations as tools of enquiry for population processes. There is a current need for a discussion on the potential and limits of such computational methods, on their knowledge and data requirements, and on the conditions for their usefulness for supporting migration policy. The workshop will explore these topics and more, in order to identify the best ways of implementing the current cutting-edge research ideas in practice.
The workshop is organised as a part of the ERC project on Bayesian Agent-Based Population Studies, under the auspices of the International Union for the Scientific Study of Populations. The associated public lecture event in the evening of 20 November will be co-financed and co-organised by the University of Southampton.
Register: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/workshop-uncertainty-and-complexity-of-migration-tickets-50684630093
For more information regarding this event, please email Prof. Jakub Bijak at j.bijak@soton.ac.uk .
Monday, November 19th 2018
'Why the future of our population matters?' (Workshops)
Ann Berrington and Hill Kulu
British Embassy, Berlin, Germany
Monday, November 19th 2018
Why the future of our population matters?
Workshop offered by Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Population Europe, British Embassy in Berlin / UK Science & Innovation Network, Generations and Gender Programme and the London School of Economics and Political Science.
Friday, November 16th 2018
Research Cafe on the topic of 'People and Brexit' - Human Worlds Festival (Public engagement events)
Professor Traute Meyer
Cafe#1, Portswood, Southampton
Friday, November 16th 2018
18:30 - 20:15
As part of the University of Southampton's Human Worlds Festival, a Research café discussion will take place Friday 16 November 18:30-20:15 at Café#1, Portswood Road Southampton, gathering together four experts on various elements of Brexit to talk about how people might be affected, focusing on EU nationals in particular. Professor Traute Meyer from the Centre of Population Change will discuss, 'Do EU migrants exploit the UK welfare state?
Thursday, November 15th 2018 - Friday, November 16th 2018
Family and Fertility over the Lifecourse (Other)
University of St Andrews
Thursday, November 15th 2018
Friday, November 16th 2018
In the past decades, European societies have experienced significant changes in partnership, family and fertility dynamics. Marriage rates have declined in all European countries, non-marital cohabitation has become common, and divorce and separation have significantly increased. Childbearing has been postponed, but fertility levels fluctuate over time and vary across countries. Growing immigrant and ethnic minority populations have contributed to the diversity of family forms and individual life courses. Changing partnership and childbearing patterns have major implications for social stratification and health inequalities in the later life course.
This international symposium brings together researchers in the areas of family, fertility, migration and the life course to discuss recent research and the challenges that changing demographic realities pose to European countries at individual, regional and societal levels. The workshop is jointly organised by the University of St Andrews and the ESRC Centre for Population Change, and it will be held in Lower College Hall, the University of St Andrews.
Confirmed keynote speakers are Prof Aat Liefbroer (University of Amsterdam and NIDI), Prof Francesco Billari (Bocconi University), Dr Eleonora Mussino (Stockholm University) and Prof Jane Falkingham (University of Southampton).
Friday, November 9th 2018
CPC Seminar - Bradley Tombleson & Cuiling Zhang (Seminars and lectures)
University of Southampton, Building 04 Room 4003
Friday, November 9th 2018
12:00-13:30
A joint seminar hosted by CPC and Department of Social Statistics and Demography at the University of Southampton. Both speakers will be presenting 40 minute talks, with time for questions. A sandwich lunch will be provided.
Bradley Tombleson - The ageing-migration nexus: provincial-level trends in China
Cuiling Zhang - The Reinterpretation of China's Fertility Decline: the Neglected Role of Birth Timing Policy
Thursday, October 25th 2018
CPC Seminar - Nuptiality patterns across space and time in Italy: evidence from register data (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Francesca Rinesi
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Scotland
Thursday, October 25th 2018
13:00-14:00
In recent decades, Italy has rapidly experienced cultural and societal transformations that lead to major changes in family formation. The most relevant of these are nuptiality decline, changes in the age at first marriage, rise of non-marital cohabitation and LAT, higher levels of marital disruption and remarriages. Notwithstanding, marriage cannot be considered in Italy as an outdated institution since 8 women and 7 men aged 45 out of 10 are or have been married. The aim of the presentation is to examine the transformation of nuptiality patterns in Italy from the 1950s to present. Special attention will be given to the temporal and spatial variation of cohort and period nuptiality indicators.
Thursday, October 18th 2018
CPC seminar - Union dissolution, residential mobility, and housing in Britain: Findings from the PartnerLife project (Seminars and lectures)
Julia Mikolai
University of Southampton
Thursday, October 18th 2018
15:00 - 16:00
Abstract: Partner relationships, residential relocations and housing are crucial to people's well-being and are known to be connected with each other. However, many aspects of this connection have remained under-researched. In this presentation, we aim to fill some of these knowledge gaps by showcasing findings from the PartnerLife project. For example, we show that separation leads to elevated mobility levels and that the risk of a move remains high even several years after separation in England and Wales. Additionally, we study housing tenure trajectories of separated men and women in Britain applying sequence analysis to data from the British Household Panel Survey.
Bio: Julia Mikolai is a Research Fellow at the University of St Andrews. She is currently working on the PartnerLife project (https://partnerlifeproject.org/), a comparative project which explores the interrelationships between partner relationships, residential relocations, and housing in the life course in the UK, Germany, and the Netherlands. Julia holds a PhD in social statistics and demography from the University of Southampton. Her PhD research investigated the intersection of partnership experiences and the transition to motherhood in 16 European countries and the United States using multi-state event history models. Julia's background is in sociology and demography; she studied at Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, at Utrecht University, and at the European Doctoral School of Demography.
Friday, October 12th 2018
University of Southampton and CPC Distinguished Lecture: Fairness between the generations (Seminars and lectures)
Lord David Willetts
University of Southampton, The Cube, B42
Friday, October 12th 2018
14:45
The lecture will see Lord Willetts discuss whether or not controversial changes to university funding are in the interests of the younger generation, and will set out the Resolution Foundation's Intergenerational Commission policy proposals to offer a fair deal to younger people.
Wednesday, October 10th 2018 - Monday, September 10th 2018
University of Southampton and CPC Public Lecture Series - Cost and benefits of international students (Seminars and lectures)
No.4 Hamilton Place, London
Wednesday, October 10th 2018
Monday, September 10th 2018
17:30
The first event in our new population and migration public lecture series takes place on Wednesday 10 October 2018 in London and focuses on the costs and benefits of international students in the UK.
Migration figures Higher Education (HE) is becoming increasingly globalised; in the UK, international students make up nearly a fifth of all students in the HE system. As a result, this growing population is a significant part of the ongoing debate over net UK migration figures. But are they a cost or a benefit to the UK?
Despite this being a topical issue that's regularly addressed in the media, there is little evidence to explain what influences whether international students migrate or remain in the UK. With their expertise in large-scale survey methodology, our researchers are helping to drive this research forward, answering important questions such as:
Are overseas students migrating to the UK in large numbers?
Are they remaining in the UK or leaving after they graduate?
What are the costs and benefits to society?
Keynote speakers
Professor Alan Manning, London School of Economics
Mr Jonathan Chaloff, International Migration Division, Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development
Professor Jackie Wahba, University of Southampton
Joining the keynote speakers will be University of Southampton expert Professor Jane Falkingham, Dean of Faculty, Social Sciences, University of Southampton and Professor Sir Ian Diamond, chair of the Social Security Advisory Committee.
Wednesday, October 10th 2018
Faculty of Social Sciences Research Event Series Launch (Other)
Professor Jane Falkingham
University of Southampton
Wednesday, October 10th 2018
12:00-14:00
Launch: Prof Jane Falkingham "From Research Assistant to ESRC Council: a personal research journey", followed by poster/exhibit session and lunch.
Friday, October 5th 2018
CPC Seminar - Transforming migration statistics: Administrative data at the core (Seminars and lectures)
Niomie Warner
University of Southampton
Friday, October 5th 2018
15:00-16:00
International migration flows into and out of the country are currently estimated using the International Passenger Survey (IPS). Whilst significant improvements have been made to the IPS in recent years, the landscape and demands for information have shifted and continue to shift. There is now much more interest in the stock of migrants residing in the UK and the impact they have on the economy and society. There are currently sources of data that shed some light on this but these only go so far in meeting the needs of the public, media and policymakers.
This session will start by looking at the recent improvements we have made to our outputs following a greater demand for information by either improving our current publications or providing new statistics and analysis where we can. However, we are limited on the information we can provide from current data sources and have gaps in our existing knowledge. We will then present the collaborative work across the Government Statistical Service to improve migration statistics and explain the approach we are taking to make better use of new and existing data sources. These new data sources currently concentrate on administrative data and this session will share how we have started to explore Home Office administrative data and how this source can be used to help us understand international migration further. We will also describe new and innovative ways of bringing together migration data from across the GSS and challenge our current methods.
Thursday, September 27th 2018
CPC Seminar - Reciprocity within family networks in Switzerland: A multilevel analysis (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Gil Viry
Ladywell House, Edinburgh EH12 7TF Room (1/G/8)
Thursday, September 27th 2018
13:00-14:00
Reciprocity has been traditionally conceived in the social science as a force of social integration and solidarity that binds families and social networks together. The geographical dispersion of families raises concerns that family bonds, including their reciprocity, have weakened. Yet, there are virtually no studies investigating how reciprocity vary across families and their spatiality. The scarce existing evidence focuses on specific family dyads, such as intergenerational support to old parents, overlooking possible structural effects at the family/network level. This study aims to address these knowledge gaps using multi-level modelling and data on the personal networks of 754 adults living in Switzerland (including the ISSP 2012 and 2013 modules). In this seminar, we will present the extent to which emotional support given, received and reciprocated is a joint product of the spatial characteristics of the respondents (e.g. migration background, residential environment), their family ties (e.g. physical distance) and family networks (e.g. their geographical dispersion).
Monday, September 10th 2018 - Wednesday, September 12th 2018
CPC at BSPS Annual Conference 2018 (Conferences)
University of Winchester
Monday, September 10th 2018
Wednesday, September 12th 2018
Tuesday, August 28th 2018
RGS-IBG AC2018 Pre-conference: Austerity Politics and the Changing Landscapes of Inequality (Conferences)
Cardiff University
Tuesday, August 28th 2018
12.00 - 17.30
Austerity has been widely discussed as a factor in Britain's vote to leave the EU (Dorling, 2016). The 'austerity agenda' has exacerbated existing inequalities of housing, health, education and welfare and produced new sites of precarity and vulnerability. Research on austerity in the Global North has drawn attention to its disproportionate effects for a range of groups, such as people of colour, young people and women (Bassel and Emujulu, 2017; Horton, 2016; Hall, 2017). This pre-conference workshop, organised jointly by the RGS-IBG Population Geography and Social and Cultural Geography Research Groups, introduces geographical perspectives on austerity and inequality in the context of a changing global political landscape.
Are inequalities deepening or widening in the context of austerity politics?
How are these patterned and experienced geographically and across the lifecourse?
What are the challenges for devolved and regional landscapes of austerity?
In what ways do people live with or challenge austerity in their everyday lives?
This event brings together academic, policy and public participants to discuss these questions and the trends, experiences and challenges of austerity and inequality in a changing political landscape.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, July 12th 2018 - Tuesday, June 12th 2018
Joint S3RI/CPC Seminar - Dr Han Lin Shang, Model confidence sets and forecast combination: An application to mortality forecasting (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Han Lin Shang, Australian National University
Room 1023/Building 58
Thursday, July 12th 2018
Tuesday, June 12th 2018
3pm - 4pm
Averaging the forecasts from a range of models often improves upon forecasts based on a single model. We analyze the effects of trimming the set of models before averaging, with equal weight averaging working well. We propose an approach based on model confidence sets that incorporate the statistical significance of the in-sample forecasting performance. Using Japanese age-specific mortality data, we find robust out-of-sample forecast accuracy from the proposed trimming method. (Joint work with Steven Haberman, Cass Business School)
Keywords: Equal predictability test; Japanese Human Mortality Database; Mean
interval score; Model averaging; Root mean square forecast error.
Monday, July 2nd 2018
The Uncertain World of International Migration - Jakub Bijak (Public engagement events)
Jakub Bijak
Winchester Discovery Centre, Jewry Street
Monday, July 2nd 2018
7.30pm
Besides remaining a hot and politically-charged topic, international migration is a fascinating area of study for demographers, being one of the most uncertain, complex and multidimensional population processes. In this talk, Jakub will sketch the current broad state of knowledge on migration, with focus on the key areas about which we do not know much, and possibly never will. To that end, we will explore possible responses to migration, which take its uncertainty and complexity for what it is: neither something to ignore, nor necessarily to fight against, but rather an inherent feature of population mobility which needs to be acknowledged and managed. Find out more: www.wincafesci.org.uk
Thursday, June 28th 2018
CPC Seminar -Early-life circumstances and later-life health and wellbeing in the Scottish Mental Survey 1947 (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Matthew Iveson, University of Edinburgh
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Scotland
Thursday, June 28th 2018
1pm-2pm
Early-life advantage in terms of socioeconomic status, cognitive ability and education have been consistently, and individually, associated with a reduced risk of mortality and morbidity in later-life. However, it is unclear how independent these associations are, and what structure (i.e., mediation) may underlie them. Do early-life factors directly impact later-life outcomes, or do they act indirectly through factors later along the life course? In this talk I will present data from Scottish Mental Survey 1947 cohort members who are present in the Scottish Longitudinal Study. I will describe recent findings regarding the contribution of life-course factors to later-life health and wellbeing, particularly regarding economic activity and self-reported functional health from ages 55 to 75.
Thursday, May 31st 2018
CPC Seminar - Exploring the drivers of social and spatial mobility, and the impact on health in later life: Data linkage of the Scottish Mental Survey 1947 with the Scottish Longitudinal Study and other administrative data sources - Lynne Forrest (Seminars and lectures)
Lynne Forrest
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Ladywell Road, Edinburgh, EH12 7TF
Thursday, May 31st 2018
1-2pm
Lynne Forrest from ADRC-S/SLS will present:
Title: Exploring the drivers of social and spatial mobility, and the impact on health in later life: Data linkage of the Scottish Mental Survey 1947 with the Scottish Longitudinal Study and other administrative data sources.
Abstract:
The Scottish Mental Survey 1947 (a 1936 birth cohort with age 11 cognitive ability test scores) was linked to the Scottish Longitudinal Study and the 1939 Register, in order to explore the drivers of social and spatial mobility, and the relationship between social and geographic mobility and health.
'Escalator' regions enhance the social mobility of those who relocate there. This may be because of the employment opportunities that are offered, or due to particular characteristics of spatially-mobile individuals. We examined whether major cities such as Edinburgh may operate as 'escalator' regions, and whether it is person or place (or perhaps a combination of both) that is important for upward mobility. We explored how geographical mobility might impact on social mobility. We also modelled the relationship between social and geographic mobility and health outcomes in later life.
Glasgow's life expectancy is lower than other Scottish cities and comparable English cities. As this is not entirely explained by the high levels of deprivation, a number of theories have been suggested, including that of selective migration, where the upwardly mobile move out of Glasgow, leaving behind those who are more deprived and less healthy. Further research will explore the impact of social mobility and migration to Scottish New Towns on health inequalities and premature mortality in Glasgow using SMS 1947 data.
Wednesday, May 30th 2018
Socio-Spatial Dynamics between Younger and Older Adults in Contemporary Societies (Seminars and lectures)
Albert Sabater
Centro de Ciencias Humanas y Sociales
Wednesday, May 30th 2018
17:00
Wednesday, May 23rd 2018
Faculty Research Group on Ageing and the Life Course (FRG-ALC) Faculty-wide seminar on 'Diversity in Ageing' (Seminars and lectures)
Vanessa Burholt, Andrew King & Athina Vlachantoni
Helen Wodehouse Building, Room 2.26, 35 Berkeley Square, Bristol BS8 1JA
Wednesday, May 23rd 2018
3pm-5pm
Presenters/topic areas:
Vanessa Burholt (Swansea) half-hour presentation on her recent work on developing a social model of loneliness and the role of disability and cognitive impairments in later life.
Andrew King (Surrey) half-hour presentation on 'ageing, sexual identity and intersectionality', following on from his recent book title on this topic.
Athina Vlachantoni (Southampton) half-hour presentation on 'Pension protection in later life amongst ethnic elders in the UK'.
Panel and audience discussion to follow presentations.
Thursday, May 17th 2018
CPC Seminar - Pension adequacy standards: Empirical estimates for the United States, England, and Germany - Christian Dudel (Seminars and lectures)
Christian Dudel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
University of Southampton, Building 67/Room 1003
Thursday, May 17th 2018
3.00pm
ABSTRACT:
Due to increasing life expectancy pension provisions need to last longer and longer, casting doubt on the financial security of pensioners. Surprisingly, it is unclear what pension level can be considered to be adequate. In this paper, we propose a general framework for the estimation of pension adequacy standards. Applying a range of econometric estimation techniques to data from the U.S., England, and Germany, we find that a net pension income roughly equal to 100% of the last net working life income can be considered adequate. Sensitivity checks suggest that this finding is robust.
SPEAKER BIO:
Christian Dudel is a research scientist at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock, Germany. He received his PhD in Social Statistics from the University of Bochum. His research interests focus on the modeling of life courses, causal inference and partial identification, inequality measurement, and analyzing consequences of demographic change.
Thursday, April 26th 2018
CPC Seminar - Understanding childhood and family life in Scotland using the Growing Up in Scotland study - Line Knudsen (Seminars and lectures)
Line Knudsen
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Ladywell Road, Edinburgh, EH12 7TF
Thursday, April 26th 2018
1pm - 2pm
Line Knudsen from ScotCen will give a seminar on the following:
Title & Abstract: Understanding childhood and family life in Scotland using the Growing Up in Scotland study.
Growing Up in Scotland (GUS) is a large-scale, multidisciplinary longitudinal study which tracks the lives of children from the early years, through childhood and beyond. Since its inception in 2005, the study has collected information about three cohorts of children: a child cohort and two birth cohorts - altogether, information has been collected about 14,000 children and families in Scotland.
This seminar will illustrate the unique opportunities GUS offers for researchers and analysts across a range of topic areas. The seminar will provide an overview of the study methods and data and will also present findings from recent analyses using GUS data, including from a recent report looking at patterns of employment among mothers with young children.
Thursday, March 29th 2018
CPC Seminar - Jakub Bijak (Seminars and lectures)
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Scotland
Thursday, March 29th 2018
The talk will outline the recent advances in developing a robust methodology for population forecasting, with focus on the methods for predicting mortality and fertility. The theoretical discussion will be illustrated with an example of a prototype population forecast for the UK prepared by the modelling strand of the Centre for Population Change.
Friday, March 23rd 2018
Jan Hoem Distinguished Lecture: Jane Falkingham (Seminars and lectures)
Jane Falkingham
Stockholm University Demography Unit (SUDA), Stockholm University
Friday, March 23rd 2018
3.30pm
The Stockholm University Demography Unit (SUDA) is pleased to announce the second Jan M. Hoem Distinguished Lecture in Demography 'Population Change and the Need for Life Course Sensitive Policy' with Professor Jane Falkingham of the Centre for Population Change and University of Southampton.
Further information and registration at: http://ow.ly/jOyf30ihzDS
Thursday, March 22nd 2018
CPC Seminar - Men and delayed parenthood: a qualitative study of men's views regarding the 'right time' to have children - Caroline Law (Seminars and lectures)
Caroline Law, De Montfort University
University of Southampton, Building 54/Room 8033
Thursday, March 22nd 2018
3.00pm
The age at which people are becoming parenting has increased over recent decades. The average age of first-time mothers has risen from 27.3 in 2006 to 28.8 years in 2016; and while corresponding data on the average age of first-time fathers does not exist, the average age of men at the birth of any children (first and subsequent) has risen from 31.1 in 1993 to 33.3 years in 2016 (ONS 2014, 2017). However, in both lay and media discourse, as well as academic research and commentary, the majority of attention paid to 'delayed childbearing' has focused on women. This overemphasises female responsibility and implicates women's behaviours in 'problems' of delayed childbearing, leaving men's positions and behaviours neglected (Lloyd, 1996, in Greene and Biddlecom, 2000, Jamieson et al., 2010).
This paper presents findings from a doctoral, qualitative, sociological study of men and reproductive timings in which 25 in-depth, semi-structured interviews were conducted with men who do not have children but want or expect to have them in the future. Men's views about the right time and circumstances for becoming a father, and relatedly the barriers to doing so, are discussed in order to allow for a consideration of how and why men may be contributing to 'delayed parenthood'. The paper explores men's perceptions of age related fertility decline and of changing trends in when people become parents, and considers how their accounts may offer insights into wider social changes in the timing of parenthood. Finally, it considers the data in relation to the notion of men acting as a 'drag' on the processes of partnership formation and family building (Jamieson et al., 2010).
Caroline Law is a Research Fellow and part-time PhD student with the Centre for Reproduction Research at De Montfort University, Leicester. She has a background in sociology and in social research, initially in the third sector and now in academia. Her research interests include qualitative research, the sociology of health and illness, reproduction and infertility, men and masculinities, endometriosis, and discourse analysis.
Tuesday, March 20th 2018 - Friday, March 23rd 2018
New and emerging family forms around the globe (Workshops)
Centre d'Estudis Demografics, Barcelona.
Tuesday, March 20th 2018
Friday, March 23rd 2018
Brienna Perelli-Harris chaired an IUSSP Scientific Panel workshop.
Thursday, March 15th 2018
CPC seminar - An agent-based model of sex ratio at birth distortions - Dr Francisco Villavicencio (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Francisco Villavicencio, University of Southern Denmark
University of Southampton, Building 2/Room 1083
Thursday, March 15th 2018
3.00pm
Abstract: Since the 1980s and 1990s, a decline in total fertility levels across a number of countries in Asia and the Caucasus has been accompanied by an unprecedented rise in the proportion of male births compared to female births, usually expressed in terms of the sex ratio at birth (SRB). Although the micro-level factors - persistent son preference within a context of fertility decline and growing access to pre-natal sex determination technology - are known, their specific levels, trends and interactions in explaining macro-level SRB trajectories are hard to discern with existing data and approaches. We present an agent-based model (ABM) that examines the contribution of each of these micro-level factors to the emergence of distorted SRBs at the macro-level, and calibrate the model to the South Korean and Indian scenarios.
Thursday, March 8th 2018
CPC Seminar - Aat Liefbroer (Seminars and lectures)
Aat Liefbroer, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), VU University, Amsterdam
University of Southampton, Building 58/Room 1009.
Thursday, March 8th 2018
3.00pm
Aat Liefbroer is Leader of the Theme 'Families and Generations' at the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) in The Hague, The Netherlands. In addition, he holds a professorship in Life Course Demography at the University Medical Centre Groningen of the University of Groningen and a professorship by special appointment in Demography of Young Adults and Intergenerational Transmission at the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam. His research interests focus on demographic decision-making in a life-course perspective. He is currently working on an ERC-funded project on how societal contexts moderate the demographic consequences of childhood disadvantage.
Abstract
Social Background and Risky Demographic Behaviour: A Cross-National Analysis of the Role of Parental Education, Growing Up Without Both Parents and Sibling Size.
Some demographic behaviours (e.g. teenage parenthood, teenage partnering, having a child outside a partner relationship, separation) are risky, as they may have negative consequences for future well-being. The odds of experiencing such behaviours depends on one's family of origin. Young people from families that lack economic resources are at an increased risk of experiencing such events. The same is true for young people who grow up in a non-intact family. However, the extent to which parental background influences risky demographic behaviour may depend on the societal context. I expect that the influence of parental SES and the number of siblings is weaker in societal contexts that facilitate human agency, as such contexts buffer the lack of resources. At the same time, the influence of growing up in a non-intact family may be stronger in such contexts, as young people who have experienced parental break-up may hold more favourable attitudes towards non-traditional family behaviours and societal contexts that facilitate human agency offer better opportunities to act in accordance with such attitudes. I use data from Generation and Gender Surveys conducted in 15 countries and meta-analysis and meta-regression to examine this issue.
After the talk there will be tea/coffee and biscuits at 4pm in Building58/Room2041. All are welcome to attend.
Thursday, February 22nd 2018
CPC Seminar - Kate Botterhill (Seminars and lectures)
Kate Botterhill, Napier University Edinburgh
Room 1/G/8 Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, February 22nd 2018
1pm
'Rescaling belonging in 'Brexit Britain': Spatial identities and practices of Polish nationals in Scotland after the UK Referendum on EU membership'
This seminar will discuss qualitative data collected in the aftermath of the UK Referendum on EU membership in 2016 with post-accession Polish nationals living in Scotland. It contributes to debates on the geography and geopolitics of Brexit in two connected ways. Firstly, it will explore how Polish nationals use local, national and European scales to narrate a sense of belonging in Scotland. Brexit is scripted as a moment of intense geopolitics, a rupturing event that has compelled EU citizens to re-engage with questions of national and European identity. Kate's paper argues that transnational, local and sub-national frames of meaning figure as important in providing a sense of security in the context of uncertain Brexit futures. Secondly, it will explore how Polish nationals' everyday encounters in local spaces after the vote have shaped spatial identifications and unsettled attachments to place. The narratives explored reveal complex multi-scalar engagements with Brexit geopolitics in relation to both local, and often idealized, identifications with Scotland and broader identifications with the EU. Drawing on relational theories of scale advanced by feminist geographers and migration scholars, the paper demonstrates the attachments to place and locality are not incompatible with supra-national and national frames of belonging.
Lunch won't be provided so please bring your own. You will need to be signed at Ladywell House so please email cll@st-andrews.ac.uk if you wish to attend.
Thursday, February 15th 2018
CPC Seminar - Working and Caring over life courses: pathways and outcomes - Fiona Carmichael (Seminars and lectures)
Fiona Carmichael, Birmingham University
University of Southampton, Building 58/Room 1067
Thursday, February 15th 2018
3.00pm
We are delighted to welcome Fiona Carmichael to speak at CPC. Fiona is Professor of Labour Economics in the Department of Management at Birmingham Business School, University of Birmingham. Her research centres on employment issues and marginalised workers including:trade-offs between paid work and unpaid caregiving; barriers to work facing older workers; retirement decisions and outcomes; and benefit system impacts on disabled people and their families, including family caregivers. Recent work in these areas has adopted a life course approach using a mix of quantitative and qualitative methods.
Further information about this talk is to be confirmed.
Thursday, January 25th 2018
CPC Seminar - How to bring data to life using infographics and visualisations - Esther Roughsedge (Seminars and lectures)
Esther Roughsedge, National Records of Scotland
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Scotland
Thursday, January 25th 2018
The seminar will focus on How to bring data to life using infographics and interactive visualisations and will show new ways of making your key messages quick, easy and appealing to read. The aim of this is to help data scientists reach a wider audience, and therefore increase the impact of their work.
Esther will talk about the basics of communicating data well, producing infographics and interactive data visualisations. She will talk about what they have done with NRS data and why, and share advice and tips (you can see more here: https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/stats-at-a-glance/infographics-and-visualisations).
Beata will then show some examples of data visualization for population data, from well-known Lexis surfaces to more sophisticated and innovative ways of displaying demographic analyses
All are welcome to attend, and we look forward to seeing you there.
Thursday, January 25th 2018
CPC/CRA Seminar - Intimacy and Intergenerational Relations in Rural China (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Jieyu Liu, Deputy Director of SOAS China Institute at SOAS University of London
54/8033, University of Southampton
Thursday, January 25th 2018
12pm - 1pm
CPC and the Centre for Research on Ageing are delighted to welcome Dr Jieyu Liu, Deputy Director of SOAS China Institute at SOAS University of London, who is going to give a talk entitled "Intimacy and Intergenerational Relations in Rural China" for our joint January Seminar.
Jieyu Liu is Reader in Sociology of China and Deputy Director of SOAS China Institute at SOAS University of London. She is the author of Gender and Work in Urban China: Women Workers of the Unlucky Generation (Routledge 2007) and Gender, Power and Sexuality in Chinese Companies: Beauties at Work (Palgrave 2016). Her recent research has expanded into contributing to the understanding of rapid demographical transitions and social change in China - this appeared in Sociology, British Journal of Sociology, Geoforum and Journal of Aging Studies. In 2015, she was awarded a five-year European Research Council grant to examine changing family relations in China, Hong Kong and Taiwan. Through a multi-sited ethnography, this project is the first of its kind to compare family practices in various sites and examine how they are the by-products of particular socio-cultural configurations.
Abstract
This article applies the concept of intimacy to examine relationships between adult children and their parents in rural China - an area which has been predominantly located in an obligatory framework. I reveal a qualitative difference in support between relationships built on intimate ties and those bound by duty and obligation. A unilateral emphasis on obligation-based relationships can deprive both the parent and adult child generations of agency and autonomy, which can be disempowering for both. The complex relations between intimacy and obligation are the product of local socio-economic circumstances and gender norms. Although traditional patrilineal and patrilocal culture excludes married daughters from the filial discourse surrounding their own parents, they are often considered to have the most intimate relationship with their parents. Paradoxically, the practices of intimacy between aged parents and their married daughters strengthen the natal ties that facilitate modifications to patrilocal and patrilineal customs.
After the talk there will be refreshments at 13:00pm in Building 58/Room2041.
All are welcome to attend, and we look forward to seeing you there.
Wednesday, January 24th 2018
CPC Seminar - 'Immigration after Brexit' with Professor Jonathan Portes (Seminars and lectures)
Jonathan Portes
Building 58/ Room 1067, University of Southampton Highfield Campus
Wednesday, January 24th 2018
5 - 6pm
We are delighted to announce that Professor Jonathan Portes will be speaking at our January Seminar.
Jonathan started his career at HM Treasury in 1987, and spent most of his career as a civil servant, serving as Chief Economist at the Department for Work and Pensions from 2002 to 2008 and Chief Economist at the Cabinet Office from 2008 to 2011. He led the Cabinet Offices economic analysis and economic policy work during the financial crisis and on the G20 London Summit in April 2009. From 2011 to 2015, he was Director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Jonathan's talk will discuss the growth in immigration from the rest of the EU to the UK was a central issue in the referendum. What do we know about the impacts of immigration on the UK economy and labour market: and after Brexit, what will happen to over 3 million EU27 citizens who now live in the UK (and more than a million Brits elsewhere in the EU). How will UK immigration policy, both towards EU citizens and those from outside the EU, change after Brexit?
This event is open to anyone with an interest in this subject, but places are limited so please register for your free ticket here
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Thursday, January 18th 2018 - Friday, January 19th 2018
Workshop: Going beyond the country: Exploring sub-national effects on socio-demographic phenomena with European Social Survey data. (Workshops)
Dr Agnese Vitali and Dr Bruno Arpino
University of Southampton
Thursday, January 18th 2018
Friday, January 19th 2018
Call for papers: CPC's Dr Agnese Vitali and Dr Bruno Arpino of the Universitat Pompeu Fabra will be holding an ESS ERIC Academic Workshop from 18 - 19 January 2018 at the University of Southampton.
Individuals' decisions, values and attitudes are influenced by the context in which they are embedded. Often, socio-demographic studies analyse how specific attitudes or behaviours (e.g. timing of life-course event, attitudes towards immigration, gender equality, etc.) vary geographically across countries. However, for several outcomes the regional context may exert more influence than the national one. The European Social Survey proves to be a unique source of comparable socio-demographic data for mapping and understanding geographical differences in behaviours and attitudes across and within European countries. We invite contributions which make use of European Social Survey (ESS) data and propose to explore the sub-national dimension in socio-demographic outcomes including (but not restricted to): family; fertility; gender; migrants; ageing; health and wellbeing. We especially welcome contributions which make use of multilevel and spatial regression models.
Scope
The workshop will bring together academics who are interested in exploring the sub-national dimension in socio-demographic studies and will promote ESS as an invaluable instrument in this respect. The aims of the workshop are:
To reflect on the role of sub-national contexts for explaining differences in socio-demographic attitudes and behaviours across Europe;
To discuss how new attitudes and behaviours spread spatially across geographical areas that may overcome national boundaries;
To discuss how multilevel and spatial models can be fruitfully applied to study the regional vs. national influence on individuals' outcomes.
Agenda:
18 January (afternoon only)
Short course: Introduction to multilevel and spatial modelling
The course introduces the key ideas in multilevel and spatial analysis. The focus will be on the advantages and disadvantages of the two approaches from a substantive point of view and will be illustrated with examples from the social sciences. Limitations of the application of multilevel and spatial models to ESS data will be discussed.
19 January (all day)
Presentations of research papers
Panel discussion on opportunities and challenges of exploring the sub-national dimension using ESS data.
Call for papers: how to apply
Please submit an original extended abstract (5 pages maximum) or a full paper to: ess-apw@soton.ac.uk by no later than 15 November 2017.
In the email please specify: name, surname, affiliation and current position of the applicant(s). Further information is available on the attachment below.
Funding
No fee is required to participate in the workshop. Lunches and coffee breaks will be provided, but participants are expected to cover their own travel and accommodation costs. A limited number of travel and accommodation grants are available (preference will be given to early-career researchers).
Associated Downloads
/docs/2017_09_01ESS_ERIC_Academic_Workshop_Southampton_-_Call_for_papers.pdf
Thursday, January 11th 2018
Is internal migration slowing down? (Seminars and lectures)
London School of Economics
Thursday, January 11th 2018
Professor Tony Champion, Senior Research Investigator at Newcastle University has helped organise a day meeting for early in the New Year 'Is internal migration slowing down?' that may interest our associates.
This meeting has been arranged to celebrate the publication of 'Internal Migration in the Developed World: Are we becoming less mobile?', convened jointly by the British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) and the RGS-IBG Population Geography Research Group (PGRG), and will take place on Thursday, 11 January 2018 in Parish Hall (PAR.2.02), London School of Economics.
The programme can be viewed here.
There is no charge for attendance at the meeting, but pre-registration is required by emailing pic@lse.ac.uk - places will be allocated on a first-come, first-served basis up to the capacity of the meeting room. Registration is now open.
Keep up to date with all CPC's news and events by following us on Twitter @CPCPopulation
Tuesday, January 9th 2018
Uncertainty quantification in demography: Challenges and possible solutions, Workshop "Key UQ methodologies and motivating applications" (Workshops)
Jakub Bijak
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cambridge
Tuesday, January 9th 2018
Jakub Bijak was invited to present at a workshop titled "Uncertainty quantification in demography: Challenges and possible solutions, Workshop "Key UQ methodologies and motivating applications"", at the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cambridge.
Friday, January 5th 2018 - Sunday, January 7th 2018
American Economic Association Meeting (Conferences)
Hector Calvo-Pardo
Philadelphia Marriott
Friday, January 5th 2018
Sunday, January 7th 2018
Hector Calvo-Pardo co-organised the January 2018 American Economic Association Meeting in Philadelphia, session on 'Subjective Expectations, Belief Formation, and Economic Behavior'.
Thursday, December 14th 2017
The Kids Are Alright: The Rise in Non-Marital Births and Child Well-being (Seminars and lectures)
Christina Gibson-Davis, Sanford School of Public Policy
University of Southampton, Building 58/ Room 1023
Thursday, December 14th 2017
3pm - 4pm
Academics and policy makers in both the US and the UK have long shown an interest in discussing the rise in the number of children born out of wedlock, hypothesizing that it results in bad outcomes for the children, and by extension, society.
Using six decades of US and UK data, this hypothesis is tested by our speaker, Christina Gibson-Davies, by looking at aggregate trends in the non-marital fertility ratio (NMFR) and child well-being. No evidence is found that an increased NMFR is correlated with increases in aggregate adverse outcomes. Instead, the majority of results suggest that as the NMFR has increased, aggregate child outcomes have improved. Data from three British cohort studies is then used: the National Child Development Study (NCDS); the British Cohort Study (BCS) and the Millennium Cohort Study (MCS), together with US data on birth weight and grade repetition to examine whether the association between marriage and child well-being has diminished over time.
The results of these individual-level analysis suggest that the positive correlations between the NMFR and child well-being for the US and the UK may be driven in part by improved well-being of children born to unmarried parents. Individual-level results do not support the hypothesis that upward trends in aggregate child well-being are being driven by children born to married parents.
Christina concludes that the attention given to the NMFR has likely been overstated, and that given scarce resources, policy makers may wish to direct their attention elsewhere.
Monday, December 11th 2017 - Tuesday, December 12th 2017
EuroChallenge conference (Workshops)
Chris Moreh
University of Copenhagen
Monday, December 11th 2017
Tuesday, December 12th 2017
Chris Moreh presented at the workshop "Brexit and the Pandora's Box of EU Citizenship" organised as the concluding part of the EU-Funded EuroChallenge conference.
Friday, December 8th 2017
'Different societies, same solutions?' A keynote speech about ageing as a burden. (Conferences)
Professor Traute Meyer
Lingnan University, Hong Kong
Friday, December 8th 2017
4.00pm
CPCs Professor Traute Meyer will be giving a keynote speech: Different Societies, Same Solutions? A Critical Reflection on Ageing as a Burden in China and the European Union at 4.00pm on 8 December at the international conference Doing comparative social policy analysis in changing global context. The conference will be given in English and will take place at Lingnan University in Hong Kong.
The question whether welfare states can be classified into distinct types has remained subject to lively debates. Far from a unifying convergence of comparative social policy trends, a more global perspective suggests continued variation and difference, with a multiplicity of forms of globalisations encountered and/or engendered in diverse contexts.
To reveal the complexities of national, extra-national and transnational drivers of welfare formation and development under contemporary but diverse conditions, this two-day conference combines papers that understand national social policies in a global context, compare national social policies in a global/multi-level context or explore global ideas and discourses on national social policy. It also includes comparative studies that analyse social policy via developing analytical frameworks that reach across individual world-regions and global actors.
Further information and a detailed agenda can be viewed in the attachment at the bottom of this page.
Please register your free place here
Keep up to date with all CPC's news and events by following us on Twitter @CPCPopulation
Associated Downloads
Friday, December 8th 2017
Healthy Ageing in Scotland (HAGIS) Conference (Conferences)
Surgeon's Hall, Edinburgh
Friday, December 8th 2017
9.15am
The Healthy Ageing In Scotland (HAGIS) conference will take place on Friday 8 December at Surgeons Hall, Edinburgh.
HAGIS is a study of people aged 50+ in Scotland, it collects data on their economic and social circumstances and on their health. Its goal is to help to improve the lives of older Scots by increasing understanding the stresses, strains and successes of their lives, and so ensure that policy meets their needs.
The HAGIS Conference is a special event to celebrate the success of this pioneering new study and CPCs Professor David Bell, who is also the projects Principle Investigator, will be presenting the HAGIS Conference welcome address Past, Present and Future.
David, who is a Professor of Economics at the University of Stirling, is also working within the migration, life course and constitutional change strands of the CPC and is involved with many projects including Rural ageing, migration and care and Carers and time use.
Please register here for this exciting event and also visit the website here for further details.
Keep up to date with all CPCs news and events by following us on Twitter @CPCPopulation
Thursday, December 7th 2017
Gene-neighborhood interactions in educational attainment (Seminars and lectures)
Nicola Barban, University of Oxford
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Scotland
Thursday, December 7th 2017
An increasing literature in social sciences examines the role of gene-environment interactions in shaping socio-economic outcomes. This paper investigates the role of neighbourhood deprivation and in particular how characteristics such as unemployment, poverty level, proportion of adults with college education and median household income mitigate the genetic predisposition to higher educational attainment. We use data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescence and Adult Health (Add-Health) based on a representative sample of US respondents. Using polygenic score (PGS) calculated from genome-wide data included in the Add-Health study (N=9,926), we test interaction effects of neighbourhood characteristics at Wave I (during childhood) with genetic predisposition for educational attainment and their effect on final educational attainment measured in Wave IV (young adulthood). Our preliminary results show that polygenic score has no predictive value in a deprived context, while it is strongly associated with education in more affluent neighbourhoods We further examine the role of parental investments as a proxy of parental investment as a possible mechanism. Finally, we reflect on how to replicate the results using biomarkers included in longitudinal British Data linked to geographical data.
Thursday, December 7th 2017
Celebrating 10 years of Research Projects at the SLS (Conferences)
The Dome, New Register House 3 W Register St Edinburgh EH1 3YT
Thursday, December 7th 2017
1.15pm
The Scottish Longitudinal Study Development and Support Unit (SLS-DSU) has been supporting research projects for 10 years and will be marking the achievement with a celebratory event taking place from 1.15pm - 5.30pm on Thursday 7 December in The Dome, New Register House, Edinburgh.
Two CPC colleagues will be speaking at the event:
Prof John MacInnes, who is Professor of Sociology and Associate Dean in Quantitative Methods at the University of Edinburgh and currently working within the fertility and family and life course strands of the CPC, will be presenting Population Ageing in Scotland.
Dr David McCollum, who is Senior Lecturer School of Geography & Sustainable Development, University of St Andrews and currently working within the migration strand of the CPC, will be presenting Administrative health data linked to the SLS, the potential opportunities for migration research.
To find out more about this event and register your free place online, please visit the SLS-DSU Eventbrite here
Keep up to date with all CPC news and events by following us on Twitter @CPCPopulation
Tuesday, December 5th 2017
Dr David McCollum presents the December Geography Research Seminar (Seminars and lectures)
Queen's University, Belfast
Tuesday, December 5th 2017
1.00pm
5 December 2017 - Dr David McCollum will be presenting 'Declining international migration in an era of mobilities? An analysis using data linked to the Scottish Longitudinal Study' a Geography Research Seminar, in Room 01.009, Elmwood Building, Queen's University.
David is Senior Lecturer in the School of Geography & Sustainable Development at the University of St Andrews and is currently working within the migration strand of the CPC. He has a wealth of research knowledge on the subject of migration and has worked on many CPC projects including: Forecasting Scottish migration after the 2014 referendum; Migration and the constitutional future of Scotland; Analysing mobility trends over time and space in relation to the increased fluidity of the lifecourse and Economic change and international population dynamics: an innovative study of new residential mobilities in Scotland
To find out more about this event, please see the attachment below.
Keep up to date with all CPC news and events by following us on Twitter @CPCPopulation
Associated Downloads
Thursday, November 30th 2017
Challenging 'integration': building new sociological theories to understand migrants' mobilities and settling strategies in the context of Brexit (Workshops)
Derek McGhee & Chris Moreh
University of Sheffield
Thursday, November 30th 2017
Derek McGhee and Chris Moreh planned this workshop with the local organisers following discussions they had at the 2017 BSA conference. This was a small workshop with invited speakers and collaborators. They presented on the theoretical aspects of their ongoing CPC Brexit migration research.
Thursday, November 23rd 2017
Medically assisted reproduction and the risks of poor birth outcomes: have they been overestimated? (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Alice Goisis, London School of Economics
University of Southampton, Building 58/ Room 1023
Thursday, November 23rd 2017
3pm - 5pm
It is well established that children born after medically assisted reproduction (MAR) tend to have worse perinatal outcomes than spontaneously conceived children. However, it is largely unclear whether the increased risks should be attributed to the fertility treatments per se or (also) to other confounding factors such as parental sub-fertility. We contribute to this debate by comparing the birth outcomes of MAR children and spontaneously conceived children in the overall population and, using within-family fixed effects models, in families in which at least one child was conceived through MAR and one spontaneously. The latter approach - which has not been used in this literature before - enables us to account for unobserved parental characteristics shared by siblings. We use Finnish Population Registers of 65,634 children born between 1995-2000, of which 1241 children were born in around 600 families who had both MAR and spontaneously conceived children. The results show that in the within-family analyses the risk of poor birth outcomes associated with being conceived through MAR (as opposed to spontaneously) is attenuated by ≈20-50% compared to the risk observed in the overall population. Moreover, when comparing siblings, the results show that the child's birth order is considerably more important in determining their birth outcomes than whether they were conceived through MAR or spontaneously. Overall, the results suggest that the risk of poor birth outcomes attributed to MAR may have been overestimated.
Saturday, November 18th 2017
CPC at Hands-on Humanities Day (Public engagement events)
Avenue Campus
Saturday, November 18th 2017
10.30am - 4.30pm
On Saturday 18 November, CPC exhibited our Migration research with interactive games and activities at the University of Southampton Hands-On Humanities Day that took place from 10.30am 4.30pm in Building 65 of the Universitys Avenue Campus.
Hands-On Humanities Day was part of the Universitys Human Worlds Festival an annual festival organised by the Public Engagement with Research unit (PERu) to showcase the fantastic humanities research that is taking place at the University of Southampton. This was a free day out for all the family, with a programme packed full of interactive exhibits, workshops and talks. Everyone was invited to come along, find out about what we are working on at CPC and join in with the activities that included:
Archaeology activities
Anglo-Saxon wind instruments
Short story writing
Augmented reality
Queen Elizabeth Is perfume
Minecraft
Film making
For further information to book your free tickets, please visit: http://www.humanworldsfestival.com/hands-on-humanities-day/
To keep up to date with all our events and activities, follow @CPCPopulation on Twitter
Tuesday, November 14th 2017
CPC Director to Chair Demography session at Big Data, Small Area Symposium (Conferences)
Professor Jane Falkingham
The Royal Geographical Society
Tuesday, November 14th 2017
CPC's Director Professor Jane Falkingham was invited to Chair the demography session 'Small area denominators and confounders' at the Big Data, Small Area Symposium at The Royal Geographical Society in South Kensington, London.
This two-day international Symposium celebrated thirty years of the Small Area Health Statistics Unit that has become nationally and internationally recognised for research into environment and health. The Unit has produced over 200 peer reviewed publications, are currently working on over 20 research projects and is based at the School of Public Health at Imperial College London.
Jane, who is Dean of the Faculty of Social, Human and Mathematical Sciences and Professor of Demography and International Social Policy, aswell as Director of CPC at the University of Southampton, has a long and successful career of studying demographic change and its consequences for the distribution of social and economic welfare. Her current research projects include the CPC, funded to examine the drivers and consequences of population change; the EPSRC Energy for Development, aiming to enable a step-change in collaborative research and project development addressing the energy needs of rural communities in developing countries; the Liveable Cities Programme grant, a five-year programme of research to develop a method of designing and engineering low-carbon, resource-secure, wellbeing enhanced UK cities.
The Demography session chaired by Jane on the first day of the Symposium followed the Keynote welcome by Professor Sir Mark Walport, SAHSU, Introduction by Professor Paul Elliott and Public Health England Introduction by Professor John Newton. It featured:
- What future for the Census? - Professor Dave Martin
- Using mobile phone data - Professor Andrew Tatem
- SAHSU approach to population modelling and confounder control - Dr Daniela Fecht
For further information about the Symposium, including the full programme, please visit the Small Area Health Statistics Unit Symposium webpage.
To keep up to date with all CPC news and events, follow @CPCpopulation on Twitter
Tuesday, November 14th 2017 - Wednesday, November 15th 2017
An international symposium in celebration of 30 years of the Small Area Health Statistics Unit (Conferences)
Jane Falkingham
Royal Geographical Society, London, United Kingdom
Tuesday, November 14th 2017
Wednesday, November 15th 2017
Jane Falkingham was invited to chair the demography session for this symposium.
Wednesday, November 8th 2017 - Thursday, November 9th 2017
ESRC Festival of Social Science (Public engagement events)
Jason Hilton, Maja Palmer, Natalia Permyakova
One-O-Four Kitchen & Lounge, Southampton
Wednesday, November 8th 2017
Thursday, November 9th 2017
7.30pm
CPC opened its first Festival of Social Science public engagement events organised in collaboration with other Southampton ESRC funded Research Centres: the Administrative Research Data Centre - England (ADRC-E), National Centre for Research Methods (NCRM) and the University of Southampton Public Engagement with Research team. An invitation was extended to all, to attend two evenings of informal and interactive talks designed to educate and celebrate Social Science. Two nights, two questions:
Wednesday 8 November
'Is migration really changing the UK as we know it?'
Migration is a complex issue that continues to make headlines and spark debate around the country. This event helped to separate the fact from the fiction and provided an opportunity to discuss the issue with social science researchers.
Talks included: 'Why is it so hard to get detailed counts of UK migration?' by Professor Dave Martin, 'The future of UK migration', by CPC's Dr David Hilton and 'How does migration impact the UK in the context of an ageing population?', by Dr Julie Vullnetari.
Thursday 9 November
'Will welfare and pensions really ensure we have a happy and healthy retirement?'
Happiness and health in retirement is an issue we will all face as we get older. Is it really possible to have both, who and what can we rely on to support us and what are the impacts on others as we age?
Talks included Johannes Hechler from the Office for National Statistics, who discussed the demographic background of an ageing population, CPC's Maja Palmer who discussed caring and ageing in Western Europe and the impacts this has on couples, families and individuals and CPC's Natalia Permyakova who compared this information with caring and health based on studies in Eastern Europe. What can we learn from these studies and is there a right or wrong answer?
These informal and entertaining evenings also included exhibition stands from each of the research centres and visitors even tried out an 'ageing suit', courtesy of Winchester School of Art Design Management Lecturer Dr Yuanyuan Yin.
Further information about these events and how to register for your FREE ticket is available on the University of Southampton Public Engagement with Research website.
To keep up to date with this event, please follow @CPCpopulation and @ESRC on Twitter and tag #esrcfestival
Tuesday, November 7th 2017
CPC Director to open the ESRC Festival of Social Science (Conferences)
The Royal Society
Tuesday, November 7th 2017
6.30pm
CPC Director Professor Jane Falkingham was invited to open the fifteenth ESRC Festival of Social Science at an event that took place at the Royal Society, London.
The event was a debate entitled Impactful Social Science: How the social sciences are helping to tackle global grand challenges and was an opportunity for an invited audience to question leading social scientists on a range of global issues. The panel (below) was hosted by Laurie Taylor of BBC Thinking Aloud:
Professor Lord Stern - Chair, ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy and the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
Professor Shamit Saggar CBE Pro-Vice-Chancellor Research and Professor of Political Science and Public Policy at the Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex and new Chair of the Campaign for Social Science
Professor Felicity Callard - Director, Birkbeck Institute for Social Research
The ESRC Festival of Social Science is an annual event, designed to promote and increase awareness of social sciences and ESRC's research, enable social scientists to engage with non-academics and increase awareness of the contributions the social sciences make to the wellbeing and the economy of the UK society. This year the Festival took place from 4 11 November 2017 and included a full programme of 316 events across the UK. As part of the Festival, this year CPC joined other University of Southampton Research Centres: ADRC-E and NCRM to host two evenings of informal and interactive talks designed to educate and celebrate Social Science. The talks were based around two important questions for society: Is migration really changing the UK as we know it? and Will welfare and pensions really ensure we have a happy and healthy retirement?.
To keep up to date with this event, please follow @CPCpopulation and @ESRC on Twitter and tag #esrcfestival
Thursday, November 2nd 2017
Does it matter who funds science? (Public engagement events)
Peter Smith
Winchester Discovery Centre
Thursday, November 2nd 2017
Peter Smith spoke at a public event in Winchester, titled 'Does it matter who funds science?' hosted by the Administrative Data Research Centre England.
Sunday, October 29th 2017 - Saturday, November 4th 2017
CPC at 28th IUSSP Annual Population Conference (Conferences)
Cape Town, South Africa
Sunday, October 29th 2017
Saturday, November 4th 2017
CPC was delighted to be part of the 28th International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (IUSSP) International Population Conference that took place in Cape Town, South Africa.
This conference is a major international event drawing over 2,000 scientists, policy makers and practitioners in the global population community to meet and address issues of common concern. The Conference takes place once every four years, providing a unique forum for population experts to take stock of recent research on population trends and issues and to debate possible actions and policy responses to the challenges posed by population phenomena.
This year many CPC researchers including our Directors Professor Jane Falkingham and Professor Maria Evandrou travelled to Cape Town International Convention Centre in South Africa to present their research in scientific sessions, share papers and giveaways on our exhibition stand, and provide visitors with an opportunity to 'meet the researcher'.
Sessions covered a wide range of topics including international migration, sexual and reproductive health, poverty and inequality, population and environment interactions, the consequences of population ageing and issues related to children and youth, education, the labour force, and gender and human rights.
Registration was open at http://ipc2017capetown.iussp.org/about-the-conference/.
Wednesday, October 25th 2017
Brexit Means? (Conferences)
Dr David McCollum
The Byre Theatre
Wednesday, October 25th 2017
25 October 2017 - CPC's Dr David McCollum was part of the 'Brexit means?...for peace and security' roundtable conversation that discussed 'Immigration and Britain', 'Law Enforcement and Criminal Justice', 'Northern Ireland and the Border' and 'Scotland and Indyref'. The event took place the the Byre Theatre.
David is one of the research co-ordinators for the CPC migration strand and has also worked within the constitutional change strand, for which he has worked/is currently working on the following projects: Analysing mobility trends over time and space in relation to the increased fluidity of the lifecourse, Dynamics and policy implications of changes in student mobility, Economic change and internal population dynamics: an innovative study of new residential mobilties in Scotland, International labour mobility - the changing patterns of recruitment and employment of Central and East European migrants working in England and Scotland' Forecasting Scottish migration after the 2014 referendum and Migration and the constitutional future of Scotland.
The event was organised by the University of St Andrews and the Cultural Identity Studies Institute. Free tickets were available at https://byretheatre.com/events/brexit-means/
Keep up to date with all CPC events by following us on Twitter @CPCPopulation
Thursday, October 19th 2017
Childhood experiences of parenting and cancer risk at older ages: Findings from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) (Seminars and lectures)
Panayotes Demakakos
54/8031, University of Southampton
Thursday, October 19th 2017
3.00pm
Objective: The association between childhood experiences of poor parenting and offspring health at older ages is an important, but underinvestigated area of research. Because poor parenting is potentially a major childhood stressor, we hypothesize that childhood experiences of poor parenting will be associated with higher rates of disease at older ages including higher rates of cancer.
Methods: We used a national sample of 4471 community-dwellers aged ≥55 years in 2007 from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. Poor parenting was defined as low levels of parental care and high levels of parental overprotection.
Results: Overall poorer experiences of parenting in childhood were associated with an increased risk of incident all-site cancer in men, but not in women (median follow-up 5.3 years). Decreasing paternal care and increasing paternal overprotection were more strongly associated with an increased risk of incident all-site cancer than maternal care and overprotection. Similar associations were observed in incident skin cancer in men, while increasing paternal overprotection was additionally associated with an increased risk of incident colorectal cancer. Childhood experiences of poor parenting, especially increasing paternal overprotection, were also associated with an increased risk of prevalent all-site and colorectal cancer in women. Adjustment for covariates explained a small part of these associations.
Conclusions: Older adults who report childhood experiences of poor parenting appear to have an increased risk of cancer.
Wednesday, October 11th 2017
CPC's David Bell opens SLLS 2017 Annual Conference (Conferences)
Professor David Bell
Society for Longitudinal and Lifecourse Studies (SLLS) 2017 Annual Conference
Wednesday, October 11th 2017
CPC's Professor David Bell presented the opening keynote speech 'If you build it, they will come' on Wednesday 11 October at the Society for Longitudinal and Lifecourse Studies (SLLS) 2017 Annual Conference, hosted by the University of Stirling.
David is a professor of Economics at the University of Stirling. He is an esteemed member of CPC, working within the Migration, Changing life course and Constitutional change strands and has been involved with or is currently working on projects including: Carers and time use, Rural ageing, migration and care, Fiscal aspects of constitutional change, Migration and the constitutional future of Scotland. David's vast amount of research experience, repertoire of publications, presentations and media activities ensured a fascinating, knowledgeable and thought-provoking speech on 11 October.
The conference was packed with symposiums, poster session, workshops and social events across three days. For further information and the full programme, please visit the SLLS Website conference page.
To keep up to date with the latest news from Professor David Bell, the SLLS and CPC, please follow @DavidNFBell and @SLLShome @CPCpopulation
Wednesday, October 4th 2017
CPC's Dr Agnese Vitali gives keynote speech in family marketing conference, Milan (Conferences)
Dr Agnese Vitali
Milan
Wednesday, October 4th 2017
Dr Agnese Vitali gave a keynote speech at the 'Momketing: new moms, new marketing' Conference in Milan.
The Momketing conference is organised for marketing and communication professionals, including researchers, journalists, students and bloggers to compare successful marketing tools and practices that are targeted at mothers and family.
Agnese, who is currently leading the 'Female-Breadwinner families in Europe' project with CPC, spoke about the changing role of women, and about the fact that advertising may be still targeting the idea of the traditional woman/mother - which is outdated.
Further information is available on the website.
To keep up to date with this and future events please follow @FattoreMamma and @CPCpopulation on Twitter.
Wednesday, October 4th 2017
Internal migration in Scotland (Workshops)
David McCollum
Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Wednesday, October 4th 2017
David McCollum organised this event to disseminate the findings of his SDAI project on internal migration in Scotland.
Monday, September 11th 2017
Migration, EU Migrants and Brexit (Seminars and lectures)
Jane Falkingham
The Hungarian Demographic Research Institute
Monday, September 11th 2017
Jane Falkingham gave a lecture on Migration, EU Migrants and Brexit, at the Hungarian Demographic Research Institute in Budapest.
Wednesday, September 6th 2017 - Friday, September 8th 2017
CPC at BSPS Annual Conference 2017 (Conferences)
University of Liverpool
Wednesday, September 6th 2017
Friday, September 8th 2017
CPC were delighted to share papers at the British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) Annual Conference 2017 which was held at the University of Liverpool.
BSPS is a non-profitable society of persons with a scientific interest in the study of human populations, the president of which is also CPC's Director, Professor Jane Falkingham. The main objectives of BSPS are to further the scientific study of biological, economic, historical, medical, social and other disciplines connected with human populations and to contribute to the public awareness of them. BSPS provides a forum for discussion of these issues and is a vehicle for the interchange of ideas. CPC contributed towards these objectives at the annual conference.
On Wednesday 6 September, 'Ethnic differences in aspirations and realities in transitions to adulthood' by Professor Ann Berrington was presented at the 'Family formation: attitudes and behaviours' session and 'Forecasting of UK Demographic Rates using Bayesian Generalised Additive Models' was presented at the 'Innovations in demographic forecasting' session.
On Thursday 7 September, the following papers were presented:
'Theoretical implications of shifts in age - specific fertility, mortality and migration rates' and 'The benefits of lower -level elasticity analysis to infer population dynamic drivers' were presented at the 'Innovative demographic methods' session.
'Linked lives and households: Re-allocation of social pension by beneficiaries of older persons cash transfer programme in Kenya' was presented at the 'Linked lives: the determinants of intergenerational relationships' session.
'What do international students do after completing their studies in the UK?' was presented at the 'International migration and immigrant integration' session.
'Contraceptive use among migrant women with a history of induced abortions in Finland' was presented at the 'Reproductive health 2' session.
'Four decades of changes in partners' relative incomes: Gender revolution or men's unemployment?' was presented at the 'Gender (in)equality within the family' session.
'Investigating aggregation effects in small area health data using synthetic microdata and automated zone design' was presented at the 'Innovative data collection and processing' session.
On Thursday 7 September from 11.00am - 12.30pm, CPC's Dr Agnese Vitali chaired 'Fertility and reproductive health: employment' and from 3.30pm - 4.30pm, CPC's Director Professor Jane Falkingham chaired 'Putting family centre-stage: Family ties and spatial mobility'.
On Friday 8 September, the following papers were presented:
'Decomposing Europe's population growth into stable and transient components' and 'Inferring transient dynamics of human populations from non-normality metrics' were presented at the Interdisciplinary methodological advances in mathematical demography session.
'Women's fertility histories and pathways to allostatic load in post reproductive age: analysis of the Indonesian Family Longitudinal Survey' was presented at the 'Health: Ageing' session.
'Intergenerational family support amongst three cohorts of older people in China' was presented at the 'Families: A cross-cohort perspective on demographic processes' session.
On Friday 8 September from 11.30am - 1.00pm, CPC's Dr Heini Vaisanen chaired ' Fertility intentions'.
The full programme of simultaneous strand sessions of submitted papers and posters are available at http://www.lse.ac.uk/socialPolicy/Researchcentresandgroups/BSPS/annualConference/Home.aspx.
To keep up to date with CPC's latest news and updates about BSPS, please follow @CPCpopulation @bspsUK
Thursday, August 31st 2017 - Friday, September 1st 2017
CPC shares interactive 'Migration' exhibition with Bournemouth Air Festival (Public engagement events)
Bournemouth Air Festival
Thursday, August 31st 2017
Friday, September 1st 2017
CPC shared our interactive 'Migration' themed exhibition with visitors to Bournemouth Air Festival as part of the 2017 University of Southampton 'Bringing Research to Life' Roadshow
Using engaging activities including a giant connect four game, the CPC exhibition shared world leading social science research in a fun, easy to understand and accessible way to help tackle public misconceptions about Brexit and EU migrants.
The exhibit refers to research highlighted in CPC Briefing Paper 33 'Who are the EU migrants in England and Wales?', CPC Briefing Paper 34 'Expense turns to investment: How the welfare state supports EU migrants' economic achievements' and CPC Briefing Paper 35 'Should I stay or should I go? Strategies of EU citizens living in the UK in the context of the EU referendum'.
To keep up to date with the latest news about our exhibition, follow @CPCpopulation and @UoS_Roadshow on Twitter.
Tuesday, August 29th 2017 - Friday, September 1st 2017
Annual International Conference (Conferences)
Royal Geographical Society, London
Tuesday, August 29th 2017
Friday, September 1st 2017
David McCollum organised two sessions via the Population Geography Research Group, as well as giving a presentation.
Thursday, August 3rd 2017 - Sunday, August 6th 2017
CPC makes 'Migration' research fun at BBC Countryfile Live (Public engagement events)
Oxford
Thursday, August 3rd 2017
Sunday, August 6th 2017
CPC was delighted to have joined BBC Countryfile presenters, the National Trust Theatre and a full programme of exciting exhibitors and talks to share our interactive 'Migration-themed' exhibition with visitors of BBC Countryfile Live in Oxford as part of the 2017 University of Southampton 'Bringing Research to Life' Roadshow.
Using engaging activities including a giant connect four game, the CPC exhibition shared world leading social science research in a fun, easy to understand and accessible way to help tackle public misconceptions about Brexit and EU migrants.
The exhibit refers to research highlighted in CPC Briefing Paper 33 'Who are the EU migrants in England and Wales?', CPC Briefing Paper 34 'Expense turns to investment: How the welfare state supports EU migrants' economic achievements' and CPC Briefing Paper 35 'Should I stay or should I go? Strategies of EU citizens living in the UK in the context of the EU referendum'.
CPC will also be joining the University of Southampton 'Bringing Research to Life' Roadshow at Bournemouth Airshow from 31st August - 2nd September. More information to follow!
To keep up to date with the latest news about our exhibition, follow @CPCpopulation and @UoS_Roadshow on Twitter.
Saturday, July 29th 2017 - Sunday, July 30th 2017
CPC takes interactive research activities to Winchester Science Festival (Public engagement events)
Winchester Discovery Centre
Saturday, July 29th 2017
Sunday, July 30th 2017
CPC was excited to share our interactive and educational 'Migration-themed' exhibition with visitors of Winchester Science Festival as part of the 2017 University of Southampton 'Bringing Research to Life' Roadshow. Using engaging activities including a giant connect four game, the CPC exhibition shared world leading social science research in a fun, easy to understand and accessible way to help tackle public misconceptions about Brexit and EU migrants.
The exhibit refers to research highlighted in CPC Briefing Paper 33 'Who are the EU migrants in England and Wales?', CPC Briefing Paper 34 'Expense turns to investment: How the welfare state supports EU migrants' economic achievements' and CPC Briefing Paper 35 'Should I stay or should I go? Strategies of EU citizens living in the UK in the context of the EU referendum' .
CPC will also be joining the University of Southampton 'Bringing Research to Life' Roadshow at BBC Countryfile Live from 3 - 6 August. More information to follow!
To keep up to date with the latest news about our exhibition, follow @CPCpopulation and @UoS_Roadshow on Twitter.
Tuesday, July 11th 2017
Prof Berrington organises Understanding Society Conference session on family dynamics (Conferences)
Professor Ann Berrington
University of Essex
Tuesday, July 11th 2017
A special session on comparative research using harmonised fertility and partnership history data took place from 15:30 - 17:30 on Tuesday 11 July at the Understanding Society UK Household Longitudinal Study (UKHLS) biennial research conference at the University of Essex.
The session, organised by CPC's Professor Ann Berrington brought together researchers working with data from the Generations and Gender Survey, in conjunction with other surveys including the British Household Panel Study (BHPS). The session included discussion of future possibilities to include new partnership and fertility data from UKHLS into the Harmonized History database.
The session programme was as follows:
Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton. "Is There a Link Between the Divorce Revolution and the Cohabitation Boom?"
Julia Mikolai, University of St Andrews. "The Role of Education in the Intersection of Partnership Transitions and Motherhood in Europe and the United States."
Gunnar Andersson, University of Stockholm. "Life-table Representations of Family Dynamics in the 21st Century".
Tom Emery, Netherlands Institute for Demographic Research. "Comparative research on family dynamics and harmonised data"
Chair: Ann Berrington
Follow @CPCpopulation and @usociety using #usociety17 to keep updated with this event.
Thursday, June 29th 2017 - Saturday, July 1st 2017
9th International Conference on Population Geographies (Conferences)
University of Washington, Seattle
Thursday, June 29th 2017
Saturday, July 1st 2017
David McCollum attended and presented at the 9th International Conference on Population Geographies.
Thursday, June 22nd 2017
Reconciling forecasts of age distribution of death counts: Application to fixed-term annuity pricing (Seminars and lectures)
Hanlin Shang
54/5027
Thursday, June 22nd 2017
3.00pm
The different constituents of age-specific life-table death counts can be represented by a random vector called compositions with non-negative components that sum to a radix.
Data in which the observations are compositions, are called compositional data. An example of which is the age-specific life-table death counts, where the radix is the fixed annual number of births in the life-table population. Age-specific life-table death counts are often disaggregated by different attributes, such as sex, state, ethnic group and socioeconomic status.
In making social policies and pricing annuity at national and subnational levels, it is important not only to forecast age distribution of death counts accurately, but also to ensure that forecasts at the subnational level add up to the forecasts at the national level. This motivates recent developments in grouped forecasting methods (Shang and Hyndman, 2017, Shang and Haberman, 2017) to reconcile age-specific mortality forecasts.
We extend the grouped forecasting methods to reconcile forecasts at the national and subnational levels, where a compositional data-analytic approach is adapted to forecast age distribution of death counts. Using the regional age-specific life-table death counts in Japan obtained from the Japanese Mortality Database (2017), we investigate the difference in point forecast accuracy between the independent and grouped forecasting methods. The grouped forecasting methods are shown not only to be useful for reconciling forecasts of age-specific life-table death counts at national and subnational levels, but they are able to improve forecast accuracy. The improved forecast accuracy of life-table death counts is of great interest to demographers and actuaries for estimating life expectancy and annuity prices, in particular at the level of population subgroups, defined by key factors such as sex, region, and socioeconomic grouping.
Friday, June 16th 2017
"I Care" - Celebrating National Carers Week 2017 (Conferences)
University of Stirling
Friday, June 16th 2017
BSG sponsored event organised by CPC members Rosalie Ashworth and Nadine Thomas for National Carers Week.
Tuesday, June 6th 2017
Bringing Research to Life Roadshow at Cheltenham Science Festival (Public engagement events)
Cheltenham
Tuesday, June 6th 2017
CPC held an interactive engagement stand on the implications of Brexit for migration and migrants at this event, which was part of the Bringing Research to Life Roadshow organised by the University of Southampton.
Wednesday, May 31st 2017 - Friday, June 2nd 2017
CPC proud sponsor of Popfest 2017 (Conferences)
Stockholm University
Wednesday, May 31st 2017
Friday, June 2nd 2017
The Centre for Population Change was delighted to sponsor the 25th Annual Postgraduate Population Studies Conference (PopFest), that took place at Stockholm University from 31 May - 2 June 2017.
Organised by PhD students for PhD students, PopFest is an annual Population Studies conference with the aim to bring together researchers from different Social Science disciplines such as Demography, Human Geography, Urban and Landscape Planning, Sociology, Social Anthropology, Social Statistics, Politics and other related fields. The Annual Population Postgraduate Conference provides a friendly, international environment for postgraduate students to present and discuss their work, chair sessions, and network. Theoretical as well as empirical topics include - but are not limited to: families, fertility, migration, mobility, inequality, health and methods.
PopFest is traditionally organised in conjunction with the British Society for Population Studies (BSPS). PopFest 2017 was hosted by Stockholm University's Demography Unit (SUDA), the Department of Sociology, the Swedish Institute for Social Research (SOFI), and the Department of Human Geography and this year's Keynote Speakers were:
Gunnar Andersson, Stockholm University, SUDA
David Card, University of California, Berkeley
Further information about the event can be found here: http://www.suda.su.se/about-us/events/popfest-2017
Monday, May 22nd 2017 - Tuesday, May 23rd 2017
PopFest 2017 (Conferences)
Stockholm University
Monday, May 22nd 2017
Tuesday, May 23rd 2017
CPC held an exhibition stand showcasing our research at this conference for PhD students
Monday, May 22nd 2017 - Tuesday, May 23rd 2017
3rd Workshop on the Economics of Migration (Workshops)
University of Southampton
Monday, May 22nd 2017
Tuesday, May 23rd 2017
PhD workshop organised by CPC and the University of Southampton.
Thursday, May 18th 2017
Remittances, labour supply and occupational outcomes of the household members left-behind (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Matloob Piracha
54/8033, University of Southampton
Thursday, May 18th 2017
2.00pm
This paper analyses the role of remittances on labour supply and occupational outcomes of the household members left behind. Contrary to some existing evidence, we find no 'dependency' effect of remittances.
Our results show that remittances received by households in Tajikistan have positive effect on generating self-employment opportunities for those left-behind behind, without affecting the number of job-specific hours worked. Any positive effect on economic development would, however, be rather limited, as most household investments are in small-scale subsistence farming activities that do not generate an income stream.
The results obtained are likely to have policy implications for other developing countries as well.
Wednesday, May 17th 2017 - Friday, May 19th 2017
Workshop for PhD students: "Life-course influences on retirement: Researchers' and stakeholders' perspectives" (Workshops)
Helsinki University, Finland
Wednesday, May 17th 2017
Friday, May 19th 2017
Traute Meyer is acting as a discussant at this PhD workshop exploring life-course influences on the different aspects of retirement.
Thursday, May 4th 2017
Future and family: first evidence from Italy and Spain (Seminars and lectures)
Lynn Jamieson and Adele Lebano
58/4121, University of Southampton
Thursday, May 4th 2017
The presentation will focus on the evidence emerging from the qualitative interviews conducted in Italy and Spain between October 2016 and March 2017.
The aim of the study is to understand how different circumstances and uncertainties in the present impact on how people see their futures in Italy, Spain and the UK. In-depth interviews with young men and women aged 30-35 are documenting their present choices and views of their futures, including partnership and childbearing. The research participants are men and women without children or with one child in established couple relationships. In each country, the starting point for recruitment is two localities with contrasting regional trends in rates of fertility and economic performance.
The study is part of a bigger programme on fertility change in the context of economic recession, especially on the timing and circumstances of having and not having children.
Thursday, May 4th 2017
Bringing Research to Life Roadshow at The Thomas Hardye School (Public engagement events)
Thomas Hardye School, Dorchester
Thursday, May 4th 2017
CPC held an interactive engagement stand on the implications of Brexit for migration and migrants at this event, which was part of the Bringing Research to Life Roadshow organised by the University of Southampton.
Thursday, April 27th 2017 - Saturday, April 29th 2017
CPC proud to present at nine PAA Annual Meeting sessions (Conferences)
America
Thursday, April 27th 2017
Saturday, April 29th 2017
CPC colleagues were delighted to present nine research titles at the Population Association of America (PAA) Annual Meeting.
The Population Association of America (PAA) is a nonprofit, scientific, professional organisation established to promote the improvement, advancement and progress of the human race through research of problems related to human population.
CPC contributed the following to this meeting:
27 April 2017
Changes in Partners' Relative Incomes and the Gender Revolution, Dr Agnese Vitali et al.
Economic Dependency and Cohabiting Couples' Union Transitions, Dr Jennifer A. Holland, Dr Agnese Vitali
Redundancy and the Great Depression in the Metropolitan Region of Barcelona: Philanthropic Records as a New Source for the Study of Poverty, Juan Galeano, Albert Sabater, Andreu Domingo.
28 April 2017
Timing of Abortions, Births, and Union Dissolutions in Finland, Dr Heini Väisänen et al.
Do early life conditions explain differences in subjective well-being between marriage and cohabitation? A comparison between Australia, the UK, Germany, and Norway, Stefanie Hoherz, Brienna Perelli-Harris et al.
Parental Work Hour Demands and 'Quality Time' with Children, Stefanie Hoherz et al.
"Your World Revolves Around Your Children... a Husband Is Secondary" Exploring How Non-Marital Fertility and Pro-Natalist Values Shape Fertility Transition in the Philippines, Bernice Kuang, Brienna Perelli-Harris et al.
Parental Support and Transition to Second Birth in a Low-Fertility Setting: The Case of Andalusia in Spain, Albert Sabater, et al.
29 April 2017
Partnership Status and the Wage Premium in the U.S., UK, Germany, and Norway: What Explains Differentials Between Married and Cohabiting Adults?, Fenaba Addo, Brienna Perelli-Harris et al.
Further details about the meeting can be found by viewing the PAA programme.
Join in the discussion @CPCPopulation @PopAssocAmerica #paa2017
Tuesday, April 25th 2017
CPC's Dr Bijak talks Bayesian Statistics in Liverpool (Seminars and lectures)
Professor Jakub Bijak
University of Liverpool
Tuesday, April 25th 2017
CPC's Dr Jakub Bijak presented his research in a University of Liverpool Seminar on the topic of '(Population and Spatial Analysis) - Migration, demography and Bayesian statistics'.
Jakub's research interest focuses on the applications of quantitative methods in demography, especially in migration and population forecasting, agent-based population modelling, demography of conflict and violence and international migration studies, as well as on research on population ageing, mortality, links between population and the environment and demographic uncertainty.
For further information about the event, please visit the seminar page here.
Monday, April 24th 2017
CPC informs Brexit discussion at the Palace of Westminster (Conferences)
The Palace of Westminster, London
Monday, April 24th 2017
CPC was delighted to host a policy roundtable event: 'Tales of Migration', in collaboration with Public Policy Southampton, The UK in a Changing Europe and Hilary Benn MP at the Palace of Westminster.
The roundtable discussed recent research findings as part of a project 'Tales of migration: citizenship, benefits and identity in Brexit Britain', which is part of the UK in a Changing Europe initiative.
Following the referendum on the UK's membership of the EU, the topic of migration from other EU countries and free movement has been highlighted as critical and policy-relevant. The debate has also reflected concerns about an overstretched welfare system and alleged benefit tourism. But who are the EU migrants living in the UK, who will arguably be among those most immediately and directly affected by the outcome of the referendum? How have policy changes discussed in the run-up to the referendum already changed EU migrants' entitlements, and how might this affect their economic contribution to the British economy? What coping strategies do EU migrants themselves envisage as the UK leaves the EU? In order to address this evidence gap, research has been undertaken by the Centre for Population Change to provide an independent source of information and insight about UK-EU relations.
The policy roundtable aimed to provide key stakeholders with the opportunity to engage in the policy implications of this research, and to draw together expertise around the issue, in the crucial period during which we define our priorities for Brexit.
Further work forming part of the 'Tales of migration: citizenship, benefits and identity in Brexit Britain', includes important research video podcasts by some of CPC's most esteemed academics on the subject of migration:
'Who is a typical migrant in the UK today?' by Professor Jane Falkingham
'Can migration be fully controlled?' by Dr Jakub Bijak
'Should EU migrants get benefits after Brexit?' by Dr Paul Bridgen
'How much are UK migrants worth?' by Dr Hector Calvo Pardo
'Does migration make us happy?' by Dr Corrado Giulietti
'Will EU migrants stay or leave the UK after Brexit?' by Professor Derek McGhee
Also available are CPC Briefing Papers and Blogs:
CPC Briefing Paper 'Who are EU migrants in England and Wales?'
CPC Briefing Paper 'How to forecast international migration'
CPC Briefing Paper 'Expense turns to investment: How the welfare state supports EU migrants' economic achievements'
CPC Briefing Paper 'Should I stay or should I go? Strategies of EU citizens living in the EU in the context of the EU referendum'
New CPC Blog hosted by The UK in a Changing Europe by Dr Corrado Giulietti 'Immigration and happiness in the UK'
New CPC Blog hosted by Public Policy Southampton by Professor Jane Falkingham 'How Brexit impacts families in the UK'
New CPC Blog hosted by Public Policy Southampton by Dr Jakub Bijak 'Migration: Illusion of prediction, illusion of control'
Tuesday, April 11th 2017
Fabian Society Brexit panel meeting (Other)
St Andrews Hall, Southampton
Tuesday, April 11th 2017
Traute Meyer took part in a panel for an 'Any Questions' style meeting for the Southampton branch of the Fabian Society on the issue of Brexit.
Tuesday, April 4th 2017 - Thursday, April 6th 2017
CPC at the BSA Annual Conference (Conferences)
University of Manchester
Tuesday, April 4th 2017
Thursday, April 6th 2017
CPC were delighted to have attended the British Sociological Association (BSA) Annual Conference which took place at the University of Manchester from the 4 - 6 April 2017.
The theme for the 2017 Annual Conference was 'Recovering the Social: Personal Troubles and Public Issues' and CPC members Professor Lynn Jamieson, Professor Derek McGhee and Dr Chris Moreh contributed to the programme.
5 April 2017: Professor Derek McGhee and Dr Chris Moreh presented "Undeliberate Determinacy? Estimating the 'Effect' of Brexit on the Migration Strategies of Poles in the UK" linked to CPC project 'Understanding the drivers and consequence of population changes in the UK in the context of a changing Europe'.
6 April 2017: As well as being a member of CPC, Professor Lynn Jamieson is also BSA President and provided the Presidential Address 'Recovering the social: revisiting the more than personal life' for the conference.
6 April 2017: Professor Derek McGhee and Dr Chris Moreh presented "Transnational Citizenship in Times of Brexit: Polish Migrants' Perceptions and Strategies in the Context of the Reconfiguration of Substantial Citizenship Rights in the United Kingdom" linked to CPC project 'Examining the drivers, impacts and long-term trajectories of Polish migration a decade after accession'.
Further details about the conference, including the full programme, can be found on the BSA website: https://www.britsoc.co.uk/
Friday, March 31st 2017
The legacy of Brexit: mobility and citizenship in times of uncertainty (Seminars and lectures)
University of Southampton
Friday, March 31st 2017
The final seminar in the Sociology of Brexit seminar series organised by Chris Moreh and Emilia Pietka-Nykaza. Dr Bridget Byrne from the University of Manchester is the keynote speaker at this event.
Wednesday, March 29th 2017
Future of Museums: Audiences (Public engagement events)
Wellcome Collection, London
Wednesday, March 29th 2017
Jane Falkingham gave a keynote speech on the future of demographic trends at this event.
Wednesday, March 22nd 2017
International and Multi-disciplinary Perspectives on Evidence-based Policy: Seminar 2 Intergenerational Relations (Workshops)
Academy, Finsbury Square
Wednesday, March 22nd 2017
Ann Berrington took part in the first part of this event: "Conversation 1 Implications of changing family forms and household structures for intergenerational relations and policy development" with Emily Grundy and Jane Millar.
Thursday, March 16th 2017
Statistical Issues with Agent-Based Models (Seminars and lectures)
David Banks
54/5027
Thursday, March 16th 2017
2.00pm
Agent-based models have become an ubiquitous tool in many
disciplines. But too little is known about their statistical
properties.
This talk reviews the history and scope of application for
agent-based models, and then describes work that has been done to begin
to understand their statistical properties. In particular, the talk
describes emulator theory and approximate Bayesian computation as
methods for improving model fitting and inference
Thursday, March 2nd 2017
The Relationship between Housing and Fertility: A macro-level, cross-country investigation (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Sarah Brauner-Otto
06/1083
Thursday, March 2nd 2017
3.00pm
Over the past 75 years fertility levels have been dropping across the globe and have reached particularly low levels in most economically developed countries. These low levels are viewed as problematic both because women report wanting more children than they are having and because governments worry about the economic consequences of shrinking populations such as diminished work forces, and increased strain on social welfare systems.
Theoretical frameworks have identified the housing market, specifically the availability and affordability of independent housing, as one factor that may be leading to these low levels of fertility because, for most young adults in economically developed countries, living away from their parents is a necessary precursor to having children. However, to date the empirical link between housing and fertility at the national level remains uninvestigated. In the first macro level empirical investigation of this relationship, this paper explores how multiple aspects of the housing market are related to multiple measures of fertility across 38 countries.
Saturday, February 18th 2017
Radstats 2017 Conference: The Statistics of BREXIT (Conferences)
Victoria Terrace, Edinburgh
Saturday, February 18th 2017
18 February 2017 - How have statistics been used in the arguments for Britain remaining in or leaving the EU? The 'Radstats 2017 Conference and AGM' at Edinburgh Central Quaker Meeting House, organised by Radical Statistics will explore this question and others.
CPC's Director Professor Jane Falkingham will be providing a keynote speech at the event. Drawing on recent funded projects exploring the UK in the context of a changing Europe, Jane's talk will report on the new evidence on the implications for Brexit on the UK population, attitudes and expectations of migrants regarding naturalisation and potential return migration, the role of social policy and the changing rights of migrants.
For programme information contact CPC colleagues Nissa Finney, Albert Sabater and Glenna Nightingale at CONF17@radstats.org.uk
Register for this event here.
Thursday, February 16th 2017
A new look at the housing consequences of union dissolution in Britain (Seminars and lectures)
Rory Coulter, University of Cambridge
University of Southampton, Room 8033, Building 54
Thursday, February 16th 2017
3pm
Paper co-authored with Michael Thomas and Clara H Mulder (University of Groningen). Many studies have shown that union dissolution often has adverse short- and long-term consequences for the housing careers of men and women. However, much of this research concentrates on who exited and subsequently re-entered homeownership after separating during the late twentieth century boom in owner-occupation. As homeownership has become less accessible in recent years and a growing proportion of households now rent privately, it is becoming increasingly important to also know more about how men and women living in rental accommodation adjust their housing and living arrangements in response to partnership dissolution. In consequence, we use up-to-date and geocoded data from the initial waves of the United Kingdom Household Longitudinal Study to assess how and why the short-term housing outcomes of separation vary by gender, tenure and across Britain. This seminar will present and discuss some initial findings from this ongoing project.
Thursday, December 8th 2016
Modelling Socio-Economic Differences in the Mortality of Danish Males Using a New Affluence Index (Seminars and lectures)
Andrew Cairns, Herriott Watt University
University of Southampton, Room 1085, Building 2
Thursday, December 8th 2016
3pm
We investigate and model how the mortality of Danish males aged 55-94 has changed over the period 1985-2012. We divide the population into ten socio-economic subgroups using a new measure of affluence that combines wealth and income reported on the Statistics Denmark national register database. The affluence index, in combination with sub-group lockdown at age 67, is shown to provide consistent sub-group rankings based on crude death rates across all ages and over all years. This improves significantly on previous studies that have focused on the impact of education or income on life expectancy or age-standardised mortality rates. The gap between the most and least affluent is confirmed to be widest at younger ages and has widened over time.
We introduce a new multi-population mortality model that fits the historical mortality data very well and captures the essential character of the raw data. The model generates smoothed death rates that allow us to work with a larger number of smaller sub-groups than might be considered realistic when working with raw data.
The model produces plausible projections of death rates that preserve the subgroup rankings at all ages. It also satisfies reasonableness criteria related to the term structure of correlations across ages and over time through consideration of future death and survival rates.
Wednesday, December 7th 2016
Lone parents in the UK today (Workshops)
Gingerbread, London
Wednesday, December 7th 2016
7 December 2016 - Single parents in the UK have been affected by cuts to welfare support, pressure to be in employment and obligations to pay high childcare costs. What is the real cost of benefit changes to those that rely on them, and how can risks and insecurity be mitigated in the future?
A conference organised by CPC, the University of Southampton and the University of York was held at Gingerbread, the London-based leading charity working with single parent families, to share current research on lone parents and inform social policy in the UK today.
Guests were invited from government departments, think tanks and the voluntary sector to exchange ideas, form new networks and join sessions on 'Family cash benefits and the risks of poverty in lone parent families' with Jonathan Bradshaw from the University of York and 'Bad jobs and food insecurity among single mother households in the USA' with Amanda Sheely from LSE. Dalia Ben-Galim, Director of Policy, Advice and Communications at Gingerbread gave the keynote speech.
Read related published articles by Helen Kowalewska 'Beyond the 'Train-First'/'Work-First' Dichotomy: How Welfare States Help or Hinder Maternal Employment' and 'Diminishing returns: lone mothers' financial work and incomes incentives under the Coalition'
Read related working paper by Professor Ann Berrington 'The changing demography of lone parenthood in the UK'
Tuesday, December 6th 2016
Understanding population change in Europe and China: Sharing research experiences for policy development (Workshops)
University of Southampton
Tuesday, December 6th 2016
Research symposium jointly organised between CPC, the China Population and Development Research Centre and China Research Centre. Maria Evandrou, Athina Vlachantoni, Jakub Bijak, Agnese Vitali, Brienna Perelli-Harris and Jane Falkingham were speaking at this event.
Thursday, December 1st 2016
Immigrants and fertility in the UK: Macro and micro perspectives (Seminars and lectures)
Sylvie Dubuc, University of Oxford
University of Southampton, Room 1023, Building 58
Thursday, December 1st 2016
2pm
1 December 2016 - Migration and fertility patterns are changing. What impact is this having on UK population growth? A Seminar organised by CPC with Dr Sylvie Dubuc of the University of Oxford explored the tangible effects of migration on UK population change.
The seminar focussed on the indirect contribution of immigration to population growth in the UK, through fertility. Examining fertility of immigrants and their children, within ethnic groups, and across successive cohorts of immigrant women, reveals a process of inter-ethnic convergence. Sylvie presented evidence of intergenerational fertility reduction and investigated the role of women's educational attainment. The results were discussed within the theoretical framework available to analyse fertility of immigrants and minority groups, including the minority status, the assimilation model and transnational perspectives. Although the ongoing intergenerational fertility convergence for groups originating from high fertility countries is congruent with the assimilation theory, the diversity of socio-demographic patterns across and within ethnic groups suggests that more complex macro-micro processes are at play.
A video of this event will soon be available.
Thursday, November 24th 2016
CPC Scotland AGM (Other)
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, November 24th 2016
Small scale Annual General Meeting for CPC Scotland members.
Thursday, November 24th 2016
Job Control, Demand and Moral Distress Among Social Care Workers in England (Seminars and lectures)
Shereen Hussein, King's College London
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, November 24th 2016
1pm
This presentation is based on empirical studies on the English social care workforce spanning 2010 to 2016. I will start by providing an overview of the organisation of social care in England and the characteristics of its workforce highlighting the significance of gender and migration in the recruitment and retention to the care sector. The focus of the presentation would be on examining the nature of care work as 'emotionally taxing' and its impact on psychological job stress and its contributing and mitigating factors. The analysis is based on a large survey of care workers as part of the Longitudinal Care Work Study (LoCS). The LoCS survey utilised standardised scales of the Karasek's Job content Questionnaire ('JCQ'), which is an instrument designed to identify two crucial aspects of work: job demands - the stressors existing in the work environment - and job decision latitude (control) - the extent to which workers have the potential to control their tasks and conduct throughout the working day. Here, the job Control-Demand (CD) model postulates job strain as the result of an interaction between demand and control and examines contributing and mitigating factors; such as level of support received at the work place within the context of care. Analysis of qualitative interviews is used to explore how moral distress can manifest itself in every day care work activities.
Friday, November 18th 2016
1st Meeting of the Fast-Track Project on Migration (Other)
VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH, Berlin
Friday, November 18th 2016
Jane Falkingham representing the UK and ESRC in order to shape a future funding call.
Thursday, November 10th 2016 - Friday, November 11th 2016
CPC AGM (Other)
De Vere New Place, Shirrell Heath
Thursday, November 10th 2016
Friday, November 11th 2016
Large scale Annual General Meeting for all CPC members and NRS and ONS links
Thursday, November 10th 2016
Brexit: an academic conference (Conferences)
Houses of Parliament, London
Thursday, November 10th 2016
This conference brought together parliamentary researchers and academics to consider some of the key policy areas affected by the UK's decision to leave the EU. CPC held an exhibition stand and CPC Allan Findlay, Corrado Giulietti and Jakub Bijak presented their work at this event held at the Houses of Parliament in London.
Monday, November 7th 2016
Public Roundtable "Still Home Abroad? Polish Migration to Scotland after Brexit" (Other)
University of Aberdeen
Monday, November 7th 2016
Chris Moreh took part in the public roundtable discussion discussing how the EU referndum result affects the Polish community in Scotland and what are people's responses.
Thursday, October 27th 2016
Testing concurrent validity in retrospective life history data using a prospective cohort study (Seminars and lectures)
Stephen Jivraj, UCL Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care
University of Southampton, Room 1065, Building 58
Thursday, October 27th 2016
2pm
Paper co-authored with Alissa Goodman (UCL Institute of Education), George Ploubidis (UCL Institute of Education) and Cesar de Oliveira (UCL Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care).
This study determines whether comparable prospective and retrospective data present the same direction and magnitude of association between childhood and life course characteristics and later life health and economic wellbeing. We use prospective data taken from the 1958 National Child Development Study at age 50 in 2008 and earlier sweeps at age 7, 11, 16, 23, 33, 42, 46 (n=8,033). Retrospective data is taken from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing at age 50 from a life history interview in 2007 (n=921). There is a high degree of similarity in the magnitude of regression coefficients of certain childhood circumstances predicting health and economic wellbeing outcomes, suggesting that although there may be issues of recall error in retrospective data, it is not biased for the variables used in the analysis, and leads to similar associations when taking into account contemporaneous and life course characteristics. The findings provide reassurance to the growing literature using life history data to determine life course associations with later life wellbeing outcomes.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, October 27th 2016
Successful ageing in the West of Scotland (Seminars and lectures)
Elise Whitley, University of Glasgow
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, October 27th 2016
1pm
Longevity is increasing worldwide and there is a rapidly growing interest in identifying individuals who age "successfully" and in understanding why they do so. This seminar will explore aspects of successful ageing in a large cohort of older men and women living in the West of Scotland. I will consider how we identify individuals who are ageing successfully, explore how socioeconomic position across the life-course impacts on successful ageing, and describe how leaving the labour force later in life impacts on aspects of successful ageing.
Friday, October 14th 2016
Debate on future pension policy in Germany (Other)
National Conference for Justice in Pension Policies of the Green Party, Berlin
Friday, October 14th 2016
14 October 2016 - Professor Traute Meyer was part of a panel of distinguished speakers debating the pension system at the National Conference for Justice in Pension Policies of the Green Party, Berlin.
The PAYG pension system has become stable after the last financial crisis. At the same time the pension is no longer enough for people to live on and they must apply for basic security. In Germany there is still no minimum pension, or even a universal health insurance as there is in other countries. This conference explored the challenges of the pension system in Germany and asked what Germany can learn from studies in other countries to achieve a reliable scheme which avoids poverty in old age. Some of the possible solutions which were explored included a tax-financed basic pension system and reforms to the existing PAYG pension. This conference session looked at what is desired, what might be possible and took expert advice on ways forward. As well as CPC's Traute Meyer, panel members included Prof. Stefan Sell (University Koblenz), Markus Kurth MP and was chaired by Wolfgang Kuhn Strengemann-MP.
Professor Meyer's long established work on pensions, including her previous research project 'The reconstruction of British and German pension regimes' positioned her well to debate the challenges of the current pension system and provide evidence to influence positive changes to future pension policy.
Friday, October 14th 2016
National Conference for justice in pension policies of the Green Party (Conferences)
German Bundestag, Berlin
Friday, October 14th 2016
Traute Meyer spoke in the panel debate titled "What's in the pension system? Basic pension from taxes or retirement pension by allocation?"
Thursday, October 13th 2016 - Friday, October 14th 2016
Interrelations between public policies; migration and development (Conferences)
OECD Conference Centre, Paris
Thursday, October 13th 2016
Friday, October 14th 2016
Jackie Wahba was a speaker for the panel session on "Public policies and return migration"
Thursday, October 13th 2016
Are we a nation of savers? Roundtable discussion at the SNP Conference (Other)
Glasgow
Thursday, October 13th 2016
Robert Wright took part in the Roundtable discussion held as part of the SNP Conference. This invitation only event was hosted by Prospect Magazine, supported by Legal and General.
Thursday, September 29th 2016
Estimation of a synthetic wage measure using detailed standard occupation classifications (Seminars and lectures)
Tom Clemens, University of Edinburgh
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, September 29th 2016
1pm
Income level is predictive of many health outcomes and is therefore an important potential confounder in many health studies. However, survey measurement of income is tricky and is often missing or poorly measured in epidemiological studies because of its complexity and sensitivity. This seminar outlines an alternative approach based on the estimation of a synthetic wage measure based on detailed occupation categories. The talk will discuss the method we adopted, the performance of the newly created synthetic measure compared to other measures of socio-economic status and wider uses and extensions of the measure. I will also discuss how the measure can be created in other datasets based on a simple user written program in the Stata software package. The seminar will conclude with a discussion of the extent to which measures such as these may reduce the need to collect income information in surveys and administrative data.
Monday, September 26th 2016 - Thursday, September 29th 2016
How to get to 100 and enjoy it. interactive exhibition (Public engagement events)
European Parliament, Brussels
Monday, September 26th 2016
Thursday, September 29th 2016
5:30pm
26 - 29 September 2016 - CPC has been working with Population Europe to take the popular "How to get to 100 and enjoy it" exhibition to the European Parliament. The opening event took place on 26th September from 5:30pm, attendance was free and open to all.
At the opening event, experts from research, policy and civil society discussed the opportunities and challenges of population ageing in Europe with a special focus on active ageing and care. The programme started with talks on the latest research findings by:
Professor Jane Falkingham OBE, Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton, UK.
Professor Axel Börsch-Supan, Director of the Munich Center for the Economics of Aging at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, Munich.
The presentations were followed by a panel debate involving researchers and stakeholders from policy and civil society:
Heinz K. Becker, Member of the European Parliament, Brussels.
Professor Axel Börsch-Supan, Director of the Munich Center for the Economics of Aging at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, Munich.
Professor Jane Falkingham OBE, Director of the ESRC Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton, UK.
Helmut Kramer, Founding President of the Austrian Interdisciplinary Platform on Ageing, Vienna.
Montserrat Mir Roca, Confederal Secretary of the European Trade Union Confederation (ETUC), Brussels.
Stecy Yghemonos, Director of Eurocarers, Brussels.
Monday, September 26th 2016 - Thursday, September 29th 2016
Ageing in Europe (Public engagement events)
European Parliament, Brussels
Monday, September 26th 2016
Thursday, September 29th 2016
26 - 29 September 2016 - One in three children born in Europe today will live to reach 100, what does this mean for society, public policy and the life course of individuals? A CPC and Population Europe event organised in the European Parliament attempted to unpick some of the issues and think about how social policy might be shaped in the future to adapt to our changing lifespans.
The panel debate on the 26th September launched the opening of the Population Europe"How to get to 100 and enjoy it" exhibition which previously toured the UK. Bringing together experts from research, policy and civil society the opening debate discussed the opportunities and challenges of population ageing in Europe with a special focus on active ageing and care.
Sponsor and host of the event Mr Heinz K Becker MEP, gave a passionate opening address from his perspective as Vice President of the Parliamentary Group on Ageing and Intergenerational Solidarity, VC of the Parliamentary Interest Group on Carers and Member of the European Parliament Disability Group. Panel members included;
CPC Director Professor Jane Falkingham OBE. Professor Axel Börsch-Supan, Director of the Munich Center for the Economics of Aging at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, Munich. Helmut Kramer, Founding President of the Austrian Interdisciplinary Platform on Ageing, Vienna. Montserrat Mir Roca, Confederal Secretary of the European Trade Union Confederation (ETUC), Brussels, and Stecy Yghemonos, Director of Eurocarers, Brussels.
An energetic debate took place with Moderator Harald Wilkozewski asking the panel challenging questions. CPC's Jane Falkingham talked about how we measure old age and its changing meaning as well as discussing the importance of life course sensitive social policy. Stecy Yghemonos noted the importance of informal carers and their health and wellbeing, echoing CPCs research in this area. The audience noted the vital role of women as carers and the juxtaposition of policy focus on women in paid work was deliberated. Jane Falkingham considered that men are less likely to ask employers for flexible working patterns than women while Montserrat Mir Roca put to the panel the critical importance of work and the type of work individuals do on their later life outcomes. Axel Börsch-Supan dispelled the myth that older workers take jobs away from the young. Jane Falkingham examined the distribution of work across the lifecourse and new forms of social protection. The panel endorsed the importance of a lifetime perspective, starting with childhood, and fundamentally addressing inequality throughout life to close the gaps in life expectancy according to socioeconomic status. Healthy life expectancy was debated, with consideration of what is needed for healthy and active ageing and what kind of engagement individuals, policy and other social actors play in achieving it.
The debate, enabled through funding from the ESRC, was attended by various Members of European Parliament, the European Commission and Chief Executive Officers of several NGO's. The exhibition in the European Parliament runs until 29th September with Researchers on hand to guide visitors through the exhibition. An App is now available containing the content of the exhibition.
Tuesday, September 20th 2016
Deviations from normative family trajectories and life satisfaction at older ages (Seminars and lectures)
Bruno Arpino, Universitat Pompeu Fabra
University of Southampton, Room 1067, Building 58
Tuesday, September 20th 2016
3pm
An increasing body of research has focused on the interplay between fertility and life satisfaction. A lot of research efforts have also been devoted to understanding the relationship between other demographic events, such as marriage, and subjective wellbeing. Whereas the majority of this research takes adult population as its target, less is known about the effect of past family trajectories on wellbeing of older people.
In this paper we assess how different patterns of family trajectories can affect current life satisfaction of older people in Europe. We also study the role of the level of adherence of individual trajectories to normative (most frequent) family trajectories. We hypothesize that those individuals who experienced uncommon trajectories accumulated stress and negative feelings throughout their life which could exert negative long-term influence on their subjective wellbeing.
We apply sequence analysis and optimal matching on retrospective data from the third wave of the Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARELIFE) to calculate distances between individual family trajectories and normative trajectories, defined by representative (medoid) trajectories by sex, birth cohort and geographical area. Subsequently, we estimate linear regression models to assess the association between deviations from normative trajectories and older people's life satisfaction.
Saturday, September 17th 2016
Women in Public Service (Public engagement events)
University of Cambridge
Saturday, September 17th 2016
Free event aimed at inspiring women into the possibility of second careers in public service. Jackline Wahba spoke at the event.
Monday, September 12th 2016 - Wednesday, September 14th 2016
British Society of Population Studies Conference (Conferences)
University of Winchester
Monday, September 12th 2016
Wednesday, September 14th 2016
12 -14 September 2016 -Many CPC members contributed to this yearâ's British Society of Population Studies Conference (BSPS) conference at the University of Winchester.
CPCâ's core objectives are linked closely to that of the British Society for Population studies, this is never more evident than in our participation in the societyâ's annual conference. CPC Director Jane Falkingham is the incumbent president of BSPS and took great pleasure in being involved in the conference planning which provided a platform for scientific discussion, learning and exchange of ideas. Other CPC members coordinated several of the academic strands this year including Athina Vlachantoni who organised the sessions on 'Ageing and the lifecourseâ' and Jakub Bijak who was organiser of the 'Innovative data, methods and modelsâ' presentations. With 23 presentations by CPC across the three days, there was lots of CPC research for delegates to enjoy.
Presentations from CPC members included Elspeth Graham and Albert Sabaterâ's work on 'Low educational attainment and UK fertility change in times of austerityâ' which studies potential contributing factors in large scale population changes in Italy and Spain, particularly in the context of the economic recession.
Ann Berrington and Juliet Stone presented their work on 'Income, welfare and the transition to third birth in the UKâ' from the project 'Fertility dynamics in the context of economic recessionâ'. This work focusses on the factors that influence a womanâ's decision to have a third child.
In their presentation 'Integrated probabilistic population forecasts for the United Kingdom: A Bayesian approachâ', Jason Hilton, Jakub Bijak, Eren Dodd, Jonathan Forster and Peter Smith explored the ways Bayesian methods of predicting population change can be used to improve forecasting in the UK. This work is part of the project Probabilistic population forecasting.
Work by Maria Evandrou, Jane Falkingham, Madelin Gomez Leon and Athina Vlachantoniâ's on 'The dynamics of social care and paid work in mid-lifeâ' examines how families cope with caring for relatives and what impact this has on their employment status.
For full information about the conference, visit the conference Website
Friday, September 2nd 2016
Migration and citizenship: evidence from two referendums (Seminars and lectures)
University of the West of Scotland, Paisley Campus
Friday, September 2nd 2016
CPC helped to organise this SRF funded Sociological Review Research Seminar Series event.
Wednesday, August 31st 2016 - Saturday, September 3rd 2016
European Population Conference 2016 (Conferences)
Mainz, Germany
Wednesday, August 31st 2016
Saturday, September 3rd 2016
31 August - 3 September 2016 - CPC members were busy preparing presentations, posters and the exhibition booth for this year's European Population Conference (EPC). The conference was hosted at the Johannes Gutenberg University in Mainz, Germany. Twenty-six presentations from CPC members paid special attention to this year's theme 'Demographic change and policy implications'.
Talks by CPC members included a presentation of current work on 'Intergenerational Flows of Support between Parents and Adult Children' by Maria Evandrou, Jane Falkingham, Madelin Gomez Leon and Athina Vlachantoni's in session 97. This work investigates the extent to which the receipt of help from parents in early adulthood affects the chances of adult-children supporting their parents later in life. Results from the research show that three-quarters of both men and women had received some kind of help from their parents in adulthood, and more than half provided some kind of support towards their parents at age 50. More about this research can also be seen in our Working Paper.
In session 5 chaired by Agnese Vitali, Elspeth Graham, Francesca Fiori and Albert Sabater presented their work on large scale fertility trends in Italy and Spain over the past two decades, in the context of economic recession. During this time both countries have seen a reduction in the number of births, leading the team to investigate the role population composition has made to this decline. This work is part of the project 'Fertility in the context of economic recession and international migration; an analysis of Britain, Italy and Spain'.
As part of his research on 'Complex models of demographic change' Jason Hilton presented results, in session 58, from an agent-based model of inter-generational fertility change, which uses simulation to investigate how wave-like patterns in fertility may arise from individual decisions to start a family.
Work on the timing of fertility among recent migrants to England and Wales by Ann Berrington and James Robards was presented in poster session 1. Their research, published in Demographic Research, investigates how the timing of childbearing differs between women moving to the UK from various countries of birth. The main findings, which build on previous research, show that, compared to the other countries studied, women born in Pakistan or Bangladesh are the most likely to have children in the first 5 years after moving to England or Wales. In contrast, women from India and Poland generally delay childbearing until some years after migration.
Alongside the work on fertility of migrants, Ann also presented her work with Juliet Stone on the link between household income and education with the number of children a woman is likely to have throughout her lifetime. This work will be presented in session 67 and builds on research discussed in our Briefing Paper.
Jennifer Holland and Agnese Vitali spoke about their project 'Women's economic dependency and the transition to marriage' in session 102 which explores female breadwinner partnerships in the United States, and how likely these couples are to get married. This work links to Agnese's ESRC Future Leaders scheme project 'Female Breadwinner Families in Europe'.
CPC also had an information stand in the exhibition space, with copies of a variety of our work available. Visitors had the opportunity to come along and talk to our Researchers and Research Manager to find out more about our work and see what free materials were available.
Full details of the programme can be seen on the conference website.
Tuesday, July 19th 2016
Brexit - the Fallout for immigration and the economy (Other)
House of Commons, London
Tuesday, July 19th 2016
An All-Party Parliamentary Group for Social Science and Policy meeting with presentations by Jonathan Portes from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research and Jane Falkingham.
Monday, July 18th 2016 - Friday, July 22nd 2016
21st International AIDS Conference (Conferences)
Durban, South Africa
Monday, July 18th 2016
Friday, July 22nd 2016
18-22 July 2016 - Findings from HIV studies and intervention trials involving CPC researchers were presented at The 21st International AIDS Conference, which took place in Durban, South Africa. Prince Harry, Sir Elton John and Ban Ki-moon were among those speaking at the conference which had the theme 'Access Equity Rights Now'. Over 18,000 delegates from around the world listened as Scientists, NGOs, world leaders, policy makers and people living with HIV shared new findings and experiences in order to improve the health and wellbeing of around 36.7 million people living with HIV worldwide.
CPC Professors Nuala McGrath and Vicky Hosegood have been involved several long-term research projects in collaboration with the Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, the Human Sciences Research Council and the ALPHA network. Among the work being presented were the first results from two trials; the Uthando Lwethu ("Our Love") randomized controlled trial which aims to increase the rates of couples HIV testing in rural South Africa; and the Treatment as Prevention randomized treatment trial which evaluates the impact of starting antiretroviral therapy immediately after identification of HIV-infection regardless of clinical stage. The studies aim to reduce the numbers of people newly acquiring HIV each year and were conducted in KwaZulu-Natal by consortia of international researchers. Further information about the wider project can be found here.
The AIDS Conference had considerable media coverage and over the course of the week abstracts, presentations and interviews became available to view on the website.
Tuesday, July 5th 2016 - Wednesday, July 6th 2016
Workshop of the International Network on Transnational Families (Workshops)
University of St Andrews
Tuesday, July 5th 2016
Wednesday, July 6th 2016
5-6 July 2016 - CPC was delighted to host the second workshop of the International Network on Transnational Families at the University of St Andrews.
The International Network on Transnational Families (INTF) brings together an international group of researchers working on transnational families in different parts of the world. Its aim is to promote collaboration and develop comparative studies. The inaugural meeting was held at the University of Maastricht in July 2015, when 15 invited participants discussed their work and drew up plans for comparative analyses using data from two or more world regions. Preliminary results were discussed at the second workshop, with a view to publishing a collection of journal papers. New participants also had the opportunity to introduce their work and the group discussed further collaborations.
Prior to the workshop CPC Co-Director Elspeth Graham said "We are greatly looking forward to welcoming delegates to the second workshop here in Scotland to consider our initial findings and to develop proposals for future comparative studies."
Monday, July 4th 2016 - Wednesday, July 6th 2016
Building research capacity through support for PopFest (Conferences)
University of Manchester
Monday, July 4th 2016
Wednesday, July 6th 2016
4 - 6 July 2016 - CPC continued to support the annual PopFest Conference by providing additional funding to the organisers and supporting student attendance.
This year we were pleased to sponsor PhD student Helen Packwood to attend. Helen, whose thesis explores changing ethnic identities of young people in Scotland, is closely linked with CPC's research aims having previously worked with CPC on the 'Migration and the constitutional future of Scotland' project prior to starting her doctorate.
Helen was excited to be attending PopFest and presenting her latest research. Speaking about the opportunity prior to the conference she commented: 'As a first year postgraduate student I'm quickly learning the value of connecting with other researchers. PopFest is an exciting opportunity to meet with (and learn from) a wide range of academics and researchers. My experience as a Research Fellow with the Centre for Population Change has taught me the value of working across subject boundaries.
I am particularly looking forward to presenting my paper 'Mind the educational attainment gap, placing child poverty and ethnicity'. This work is seeking to develop a critical understanding of how child poverty interacts with issues of ethnicity, migration and educational attainment. The research aims to contribute to research and wider policy debates around integration and inequalities. You can find a sixty-second overview of the project here.'
PopFest is an annual Population Studies conference organised by postgraduate students for postgraduate students from across the UK and Europe. It brings together Social Science researchers from various disciplines such as Demography, Human Geography, Sociology, Social Statistics, Politics and other related fields. This year was the 24th Annual PopFest and was hosted by the University of Manchester.
The 2016 programme was packed with opportunities for postgraduate students to present their work and meet colleagues working in a range of fields from across the world. The conference provided a relaxed, supportive environment for students to come together to present work, attendees had an excellent opportunity to discuss their work with their peers and get feedback.
PopFest is organised in conjunction with the British Society for Population Studies (BSPS). You can find out more information on the conference on the PopFest website.
Thursday, June 30th 2016
Moving to move up? Disentangling the link between spatial and occupational mobility (Seminars and lectures)
David McCollum, University of St Andrews
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, June 30th 2016
1pm
Despite being the focus of much research, the relationship between spatial and social mobility remains contested. The key question in these debates relates to the issue of how individual and place effects, and spatial mobility, interact to generate specific occupational outcomes and trajectories. Whilst conceptually intriguing, a longstanding challenge faced by scholars in this realm relates to the availability of data sources and methodological approaches that allow for the empirical definition and disentanglement of the various factors that 'produce' occupational mobility. The approach taken in this analysis explores these relationships in the context of occupational mobility in Scotland 2001-2011 using the census based Scottish Longitudinal Study (SLS). This presentation will consider the practical and theoretical advances offered by this approach to examining the complex nexus between occupational and spatial mobility. We will also introduce a new project which will mainly use the SLS to explore recent internal population dynamics in Scotland.
Monday, June 27th 2016 - Tuesday, June 28th 2016
Political Citizenship and Social Movements (Conferences)
University of Portsmouth
Monday, June 27th 2016
Tuesday, June 28th 2016
27 - 28 June 2016 - Derek McGhee, Chris Moreh and Emilia Pietka-Nykaza were delighted to be presenting their latest research at the 'Political Citizenship and Social Movements' conference.
The two day event, held at the University of Portsmouth, comprised of keynote talks and research presentations and was an opportunity for academics to discuss ideas and share experiences. The conference looked at how citizenship and social movements or group actions such as protests where people are campaigning for a common goal, interact with each other in today's world. Particularly focussing on how social movements such as the Occupy movement, which organised camps in public spaces across the world to protest against social and economic inequality, have changed peoples' perception of their own citizenship and how social movements and citizenship continue to evolve together.
Chris Moreh, whose work focuses on the sociology of citizenship, mobility and political discourse, commented "I am delighted to be among a group of academics who will represent the University of Southampton at this conference. I am delivering a paper on "External ethnic citizenship constellations in Central Eastern Europe". The paper provides a partial theoretical underpinning to a research project I will be working on which explores 'citizenship experience' and the naturalisation decision-making process."
Emilia and Derek presented a paper as part of the special panel 'Beyond European National Boundaries'. Of the opportunity to present their work Emilia said 'I am really looking forward to attending the conference and presenting our work on political participation and political rights of Polish migrants in Scotland in the context of the Scottish Independence Referendum in 2014 and the General Election in 2015.' This work is part of the 'Examining the drivers, impacts and long-term trajectories of Polish migration a decade after accession' project which focuses on how and where in Scotland Polish migrants' settle and patterns of returning to Poland.
Organised by the BSA Citizenship Study Group and the European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR) Standing Group on Citizenship, further information about this event can be found on the University of Portsmouth website.
Tuesday, June 21st 2016
Bayesian demography made (almost) simple (Seminars and lectures)
John Bryant, Statistics New Zealand
University of Southampton, Building 58, Room 1007
Tuesday, June 21st 2016
3pm
Demographers are beginning to embrace Bayesian statistical methods. However, the barriers to entry are high. To tackle realistic problems, in research or in practical applications, demographers need to learn significant amounts of mathematical statistics and statistical computing. The talk will look at an attempt to lower the barriers. We are trying to develop a small suite of models that can be applied to a wide variety of tasks in demography, and to implement them in user-friendly R packages. One of the key challenges is developing sensible defaults, which requires us to identify good demographic or statistical practice, and turn it into computer code. Another challenge is to develop models that are easy to understand, but that perform adequately on a wide range of problems.
Friday, June 17th 2016
The spectre of Brexit: free movement and European citizenship in question (Seminars and lectures)
University of Southampton
Friday, June 17th 2016
9am
17 June 2016 - A one day seminar hosted at the University of Southampton looked at the potential consequences of the EU Referendum from a sociological point of view. With keynote speeches by Professor Adrian Favell (University of Leeds) and Dr Michaela Benson (Goldsmiths, University of London).
Part of the research seminar series "The sociology of 'Brexit': citizenship, belonging and mobility in the context of the British referendum on EU membership" funded by The Sociological Review Foundation.
The upcoming referendum on whether the United Kingdom should remain a member of the European Union is one of great social significance, yet sociological research has not engaged with the question in any depth. This one-day seminar attempted to fill this gap by debating the observable and expected consequences of a radically changed relationship between the UK and the EU, focusing specifically on those whose lives are most directly affected by the referendum and the spectre of "Brexitâ": EU citizens living in Britain, and British citizens living in other EU countries. Scholarly contributions to the seminar discussed the experiences of such 'mobile citizens', and citizenship was the core theoretical concept addressed in the context of the anticipation and possible outcomes of the EU referendum.
For more information on the seminar series visit the website
Friday 17 June, 9am - 4pm
University of Southampton
Thursday, June 9th 2016
Abortion trajectories: a conceptual framework and research reflections (Seminars and lectures)
Ernestina Coast, London School of Economics
University of Southampton, Building 58, Room 1007
Thursday, June 9th 2016
3pm
Unsafe abortion is a significant but preventable cause of global maternal mortality and morbidity; liberal abortion laws do not guarantee access to safe abortion. Dr Coast will present reflections on understandings of abortion, including:
1. a new conceptual framework for understanding trajectories to abortion
2. perspectives on the role of abortion in fertility transitions
3. findings from recent research on abortion in Zambia.
Associated Downloads
/docs/old/Abortion_trajectories_Ernestina_Coast_June_2016.pdf
Thursday, May 26th 2016
England's post war birth cohorts: living longer, but are they healthier? (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Stephen Jivraj, University College London
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, May 26th 2016
1pm
Despite improvements in life expectancy in many countries, there is uncertainty whether increase in years of healthy life expectancy has kept pace. This paper explores whether there is empirical support for the expansion of morbidity hypothesis using a range of subjective and objective health outcomes for English post war born cohorts. Repeated annual cross-sections are taken from the Health Survey for England, 1993-2013. Synthetic cohorts born between 1945 and 1980 are compared at the same age using logistic regression. The models are stratified by gender, and control for age, education and interaction terms in three steps. We find that younger post-war birth cohorts have poorer or similar health at the same age according to self-assessed general health, diagnosed hypertension (in men only), diagnosed and clinical diabetes, coronary heart disease (in men only) and BMI. The gaps within post-war birth cohorts are widening between social groups, especially in women. Our findings lend support to the expansion of morbidity hypothesis and point to an increased future demand for certain healthcare services at younger ages and from those groups who are least able to help themselves. This will have notable implications for public healthcare providers as the current working age population enters retirement.
Wednesday, May 25th 2016
Pint of Science Festival: Predicting Migration (Public engagement events)
Brewhouse and Kitchen, Southampton
Wednesday, May 25th 2016
7pm
25 May 2016 - Jakub Bijak spoke at the "People on the move: Understanding Migration" event, part of the Pint of Science Festival in Southampton. Pint of Science is a non-profit organisation which coordinates a festival of interesting and relevant talks on the latest science research in an accessible format to the public in pubs across the world. The event also included pub quizzes, hands-on activities and pint-sized experiments.
Dr Bijak's talk, "Predicting Migrationâ", explored the fascinating and controversial world of international migration. It focused on the uncertainty with regard to who are migrants; why, how, where, when, and how many people migrate; and how many more are expected to do so. He examined the extent to which policies can influence migration, and looked at the possible responses to the current refugee crisis. Specifically in the context of the European referendum, he concentrated on the UK and EU migration.
Also talking at the event was CPC Associate Dr Corrado Giulietti. 'Welfare Magnets and Happiness' investigated whether and how migration can influence the happiness of individuals. He spoke about how economists study this important issue and what empirical evidence there is so far.
The event was held at the Brewhouse and Kitchen pub on Wednesday 25 May 2016 at 7pm, find out more here.
Wednesday, May 25th 2016
People on the Move: Understanding Migration. Pint of Science Event (Public engagement events)
Brewhouse and Kitchen, Southampton
Wednesday, May 25th 2016
Jakub Bijak presenting a talk on "Predicting Migration" at the Pint of Science event taking place at the Brewhouse and Kitchen, Southampton.
Friday, May 20th 2016
Aberdeen business breakfast briefing on the EU (Other)
Aberdeen & Grampian Chamber Of Commerce.
Friday, May 20th 2016
Breakfast meeting with panel and Q&A. Organised in partnership with the Economic and Social Research Council's The UK in a Changing Europe, the Centre on Constitutional Change and Aberdeen and Grampian Chamber of Commerce. David Bell took part in the event.
Thursday, May 19th 2016
Long Term Care for older people in China: Need, cost and policy design (Seminars and lectures)
Xiaoting Liu, Zhejiang University
University of Southampton 02/1039 (L/T K)
Thursday, May 19th 2016
3pm
A joint CPC and CRA seminar: China is ageing very rapidly, and by mid-century, it will have 'caught up' with many countries in the developed world with respect to population ageing. Long term care (LTC) policy development, therefore, is becoming a priority in China, although it is still in its infancy. This seminar provides an integrated framework of need-and-cost analysis on the basis of ADLs/IADLs disability prevalence and its trends, before putting forward a budget proposal for a public, means-tested system of LTC provision.
The dynamics of disability and related social determinants were investigated using three waves of nationally representative longitudinal data (SSAPUR, 2000, 2006 and 2010), applying a Random Effect model and a Generalized Estimating Equation model. Healthy life expectancy was estimated by the Sullivan method. The results indicated that the disability prevalence declined as life expectancy and disability-free life expectancy increased, and the duration of disability changed from compression to expansion.
The number of disabled older people in need of LTC was estimated taking key social determinants into account (e.g. socio-economic status, urbanization, health insurance, health-risk behaviours). Results indicate that about 44 million people aged 60 and over (and 27 million persons aged 80+) would be in need of long term care in 2050.
Against the background of a critical policy debate on whether to initiate LTC insurance in China, this research proposes a safety net public subsidy policy for the provision of LTC services both for today and into the future. As part of the government's responsibility, this subsidy policy is more realistic currently, and benefits vulnerable older groups. Using projections in several scenarios, the total LTC cost is projected to be only 0.25% of GDP to begin with (equivalent to about 1.25% of fiscal revenues), and will constitute about 1.42% of GDP in 2050, which is in line with the current average LTC expenditures among OECD countries (1.6% of GDP).
Associated Downloads
Wednesday, May 11th 2016
China's Changing Demography is Changing China and the World (Seminars and lectures)
University of Southampton
Wednesday, May 11th 2016
11 May 2016 - Professor Dudley Poston, of Texas A&M University, visited the University of Southampton to present his findings from research he has conducted on changes in China's demography.
This lecture focused on the impact that changes in China's demography over the past few decades could have on the United States, and the rest of the world.
It is predicted some of the issues to face China in the next few decades will be that their global dominance in manufacturing will end, there will not be enough Chinese women for Chinese men to marry, HIV/AIDS infection rates will rise substantially, and Chinese immigrants to America will outnumber those from Mexico. These, and related possible changes in China's demography were discussed, drawing on professor Poston's research. He showed how these changes, if they come to be reality, could impact, China, the U.S., and the world.
This lecture links to CPC's work on Gender Disadvantage, Social Inequalities and Well-being of Economic Migrants in China. The work focused on the extent of social inequalities determining the quality of life of economic migrants in China. For more information about this work, please see our research project page.
Dudley Poston is Professor of Sociology, and the George T. and Gladys H. Abell Professor of Liberal Arts, at Texas A&M University. Professor Poston's research interests include demography, human ecology and the sociology of gender; with special attention to the populations of China, Taiwan, and Korea. He is the only non-Chinese person to ever be elected to be President of the North American Chinese Sociologists Association. Professor Poston has also made significant contributions to the emerging field of the Social Demography of Sexual Orientation.
Watch a video of the lecture on our YouTube Channel
Tuesday, May 10th 2016
Public panel debate "Implications of Brexit for EU migrants" (Public engagement events)
Abbey Centre, 34 Great Smith Street, Westminster
Tuesday, May 10th 2016
3pm
10 May 2016 - To inform opinion ahead of the forthcoming EU referendum, CPC hosted a free public panel debate to discuss the wider issues around our recent research on EU migrants living in the UK, migrants' attitudes to the forthcoming referendum, and the resulting social policy implications.
The panel consisted of the following members:
Mark Mardell (Chair), Presenter, BBC Radio 4 World this Weekend
Professor Jane Falkingham OBE, FAcSS, Director, Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton
Don Flynn, Director, Migrants' Rights Network
Professor Derek McGhee, Professor of Sociology and Head of Social Sciences, University of Southampton
Professor Traute Meyer, Professor of Social Policy, University of Southampton
Dr Athina Vlachantoni, Associate Professor in Gerontology, University of Southampton
The debate was held at the Abbey Centre, 34 Great Smith Street, Westminster and ran from 3pm until 4.30pm.
CPC Briefing Papers of the research covered are now available:
Who are the EU migrants in England and Wales?
Expense turns to investment: How the welfare state supports EU migrants' economic achievements
Should I stay or should I go? Strategies of EU citizens living in the UK in the context of the EU referendum
We also held a closed morning session on the same day. Our researchers presented their work in more depth, with the opportunity for discussion and networking afterwards. Further details can be found here.
These events form part of the Economic and Social Research Council's 'The UK in a changing Europe' initiative, which aims to provide an independent source of information and insight about UK-EU relations ahead of the EU referendum. The events are organised in collaboration with Population Europe, the network of Europe's leading demographic research centres.
Tuesday, May 10th 2016
Policy workshop - Implications of Brexit for EU migrants (Workshops)
Abbey Centre, 34 Great Smith Street, Westminster.
Tuesday, May 10th 2016
10am
10 May 2016 - CPC hosted a research dissemination event for policy-makers and practitioners to hear and discuss our latest research on EU migrants living in the UK, migrants' attitudes to the forthcoming referendum, and the resulting social policy implications.
Agenda
10:00 - 10:15 Registration and coffee
10:15 - 10:30 Welcome and Introduction
Jonathan Portes, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
10:30 - 11:15 'Who are the EU migrants? A demographic profile of individuals born in the EU living in England & Wales'
Professor Jane Falkingham OBE, FAcSS and Professor Maria Evandrou, University of Southampton with discussant Professor Helga de Valk, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute. This presentation links to our Briefing Paper 33.
11:15 - 12:00 'Should I stay or should I go? Strategies of EU citizens living in the UK in the context of the EU referendum'
Professor Derek McGhee, University of Southampton with discussant Professor Anne White, UCL. This presentation links to our Briefing Paper 35
12:00 - 12:45 'Expense turns to investment: How the welfare state supports EU migrants' economic achievements'
Professor Paul Bridgen and Professor Traute Meyer, University of Southampton with discussant Dr Ann Morissens, University College Leuven (UCLL). This presentation links to our Briefing Paper 34
12:45 - 13:00 Closing remarks
Adrian Favell, University of Leeds.
13:00 Networking lunch
The event was held at the Abbey Centre, 34 Great Smith Street, Westminster.
In addition to this closed morning session, we also hosted a public panel debate on the same day, where around 100 members of the public were invited to discuss these pressing issues with the following panel members:
Mark Mardell (Chair), Presenter, BBC Radio 4 World this Weekend
Professor Jane Falkingham OBE, FAcSS, Director, Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton
Don Flynn, Director, Migrants' Rights Network
Professor Derek McGhee, Professor of Sociology and Head of Social Sciences, University of Southampton
Professor Traute Meyer, Professor of Social Policy, University of Southampton
Dr Athina Vlachantoni, Associate Professor in Gerontology, University of Southampton
Further details are available here.
These events form part of the Economic and Social Research Council's 'The UK in a changing Europe' initiative, which aims to provide an independent source of information and insight about UK-EU relations ahead of the EU referendum. The events are organised in collaboration with Population Europe, the network of Europe's leading demographic research centres.
Monday, May 9th 2016
BIG QUALIDATA: Tackling Analysis of Very Large Volumes of Qualitative Data in Social Science Research (Workshops)
Lynn Jamieson
Chrystal MacMillan Building, Edinburgh
Monday, May 9th 2016
Lynn Jamieson chaired at the workshop "BIG QUALIDATA: Tackling Analysis of Very Large Volumes of Qualitative Data in Social Science Research", hosted by the Centre for Research on Families and Relationships.
Thursday, May 5th 2016
How paradoxical is the gender-and-health-paradox? (Seminars and lectures)
Marc Luy, Vienna Institute of Demography
University of Southampton, Building 58, room 1003 (L/R B)
Thursday, May 5th 2016
3pm
From the 1960s to the 1980s a common wisdom about differences between males and females in health and mortality emerged which was summarized by the well-known phrase "women get sicker, but men die quicker". Recently this wisdom has been increasingly questioned. Nevertheless, the general idea of a paradoxical relationship between health and mortality among women and men persists until today. The presented research aims at advancing the understanding of the paradox by demonstrating that the reverse relationship between sex on the one side and health and mortality on the other is not as paradoxical as it seems. Two factors are mainly responsible for causing this intuitive contradiction. First, the overall reversal in sex morbidity and sex mortality differentials occurs because several conditions that figure importantly in morbidity are not very important in mortality, and vice versa. Second, longevity is directly related to the absolute number of life years in ill health. Thus, women suffer from worse health than men do not in spite of living longer, but because they live longer. The second aspect has not been connected with the gender-and-health-paradox so far and combines this phenomenon with the ongoing "compression versus expansion of morbidity" debate.
Thursday, April 28th 2016
Selective migration and changing health/deprivation relationships (Seminars and lectures)
Paul Norman, University of Leeds
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, April 28th 2016
1pm
The international literature often finds a 'healthy migrant effect' but for migration within countries there are propositions that people moving between areas as part of their everyday lives can influence health inequalities between areas. This talk will explore the inter-relationships between health, deprivation and subnational migration to show whether health-deprivation relationships are affected. This will include ethnic and age dimensions. Case studies for England and Wales and for New Zealand will be illustrated.
Thursday, April 21st 2016
Cohabitation and Marriage in the Americas: Geo-historical Legacies and New Trends (Seminars and lectures)
Albert Esteve, Demographic Studies Center (CED), Spain
University of Southampton, 58/1023
Thursday, April 21st 2016
3pm
In this presentation, I document the very considerable rise in unmarried cohabitation in the Americas since the 1970s. I trace the social and geographic profiles of unmarried cohabitation to unveil the rich social and spatial heterogeneity in cohabitation. I show that the effects of social stratification, religion and ethnicity are continuing to be of major importance and that historical pattern of disadvantage is still in evidence, virtually everywhere in the Americas. This not only holds at the individual level but at the contextual level as well. In all countries for which contextual analyses could be performed with a finer spatial resolution, it was found that the contextual effects were highly significant and, even more importantly, entirely robust for controls for individual characteristics, which remind us that individuals have histories, but regions have much longer histories. Nevertheless, an entirely new wave of change started rolling over the pre-existing patterns from the 1970s onward. I will discuss the convergence of these trends to the Second Demographic Transition.
Monday, April 18th 2016
Scottish Affairs Select Committee evidence sessions in Edinburgh on 'the demography of Scotland and the implications for devolution' (Other)
Dynamic Earth, Edinburgh
Monday, April 18th 2016
David Bell was on the panel for the first meeting. The first meeting (11-12am) will be an oral evidence session, and the Committee will examine witnesses from the Royal Society of Edinburgh and Population Matters Scotland. The Committee will explore demographic forecasts and the implication for public policy, should wider demographic statistics be a factor in determining the funding settlement across the UK, and what impact the demographic trends are forecast to have on Scotland's services and economy.
The second session of the day (1-2pm) will involve a discussion with witnesses including representatives from the Scottish Pensioners Forum, Citizens Advice Scotland, and Age Scotland.
Friday, April 15th 2016
Child Poverty and Social Mobility: Lessons for Research and Policy (Conferences)
University of Southampton
Friday, April 15th 2016
What are the implications of increasing family diversity on children's life chances? How is family change influencing social inequality? A one day conference organised by CPC's Professor Ann Berrington and Dr Susan Harkness (University of Bath) explores the issues.
The conference brings together academics and decision makers to help improve our understanding of both the causes and consequences of declining social mobility and child poverty in Britain. Speakers will assess the influence that family change has on these trends and consider how best policy makers might now respond.
Wednesday, April 6th 2016
JPI Workshop on Migration (Workshops)
Berlin
Wednesday, April 6th 2016
Jackie Wahba was an invited expert at this event: The purpose of the expert workshop is therefore to explore what is, and is not, known about migration trends and their likely implications on the shape of the European population in the medium to long term.
We are inviting each interested country to nominate two participants: one a scientist familiar with research on migration and demography, and another from the policy community (perhaps from a government department or a relevant policy institute). In this way, the JPI MYBL hopes to be able to establish what questions policymakers need answers to, the extent to which existing knowledge already answers them, what gaps in knowledge exist, and how they might be filled.
In the light of this discussion, the JPI MYBL will consider what steps are most appropriate. In addition to a possible Fast Track, this might include scoping studies, workshops or seminars, or a transnational joint call for research proposals.
Tuesday, April 5th 2016
EU Referendum risk and uncertainty - Edinburgh (Other)
The Edinburgh International Conference Centre
Tuesday, April 5th 2016
Question-Time style debate with renowned speakers including CPC's David Bell
Tuesday, April 5th 2016
Tradition versus development - what matters most for demographic behaviour? The case of fertility, marriage and sex imbalances at birth in Albania. (Seminars and lectures)
Arjan Gjonca, London School of Economics
University of Southampton, Building 2, Room 5033
Tuesday, April 5th 2016
1pm
Demographers spent a lot of time in trying to answer questions on the deterministic pattern of different demographic outcomes, such as fertility, marriage and cohabitation pattern, child and maternal mortality and many more. One important question, which has been discussed for a long period of time, is what matters most for demographic outcome, values and norms of the society or ideas and development in determining our demographic behaviour, or both. This work which derives from a number of papers addresses this question in Albanian population behaviour with regards to fertility and marriage pattern as well as to sex imbalances at birth. The paper draws from analyses from different datasets, census of 2001 and 2011 as well as a number of surveys such as MICS 2005 and DHS 2009. The results show that development through different pathways (education, social policies etc.) has brought the level of fertility down to one of the lowest in Europe by 2015, 1.5 children per woman, while norms and values have kept the marriage pattern almost unchanged with almost no childbearing outside marriage and most of the Albanian females entering marriage by age of 28 (98% of them). This interplay between values/norms and ideas plays again a significant role to people's preference of boys which is reflected in an imbalanced sex ratio at birth in Albania (113/100 by 2011), similar to those seen in Asia and South Asia. In here again we discuss how come patriarchy and the family norms that come with it are more powerful than development (through education) in predicting these sex imbalances at birth.
Associated Downloads
/docs/old/Tradition_versus_Development_Arjan_Gjonca_Seminar_April_2016.pptx
Thursday, March 31st 2016 - Saturday, April 2nd 2016
PAA Annual Meeting 2016 (Conferences)
Washington, D.C.
Thursday, March 31st 2016
Saturday, April 2nd 2016
Exhibition stand at event
Wednesday, March 23rd 2016
Demographic analysis and local planning - with the methodology of new NRS sub-Council Area projections as a case study (Seminars and lectures)
Ludi Simpson, University of Manchester
The Dome, New Register House, Princes Street, Edinburgh
Wednesday, March 23rd 2016
1.40pm
All planning is about the future and is helped by demographic projections of those aspects of population that are not under the planner's control. Population studies supply answers with a measurable amount of uncertainty, advising the likely demand for services, housing and jobs. In turn, local planners ask demographers for the likely impact on population of plans they make to release housing land or attract employment. The ways in which these functions are supported by demographic software will be reviewed.
Most of this work is carried out for specific development sites, or for strategic local plans focusing on relatively large local areas. NRS is planning to publish population projections for smaller areas throughout Scotland in March, such as the multi-member electoral wards. The strategy adopted and problems encountered, and some solutions, will be presented along with a review of priorities for applied demographic research for localities. Ludi was the academic advisor to the NRS project.
Wednesday, March 23rd 2016
Presentation of the publications of sub-council area projections (Seminars and lectures)
NRS
The Dome, New Register House, Princes Street, Edinburgh
Wednesday, March 23rd 2016
1pm
National Records of Scotland have produced for the first time 2012-based population projections for small areas within councils (sub-council area projections). This one-off project explores the feasibility of producing small area projections to a consistent methodology for 301 areas within Scotland.
Tuesday, March 22nd 2016
Migration Crisis in Europe (Workshops)
Royal Geographical Society
Tuesday, March 22nd 2016
Event aimed at an audience of policy-makers, business leaders, academics, practitioners and NGO representatives with a professional interest in the topic. Co-organised by CPC member Allan Findlay
Thursday, February 25th 2016
The Nurses' Lives Research Programme: enabling practice through new insights to population health using routine data about nurses (Seminars and lectures)
Iain Atherton and Richard Kyle, Edinburgh Napier University
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, February 25th 2016
1pm
Health care professionals have an increasingly important role at a population level. This role requires teaching that encourages and facilitates students to link their individual practice to population health. Making teaching accessible is challenging given what might seem quite abstract ideas in comparison to the immediacy of other interventions. The Nurses' Lives Research Programme at Edinburgh Napier University is endeavouring to make teaching on population health more accessible through research on nurses themselves. Findings are providing new insights into the social determinants of health. These provide a basis for practitioners to reflect on issues that relate not only to their patients, but also to themselves, potentially shattering patient-public divides, and increasing awareness of the complexities of nursing interventions. Two exemplar studies will be presented. One estimating the prevalence of overweight and obese nurses in Scotland, and another analysing evidence for a Glasgow Effect amongst nurses in Scotland. Implications of findings for teaching related to population health and for health care professionals are considered.
Tuesday, February 16th 2016
Does prenatal sex bias substitute postnatal bias against girls? Decomposing the fertility and mortality components of changing child sex ratios across the world (Seminars and lectures)
Ridhi Kashyap, MPDIR and University of Oxford
University of Southampton, Building 2, Room 1085
Tuesday, February 16th 2016
3pm
The demographic manifestations of son preference across different contexts in South and East Asia and the Caucasus as postnatal excess female infant and child mortality, and in recent decades as prenatal sex selection in the form of sex-selective abortion, are widely documented in the demographic literature. By allowing parents better control of the size and sex composition of their desired families, has the rise and spread of prenatal sex selection substituted postnatal bias in mortality against girls? This paper addresses this question by analysing the dynamics of child sex ratios between 1980 and 2015 using United Nations country-level lifetable data in a comparative perspective. The analysis proceeds in two steps. First, I develop and apply a lifetable decomposition approach to distinguish between a 'fertility' component attributable to prenatal sex selection and 'mortality' components attributable to sex-differentials in postnatal survival to assess when and where the two components overlap and where they have substituted one another as child sex ratios have changed. Second, to assess whether sex differentials in survivorship indicate excess female infant and child mortality, I compare life-table female mortality estimates to model-generated, expected female mortality estimates at a given level of male mortality. Substitution was most clearly evident in South Korea, where excess female mortality in infancy reduced and subsequently disappeared with the onset of prenatal sex selection. In other contexts, where child sex ratios witnessed significant change, evidence for substitution was mixed. Most notably, China and India, did not show clear evidence of substitution between prenatal and postnatal sex bias between 1990-95 and 2000-05, with slight reductions in excess female child mortality evident in India between 2000-05 and 2010-15. In the Caucasus countries, sex biases in mortality appeared alongside prenatal sex selection in the 1990s, but showed a reduction in the period between 2000-05 and 2010-15 .
Wednesday, February 3rd 2016
Challenges and Opportunities for a Global Index on Active Aging (Seminars and lectures)
Columbia Aging Center
Wednesday, February 3rd 2016
Seminar presented by Asghar Zaidi presenting the key findings of the Active Ageing Index
Thursday, January 28th 2016
British demography, c1850-c2000: how and why was Scotland different? (Seminars and lectures)
Michael Anderson, University of Edinburgh
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, January 28th 2016
1pm
This paper presents some key findings from my nearly completed book-length work, provisionally entitled Scotland's Population Histories in a British context: contrasts and comparisons, from the mid-nineteenth to the early twenty-first centuries.
Much of the book describes and analyses the huge variations in demographic experience between different areas of Scotland, but in this paper I focus on the often dramatic, temporally persistent, and spatially pervasive contrasts between Scotland and England not only in rates of overall population change but also in all three of its underlying components: fertility, mortality, and net migration.
The second half of the paper seeks explanations for these persistent and pervasive differences, and it concludes by asking: to what extent can they only in great part be accounted for by genuinely 'Scottish-level' effects?
Monday, January 25th 2016 - Tuesday, January 26th 2016
Perspectives on Global Development 2016: Second expert meeting (Other)
OECD Conference Centre, Paris
Monday, January 25th 2016
Tuesday, January 26th 2016
Jackie Wahba was a discussant for the "Return migration: what role for origin countries' public policies?" session at this meeting.
Thursday, January 21st 2016
Re-evaluating the link between marriage and mental well-being: how do early life conditions attenuate differences between cohabitation and marriage? (Seminars and lectures)
Marta Styrc, University of Southampton
University of Southampton, 58/1067
Thursday, January 21st 2016
2pm
The decline in marriage and increase in cohabitation raises questions about whether marriage still provides benefits to well-being. Here we use the British Cohort Study 1970 (N=7203), a prospective survey following respondents to age 42, to examine whether partnerships in general, and marriage in particular, provide benefits to mental well-being in mid-life. We use propensity score matching to investigate whether childhood characteristics are a sufficient source of selection to eliminate differences in well-being between different partnership types. We find that matching on childhood characteristics does not eliminate advantages to living with a partner. However, the type of partnership does not matter; among those less likely to marry, marriage provides no benefits to well-being beyond cohabitation. The sources of childhood selection seem to differ by gender: matching on educational plans and scores tends to eliminate differences for women, while adolescent mental well-being eliminates many differences between cohabitation and marriage for men.
Thursday, December 10th 2015
Grouped functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates (Seminars and lectures)
Han Lin Shang, Australian National University
University of Southampton, Room 1003, Building 58
Thursday, December 10th 2015
3pm
Age-specific mortality rates are often disaggregated by different attributes, such as sex, state and ethnic group. Forecasting age-specific mortality rates at national and sub-national levels plays an important role in making societal policies associated with national and sub-national levels. Independent forecasts at sub-national levels may not add up to the forecasts at national level. To address this issue, we consider the problem of reconciling age-specific mortality rate forecasts from the viewpoint of grouped time series forecasting methods (Hyndman et al., 2011, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis), and extend these methods to functional time series forecasting, where age is considered as a continuum. The grouped functional time series methods are used to produce point forecasts of mortality rates that are aggregated appropriately across different levels of a hierarchy. To address forecast uncertainty, we also consider the reconciliation of interval forecasts through a maximum entropy bootstrap method which preserves the autocorrelation exhibited in the original functional time series. Using the regional age-specific mortality rates in Japan obtained from the Japanese Mortality Database, we investigate the one-step-ahead to 20-step-ahead point and interval forecast accuracies between the grouped functional time series and independent functional time series forecasting methods. The proposed methods are not only shown to be useful for reconciling forecasts of age-specific mortality rates at national and sub-national levels, but they also enjoy improved forecast accuracy. The improved forecast accuracy of mortality rates would be beneficial for government policy decision regarding the allocation of current and future resources, and would be of great interest to the insurance and pension industries.
Tuesday, December 8th 2015
How (not) to predict migration (Other)
Westminster,
Tuesday, December 8th 2015
Policy briefing presented by Jakub Bijak.
Wednesday, December 2nd 2015
RSS and ONS joint meeting on ONS population proejctions (Other)
RSS, London
Wednesday, December 2nd 2015
An open meeting was held at the Royal Statistical Society for discussion and comments on the latest projections and to provide opportunities for feedback from users. Following a presentation of the latest projections-and methods by Paul Vickers, Head of Population Statistics Outputs ONS; CPC Director Professor Jane Falkingham discussed the findings.
Tuesday, December 1st 2015
ESRC 50th Anniversary Debate (Other)
Royal Society, London
Tuesday, December 1st 2015
The event will be a topical debate in which panellists answer questions from an informed audience on current issues such as migration, economy, Europe, devolution, cities, education, population change/ageing
Thursday, November 26th 2015
Census 2011 - how NRS are making the most of the data. Illustrations from reports on households and migration (Seminars and lectures)
Sandy Taylor, Victoria Avila and Moira Weir, National Records of Scotland
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, November 26th 2015
1pm
The data from Scotland's Census 2011 provides a rich and detailed source of information for understanding Scotland and its population. Every year census data are used to inform key decisions made by government bodies, charities, and businesses. Population estimates, area profiles, and detailed data mapping all use census data to help inform the allocation of billions of pounds of funding and investment. Both central government and local authorities also rely on census data to help them plan key services such as healthcare, housing, schooling, and transport.
This brown bag seminar gives some insight into how the data generated by Scotland's Census 2011 has been used. The session will include talks on:
* Overview of Scotland's Census 2011 results.
* Statistical profile of migrants from outside the European Economic Area (EEA) using data from Scotland's Census 2011.
* Household composition for specific groups of people in Scotland.
Thursday, November 12th 2015
Maternal age and under-five mortality in developing countries: secular trends in development outweigh the risks associated with reproductive ageing (Seminars and lectures)
Kieron Barclay, London School of Economics
University of Southampton, Building 58, Room 1003
Thursday, November 12th 2015
3pm
Using data on over 7 million births from 77 developing countries from 228 Demographic and Health Surveys conducted over the past 30 years, we find that secular declines in under-five mortality completely outweigh the risks associated with reproductive ageing. Using fully adjusted sibling-comparison models that minimize residual confounding, we find that the net effect of maternal age at the time of birth on under-five mortality is U-shaped, with the offspring of the youngest and oldest mothers at the greater risk of mortality. However, these estimates ignore secular trends in social and economic development. Development has led to sharp declines in the rates of under-five mortality. From the perspective of any individual mother, delayed childbearing means giving birth in a later year when under-five mortality rates are lower. We find that secular declines in under-five mortality completely outweigh the risks associated with reproductive ageing, and even mothers childbearing at age 40 or older have a much lower risk of losing their child than they did giving birth in their twenties.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, October 29th 2015
Unpaid care for older people: a study of carers' time use (Seminars and lectures)
Alison Bowes and Alison Dawson, University of Stirling
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, October 29th 2015
1pm
This study highlights fundamental changes in unpaid care for older people. These include changes in supply of care; family structures; competing demands on carers; changing tasks and attitudes; educational changes; migration patterns; work; and housing wealth. The study aims, in this dynamic context, to develop better understanding of what unpaid carers are doing, and how their work is changing. Existing research tends not to provide systematic exploration of and effective tools for examining carers' tasks, how they use their time and how this could be captured in large scale survey research. Large surveys tend to use structured questions about caring, which contain many assumptions about carers, and may not therefore be collecting data which can usefully inform contemporary policy.
The project is developing a time use diary methodology which aims to collect extensive, detailed data about the range and frequency of unpaid care tasks, which will be used to develop a fuller understanding, and ultimately to inform more effective questioning in large scale surveys.
The paper reports on the first phase of the study, involving analysis of 60 interviews conducted with people who 'support and care for' older people. This phase aimed to develop a fresh, qualitative understanding of unpaid carers' time use, with an emphasis on their own perspectives on what they count as 'support and care' for older people; what tasks take up more or less time; and how they manage their time. This qualitative analysis informs the design of the time use data collection phase of the study.
Thursday, October 15th 2015
How diverse can diversity measurement be? Theoretical considerations and some applications (Seminars and lectures)
Jacques Poot, National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis, University of Waikato
University of Southampton, Room 1039 (L/T K), Building 2
Thursday, October 15th 2015
3pm
Cultural diversity is a complex and multi-faceted concept. Commonly used quantitative measures of the spatial distribution of culturally-defined groups - such as segregation, isolation or concentration indexes - have been designed to capture just one feature of this distribution. The strengths and weaknesses of such measures under varying demographic, geographic and behavioural conditions can only be comprehensively assessed empirically. This has been rarely done in the case of multigroup cultural diversity. In this presentation I provide evidence on the empirical properties of various spatial measures of cultural diversity by means of Monte Carlo replications of agent-based modelling (MC-ABM) simulations under widely varying assumptions. Schelling's classical segregation model is used as the theoretical engine to generate patterns of spatial clustering. The data inputs include the initial population, the assumed geography, the number and shares of various cultural groups, and their preferences with respect to co-location. Our MC-ABM data generating process produces output maps that enable us to assess the sensitivity of the various spatial measures of cultural diversity to parameter assumptions by means of response surface analysis. We find that, as our simulated city becomes more diverse, stable residential location equilibria require the preference for co-location with one's own group to be not much more than the group share of the smallest demographic minority. When equilibria exist, the values of the various spatial diversity measures are strongly dependent on the composition of the population across cultural groups, the assumed preferences and the assumed geography. Index values are generally non-decreasing in increasing preference for within-group co-location. More diverse populations yield - for given preferences and geography - a greater degree of spatial clustering. The sensitivity of spatial diversity measures to underlying conditions suggests that meaningful analysis of the impact of segregation requires spatial panel data modelling.
Wednesday, October 14th 2015
Is welfare the magnet that draws the migrants? Lessons from Australasia (Seminars and lectures)
University of Southampton
Wednesday, October 14th 2015
Evening lecture by Jacques Poot from the University of Waikato as part of the NZ-UK Foundation Visiting Professorship lecture programme 2015, co-organised by CPC.
Thursday, October 8th 2015
Branch of Occupation and Divorce Risks in Denmark (Seminars and lectures)
Gunnar Andersson, Stockholm University
University of Southampton, Room 1129, Building 06 (Nuffield Theatre)
Thursday, October 8th 2015
4pm
The current study covers the divorce risks of women and men in Denmark during 1981-2002. It is based on register data on all women and men born in 1945 and later that married in Denmark during 1981-2002. We control for standard socio-demographic covariates of divorce: age at and duration of marriage, educational attainment, metropolitan residence, and number of children. Our main independent variable is branch of occupation, which is sub-divided into 47 different categories. In general, divorce risks do not differ tremendously across branches but a few of them stand out: women and men on farms and in library or pharmacy businesses have the lowest divorce risks; the highest risks are found among women and men in hotel and restaurants and in manpower businesses. A more in-depth analysis reveals how divorce risks are related to the sex composition of employees in each sector and the degree to which the sector comprises part-time employment.
Thursday, September 24th 2015
Trajectories in the prevalence of self-reported illness around retirement (Seminars and lectures)
Alan Marshall, University of St Andrews
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, September 24th 2015
1pm
In this presentation I will use wave 1 (2002) to wave 6 (2012) of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) to assess whether the increase in the prevalence of self-reported limiting long term illness with age differs before and after retirement and whether this varies according to socio-economic characteristics and the conditions of work in the final years of employment. The longitudinal analysis uses a sub-sample of ELSA comprising those who retired between wave 2 (2004) and wave 6 (2012) and a repeated measures logistic regression to model the trajectory in the log odds of illness before and after retirement. The results show a slower increase in self-reported illness after than before retirement that was most strongly observed for those in the least favourable circumstances prior to retirement (lower social class, depressed prior to retirement and single). A similar retirement effect was observed for those in physically demanding occupations. I will use my findings to evaluate previous research that has shown strong spatial patterns in self-reported illness rates around retirement using census data.
Sunday, August 16th 2015
Migration (Other)
Edinburgh
Sunday, August 16th 2015
A live debate between Lilja Gretarsdottir, David McCollum and Sue Cameron as part of the Festival of Politics 2015.
Tuesday, July 21st 2015
Diverse Britain: BSPS-British Academy Policy Forum (Other)
British Academy, London
Tuesday, July 21st 2015
Policy forum co-organised with the BSPS. The format of the forums is as follows: 2-3 short (20 minute) presentations by academics followed by a response from 1-2 policy makers and practitioners and then an open discussion. Participation is by invitation only, with 10-15 academics and 10-15 policy makers and practitioners.
Wednesday, July 15th 2015
Ageing Britain: BSPS-British Academy Policy Forum (Other)
British Academy, London
Wednesday, July 15th 2015
Policy forum co-organised with the BSPS. The format of the forums is as follows: 2-3 short (20 minute) presentations by academics followed by a response from 1-2 policy makers and practitioners and then an open discussion. Participation is by invitation only, with 10-15 academics and 10-15 policy makers and practitioners.
Tuesday, July 14th 2015
Changing Families and Households: BSPS-British Academy Policy Forum (Other)
British Academy, London
Tuesday, July 14th 2015
Policy forum co-organised with the BSPS. The format of the forums is as follows: 2-3 short (20 minute) presentations by academics followed by a response from 1-2 policy makers and practitioners and then an open discussion. Participation is by invitation only, with 10-15 academics and 10-15 policy makers and practitioners.
Saturday, July 11th 2015
University of Southampton Social Sciences 50th Anniversary Celebration (Other)
University of Southampton
Saturday, July 11th 2015
The University of Southampton's Social Sciences Academic Unit warmly invites alumni to a reunion celebrating the 50th Anniversary of the creation of Social Sciences. Jane Falkingham will be hosting the event and CPC will be hosting an exhibition stand at the event.
Wednesday, July 8th 2015
'New' Data for Policy: exploiting Big Data; linked data and other sources: BSPS-British Academy Policy Forum (Other)
British Academy, London
Wednesday, July 8th 2015
Policy forum co-organised with the BSPS. The format of the forums is as follows: 2-3 short (20 minute) presentations by academics followed by a response from 1-2 policy makers and practitioners and then an open discussion. Participation is by invitation only, with 10-15 academics and 10-15 policy makers and practitioners.
Monday, July 6th 2015 - Wednesday, July 8th 2015
Exhibition stand at the PopFest conference (Conferences)
Plymouth University
Monday, July 6th 2015
Wednesday, July 8th 2015
CPC stand showcasing our research held at the PopFest conference held at Plymouth University.
Wednesday, July 1st 2015 - Friday, July 3rd 2015
Exhibition stand at the BSG conference (Conferences)
Newcastle
Wednesday, July 1st 2015
Friday, July 3rd 2015
CPC stand showcasing our research held at the BSG conference held at Newcastle.
Monday, June 29th 2015 - Friday, July 10th 2015
Master class on law; history; politics and society in the context of mass atrocities (Seminars and lectures)
Inter-University Centre (IUC), Dubrovnik, Croatia
Monday, June 29th 2015
Friday, July 10th 2015
Master class dealing with the legal, political, historical aspects of the genocide. CPC academic Jakub Bijak is a lecturer for this course.
Friday, June 26th 2015 - Monday, November 30th -0001
University of Southampton research centres joint exhibition stand at the ISI 2015 conference (Conferences)
Rio de Janero
Friday, June 26th 2015
Monday, November 30th -0001
CPC along with other social sciences research centres at the University of Southampton will be holding an exhibition stand at this conference
Tuesday, June 16th 2015 - Wednesday, June 17th 2015
Workshop on UK Population Change and Housing across the Lifecourse (Workshops)
University of St Andrews
Tuesday, June 16th 2015
Wednesday, June 17th 2015
Event organised by CPC Scotland. The aim of the workshop is to promote dialogue between those with various interests in population change and housing across the life course. Despite the importance of understanding the interrelations between demographic change and the housing system, researchers specialising in one or the other too rarely speak to each other. The workshop will bring together a group of around 24 population researchers, housing researchers and practitioners/policy makers in a focussed discussion of the latest evidence and thinking relating to population change and housing in the UK.
Wednesday, June 10th 2015
Women's life courses and later life wellbeing in Europe (Seminars and lectures)
Katja Mohring, University of Bremen
University of Southampton 58/1039
Wednesday, June 10th 2015
3pm
A joint CPC, CRA and CLC seminar: Women's life courses have undergone major changes from the post-war decades until today. They have been and are still characterised by the interplay and tension between employment and family. However, the extent to which the welfare state supports the balancing of both spheres and the recognition of typical female careers in its social security institutions, such as the pension system, varies between countries. Accordingly, previous research has demonstrated large cross-national variation in females' labour market participation as well as in their wellbeing in later life. This makes women's life courses an interesting source to study the manifold and complex linkages between welfare state, social change, family context, and individual characteristics in determining the relationship of mid-life developments and later life outcomes. In my talk I will present results from different studies on women's life courses and later life wellbeing in Europe. I will firstly give an overview of gender differences in career patterns in European welfare states. Then I will turn to the early career phase of young women (age 18-29 years). Here, I will present results from a study examining the 'work vs. family orientation' in young women's career pathways focussing on family background and the welfare state as central determinants. Next, I will present results on the relationship of mid-life developments (employment and family biography) on later life objective and subjective wellbeing. I will close the talk with a short outlook on a planned project on women's late careers. The theoretical framework underlying all studies combines factors related to the individual, the family, and the welfare state in a multilevel perspective on the relationship of women's life courses and later life wellbeing in European societies. All studies make use of data on life histories of women born between 1920 and 1959 in 14 European countries from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe, wave 3 (SHARELIFE). The applied methods include sequence analysis and multilevel regression.
Monday, June 1st 2015 - Friday, June 5th 2015
Workshop: Introduction to Agent-Based Computational Modelling in Population Studies (Workshops)
Leuven, Belgium
Monday, June 1st 2015
Friday, June 5th 2015
Workshop for PhD students being held in Leuven. CPC member Jakub Bijak was one of the lecturers for the workshop.
Thursday, May 28th 2015
Living Alone (Seminars and lectures)
Lynn Jamieson, University of Edinburgh
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, May 28th 2015
1pm
Does interview data help us understand the demographic trend? Dramatic claims have been made about the significance of the near global trend of increasing numbers of people living alone across all ages of adult life. In the book Living Alone Jamieson and Simpson weigh the evidence drawing on a wide research literature, as well as their own study of men and women living alone in urban and rural Scotland at ages conventionally associated with partnering and parenting. Many people living alone do not fit the stereotypes: without partners or caring responsibilities or cut adrift from local connections - some have partners living apart, some are hands-on parents or carers and most have rich connections with friends and family, locally and across distance. In the UK, only a small minority proportion, higher among men than women, are troubled and lonely, although a larger proportion, more urban than rural, may have little active engagement with others in their neighbourhood of residence. Do their accounts of themselves fit with the expectations of demographic theory such as second demographic transition?
Thursday, May 28th 2015
Micro-Level Vulnerability Assessment of Estuarine Islands: A Case Study from Indian Sundarban (Seminars and lectures)
Rituparna Hajra, School of Oceanographic Studies, Jadavpur University
University of Southampton, Building 2, Room 1039
Thursday, May 28th 2015
3pm
Vulnerability is the probable exposure to the damaging effects of any natural, social and policy level changes along with their negative impacts for a community or system. The estuarine islands within Indian Sundarban are becoming more vulnerable due to their fragile ecosystem with increasing population pressure. Assessment of island vulnerability is usually more focused towards the climate change impacts, rather than taking into account all other drivers with due weightage.
Three estuarine islands namely Sagar, Ghoramara and Mousani at the western part of Indian Sundarban Delta (ISD) have been chosen for this gap analysis through micro-level vulnerability assessment considering potential influencing drivers. The household survey data have been collected from twenty seven (27) sampled 'Mouza' (lowest administrative boundary) through cluster random sampling. Mouza level analysis has been carried out following the 'Composite Vulnerability Index' (CVI) considering physical and social variables like erosion, housing condition, electrification, population density, adult education, sanitation and economic condition as the percentage of people 'Below Poverty Line' (BPL). Result suggests that all these mouzas are within the rank of 'High to Moderate' vulnerability, and sensitive to both the socio economic and environmental changes. The 'hot spot' mouzas identified are Sapkhali, Ghoramara, Bankimnagar, Shibpur and Baliara. This study is an approach towards the identification of thrust areas for policy adaptation, which is crucial to minimize the existing vulnerable conditions in this region.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, May 14th 2015
Inequality, Identity and Integration among African-Descent Youth in France (Seminars and lectures)
Loretta Bass, University of Oklahoma
University of Southampton 02/1083
Thursday, May 14th 2015
3pm
The incorporation of Sub-Saharan African immigrant families is a key issue for France and Europe at large. This research uses data gathered from first- and second-generation immigrant youth and their mothers to understand the integration process of African-descent youth in France, where one in seven children comes from a family with immigrant parents. I examine identity and incorporation by addressing the following question: Where do these young people of immigrant descent see themselves fitting in French society? I use respondents' voices to identify cultural and structural factors that define their integration experience, and then present findings as they fall within three areas: 1) identity formation, 2) the importance of race and immigrant statuses, and 3) nuances of the outsider status. I also use segmented assimilation and cultural-materialist frameworks to explain two cases: Alita, a young, first-generation woman's integration, and the riots in recent years of immigrant youth in France's suburbs.
Thursday, April 23rd 2015
Redefining ageing: The role of grandparenting (Seminars and lectures)
Valeria Bordone, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OAW, WU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
University of Southampton, 02/1039 (L/T K)
Thursday, April 23rd 2015
3pm
A joint CPC/CRA seminar: Individual and population ageing are usually linked to chronological age. The United Nations conventionally set the threshold for "being old" at the age of 60 or 65, but recent studies have shown that the idea of a static measure of age is changing and dimensions of age other than chronological age are relevant. Under the awareness of ageing umbrella, the concept of felt or subjective age accounts for how old a person feels to be. How old persons feel is grounded in the demographic realities around them. Social roles and age-related social categorizations that exist in society can also serve as signals for a person's age evaluation. The role of grandparent is one of the most salient roles in later life and it is considered as an age reminder. In this study we explore the association between several grandparent-related outcomes and felt age: Do grandchildren make you feel older?
Monday, April 20th 2015
Reproductive Biographies from the Longitudinal Database of the Population of Andalusia (LDBPA) (Seminars and lectures)
Diego Ramiro-Farinas, Spanish National Research Council, Juan del Ojo Mesa and Francisco Viciana Fernandez, Institute of Statistics and Cartography of Andalusia
Seminar Room, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Monday, April 20th 2015
1pm
In this presentation we will discuss the relationship between change in social structures and reproductive behaviours using the Longitudinal Database of the Population of Andalusia (LDBPA). We argue that Spain, in relation to its surroundings, is a good example of a late and rapid demographic transition, which is roughly overlapped with the emergence of the new cycle of change which has been named by Ron Lesthaegue as the Second demographic transition. This overlap of the reproductive model, similar to what is taking place today in many newly developed countries, is particularly evident in Southern Spain: Andalusia. Despite being less economically developed, this region with 8 million inhabitants has experienced profound structural change with economic, educational and family changes in recent decades. The newly developed LDBPA allow us to analyse some of these changes by reconstructing individual trajectories of the Andalusian population since the late twentieth century.
Thursday, April 16th 2015
A Measure for Comparing the Mortality History of Cohorts: TCAL (Seminars and lectures)
Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Max-Planck Odense Center on Biodemography of Aging
University of Southampton, Building 58, Room 1009
Thursday, April 16th 2015
3pm
The commonly used period life expectancy comparisons between populations correspond to juxtapositions of current mortality levels. In order to construct actual life expectancies as experienced by cohorts one needs complete historical series of mortality, which are only found in a subset of developed countries. The Truncated Cross-sectional Average Length of life (TCAL) is a novel measure that captures historical information of all the cohorts present at a given moment and is not limited to countries with complete cohort mortality data. The value of TCAL depends on the rates used to complete the cohort series. However, differences between TCALs of two populations remain very similar irrespective of the data used to complete the cohort series. We illustrate this by comparing the mortality of the United States with Denmark, Japan, and other high-longevity countries using TCAL. Specific cohorts that account for most of the disparity in mortality between the populations are identified.
Friday, March 27th 2015
Long-term costs of health and care (Other)
Scotland
Friday, March 27th 2015
David Bell took part in this meeting with staff from Audit Scotland
Thursday, March 26th 2015
Residential mobility and the lifecourse: evidence of de-standardisation? (Seminars and lectures)
Glenna Nightingale and David McCollum, University of St Andrews
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, March 26th 2015
1pm
The lifecourse has long been recognised as an age graded sequence of socially defined roles and events, which can be associated with particular patterns of residential mobility. The traditional linear life stage model is increasingly dismissed as deterministic, with scholars contending that lifecourses are becoming ever more de-standardised. Whilst there has been much concern over the supposed precarious of contemporary working and family life, and thus the fluidity of mobility experiences, there is a surprising dearth of solid evidence to substantiate assumptions of de-standardised lifecourses. A longstanding challenge in this respect has been the scarcity of suitable data and methods of analysis. This research draws on an innovative methodological approach to try and shed light on the extent to which lifecourses and mobility patterns are indeed becoming de-standardised. The study adopts a randomization technique to quantify the evidence for de-standardization. This technique involves simulating populations and making comparisons to the observed data. Additional analyses carried out include logistic regression models to estimate the effect of key variables on selected mobility patterns. This approach can inform discussions about the extent of lifecourse de-standardisation, and the methodologies that can best assess it.
Friday, March 13th 2015
Discussion: "Gender equality: making a difference" (Other)
University of Southampton
Friday, March 13th 2015
Professor Jane Falkingham was a guest speaker for this discussion event which is part of the University's "International Women's Week"
Thursday, March 5th 2015
Living apart together relationships in Australia (Seminars and lectures)
Ann Evans, Australian National University
University of Southampton, 58/1023
Thursday, March 5th 2015
2pm
This presentation will present quantitative and qualitative results from an Australian project which aims to better understand Living-Apart-Together relationships. The quantitative aspect of the study uses HILDA, a nationally representative panel study, to identify and classify people in LAT relationships.
This qualitative aspect of this project is based on data collected through focus group interviews. Previous qualitative studies of LAT relationships have involved in-depth interviews of individuals or couples. Following Morgan (1997:12) focus groups were used in this study 'to produce data and insights that would be less accessible without the interaction found in a group'. This was the first time that all of the LAT group participants had been given an opportunity to discuss their experiences of being in a LAT relationship within a LAT-only focus group environment. Through the LAT focus groups discussions it was possible to investigate how participants responded to questions about LAT relationships and what issues they considered to be of most importance within a group environment, highlighting areas of shared versus individual experiences in LAT relationships. The results contain insights into the reasons for having a LAT relationship, the benefits and disadvantages of LAT relationships, as well as the gendered aspects of negotiating non-cohabiting partnerships. The findings highlight that there are some aspects which reflect different considerations for women and men in their experiences of LAT relationship. These include risk and fear of the consequences of relationship failure, including financial considerations; negotiation between LAT partners about the nature of the relationship; choice versus obligation in terms of caring in LAT compared to co-habiting relationship; and how the presence or absence of a child or children shapes LAT relationships.
Wednesday, March 4th 2015
Gender; Turning Points and Boomerangs: Returning Home in Young Adulthood in Great Britain (Seminars and lectures)
The Dome, New Register House, Edinburgh
Wednesday, March 4th 2015
Juliet Stone presented her seminar "Gender, Turning Points and Boomerangs: Returning Home in Young Adulthood in Great Britain" with an introductory discussion led by Allan Findlay and David McCollum titled "Changing Mobilities and the Fluid Lifecourse of Young Adults"
Thursday, February 26th 2015
Family background and young adults' housing tenure pathways in England and Wales, 1971-2011 (Seminars and lectures)
Rory Coulter, University of Cambridge
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, February 26th 2015
1.00pm
Declining rates of homeownership in young adulthood and young people's growing reliance on the private rental sector are fuelling debates about how tenure change is reshaping British society. Concerns have been voiced that inequalities between and within generations are increasing as access to owner-occupation becomes more difficult and more dependent on familial support. Although much is known about recent trends in young adults' housing circumstances, few studies have examined how young people's longer term tenure pathways are affected by their family background. Furthermore, very little is known about how these intergenerational effects have changed over time. Drawing on data from the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study of England and Wales, I present the first findings from a new project comparing the long-term housing tenure pathways of three cohorts of young people. After describing key trends I use logistic regression models to examine how different cohorts of young adults' tenure attainments are linked to the family type, social class and housing tenure of their parents. The results illustrate how patterns of social stratification and intergenerational social mobility are tied to the housing system.
Thursday, February 19th 2015 - Saturday, February 28th 2015
How to get to 100 - and enjoy it (Public engagement events)
W5, Glasgow
Thursday, February 19th 2015
Saturday, February 28th 2015
CPC organised exhibition tour with collaboration with Max Planck and Population Europe. The exhibition included a launch event and school groups were encouraged to attend.
Thursday, February 19th 2015
Trends in couples' work patterns after childbirth and implications for social inequality (Seminars and lectures)
Kelly Musick, Cornell University
University of Southampton 02/1035
Thursday, February 19th 2015
3pm
Wives' financial contributions have become a common component of the marriage bargain, yet wives continue to shoulder a disproportionate share of domestic responsibilities, particularly after a first child is born. This project uses newly available, short-term panels spanning recent decades to examine joint changes in men's and women's work and earnings following the transition to parenthood in the United States. It further considers the implications of these changes for aggregate trends in earnings inequality over time, addressing the broad implications of transformations in the meaning of marriage for social inequality.
Tuesday, February 17th 2015 - Wednesday, February 18th 2015
1st PhD Workshop on the Economics of Migration (Workshops)
University of Southampton
Tuesday, February 17th 2015
Wednesday, February 18th 2015
Workshop organised by PhD students from the Department of Economics at the University of Southampton and sponsored by the School of Social Sciences and the ESRC Centre for Population Change (co-organiser Dafni Papoutsaki)
Friday, February 13th 2015
Deconstructing Generation Rent: Young People's Housing Options and Future Welfare (Workshops)
University of Sheffield
Friday, February 13th 2015
Ann Berrington gave a paper highlighting the impact of housing policy on young adults' housing transitions in the UK and how this impact is gendered at a workshop sponsored by the Housing Studies Association: 'Economic precariousness and young adults' housing transitions in the UK'
Wednesday, February 11th 2015
Prudential roundtable dinner on the social; economic and geopolitical impact of ageing societies (Other)
Mosimann's, London
Wednesday, February 11th 2015
A roundtable dinner discussion hosted by Prudential on the social, economic and geopolitical impact of ageing societies. Limited to no more than fifteen high-level participants drawn from leading thinkers, strategists and practitioners, and held under the Chatham House Rule.
The roundtable considered the strategic challenges posed by population ageing, addressing questions such as:
• What are the risks and opportunities that may arise from demographically led shifts in the global economy and geopolitical order?
• How can societies maintain a decent standard of living for the old without imposing a crushing burden on the young?
• How can countries foster economic growth as workforces contract and rates of savings and investment decline?
The discussion covered global ageing and focussed in particular on East Asia, where demographic trends have been leaning strongly with economic growth but may soon be leaning against it.
Joined by Richard Jackson, President of the Global Aging Institute and one of the world's foremost authorities on ageing, who shared insights from his research, including several in-depth studies of the challenges posed by ageing across a range of Asian countries.
The dinner was part of a series of events covering different topics that will help to shape Prudential's thinking and inform our research programme over the next few years.
Friday, February 6th 2015
Cohabitation trends; policies and practices (Workshops)
Local Government Association, London
Friday, February 6th 2015
CPC organised workshop
Sunday, February 1st 2015
Using Twitter Data for Population Estimates (Tweet Pop) (Workshops)
University of Southampton
Sunday, February 1st 2015
Workshop organised by CPC member Jennifer Holland. The workshop involved participants from University of Southampton (Social Statistics and Demography, Web Sciences, Computer Sciences) and ONS
Thursday, January 29th 2015
Uncertain lives - Insights into the role of job precarioussness on family formation in Italy (Seminars and lectures)
Daniele Vignoli, University of Florence
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, January 29th 2015
1.30pm
The diffusion of temporary job contracts in modern European societies has raised concern that these jobs, even if they are deemed useful to combat unemployment, may also constitute a source of insecurity for young workers. Little is known about their possible social and demographic consequences, especially as regards family formation. We focus on this knowledge-gap by examining how job precariousness affects union formation practices in Italy. We study both genders and we combine the empirical evidence from both qualitative and quantitative research. The qualitative evidence suggest to advance the hypothesis that cohabitation can be linked to the growing labor market uncertainty while marriage to stability. By means of a subsequent quantitative analysis, we provide support to this hypothesis in the general population.
Friday, January 16th 2015
Ageing special on BBC Breakfast (Public engagement events)
The Lowry, Manchester
Friday, January 16th 2015
The CPC exhibition "How to live to 100 and enjoy it" was featured as part of a special BBC Breakfast programme between 6am and 9.15am. Facts from the exhibition, footage of the exhibition and interviews with Jane Falkingham were featured on the programme.
Wednesday, January 14th 2015
ESRC's 50th ANNIVERSARY RECEPTION Social science shaping society - past; present and future (Other)
Terrace Pavilion, House of Commons
Wednesday, January 14th 2015
CPC holding an exhibition stand at the event to celebrate the ESRC's 50th anniversary
Thursday, January 8th 2015
Fertility and socioeconomic gender equality between a couple - A Bayesian analysis (Seminars and lectures)
Beata Osiewalska, Cracow University of Economics
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Thursday, January 8th 2015
3pm
Connections between couples' socioeconomic status and fertility have recently attracted noticeable attention, especially in the context of ongoing changes of the gender roles and a growing variety of
family models. Although gender differences have been examined quite deeply, couples' procreative behaviour treated as a mutual result of male and female socioeconomic characteristics remains underresearched.
Previous studies have suggested that the proper inference about procreative behaviour of a couple should be performed not only by analysing the characteristics of both partners, but also by
considering at the same time the childless population, as well as the population of parents. Therefore, the aim of this study is to investigate couples' procreative behaviour with regard to the gender
socioeconomic (in)equality between partners, taking into account that the behavioural drivers could differ among parents and childless couples. The Bayesian Zero-Inflated Poisson framework, which
allows considering two states (childlessness and parenthood) within one statistical model, is applied. The empirical illustration is based on the Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) dataset.
Wednesday, December 17th 2014
Workshop on 'Exploring the Scottish Census' (Workshops)
University of Strathclyde
Wednesday, December 17th 2014
Robert Wright spoke at and organised this workshop exploring the Census 2011 results for Scotland.
Saturday, December 13th 2014
Deliberative Polling Event (Other)
Southampton
Saturday, December 13th 2014
The idea is that about 100 members of the public will be invited to discuss how a city like Southampton can best live with the consequences of recent and forthcoming migration.
Working in groups they will be given four possible policy responses; they can discuss and amend these during the session.
We have to make available four experts who can respond to questions from the working groups. I'm hoping these can cover different aspects of the debate including cohesion/integration policies; access to benefits and public services; work and economic fairness; and population change.
Friday, December 5th 2014
Young adults: Living and Learning in Recessional Times (Workshops)
BSA Meeting Room, London
Friday, December 5th 2014
CPC, BSA and University of Kent organised event showcasing key findings from the Young Adults Transitions ESRC project
Thursday, December 4th 2014
Migration statistics (Other)
Houses of Parliament, London
Thursday, December 4th 2014
A lunchtime discussion meeting in the Houses of Parliament on migration statistics: what the data tell us, how we know what we know, and what the data do not show us. Reflecting the current public debate on migration, this event seeks to unwrap what we know about migration intelligence. Join our expert panel to discuss the methods and reliability of migration data, what the data tell us, and what other means could be used to improve accuracy. Jakub Bijak was on the panel for this event.
Thursday, December 4th 2014
Risk of admission to care homes for older people: findings from the Northern Ireland Longitudinal Study (Seminars and lectures)
Mark McCann, University of Glasgow
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Thursday, December 4th 2014
4pm
A joint CPC/CRA/CLC seminar: Over the last two centuries, the West has seen huge changes in nutrition, lifestyle, medicine and hygiene, leading to large gains in life expectancy and population health. The net effect of these improvements is to concentrate the need for health and social care onto the older population. Health and social care provision must plan ahead for the demand for services such as long term residential and nursing home care, and formal home care services. The vast majority of the care and support for older people in the community continues to come from informal social support networks, the friends and family of the older person. Better understanding of how this social environment influences care home utilisation can allow for better understanding of how demographic changes may affect the utilisation of formal services and what the appropriate health service response should be.
In this seminar I will present work based on the analysis of the Northern Ireland Longitudinal Study, an administrative data linkage study based on the linkage of health records, Census records, other administrative data sources, and further linkages to data from the regional care home inspectorate. The study investigates risk of admission to care homes for older people, and will focus in particular on the importance of gender, living arrangements, housing tenure, and urban versus rural residence.
Monday, December 1st 2014
An agent-based decision model of migration, embedded in the life course (Seminars and lectures)
Anna Klabunde, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
University of Southampton, 02/1083
Monday, December 1st 2014
4pm
A joint CLC/CPC seminar: The goal of our research is to build a model which allows analysing population dynamics with respect to the effects of the timing and location of possible future migration flows which might by influenced by policy changes and demographic transitions.
To this end, we develop a prototype for a new generation of models which combine microsimulation of demographic processes with decision-making and interaction in an agent-based fashion.
The proposed model is a combination of two different models: A demographic projection model describing life course dynamics, and an agent-based model for describing unobservable decision processes related to migration. The occurrence and timing of all life events other than migration are determined based on Markovian processes (i.e., by microsimulation), whereas migration events are the outcome of a decision process based on the Theory of Planned Behavior. The parameters of the microsimulation model are estimated using multistate survival models on the MAFE (Migrations between Africa and Europe) data set, a micro survey of Senegalese individuals and heads of household in Senegal and Southern Europe. The unobservable parameters of the decision model are chosen using established calibration methods.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, November 27th 2014
Are there changing socio-economic inequalities in childhood cognitive test performance? Analysis of three British Birth Cohort Studies (Seminars and lectures)
Roxanne Connelly, University of Edinburgh
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, November 27th 2014
1pm
There is a large international literature that identifies links between parental social class and cognitive test scores in early childhood, this paper adds to the literature by examining the changing nature of this inequality for groups of children born at different periods in time.
We undertake analyses of three of the major British birth cohort studies, The National Child Development Study (1958), The British Cohort Study (1970) and The Millennium Cohort Study (2000/02). Each of these three studies contain some broadly comparable measures of early childhood cognitive skill, in addition to information about the child and their parents. The design and structure of the 1958 and the 1970 cohort studies are comparable and they have been used for stratification and social mobility research, and more generally in cross-cohort comparative research projects. The design and the structure of the Millennium Cohort Study is radically different to the earlier birth cohorts, and therefore comparisons with the earlier two studies are methodologically challenging. A central aspect of this paper is that we develop a strategy for analysing the three cohorts of data within a multivariate framework that appropriately accounts for variation in the design and structure of the datasets.
In line with existing research we identify clear links between parental characteristics and cognitive test scores in early childhood. A key feature of the analyses is that by using data from multiple birth cohorts we have been able to investigate temporal changes in this association. The statistical modelling results lead us to argue that the role of cognitive skills, measured by test performances, should be considered in analyses of the routes and trajectories that children embark upon on the way to educational and occupational outcomes in early adult life.
Wednesday, November 26th 2014
International Student Mobilities to Switzerland (Seminars and lectures)
Yvonne Riano, University of Neuchatel and Annique Lombard, National Center of Competence in Research (NCCR)
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Wednesday, November 26th 2014
1pm
TBC
Thursday, November 20th 2014 - Friday, November 21st 2014
British and Irish Longitudinal Studies of Ageing (BILS) Annual Conference (Conferences)
University of Strathclyde
Thursday, November 20th 2014
Friday, November 21st 2014
CPC academic Robert Wright organised this conference.
Thursday, November 20th 2014
Innovations in population statistics: what we've done and what's to come (Seminars and lectures)
Ian Cope, Office for National Statistics
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Thursday, November 20th 2014
3pm
Ian Cope will reflect on the changes made to the 2011 Census, including new questions introduced to improve the understanding of the population estimates and the new outputs which have been produced. He will also cover improvements to the mid year population estimates, including improvements to migration statistics. Ian will also cover the developments in the use of administrative data to produce population estimates, will share the results so far, and plans for the 2021 Census and the greater use of administrative data.
Associated Downloads
Friday, November 14th 2014
The Active Ageing Index – Potential for Evidence-Based Policy Development: A Dialogue with Policymakers (Other)
Brussels
Friday, November 14th 2014
An open session with a variety of Brussels-based stakeholders (EU institutions, civil society representatives, think tanks), where we would like to discuss the use of the AAI in the policy making at 1) European/international level and 2) at regional level [50 participants
Thursday, November 13th 2014 - Friday, November 14th 2014
Fourth Meeting of the Expert Group on the Active Ageing Index (Other)
Liaison Office of Friuli Venezia Giulia, Brussels
Thursday, November 13th 2014
Friday, November 14th 2014
A closed technical meeting on the Active Ageing Index with the AAI Expert Group
Tuesday, November 11th 2014
Health; demographic change and well-being (Workshops)
Covent Garden, Brussels
Tuesday, November 11th 2014
Jane Falkingham contributed her expertise to this workshop, organised jointly by the Directorate General for Research and Innovation (DG RTD) and the Directorate General for Communications Networks, Content and Technology (DG CONNECT) of the European Commission. The workshop takes place in Brussels (Covent Garden, Place Rogier 16) on Tuesday, 11 November 2014, from 10:00 to 17:00. Representatives from diverse disciplines and fields of activity will explore how to ensure the societal relevance of future research under Horizon 2020's Societal Challenge 'Health, Demographic Change and Wellbeing'.
A group of 50 participants from across Europe including researchers, stakeholders and European Commission representatives will tackle these issues:
• Europe's demographic challenge – ageing societies
• Public health and healthy lifestyles
• Health systems and stakeholder engagement. In the process, we will explore how the integration of knowledge, methodologies, data, concepts and perspectives from social sciences and the humanities (SSH) and non-SSH disciplines such as medicine, health studies, medical technologies, gerontology, care and ICT for ageing can improve our understanding of and response to complex societal issues related to health, demographic change and well-being.
Thursday, November 6th 2014
Father involvement and fertility in Norway (Seminars and lectures)
Trude Lappegard, Statistics Norway
University of Southampton
Thursday, November 6th 2014
4pm
In this paper we investigate the role of father involvement in the society on individual fertility. As the first country in the world Norway implemented an earmarked part of the paid parental leave program to fathers in 1993, the so-called fathers' quota, which is leave days that the family lose if not taken by the father. We argue that the introduction of the fathers' quota have changed father's behavior and thus the social norms towards more involved fatherhood, i.e. higher share of leave taken by fathers signal stronger norms toward involved fathers. For this study we use unique data covering the whole Norwegian population and suitable statistical methods, i.e., the hazard rate model. Assuming that individual decision-making is embedded in contextual conditions such as social norms, we calculate two measures of father involvement for each of the 435 municipalities which are expected to be positively associated with higher fertility.
Thursday, October 30th 2014
Prospects for a balanced recovery (Other)
Westminster
Thursday, October 30th 2014
Ann Berrington contributed to the panel discussion titled "A Balanced Recovery for People and Places
Thursday, October 23rd 2014
Experiencing of social security and prospects for long-term settlement in Scotland amongst migrants from Central Eastern Europe and Former Soviet Union (Seminars and lectures)
Paulina Trevena, Central and East European Studies, University of Glasgow
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, October 23rd 2014
1pm
This is a four year ESRC-funded project which started in November 2013. It aims to study perspectives and experiences of 'social security' amongst migrants from Central Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union in Scotland. We use 'social security' in a holistic sense to mean the ways in which migrants are able to make themselves socially, economically, personally and culturally secure in a new environment and their strategies for dealing with every day risks. The project fieldwork began in July 2014 and will last for 12 months. At the seminar, we would like to speak about the research and share some of the preliminary findings from our field sites.
Tuesday, October 21st 2014
Exploring satisfaction with adult social care services in Hampshire: the added complexity of ethnicity (Seminars and lectures)
Ros Willis, Centre for Research on Ageing, University of Southampton
University of Southampton, 54/8031(8C)
Tuesday, October 21st 2014
3pm
A joint CPC/CRA seminar: In England, national user experience surveys show that people from Black and Minority Ethnic groups tend to be less satisfied with social care services compared with the White population, but the nature of the survey methodology does not allow an explanation of why this difference occurred. In this study 82 in-depth interviews were conducted with adult service users and informal carers from South Asian and White British backgrounds in Hampshire, Portsmouth and Southampton to explore their experiences and satisfaction levels. A further 39 social care practitioners were also interviewed to understand satisfaction from their perspective. Interviews were analysed using thematic analysis. The majority of participants reported high satisfaction levels despite some aspects of poor care. As expected, language was an important facilitator of good care for South Asian participants, but ethnic-matching with care staff was considered less important. Although all participants were using some form of social care, many were uncertain of how to access further support services. Many reported difficulties in first accessing social care, and the most common forms of help seeking for both ethnic groups were through word-of-mouth and through the General Practitioner. The overarching theme in the analysis was Understanding the System. Differences in satisfaction were related to being able to work with social services to make the most of the available support. Participants with a good understanding of the social care system were better able to achieve control over their care. Participants with a poor understanding of the social care system were uncertain about how to access further care, or why a service had been refused or withdrawn. More White British than South Asian participants had a good understanding of the social care system, likely related to greater familiarity through experience. Recommendations for social care services are to have better communication throughout the entire social care process, including outreach, to ensure service users and informal carers have accurate expectations of social care services.
Monday, October 20th 2014 - Thursday, October 30th 2014
Agent-based modeling and simulation (ABM-ABS) (Workshops)
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR), Rostock
Monday, October 20th 2014
Thursday, October 30th 2014
Course co-organised between Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Vienna Institute of Demography and University of Southampton aimed at PhD students.
Wednesday, September 24th 2014
2011 Census special products - recent developments with origin destination data and microdata (Seminars and lectures)
Cecilia MacIntyre, Census Quality Assurance Statistician, National Records of Scotland
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Wednesday, September 24th 2014
1pm
So far, the main Census outputs which have been published by NRS are in the form of standard tables. These are available through the Census Data Explorer which can be accessed through Scotland's Census website.
Further output from the Census is based on origin-destination data (also known as flow data) output from which will include the travel-to-work and migration patterns of individuals, cross-tabulated by variables of interest (for example occupation). New products for the 2011 Census will also provide the migration patterns of those living at a student address one year ago and provide information on individuals with second residences.A large amount of the origin-destination data will be at UK level. This talk will summarise the availability of this data, and give a few examples of how it can be used.
Progress on the development of samples of anonymised records will be given including an illustration of a use of the Scottish teaching file.
Tuesday, September 23rd 2014
Fertility in Historical China: Recent Research Findings and Their Theoretical Implications (Seminars and lectures)
Zhongwei Zhao, Australian National University
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Tuesday, September 23rd 2014
3pm
It is widely accepted that fertility was high before the demographic transition because there was no deliberate fertility control in the past; and this was due to either that people did not know how to control their reproduction or that they wanted to have many children, especially sons. New research findings from recent investigation show that in Chinese history marital fertility was not very high. A considerable number of people had the intention to, and they did, control their family size, although effective contraceptives were not available. Furthermore, antinatalist ideas and suggestions were promoted by some Chinese officials and intellectuals a long time ago. This presentation summarises some major research findings made in Chinese historical demography in recent years and discusses their theoretical implications and importance for our understanding of past demographic regimes and rapid fertility transition taking place in recent history.
Thursday, September 11th 2014
Whose responsibility is it to prepare for ageing? Guardian Seminar (Seminars and lectures)
Guardian headquarters, London
Thursday, September 11th 2014
Britain is “woefully under-prepared” to cope with the expected explosion of older people, a House of Lords inquiry concluded last year.
And the Office for Budgetary Responsibility's latest Fiscal Sustainability Report says further tax increases or spending cuts are likely to be needed to help meet the costs of an older population.
Join us at the Guardian's London headquarters on 11 September 2014 for a seminar bringing together key stakeholders from across central and local government, civil society and the private sector to discuss how we can prepare for demographic change.
A panel discussion will explore and identify creative public service and policy solutions to the challenges and opportunities presented by an ageing population.
Will government measures such as pension reforms and changes to the health and social care system meet the country's future needs? How can we
plug the dangerous gaps in welfare support many older people face?
The panel debate will be followed by smaller roundtable discussions led by our partners PA Consulting Group, British Red Cross, Hanover Housing and Independent Age.
Jane Falkingham will be a discussant at this event
Wednesday, September 10th 2014
Census flow data analysis (Workshops)
University of Winchester
Wednesday, September 10th 2014
Training workshop organised by Zhiqiang Feng at the BSPS conference 2014.
Saturday, August 23rd 2014
Welfare Powers (Other)
London
Saturday, August 23rd 2014
David Bell took part in this roundtable discussion with the Department for Work and Pensions on welfare powers.
Tuesday, August 5th 2014
Immigration; Scotland and the Constitutional Change Debate (Seminars and lectures)
The Melting Pot, Edinburgh
Tuesday, August 5th 2014
SRA Scotland Evening Seminar: This free SRA Scotland evening seminar will give an overview of recent research undertaken by the Centre for Population Change as part of the ESRC-funded Future of the UK and Scotland programme of activities. The research uses the 2011 UK Census to explore the diverse immigration picture in the UK, considering how Scotland compares with English regions. The presentation will cover all aspects of the approach taken, reflect on key lessons learned and explore the implications of research findings in terms of immigration policy, population growth and constitutional reform.
Wednesday, July 9th 2014
Toward a New Macro-Segregation? Diversity, Immigration, and Changing U.S. Settlement Patterns (Seminars and lectures)
Dan Lichter, Cornell University
University of Southampton, 58/1007
Wednesday, July 9th 2014
3pm
This paper documents a new macro-segregation, where the locus of racial differentiation in the United States (and perhaps in Europe) resides increasingly in socio-spatial processes at the community or place level. Specifically, it (1) shows how growing ethnoracial diversity has unfolded unevenly over geographic space in an era of rapid immigration, and (2) illustrates a spatially-inclusive approach that identifies emerging patterns of segregation within and between cities, suburbs, and small towns. The results, based on U.S. census data between 1990 and 2010 suggest a new form of racial and ethnic segregation, one where the locus of ethnoracial differentiation increasingly resides in places - cities, suburbs, and small towns - rather than in urban neighborhoods. Analyses highlight the rise in new immigrant destinations, the growth in majority-minority cities and communities, and offsetting patterns of ethnoracial segregation at different spatial scales (e.g., declines in neighborhood-to-neighborhood but increasing city-to-suburb and suburb-to-suburb segregation). Segregation in America has taken a new turn. The usual focus on declining big-city neighborhood segregation, as a measure of social distance or shifting boundaries between groups, is arguably incomplete at best and misleading at worst. Residential segregation is increasingly shaped by the cities and communities in which neighborhoods are embedded.
Thursday, July 3rd 2014
Welfare in an Idle Society? Reinventing Retirement, Work, Wealth, Health, and Welfare (Seminars and lectures)
Bernd Marin, European Centre for Social Welfare, Policy and Research
University of Southampton, 54/8033 (8B)
Thursday, July 3rd 2014
3pm
The modern welfare state is indeed one of the greatest achievements of the post-war 20th century. With its key aims of eradicating the five giant social ills of "Want, Ignorance, Disease, Squalor and Idleness", it has aimed to providing a minimum standard of living, with all people of working age paying a weekly contribution; in return, benefits would be paid to anyone who was sick, unemployed, retired or widowed. The modern welfare state, therefore, is about maintaining a delicate equilibrium between dependent social groups on the one hand and the active working classes on the other. In the case of old-age security, this balance is being achieved (or not) by the so-called Generation Contract. This social pact is more of an implicit, unwritten and unspecified social contract.
This seminar will present the findings of the ground-breaking book, "Welfare in an Idle Society? Reinventing Retirement, Work, Wealth, Health and Welfare", that demonstrates how countries are addressing population-ageing challenges in depth, using the case study of Austria to gain the required complexity and differentiation in a comparative European framework of empirical evidence. The book offers a broad social science study in political economy and sociology, not an economic analysis. Though focusing on pensions, the analysis included in the book centres on the (im)balance between work and non-work, issues of health, work ability, employability, and benefit receipt from old-age security to disability allowance.
Saturday, June 28th 2014
Mapping Diasporas in the European Union and the United States (Workshops)
Brussels
Saturday, June 28th 2014
IZA/RAND Workshop. Jackie Wahba spoke at this event
Wednesday, June 25th 2014
Focus on Partnerships: Discourses on Cohabitation and Marriage throughout Europe and Australia (Conferences)
Budapest, Hungary
Wednesday, June 25th 2014
Public Side-Meeting at European Population Conference organised by Brienna Perelli-Harris.
Friday, June 20th 2014
A Bayesian approach to deriving population estimates from multiple datasets (Seminars and lectures)
John Bryant, Statistics New Zealand
University of Southampton, 58/1007
Friday, June 20th 2014
3pm
Many countries are looking for new ways to exploit administrative data for population estimation. The talk will describe a Bayesian approach being developed at Statistics New Zealand. It will include an application to estimating population by age and sex in 66 regions of New Zealand. The approach has some nice features. There is no need to link datasets at the individual level. Random variation in demographic processes and measurement are dealt with naturally. Evaluations and weights for the datasets emerge automatically out of the estimation process. However, as the application demonstrates, population estimation is still difficult when the available datasets all have similar flaws.
Thursday, June 19th 2014
Use of probabilistic forecasts; with focus on population applications (Workshops)
Royal Statistical Society
Thursday, June 19th 2014
CPC organised workshop with discussants and speakers from both the industry and academics
Tuesday, June 17th 2014
Fertility decline and increased proportions of nulliparous married women aged 30-44 years: Analysis of marital status, regional, and socioeconomic influences - Brazil, 2000-2010 (Seminars and lectures)
Andre Junqueira Caetano, Catholic University of Minas GERAIS/Cedeplar - Federal University of Minas Gerais, Brazil
University of Southampton, 58/1007
Tuesday, June 17th 2014
3pm
The decrease of parities higher than two children was the main feature of the Brazilian fertility decline until 2000, when its TFR reached 2.4. During the 2000s the decline followed unabated so that the TFR was below replacement level in 2010 (1.9). Nevertheless, terminating at higher-order parities was not an option anymore. In this scenario, the postponement of the first and second child as well as limitation at one or two children played the major role in the 2000-2010 period. As a consequence, the proportion of married women older than 30 years without children increased substantially. In this respect, there are wide variations in the reproductive behaviour according marital status (legally married women as compared to women in consensual unions), region, place of residence (metropolitan urban, other urban, and rural dwellers), and socioeconomic level. This piece analyses the increase in the proportion of married women 30-44 years old with no children in Brazil between 2000 and 2010 taking into account the reproductive heterogeneity across regions and socioeconomic levels as well as differentials between legally married and women in consensual unions. Human reproduction research has established that female biological fecundity declines gradually after the menarche, but more intensely after 32 years-old and dramatically after 37 years-old. Moreover, aging is regarded as the main determinant of female sub-fecundity, infecundity and even sterility before menopause. Thus nulliparous married women aged 30-44 is taken as a subfertile female population, which often serves as a proxy for the potential demand for Assisted Reproduction Technology (ART). There is neither public nor private health insurance that pays for ART in Brazil and as the country marches towards lower levels of fertility this is an issue that may become a problem.
Friday, June 13th 2014
Bayesian projection of international migration for all countries (Seminars and lectures)
Jonathan Azose, University of Washington
University of Southampton, 58/1023
Friday, June 13th 2014
1pm
A joint CPC/S3RI seminar: In this talk I present a method for probabilistic projection of international migration. The goal of this work is to produce projections of net migration for all countries extending out to the year 2100, similar to the projections in the United Nation's World Population Prospects. Migration is notoriously hard to predict, so quantification of uncertainty is especially important. We accomplish this with a Bayesian hierarchical autoregressive model fit to time series data for all countries.
Thursday, June 12th 2014
A Microsimulation Model of Social Care in Wales (Seminars and lectures)
Graham Stark, Virtual Worlds Research
University of Southampton, 58/1007
Thursday, June 12th 2014
3pm
A joint CPC/CLC seminar: In this talk I will discuss a microsimulation model built for the Welsh Government which simulates the costs and distributional effect of changes to the system for paying for social care in Wales, for up to 20 years into the future.
The model uses household data from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS). It has a number of innovative technical features, and a user-friendly Web interface. The program code is freely available under an Open Source licence.
I will review the design and implementation of the model, outline possible future developments, and demonstrate the it in use.
Friday, May 30th 2014 - Sunday, June 1st 2014
Dealing with Uncertainty in Migration Research (Workshops)
Regent's University London
Friday, May 30th 2014
Sunday, June 1st 2014
Workshop run by Jakub Bijak held at Regent's University, London as part of the Turkish Migration interdisciplinary conference.
Friday, May 23rd 2014
European Commission; Social Analysis (Seminars and lectures)
Brussels
Friday, May 23rd 2014
Ann Berrington presented at this one-day seminar hosted by the European Commission in Brussels, on her research ''Young adults' living arrangements: The impact of economic uncertainty on leaving and returning home in the UK'.
Thursday, May 22nd 2014
Happiness among Europeans in times of economic recession (Seminars and lectures)
Francesco Billari, University of Oxford
University of Southampton, 02/1039
Thursday, May 22nd 2014
3pm
The paper assesses the dynamics of self-reported happiness in 26 European countries during the Great Recession and the sovereign debt crisis using all waves of the European Social Survey - including the newly released sixth round to obtain a pooled dataset spanning from 2002 to 2012. Using information on the interview to reconstruct quarterly happiness series and the associated macroeconomic data, the paper investigates whether the heterogeneous experience of the crisis explains trends and differentials.
In doing so, it holds the observed patterns up against a set of relevant theories aimed at explaining the effect of deprivation on individual wellbeing.
Thursday, May 22nd 2014
Mobility and linked lives: What can we learn from Swedish register data? (Seminars and lectures)
Gunnar Malmberg, University of Umea
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, May 22nd 2014
1pm
TBC
Thursday, May 22nd 2014
Visualisations: Education Flow Data (Seminars and lectures)
Nikola Sander, Vinnea Institute of Demography
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, May 22nd 2014
1pm
TBC
Thursday, May 22nd 2014
DEPRIVEDHOODS: Socio-spatial inequality, deprived neighbourhoods and neighbourhood effects (Seminars and lectures)
Maarten Van Ham
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, May 22nd 2014
1pm
TBC
Monday, May 12th 2014 - Friday, May 16th 2014
The Economics of International Migration (Workshops)
University of Southampton
Monday, May 12th 2014
Friday, May 16th 2014
CPC organised short course taught by Michel Beine from the University of Luxemburg
Friday, May 9th 2014
What is the role of NGOs in the assisted voluntary returns of asylum seekers and irregular migrants? (Seminars and lectures)
COMPAS, University of Oxford
Friday, May 9th 2014
COMPAS Breakfast Briefing presented by Derek McGhee and Bridget Anderson
Thursday, May 8th 2014
The health of grandparents caring for their grandchildren: The role of early and mid-life conditions (Seminars and lectures)
Giorgio Di Gessa, Karen Glaser and Anthea Tinker, King's College, London
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, May 8th 2014
1pm
Grandparents are an important source of childcare. However, concerns have been raised that caring for grandchildren may come at the expense of grandparents' own wellbeing. Our study examines the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between various types of grandparental childcare and grandparents' own physical and psychological health, and focuses on the extent to which such associations are directly and indirectly affected by cumulative advantage/disadvantage across the life course. We used a sample of grandparents aged 50+ from waves 1-4 of two nationally representative longitudinal studies of older people from selected European countries, i.e. the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, and the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. Both datasets provide detailed retrospective life histories, including childhood characteristics (such as health and socio-economic position), and adulthood conditions (marital history, unemployment spells, adverse life events such as bereavement). Health outcomes considered were self-rated health, depressive symptoms and physical health. Logistic regressions and structural equation models were used in order to disentangle how and whether childhood and adulthood factors interact -both directly and indirectly- with grandparental childcare to affect grandparents' own health. Using longitudinal data, we found little evidence to suggest that grandparental childcare provision has negative effects on grandparents' health. On the contrary, our results suggest that there may be health benefits to grandparents who provide childcare. However, preliminary findings suggest that poorer health among grandparents who do not provide grandchild care, or who coreside with their grandchildren, do not appear to be a consequence of care provision per se, but rather may be due to prior characteristics - particularly childhood poor health and adulthood socio-economic disadvantage.
Thursday, April 24th 2014
Neo-liberalism and Life Expectancy: A Study in the Political-Economy of Population Health (Seminars and lectures)
Ross Macmillan, Universita Bocconi
University of Southampton, 58/1007
Thursday, April 24th 2014
3pm
Recent decades have seen nation states increasingly adopt neoliberal social policies,
policies that stress free markets in the provision of social welfare, localization of
services, and more minimalist government. While the rise of neoliberalism has
spawned an extensive body of critique, there exists an almost universal view that
neoliberalism is particularly detrimental for population health. Empirical evidence on
the issue however is quite weak, is limited in scope, and is ultimately equivocal. This
paper conducts a unique and powerful assessment of the relationship between
neoliberalism and life expectancy through both trend analysis of data from the Human
Mortality Database (ca. 1960-2009) and complementary fixed-effects analyses of
supplemented World Bank data (1970 -2010 in five year intervals). We further assess
the robustness of results by replicating the latter analyses for rates of infant mortality.
Contrary to conventional wisdom, the results show little to no evidence that life
expectancy or infant survival is compromised with more extensive neoliberalism and
evidence that it has actually been enhanced, most so in lower income countries.
Implications for theory and research on socio-political conditions and population
health are discussed.
Friday, April 4th 2014
Hypothesis verification for simulation models: Theory and applications (Seminars and lectures)
Bogumil Kaminski, Division of Decision Analysis and Support, Institute of Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics
University of Southampton, 58/1007
Friday, April 4th 2014
3pm
In the presentation we propose a method of hypothesis verification for stochastic simulation models using samples of their outputs. A Bayesian procedure is developed to evaluate the probability that the hypothesis under investigation is true for a single simulation input. Next, we prove that the only coherent way of aggregating such probabilities over different simulation inputs is by averaging. Moreover, conditions for averaging to give consistent and asymptotically unbiased evaluation of input space proportion, for which the tested hypothesis is true, are given. Finally, it is shown that in hypothesis verification, under limited simulation effort capacity assumption, there is a bias-variance trade-off between the number of input points sampled and sample size per point. The obtained theoretical results are illustrated by analysis of a simulation model presented in paper "Volatility Clustering in Financial Markets: Empirical Facts and Agent-Based Models" by Cont (2007).
Thursday, April 3rd 2014
Social Change in Social Distance (Seminars and lectures)
Paul Lambert and Dave Griffith, University of Stirling
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, April 3rd 2014
1pm
TBC
Thursday, March 27th 2014
Fertility and Family Policy: An Intersectional Perspective (Seminars and lectures)
Wendy Sigle-Rushton, LSE
University of Southampton, 58/1023
Thursday, March 27th 2014
3pm
This paper considers how intersectionality, a key theoretical and methodological concept, can contribute to the way we, as demographers, understand and study the relationship between fertility and family policy in Europe. Intersectionality posits that different dimensions of social life are intersecting, mutually modifying and inseparable. Accepting the basic premise of intersectionality means acknowledging that it is potentially problematic to conceptualize or name women as a homogeneous group. This has two important consequences for the study of fertility and family policy. First of all, it helps us make sense of the cross-national evidence that, at first glance, is somewhat puzzling. Second, by drawing attention to processes of exclusion and its consequences, intersectionality highlights the need to critically question our own position and assumptions. An intersectional perspective requires that we take heterogeneity into account when we describe or endorse particular policy options as "woman" or "family" friendly.
Tuesday, March 25th 2014
Aging Self-Stereotypes: Obstacle or Pathway to Health? (Seminars and lectures)
Becca Levy, Yale University
University of Southampton, Building 58, Room 2097
Tuesday, March 25th 2014
3pm
Social scientists have documented ageism in a variety of spheres, including everyday conversations, politics, and the workplace. Although there has been considerable research that documents the existence of negative age stereotypes and ageism, less is known about the operation of positive age stereotypes and how older individuals are impacted by positive and negative age stereotypes. In this talk, I will present a series of experimental and longitudinal studies that examine how age stereotypes and aging self-stereotypes (older individuals beliefs about old people in general) operate. I will also present the stereotype embodiment theory that integrates these findings and suggests new directions for research. The theory proposes that stereotypes that are assimilated from the surrounding culture can contribute to older individuals' self-definitions and their health. The central message of the talk will be that the aging process and aging health is, in part, a social construct.
Sunday, March 23rd 2014
Tedx Southampton University; Flourishing in the 21st Century (Public engagement events)
Nuffield Theatre, University of Southampton
Sunday, March 23rd 2014
Jane Falkingham presented CPC research at this public orientated event held at the Nuffield Theatre at the University of Southampton on 23 March 2014.
Friday, March 21st 2014
Workshop: Financial: What is It and Why is it Important (Workshops)
School of Education, University of Glasgow
Friday, March 21st 2014
Workshop organised by CPC academic Robert Wright
Thursday, March 20th 2014
Budget Briefing for Business Leaders (Other)
Glasgow
Thursday, March 20th 2014
The Chancellor of the Exchequer will present the 2014 budget on Wednesday, March 19 when the Government's plans for taxation, benefits, spending and forecasts for the economy will be set out. Against a testing economic background, the challenge is to continue to raise revenue and at the same time provide a tax environment in which businesses can flourish.
The Herald and Sunday Herald are organising a free breakfast event supported by Campbell Dallas, McClure Naismith and Skypark on Thursday, March 20 at Skypark, Elliot Street, Glasgow to understand what the announcements will mean to business and individuals in Scotland.
Thursday, February 27th 2014
Should Scotland have its own immigration policy? The politicians and the professionals seminar series – migration (Seminars and lectures)
Royal Society of Edinburgh
Thursday, February 27th 2014
The Politicians and Professionals Seminar Series – Migration
Thursday, February 27th 2014
What is in a health geography? (Seminars and lectures)
Nicola Shelton, UCL
University of Southampton 58/1023
Thursday, February 27th 2014
3pm
Using a variety of sources the talk will illustrate the benefits of taking a geographical perspective when analysing health data.
Questions will be raised as to what might constitute a 'health' geography and to what extent geographic inequalities in health
are due to the geography of socio-economic inequalities.
Thursday, February 20th 2014
The Role of Education at Young and Older Ages in Explaining Health Inequalities in Europe (Seminars and lectures)
Albert Sabater, University of St Andrews and Benedetta Pongiglione, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, February 20th 2014
1pm
The high-educated tend to have lower levels of morbidity and mortality than their low-educated counterparts. This positive association between education gradient and health outcomes is widely documented in literature. However, the age-specific pattern of this relationship remains largely unexplored in Europe. Within this context, two main different paths have been proposed. On the one hand, according to the 'status divergence model', the socioeconomic status (SES)-based gap increases with age. On the other hand, the 'status divergence/convergence model' supports that health inequalities between SES groups increase throughout middle age and decline at old ages. This study attempts to provide further empirical evidence of which model, if any, prevails in Europe, and which differences occur among European countries. For this purpose, we use a multiple cross-sectional analysis by age which covers 14 European countries and uses data from the fifth round of the European Social Survey (2010) and the fourth wave of the Survey on Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (2010). By comparing young and older age groups, we show that health inequalities peak at middle age and then decline at the old age. This 'divergent/convergent' path appears to be common among most European countries. Nonetheless, what differs from a country to another is the amplitude of education-based health gap. In Eastern Europe education affects health the most, while in Northern Europe there is no evidence of a significant effect of education on health.
Thursday, February 20th 2014
Choose between food and fuel (Other)
European Parliament, Europe House, London
Thursday, February 20th 2014
Join us to debate the on-going issue of Food and Fuel Poverty among Older People in the UK to showcase the research of Dr Aravinda Meera Guntupalli and Dr Athina Vlachantoni, with a view to contributing to the policy relevant debate on the choice faced by vulnerable older persons between heating their homes and eating regular and nutritious meals. This event is a joint collaboration between the University of Southampton's Public Policy Network, the Centre for Research on Ageing, the ESRC Centre for Population Change, the USRG on Ageing and Lifelong Health, the USRG on Population Health and the Biomedical Research Centre in Nutrition and Lifestyle.
Friday, February 14th 2014
Where does migration sit within the debate over the future of the UK and Scotland (Seminars and lectures)
COMPAS, University of Oxford
Friday, February 14th 2014
COMPAS Breakfast Briefing presented by David McCollum and Allan Findlay
Wednesday, January 29th 2014
A mobile Europe: background, future and implications of EU mobility (Seminars and lectures)
Helga de Valk, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute/Vrije Universiteit Brussel
University of Southampton 58/1023
Wednesday, January 29th 2014
1pm
European mobility has been highly debated in the past couple of years and in many EU countries this debate has come up recently again. Yet the mobility of EU citizens is at the hearth of the EU integration project. In this presentation I will focus on patterns of European mobility and their development over time. Second I focus on the characteristics of European migrants in flow and stocks: Who are the Europeans that are moving around and what background do those residing in another EU country have? Finally I study the effects of European mobility for intergenerational family relations, intermarriage and settlement patterns. Whereas the first part of the presentation will take a comparative European approach, the latter part of the presentation will focus on Belgium. I will draw from official migration statistics and supplement the presentation with new survey data that can shed light on European family relations.
Friday, January 10th 2014
Maternal Mortality in Malawi, 1977 to 2012 (Seminars and lectures)
Tim Colbourn, Institute for Global Health, University College London
University of Southampton
Friday, January 10th 2014
3pm
Background
Millennium Development Goal 5 (MDG 5) targets a 75% reduction in maternal mortality from 1990 to 2015, yet accurate information on trends in maternal mortality and what drives them is sparse. We aimed to fill this gap for Malawi, a country in sub-Saharan Africa with high maternal mortality.
Methods
We reviewed the literature for population-based studies that provide estimates of the maternal mortality ratio (MMR) in Malawi, and for studies that list and justify variables potentially associated with trends in MMR. We used all population-based estimates of MMR representative of the whole of Malawi to construct a best-fit trend-line for the range of years with available data; calculated the proportion attributable to HIV, and qualitatively analysed trends and evidence related to other covariates to logically assess likely candidate drivers of the observed trend in MMR.
Results
Fourteen suitable estimates of MMR were found, covering the years 1977-2010. The resulting best-fit line predicted MMR in Malawi to have increased from 317 maternal deaths per 100,000 livebirths in 1980, to 748 in 1990, before peaking at 971 in 1999, and falling to 846 in 2005 and 484 in 2010. Concurrent deteriorations and improvements in HIV and health system investment and provision are the most plausible explanations for the trend. Female literacy and education, family planning, and poverty reduction could play more of a role if thresholds are passed in coming years.
Conclusion
The decrease in MMR in Malawi is encouraging as it appears recent efforts to control HIV and improve the health system are bearing fruit. Sustained efforts to prevent and treat maternal complications are required if Malawi is to attain the MDG 5 target and save the lives of more of its mothers in years to come
Associated Downloads
Thursday, December 12th 2013
Population ageing: the time-bomb that isn't? (Seminars and lectures)
John MacInnes & Jeroen Spijker, University of Edinburgh
University of Southampton 58/1007
Thursday, December 12th 2013
3pm
For the first time ever, there are now more elderly (65+) in the UK than children (< 15). While declining fertility and infant mortality levels formed the basis for this growth from the end of the 19th century until WWII, for example through the defeat of child killing infectious diseases, since the 1970s falling old-age mortality has been an additional driving force. This 'population ageing' has worried policy makers because for every worker paying tax and national insurance there are more older citizens, with greater demands on social insurance, health and welfare systems and increasing volumes of morbidity and disability.
However, these concerns are based on measures of ageing that do not take proper account of rising life expectancy or changes in the labour force. We therefore propose an alternative, more objective, measurement of ageing that considers remaining life expectancy and the employed population rather than a fixed old-age category and the population of working age. Results show that old age-dependency turns out to have fallen substantially in the UK over recent decades, and is likely stabilize close to its current level.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, December 5th 2013
Social change in social distance (Seminars and lectures)
Paul Lambert, University of Sterling
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, December 5th 2013
1:30pm
In an ongoing project called 'Is Britain Pulling Apart' (www.camsis.stir.ac.uk/pullingapart), the authors use secondary survey microdata on the social connections held by people as a way of assessing the 'social distance' between social categories (for example - if there are relatively few social interactions between individuals who read the Independent and the Sun newspapers, then those groups are relatively more socially distant, and so forth). In this approach, changes over time can be explored by testing if there are differences between birth cohorts in the social distance between the social categories of interest. Moreover, the same style of analysis can be used to evaluate if there are interesting differences between other social groups, such as between advantaged and disadvantaged individuals, or different regions of residence. The authors have also used the same style of analysis to explore a number of cross-national differences in social distance patterns and trends for selected measures that are available on international datasets (such as covering occupational and educational homogamy). The authors view so far, for the UK, is that 'no', Britain isn't pulling apart at all; this presentation will seek to summarise evidence social change in social distance in Britain, and make comparisons with trends in a range of other contemporary societies. Please email cpcscot@st-andrews.ac.uk to book your place.
Wednesday, December 4th 2013
Secrets of IPUMS-International: Integrating and disseminating census microdata to researchers world-wide free of cost (Seminars and lectures)
Robert McCaa, University of Minnesota
University of Southampton 58/1007
Wednesday, December 4th 2013
4pm
This is a joint CPC and EPSRC Care Life Cycle (CLC) seminar
IPUMS-International is a global initiative begun in 1999 to preserve, integrate and disseminate census microdata. 100 official statistical agencies -- including the Office of National Statistics in the UK -- have embraced IPUMS-International protocols for managing access to microdata free of cost. Researchers world-wide download custom-tailored extracts from www.ipums.org/international for more than two hundred censuses covering as many as five decades. The talk will bare some of the secrets of the project, share tips for exploiting the database, and discuss new projects: TerraPop (GIS), remote data access, integrating other types of microdata, and cooperation with national, regional and global initiatives.
Friday, November 15th 2013
Longevity and the life course in Australia: implications for age-based policy settings (Seminars and lectures)
Nerida Hunter, Australian National University
University of Southampton 54/5027
Friday, November 15th 2013
3pm
Chronological age is regularly used to determine eligibility for programs and services. Incorporating age in program design can improve program effectiveness, constrain costs and 'nudge' the economic and social activities of individuals in the target age groups. It can, therefore, influence life course decisions. Age-based policy settings in Australia have, historically, supported youth as a time for education, working-age as a time for labour market engagement and family formation, and aged as a time for recreation followed by physical decline. With unprecedented increases in the human life-span of the 21st Century, there is both the need and opportunity to re-examine age-based policy settings. This presentation outlines the changes already occurring in Australia and considers future policy options.
Wednesday, November 13th 2013
Bayesian Reconstruction of Past Populations and Vital Rates for Developing and Developed Countries (Seminars and lectures)
Adrian Raftery, University of Washington
University of Southampton 58/2097
Wednesday, November 13th 2013
12pm
I will describe Bayesian population reconstruction, a new method for estimating past populations by age and sex, with fully probabilistic statements of uncertainty. It simultaneously estimates age-specific population counts, vital rates and net migration from fragmentary data while formally accounting for measurement error. As inputs, it takes initial bias-corrected estimates of age-specific population counts, vital rates and net migration. The output is a joint posterior probability distribution which yields fully probabilistic interval estimates of past vital rates and population numbers by age and sex. It is designed for the kind of data commonly collected in demographic surveys and censuses and can be applied to countries with widely varying levels of data quality. This is joint work with Mark Wheldon, Patrick Gerland and Samuel Clark.
Thursday, November 7th 2013
Family planning across generations in China: are choices still orthodox and restricted? (Seminars and lectures)
Sabu Padmadas, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/2097
Thursday, November 7th 2013
3pm
Chinese family planning programme has been unprecedented in scale and population impact. The programme which spanned over four different phases since the 1970s from a late, long and few era to a tightened and restricted policy to an informed choices era had enormous impact on an entire generation. The first three phases focused almost exclusively on the promotion of long-term and irreversible methods and thereafter a gradual shift was noted in the spread of contraceptive choices. There is, however, little systematic analysis of the choices that couples had as they entered reproductive life, over time and across different periods of family planning programmes, particularly in the context of rapid urbanisation and social transformation. The cohort analysis of the first method use provides a historical insight of the extent of family planning programme impact, the opportunities and the shifts in choices that couples experienced over the four distinct phases of the programme. The cohort analysis based on data from the 2006 National Population and Family Planning Survey considered 33,257 women married at different points in time during which the country witnessed historical changes in the structure and delivery of family planning programmes. The findings show clear shift in contraceptive choices towards short-term methods among recent cohorts. Long-term methods still dominate method mix in China but there is little evidence to prove that choices are orthodox and restricted.
Thursday, October 24th 2013
The social context and consequences of fertility transition in Brazil (Seminars and lectures)
Andre Junqueira Caetano, Pontificia Universidade Catolica de Minas Gerais
University of Southampton 58/1065
Thursday, October 24th 2013
3pm
The aim of this seminar is to examine the milestones of population change in Brazil that was driven by the fertility decline in the last 40 years. The decline was linked to industrialization, urbanization, expansion of education and of female participation in the labour market as well as to institutional changes - such as the expansion of public health care - that redefined values and attitudes regarding family size, sexual and reproductive behaviour. In the absence of government family planning programs until 1997 modern contraception was the main determinant of the decline and tubal ligation, the preferred method. The modernization process augmented socioeconomic inequality which, in turn, drives different reproductive strategies and productive opportunities. In 2006 42% of the women 15-19 years-old at the Wealth Index's bottom 20% were married as opposed to 5% at the top 20%. Despite the emergence of a 'new middle class' the average schooling years of those aged 25 years in the bottom 20% was 7.4 years in 2011 as compared to 13 years among the richest 20%. While the country still faces the demands of a transitional society, population ageing tacks on post-transitional needs. Public policies are crucial to face these challenges but considering the Brazilian decentralization context is central to grasp their potential and outcomes. Questions stemming from these issues set a collaborative research agenda whose outline closes the presentation.
Friday, October 11th 2013
Presentation of icddr,b research activities on urban health and early marriage in Bangladesh (Seminars and lectures)
Nahid Kamal, MEASURE Evaluation, University of North Carolina
University of Southampton 58/2097
Friday, October 11th 2013
3pm
The 2013 Bangladesh Urban Health Survey is a multi-partner project funded by USAID and UKaid. It is a nationally representative survey using a sample of roughly 54,000 households. The aim of the survey is to highlight the health inequalities between slum and non-slum dwellers in urban Bangladesh. The survey seeks to provide estimates for health indicators like under-five mortality and maternal healthcare utilization in slum and non-slum domains. The survey findings will help policy makers and donors to identify those who are most vulnerable to adverse health outcomes in urban settings and to effectively address their needs.
Early Marriage in Bangladesh: Not as Early as it Appears - Using Matlab demographic surveillance data maintained by the icddr,b, this study aims to assess if misreporting of age at marriage could be contributing to the persistence of early marriage and early childbearing in the country. In the sample of 1800 ever married women, more than half underreported their age at marriage. On average, reported age at marriage was two years lower than the actual age. Misreporting of age at marriage has implications for age at first birth. The study concludes that the actual rates of teenage marriage and teenage pregnancy in Bangladesh may be much lower than the levels reported in Demographic and Health Surveys.
Thursday, October 3rd 2013
Accuracy and bias in coherent mortality forecasting for subpopulations based on sex and state: applications to European countries and Australian states (Seminars and lectures)
Heather Booth, Australian National University
University of Southampton 58/1007
Thursday, October 3rd 2013
12pm
This is a joint CPC and Care Life Cycle (CLC) seminar
When mortality forecasts for subpopulations are treated as independent, historic relationships among subpopulations may not be reflected in the forecasts. The product-ratio method of coherent forecasting (Hyndman, Booth and Yasmeen, Demography, 2013) takes account of the relationships among subpopulations based on a single criterion such as sex or state. The coherent forecasts have been shown to improve overall accuracy and to equalise accuracy across subpopulations. Bias is largely unchanged, but is homogenised across subpopulations. The paper compares the accuracy of mortality forecasts when the subpopulations are based on sex and state. The product-ratio method is applied to male and female populations of a group of n states, producing mortality forecasts for 2n subpopulations defined by sex and state. Two forecasts per subpopulation are made: the first set are sex-coherent forecasts for each country, while the second set are country-coherent forecasts for each sex. The accuracy of the two sets of forecasts are compared. Examples include four Nordic countries (Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland), three constituents of the UK (England & Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland) and four states of Australia. Implications for forecasting are discussed.
Wednesday, September 25th 2013
Partnerships and sexual behaviour in rural South Africa in the era of HIV treatment (Seminars and lectures)
Nuala McGrath, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/1007
Wednesday, September 25th 2013
3pm
Diagnosed HIV-positive people form a large sub-population in South Africa, one that will continue to increase due to the availability of public antiretroviral therapy (ART). HIV treatment can profoundly influence relationships, sexuality and sexual behaviour although it is not yet clear to what extent ART will impact on sexual behaviour and HIV transmission. There is therefore a pressing need to monitor trends in sexual risk behaviours. To date few studies have examined the impact of treatment on sexual behaviour patterns in African populations. My programme of research funded by the Wellcome Trust, aims to investigate the relationships between partnership, cohabitation, sexual behaviours and HIV risk in South Africa; and, to measure the impact of ART on these factors. In South Africa, a complex set of historical, political, social, cultural and economic processes have resulted in high levels of migration, union instability, extra-marital births, concurrent relationships and HIV prevalence. My research project uses 10 years of longitudinal population-based data on sexual behaviour, partnership and HIV, complimented by new data collection in migrant partners and an ART clinical cohort.
Friday, September 20th 2013
The Malawi Schooling and Adolescent Study: Key Findings 2007-2011 (Seminars and lectures)
Christine Kelly, Population Council
University of Southampton 58/2097
Friday, September 20th 2013
3pm
The Malawi Schooling and Adolescent Study (MSAS) is a longitudinal study designed and administered by the Population Council, in conjunction with local research partners, since 2007. It aims to identify critical aspects of school quality that put adolescents who face the dual challenges of poverty and HIV/AIDS on a safer, healthier, and more productive path to adulthood. The MSAS baseline sample comprised 2,650 male and female adolescents aged 14-16 in January 2007; two-thirds of participants were attending primary grades 4-8 when first interviewed and the remainder were not enrolled in school. Respondents were resident in Balaka and Machinga, two contiguous districts in the Southern region of the country characterized by comparatively early marriage and high HIV prevalence.
I will discuss key findings from the first five rounds of the MSAS, using data collected yearly from 2007-2011. These analyses explore relationships between school absenteeism and menstruation, gender and learning retention, adolescent pregnancy and educational outcomes, and schooling and sexually transmitted infection status, among other topics. I will also present results from methodological work assessing the validity of self-reported sexual behavior data.
Thursday, August 8th 2013
Partnership patterns in the United States and across Europe: which matters more - education or country? (Seminars and lectures)
Brienna Perelli-Harris and Mark Lyons-Amos, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/1009
Thursday, August 8th 2013
3pm
Previous studies have found an association between education and individual aspects of union formation, such as prevalence of cohabitation, entrance into marriage or cohabitation, and divorce. However, little is known about the relationship between education and holistic partnership patterns that involve multiple transitions. Here we use latent class growth analysis to compare the educational distribution of partnership patterns in the United States and 14 countries in Europe. Latent class growth curves show how women can change their relationship status (never partnered, cohabiting, married after cohabiting, directly married, or separated) between the ages of 15-45. Using statistical tests, we find that 8 classes best fit the data. We then use multinomial logit models to determine whether education is associated with the 8 latent classes. Our results indicate an association between education and classes showing the postponement of marriage in all countries, but a less consistent association between education and classes reflecting long-term cohabitation and union dissolution. More importantly, however, we find that country of residence explains more of the variation in class membership than education, and that the role of country relative to education is becoming more pronounced over time. Although education appears to be important for determining the timing of marriage, the increasing variation in behavior between countries has become more essential for understanding partnership patterns.
Thursday, June 27th 2013
Education and cohabitation in Britain: return to traditional patterns? (Seminars and lectures)
Maire Ni Bhrolchain, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/1009
Thursday, June 27th 2013
3pm
Cohabitation is sometimes thought of as being inversely associated with education, but in Britain a more complex picture emerges. Educational group differences in cohabitation vary by age, by time period, by cohort, and by indicator used. Well educated women pioneered cohabitation in Britain in the 1970s and 1980s. Over time, however, the less well educated caught up and have now overtaken the best educated at younger ages. But the principal difference by education currently is largely in timing--that is, the less well educated start cohabiting earlier than the best educated. In Britain, educational differentials in cohabitation appear to be reinstating long standing social patterns in the level and timing of marriage. Taking partnerships as a whole, social differentials have been fairly stable. Despite rapid recent change, there is, thus, much continuity with the past.
Thursday, June 20th 2013
Care for Older People and Migrant Labour (Seminars and lectures)
Isabel Shutes, London School of Economics
University of Southampton, 58/1007
Thursday, June 20th 2013
1pm
Migrant labour has increasingly played a role in the provision of care for older people in the UK (Cangiano et al., 2009) and in other European countries (Bettio et al., 2006; Leon, 2010; Osterle and Hammer, 2007). These countries have exhibited varying forms of marketisation to both the public and familial provision of care (Shutes and Chiatti, 2012). The presentation examines the position of migrant labour within the provision of care for older people in England. It looks at the extent to which migrant workers are concentrated in particular sectors, settings and types of care work. Drawing on qualitative interviews with migrant care workers, it examines these workers' experiences of the conditions of care work in the different settings in which care for older people is provided. The presentation considers the implications of the conditions of care work, and the social divisions of care labour (including divisions based on citizenship), for the analysis of care systems.
Friday, June 14th 2013
Why still marry? The role of feelings in the marriage choices of young adults (Seminars and lectures)
Francesco Billari, University of Oxford
The Dome, New Register House
Friday, June 14th 2013
12.45-3pm
TBC
Friday, May 17th 2013
Interdependence In European families (Seminars and lectures)
Pearl Dykstra, Rotterdam University
University of Southampton 58/1009
Friday, May 17th 2013
3pm
Life course theorists have emphasized the need to recognize that people's lives are linked to others around them (Elder, 1994). Family members are 'fellow life travellers', people with whom individuals travel through life as if in a convoy. In families, a great deal of learning occurs, and members function as significant others from whom cues are taken and whose reactions are integral to decisions people make. Family members serve as resources available during times of need, but they are also recipients of help and care. Other life course scholars, particularly in Europe, have also emphasized that where people live affects how lives unfold (Mayer, 2009). Political systems, educational systems, labour market arrangements, housing markets, laws, entitlements, and social services in the country of residence contour the life course and structure interdependence. This presentation connects these two theoretical strands: the notions of 'linked lives' and 'lives in context'. It will address the dialectical interaction between (a) individual behaviour and choices (b) family practices and (c) policy contexts. The concept of interdependence, which emphasizes the dynamic interplay between being embedded in a meso context of interconnected family ties and living in a macro context of policy arrangements will be elaborated. Examples from research on intergenerational family ties will serve to illustrate the usefulness of the concept of interdependence in studying families.
Friday, May 10th 2013
Family life courses and later life health (Seminars and lectures)
Emily Grundy, University of Cambridge
The Dome, New Register House
Friday, May 10th 2013
12.45-3pm
TBC
Thursday, May 2nd 2013
The escalator region hypothesis two decades on: a review and critique (Seminars and lectures)
Tony Champion, Newcastle University
University of Southampton 58/1065
Thursday, May 2nd 2013
1pm
The aim is to see how well Tony Fielding's (1989, 1992) 'escalator region' hypothesis has stood the test of time. The original model comprised three components: people stepping onto the escalator early in their working lives by moving to SE England, riding the escalator to benefit from the faster career progression there and finally stepping off at retirement or in late working age having achieved their goals and now wishing to enjoy the rewards. I start by briefly reviewing subsequent studies by Fielding himself and others and then present the results of 3 pieces of my own work using the same source as Fielding, the ONS Longitudinal Study (LS) of linked census microdata records 1971-2001.
One of the 3 studies focuses on the final, stepping-off component, tracing what happened to LS members who moved to SE England between 1966 and 1971 and finding that most of those who had left the SE by 2001 had done so by 1981 and seem to have followed a similar social mobility trajectory as those who stayed. The second test relates to the first two components and points out that not everyone managed to gain from stepping onto the escalator, with a hard core experiencing downward mobility. The third study (undertaken with colleagues at the ESRC's Spatial Economics Research Centre and now nearing completion) is primarily aimed at discovering whether any of the other major agglomerations in England comes close to rivalling London as an escalator, using an urban rather than regional geography and leading to results that raise, among others, the question as to how much of any upward mobility by in-migrants occurred at the time of the move as opposed to resulting from time spent on the escalator after the move.
Associated Downloads
/docs/old/Tony Champion ER Updated Powerpoint.ppt
/docs/old/How_far_do_Englands_second_order_cities_emulate_London_as_human_capital_escalators.pdf
Wednesday, April 24th 2013
The Second Demographic Transition theory 25 years on: predictions, interpretations and controversies. (Seminars and lectures)
Ron Lesthaeghe, Population Studies Center, Belgium
The Dome, New Register House
Wednesday, April 24th 2013
10.30am-3.30pm
TBC
Tuesday, April 23rd 2013
Quality assurance in the census - with a focus on demographic outputs. (Seminars and lectures)
Celia McIntyre, National Records of Scotland
School 1, St Salvator's Quad, University of St Andrews
Tuesday, April 23rd 2013
2pm-4pm
TBC
Tuesday, April 23rd 2013
Is the 2nd Demographic Transition just a North-West European idiosyncrasy? (Seminars and lectures)
Ron Lesthaeghe, Population Studies Center, Belgium
School 1, St Salvator's Quad, University of St Andrews
Tuesday, April 23rd 2013
2pm-4pm
TBC
Thursday, April 4th 2013
Overview of key demographic statistics and latest results (Seminars and lectures)
National Records of Scotland
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, April 4th 2013
12.30-2.00pm
The presentation will cover key areas of interest for population researchers:
-Vital Events
-Population and Migration
-Household estimates
-Beyond 2011
Thursday, March 21st 2013
The convergence of completed fertility for migrant generations (Seminars and lectures)
Ben Wilson, London School of Economics
University of Southampton 58/1009
Thursday, March 21st 2013
3pm
Previous research has attempted to test migrant fertility convergence, but has failed to define this concept in detail, or develop an agreed methodology. This may explain why the literature on convergence remains fragmented, with a confusing array of competing hypotheses and explanations. After reviewing alternative definitions of convergence, this paper compares convergence (towards native fertility levels) within, between, and across migrant generations. Unlike much previous research, completed fertility is used, which allows particular hypotheses to be isolated, and avoids the results being confounded due to birth timing differentials. Completed fertility is estimated using recently released data for the UK, and the analysis makes use of negative binomial regression models. In aggregate, the results show evidence of convergence between, within, and across generations, thereby supporting the adaptation hypothesis. However, analysis by ancestral origin shows that evidence of convergence is highly dependent the definition of convergence that is used. For the cohorts of UK women analysed here, this is most notable for women from Bangladesh, New Zealand, Canada, Australia and the USA. However, there is fairly strong evidence of adaptation for women from Ireland and Jamaica, and of cultural entrenchment for South Asian migrants. These conclusions remain unchanged after considering social characteristics (i.e. comparing to a more similar the native benchmark), but the results for men show noticeably differences, particularly for first generation adult migrants.
Thursday, March 21st 2013
Fiscal Revenues and Commitment in Immigration Amnesties (Seminars and lectures)
Giuseppe Russo, Universita di Salerno and Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance
University of Southampton, 58/1041
Thursday, March 21st 2013
4pm
This is a joint CPC and Economics seminar
Reasons to grant immigration amnesties include the intention to reduce
the weight of the informal sector and the attempt to identify employers
of undocumented workers. However, it is incontestable that potential
fiscal gains are important: tax revenues are crucial in all kinds
of amnesties. Nevertheless, over the last 30 years 24% of applications
have been rejected. It is still unexplained why governments accept this
loss of fiscal base. We argue that applying for amnesty is basically self-incrimination,
and that immigration-averse governments have an incentive
to exploit the applications to identify and expel illegal workers. In our
Nash equilibrium only applicants with the highest income are granted
amnesty, and the poorest immigrants do not apply. Thus, fiscal revenues
are sub-optimal and amnesties are an inefficient way to make illegal workers
come forward.
Thursday, March 7th 2013
Changing Attitudes towards Marriage, Cohabitation, and Non-marital Childbearing in Eastern and Western Germany (Seminars and lectures)
Andreas Klarner, University of Rostock
University of Southampton 58/2097
Thursday, March 7th 2013
3pm
Germany, with its differences between east and west, is a special case regarding the diffusion of more diverse, non-traditional family patterns and different underlying motives and social norms. During socialist times until 1989 non-marital childbearing was socially more accepted in the GDR than in the western, capitalist FRG, and non-marital childbearing was more widespread in the GDR than in the FRG. Even today there are still significant and persisting differences, e.g., couples in eastern Germany are less likely to be married than in western Germany when the first child is born, and they are more likely to remain unmarried after family formation. In order to address different social norms about non-traditional family arrangements we use qualitative focus group discussions. We conducted sixteen focus groups with male and female respondents from different social strata in eastern and western Germany in 2012. Each focus group lasted ca. 90 minutes and respondents discussed issues such as the meaning of marriage, stigmatization of non-marital childbirths etc. In this talk I will present results from these focus groups, which will give insights to general social norms about marriage, non-marital childbearing, and cohabitation.
Friday, March 1st 2013
Active Ageing in CIS Countries: Semantics, Challenges, and Responses (Seminars and lectures)
Alexandre Sidorenko, European Centre for Social Welfare Policy and Research
University of Southampton 58/1009
Friday, March 1st 2013
3pm
This is a joint CPC and Centre for Research on Ageing seminar
The twelve countries of the former Soviet Union constitute a unique geo-political group. These countries are different in many aspects: demographic, economic, and cultural, among others. Yet they share with each other a common political and social past. Consequently, they are facing similar, but not necessarily identical, challenges of transition, including the demographic transition.
In many CIS countries, the notion of "active ageing" has a negative connotation: it is associated with the term "accelerated ageing". The latter term is understood to be an individual living a life under harsh living conditions, which, in turn, leads to a premature ageing at both individual and societal level.
While semantics is distinctive, the policy measures on ageing in the CIS countries are compatible with the major international policy frameworks. In spite of political uncertainties, lack of societal consensus and financial instability, the CIS countries in the same spirit as the European Year 2012 of Active Ageing and Solidarity between Generations, have initiated sectoral programmes towards enhancing employment of older workers, promoting participation of older people in the society and supporting their health and independent living.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, January 31st 2013
Active Ageing Index 2012: Results for 27 EU Member States (Seminars and lectures)
Asghar Zaidi, Centre for Research on Ageing / CPC, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/1009
Thursday, January 31st 2013
1pm
A joint Centre for Research on Ageing (CRA), CPC and Care Life Cycle (CLC) seminar.
'Active Ageing Index' is a research project by the European Commission's DG for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion together with the UN Economic Commission for Europe, and the European Centre Vienna, within the framework of the 2012 European Year for Active Ageing and Solidarity between Generations and during the 10th anniversary of the 2nd World Assembly on Ageing. The project aims to provide policymakers with a new tool (namely: the Active Ageing Index, AAI) that will highlight various areas for policy interventions across European countries in relation to promoting active and healthy ageing in its multifaceted ways. The AAI makes use of a dashboard of indicators, organised under four different domains: Employment of older workers; Social activity and participation of older people; Independent and autonomous living of older persons; and Capacity and age-friendly enabling environment for active and healthy ageing. In effect, it shows the extent to which older people have and can realise their potential with respect to employment, health, independent and self-reliant living and other unpaid family, social and cultural contributions to the society.The AAI will be available online and it has been designed as a comparative tool tracking progress over time. Thus, the Index aims to help shape future research and policy agendas and influence how existing large-scale comparative data-sets can be further developed to address the impact of population ageing by following the policy discourse of active ageing and solidarity between generations. The coverage of the AAI will also be extended in the near future to the member states of the UNECE that are not part of the EU27.
To undertake this project in the most rigorous manner, the UNECE and the European Commission worked with a team of advisors. Advisors are distinguished international experts in active ageing and intergenerational relationships from UNECE, European Commission, OECD and academia as well as from EUROSTAT and the national statistical agencies, as well as representatives from policymaking bodies of national governments and civil society. The Expert Group and the three project partners have worked together to obtain transparent numerical results for 27 EU countries and other UNECE member States by the end of 2012. The work has also benefitted from discussions of the preliminary AAI results at various high level international events, such as the World Demographic and Ageing Forum (August 2012) and the UNECE Ministerial Conference on Ageing in Vienna (September 2012). Also, in the future, with progress in data availability and further improvements in concept and methodology, the AAI will continue to make improvements in its scope and country coverage.
The work reported at this CRA/CPC/CLC seminar will present the results for 27 EU member States on individual active ageing indicators, which have been aggregated into a gender-specific index. The presentation will also describe the methodology used and the essential insights drawn from the discussions on conceptual considerations of incorporating the life course perspective and prospective ageing. Most notably, the discussion will also seek to identify future areas of research work to be pursued at ageing/gerontology division of School of Social Sciences, in the area of active and healthy ageing.
Note: This research was undertaken by the research team at European Centre Vienna, in collaboration with the UNECE and the European Commission. Coordinated by Asghar Zaidi, Professor of International Social Policy, Centre for Research on Ageing/ ESRC Centre for Population Change, Social Sciences, University of Southampton, UK.
Wednesday, January 23rd 2013
Understanding social networks at the Centre for Population Change (Seminars and lectures)
Scott Tindall, CPC and University of Edinburgh
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Wednesday, January 23rd 2013
12.30pm
TBC
Thursday, January 17th 2013
First steps from a micro towards a multi-level approach in demography (Seminars and lectures)
Sabine Zinn, NEPS (National Educational Panel Study), University of Bamberg
University of Southampton 58/2097
Thursday, January 17th 2013
3pm
A joint CPC and Care Life Cycle (CLC) seminar.
To realistically describe individual behavior, demographic microsimulation has to consider the effect of inter-individual interaction. For example, in the majority of cases the decision to have children depends not only on the woman, but also on the potential father, and presumably additionally on the social network of both. Individual interaction patterns are usually ignored within demographic microsimulations. The only type of inter-individual linkage that has been considered in microsimulation models so far is demographic kinship. However, when modeling kin at this level mostly very simplifying and therefore distorting assumptions are put. For example, in nearly all cases characteristics of members of kin groups are stated to be uncorrelated, which is an assumption that is simply wrong. No general modeling or simulation technique exists that accounts for correlation between linked lives in a microsimulation. To give an example: many microsimulation models incorporate a marriage market to perform mate-matching. However, after a couple has been matched, the subsequent modeling and simulation of the individuals forming the couple is not clear: in the literature neither a stochastic model of the joint behavior of paired individuals is described, nor related simulation algorithms are discussed.In this talk I propose a way to extend a continuous-time microsimulation model to tackle this shortcoming. I introduce a simulation model and related simulation techniques to account for interdependencies between the life-courses of spouses of (heterosexual) partnerships. That is, I restrict my consideration to binary linkages. The construction of interaction networks comprising more than two individuals is straightforward from a pure technical point of view: binary links between all interacting individuals make up a complete graph mapping an interaction network. I propose to model couple behavior by considering both spouses of a pair jointly. The capability of the novel microsimulation is illustrated using a simplified example that aims at forecasting the contemporary Dutch population. Here I analyze partnership stability and the individual propensity to quit smoking, considering dual- and single-smoker couples.
Thursday, December 6th 2012
Single Motherhood and Child Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Life Course Perspective (Seminars and lectures)
Shelley Clark, McGill University, Canada
University of Southampton 58/4121
Thursday, December 6th 2012
13.15pm
This is a joint Global Health Population, Poverty and Policy (GHP3) and Centre for Population Change (CPC) seminar.
Much of Shelley's research examines how adolescents in sub-Saharan Africa make key transitions to adulthood in the midst of an on-going HIV/AIDS epidemic. In particular, her work has focused on how the transition into marriage shapes the risks of HIV/AIDS among young women in sub-Saharan Africa. She finds that for adolescent girls in many African countries, marriage does not provide a safe haven, showing instead that married adolescent girls are acutely vulnerable with respect to HIV. Additional research demonstrates how the process of searching for and finding a suitable spouse places both adolescent boys and girls at considerable risk. Through her current collaborative project with colleagues in Kenya, Burkina Faso, and South Africa, she is exploring the implications of single motherhood on women's poverty and children's health over the life course. Her findings have been published in over 20 articles in leading journals, such as Demography, Social Forces, and Journal of Marriage and Family, and presented to policy makers at influential international organizations, including the World Bank, WHO, UNFPA/UNICEF, and the Population Council.Friday, November 30th 2012
'Activity and engagement effects on ageing cognition' and 'Statistical methods for computer experiments' (Seminars and lectures)
Carol Holland and Alexis Boukouvalas, Aston Research Centre for Healthy Ageing
University of Southampton 58/4121
Friday, November 30th 2012
12.45pm
This is a joint Care Life Cycle, Centre for Research on Ageing, and Centre for Population Change seminar.
Dr Carol Holland, Director of ARCHA, will present on 'Activity and engagement effects on ageing cognition'. Abstract: Aston Research Centre for Healthy Ageing was set up to bring together Aston scientists across disciplines to work together on challenges in ageing research, based on the premise that we will only make further progress when we work together, applying a range of expertise in a complementary fashion. ARCHA's aims furthermore include working with policy makers, health service, community and business to have a real impact on older adults' lives, and specifically to include older adults in both research and impact planning. This talk will introduce ARCHA and a summary of how it all fits together. Given the centrality of cognition to successful ageing, for example, in terms of being able to plan and compensate for other functional losses, or in terms of predicting frailty and loss of independence, the talk will then review recent advances in prevention and rehabilitation of such losses. We will then summarise two ARCHA studies that aim to use these insights to work on predicting outcomes of physical, social and intellectual engagement interventions or behaviours on outcome quality of life and health indices.Dr Alexis Boukouvalas, Research Fellow at ARCHA, will present on 'Statistical methods for computer experiments'.Abstract: In this talk, we describe the application of statistical methods on the analysis of computer models. There is a large literature on computer experiments for deterministic models and we describe how it can be extended to stochastic systems. We motivate our methodology by tackling the problem of calibrating a stochastic traffic simulation model. Utilising fast surrogate models, known as emulators, we minimise the number of simulator runs required and speed-up the analysis. We describe heteroscedastic emulators where the simulator response is assumed to be normally distributed but the variance is allowed to depend on the inputs. We present a model-based experimental strategy to optimally learn the parameters of a heteroscedastic emulator. For cases where the normality assumption is too restrictive, we present the quantile emulator where quantiles of the response are directly modelled.
We conclude by demonstrating the utilisation of the emulators in a calibration analysis of a stochastic traffic simulator model. Using an iterative design approach, we show how the parameters that lead to plausible simulator output are progressively better identified.
Wednesday, November 28th 2012
Geographical context and fertility in Britain (Seminars and lectures)
Francesca Fiori, Elspeth Graham and Zhiqiang Feng, CPC and University of St Andrews
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Wednesday, November 28th 2012
12.30pm
TBC
Monday, November 26th 2012
Housing, horses, movement and mortality; child loss in Scotland, Ireland and England 1891-1911 (Seminars and lectures)
Eilidh Garrett, University of Cambridge and University of St Andrews
St Andrews University Irvine Lecture Theatre
Monday, November 26th 2012
4pm
This is a joint CPC/Scottish Longitudinal Study seminar. The 1911 censuses of England and Wales, Scotland and Ireland all included questions on fertility and child loss. Until recently the individual responses given to these questions were only available for Ireland. This paper will discuss work undertaken on the censuses and street directories of the 1901-1911 decade for the city of Belfast looking at the relationship between housing, the proximity of health hazards, such as stables, and infant mortality. One of the questions investigated was whether the movement of the population of married couples into and around the city may distort our understanding of the interactions between hazards and health. The paper will examine our findings for Belfast, and will outline how we propose to extend this work to build on our previous research on the towns of Kilmarnock in Scotland and Ipswich in England.
Thursday, November 15th 2012
Beating the odds: family poverty, family instability and children's adjustment, evidence from the Millenium Cohort Study (Seminars and lectures)
Ingrid Schoon, Department of Quantitative Social Science, Institute of Education
University of Southampton 58/1007
Thursday, November 15th 2012
3pm
The paper will examine the factors and processes that promote adjustment of young children, especially those growing up in circumstances of family poverty and instability. Using data from the first three sweeps of the Millennium Cohort Study (undertaken at child ages 9 months, 3 years and 5 years), it will begin by outlining the levels of economic hardship (equivalised net household income less than 60% of national median income) faced by young children in contemporary Britain, and the nature and stability of the family settings over the three waves of observation. We then assess the association of these factors with indicators of children's cognitive development (directly assessed using the British Ability Scales) and emotional/behavioural adjustment (carer-rated using the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire) at age 5 years. In the next step we examine cumulative risk exposure, taking into account a number of interlinked risks (i.e. low education, employment status, housing conditions, parental mental health) and assess the role of potential protective factors and processes reducing the negative effects of specific and cumulative risk exposure for young children. The experience of early and cumulative risk exposure significantly undermines the cognitive and behavioural adjustment of children at age 5. Protective factors, reducing the negative risk effects of specific as well as cumulative disadvantage include warm and supportive parent-child interactions, use of childcare, as well as support from and interactions with a wider social network. Implications of our findings for policy makers are discussed.
Wednesday, October 24th 2012
Labour market segmentation in the Swedish welfare state: Evidence of a migrant division of labour? (Seminars and lectures)
Robert Macpherson, University of St Andrews and Umea University
Room 1/G/8, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Wednesday, October 24th 2012
12.30pm
While a vast body of literature concerning migrant and ethnic divisions of labour is evident in the UK and the US, in Sweden where increasing immigrant numbers have coincided with their decreasing economic integration, less attention has been given to the particular sectors in which they work. Inspired by the work of Wills et al. (2010) who argue that there is a new migrant division of labour in London as a result of increased immigration and occupational polarisation, this study aims to address the following research questions: 1) is there a migrant division of labour in Sweden? 2) has the division of labour changed as a result of recession? 3) is there a geography to the division of labour that is evident in terms of urban versus rural labour markets? and, 4) is there evidence to suggest that the geography has changed over time? Using individual register data for the working-age population during three different economic periods, the analysis suggest that there is a division of labour based along immigrant groups with a geographical distinction between urban and rural areas. However, while long-term structural processes appear to have changed this, the impacts of the recent recession are less clear.
Thursday, October 18th 2012
British Indians & Indian Americans. Drawing parallels between second generation return migrants to India in their motivations to return (Seminars and lectures)
Priya Khambhaita, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/4121
Thursday, October 18th 2012
3pm
UK emigration has received relatively little consideration when compared to the amount of research conducted on immigration (Sriskandarajah and Drew 2006). This paper is an evaluation of existing literature on second generation American and British Indians in terms of how youth and childhood experiences fare in narratives of motivations to return to India. How might narratives of motivation for British Indians relate to their Indian American counterparts? What parallels can be drawn from the youth and childhood experiences of British Indians and the experiences of American Indians in their narratives of motivations to return? Academic discussion of second generation Indians in America is in the early stages. However, this is the first paper to highlight second generation return migration amongst Indians in the British context and offer some indication on how return American and British Indians might correlate. Many of the experiences American Indians draw upon when making sense of their motivations for returning to India are also experienced by British Indians. These include being involved with Indian cultural activities from childhood and having a greater interaction during early adulthood with people from the same cultural background. There are also differences however between the two groups. These relate to a lack of direct familial links that East African British Indians have to India as a result of being thrice migrants. In light of this, the paper highlights an important need for further empirical research on British Indian second generation returnees, especially when considering the complexity of relations with India amongst thrice migrants.
Associated Downloads
/docs/old/P_Khambhaita_second_generation_return_migration_to_India.pdf
Tuesday, June 19th 2012
Work on families at the Office for National Statistics (Seminars and lectures)
Karen Gask, Office for National Statistics (ONS)
University of Southampton 58/1009
Tuesday, June 19th 2012
3pm
The families team at the Office for National Statistics (ONS) is charged with meeting the needs of users of statistics on families and households. This seminar describes the work of the team over the past year, including:
• the development of an annual set of statistics on families
• the successful assessment of the statistics against the code of practice for official statistics, and
• smaller projects meeting specific customer needs.
Planned future work on families at ONS will also be described and attendees are invited to comment on what they see as the priorities for work in this area.
In April 2011, the Office for National Statistics published a new set of statistics on families in the UK between 2001 and 2010, and this was updated for 2011 in January 2012. This seminar describes the key trends in the statistics on families by family type. Types of family include married couple families, cohabiting couple families and lone parent families. Specific analyses such as lone parents and young adults living with parents are also discussed.
The intended future work programme of the families team is also discussed, including planning analysis on families statistics from the 2011 Census.
Users of ONS' families statistics are encouraged to provide feedback on recent and future work.
Associated Downloads
Friday, June 15th 2012
An introduction to some studies of long-term mortality changes and health impact of environmental conditions in East Asia (Seminars and lectures)
Zhongwei Zhao, Australian National University
National Records of Scotland (Edinburgh)
Friday, June 15th 2012
TBC
Thursday, May 17th 2012
Living abroad and returning home: young Indian migrants in London and in Gujarat (Seminars and lectures)
Mario Rutten, Department of Sociology and Anthropology, University of Amsterdam
University of Southampton 58/1007
Thursday, May 17th 2012
2pm-4pm
This special seminar will start with a screening of Prof Mario Rutten's anthropological documentary on Indian young people living in London. The title of the documentary is 'Living Like a Common Man'. Following the documentary from 3pm-4pm, Prof Rutten will deliver a presentation about the research, including a questions and answers session. The abstract for Prof. Rutten's seminar is as follows: Based on long-term research in London and Gujarat, I examine the contradictory migration experiences of Indian middle-class youth who moved abroad on a student or temporary work visa, and who recently returned to their home village in Gujarat. Like many of their peers in developing countries, they dreamed of going to the West to earn money, to study and to get experience in a foreign country to improve their prospects at home. Once abroad, however, they ended up in low-status, semi-skilled jobs to cover their expenses, and lived in small guesthouses crammed with newly arrived migrants. Part of these temporary migrants manage to extend their visa and to apply for permanent residency, while others return to their home region after several years. Why did these youngsters leave India and go abroad, and what do they and their families get by moving abroad? Why do some of them come back to stay in India and what are their experiences after returning to their home village?
Associated Downloads
Friday, May 11th 2012
Has parental influence on young adults declined? A longitudinal study of families and religion (Seminars and lectures)
Vern Bengtson, University of California
University of Southampton 58/4121
Friday, May 11th 2012
12pm
A joint CPC, Care Life Cycle (CLC) and Centre for Research on Ageing (CRA) seminar
Thursday, April 19th 2012
Economic recession and fertility: past evidence and recent trends (Seminars and lectures)
Tomas Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) / Austrian Academy of Sciences and Wittgenstein Centre for Demography & Global Human Capital
New Register House, Edinburgh
Thursday, April 19th 2012
11am
Wednesday, April 18th 2012
Is policy succeeding? Gender differences in national pensions in Korea (Seminars and lectures)
MiYoung An, Kookmin University
University of Southampton 58/4121
Wednesday, April 18th 2012
11am
A joint CPC, Care Life Cycle (CLC) and Centre for Research on Ageing (CRA) seminar
Friday, April 13th 2012
Migration and climate change: an agent-based approach (Seminars and lectures)
Dominic Kniveton, University of Sussex
University of Southampton 02/2043
Friday, April 13th 2012
1pm
A joint CPC and Care Life Cycle seminar.
Tuesday, March 27th 2012
Men on becoming fathers: preliminary findings from qualitative research with fathers of two (Seminars and lectures)
Sharani Osborn, Centre for Research on Families and Relationships, University of Edinburgh
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Tuesday, March 27th 2012
12.30pm
Thursday, March 22nd 2012
People with two places of residence: who are they? why should we care? (Seminars and lectures)
Laurent Toulemon, Institut national d'etudes demographiques (INED)
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Thursday, March 22nd 2012
3pm
Usually, and especially for census purposes, people are considered to be members of one and only one household. Nevertheless, some people have more than one usual residence. I will discuss first how to define these situations of "commuting between households", and how to identify those commuters (period of time considered, definition of a usual residence). In France many surveys conducted by the national institute of statistics (INSEE) include a standard list of residents including all household members who spend at least one month per year in a residence, with some questions on their other places of residence. In survey samples, the prevalence is around 7% of people in private households; 10% of households include at least one person who has a second residence.
Taking double counting into account, the prevalence at the individual level is between 3% and 4%, with a peak frequency at 20 years of age and a secondary mode at ages 55-75, but without major differences between men and women. The family situations related to multiple residence are very diverse, and are strongly associated with age. I will give some examples of family situations for which we not only need to correct the weights, but also to consider all the places of residence in order to describe the current situation accurately: children whose parents are separated, adults living alone.
Finally, I will show that many of our usual statistics become problematic when we want to include multiple residences explicitly, at the individual level or for some other social units (siblings, couple, household, etc.). Going back to the issue of data collection, I will present a new survey carried out within the 2011 French census that includes questions on multiple residence similar to those usually included in household surveys.
Associated Downloads
Friday, March 16th 2012
Thoughts on the Unfinished Agenda for Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights (Seminars and lectures)
Sara Seims, Population & Reproductive Health David and Lucile Packard Foundation
University of Southampton 58/1009
Friday, March 16th 2012
3pm
A joint CPC and Social Statistics & Demography seminar.
2014 will mark the end of the 20 year Programme of Action of the Cairo International Conference on Population and Development. In 2015, new development cooperation goals will be set as the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) time frame also expires. During this period, there has been tangible progress in the sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR) of women and men but this advancement has been greater for some aspects of SRHR than for others . In addition, there remain serious inequities in SRHR around the world. As donors and developing country governments gear up to set goals for the post-MDG era, what should be the priorities for SRHR? Sara Seims, a veteran of the field and currently Senior Advisor for Population and Reproductive Health of the Packard Foundation, will share her thoughts on this question and propose some different ways in which donors and developing country governments can structure their aid agreements to improve the chances that these new priorities will be taken seriously.
Monday, March 12th 2012
The relatively high fertility of the English-speaking countries (Seminars and lectures)
Peter McDonald, Australian National University
New Register House, Edinburgh
Monday, March 12th 2012
11am
TBC
Friday, March 9th 2012
The Pinch: How the baby boomers took their children's future and why they should give it back (Seminars and lectures)
Rt.Hon. David Willetts MP
University of Southampton 37/Senate room
Friday, March 9th 2012
12.30pm
In his recent book the Rt.Hon Davit Willetts MP examines how demographic changes over the past 50 years have impacted on inter-generational relations. He argues that the baby boomer generation (born in the period 1646-1965), through their sheer demographic size, have dominated the cultural, economic and political landscape and that this dominance risks being at the expense of their children. As the large cohort of baby boomers enter retirement and are replaced by a smaller working age population, this group will be "taxed more, work longer hours for less money, have lower social mobility and live in a degraded environment in order to pay for their parents quality of life". Thus he proposes that the baby boomers have "stolen their children's future" and puts forward a range of solutions as to how they can "give it back".
David's lecture will be of interest to anyone interested in public policy and fairness between the generations.
Thursday, March 8th 2012
Gifts, loans and intergenerational support towards the costs of living independently in young adulthood (Seminars and lectures)
Sue Heath, Morgan Centre for the Study of Relationships and Personal Life, University of Manchester
University of Southampton, 58/1007
Thursday, March 8th 2012
1pm
Amidst rising housing costs and restricted employment opportunities in the UK, younger generations are increasingly dependent on their families for material and financial support to offset the costs of living independently, including (but not confined to) their housing costs. Such exchanges involve complex intergenerational negotiations relating to status obligations and responsibilities, indebtedness and gratitude, dependency and independence, fairness and equality. This paper explores these issues from the perspective of a group of single young adults aged 25 to 34 who were involved in CPC-funded research on their housing pathways (based on qualitative interviews conducted in 2010). The paper will outline the nature of these exchanges and will then explore how these forms of assistance are understood by those in receipt of them, focusing in particular on whether they are viewed as loans or as gifts, and with what perceived consequences. We conclude that the uneasy co-existence of gratitude and discomfort experienced by many of our research participants was managed but by no means resolved by strategies which sought to blur the boundaries between gifts and loans.
Associated Downloads
Tuesday, March 6th 2012
Obesity in developing countries: what do we learn from 244 Demographic and Health Surveys? (Seminars and lectures)
Marc Suhrcke, University of East Anglia
University of Southampton 58/1039
Tuesday, March 6th 2012
3pm
A joint CPC and Population Health University Strategic Research Group seminar.
Obesity and overweight are spreading fast in developing countries, and has reached world record levels in some of them. Precisely capturing the size, patterns and trends of the problem has, however, been severely hampered by the lack of comparable micro data in low and middle income countries. To overcome this deficit we use the wealth of 244 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) for 56 countries over the years 1991-2008. The DHS data has so far primarily been used to measure traditional health problems in developing countries, e.g. HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and other nutritional deficiencies. We use the data to establish selected stylized facts about overweight and obesity and to examine a number of widely held notions that have hiterto typically not been submitted to empirical scrutiny.
Wednesday, February 29th 2012
Migration in the context of global environmental change: threat or opportunity (Seminars and lectures)
Allan Findlay, University of St Andrews, Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton and Richard Black, University of Sussex
University of St Andrews
Wednesday, February 29th 2012
12.30pm
TBC
Friday, February 24th 2012
Sustainability and adequacy of pensions in EU countries. A cross-national perspective (Seminars and lectures)
Asghar Zaidi, European Centre for Social Welfare Policy & Research
University of Southampton 58/3017
Friday, February 24th 2012
11am
A joint CPC and Centre for Research on Ageing Seminar.
Although shocks to global economic systems caused by the financial near meltdowns in 2008 and 2009 have receded, the effects will remain with us for decades to come. National economies are now saddled with structural debts, partly as a result of policy choices made over the boom years and partly in pursuing (the unavoidable) expansionary policies during the recession. The effect of unemployment as well as the cutbacks required for budgetary consolidations on the vulnerable groups of the society, particularly children and pensioners but also people with disabilities, could run deep. Such questions as were asked by Paul Gauguin at the turn of 19th century - D'ou Venons Nous / Que Sommes Nous / Ou Allons Nous (Where Do We Come From? What Are We? Where Are We Going?) - are particularly pertinent for EU's policymakers in the current times. It is now the time to carefully frame the answers to his third question - our future direction, and the welfare of our pensioners in the 2040s, 2050s and onwards. While recognising that each of the European countries will have its own approaches, there is a need to ensure that its processes are based on sound economic, financial and fiscal fundamentals. And also, the pension system elements are properly planned and executed, having learned useful lessons from the crisis. A review of fundamentals is also essential especially in making a fresh assessment of the social objectives aimed at in the pension policy, and to re-examine whether, and how, recent policy reforms compromise the pension income adequacy of future retirees, and what policies can potentially improve both the fiscal sustainability of public pension systems and the adequacy of pension incomes for future pensioners.
The shape and design of future pension policy, and how that policy will be influenced by choices made now in response to the current fiscal crisis and impending population ageing challenges will impede the welfare of future pensioners, will be discussed in this presentation. The presentation will come in five parts. Part 1 will set the context by highlighting sustainability challenges arising from population ageing, and the financial, fiscal, and economic crises. Part 2 will analyse the aggregate impact of pension reforms, using the indicator 'Benefit Ratio' (average public pensions as a ratio of average economy-wide wage), as calculated by the Working Group on Ageing of the EU's Economic Policy Committee, for the period 2007-2060. Part 3 will extend the discussion on pension income adequacy by examining how pension reforms have reshaped the structure of pension systems across EU countries. These impact?of?pension reforms results are derived from the simulations for stylised workers, undertaken by OECD in 2009. The next part (Part 4) will present micro evidence on changes in the entitlement of public pension income during the period 2006?2046. The indicator in use is the net 'Theoretical Replacement Rate', as provided by the Indicators Sub?Group of the EU's Social Protection Committee. Like OECD calculations, it is calculated for stylised workers, approximating impact of pension reforms for the income entitlement of future retirees. Part 5's concluding summary will discuss policy challenges that EU countries face going forward, with a focus on pension policy challenges as well as the fiscal and labour market policy.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, January 26th 2012
Who Cares for Whom? Rural Ageing, Migration and Networks of Informal Care (Seminars and lectures)
Alasdair Rutherford, University of Stirling
University of Southampton 58/1065
Thursday, January 26th 2012
3pm
A joint CPC and Third Sector Research Centre seminar.
Care for older people is a complex phenomenon. With an ageing population, it is also an area of pressing policy concern. In this Centre For Population Change (CPC) project we are examining how older people and their families make decisions about informal care, including housing, location, roles, and formal care choices. The project uses both quantitative and qualitative data. In this paper we argue that the complexity of care relationships, and the endogeneity of decision making in health care, social care, informal care and household formation, pose significant problems for the analysis of care choices. The analysis of caring relationships as a network, rather than as one-to-one, provides an opportunity to examine some of these issues. We illustrate an example of building care networks using an existing quantitative data source, and describe the characteristics of these informal care networks. The nature of the relationships in caring networks is then explored further using qualitative data gathered from two fieldwork areas in the UK, where both informal carers and carees were interviewed. We show that there are significant issues for informal care around migration, housing, information, expectations, and the social norms of caring.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, January 19th 2012
Female education, labour markets and fertility outcomes: tempo and quantum of first births in Belgium between 1960 and 2000 (Seminars and lectures)
Karel Neels, University of Antwerp
University of Southampton 58/4121
Thursday, January 19th 2012
2pm
A joint CPC and Social Statistics & Demography seminar.
After two decades of low fertility throughout the 1980s and the 1990s, the period TFR in Belgium increased from 1.56 children in 1995 to 1.85 in 2008. This recent recovery of the period TFR coincides with a slowing down in the pace of fertility postponement, but also with a marked decline in unemployment rates since the mid 1990s. In this paper we combine contextual data on economic growth and labour market conditions with individual-level maternity history data from the 2001 census to document the tempo-quantum interplay in Belgian fertility trends between 1960 and 2000. More specifically, we illustrate how rising female educational attainment and labour force participation in a context of limited economic and employment growth between the early 1970s and 1995 gave rise to excess labour supply and an unprecedented increase in unemployment rates. The results indicate that labour market conditions are more strongly correlated to variation in first birth hazards than more general economic indicators such as GDP-growth. Rising unemployment negatively affects first birth hazards at younger ages and this effect is found to be more articulated among higher educated women. The results also provide empirical support for recuperation of fertility after age 30 net of prevailing labour market conditions, particularly among women with tertiary education. Such recuperation effects account for the larger degree of stability in (lagged) cohort fertility indicators during the period considered. The results for Belgium suggest that access to stable employment in economically adverse times is an important condition to reduce period variation in fertility levels over and above policies that ease the work-family conflict. In an epilogue the Belgian results are put in perspective by considering female labour force participation, labour market conditions and fertility trends for a larger set of European countries.
Associated Downloads
Friday, December 9th 2011
Estimating Population Change from Repeated Surveys (Seminars and lectures)
Yves Berger, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/1007
Friday, December 9th 2011
3pm
Measuring change over time is a central problem for many users of social, economic and demographic data and is of interest in many areas of economics and social sciences. Smith et al. (2003 JRSS-D) recognised that assessing change is one of the most important challenges in survey statistics. The primary interest of many users is often in changes or trends from one time period to another. A common problem is to compare two cross-sectional estimates for the same study variable taken on two different waves or occasions, and to judge whether the observed change is statistically significant. This involves the estimation of the sampling variance of the estimator of change. Estimation of this variance would be relatively straightforward if cross-sectional estimates were based upon the same sample. Unfortunately, cross-sectional estimates are calculated from not completely overlapping samples of units, because of rotations used in repeated surveys. We show how multivariate regression could be used to estimate the variance of change between cross-sectional estimates.
Tuesday, December 6th 2011
Embodying the 'good' migrant: the imagination and production of the ideal Latvian worker (Seminars and lectures)
David McCollum, University of St Andrews
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Tuesday, December 6th 2011
12:30pm
Powerful actors such as employers, recruitment agencies and policymakers exert considerable influence on the nature of labour migration flows. This paper focuses on the characteristics that these actors judge to constitute the ideal migrant worker and how these interpretations shape the recruitment practices that collectively form the observable patterns of labour migration flows. The focus of this analysis is on Latvia, a country that has experienced a dramatic recent turnaround in its economic fortunes and that now has a very high emigration rate. The findings suggest that employers, recruitment agencies and policymakers hold precise expectations of who and what the ideal migrant worker is. These imaginings shape the decisions made about the types of workers that are sought after and the recruitment strategies that are used to source them. These results are of theoretical significance as they shed light on how international labour migration flows are structured by powerful actors’ recruitment practices, which in turn are determined by their conceptions of the ideal (migrant) worker.
Friday, December 2nd 2011
Update on the Scottish Longitudinal Study (Seminars and lectures)
Chris Dibben, University of St Andrews
National Records of Scotland (Edinburgh) The Dome
Friday, December 2nd 2011
1pm
TBC
Thursday, November 17th 2011
Future British mortality prospects (Seminars and lectures)
Michael Murphy, LSE Health/Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science
University of Southampton 58/1009
Thursday, November 17th 2011
3pm
At present, verall age standardised mortality rates (both sexes combined) are improving at a historically unprecedented rate of about 2.5% per annum in England and Wales, but estimates are heavily influenced by patterns at ages where deaths are concentrated. The latest official ONS/GAD projections assume that mortality improvement will decline by more than 50% to a value of 1.2% per annum in about 25 years time (ONS, 2011).
There are divergent views about how mortality trends may evolve. For example, Olshansky et al (2005, p. 1142) argue that as a result of the substantial rise in the prevalence of obesity and its life-shortening complications such as diabetes, life expectancy at birth and at older ages could level off or even decline in the first half of the 21st century. On the other hand, Christensen et al (2009, p. 1139) state that most babies born today in high life expectancy countries will live at least 100 years if trends over the past two centuries continues through the 21st century.
In 2005, just over 50% of deaths in England and Wales occurred between ages 65 and 85, 56% for men and 45% for women, people born in the period 1925 to 1945, birth cohorts frequently referred to as the ?Golden generations? Who have been identified as having experienced especially high rates of improvement in mortality (Dunnell, 2008). Current British official mortality projections assume that these cohorts will continue to enjoy such advantages in years to come up to the highest ages but that as these cohorts are replaced in the main mortality age groups by less favoured cohorts, rates of mortality improvement will decline to the much lower level in decades to come (ONS, 2011). The magnitude of such effects and possible reasons for and against the expectation that they will are persist in years to come include: differences in smoking patterns; better diet and environmental conditions during and after the Second World War; differing birth rates; the introduction in the late 1940s of the Welfare State; and medical advances.
An Age-Period-Cohort (APC) model is used to estimate the contribution of smoking-related mortality to cohort changes in adult mortality in Britain since 1950. Lung cancer and overall mortality can be satisfactorily modelled by a cohort relative risk and fixed age pattern. The results of the model suggest that smoking by itself can account for a substantial fraction of cohort mortality change for those born around the first half of the Twentieth century. In particular, smoking provides an explanation for the higher than average mortality improvement of the ?Golden generations?. These results are compared with those of the Peto-Lopez and Preston-Glei-Wilmoth models that also estimate the contribution of smoking-related to overall mortality using different approaches.
Associated Downloads
Thursday, November 17th 2011
Migration, Mobility and its Impact on Socio-Demographic Processes: Moving on and moving up: The implications of socio-spatial mobility for union stability/dissolution (Seminars and lectures)
Marina Shapira, University of Edinburgh
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, November 17th 2011
12:30pm
TBC
Wednesday, November 2nd 2011
Multistate survival analysis with R (Seminars and lectures)
Frans Willekens, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)
University of Southampton 58/1009
Wednesday, November 2nd 2011
4pm
A joint CPC and Care Life Cycle seminar.
In multistate models for survival analysis, the life history is represented by a sequence of states and transitions between states. The history may be described in discrete or continuous time. In this presentation I consider histories in continuous time. The movements between states are governed by origin-destination specific transition intensities that vary with age and depend on current personal attributes, past experiences and contextual factors. Multistate models are used for explanation and prediction.
In the seminar I present the R package Biograph. The package was designed to help explore life history data (using descriptive statistics and graphics) and to facilitate the estimation of multistate models. It uses the graphical capabilities of R to visualize life histories of individuals and cohorts.
Biograph facilitates teaching multistate survival analysis. For instance, it has a utility to retrieve for subjects in the sample the observed life histories and the different types of episodes (open, closed; episodes ending in the event of interest, censored episodes) that are considered in the likelihood function. The display of life histories in a Lexis diagram is a powerful method for explaining multistate survival analysis from demographic and process points of view.
Biograph makes the estimation of multistate models more accessible. It prepares input data for packages for survival analysis (survival, eha) and specialized packages for multistate modelling (mvna, mstate and msm). Several packages for multistate modelling were recently presented in a special issue of Journal of Statistical Software (Vol, 38, Issue 1, January 2011) (www.jstatsoft.org). Biograph predicts life-course trajectories using the concepts of synthetic cohort and synthetic biography, which are also central in the life table.
The package is fully described in "Biograph. Multistate analysis of life histories with R" (forthcoming in the Use R! Series, Springer).
Associated Downloads
Thursday, October 20th 2011
A lifecourse perspective on the role of ethnicity in internal migration in young adulthood in Britain. (Seminars and lectures)
Nissa Finney, Cathie Marsh Centre for Census and Survey Research, University of Manchester
University of Southampton 58/1009
Thursday, October 20th 2011
3pm
Political concerns about ethnic integration and community cohesion over the last decade have reignited studies of ethnic geographies and processes of local ethnic group population change, particularly internal migration. This presentation will review the findings of this body of work on ethnic differences in residential mobility within Britain; present findings of analyses that examine the role of ethnicity in internal migration from a lifecourse perspective; and conclude by proposing theoretical and political priorities for this field and methodological challenges in bringing these priorities to fruition.
The presentation addresses the following questions: Are there ethnic differences in levels and geographies of residential mobility? Are key life events in young adulthood (study, partnership, children) differently associated with migration across ethnic groups? How do migration and housing experiences vary for Higher Education students of different ethnic groups? The presentation uses 2001 census microdata and Special Migration Statistics, commissioned Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA) data (2009-10) and early findings from pilot qualitative interviews.
The results show that ethnic differences in residential mobility exist and persist, after accounting for the demographic and socio-economic composition of ethnic groups. Geographical differences are also found, though there are commonalities in the geographical processes of migration (for example, suburbanisation). Migration is differently associated with partnership and study for White, Asian and Black young adults indicating differing residential norms in the transition to adulthood. For students, for example, the 'norm' of the mobile student applies only to White undergraduates.
Associated Downloads
Friday, September 16th 2011
Family networks and mobility - experiences from research on Swedish register data. (Seminars and lectures)
Gunnar Malmberg, University of Umea
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Friday, September 16th 2011
12:30pm
TBC
Thursday, September 1st 2011
Demographic Estimates and Projections Using Multiple Data Sources: A Bayesian Approach (Seminars and lectures)
John Bryant, Statistics New Zealand
University of Southampton 58/1065
Thursday, September 1st 2011
3pm
CPC Seminar Series: Our presentation describes a project to develop and implement a new Bayesian framework for population estimation and projection. At the core of the framework is a demographic account giving a complete description of births, deaths, migration, and population counts over the estimation and projection periods.
Sub-national population estimates and projections guide billions of dollars of public and private expenditure. Users of estimates and projections expect increasingly high levels of accuracy and detail. An obvious way of meeting these expectations is to use administrative data alongside more traditional data sources such as the census.
However, incorporating multiple data sources into population estimation and projection methods is difficult. Data sources are often inconsistent with one another or use incompatible demographic and geographic categories. Traditional methods such as the application of scaling factors break down when there is more than one relevant data source, or when errors in data do not follow simple patterns. There has also been limited research on the formal representation of uncertainty in sub-national estimates and projections.
Our presentation describes a project to develop and implement a new Bayesian framework for population estimation and projection. At the core of the framework is a demographic account giving a complete description of births, deaths, migration, and population counts over the estimation and projection periods. The framework consists of a system model and an observational model. The system model describes how the components of the demographic account change over time. It consists of Bayesian hierarchical models for births, deaths, migration, and population counts. The observational model predicts the contents of each of data source, such as the vital registration system, tax data, or the census, given the contents of the demographic accounts. For instance, it links migration numbers from the demographic account to numbers of changes of address in tax data. Missing data are easily handled. Estimation and projection are carried out together.
Inference is carried out using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The algorithm alternates between (i) updating the system model, given the demographic account; (ii) updating the observational model, given the data and the demographic account; and (iii) updating the demographic account given the system model, the observational model, and the data. Step (iii) is the most difficult. The source of the difficulties is the demographic accounting constraints, such as the constraint that population at the end of a period equals population at the beginning plus entries minus exits. Our approach has been to update small subsets of cells, randomly generating new entries that conform to the accounting constraints. The framework has some important advantages for statistical agencies. It imposes few constraints on the input data. Because it works on cell counts rather than individual records, it avoids many of the practical and legal difficulties that arise with administrative data. It provides indicators of uncertainty, for both estimates and projections. It offers the possibility of automating processes that are currently ad hoc and labour intensive.
Associated Downloads
Friday, August 19th 2011
Differentials in second birth rates by union type: a comparison across Europe and the United States (Seminars and lectures)
Brienna Perelli-Harris, University of Southampton
University of Southampton
Friday, August 19th 2011
3pm
TBC
Friday, August 12th 2011
HealthPaths Dynamics - Using Functional Health Trajectories to Quantify Impacts on Health-Adjusted Life Expectancy (HALE) in Canada (Seminars and lectures)
Michael Wolfson, University of Ottawa
University of Southampton
Friday, August 12th 2011
3pm
TBC
Friday, July 22nd 2011
A life course approach to high-skilled migration: migrant biographies of Indians in the Netherlands and United Kingdom (Seminars and lectures)
Anu Kou, University of Groningen
University of Southampton 58/2097
Friday, July 22nd 2011
2pm
Whereas a large body of literature concerns the economic macro-level contributions of highly skilled migrants, little is known about their micro-level behaviour that goes beyond the financial reasoning. We adopt a qualitative life course framework with a focus on the interdependencies of education, employment, household and migration trajectories to examine how highly skilled Indian migrants in the Netherlands and United Kingdom shape their life course. Our results draw from semi-structured biographic interviews and plotting of biographies as a projective technique. The preliminary findings suggest that timing of various life transitions and impact of linked lives play a major role in structuring the biographies of highly skilled Indian migrants. These qualitative results enable understanding the life course patterns that both constitute and are determined by high-skilled migration within the socio-economic and cultural context.
Associated Downloads
Tuesday, June 14th 2011
Intergenerational replacement and migration: European examples (Seminars and lectures)
Chris Wilson, University of St Andrews
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Tuesday, June 14th 2011
12:30pm
TBC
Friday, May 27th 2011
Going Solo Revisited: The dynamics of living alone at older ages in two Nairobi slums. (Seminars and lectures)
Jennifer Baird, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58 / 1023
Friday, May 27th 2011
1pm
The dynamics of living alone at older ages in two Nairobi slums: There has been little investigation into the living arrangements of older people in slum environments in sub-Saharan Africa. In this region, there is an assumption that older people live in the same household as their family with care and support for older people being closely interlinked with this coresidence with kin. Thus the living arrangements of older people are important indicators of their welfare and have the potential to highlight existing vulnerability among this group, with the decision to live alone having potentially adverse consequences for an older person. This research aims to explore this further by looking at the changes in living arrangements of older people in this environment over time and the events connected to this. The research is currently in the early stages and this presentation will detail the data being used and how this has been refined for analytical work. The study settings are two slums in Nairobi which are demographic surveillance systems and have yielded panel data on the household types of older people from 2002 through to 2006. These panels have been linked to an Older Persons Survey conducted in the same sites in 2006 with the aim that transitions in living arrangements for older people can be explored from 2002 to 2006, using event history analysis, with particular emphasis on the circumstances which lead to an older person moving from a multiple person household to a single person household. The research aims not just to understand the dynamics of living arrangements for older people in slum settings but to establish whether these moves can be viewed as positive or negative and if the latter is the case, whether there is need for a strengthening of both formal and informal types of support for older people in this context.
Thursday, May 26th 2011
Social democracy and social policy change in liberal welfare states (Seminars and lectures)
Paul Bridgen, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/1065
Thursday, May 26th 2011
12pm
TBC
Tuesday, May 24th 2011
Who Cares for Whom? Exploring Informal Caregiving in the BHPS (Seminars and lectures)
Alasdair Rutherford, University of Stirling
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Tuesday, May 24th 2011
12:30pm
TBC
Friday, May 20th 2011
The impact of migration on the mental health of older adults in Ireland. (Seminars and lectures)
Irene Mosca, Trinity College Dublin
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Friday, May 20th 2011
12:30pm
TBC
Thursday, May 19th 2011
The Value of Children and Theories of Fertility Transition (Seminars and lectures)
Melanie Frost, University of Oxford
University of Southampton 58 / 1023
Thursday, May 19th 2011
3pm
Debate over why people have children has caused a great deal of controversy over the years. The validity of competing theories of fertility transition turn largely on this question. Demographers generally favour either cultural or economic explanations for fertility transition, but rarely ask individuals why they have children, when these competing theories actually depend on average motivations for childbearing. Using Young Lives data from four developing world countries (Ethiopia, Vietnam, Peru and India) this paper looks at the value parents place on their children and how these relate to the number of children they have and the sex composition of those children. These childbearing motivations range from social and psychological to practical and economic. Latent class analysis is used to construct indices of the strength of parents? different motivations (economic, kinship, comfort and esteem) and then the effect of these indices on childbearing is studied. The results from the four countries indicate that the most important reason for childbearing in a general sense is old-age security. It is found that poorer families tend to give more practical and economic reasons for their childbearing decisions, while richer families and more urban families tend to give reasons of comfort and esteem. Overall the results indicate a value shift as childbearing decreases; this paper will explore what these results might mean for theories of fertility transition.
Thursday, May 12th 2011
Do women delay family formation in expensive housing markets? (Seminars and lectures)
William Clark, University of California Los Angeles
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Thursday, May 12th 2011
12:30pm
TBC
Tuesday, May 10th 2011
An introduction to the ONS Longitudinal Study (Seminars and lectures)
Shayla Goldring, Office for National Statistics
University of Southampton 58/4121
Tuesday, May 10th 2011
3pm
An introduction to the ONS Longitudinal Study - the largest longitudinal data resource in England and Wales
The ONS Longitudinal Study (LS) contains linked census and vital event data for 1 per cent of the population of England and Wales. Information from the 1971, 1981, 1991 and 2001 Censuses has been linked across censuses and with vital events data such as births, deaths and cancer registrations. Data from event registrations from 1971 to 2009 are now available on the LS database. The LS was set up in 1974 to address problems with the adequacy of occupational mortality data, and the lack of longitudinal fertility data, but since then it has been used to address a wide range of other research questions.The longitudinal nature of the study permits life-course and inter-generational analyses.Individual-level information enables the use of multivariate statistical techniques. It is hoped that this overview will help researchers decide whether the LS is appropriate for their research. James Robards will also give some insights into his PhD research using the LS to explore recent changes in fertility in England and Wales.
Tuesday, March 29th 2011
Migration and Life Satisfaction (Seminars and lectures)
Beata Nowok, University of St Andrews
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Tuesday, March 29th 2011
12:30pm
TBC
Friday, March 18th 2011
'Missing' men: Family health in rural South Africa (Seminars and lectures)
Vicky Hosegood, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 54/7033
Friday, March 18th 2011
1pm
TBC
Thursday, March 17th 2011
The financial crisis as emergency - lessons for welfare research (Seminars and lectures)
Dr Traute Meyer, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/2097
Thursday, March 17th 2011
12pm
TBC
Friday, March 11th 2011
Age, period and cohort effects in the prescription of benzodiazepine and statin in the Netherlands 1994 - 2009. (Seminars and lectures)
Maarten J. Bijlsma, University of Groningen
University of Southampton 58 / 1065
Friday, March 11th 2011
1pm
Not much is known about drug utilization and its effects in large populations. By studying age, period and cohort (APC) as proxies, additional insight may be gained into the effects of ageing, policy, or even drug side-effects, on drug prescription trends. We use a large longitudinal dataset (iadb.nl) on drug prescription in the Netherlands. We focus on benzodiazepine and statin. Both drugs have a large number of users, have effects tied to age, have generational differences between users, and have recently undergone policy changes. The research is currently in the exploratory stage: a number of problems, but also avenues for further research, have been found.
Monday, March 7th 2011
Eastern European migration and the UK labour market: The recruitment and function of 'A8' labour migrants. Labour user and labour provider perspectives (Seminars and lectures)
David McCollum, University of St Andrews
University of St Andrews
Monday, March 7th 2011
12.30pm
TBC
Friday, March 4th 2011
Demography of Armed Conflict in the Perspective of the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia (ICTY) (Seminars and lectures)
Ewa Tabeau, International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia, United Nations
University of Southampton 58/2097
Friday, March 4th 2011
1pm
This seminar will introduce the research area of demography of armed conflict using the experience of the Demographic Unit in the Office of the Prosecutor of the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia in The Hague (DU-ICTY). First, a few examples will be given of analyses completed at DU-ICTY and admitted into evidence in ICTY trials. The examples will relate to the 1990s wars in the former Yugoslavia, including Bosnia and Herzegovina and/or Kosovo. Second, two major approaches will be distinguished between the research conducted for judicial institutions, such as international war crimes tribunals and truth commissions, and the research conducted for purely scientific purposes. Finally, key challenges will be addressed in measuring and/or estimating demographic consequences of war.
Note: This is a joint seminar with University of Southampton Social Statistics and Demography Seminar Series
Thursday, March 3rd 2011
Uncertainty in fertility intentions in Britain 1979-2007: how real are reproductive goals? (Seminars and lectures)
Máire Ní Bhrolcháin and Eva Beaujouan, University of Southampton
University of Southampton 58/1023
Thursday, March 3rd 2011
3pm
Our study is a follow-up to our recent finding (with Ann Berrington), published in Population Studies no. 141, Autumn 2010, that a substantial minority of women are uncertain in their fertility intentions. We show that the GHS is not unique in this respect, but that substantial levels of uncertainty have been reported in a wide range of comparable surveys in other countries, over several decades. A range of evidence including instability in intentions, inconsistency between intentions and fertility outcomes, and qualitative studies of pregnancy intentions adds to the picture of appreciable ambiguity in reproductive attitudes. We suggest that uncertainty is reasonable, both in principle and on statistical grounds. The prevalence of uncertainty raises questions both about the nature and measurement of fertility intentions, and about standard assumptions regarding fertility decision-making.
Monday, February 28th 2011
The role of economic insecurity on the intention of having two children in Italy (Seminars and lectures)
Francesca Fiori, University of St Andrews
Room 1/G/9, Ladywell House, Edinburgh
Monday, February 28th 2011
12:30pm
TBC
Thursday, February 24th 2011
Understanding inter-censal migration in Britain using a new migration classification framework (Seminars and lectures)
Adam Dennett, University College London
University of Southampton 58/2097
Thursday, February 24th 2011
3pm
Internal migration is one of the main drivers of population change in Britain, with around 10% of the population changing residential address every year. Understanding the patterns of flows which characterise internal migration is a challenge, with, even at the relatively coarse local authority district level, some 166,000 possible combinations of origins and destinations. This paper details a new migration-based area classification framework which offers the opportunity to reduce the complexity of internal migration flow patterns with advantages over more general purpose area classifications which fail to take sufficient account of migrants as a separate subset of an area's population. The paper will also report on the preliminary findings of a time series analysis of intercensal internal migration flows in Britain using this new classification framework.
Thursday, January 6th 2011
The Contribution of Recent Increases in Family Benefits to Australia's Early 21st Century Fertility Increase: An Empirical Analysis (Seminars and lectures)
Nick Parr, Macquarie University
University of Southampton 58/1009
Thursday, January 6th 2011
3pm
Following forty years of almost continual decrease, between 2001 and 2008 Australia's total fertility increased from 1.73 to 1.97. The increase overlapped with a series of changes to family-related benefits which were designed primarily to provide financial assistance to families, but for which pronatalist intent was also apparent. The more significant changes were the introduction of a universal, flat-rate payment to parents of new-born children and an increased subsidisation of child care. This paper analyses recent individual-level fertility patterns in Australia, using data from a large-scale longitudinal survey and focusing on the effects of changes to family benefits. The effects of macroeconomic variables, entitlements to family-friendly working conditions, and socioeconomic and demographic characteristics also are considered.
Monday, December 6th 2010
Social Networks and the Labour Market Outcomes of Rural to Urban Migrants in China (Seminars and lectures)
Corrado Giulietti, Institute for the Study of Labor
University of Southampton, 58/2097
Monday, December 6th 2010
2pm
In this paper, the role of social networks on the labour market outcomes of rural migrants in China is investigated. Information on the size and quality of the network is derived using data from a unique survey and used to estimate the effect of social networks on wages. The main findings indicate that, for migrants who found a job through informal channels, having a large network and an employed close tie is associated with higher wages. These results are corroborated testing the same models for individuals who found the job through more formal channels. Potential threats to the causal interpretation of the results are discussed and evidence is provided to support the fact that endogeneity issues do not affect substantially the findings
Thursday, November 18th 2010
Fertility of ethnic and religious groups in the UK (Seminars and lectures)
Sylvie Dubuc, University of Oxford
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Thursday, November 18th 2010
2pm
This seminar outlines findings published in recent papers as well as unpublished data on updated fertility estimates and recent trends in the TFR of the various ethnic groups in the UK (using the ethnic classification adopted in census and surveys since 2001 in Britain), fertility estimates of religious groups and most recent findings on fertility differences between immigrants and UK-born women of ethnic minorities. The seminar will present the method used to derive fertility estimates and an overview of the differences in fertility across ethnic and religious groups, including differences between immigrant and UK-born generations. Results will be discussed.
Monday, September 20th 2010
Youth Transitions in the 21st Century - future directions for data, methods and theory (Seminars and lectures)
Vernon Gayle, University of Stirling
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Monday, September 20th 2010
2pm
In this presentation we investigate the relationship between parental occupations and filial education attainment. The focus of the presentation is General Certificate of Secondary Education (GCSE) attainment. GCSEs are public examinations and mark the first major branching point in a young person's educational career. Poor GCSE attainment is a considerable obstacle which precludes young people from pursuing more advanced educational courses. Young people with low levels of GCSE attainment are usually more likely to leave education at the minimum school leaving age and their qualification level frequently disadvantages them in the labour market and low levels of qualifications are also likely to have a longer term impact on experiences in the adult labour market In this presentation we analyse a recently harmonised dataset which combines a number of cohorts from the Youth Cohort Study of England and Wales. The analyses concentrate on pupils attending comprehensive schools in the 1990s. We analyses some alternative measures of GCSE attainment and consider a number of alternative classifications of parental occupations. Within the data there is item non-response and we attempt to develop the analysis by employing multiple imputation methods. We conclude that there is a relatively strong (and persistent) association between parental occupations and filial GCSE attainment. This relationship is observed irrespective of however GCSE attainment and parental occupations are measured. Parental occupation plays a more striking role in GCSE attainment than both gender and ethnicity. These finding make a contribution to wider debates within social stratification research.
Wednesday, June 30th 2010
Fertility in Europe:Cloudy past and uncertain future (Seminars and lectures)
Tomáš Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography
University of St Andrews, Arts/003
Wednesday, June 30th 2010
1pm
This talk takes a broad perspective on contemporary and likely future fertility trends in Europe. While recognizing that fertility rates in Europe are generally low, I argue that the overly negative attention to the issue of falling fertility rates and the likely population decline in the last decades has often been exaggerated. Several interrelated developments suggest that low fertility should not be an important issue of public concern in most parts of Europe:
- Fertility rates have increased in most countries of Europe after 2000, especially in 2005-8
- Except for a few countries, cohort fertility rates have never fallen to very low levels below 1.5 and are unlikely to do so in the foreseeable future
- The 'gap' between intended and realized family size is smaller than frequently argued
- The number of surviving children per mother is not in many countries much below its levels a century ago
- In addition, immigration often effectively serves as a partial 'replacement' of births presumably 'missing' due to low fertility
The recent increase in period fertility has been to some extent a foreseen consequence of the diminishing postponement of childbearing towards later reproductive ages, but it was also marked by new developments. It was the first concerted rise in fertility rates across the developed world since the 1960s, occurring at the time of relative economic prosperity. Fertility reversals were particularly strong in some regions that have seen several decades of very low fertility rates, including East Germany, and parts of Italy and Spain. This recent trend clearly showed that fertility rates may increase in tandem with rising female labour force participation. A number of developed countries, including the United Kingdom, now have period fertility around two children per woman, i.e., close to the level of population replacement. In addition, there are clear signs of stabilization in completed cohort fertility rates among the women born in the 1970s, bringing to an end a long term fall in average family size.
At the same time, important and persistent regional differences in fertility exist across the developed world and our understanding of these differences as well as fertility trends and reversals is partial at best. Fertility-related theories are often focused on one particular factor or mechanism and there have been only few efforts to assess them critically or to test their usefulness for explaining fertility reversals and for projecting fertility. The gap between the insights and conclusions provided by individual-level studies and those offered by aggregate-level analyses remains wide.
>From this view, the future fertility developments are uncertain. I outline some important trends and issues that need more attention. In the short-run, economic crisis may dent fertility rates in Europe. In the long-term perspective, I argue that fertility is likely to be higher than at present and that European fertility levels may stay above the levels in some other global regions, especially East Asia.
At the same time, analyzing fertility in isolation is not sufficient for assessing its likely societal effects as population trends will be critically influenced by both fertility and migration developments as well as interrelations between them. Societal adjustments to population ageing should focus much more on other factors like healthy ageing, increasing human capital, reducing unemployment and encouraging and enabling women to participate fully on the labour market rather than trying to increase fertility rates.
Monday, June 28th 2010
Migration flows, migration policies and citizenship in Europe (working title) (Seminars and lectures)
Catherine De Wenden, Centre for International Studies and Research, Paris
University of St Andrews, Arts/003
Monday, June 28th 2010
3pm
Thursday, May 6th 2010
Skill Composition of Migration and the Generosity of the Welfare State: Free vs. Policy-Controlled Migration (Seminars and lectures)
Assaf Razin, Cornell University/Tel Aviv University
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Thursday, May 6th 2010
4pm
he paper analyzes the effect of the welfare state generosity on the skill composition of migrants across free and policy controlled migration regimes. We develop a parsimonious model in which the effect of an increase in the generosity of the welfare state on the skill composition of migrants under free migration is negative. On the other hand, however, the model predicts positive sorting of migrants if migration is controlled by policymakers in the host country. We examine this hypothesis using migration data in the EU, separated by their origin into EU and non-EU countries. Such separation conforms to free and policy-controlled migration regimes, respectively.
Thursday, April 1st 2010
No Country for Young Men (Seminars and lectures)
Vegard Skirbekk, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Thursday, April 1st 2010
1pm
We present evidence of a general deterioration in the relative economic conditions of young working-age males from the 1980s to the 2000s in developed countries, and suggest this to be an important reason for the postponement of family formation in these countries. In the US, the real median income of 25-34 year old men fell by about 12 percent in this period. The income trends have been more favourable for the 45-54 year olds than for the 25-34 year old men in all countries for which we have data. The situation of the young men worsened as compared to the 55-64 year olds in two-thirds of the countries over this period, and while in Denmark the 55-64 year old men earned 8 percent less than the 25-34 year olds in the 1980s, they earned 7 percent more in the 2000s. In none of the countries we investigate has the growth of the median income of young working age males kept pace with the growth of GDP per worker. The worsening relative income levels for young working age men are important as even in rich, egalitarian countries, a man's income stands central in a couple's decision to enter parenthood, and relatively poor economic performance among young men can lead to delayed and depressed fertility.
Thursday, March 4th 2010
Migrants in Europe: a view on life courses and the family (Seminars and lectures)
Helga de Valk, Vrije Universiteit Brussel
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Thursday, March 4th 2010
3pm
Research on migrants often focuses on one aspect of their social and or cultural integration in the host society. In my talk I want to take a more comprehensive view on the life course of migrants and the role of the family based on two ongoing projects. First of all I focus on the transition to adulthood of immigrant youth by study the timing and sequencing of major events in the transition to adulthood of second generation Turkish and Moroccan and native Dutch youth. I will discuss the diversity in trajectories both within and between each of the three groups of origin. Second, I will present new findings from a project on the importance of family relations and loneliness among immigrants of different origin. In my talk I assess the role and importance of family relations and life course events on perceived loneliness. I will conclude with a discussion of potential future directions in this research field.
Friday, February 26th 2010
Tempo and the TFR (Seminars and lectures)
Maire Ni Bhrolchain, University of Southampton
University of Southampton
Friday, February 26th 2010
3pm
Part of the S3RI/CPC Seminar Series
Thursday, February 4th 2010
Sex ratio patterns in population estimates (Seminars and lectures)
Steve Smallwood & Sofie De Broe, Office for national Statistics
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Thursday, February 4th 2010
3pm
The mid-year estimates (MYEs) resulting from the 2001 Census have a sex ratio pattern differing from patterns in previous estimates. Research has been undertaken to explain the observed sex ratio pattern in England and Wales (EW), covering recent censuses and population estimates during the current intercensal period. The aims of this paper are to present some of the research explaining this sex ratio pattern and, secondly, suggest ways to prepare for the 2011 Census and beyond. A number of approaches have been taken to understand the drivers of the sex ratio pattern and provide evidence on plausibility. The Patient Register Data (PRD) was examined as a potential comparator. Sex ratios in other countries were compared with the EW sex ratio patterns. An accounting exercise for different explanatory scenarios around the remaining unexplained difference between estimates and 2001 Census was undertaken. Finally, demographic analyses examine trends in sex ratios among the migrant stock of the EW and foreign born populations to put into context the sex ratios in MYEs following the 2001 Census.
Friday, December 11th 2009
MIMOSA: Migration Modelling for Statistical Analyses (Seminars and lectures)
Jakub Bijak, ESRC Centre for Population Change
Univeristy of Southampton
Friday, December 11th 2009
1pm
This seminar will provide an overview of the MIMOSA project (Migration Modelling for Statistical Analyses), which is funded by Eurostat over the past three years. The main objective of the project is to develop methods to reconcile the differences in international migration statistics in European countries. The project produces estimates of both migration flows and population stocks. In addition the project provides consultancy to both Eurostat and Member States of the European Union (EU) on the way to produce more reliable migration figures, to make all available figures more compatible (within each country) and more comparable (at EU-level) and to estimate missing data using all available data and expert opinions. The estimates of migration flows make best use of available data and aim at comparable migration statistics by adjusting data based on national definitions to meet the common definitions contained in the new European regulation on migration statistics, and to complete migration statistics by combining data from different sources and incorporating additional information when appropriate.
Tuesday, November 24th 2009
The Child of Last Chance: the Role of Biological Clock in Fertility Timing in France and Germany (Seminars and lectures)
Anne Solaz, Institut National Etudes Demographiques (INED)
University of Southampton, 58/1009
Tuesday, November 24th 2009
3pm
Fertility behaviours vary widely within Europe. France and Germany represent two tendencies concerning childbearing: in France a high fertility level although a postponement of first conception, with a two-children ideal family size; in Germany a very low fertility level linked to a polarization of fertility behaviours (zero or two children). The delay of fertility timing may constrain the childbearing strategies since unfecundability sharply increases with female age. The idea is, within a Cox model for transition to late childbearing, to control for the natural increase in sterility with age estimated with eighteenth century census data, and to look at the remaining effects of other determinants. In France, women in second unions accelerate childbearing in order to have children before they become sterile. Do we observe the same phenomenon for all the people who form a first union late? Do people accelerate their childbearing as soon as they reach later ages? We expect country specific impact of sterility given their different first birth timing and social norms.
Thursday, November 5th 2009
Population ageing in the UK: an interactive tool (Seminars and lectures)
Shayla Goldring, Office for National Statistics
University of Southampton 2/2043
Thursday, November 5th 2009
3pm
Ageing in the UK is an interactive mapping tool which allows you to analyse the age structure of the population at the Local Authority (LA) level more easily. You can see how the population has aged over time and is projected to continue to age by selecting from a list of indicators of population ageing, such as median age, and animating the map. Data can be extracted from the tool by selecting a local authority. This presentation will detail the tool and also provide some insights into the patterns of population ageing we are seeing at the sub national level.
Thursday, October 22nd 2009
Why do Fertility Levels Vary between Urban and Rural Areas? (Seminars and lectures)
Hill Kulu, University of Liverpool
University of Southampton 39/3013
Thursday, October 22nd 2009
3pm
While many studies show a persistent urban-rural fertility variation in industrialised countries, the causes of this variation have been little investigated. Using rich longitudinal register data from Finland, we examine the contribution of socio-economic characteristics of individuals, selective migrations, housing conditions and contextual factors to fertility variation across settlements. Our analysis shows that fertility levels are higher in small towns and rural areas and lower in cities. Socio-economic characteristics of women and selective migrations account for only a small portion of fertility variation across settlements, whereas housing conditions explain a significant portion of urban-rural fertility differences. A significant spatial fertility variation after controlling for housing conditions suggests that there are also contextual effects. We discuss the role of various contextual characteristics in explaining urban-rural fertility variation including direct and indirect costs of raising children, spread of voluntary childlessness in cities and 'family-oriented' subcultures in rural areas and small towns.
Friday, September 11th 2009
Partnership trajectories and childbearing after the disruption of a first union in France (Seminars and lectures)
Eva Beaujouan, ESRC Centre for Population Change
University of Southampton B58/2097
Friday, September 11th 2009
1pm
France has a high relationship dissolution rate, and a quarter of first unions started in 1995-1999 were broken during the first five years. A growing number of people are experiencing the social, familial and economic consequences of union breakdown. This thesis addresses individual partnership and fertility behaviours after separation, using classical demographic methods in parallel with statistical analyses. The work is based primarily on retrospective data, from the French Generation and Gender Survey (2005), the "Enquete familles et employeurs" (on conciliation between work and family life, 2004) and the Family History Study (1999). The main results of this work are as follows: 1) In France, repartnering frequency increased for women at the beginning of the 1980s, as huge changes in family behaviours were taking place. Among men, the likelihood of repartnering has decreased in recent years, which could be linked to socioeconomic reasons. Separated mothers are less likely than women without children or men to repartner, and when they do their new partnership has a higher chance of disruption. 2) Men and women couple behaviours differ, and depend on their sociocultural characteristics. People who were first engaged in a more established relationship, long married, or fertile for men, seem more attached to family life in general. For example, second unions are less likely to break down if the first relationship was more established. 3) The growing frequency of break-up seems to result in delayed and decreased fertility. Indeed, females have less time to conceive their children. Childbearing in second unions is highly associated with the combined characteristics of the two partners: age and parenthood. Birth is less likely to take place when the woman reaches less fertile ages or if both partners already have children.
Friday, August 28th 2009
Demographic Modelling of Migration and Population: A Multiregional Perspective (Seminars and lectures)
Andrei Rogers, University of Colorado
University of Southampton 58/3017
Friday, August 28th 2009
1pm
This presentation focuses on the development and evolution of migration and population redistribution modelling within the spatial context of multiregional demography. It begins in 1965, when the state-of-the-art consisted largely of ideas and techniques imported from other disciplines (regression analysis, gravity models, Markov chains, and matrix cohort-survival population projection models) and then continues on to tell the story of multiregional demography, its evolution and emergence as a fully developed paradigm for studying the spatial dynamics of migration and population redistribution and, more recently, its approach for estimating the necessary migration input measures from inadequate data. A link to the background paper is here
Monday, July 6th 2009
Demographic Change and Macroeconomic Performance: Evidence from Scotland (Seminars and lectures)
Robert Wright, University of Strathclyde
University of Southampton 58/2097
Monday, July 6th 2009
2pm
This talk has two related parts; the first is concerned with placing Scotland's demographic profile in a wider national and international (mainly EU) context. The second is concerned with measuring the impact of demographic change on the economy through computable general equilibrium modelling.
Wednesday, June 17th 2009
The Global Reproductive Revolution (Seminars and lectures)
John MacInnes, University of Edinburgh
University of Southampton
Wednesday, June 17th 2009
3pm
TBC
Wednesday, May 27th 2009
Economic Growth and Health Status in India (Seminars and lectures)
K.S. James, Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore
University of Southampton 58/3017
Wednesday, May 27th 2009
1pm
Whether faster economic growth in the country led to simultaneous improvement in health status of the population in India? Although one would expect a direct answer to this question, the relationship between economic change and health status often found to be complex necessitating in-depth analysis. The relationship between income and health status is well known for several decades. The evidence of significant quantitative association between many measures of economic status and a variety of health measures are abundant from number of countries of the world irrespective of developed or developing. As such the economic changes should also lead to progress in health front. However, of late it has also been argued that economic reforms which is the leading cause of accelerated economic growth and increase in per capita income is adversely affecting the status of the people. This lack of relationship emanates partly due to the increasing inequality during the period of economic growth in many countries. It seems inequality even after controlling for income levels have an adverse impact on health status. This paper looks into this issue taking an example of the progress in some selected health measures from India within the context of income and income inequality framework. Both time series and cross section data is used for the analysis.
Friday, May 22nd 2009
The influence of the division of domestic labour between spouses on fertility in a context of gender equity (Seminars and lectures)
Wike Been, University of Groningen
University of Southampton 58/2097
Friday, May 22nd 2009
1pm
During the last century, fertility levels have fallen well below replacement levels in most industrialized countries. Since these low levels were first recognized as a problem, researchers have focused on it and suggested various explanations. Recently gender equity has been mentioned as an important factor in explaining the low levels of fertility. Although women increasingly participate in the labor market, men?s contribution to domestic tasks has not risen equally, resulting in a triple burden for many women. Before, the unequal division of domestic labor has already been associated with divorce. Now, McDonald (2000) suggests that a discrepancy between the rather high levels of gender equity in individual-oriented institutions (education and labor market) and the rather low levels of gender equity in family-oriented institutions (the family itself), are also an important explanation for the current low levels of fertility. Within my master?s thesis I test this theory using data from the 2002 International Social Survey Program on 26 countries. I use multilevel regression modeling to take both gender equity in the society (GEM-indicator) and in the family (division of domestic tasks) into account and model their effect on the number of children women get during their reproductive life span.
Friday, May 15th 2009
The Proportion of Marriages Ending in Divorce (Seminars and lectures)
Ben Wilson, Office for National Statistics
University of Southampton 58/1037
Friday, May 15th 2009
2pm
Divorce rates in 2005 suggest that approximately 45 per cent of marriages will end in divorce. Almost half these divorces will occur before couples reach their tenth anniversary. There are a higher proportion of marriages ever ending in divorce due to 1) Increased life-expectancy? 2) Higher divorce rates? (longer durations or older ages?). An essential question is whether or not the trend will continue and what the implications of this trend might be?